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A consensus-based Fermatean fuzzy WASPAS methodology for selection of healthcare waste treatment technology selection 基于共识的Fermatean模糊WASPAS方法在医疗废弃物处理技术选择中的应用
Q1 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2023-10-15 DOI: 10.31181/dmame622023621
Chandana Narasimha Rao, Matta Sujatha
Healthcare waste (HCW) management is a complex issue influenced by many factors, including technological, economic, environmental, and social factors. It is possible to regard the evaluation of the best treatment technique for HCW management as a challenging case of MCDM (multi-criteria decision-making), where various alternatives and evaluation criteria must be considered. The presentation and handling of the shaky data are crucial to choosing the HCW treatment technology. In order to address the issue of MCDM issues with Fermatean fuzzy (FF) data, we first build a consensus-based WASPAS approach in this study. In the suggested integrated methodology, the rank of the alternatives is determined using the WASPAS method in an FF environment, and the attribute weights are estimated using the entropy measure technique. In the preceding, an HCW treatment technology assessment issue is considered to make the proposed structure's applicability more transparent. In this study, four HCW treatment methods—chemical disinfection, microwave disinfection, cremation, and autoclaving—are considered options. According to the study's findings, autoclaving is the most effective HCW treatment method. Additionally, we demonstrate a sensitivity assessment using several criteria weight sets to test the stability of our intriguing proposed approach. We also call attention to a contrast between our suggested approach to decision-making and the practices now in use.
医疗废物管理是一个复杂的问题,受到许多因素的影响,包括技术、经济、环境和社会因素。可以将HCW管理最佳治疗技术的评估视为MCDM(多标准决策)的一个具有挑战性的案例,其中必须考虑各种替代方案和评估标准。不稳定数据的呈现和处理对于选择HCW处理技术至关重要。为了解决Fermatean模糊(FF)数据的MCDM问题,我们在本研究中首先建立了一种基于共识的WASPAS方法。在建议的综合方法中,在FF环境中使用WASPAS方法确定备选方案的等级,并使用熵测量技术估计属性权重。在上文中,考虑了HCW处理技术评估问题,以使拟议结构的适用性更加透明。在这项研究中,四种HCW处理方法——化学消毒、微波消毒、火化和高压灭菌——被认为是可选的。根据研究结果,高压灭菌是最有效的HCW处理方法。此外,我们使用几个标准权重集进行了敏感性评估,以测试我们提出的有趣方法的稳定性。我们还提请注意我们建议的决策方法与目前使用的做法之间的对比。
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引用次数: 4
Application of the R method in solving material handling equipment selection problems R方法在解决物料搬运设备选型问题中的应用
Q1 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2023-10-15 DOI: 10.31181/dmame622023391
S. Chatterjee, S. Chakraborty
In manufacturing industries, material handling equipment plays a vital role and is considered as one of the important pillars to increase production efficiency. Hence, the selection of appropriate material handling equipment for a specific task is well acknowledged, but the complexity of this selection process drastically increases with the rise in the number of alternative equipment available in the market and a set of conflicting evaluation criteria. To resolve this problem, several multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) techniques have been proposed by past researchers. In this paper, the application potentiality of a newly developed MCDM technique, i.e. R method is explored while solving five material handling equipment selection problems, i.e. conveyor, automated guided vehicle (AGV), stacker, wheel loader and excavator. The derived ranking results are contrasted with other popular MCDM techniques to validate its potentiality in shortlisting the candidate alternatives from the best to the worst, which would ultimately help in improving the overall efficiency of the manufacturing processes.
在制造业中,物料搬运设备起着至关重要的作用,被认为是提高生产效率的重要支柱之一。因此,为特定任务选择合适的材料处理设备是众所周知的,但随着市场上可供选择的设备数量的增加和一系列相互冲突的评估标准,这种选择过程的复杂性急剧增加。为了解决这个问题,过去的研究人员已经提出了几种多准则决策(MCDM)技术。本文在解决输送机、自动导引车、堆垛机、轮式装载机和挖掘机五个物料搬运设备选择问题的同时,探索了新开发的MCDM技术即R法的应用潜力。将得出的排名结果与其他流行的MCDM技术进行对比,以验证其从最佳到最差的候选备选方案入围的潜力,这将最终有助于提高制造过程的整体效率。
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引用次数: 1
Identification and assessment of man-made threats to cities using integrated Grey BWM- Grey MARCOS method 基于灰色BWM-灰色MARCOS的城市人为威胁识别与评估
Q1 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2023-10-15 DOI: 10.31181/dmame622023747
M. Bitarafan, K. Hosseini, S. Zolfani
Identifying and evaluating any threat against the critical infrastructures, including history, methods, abilities, and motivations, is essential for crisis management and cities' passive defense. Threats, including natural and unnatural (man-made), are directed at cities' critical assets and infrastructures. Essential assets are considered valuable components, so the slightest malfunction or damage to the body causes damage to the system. This study uses Tehran, the capital of Iran, as a case study to identify and assess man-made dangers to cities and their vital resources. This work creates an innovative integrated MCDM approach that can handle information ambiguity in crisis management. Therefore, at this stage of identifying man-made threats, library methods and interviews with experts were used, and multi-criteria decision-making techniques were implemented. Moreover, this research benefits from the grey Best-Worst method (BWM) to evaluate the research criteria and grey Measurement of Alternatives and Ranking according to COmpromise Solution (MARCOS) to rank the threats. The research findings indicated that the three main threats to Tehran city are cyber, military, and terrorist attacks. Finally, a sensitivity analysis based on two practical experiments is done, and research results are verified.
识别和评估任何针对关键基础设施的威胁,包括历史、方法、能力和动机,对于危机管理和城市被动防御至关重要。包括自然和非自然(人为)威胁在内的威胁都针对城市的关键资产和基础设施。基本资产被认为是有价值的组件,因此对身体最轻微的故障或损坏都会对系统造成损害。本研究以伊朗首都德黑兰为例,对城市及其重要资源的人为危险进行识别和评估。这项工作创造了一种创新的集成MCDM方法,可以处理危机管理中的信息歧义。因此,在识别人为威胁的这一阶段,使用了图书馆方法和专家访谈,并实施了多标准决策技术。此外,本研究还利用灰色最佳-最差法(BWM)对研究准则进行评估,并利用折衷方案(MARCOS)对备选方案和排序进行灰色度量,对威胁进行排序。研究结果表明,德黑兰城市面临的三大威胁是网络、军事和恐怖袭击。最后,基于两个实际实验进行了灵敏度分析,并对研究结果进行了验证。
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引用次数: 7
Characteristics of segments according to the preference system for job selection, opportunities for effective incentives in each employee group 根据岗位细分的特点进行择优选择,在每个员工群体中进行有效的机会激励
Q1 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2023-10-15 DOI: 10.31181/dmame622023761
Mónika Garai-Fodor, Laszlo Vasa, K. Jäckel
In addition to economic challenges, employers are also facing a growing generation gap. Generations that are significantly different in terms of values, mindsets and preferences need to be effectively managed in a workplace, which requires complex solutions. In this paper we present sub results of our primary research. In a quantitative procedure, we conducted a pre-tested standardized questionnaire online survey with random sample making method, resulting in 1146 evaluable questionnaires. Descriptive statistics to evaluate the results presented in this study. Descriptive statistics, and bivariate and multivariate analyses were applied to process the quantitative results, to test the hypotheses put forward. The main focus of our research is to investigate the factors that influence employees' choice of jobs, and we analyzed the structure of their preference system. As a result of the research, we were able to identify distinct clusters according to the preference system of job selection. In the context of the resulting segments, we also analyzed which motivational tools could be most effective in encouraging higher performance. We believe that our research has useful implications for practice, by highlighting how to differentiate the pool of employees in terms of job choice and how to apply effective incentives to a specific segment.
除了经济挑战,雇主们还面临着日益扩大的代沟。在价值观、心态和偏好方面存在显著差异的几代人需要在工作场所得到有效管理,这需要复杂的解决方案。在本文中,我们介绍了我们的初步研究的子结果。在定量程序中,我们采用随机抽样的方法进行了预测试的标准化问卷在线调查,共获得1146份可评估问卷。用描述性统计来评价本研究的结果。采用描述性统计、双变量和多变量分析来处理定量结果,以检验提出的假设。本研究的主要重点是调查影响员工工作选择的因素,并分析其偏好系统的结构。研究的结果是,我们能够根据工作选择的偏好系统识别出不同的集群。在结果细分的背景下,我们还分析了哪些激励工具可以最有效地鼓励更高的绩效。我们相信,我们的研究通过强调如何在工作选择方面区分员工池以及如何对特定部分应用有效的激励措施,对实践具有有益的意义。
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引用次数: 3
Ensemble learning algorithm - research analysis on the management of financial fraud and violation in listed companies 集成学习算法——上市公司财务舞弊与违规管理研究分析
Q1 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2023-10-15 DOI: 10.31181/dmame622023785
Weihong Li, Xiujuan Xu
In recent years, despite the strict "zero tolerance" crackdown on the financial fraud and violation behavior of listed companies, the cases of financial fraud, revenue and profit overstatement, and suspected fraud have continued to be exposed. This study first established a financial fraud index system and used the XGBoost algorithm to construct a prediction model for financial fraud and violations of listed companies. The indicators were selected and input into the model. A dataset was obtained for experiments. The XGBoost algorithm was compared with two other algorithms. The receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curves showed that the XGBoost algorithm had the best prediction performance among the three algorithms. It was found that the precision of the XGBoost algorithm was 93.17%, the recall rate was 92.23%, the value was 0.9270, and the area under the curve was 0.90, indicating a better performance than the prediction models based on the Gradient Boosted Decision Tree (GBDT) algorithm and the Logistics algorithm. Considering the data of various evaluation indicators, it is found that the predictive effect of the financial fraud and violation prediction model built by the XGBoost algorithm is the best.
近年来,尽管对上市公司财务造假和违规行为进行了严格的“零容忍”打击,但财务造假、夸大营收和利润、涉嫌欺诈的案件仍不断曝光。本研究首先建立了财务舞弊指标体系,并利用XGBoost算法构建了上市公司财务舞弊及违规行为的预测模型。选择指标并输入到模型中。获得了实验数据集。将XGBoost算法与另外两种算法进行了比较。接收算子特征曲线(receiver operator characteristic, ROC)表明,XGBoost算法在三种算法中预测性能最好。结果表明,XGBoost算法的准确率为93.17%,召回率为92.23%,其值为0.9270,曲线下面积为0.90,优于基于梯度提升决策树(Gradient boosting Decision Tree, GBDT)算法和logistic算法的预测模型。综合各评价指标的数据发现,采用XGBoost算法构建的财务欺诈与违规预测模型的预测效果最好。
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引用次数: 0
Measuring the competitiveness of commodity markets using price signals and information theory 用价格信号和信息论衡量商品市场的竞争力
Q1 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2023-10-15 DOI: 10.31181/dmame622023548
Anis Hoayek, Hassan Hamie
Technological advancements, abrupt changes in market conditions, and political reforms, among other things, necessitate strong regulatory oversight, and accurate measurement of performance related indicators. The more accurate, information rich, and transparent these measurements/signals, the lower the level of uncertainty felt by value chain participants, who are thus able to recognize and observe whether the market’s state is efficient. Its lack, may lead to indecisiveness, translating into false interpretations that could lead to wrong policy directions. This paper provides an ex-post evaluation tool intending to deliver additional insights or quality information that would aid the regulator in assessing the state of the market. The tool is applied to the UK wholesale natural gas market for the period between 2011 and 2020, assessing and testing the market’s weak-form efficiency. It claims that today’s gas prices reflect a specific type of information, primarily past gas prices, and that only new information can help predict future prices. In this manuscript, based solely on a limited and available untapped dataset (day-ahead price time series), and working under the assumption that gas prices are the result of market processes, a variety of information metrics (gas price randomness, distribution of extreme prices, ability to predict prices - based on historical sets) is extracted with the use of suitable mathematical statistical models. A weighted entropy index is then computed, and measures the state of the commodity market. The results indicate that the analysis has helped gain information, thus reducing uncertainty (relative to a pre-analysis) by 86.5 %. Additionally, there is sufficient evidence that the UK natural gas prices are weak-form efficient.
技术进步、市场条件的突然变化和政治改革等都需要强有力的监管和对绩效指标的准确衡量。这些测量/信号越准确、信息越丰富、越透明,价值链参与者感受到的不确定性水平就越低,因此他们能够识别和观察市场状态是否有效。它的缺乏可能导致犹豫不决,转化为错误的解释,可能导致错误的政策方向。本文提供了一种事后评估工具,旨在提供额外的见解或质量信息,帮助监管机构评估市场状况。该工具适用于2011年至2020年期间的英国天然气批发市场,评估和测试市场的弱形式效率。它声称,今天的天然气价格反映了一种特定类型的信息,主要是过去的天然气定价,只有新的信息才能帮助预测未来的价格。在这份手稿中,仅基于有限且可用的未开发数据集(日前价格时间序列),并在天然气价格是市场过程的结果的假设下工作,使用合适的数学统计模型提取了各种信息度量(天然气价格的随机性、极端价格的分布、基于历史集预测价格的能力)。然后计算加权熵指数,并衡量商品市场的状态。结果表明,分析有助于获得信息,从而将不确定性(相对于预分析)降低了86.5%。此外,有充分的证据表明,英国天然气价格表现疲软。
{"title":"Measuring the competitiveness of commodity markets using price signals and information theory","authors":"Anis Hoayek, Hassan Hamie","doi":"10.31181/dmame622023548","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.31181/dmame622023548","url":null,"abstract":"Technological advancements, abrupt changes in market conditions, and political reforms, among other things, necessitate strong regulatory oversight, and accurate measurement of performance related indicators. The more accurate, information rich, and transparent these measurements/signals, the lower the level of uncertainty felt by value chain participants, who are thus able to recognize and observe whether the market’s state is efficient. Its lack, may lead to indecisiveness, translating into false interpretations that could lead to wrong policy directions. This paper provides an ex-post evaluation tool intending to deliver additional insights or quality information that would aid the regulator in assessing the state of the market. The tool is applied to the UK wholesale natural gas market for the period between 2011 and 2020, assessing and testing the market’s weak-form efficiency. It claims that today’s gas prices reflect a specific type of information, primarily past gas prices, and that only new information can help predict future prices. In this manuscript, based solely on a limited and available untapped dataset (day-ahead price time series), and working under the assumption that gas prices are the result of market processes, a variety of information metrics (gas price randomness, distribution of extreme prices, ability to predict prices - based on historical sets) is extracted with the use of suitable mathematical statistical models. A weighted entropy index is then computed, and measures the state of the commodity market. The results indicate that the analysis has helped gain information, thus reducing uncertainty (relative to a pre-analysis) by 86.5 %. Additionally, there is sufficient evidence that the UK natural gas prices are weak-form efficient.","PeriodicalId":32695,"journal":{"name":"Decision Making Applications in Management and Engineering","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-10-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42175754","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The development of a new SOFI model for performance management of medium-sized and large companies 为大中型企业的绩效管理开发新的SOFI模型
Q1 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2023-10-15 DOI: 10.31181/dmame622023754
Biljana Kovačević
Measurement and adequate performance management of a company represent an imperative regarding the attainment of competitive advantage in the market. This need is especially pronounced in medium-sized and large companies, which represent complex organizations and require the application of scientific principles for solving complex issues in practice. Therefore, the performance management process in medium-sized and large companies is singled out as the subject of the research. It is important to point out that the main concept of the paper is the macro aspect of the performance management process. The primary goal of the research is the development of a new model for performance management based on considering all important parameters of business operations of these companies on the territory of the Republic of Srpska. The research was conducted via combined methods – a multiple case study which implies four companies and a survey questionnaire. Through the analysis of many models in the literature, seven were singled out which were studied further. The main elements and conceptual bases of these models served as the basis for conducting research and creating a new model for performance management. The result of the published research represents “SOFI” model (strategic, organizational, financial and information–technological aspects), whose application contributes towards easier management by managers, as well as making correct management decisions in the conditions of uncertainty.
衡量和充分的绩效管理是实现市场竞争优势的必要条件。这种需求在中型和大型公司中尤为明显,它们代表着复杂的组织,需要在实践中应用科学原则来解决复杂的问题。因此,中大型企业的绩效管理过程被挑出来作为研究的主题。需要指出的是,本文的主要概念是绩效管理过程的宏观方面。该研究的主要目标是在考虑这些公司在塞族共和国境内业务运营的所有重要参数的基础上,开发一种新的绩效管理模式。这项研究是通过组合方法进行的——一项涉及四家公司的多案例研究和一份调查问卷。通过对文献中的许多模型的分析,选出了七个模型,并对其进行了进一步的研究。这些模型的主要元素和概念基础是进行研究和创建新的绩效管理模型的基础。已发表的研究结果代表了“SOFI”模型(战略、组织、财务和信息技术方面),其应用有助于管理者更容易进行管理,并在不确定性条件下做出正确的管理决策。
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引用次数: 0
Artificial rat optimization with decision-making: A bio-inspired metaheuristic algorithm for solving the traveling salesman problem 带决策的人工鼠优化:求解旅行商问题的仿生元启发式算法
Q1 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2023-10-15 DOI: 10.31181/dmame622023644
Toufik Mzili, I. Mzili, M. E. Riffi
In this paper, we present the Rat Swarm Optimization with Decision Making (HDRSO), a hybrid metaheuristic algorithm inspired by the hunting behavior of rats, for solving the Traveling Salesman Problem (TSP). The TSP is a well-known NP-hard combinatorial optimization problem with important applications in transportation, logistics, and manufacturing systems. To improve the search process and avoid getting stuck in local minima, we added a natural mechanism to HDRSO through the incorporation of crossover and selection operators. In addition, we applied 2-opt and 3-opt heuristics to the best solution found by HDRSO. The performance of HDRSO was evaluated on a set of symmetric instances from the TSPLIB library and the results demonstrated that HDRSO is a competitive and robust method for solving the TSP, achieving better results than the best-known solutions in some cases.
本文提出了一种基于大鼠狩猎行为的混合元启发式算法——鼠群优化决策算法(HDRSO),用于求解旅行商问题(TSP)。TSP是一个众所周知的NP-hard组合优化问题,在运输、物流和制造系统中有着重要的应用。为了改进搜索过程,避免陷入局部极小值,我们在HDRSO中加入了交叉和选择算子的自然机制。此外,我们对HDRSO找到的最优解应用了2-opt和3-opt启发式算法。在一组来自TSPLIB库的对称实例上对HDRSO的性能进行了评估,结果表明HDRSO是一种具有竞争力和鲁棒性的解决TSP问题的方法,在某些情况下比知名的解决方案取得了更好的结果。
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引用次数: 1
An efficient stopping rule for mitigating risk factors: Applications in pharmaceutical and generalized green supply chains 降低风险因素的有效停止规则:在制药和广义绿色供应链中的应用
Q1 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2023-10-06 DOI: 10.31181/dmame622023677
Avi Herbon, Dmitry Tsadikovich
Risks in supply chains are first identified and then prioritized based on their probability of occurrence and their impact. Attempts to mitigate risks in the absence of complete and accurate information about their likelihood and impact may constitute a significant waste of resources. Since the resources available for risk management are usually limited, firms need to know how to allocate these funds appropriately. That is, a strategy is required to determine which risks are a priority in terms of acquiring complete and accurate information. We develop a model that incorporates two conflicting terms to address this issue. The first, captured by entropy, measures the resources wasted due to risk factors for which there is inaccurate information about the probability of occurrence and impact. The second is the cost associated with the efforts expended in collecting accurate information about risk factors. To solve the model, we propose a stopping-rule algorithm. Its efficiency is verified using data gathered from a real-world pharmaceutical and generalized green supply chains. Numerous computerized experiments show that the stopping-rule algorithm prevails over the widely used risk-management Pareto rule, and that the algorithm is able to achieve the optimal solution in 94% of investigated cases.
首先识别供应链中的风险,然后根据其发生的可能性和影响对其进行优先排序。在没有关于其可能性和影响的完整和准确信息的情况下试图减轻风险,可能会造成资源的严重浪费。由于可用于风险管理的资源通常是有限的,公司需要知道如何适当地分配这些资金。也就是说,就获取完整和准确的信息而言,需要一个策略来确定哪些风险是优先考虑的。我们开发了一个包含两个相互冲突的术语的模型来解决这个问题。第一个是由熵捕获的,它衡量由于风险因素而浪费的资源,这些风险因素关于发生和影响的概率的信息不准确。第二个是与收集有关风险因素的准确信息所花费的努力相关的成本。为了求解该模型,我们提出了一种停止规则算法。它的效率是通过从现实世界的制药和广义绿色供应链收集的数据来验证的。大量计算机实验表明,停止规则算法优于广泛使用的风险管理帕累托规则,并且该算法能够在94%的调查案例中获得最优解。
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引用次数: 0
Characteristics of consumer segments based on perceptions of the impact of digitalisation 基于对数字化影响认知的消费者群体特征
Q1 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2023-09-27 DOI: 10.31181/dmame622023940
Mónika Garai-Fodor, László Vasa, Katalin Jäckel
The focus of our research was to examine consumer perceptions of attitudes towards digitalisation. The perception of digitalisation was also analysed from a generation-specific perspective, given that the difference in values between generations is reflected in the perception of consumer trends, including the trend towards digitalisation. The primary data presented in this study are the results of a quantitative data collection was carried out among Hungarian consumers using an arbitrary sampling procedure. A pre-tested, standardised online questionnaire survey was used, which resulted in 3,515 evaluable questionnaires. Descriptive statistics, bivariate and multivariate analyses were used to process the quantitative results and test the hypotheses. As a result of the study, we were able to characterise three significantly distinguishable target groups using a K-means clustering procedure: the group of "consumers sceptical about digitalisation", the segment of "Accepting consumers who feel the differentiating effects of digitalisation", and The 'positive digital consumer'. We have been able to demonstrate that the perception of digitalisation can be used as a segmentation criterion, and we can also statistically demonstrate that the segments according to the perception of digitalisation carry generation-specific elements. In our opinion the results may help to increase consumer acceptance of digitalisation processes and related technologies. A limitation of the research is that, the results are valid for the population under consideration, cannot be considered representative. We believe that characterising the individual segments can help to differentiate the education process according to the awareness and attitudes of each consumer.
我们研究的重点是调查消费者对数字化态度的看法。考虑到代际价值观的差异反映在对消费趋势的看法上,包括对数字化趋势的看法,我们还从特定世代的角度分析了对数字化的看法。本研究中提出的主要数据是在匈牙利消费者中使用任意抽样程序进行定量数据收集的结果。采用预先测试的标准化在线问卷调查,共收到3515份可评估问卷。采用描述性统计、双变量和多变量分析来处理定量结果和检验假设。作为研究的结果,我们能够使用K-means聚类程序来描述三个显著可区分的目标群体:“对数字化持怀疑态度的消费者”群体,“接受感受到数字化差异化影响的消费者”群体,以及“积极的数字化消费者”群体。我们已经能够证明,数字化的感知可以用作分割标准,我们也可以统计地证明,根据数字化感知的细分带有世代特定的元素。在我们看来,研究结果可能有助于提高消费者对数字化流程和相关技术的接受程度。这项研究的一个局限性是,研究结果对所考虑的人群是有效的,不能被认为具有代表性。我们认为,根据每个消费者的意识和态度,对各个细分市场进行特征化可以帮助区分教育过程。
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引用次数: 0
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Decision Making Applications in Management and Engineering
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