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Finding the Best Mathematical Forecasting Model for Ordering Non FMCG Items at an FMCG Retailer 寻找快速消费品零售商订购非快速消费品的最佳数学预测模型
Pub Date : 2022-12-25 DOI: 10.46593/ijaera.2022.v08i02.002
Ahmed . Meer, Mohammed A. Balubaid
The future of a company can be judged by precise planning and predictions. This is helpful to steer clear of hypothetical product reserves. Also, it supports to create a good schedule for production to attain demand of customers and various other factors of market. Similarly, the forecasting can help non-FMCG companies. The current research possesses tools, organization form and method that gain supply chain. Moreover, it aims on products that are expired, damages, and come back from customer. Without question, return product had huge influence on income and deficit. Consequently, this trouble can be solved by assessment of supply chain. By set up through various important parameters and by modifying accounting practice. Following analysis phase, innovative models of world about returning process were examined and in design phase these items can be incorporated into alternative solution. During production life cycle, it assists in finding company performance. To know about forecasting, in present work, we have adopted a mathematical model. In this modal, the forecast is under sales estimate then the bias is considered as the negative for company. Time series method provides an ideal solution for the problem for correlated data.
一个公司的未来可以通过精确的计划和预测来判断。这有助于避开假设的产品储备。此外,它还支持制定良好的生产计划,以满足客户的需求和各种其他市场因素。同样,这种预测也可以帮助非快速消费品公司。目前的研究已经具备了获取供应链的工具、组织形式和方法。此外,它针对的是过期、损坏和客户退货的产品。毫无疑问,退货对收入和赤字产生了巨大的影响。因此,可以通过对供应链的评估来解决这一问题。通过设置各种重要参数和修改会计实务。在分析阶段之后,研究了关于返回过程的创新模型,并在设计阶段将这些项目纳入备选方案。在产品生命周期中,它有助于发现公司绩效。为了了解预测,在目前的工作中,我们采用了数学模型。在这个模型中,预测低于销售估计,然后偏差被认为是公司的负面。时间序列方法为相关数据的问题提供了理想的解决方案。
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引用次数: 0
Analyzing E-Commerce effectiveness of SMEs Using SERVQUAL Model 基于SERVQUAL模型的中小企业电子商务有效性分析
Pub Date : 2022-12-25 DOI: 10.46593/ijaera.2022.v08i04.002
Hussam Abdulaziz Alsammani
This paper attempts to aid the E-Commerce influence on SMEs using SERVQUAL methodology and five factors of reliability, assurance, tangibles, empathy, and responsiveness. In Saudi Arabia, according to the survey results, the e-commerce has enhanced the country's service and quality. Safe transactions processing, employee appearance, on-time delivery, attention to customer wants, record keeping, and confidence in staff are the top six areas of improvement following the implementation of e-commerce. Product display, staff help, equipment appearance, delivery time, customer waiting time, and customer care are the six factors listed at the bottom of the improvement after integrating e-commerce. E-commerce has a positive effect on confidence, which was previously at 20.31% and is now at 11.02%, even though several features are found to be in the top before and after the implementation of E-commerce. Prior to e-commerce, it is being noticed that service was more important in terms of customer happiness. Observing the improvement will be easier if the recommendation is implemented and measured again. In the future, we can investigate the performance of the top five E-Commerce platforms in greater depth.
本文试图运用SERVQUAL方法和可靠性、保证性、有形性、移情性和响应性五个因素来研究电子商务对中小企业的影响。在沙特阿拉伯,根据调查结果,电子商务提高了该国的服务和质量。安全的交易处理、员工外表、准时交货、对客户需求的关注、记录保存和对员工的信心是实施电子商务后最重要的六个改进领域。产品展示、员工帮助、设备外观、发货时间、客户等待时间、客户关怀是整合电商后最底部的六个改善因素。电子商务对信心有积极的影响,之前为20.31%,现在为11.02%,尽管在实施电子商务之前和之后发现有几个特征处于顶部。在电子商务出现之前,人们注意到服务在客户满意度方面更为重要。如果再次执行和衡量建议,观察改进将更容易。在未来,我们可以更深入地调查前五大电子商务平台的表现。
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引用次数: 0
A Decision Support Model for Prioritization of Safety Five Stars System Elements on Saudi Electricity Company using Integrated AHP and TOPSIS Approach 基于AHP和TOPSIS的沙特电力公司安全五星系统要素优先排序决策支持模型
Pub Date : 2022-12-25 DOI: 10.46593/ijaera.2022.v08i02.003
Osama M. Almutairi
Occupation Health and Safety (OHS) become as main parts of every company as the safety of people, machines, equipment and facilities become its goal. In 2015 G Saudi Electricity Company decided to use the Five Star Safety and Health Management System on all its facility around the Kingdom. It is the main purpose for this system to minimize number of accident/injuries and in consists of that it looks for 5 stars rating. However, the Five Stars Safety and Health Managements System have 73 elements to be implemented and evaluated which need a lot of resources, this research aim to identify the highest important elements out 73 elements from Five Stars Safety and Health Managements System that highly affect the company evaluation as well as lead to many accidents. The objective of the current research is to present a prioritization model based on Eight criteria using an integrated Delphi, AHP and TOPSIS approach. The decision main criteria as pairwise comparisons were decided by a group of experts through a Delphi methodology. In addition, the weights of the main was determined using AHP method. the final ranking results have been compared with the last 5 years Evaluations and the root cause for accidents.
职业健康与安全(OHS)成为每个公司的主要组成部分,因为人员、机器、设备和设施的安全成为其目标。2015年,G沙特电力公司决定在其王国各地的所有设施中使用五星安全与健康管理系统。这个系统的主要目的是尽量减少事故/伤害的数量,因此它寻求5星评级。然而,五星安全与健康管理体系有73个要素需要实施和评估,需要大量的资源,本研究旨在从五星安全与健康管理体系的73个要素中找出最重要的因素,这些因素对公司的评估有很大的影响,并导致许多事故。当前研究的目的是提出一个基于八个标准的优先级模型,使用综合德尔菲,层次分析法和TOPSIS方法。作为两两比较的决策主要标准是由一组专家通过德尔菲法决定的。此外,采用层次分析法确定了各主体的权重。最后的排名结果已经与最近5年的评价和事故的根本原因进行了比较。
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引用次数: 0
A Deep Learning-Based Utilization Improvement Framework for Abdullah Hashim Industrial Gases & Equipment Co. Ltd Transportation Network 基于深度学习的阿卜杜拉·哈希姆工业气体设备有限公司运输网络利用率改进框架
Pub Date : 2022-12-25 DOI: 10.46593/ijaera.2022.v08i02.004
Nayef A. Balbaid H., Neama Noor A F.
Transportation disruption causes economic loss in supply chains in the gas industry while population growth increases, which calls for a comprehensive review of the operations by management. Hence, the gas company should study and evaluate the situation and make the right decision by taking corrective action to minimize the negative impact of disruption. This paper aims to develop a deep learning-based model to improve the efficiency of the constrained transportation network of an industrial gas company in conjunction with historical data. The framework was demonstrated using an example case of the gas industry in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia. The findings revealed the usefulness of the Wilde Neural Network model in classifying the trip cost with an accuracy of 100% and a short duration of training of 2.84 seconds.
在人口增长的同时,运输中断会给天然气行业的供应链带来经济损失,这就要求管理层对运营进行全面审查。因此,天然气公司应该研究和评估情况,并通过采取纠正措施做出正确的决定,以尽量减少中断的负面影响。本文旨在结合历史数据,开发一个基于深度学习的模型,以提高工业气体公司受限运输网络的效率。该框架以沙特阿拉伯吉达天然气工业为例进行了演示。研究结果表明,王尔德神经网络模型在分类旅行成本方面的有效性,准确率为100%,训练时间短,为2.84秒。
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引用次数: 0
Students’ Learning Motivation with Virtual Pedagogy during COVID-19 in Saudi Arabia 新冠肺炎疫情期间沙特阿拉伯学生虚拟教学学习动机研究
Pub Date : 2022-11-25 DOI: 10.46593/ijaera.2022.v08i07.001
Meshal O. . Almazroee, Osman . Taylan
Recently, the education system faced an unpredicted health pandemic (COVID-19) that led to quick actions by governments to transform education from traditional face-to-face learning to modern virtual/distance learning. Due to the transition to a new education environment, learners needed special social care to improve their concentration and motivation for online learning in such a crucial crisis. In the current study, virtual learning is investigated to determine its impact on student’s motivation from teachers' perception. The influence of teachers on students’ motivation is examined by measuring the effects of teachers` gender, age, experiences, and levels of education. The current study also reflects on the influence of obstacles that face virtual education and their impact on student’s motivation. The current study is conducted at the Department of Education in Jeddah Region for teachers in middle and secondary schools. To answer the research questions and discuss their results, the current study followed the descriptive analytical methodology and deployed the social survey method. Afterwards, statistical anis were utilized to analyze the responses to the survey. The results revealed that the motivation of students is directly affected by determinants, such as the age of teachers and the practical experience they possess, since there is a statistically significant relationship between the two variables of virtual learning. Research results also indicate a strong relationship between the obstacles of online learning and the motivation of students.
最近,教育系统面临一场意想不到的卫生大流行(COVID-19),促使各国政府迅速采取行动,将教育从传统的面对面学习转变为现代虚拟/远程学习。由于向新的教育环境过渡,学习者需要特殊的社会关怀,以提高他们的注意力和动力,在这样一个关键的危机中进行在线学习。本研究主要从教师的感知来考察虚拟学习对学生学习动机的影响。教师对学生动机的影响是通过测量教师的性别、年龄、经验和教育水平来检验的。本研究也反映了虚拟教育所面临的障碍对学生学习动机的影响。目前的研究是在吉达地区教育部对中小学教师进行的。为了回答研究问题并讨论其结果,本研究遵循描述性分析方法,并采用社会调查方法。然后,利用统计方法来分析对调查的反应。结果显示,学生的动机直接受到决定因素的影响,如教师的年龄和他们所拥有的实践经验,因为虚拟学习的两个变量之间存在统计学上显著的关系。研究结果还表明,在线学习的障碍与学生的动机之间存在很强的关系。
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引用次数: 0
Design and Implementation of Balanced Scorecard for Maintenance Department at Hajj Terminal, King Abdulaziz Airport 阿卜杜勒阿齐兹国王机场朝觐航站楼维修部平衡计分卡的设计与实现
Pub Date : 2022-10-25 DOI: 10.46593/ijaera.2022.v08i06.001
M. Salem, A. A. Moreb
This report is about the design and implementation of a PAX system, PAX system is a Balance Scorecard (BSC) for maintenance department of PPMDC (Port Projects Management & Development Company) at Hajj Terminals, King Abdulaziz Airport. It monitors customer satisfaction, optimum service availability, the compliance of maintenance practice to GACA quality standards, maintenance department expense, spare part management, and enhancement of employees’ skills, experience, and knowledge. The research uses a descriptive design surveys and formulas to assess scores, future target and suggests crucial initiatives to attain desired goals. Applying BSC, passenger journey satisfaction score indicator is 94.4% and a two-year projection of 96% and 98%. It achieved total quality standards compliance with General Authority of Civil Aviation Service quality standards (GACA) the indicator for current estimate of 4.55/5 Civil and for two successive years are estimated to be 4.60/5 and 4.65/5. The PAX systems availability indicator is 98.8% and projected 99% (for the second year). While internal process indicator was estimated at 94% and projected at 96 % in the sconed year. Department expenses indicator was 97 % for this year, while expected to be reduced at 95 % in the second year. Spare part inventory management measured at 88.3% and projected 90% for the second year. Lastly, for learning and growth indicator, the team’ skills and experience is estimate at 95% and anticipated to grow to 96% in the short term.
本报告是关于PAX系统的设计和实施,PAX系统是PPMDC(港口项目管理与发展公司)在朝觐码头,阿卜杜勒阿齐兹国王机场维修部门的平衡计分卡(BSC)。它监视客户满意度、最佳服务可用性、维护实践对GACA质量标准的遵从性、维护部门费用、备件管理,以及员工技能、经验和知识的增强。该研究使用描述性设计调查和公式来评估分数,未来目标,并建议实现预期目标的关键举措。应用平衡记分卡,乘客旅程满意度得分指标为94.4%,两年预测为96%和98%。它达到了符合民航服务质量标准总局(GACA)的总质量标准,目前估计的指标为4.55/5民用,连续两年估计为4.60/5和4.65/5。PAX系统可用性指标为98.8%,预计为99%(第二年)。而内部流程指标估计为94%,预计第二年为96%。本年度部门开支指标为97%,预计第二年将降至95%。备件库存管理的比例为88.3%,预计第二年将达到90%。最后,对于学习和成长指标,团队的技能和经验估计为95%,预计在短期内增长到96%。
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引用次数: 0
Reliability Centered Maintenance at King Fahad General Hospital in Jeddah City 吉达市法赫德国王总医院以可靠性为中心的维修
Pub Date : 2022-08-25 DOI: 10.46593/ijaera.2022.v08i04.001
Abdullah H. . Hassan, S. Abed
Historical Location propose wide range of risks that can impact reptation, assets, or people that can have major impact. There for Risk management plans was improved in At-Turaif to cope with hazards. The objective of the study is to develop a risk assessment and find which building has the highest priority. The rank will be conducted using MCDM (Multi-Criteria Decision-Making) using five criteria (1) Risk rate, (2) Heritage value, (3) Important, (4) maximum occupancy, and (5) Traffic. These five criteria were applied through AHP-TOPSIS to find the highest rank building. The result of the risk assessments indicates there are electric, physical, fire, environmental, and security hazards. Risk assessment also propose control plan for each hazard. Based on AHP-TOPSIS results. All 28 buildings were rank according to the five criteria with Salwa palace, traditional homes, Omar palace, and Beit Almal need to be prioritized due to their important according to TOPSIS results. Some souks and Clusters fall in the lower section of the rank due to it risk rate and heritage value. The study recommends conducting further research on mud buildings and heritage sites in Saudi Arabia, as it is unique for the country, and recommends plans to eliminates the main hazards such as mud damages by spraying walls with protective coating. And develop new SOP (Standard operation procedures) for the worker to follow. Additionally, the study recommends improving the hazards control strategy and implement new action for hazards.
历史位置提出了可能影响声誉、资产或可能产生重大影响的人员的广泛风险。在atturaif,风险管理计划得到了改进,以应对风险。这项研究的目的是进行风险评估,并找出哪座建筑具有最高的优先级。排名将使用MCDM(多标准决策),使用五个标准(1)风险率,(2)遗产价值,(3)重要性,(4)最大入住率,(5)交通量。通过AHP-TOPSIS应用这五个标准来寻找最高等级的建筑。风险评估的结果表明存在电气、物理、火灾、环境和安全隐患。风险评估还对每个危害提出控制计划。基于AHP-TOPSIS结果。根据TOPSIS的结果,所有28座建筑都根据5个标准进行了排名,其中Salwa宫、传统住宅、Omar宫和Beit Almal因其重要性而需要优先考虑。一些露天市场和建筑群由于其风险率和遗产价值而落在排名的较低部分。该研究建议对沙特阿拉伯的泥建筑和遗产遗址进行进一步的研究,因为这是该国的独特之处,并建议通过在墙壁上喷涂保护涂层来消除泥破坏等主要危害。制定新的SOP(标准操作程序)供员工遵循。此外,该研究建议改进危害控制策略并实施新的危害行动。
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引用次数: 0
Legitimacy Challenges in Terms of Succession Planning and Internationalization in Family Businesses 家族企业继任计划与国际化的合法性挑战
Pub Date : 2022-08-25 DOI: 10.46593/ijaera.2022.v08i05.001
Abdullah H. . Hassan
Venture legitimacy refers to the generalised presumption or perception that a business entity's distinct procedures are proper and convenient or desirable within specific socially constructed systems of values and opinions. Entrepreneurial legitimacy is obtained by conforming to distinct normative, cognitive, and structural norms within entrepreneurship and communicating adherence to these norms. This concept has been widely used in entrepreneurship, including family businesses (FBs), which is the focus of this paper.
企业合法性指的是一种普遍的假设或看法,即企业实体的独特程序在特定的社会建构的价值观和意见体系中是适当的、方便的或可取的。企业家的合法性是通过遵守企业家精神中不同的规范、认知和结构规范,并传达对这些规范的遵守而获得的。这一概念已被广泛应用于创业,包括家族企业(FBs),这是本文的重点。
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引用次数: 0
Development of a Risk Assessment and Management Model for UNESCO World Heritage Site 联合国教科文组织世界遗产地风险评估与管理模式的发展
Pub Date : 2022-07-25 DOI: 10.46593/ijaera.2022.v08i03.001
Oudah Ali Oudah . Alahmadi
Historical Location propose wide range of risks that can impact reptation, assets, or people that can have major impact. There for Risk management plans was improved in At-Turaif to cope with hazards. The objective of the study is to develop a risk assessment and find which building has the highest priority. The rank will be conducted using MCDM (Multi-Criteria Decision-Making) using five criteria (1) Risk rate, (2) Heritage value, (3) Important, (4) maximum occupancy, and (5) Traffic. These five criteria were applied through AHP-TOPSIS to find the highest rank building. The result of the risk assessments indicates there are electric, physical, fire, environmental, and security hazards. Risk assessment also propose control plan for each hazard. Based on AHP-TOPSIS results. All 28 buildings were rank according to the five criteria with Salwa palace, traditional homes, Omar palace, and Beit Almal need to be prioritized due to their important according to TOPSIS results. Some souks and Clusters fall in the lower section of the rank due to it risk rate and heritage value. The study recommends conducting further research on mud buildings and heritage sites in Saudi Arabia, as it is unique for the country, and recommends plans to eliminates the main hazards such as mud damages by spraying walls with protective coating. And develop new SOP (Standard operation procedures) for the worker to follow. Additionally, the study recommends improving the hazards control strategy and implement new action for hazards.
历史位置提出了可能影响声誉、资产或可能产生重大影响的人员的广泛风险。在atturaif,风险管理计划得到了改进,以应对风险。这项研究的目的是进行风险评估,并找出哪座建筑具有最高的优先级。排名将使用MCDM(多标准决策),使用五个标准(1)风险率,(2)遗产价值,(3)重要性,(4)最大入住率,(5)交通量。通过AHP-TOPSIS应用这五个标准来寻找最高等级的建筑。风险评估的结果表明存在电气、物理、火灾、环境和安全隐患。风险评估还对每个危害提出控制计划。基于AHP-TOPSIS结果。根据TOPSIS的结果,所有28座建筑都根据5个标准进行了排名,其中Salwa宫、传统住宅、Omar宫和Beit Almal因其重要性而需要优先考虑。一些露天市场和建筑群由于其风险率和遗产价值而落在排名的较低部分。该研究建议对沙特阿拉伯的泥建筑和遗产遗址进行进一步的研究,因为这是该国的独特之处,并建议通过在墙壁上喷涂保护涂层来消除泥破坏等主要危害。制定新的SOP(标准操作程序)供员工遵循。此外,该研究建议改进危害控制策略并实施新的危害行动。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluation Of University Research Centers Performance Using Combined Multi-Criteria Decision-Making Model 基于组合多准则决策模型的大学研究中心绩效评价
Pub Date : 2022-03-02 DOI: 10.46593/ijaera.2022.v08i01.002
A. A. Noaman, O. Bafail, R. Abdulaal, Mohammed Alamoudi
Multi-Criteria Decision-Making (MCDM) focuses on reaching the best possible results in complex scenarios with conflicting criteria. The goal of this paper is to evaluate and rank the 26 research centres’ outputs at a large public university using some MCDM techniques. While the current method of evaluating and ranking research centers in that university is based on weighting processes developed by a group of University experts, this paper incorporates Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP), Stepwise Weight Assessment Ratio Analysis (SWARA), and Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS) among other MCDM techniques. The AHP was utilized to check for consistency across expert-determined criteria importance, followed by SWARA which was used to find the relative criteria weights. The TOPSIS methodology was then applied to rank research centers at that University as “alternatives”. The Spearman’s correlation coefficient between the present rank and the suggested rank from the integrated AHP-SWARA-TOPSIS model was calculated. Based on the obtained correlation coefficients from Spearman’s technique, it is encouraging to use the proposed model as the number of centers increases.
多准则决策(MCDM)侧重于在具有相互冲突的准则的复杂情况下达到可能的最佳结果。本文的目标是使用一些MCDM技术对一所大型公立大学的26个研究中心的产出进行评估和排名。虽然目前对该大学的研究中心进行评估和排名的方法是基于一组大学专家开发的加权过程,但本文结合了层次分析法(AHP),逐步权重评估比率分析法(SWARA)和理想解决方案相似性偏好排序技术(TOPSIS)等MCDM技术。AHP用于检查专家确定的标准重要性之间的一致性,其次是用于查找相对标准权重的SWARA。然后应用TOPSIS方法对该大学的研究中心进行“替代”排名。通过综合AHP-SWARA-TOPSIS模型计算当前等级与建议等级之间的Spearman相关系数。根据从斯皮尔曼的技术中获得的相关系数,随着中心数量的增加,使用所提出的模型是令人鼓舞的。
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引用次数: 0
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International Journal of Advanced Engineering Research and Applications
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