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Measuring the Impact of a Trade Dispute with a Supply-side Shock Using a Supply-driven Input-Output Analysis: Korea-Japan Dispute Case 用供给驱动的投入产出分析衡量供给侧冲击下贸易争端的影响:韩日争端案例
Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.23895/KDIJEP.2021.43.1.29
Dongseok Kim
The purpose of this paper is to measure the impact of the recent Korea-Japan trade dispute on the Korean economy using supply-driven input-output analysis. In July 2019, Japan announced the decision to tighten the export control of three materials which are indispensable in the manufacturing of semiconductors and electronic display panels. Japan's decision directly affects production in Korea's semiconductor and display sectors and is hence not a demand shock. For this reason, a standard demand-driven input-output analysis is not valid despite the fact that it can still be applied. The impact of Japan's decision on Korea's aggregate and individual sectors' gross output, GDP and employment were computed using both methods.
本文的目的是利用供给驱动的投入产出分析来衡量最近韩日贸易争端对韩国经济的影响。2019年7月,日本宣布决定加强对半导体和电子显示面板制造中必不可少的三种材料的出口管制。日本的决定直接影响到韩国半导体和显示器行业的生产,因此不是需求冲击。由于这个原因,标准的需求驱动的投入产出分析是无效的,尽管它仍然可以应用。利用这两种方法计算了日本的决定对韩国的总体和个别部门的总产出、GDP和就业的影响。
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引用次数: 1
How do Export Pioneers Emerge and How are They Related to Product Creators 出口先行者是如何出现的?他们与产品创造者有何关系
Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.23895/KDIJEP.2021.43.1.1
C. Hahn
In this paper, we empirically examine how export pioneers emerge and how they are related to product creators/innovators, utilizing a rich plant-product level dataset from the Korean manufacturing sector for the period of 1990-1998. Our analysis covers the process from the appearance of product creators as well as product imitators to the emergence of export pioneers. We find, first, that product imitators are larger, more productive and older than product creators. Second, most export pioneers are nevertheless found to be product creators. This result is largely due to the fact that almost all export pioneers export the products in the same year as product creation. Third, there are similarities as well as differences between product creators and export pioneers. Plants that are more productive or larger are more likely to become product creators as well as export pioneers. However, previous exporting experience positively affects the probability of export pioneering only, while plants’ engagement in R&D positively affects the probability of product creation only. We discuss possible explanations for our main empirical results as well as their policy implications.
在本文中,我们利用1990-1998年期间韩国制造业丰富的工厂-产品层面数据集,实证研究了出口先锋企业是如何出现的,以及它们与产品创造者/创新者之间的关系。我们的分析涵盖了从产品创造者和产品模仿者的出现到出口先锋的出现的过程。我们发现,首先,产品模仿者比产品创造者规模更大、生产率更高、年龄更大。第二,大多数出口先锋都是产品创造者。这一结果很大程度上是因为几乎所有的出口先行者都在产品创造的同一年出口产品。第三,产品创造者和出口先锋之间既有相似之处,也有不同之处。生产力更高或规模更大的工厂更有可能成为产品创造者和出口先锋。然而,以往的出口经验只对出口开拓的概率有正向影响,而工厂参与研发只对产品创造的概率有正向影响。我们讨论了主要实证结果的可能解释及其政策含义。
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引用次数: 0
Market Access Approach to Urban Growth 城市增长的市场准入途径
Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.23895/KDIJEP.2020.42.3.1
Sang Yoon
This paper studies urban growth in Korean cities. First, I document that population growth patterns change over time and that the current population distribution supports random urban growth. I confirm two empirical laws—Zipf’s law and Gibrat’s law—both of which hold in the period of 1995-2015, but do not hold in the earlier period of 1975-1995. Second, I find a systematic employment growth pattern of Korean cities in spite of the random population growth. I examine market access effects on employment growth. Market access, a geographical advantage, has a significant influence on urban employment growth. The market access effect is higher in the Seoul metropolitan area than in the rest of the country. This effect is stronger on employment growth in the manufacturing industry compared to employment growth in the service industry. These results are robust with various checks (e.g., different definitions of urban areas). The results here suggest that policymakers should consider geographical characteristics when they make policy decisions with respect to regional development.
本文研究了韩国城市的城市增长。首先,我证明了人口增长模式随着时间的推移而变化,目前的人口分布支持随机的城市增长。我确认了两个经验定律——zipf定律和Gibrat定律,这两个定律在1995-2015年期间成立,但在1975-1995年早期不成立。第二,我发现了韩国城市在人口随机增长的情况下,有系统的就业增长模式。我研究了市场准入对就业增长的影响。市场准入这一区位优势对城镇就业增长具有显著影响。首都圈的市场准入效应比全国其他地区更高。与服务业的就业增长相比,这种影响对制造业就业增长的影响更大。通过各种检查(例如,城市地区的不同定义),这些结果是稳健的。研究结果表明,政策制定者在制定区域发展政策时应考虑区域的地理特征。
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引用次数: 0
Easier Set Than Done: Stakeholder Engagement as Public-Private Partnership in Regulatory Policy of South Korea 设定容易做起来难:韩国监管政策中公私伙伴关系的利益相关者参与
Pub Date : 2019-08-31 DOI: 10.23895/KDIJEP.2019.41.3.39
Lee Jongyearn
An emphasis on public-private partnership (PPP) in the regulatory policy process can overcome the challenges hindering regulatory effectiveness with the emergence of fast developing technologies and new industries. This study attempts to evaluate quantitatively different aspects of institutional settings of South Korean regulatory policy in terms of stakeholder engagement as PPP, using evidence-based data released by the OECD. From the results of the principal component analysis, South Korea can be evaluated as being at a very good level overall in its institutional establishment. Nevertheless, the fact that the outcome of regulatory reforms in South Korea is still insufficient compared with this well-established system suggests that the country should concentrate on improving system operation. Consequently, this study makes policy suggestions to improve regulatory effectiveness through PPP by supplementing the facets that are well-equipped but not feasible with respect to regulatory policy cycle, regulatory governance, regulatory method, and conflict resolution.
在监管政策过程中强调公私合作可以克服随着快速发展的技术和新产业的出现而阻碍监管有效性的挑战。本研究试图利用经合组织发布的循证数据,从利益相关者参与PPP的角度,定量评估韩国监管政策制度设置的不同方面。从主成分分析的结果来看,韩国的机构设置总体上可以评价为处于非常好的水平。尽管如此,与这一完善的制度相比,韩国监管改革的成果仍然不足,这表明该国应该集中精力改善制度运作。因此,本研究通过补充在监管政策周期、监管治理、监管方法和冲突解决方面装备完善但不可行的方面,提出了通过PPP提高监管有效性的政策建议。
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引用次数: 0
Korea’s Rapid Export Expansion in the 1960s: How It Began 20世纪60年代韩国出口快速扩张的开端
Pub Date : 2017-05-01 DOI: 10.23895/kdijep.2017.39.2.1
유정호
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引用次数: 1
Revisiting Social Discount Rates for Public Investment 重新审视公共投资的社会贴现率
Pub Date : 2017-05-01 DOI: 10.23895/KDIJEP.2017.39.2.75
송준혁
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引用次数: 1
The Public-Private Partnerships and the Fiscal Soundness of Local Governments in Korea 政府与社会资本合作与韩国地方政府财政健全性
Pub Date : 2017-02-01 DOI: 10.23895/kdijep.2017.39.1.41
이호준
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引用次数: 1
Korean Housing Cycle: Implications for Risk Management 韩国房地产周期:对风险管理的启示
Pub Date : 2017-01-01 DOI: 10.23895/KDIJEP.2017.39.3.43
HyuckShin Kwon, Doowon Bang, M. Kim
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引用次数: 1
CEO to the Rescue: Residential Proximity of Private Firm CEOs and the Evolution of Corporate Profitability 拯救CEO:私人公司CEO的居住邻近性与公司盈利能力的演变
Pub Date : 2016-12-30 DOI: 10.23895/KDIJEP.2016.38.4.1
Woojin Kim, D. Yang
This paper documents how the net profit margin of private firms improves when the CEOs of the companies relocate their primary residence to be closer to the corporate headquarters. By reviewing 127 Korean non-public companies belonging to 66 private business groups, we find that the top managers move closer to the headquarters when the profitability of the firms has recently deteriorated. A one basis point decline in the margin causes CEOs to relocate their homes approximately two kilometers closer to their corporate headquarters. The profit margin rebounds after their relocation. This finding implies that physical proximity can serve as a proxy for personal commitment.
本文记录了当公司首席执行官将其主要居住地迁至离公司总部更近的地方时,私营企业的净利润率是如何提高的。通过对国内66家民营企业集团旗下127家非上市公司的调查,我们发现,当企业最近的盈利能力恶化时,高层管理人员会向总部靠拢。利润率每下降一个基点,首席执行官们就会把家搬到离公司总部近约两公里的地方。搬迁后利润率回升。这一发现表明,身体上的接近可以作为个人承诺的代表。
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引用次数: 0
Autonomy, Incentives, and School Performance: Evidence from the 2009 Autonomous Private High School Policy in Korea 自主、激励与学校绩效:来自韩国2009年自主私立高中政策的证据
Pub Date : 2016-08-01 DOI: 10.23895/KDIJEP.2016.38.3.1
박윤수
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引用次数: 2
期刊
KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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