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2005 IEEE Design Symposium, Systems and Information Engineering最新文献

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An Excel forecasting model to aid in decision making that affects hospital resource/bed utilization - hospital capability to admit emergency room patients 一个Excel预测模型,以帮助决策,影响医院资源/床位的利用-医院接收急诊室病人的能力
Pub Date : 2005-04-29 DOI: 10.1109/SIEDS.2005.193261
W. Stout, B. Tawney
In complex systems it is difficult to discern the effects of interactions among component parts. Analysts can use Microsoft Excel for a preliminary assessment of internal systems dynamics. Often, in the hospital environment early data identification surfaces as rate estimates - admits per hour versus discharges per hour. For example, management may wish to assess capability to accommodate patients discharged from the emergency department for subsequent admission to the department of medicine (DOM) as well as demands on DOM bed capacity from other sources. This paper explores conceptual development and practical application of the spreadsheet model. Particular features include: constructing lookup tables by hour of day containing estimates of minimum and maximum rates, using the randbetween function to randomly select model inputs from a uniform distribution, developing frequency distributions to assist in output interpretation, illustrating conditional formatting, output graphing, etc. One can observe multiple samples of hourly patient fluctuations based on unit open beds and midnight census. Number of patients waiting can be shown at varying levels of system utilization. As utilization approaches approximately eighty percent, patient waiting time increases disproportionately. The spreadsheet model is a dynamic, visual illustration of how variation in individual process times can affect total process capability. Its use is primarily intended as a teaching tool for those new to simulation modeling.
在复杂系统中,很难辨别各组成部分之间相互作用的影响。分析师可以使用Microsoft Excel对内部系统动态进行初步评估。通常,在医院环境中,早期数据识别显示为速率估计-每小时入院数与每小时出院数。例如,管理部门可能希望评估容纳从急诊科出院的患者随后入住内科(DOM)的能力,以及其他来源对内科床位容量的需求。本文探讨了电子表格模型的概念发展和实际应用。具体功能包括:按小时构建查找表,其中包含最小和最大速率的估计,使用randbetween函数从均匀分布中随机选择模型输入,开发频率分布以协助输出解释,说明条件格式,输出图形等。人们可以观察到基于单位开放床位和午夜普查的每小时患者波动的多个样本。等待的患者数量可以显示在不同的系统利用率水平。当利用率接近80%时,患者等待时间不成比例地增加。电子表格模型是一个动态的、可视化的说明,说明各个过程时间的变化如何影响整个过程能力。它的使用主要是作为一个教学工具,为那些新的仿真建模。
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引用次数: 15
Bradley lethality study 布拉德利致死率研究
Pub Date : 2005-04-29 DOI: 10.1109/SIEDS.2005.193270
S. Aplon, D. Curry, D. Hilling., J. Orr, M. Piosa
The Bradley Fighting Vehicle System entered into army-service in 1981 and will be used in the Army inventory until at least the year 2032. In order to maintain lethal dominance, the Bradley will require a new direct fire systems. Larger caliber systems provide increased lethality, but reduce die amount of ammunition available and have increased cost. This project investigated which alternative provides the optimum Bradley weapons system. The client was interested in the weapon performance over a variety of terrains and mission profiles. In order to reduce the number of combinations of design variables, Pythagoras, an agent-based model was employed to investigate the optimum burst size for each weapon. Then a high resolution combat model, JCATS, will be employed to examine the performance of the candidate systems as compared to the current system. A value model was developed to compare the evaluation measures.
布雷德利战车系统于1981年进入陆军服役,并将在陆军库存中至少使用到2032年。为了保持致命优势,布拉德利将需要一种新的直接射击系统。大口径系统提供了更高的杀伤力,但减少了可用弹药的数量并增加了成本。该项目调查了哪种方案提供了最佳的布雷德利武器系统。客户对武器在各种地形和任务剖面上的性能很感兴趣。为了减少设计变量组合的数量,采用基于智能体的毕达哥拉斯模型来研究每种武器的最佳爆破尺寸。然后,将采用高分辨率作战模型JCATS来检查候选系统与当前系统的性能。建立了一个价值模型来比较评价指标。
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引用次数: 0
Design recommendation of a collaborative group decision support system for the aerospace corporation 航空航天企业协同群决策支持系统的设计建议
Pub Date : 2005-04-29 DOI: 10.1109/SIEDS.2005.193256
P. Chambless, S. Hasselbauer, S. Loeb, S. Luhrs, D. Newbery, W. Scherer
When making important decisions, most companies and organizations require the input of several individuals in order to generate new ideas and make judgments. However, when the complexities of a group decision problem exceed normal decision making approaches, a more formal collaborative process and decision support environment is required. The primary goal of this project is to develop a group decision support system (GDSS) recommendation for the aerospace corporation that allow users to generate ideas electronically, make quantitative judgments, and identify the group's preferred outcome(s) using robust decision analysis and facilitated group collaboration methods. This paper outlines the overall GDSS recommendation and supporting objectives that were met, including the completion of an industrywide software trade survey, a ''rate and weight" decision model of prospective software solutions, and an examination of group collaboration techniques and GDSS facility designs.
在做出重要决策时,大多数公司和组织都需要几个人的参与,以产生新的想法并做出判断。然而,当群体决策问题的复杂性超过了正常的决策方法时,就需要一个更正式的协作过程和决策支持环境。该项目的主要目标是为航空航天公司开发一个群体决策支持系统(GDSS)建议,允许用户以电子方式产生想法,做出定量判断,并使用稳健的决策分析和便利的群体协作方法确定群体的首选结果。本文概述了总体GDSS建议和已实现的支持目标,包括完成全行业软件贸易调查、前瞻性软件解决方案的“比率和权重”决策模型,以及对团队协作技术和GDSS设施设计的检查。
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引用次数: 7
Club Car competitive cost analysis 俱乐部汽车竞争成本分析
Pub Date : 2005-04-29 DOI: 10.1109/SIEDS.2005.193282
O. Fermin, J. Guill, J. Kao, M. Lytton, D. Maddox, B. Maverick, S. Nicklas, S. Vasiloff
There are major differences between the commercial and consumer markets. Commercial markets cater to industry while consumer markets focus on everyday customers who are interested in satisfying their own needs. Contrast to the John Deere Gator CX, the Club Car Carryall 1 focuses on the industrial market and is designed for a robust environment. Club Car's key goal is to enter the consumer market, and this article aims at defining how teardown analysis, cost analysis, and value engineering were used to implement an innovative and cost effective design that will yield a tangible product that Club Car can incorporate in its future production line. A culmination of 650 man-hours, and an estimated budget of $12,800, have resulted in a redesigned vehicle that satisfies the scope. The Club Car Carryall 1 now caters directly to the consumer market, while maintaining a competitive edge with the current market leader John Deere.
商业市场和消费市场有很大的不同。商业市场迎合工业,而消费市场关注的是那些对满足自己需求感兴趣的日常顾客。与John Deere Gator CX相比,Club Car Carryall 1专注于工业市场,专为坚固的环境而设计。Club Car的主要目标是进入消费者市场,本文旨在定义如何使用拆解分析、成本分析和价值工程来实现创新和成本有效的设计,从而产生Club Car可以在其未来生产线中合并的有形产品。经过650个工时和估计$12,800的预算,重新设计了一辆满足范围的车辆。Club Car Carryall 1现在直接迎合消费者市场,同时保持与当前市场领导者约翰迪尔的竞争优势。
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引用次数: 0
Patient hand-off system improvement 病人交接系统改进
Pub Date : 2005-04-29 DOI: 10.1109/SIEDS.2005.193262
S. Bae, M. Guerrero, L. Kim, P. O'quinn, L. Tabatabaian
Wellmont health system takes a proactive approach to patient safety. Wellmont sought to improve and standardize the patient hand-off process for department transfers originating in the emergency department (ED) and the post anesthesia care unit (PACU) at all four of its hospitals (a patient hand-off occurs when the responsibility for care of a patient changes from one practitioner to another). By utilizing a questionnaire, observations; networking, and existing hospital data, Wellmont Senior Design team identified the major process elements defining the patient hand-off and the most frequent cause of related incidents (an incident is defined as an inefficiency or deviation from procedure that has the potential to affect patient safety). After investigating both a manual and automated process to improve and standardize patient hand-offs, the team recommended implementing a manual checklist initially, then moving to an automated process once the desired level of process refinement has been achieved.
韦尔蒙特医疗系统采取积极主动的方法来保护患者的安全。Wellmont试图改善和规范其所有四家医院的急诊科(ED)和麻醉后护理单位(PACU)部门转移的病人移交过程(当病人的护理责任从一个医生转移到另一个医生时,就发生了病人移交)。通过问卷调查、观察;通过网络和现有的医院数据,Wellmont Senior Design团队确定了定义患者交接的主要流程元素和相关事件的最常见原因(事件被定义为可能影响患者安全的效率低下或偏离程序)。在调查了手动和自动化流程以改进和标准化患者交接后,团队建议首先实现手动检查表,然后在达到所需的流程细化水平后再转向自动化流程。
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引用次数: 0
A fuzzy neural approach for diagnosing PCM executing problems 一种诊断PCM执行问题的模糊神经方法
Pub Date : 2005-04-29 DOI: 10.1109/SIEDS.2005.193254
Chin-Chang Chuang, Chia-Chang Tsai
This study made a complete survey in professional construction management (PCM) of Taiwan, generalizing 6 critical executing problems in plan and 15 in design. Based on the characteristics of PCM back-propagation neural network (BPNN) and knowledge-based fuzzy neural network (KBFNN), the PCM planning and designing executing problems (PDEP) knowledge base was created for analyzing the causal relationships between these problems and their influence on overall goals of projects. This result indicates that the primary executing problem in planning stage is improper selection of design consultants. Finally, the PCM executing problems diagnosis system was created with access to serve as references to PCM consultants in project management.
本研究对台湾专业建筑管理(PCM)进行全面调查,归纳出规划执行中的6个关键问题和设计执行中的15个关键问题。基于PCM反向传播神经网络(BPNN)和基于知识的模糊神经网络(KBFNN)的特点,建立了PCM规划与设计执行问题(PDEP)知识库,分析了这些问题之间的因果关系及其对项目总体目标的影响。这一结果表明,规划阶段的主要执行问题是设计顾问的选择不当。最后,建立了PCM执行问题诊断系统,为PCM顾问在项目管理中提供参考。
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引用次数: 0
Ramp Operations Monitoring System 坡道作业监察系统
Pub Date : 2005-04-29 DOI: 10.1109/SIEDS.2005.193248
J. Bonilla, H. Mohammed, J. Norris, T. Phung, I. Zegada-Frias
United Airlines (UAL) operations estimates that they spent $1.39 million in flight delay costs last year. The SENSIS Corporation was sponsoring the design of a system that would assist airport ramp personnel in the allocation of ramp resources by physically tracking each resource. Through much research and analysis, our group concluded that a good business case could not be made for SENSIS Corporation. Our main sponsor is now United Airlines. The system design described in this paper is an information, resource tracking, and communications system. The key operational benefits of the system include increased situational awareness for ramp personnel and reduced operating costs. A top-down approach was implemented to design the Ramp Operations Monitoring System (ROMS). Research concerning airport operations was conducted to identify the current problems and inefficiencies with ramp resource allocation. Stakeholder interviews were conducted to generate system requirements. The house of quality methodology was used to identify and define the system's functional and physical architecture. Objectives hierarchies were developed to determine the weighting functions for the system's requirements traceability matrix. A model was developed of the aircraft turn process. A model of daily ramp operations was also developed. Stochastic simulations were performed using the two models by using "Arena" to evaluate the proposed design's overall performance. Arena is a discrete event simulation modeling environment. Preliminary results indicate that a business case can be developed for the system described in this paper. Tracking the aircraft turn process appears to be the critical task of the system.
美国联合航空公司(United Airlines)的运营部门估计,他们去年在航班延误上花费了139万美元。SENSIS公司正在赞助设计一个系统,该系统将通过物理跟踪每个资源来帮助机场坡道人员分配坡道资源。通过大量的研究和分析,我们小组得出结论,SENSIS公司不可能有一个好的商业案例。我们现在的主要赞助商是联合航空公司。本文所描述的系统设计是一个信息、资源跟踪和通信系统。该系统的主要运营优势包括提高匝道人员的态势感知能力和降低运营成本。采用自上而下的方法设计坡道作业监控系统(ROMS)。对机场运营进行了研究,以确定当前匝道资源分配的问题和效率低下。进行涉众访谈以生成系统需求。质量之家方法论被用来识别和定义系统的功能和物理架构。开发了目标层次结构,以确定系统需求可追溯性矩阵的权重函数。建立了飞机转弯过程的数学模型。此外,还制订了一个坡道日常运作模式。采用“Arena”软件对两种模型进行随机模拟,以评估所提设计的整体性能。Arena是一个离散事件仿真建模环境。初步结果表明,可以为本文描述的系统开发一个业务案例。跟踪飞机转弯过程似乎是该系统的关键任务。
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引用次数: 0
Engineering trade study: extract, transform, load tools for data migration 工程贸易研究:数据迁移的提取、转换、加载工具
Pub Date : 2005-04-29 DOI: 10.1109/SIEDS.2005.193231
S. Henry, S. Hoon, M. Hwang, D. Lee, M. DeVore
The widespread need within corporate information systems (IS) divisions to migrate large quantities of data between data stores has spawned a family of commercial products, which are commonly referred to as extract-transform-load (ETL) tools. The focus of this paper is the development of engineering trade studies to be used for ETL tool evaluation. This approach: (1) Identifies selection criteria that are essential in the evaluation of an ETL tool, (2) Develops scenarios that examine each criterion, and (3) Develops quantitative measures useful for evaluating the various aspects of ETL usage. This approach generates replicable evaluation methods that can be used and modified by companies to address their own ETL product needs. With the results generated through such evaluations, companies will be able to make informed decisions and choose the best ETL tool for their purposes.
企业信息系统(IS)部门在数据存储之间迁移大量数据的广泛需求催生了一系列商业产品,这些产品通常被称为提取-转换-加载(ETL)工具。本文的重点是开发用于ETL工具评估的工程贸易研究。这种方法:(1)确定在评估ETL工具中必不可少的选择标准,(2)开发检查每个标准的场景,以及(3)开发对评估ETL使用的各个方面有用的定量度量。这种方法产生了可复制的评估方法,公司可以使用和修改这些方法来满足他们自己的ETL产品需求。通过这样的评估产生的结果,公司将能够做出明智的决定,并为他们的目的选择最好的ETL工具。
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引用次数: 18
An urban warfare application of systems engineering for the first derivative 一阶导数系统工程在城市战中的应用
Pub Date : 2005-04-29 DOI: 10.1109/SIEDS.2005.193283
S. Demuth, J. Felini, J. Gerloff, M. J, N. Swingle, P. Harton, B. Horowitz
In an effort related to urban operations, the United States Army has funded a research project for the University of Virginia (UVA) that includes the design and development of a reconfigurable information management system (RIMS) mission-specific deployments of unattended sensors. Using a highly flexible networking technology called HyperCast, the RIMS project hopes to provide information in a dynamic and adaptable fashion over disparate networks (Liebeherr 1999). As an early step in the RIMS, project, an experiment was performed to evaluate the prototype system's ability to be reconfigured and setup in different scenarios. By testing the time to configure and install the prototype, this experiment helps indicate the current system's ability to rapidly adjust. These results will act as an initial indication that the application of the reconfigurable concept can enhance the ability to rapidly set-up systems on a mission-specific basis.
在一项与城市作战有关的工作中,美国陆军为弗吉尼亚大学(UVA)资助了一个研究项目,其中包括设计和开发一种可重新配置的信息管理系统(RIMS),用于无人值守传感器的具体任务部署。使用一种称为HyperCast的高度灵活的网络技术,RIMS项目希望在不同的网络上以动态和可适应的方式提供信息(Liebeherr 1999)。作为RIMS项目的早期步骤,进行了一个实验来评估原型系统在不同场景下重新配置和设置的能力。通过测试配置和安装原型的时间,本实验有助于表明当前系统的快速调整能力。这些结果将初步表明,应用可重新配置概念可以增强根据具体任务迅速建立系统的能力。
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引用次数: 0
The design and development of a sales force automation tool using business process management software 使用业务流程管理软件设计和开发销售队伍自动化工具
Pub Date : 2005-04-29 DOI: 10.1109/SIEDS.2005.193274
C. Baysan, A. Bertman, R. Maynigo, G. Norville, N. Osborne, T. Taylor
A sales force automation (SFA) tool is a computerized system that provides sales team members and managers with the functionality to track sales leads, manage contacts, control customer relations, monitor sales processes, schedule meetings, forecast sales and analyze employee performance. SFA tools aim to increase the efficiency and effectiveness of a sales team; however many commercially available SFA tools are generically structured solutions that do not accommodate the specific needs of a company. However, because of recent interest and developments in business process management (BPM) software, an emerging technology capable of modeling and automating business processes, it is possible for individual firms to custom-design their own sales force automation tools. In general, BPM software tools provide automated support for tracking tasks across multiple departments as they are completed by different employees. This paper discusses the design and development of an SFA tool using BPM software, including the identification of a detailed sales process, an analysis of the reporting capabilities, a model for determining the probabilistic outcomes of the sales process, and a decision-analytic model for optimizing sales force resource allocation.
销售队伍自动化(SFA)工具是一个计算机化的系统,它为销售团队成员和经理提供跟踪销售线索、管理联系人、控制客户关系、监控销售过程、安排会议、预测销售和分析员工绩效的功能。SFA工具旨在提高销售团队的效率和有效性;然而,许多商业上可用的SFA工具是通用结构的解决方案,不能适应公司的特定需求。然而,由于最近对业务流程管理(BPM)软件(一种能够对业务流程进行建模和自动化的新兴技术)的兴趣和发展,单个公司可以定制设计自己的销售团队自动化工具。一般来说,BPM软件工具为跟踪由不同员工完成的跨多个部门的任务提供了自动化支持。本文讨论了使用BPM软件的SFA工具的设计和开发,包括详细销售流程的识别,报告功能的分析,确定销售流程概率结果的模型,以及优化销售人员资源分配的决策分析模型。
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引用次数: 4
期刊
2005 IEEE Design Symposium, Systems and Information Engineering
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