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Proceedings of the 2019 International Conference on Management Science and Industrial Engineering - MSIE 2019最新文献

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Evolution Model for Word-of-Mouth Communication Based on Improved Cellular Automata 基于改进元胞自动机的口碑传播进化模型
Jiafu Su, Xin Yu, Sensen Hu
From the view of the micro-interaction between customers, this paper aims to investigate the evolution process and mechanism for Word-of-Mouth (WOM) communication. First, consulting the SIS model, this work depicts the process of WOM communication employing the thought of epidemic spread. Then, this paper improves the traditional cellular automata model to better reflect the WOM communication in reality. On its basis, the WOM communication evolution model is proposed. Through simulation of the proposed model, this paper studies the evolution process of WOM communication, and the influence of the WOM introduction strategy and the accessibility of WOM between communities on WOM communication performance. The results give us a comprehensive understanding of the evolution process and mechanism of WOM communication, and reveal valuable management enlightenments about how to improve the WOM communication performance, which are helpful to the managers and decision makers to effectively carry out WOM management.
本文从顾客微观互动的角度出发,研究口碑传播的演化过程和机制。首先,借鉴SIS模型,运用疫情传播的思想描述了口碑传播的过程。然后,本文对传统的元胞自动机模型进行了改进,使其能够更好地反映现实中的WOM通信。在此基础上,提出了WOM通信演化模型。通过对所提出模型的仿真,研究了口碑传播的演化过程,以及口碑引入策略和口碑在社区间的可及性对口碑传播性能的影响。研究结果使我们对口碑传播的演变过程和机制有了全面的认识,并对如何提高口碑传播绩效提供了有价值的管理启示,有助于管理者和决策者有效地开展口碑管理。
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引用次数: 0
A Study of Oil Price and Other Contributing Factors to the Profitability of Courier Companies 油价及其他影响快递公司盈利能力的因素研究
Tan Yin, Law Xuen Ee, Ganeshsree Selvachandran
Oil, being a major commercial energy source in the world, its fluctuation is often interrelated with the global economy. Generally, people would perceived that earning power of transportation sectors which include airline companies, courier companies and shipping companies are heavily relied on oil price fluctuation. Apparently, oil seems to be the major operating expense for those companies. As oil price goes down, it is naturally assumed that transportation industry is doing well as their operating expense is low and vice versa. This study has focused on the issue of whether the profitability of courier companies are wholly dependent on oil price. Comparison was done between four courier companies, namely Pos Malaysia, TNT Express, United Parcel Service and Deutsche Post. The data analyzed were the oil price and the net profit of each courier company from year 2006 to 2014. Simple linear regression and t-test analysis was done. The results showed that only linear relationship between oil price and net profit was exhibited by TNT Express. This means that the net profit of other three companies including Pos Malaysia, United Parcel Service and Deutsche Post are not mainly affected by oil price.
石油作为世界上主要的商业能源,其波动往往与全球经济息息相关。一般来说,人们会认为包括航空公司、快递公司和航运公司在内的运输行业的盈利能力严重依赖于油价的波动。显然,石油似乎是这些公司的主要运营费用。随着油价的下跌,人们自然会认为交通运输业经营良好,因为其运营费用较低,反之亦然。本研究主要关注快递公司的盈利能力是否完全依赖于油价的问题。比较了四家快递公司,即马来西亚邮政、TNT快递、联合包裹服务和德国邮政。分析的数据是2006 - 2014年各快递公司的油价和净利润。进行简单线性回归和t检验分析。结果表明,TNT快递的油价与净利润之间仅呈现线性关系。这意味着马来西亚邮政、联合包裹服务和德国邮政等其他三家公司的净利润主要不受油价的影响。
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引用次数: 0
How Swift Guanxi Influences Product Evaluation and Repurchase Intention: An Analysis of C2C Buyer's Perceptions in Taiwan 快速关系如何影响产品评价与再购意愿:台湾C2C买家认知之分析
Wen-Kuei Wu, Yi Jiang
Our study aims to investigate the effects of the buyer-seller swift guanxi facets in the buyer's product evaluation, which in turn facilitate the repurchase intention in online social commerce context. This study conducts a questionnaire survey and utilizes Partial Least Square (PLS) path model to examine how the buyer's product evaluation moderate the link between buyer-seller swift guanxi and repurchase intention. The result reveals that the positive effects of buyer-seller swift guanxi facets on buyer's perceived product quality and value except the effect of reciprocal favors. Furthermore, the reciprocal favors tends to decrease buyer's perception of product quality and repurchase intention. Besides, the buyer's product evaluation plays a mediating role between swift guanxi and repurchase intention in online social commerce context. All measures were self-reported by participants and more response should be collected. In the future, comparing the dyadic perspectives to explore theoretical, practical implications is also needed. Moreover, researcher should incorporate more contingent variables to examine the effect of swift guanxi.
本研究旨在探讨买卖双方快速关系对买家产品评价的影响,进而促进在线社交商务情境下的再购买意愿。本研究采用问卷调查法,运用偏最小二乘路径模型,探讨买方产品评价如何调节买卖双方快速关系与再购买意愿之间的关系。研究结果表明,除互惠效应外,买卖双方快速关系对买方感知产品质量和价值的影响均为正向的。此外,互惠偏好倾向于降低购买者对产品质量的感知和再购买意愿。此外,在网络社交商务情境下,买家的产品评价在快速关系与再购买意愿之间起中介作用。所有的措施都是由参与者自我报告的,应该收集更多的反馈。在未来,还需要比较二元视角来探索理论和实践意义。此外,研究人员还应纳入更多的偶然变量来考察迅捷关系的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Selective Maintenance Modeling for a Multi-state System Considering Functionally Significant Items 考虑功能重要项的多状态系统的选择性维护建模
Zhonghao Zhao, B. Xiao, X. Yan
Selective maintenance problem arises in many large multi-state systems which are required to perform multiple missions in succession. Maintenance work can only be carried out in finite maintenance breaks between any two consecutive missions. Only a selected set of multi-state components can be taken maintenance action under limited resources such as time and cost. Traditional selective maintenance strategies do not consider Functionally Significant Items (FSI) and determine which components need to be maintained only by using maintenance resources and performance state. However, in an actual industrial environment, such as safety will also affect maintenance decisions. Therefore, it is necessary to fully consider various factors to determine FSI. In such a case, Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) is used to determine FSI in this paper, and then the multi-state system selective maintenance model considering FSI is established with the goal of maximizing the reliability to perform next mission. An improved genetic algorithm (GA) is employed to solve the optimization problem instead of enumeration. Finally, an example is presented to illustrate the necessity of considering FSI.
在需要连续执行多个任务的大型多状态系统中,存在选择性维护问题。维修工作只能在任何两个连续任务之间的有限维修休息时间进行。在有限的资源(如时间和成本)下,只有一组选定的多状态组件可以进行维护操作。传统的选择性维护策略不考虑功能重要项(FSI),仅根据维护资源和性能状态来确定哪些组件需要维护。但是,在实际的工业环境中,安全等问题也会影响维修决策。因此,在确定FSI时,需要充分考虑各种因素。在这种情况下,本文采用层次分析法(AHP)确定FSI,建立了考虑FSI的多状态系统选择性维修模型,以可靠性最大化执行下一任务为目标。采用一种改进的遗传算法(GA)来解决优化问题,而不是采用枚举法。最后,通过实例说明了考虑FSI的必要性。
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引用次数: 0
An Ergonomic Design of Wheelchair Bed Transfer for Post Stroke Patients 脑卒中后轮椅床转移的人体工程学设计
M. J. Gumasing, Almarose C. Villapando, Kareen C. Pernia
This paper aims to redesign the existing hospital bed in the Philippines by developing a wheelchair bed for bed transfer of patients with Cerebro Vascular Disease. According to National Statistics Office (NSO), Cerebro Vascular Disease, popularly known as "stroke" ranked fourth in the top ten causes of death in the Philippines (PSA, 2016). Because of this, the researchers come up with the study of developing an assistive device for both patients and nurses who handle and facilitate this type of patients. The study focuses only on post- stroke patients who are in recovery and rehabilitation stage which are called "post-stroke patients". The disability of post-stroke patients causes them to be dependent on their nurses or caregivers. According to studies, nurses and caregivers are exposed to risk of musculoskeletal disorders due to manual lifting and handling of patients especially during bed transfer. Data shows that 78% of nurses and caregivers experience pain and discomfort in their back and upper extremities due to manual lifting and poor working posture when handling patients. For these reason, it became the interest of the researchers to redesign a wheelchair bed for bed transfer of post stroke patients in order to reduce the risk of nurses and caregivers to develop musculoskeletal disorders. Principles of ergonomics are used to come up with the dimensions of the proposed product based on the anthropometric measurements of the target users. Value analysis and Quality Function Deployment (QFD) tool are also used to identify the technicalities of the product based from the users' requirements. Using all these tools, the researchers came up with the proposed product design of the wheelchair bed. The proposed design includes elevating bed frame into the medically required angles of elevation while the patient is at bed in three different positions. It has also a collapsible and extending bed rail, foot board with foot plate that serves as the foot rest of the patient with slimmer and more comfortable mattress material. In the ergonomic design of wheelchair bed, factors such as safety, convenience and comfortability of users were considered. The researchers have conducted review of related literature, direct observation, surveys, actual measurements and statistical analyses in order to describe factually and accurately the proposed design of wheelchair beds.
本文旨在重新设计菲律宾现有的医院病床,为脑血管疾病患者的病床转移开发轮椅床。根据国家统计局(NSO)的数据,脑血管疾病,俗称“中风”,在菲律宾十大死亡原因中排名第四(PSA, 2016)。正因为如此,研究人员提出了一项研究,即为处理和促进这类患者的患者和护士开发一种辅助装置。本研究仅针对处于恢复和康复阶段的脑卒中后患者,即“脑卒中后患者”。中风后患者的残疾使他们依赖于他们的护士或照顾者。根据研究,护士和护理人员由于手工搬运和处理病人,特别是在病床转移期间,面临肌肉骨骼疾病的风险。数据显示,78%的护士和护理人员在处理病人时,由于手工抬起和不良的工作姿势,他们的背部和上肢会感到疼痛和不适。由于这些原因,重新设计轮椅床成为研究人员的兴趣,用于中风后患者的床转移,以减少护士和护理人员患肌肉骨骼疾病的风险。根据目标用户的人体测量值,使用人体工程学原理来提出拟议产品的尺寸。还使用价值分析和质量功能部署(QFD)工具根据用户需求识别产品的技术细节。利用所有这些工具,研究人员提出了轮椅床的拟议产品设计。拟议的设计包括将床架提升到医学所需的仰角,而患者在床上有三个不同的位置。它还有一个可折叠和延伸的床轨,脚板与脚板,作为病人的足部休息,更薄,更舒适的床垫材料。在轮椅床的人体工学设计中,考虑了使用者的安全性、便利性和舒适性等因素。研究人员通过查阅相关文献、直接观察、调查、实际测量和统计分析等方法,真实准确地描述了轮椅床的设计方案。
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引用次数: 9
Sales and Operations Planning (S&OP) Performance Under Highly Diversified Mass Production Systems 在高度多样化的大规模生产系统下的销售和运营计划(S&OP)绩效
Yahya Ghrab, M. Sali
Sales and operations planning (S&OP) is a midterm planning practice that is widely used in industries with relatively volatile demand and limited capacities to align demand and supply. Several research studies, as well as practical guides, have been developed to examine the design and implementation of S&OP processes. Most of these studies are general and have no reference to the industry behind them. However, regarding planning, each industry has its properties. Taking a "one size fits all" approach is not profitable for extreme cases, such as for an automotive industry known for the very large product portfolios. Our contribution intends to examine this issue in detail by performing a literature review on the effectiveness of S&OP and its impacts on supply chain performance. We try to reveal why actual S&OP practices are not fit for highly diversified mass production systems, and we deduce that there is a need to redefine the S&OP process for such industries.
销售和运营计划(S&OP)是一种中期计划实践,广泛应用于需求相对不稳定和供应能力有限的行业。已经开发了一些研究和实践指南来检查S&OP过程的设计和实施。这些研究大多是一般性的,没有涉及其背后的行业。然而,在规划方面,每个行业都有其特性。在极端情况下,采取“一刀切”的方法是无利可图的,比如以产品组合非常庞大而闻名的汽车行业。我们的贡献旨在通过对S&OP的有效性及其对供应链绩效的影响进行文献综述来详细研究这个问题。我们试图揭示为什么实际的S&OP实践不适合高度多样化的大规模生产系统,我们推断有必要重新定义这些行业的S&OP过程。
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引用次数: 1
Analysis on China's Down Jacket Market Based on the SCP Paradigm 基于SCP范式的中国羽绒服市场分析
Xue-jie Chen, G. Fang
Although the Down Jacket market in China only has a history of 20 years, the scale of the industry is expanding rapidly. With the expansion of the Down Jacket market demand and the popularity of down products, the competitive pressure in the Down Jacket market in China is also increasingly intensified. Major brands begin to adjust their market behaviors and strive to build pioneer brands. This paper mainly USES the theoretical framework of SCP paradigm to analyze the market structure, market behavior and market performance of China's Down Jacket industry. After judging the market structure of China's Down Jacket industry, this paper further explores the market behavior and performance taken by China's Down Jacket industry under the current market structure, and summarizes the whole paper at the end of the article.
虽然羽绒服市场在中国只有20年的历史,但行业规模正在迅速扩大。随着羽绒服市场需求的扩大和羽绒产品的普及,中国羽绒服市场的竞争压力也日益加剧。各大品牌开始调整市场行为,努力打造先锋品牌。本文主要运用SCP范式的理论框架对中国羽绒服行业的市场结构、市场行为和市场绩效进行分析。在对中国羽绒服行业的市场结构进行判断后,进一步探讨中国羽绒服行业在当前市场结构下的市场行为和表现,并在文末对全文进行总结。
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引用次数: 1
The Blend of Credit Scoring Model for Individual in the Dmaic Process for Reducing Non-Performing Loan Risk 降低不良贷款风险过程中个人信用评分模型的融合
Vongseriprathna Thavarith, Jirapan Liangrokapart
Non-performing loan (NPL) is the main threat for all financial institutions. In order to improve loan approval process and reduce the risk of NPL, this research proposes an application of six sigma and credit scoring model. Six Sigma is an outstanding tool for process improvement by reducing defects in the process in manufacturing and service industries. Credit scoring model is a statistical model that aid in the decision making for the bank and other financial institution whether they should approve or reject the loan application. Six Sigma offers value by reducing defects and Credit scoring model can enhance credit lending policy. The implementation of Six sigma and Credit scoring model in bank loan approval process is a new topic and few literatures have studied in this area. The objectives of this research are to identify factors causing NPL and propose framework using Six Sigma and Credit scoring model to improve bank loan process and enhance the credit lending policy to reduce the risk of NPL. Case study of a bank in Cambodia is illustrated.
不良贷款是所有金融机构面临的主要威胁。为了改善贷款审批流程,降低不良贷款风险,本研究提出了六西格玛与信用评分模型的应用。六西格玛是通过减少制造业和服务业过程中的缺陷来进行过程改进的杰出工具。信用评分模型是帮助银行和其他金融机构决定是否批准或拒绝贷款申请的统计模型。六西格玛通过减少缺陷提供价值,信用评分模型可以提高信用贷款政策。在银行贷款审批过程中实施六西格玛及信用评分模型是一个较新的课题,在这方面的研究文献很少。本研究的目的在于找出造成不良贷款的因素,并提出使用六西格玛和信用评分模型的框架,以改善银行贷款流程和加强信贷政策,以降低不良贷款的风险。以柬埔寨某银行为例进行了分析。
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引用次数: 0
Plant Layout Design for Improvement and Eggs Grading Process 改进的工厂布局设计和鸡蛋分级过程
Y. Banjarat, W. Anucha, W. Wiyaratn
The egg sizes separation factory was a single story building with limited space which leads to inadequate production area due to 24 hours of continuous production. Therefore, the factory was facing the problem of overloading production capacity with inadequate storage. A countermeasure for this issue is urgently needed. The company was intended to build a new production factory for expanding the production capacity in order to meet the customer needs which have been increasing. The data was collected in order to clarify the production, process flow and cycle time. The analysis was constructing based on the Systematic Layout Planning (SLP) principle (the process relationships analysis). The results of the analysis indicate that the factory can be enhanced in 3 models, the first model with a total distance of 91.82 meters followed by 86.05 and 61.36 meters respectively. The best model is the third one with the shortest total distance of 61.36. Results of the analysis indicate that the first model has a total area of 1,097.4 square meters, followed by 1,353.1 and 1,451.4 square meters respectively. This can be concluded that the best model was the third one with the highest total area of 1,451.4 square meters, based on the comparison of the current factory layout and the new factory layout, the result is that the total distance in the new plant layout is less than the total distance in the plant layout by 33.98 meters, or 22%. Due to the reduction in transportation distance, the filtered egg size can be increased to increase the efficiency of the process.
鸡蛋大小分离厂是一个单层建筑,空间有限,由于24小时连续生产,导致生产面积不足。因此,工厂面临着产能过剩和库存不足的问题。这一问题的对策迫在眉睫。为了满足日益增长的客户需求,公司打算建一个新的生产工厂以扩大生产能力。收集数据是为了明确生产、工艺流程和周期时间。该分析是基于系统布局规划(SLP)原理(过程关系分析)构建的。分析结果表明,工厂可以在3个模型中进行增强,第一个模型的总距离为91.82米,其次是86.05米和61.36米。最佳模型是第三个模型,总距离最短,为61.36。分析结果表明,第一种模式的总面积为1097.4平方米,其次是1353.1平方米和1451.4平方米。由此可以得出,最好的模型是第三个,总面积最高,为1451.4平方米,根据现有工厂布局和新工厂布局的比较,新工厂布局的总距离比工厂布局的总距离少33.98米,少22%。由于运输距离的缩短,过滤后的鸡蛋尺寸可以增加,以提高工艺效率。
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引用次数: 5
Debiasing Strategy System to Improve Inventory Decision in the Newsvendor Problem (an Experimental Study) 改进报贩库存决策的去偏策略系统(实验研究)
Elok Pitaloka, N. Masruroh, Shi-Woei Lin
One of the foundational models for the study of inventory management is the newsvendor problem. Since the newsvendor problem involving perishable goods, one application that might be very concerning nowadays is food inventory management. Particularly, the food and culinary industries face the problem associated with the setting: supply--demand mismatch which causes business performance reduction due to profit loss. Thus, the developing of mathematical models in the newsvendor problem could be the solution to the problem since it can provide a good insight to determine optimal order quantities. However, inventory managers' order decision might deviate from the assumption in newsvendor setting which claims that individuals would make a rational decision that can maximize their utility and profit as well. Schweitzer & Cachon [1] is one of the earliest works that provides evidence of this deviation and concludes that there is a mismatch between newsvendor theory and experimental observations which causes non-optimal decisions due to the decision biases that occur in the newsvendor context. Thereafter, a growing number of studies in newsvendor problem have started to move toward experimental studies. However, most of the existing studies only involve students as the subject, leaving an important question of how the result of such studies can be implemented in the real world where the manager really works. In this study, we conduct an experiment to investigate the inventory managers' order decision in newsvendor settings in small fast-food restaurants in Yogyakarta, Indonesia. Afterward, we conduct the same experiment with students to provide a structured comparison between manager and student on decision making in the newsvendor problem. After obtaining the order decision pattern, which is not optimal due to anchoring and insufficient adjustment bias that occur, this study will also come up with a debiasing strategy in the form of Decision Support System (DSS). The DSS we propose aims to provide an alternative order for the inventory manager so that the overall inventory performance can be improved. To prove the effectiveness of the DSS we propose, we will also conduct an experimental work to compare the result of the order decisions with and without DSS provided.
报贩问题是库存管理研究的基础模型之一。由于报贩的问题涉及到易腐货物,现在一个可能非常关注的应用是食品库存管理。特别是,食品和烹饪行业面临的问题与设置相关:供需不匹配,导致业务绩效下降,由于利润损失。因此,在报贩问题中发展数学模型可以解决这个问题,因为它可以提供一个很好的洞察力来确定最优订购数量。然而,库存管理人员的订单决策可能会偏离报贩设置的假设,即个人会做出理性的决策,从而使其效用和利润最大化。Schweitzer和Cachon[1]是最早为这种偏差提供证据的作品之一,并得出结论,报贩理论和实验观察之间存在不匹配,由于报贩环境中发生的决策偏差,导致非最优决策。此后,越来越多的报贩问题研究开始向实验研究方向发展。然而,大多数现有的研究只涉及学生作为主体,留下了一个重要的问题,即这些研究的结果如何在管理者真正工作的现实世界中实施。在本研究中,我们进行了一项实验,以调查在日惹,印度尼西亚的小快餐店的报贩设置库存经理的订单决策。之后,我们对学生进行了同样的实验,以提供一个结构化的比较,经理和学生在报贩问题上的决策。在得到由于锚定和调整偏差不足导致的非最优订单决策模式后,本研究还将提出一种以决策支持系统(decision Support System, DSS)形式的去偏策略。我们提出的决策支持系统旨在为库存管理人员提供另一种订单,从而提高整体库存绩效。为了证明我们提出的决策支持系统的有效性,我们还将进行实验工作,比较有和没有提供决策支持系统的订单决策结果。
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引用次数: 1
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Proceedings of the 2019 International Conference on Management Science and Industrial Engineering - MSIE 2019
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