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Price of Value and the Divergence Factor 价值价格与背离因子
Pub Date : 2017-05-21 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2925577
L. Cong, Nathan George, Guojun Wang
Price of Value, measured by the ratio of market price to accounting-based valuation, subsumes the power of book-to-market and to a large extent of various quality measures in predicting the cross-section of average returns. Price-of-value strategies generate significantly higher returns than traditional value and other anomaly strategies even after common factors adjustments, and provides natural hedge against momentum strategies. A four factor model using the Market, Small-Minus-Big, Momentum, and Price-Value Divergence Factor improves over alternative factor models.
价值价格,由市场价格与基于会计的估值之比来衡量,在预测平均回报的横截面时,包含了账面市值和在很大程度上各种质量指标的力量。价值价格策略即使经过共同因素调整,也能产生比传统价值和其他异常策略更高的收益,并为动量策略提供了天然的对冲。使用市场、小-大、动量和价格-价值差异因子的四因素模型优于其他因素模型。
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引用次数: 0
Athena's Birth: Triggers, Actors, and Actions Preceding Industry Inception 雅典娜的诞生:工业开始前的触发因素、参与者和行动
Pub Date : 2017-05-12 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2967976
Rajshree Agarwal, Mahka Moeen, Sonali K. Shah
Research summary Industry evolution scholars define industry inception as the first instance of product commercialization, focusing on subsequent time periods of growth and maturity. Left understudied are the triggers, actors, and actions preceding industry inception. We integrate recent research in a preliminary framework, conceptualizing the incubation stage as activated by a “trigger” event—a scientific discovery, unmet user need, or mission-oriented grand challenges—and continuing through the first instances of product commercialization. We focus on illuminating actions of multiple and heterogeneous actors that help reduce high technological and demand uncertainty, thereby shaping industry structure and strategic action post-commercialization. To point, although the actors may be different, their actions follow a similar theme. We hope this framework spurs future research investigating the understudied incubation stage of new industries. Managerial summary Numerous visionaries––inventors, entrepreneurs, scientists, users, managers, policy makers, and others––spend decades laying the groundwork that leads to the creation of new industries. Their contributions are critical, yet have received little systematic attention. Here, we illuminate their actions during the understudied “incubation” stage sparked by a trigger event and culminating in the first instance of product commercialization. We begin by documenting three triggers: scientific and technological discoveries, unmet user needs, and mission-oriented grand challenges. We show that following a trigger event, visionaries solve the technological problems required to transform an innovative idea into a viable commercial product and engage potential adopters and stakeholders; they do this by both applying their existing knowledge base and engaging in experimentation. Their efforts set the stage for subsequent commercialization efforts. Copyright © 2017 Strategic Management Society.
产业演化学者将产业初始定义为产品商业化的第一个实例,重点关注随后的成长和成熟时期。未被充分研究的是行业开始之前的触发因素、参与者和行动。我们将最近的研究整合到一个初步框架中,将孵化阶段概念化为由“触发”事件(科学发现、未满足的用户需求或以任务为导向的重大挑战)激活,并继续进行产品商业化的第一个实例。我们专注于阐明有助于减少高技术和需求不确定性的多重和异构参与者的行动,从而塑造行业结构和后商业化战略行动。要指出的是,尽管演员可能不同,但他们的行动遵循着相似的主题。我们希望这一框架能激发未来对新产业孵化阶段的研究。许多有远见的人——发明家、企业家、科学家、用户、管理者、政策制定者等——花了几十年的时间为新产业的诞生奠定基础。他们的贡献至关重要,但却很少得到系统的关注。在这里,我们阐明了他们在由触发事件引发的未充分研究的“孵化”阶段的行为,并在产品商业化的第一个实例中达到高潮。我们首先记录三个触发因素:科学和技术发现、未满足的用户需求和以任务为导向的重大挑战。我们表明,在触发事件之后,有远见的人解决了将创新想法转化为可行的商业产品所需的技术问题,并吸引了潜在的采用者和利益相关者;他们通过运用现有的知识基础和参与实验来做到这一点。他们的努力为后来的商业化努力奠定了基础。版权所有©2017战略管理学会。
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引用次数: 49
Buying Monopoly: Antitrust Limits on Damages for Externally Acquired Patents 购买垄断:外购专利损害的反垄断限制
Pub Date : 2017-04-10 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2767098
Erik N. Hovenkamp, Herbert Hovenkamp
The “monopoly” authorized by the Patent Act refers to the exclusionary power of individual patents. That is not the same thing as the acquisition of individual patent rights into portfolios that dominate a market, something that the Patent Act never justifies and that the antitrust laws rightfully prohibit.Most patent assignments are procompetitive and serve to promote the efficient commercialization of patented inventions. However, patent acquisitions may also be used to combine substitute patents from external patentees, giving the acquirer an unearned monopoly position in the relevant technology market. A producer requires only one of the substitutes, but by acquiring the combination it can impede product market rivals by limiting their access to important technological inputs. Similarly, a patent assertion entity may acquire substitute patents to eliminate inter-licensor competition, enabling it to charge supra-competitive license fees, much like a merger or cartel. For example, by acquiring two or more substitute patents that collectively dominate a market a PAE can effectively monopolize the technology for that market. Such anticompetitive practices are regularly condemned in conventional product contexts, but the courts have not yet applied the same antitrust logic to patent markets. And they passively encourage anticompetitive patent acquisitions by awarding large damages when such patents are infringed.We propose that infringement damages for an externally acquired patent be denied if the acquisition served materially to expand or perpetuate the plaintiff’s dominant position in the relevant technology market. By weakening enforcement, this limits the patent holder’s ability to use such acquisitions to anticompetitive ends. We do not suggest that a dominant patent holder should be prohibited from securing external patent rights in the relevant technology market, but simply that it should obtain them through nonexclusive licensing, not transactions that restrict third party access. This is as valuable to patent policy as it is to antitrust, for it will tend to increase innovation by discouraging systematic monopoly in technology markets.
专利法赋予的“垄断权”是指个体专利的排他性权力。这与将单个专利权收购为主导市场的组合是不同的,后者是《专利法》从未证明的,也是反垄断法理应禁止的。大多数专利转让有利于竞争,有助于促进专利发明的有效商业化。然而,专利收购也可能用于合并来自外部专利权人的替代专利,从而使收购方在相关技术市场上获得不劳而获的垄断地位。生产商只需要其中一种替代品,但通过获得这两种替代品的组合,它可以通过限制产品市场上的竞争对手获得重要技术投入来阻碍它们。类似地,专利主张实体可以获得替代专利以消除许可人之间的竞争,使其能够收取超竞争性许可费用,就像合并或卡特尔一样。例如,通过获得两项或两项以上共同主导市场的替代专利,PAE可以有效地垄断该市场的技术。这种反竞争的做法在传统的产品环境中经常受到谴责,但法院尚未将同样的反垄断逻辑应用于专利市场。当专利被侵犯时,他们会给予巨额赔偿,从而被动地鼓励反竞争的专利收购。我们建议,如果外部获得的专利对原告在相关技术市场上的主导地位起到了实质性的扩大或延续作用,则不应给予侵权赔偿。通过削弱执法,这限制了专利持有人利用此类收购达到反竞争目的的能力。我们不建议禁止占主导地位的专利持有人在相关技术市场上获得外部专利权,而只是建议它应该通过非排他性许可获得专利权,而不是通过限制第三方访问的交易获得专利权。这对专利政策和反垄断同样有价值,因为它将通过阻止技术市场的系统性垄断来促进创新。
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引用次数: 5
Policy Distortions and Aggregate Productivity with Endogenous Establishment-Level Productivity 政策扭曲与内生建制水平生产率的总生产率
Pub Date : 2017-04-01 DOI: 10.3386/W23339
José-María Da-Rocha, Diego Restuccia, Marina M. Tavares
What accounts for differences in output per capita and total factor productivity (TFP) across countries? Empirical evidence points to resource misallocation across heterogeneous production units as an important factor. We study misallocation in a general equilibrium model of establishment productivity where the distribution of productivity is characterized in closed form and responds to the same policy distortions that create misallocation. In this framework, policy distortions not only misallocate resources across a given set of productive units (static effect), but also create disincentives for productivity improvement thereby altering the productivity distribution and equilibrium prices (dynamic effect), further lowering aggregate output and TFP. The dynamic effect is substantial contributing to a doubling of the static misallocation effect. Reducing the dispersion in distortions by 25 percentage points to the level of the U.S. benchmark economy implies an increasein relative aggregate output of 123 percent, where 54 percent arises from factor misallocation(static effect).
是什么导致了各国人均产出和全要素生产率(TFP)的差异?经验证据表明,异质性生产单元之间的资源错配是一个重要因素。我们在建立生产力的一般均衡模型中研究错配,其中生产力的分布以封闭形式为特征,并响应造成错配的相同政策扭曲。在这一框架下,政策扭曲不仅在一组给定的生产单位之间错配资源(静态效应),而且还对生产率的提高产生抑制作用,从而改变生产率分配和均衡价格(动态效应),进一步降低总产出和全要素生产率。动态效应是相当大的,导致静态错配效应加倍。将扭曲的分散程度降低25个百分点,达到美国基准经济的水平,意味着相对总产出增加123%,其中54%来自要素配置不当(静态效应)。
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引用次数: 21
What Drives Differences in Management? 是什么导致了管理上的差异?
Pub Date : 2017-03-01 DOI: 10.3386/W23300
N. Bloom, E. Brynjolfsson, L. Foster, Ron S. Jarmin, Megha Patnaik, Itay Saporta Eksten, J. Van Reenen
Partnering with the Census we implement a new survey of “structured” management practices in 32,000 US manufacturing plants. We find an enormous dispersion of management practices across plants, with 40% of this variation across plants within the same firm. This management variation accounts for about a fifth of the spread of productivity, a similar fraction as that accounted for by R&D, and twice as much as explained by IT. We find evidence for four “drivers” of management: competition, business environment, learning spillovers and human capital. Collectively, these drivers account for about a third of the dispersion of structured management practices.
我们与普查局合作,对3.2万家美国制造工厂的“结构化”管理实践进行了一项新的调查。我们发现,不同工厂的管理实践存在巨大差异,同一公司内不同工厂的管理实践差异达40%。这种管理差异约占生产率差异的五分之一,与研发所占比例相似,是IT所占比例的两倍。我们发现了管理的四个“驱动因素”的证据:竞争、商业环境、学习溢出效应和人力资本。总的来说,这些驱动因素约占结构化管理实践分散的三分之一。
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引用次数: 98
Training Contracts, Employee Turnover, and the Returns from Firm-Sponsored General Training 培训合同、员工流动率与企业赞助的一般培训收益
Pub Date : 2017-03-01 DOI: 10.3386/W23247
M. Hoffman, S. Burks
Firms may be reluctant to provide general training if workers can quit and use their gained skills elsewhere. "Training contracts" that impose a penalty for premature quitting can help alleviate this inefficiency. Using plausibly exogenous contractual variation from a leading trucking firm, we show that two training contracts significantly reduced post-training quitting, particularly when workers are approaching the end of their contracts. Simulating a structural model, we show that observed worker quit behavior exhibits aspects of optimization (for one of the two contracts), and that the contracts increased firm profits from training and reduced worker welfare relative to no contract.
如果工人可以辞职并在其他地方使用他们获得的技能,公司可能不愿意提供一般培训。“培训合同”对过早辞职进行惩罚,有助于缓解这种低效率。我们利用一家领先货运公司的貌似外生的合同差异,证明了两份培训合同显著减少了培训后的辞职,尤其是当工人的合同即将到期时。通过模拟一个结构模型,我们发现观察到的工人辞职行为(对于两种合同中的一种)表现出最优化的方面,并且相对于没有合同,合同增加了企业从培训中获得的利润,减少了工人的福利。
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引用次数: 15
Star River Electronics Ltd 星河电子有限公司
Pub Date : 2017-02-17 DOI: 10.1108/CASE.DARDEN.2016.000286
R. Bruner, R. M. Conroy, Kenneth M. Eades, S. Carr
In July 2001, a new CEO joins this small manufacturer of CD-ROMs and DVDs to discover that the firm is in the midst of a financial crisis, induced by rapid growth. The CEO asks an analyst for help with five tasks: (1) review historical performance of the firm; (2) forecast financing requirements for the next two years; (3) exercise the forecasting model to identify â¬Skey driverâ¬? assumptions; (4) estimate Star Riverâ¬"s weighted average cost of capital; and (5) analyze a proposed investment in a packaging machine. The analyst must offer insights and recommendations based on the work. The aim of the case is to exercise studentsâ¬" abilities in financial forecasting and analysis and in the analysis of capital projects. Generally, the case offers a good omnibus review of foundational tools and concepts.
2001年7月,一位新的首席执行官加入了这家生产cd - rom和dvd的小型制造商,他发现公司正处于经济危机之中,这是由快速增长引起的。首席执行官要求分析师帮助完成五项任务:(1)回顾公司的历史业绩;(2)预测未来两年的融资需求;(3)运用预测模型识别出主要驱动因素;假设;(4)估算星河的加权平均资金成本;(5)对拟投资的包装机进行分析。分析师必须根据工作提供见解和建议。案例的目的是锻炼学生在财务预测和分析以及资本项目分析方面的能力。总的来说,本案例对基本工具和概念进行了很好的综合回顾。
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引用次数: 0
Felipe Vergara and Lumni: Launching an Innovation in a Developing Economy 费利佩·维加拉和卢尼:在发展中经济体中发起创新
Pub Date : 2017-02-17 DOI: 10.1108/CASE.DARDEN.2016.000116
Gosia Glinska, S. Venkataraman, B. Parmar, S. Sarasvathy
The case chronicles the development of Lumni, Inc., an international start-up offering innovative mechanisms for financing higher education. It focuses on: the details of decision making required to transform an idea into a viable business; building partnerships; the challenge associated with raising venture capital; and the challenges of creating a new market where human capital can be traded to finance higher education.
本案例记录了Lumni, Inc.的发展,这是一家提供创新高等教育融资机制的国际初创企业。它侧重于:将想法转变为可行业务所需的决策细节;建立伙伴关系;与筹集风险资本有关的挑战;以及创造一个可以交易人力资本以资助高等教育的新市场的挑战。
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引用次数: 0
Crawford Development Co. And Southeast Bank of Texas 克劳福德开发公司和德克萨斯东南银行
Pub Date : 2017-02-13 DOI: 10.1108/CASE.DARDEN.2016.000080
Anton Ovchinnikov, Elena Loutskina
In the early months of the 2007-08 financial crisis, a loan manager faces a real estate financing decision. Should he approve a bullet structure three-year loan to a longstanding client, a legendary Texan developer? The developer, who near retirement downsized his business, is seeking financing for his only project: residential or commercial development on an attractive piece of land in suburban Houston. The loan manager considers the decision in light of the mortgage market turmoil, seeing commercial projects as safer, but also factoring that the residential market could bring higher returns if the market stabilizes soon. The manager collects the data and asks an analyst to assess the risks; that ultimately requires assessing the economics of both projects from both the bank’s and the developer’s perspectives. The bank could still change the interest rate on the loan to receive adequate compensation for the risk it carries, but the loan manager knows that doing so will change their long-term client willingness to take on the loan.
在2007-08年金融危机的最初几个月,一位贷款经理面临着一个房地产融资决策。他是否应该批准一笔子弹结构的三年期贷款给一个长期客户,一个传奇的德州开发商?这位即将退休的开发商缩减了他的业务,正在为他唯一的项目寻求融资:在休斯顿郊区一块有吸引力的土地上进行住宅或商业开发。这位贷款经理考虑到抵押贷款市场的动荡,认为商业项目更安全,但也考虑到如果市场很快企稳,住宅市场可能带来更高的回报。经理收集数据并请分析师评估风险;这最终需要从银行和开发商的角度来评估这两个项目的经济效益。银行仍然可以改变贷款利率,以获得足够的风险补偿,但贷款经理知道,这样做将改变他们的长期客户接受贷款的意愿。
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引用次数: 0
Primus Automation Division, 2002 博智自动化事业部,2002年
Pub Date : 2017-02-07 DOI: 10.1108/CASE.DARDEN.2016.000237
R. Bruner, Robert Hengelbrok, S. Carr
In early 2002, an analyst, Tom Baumann, must propose terms for leasing one of his company's advanced factory-automation systems to a major customer. From the lessor's standpoint, the challenge is simply to design an annuity stream that yields a present value equal to, or greater than, the value of the asset being leased. Certain factors, however, serve to complicate the analysis. The tax exposure and debt rating of the customer are uncertain, leaving the analyst to estimate the impact of alternative lease terms under different tax and interest-rate assumptions. Also, the customer is considering leasing competing systems from companies in Germany and Japan; these competing proposals limit Primus's flexibility in tailoring its proposal. In short, the students task is to design lease terms that exploit the lessee's tax and interest-rate exposure within constraints set by competitive terms.
2002年初,分析师汤姆·鲍曼(Tom Baumann)必须提出一些条款,以便把他公司的一套先进的工厂自动化系统租给一个大客户。从出租人的角度来看,挑战仅仅是设计一个产生等于或大于租赁资产价值的现值的年金流。然而,某些因素使分析变得复杂。客户的税务风险和债务评级是不确定的,因此分析师需要在不同的税收和利率假设下估计不同租赁条款的影响。此外,该客户正在考虑从德国和日本的公司租赁竞争系统;这些相互竞争的提案限制了博智在调整提案方面的灵活性。简而言之,学生的任务是设计租赁条款,在竞争性条款的约束下利用承租人的税收和利率风险。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Ewing Marion Kauffman Foundation Research Paper Series
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