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Research on modeling method of organizational decision-making behavior based on group social network 基于群体社会网络的组织决策行为建模方法研究
Yie-Zhuang Tian, Bo Li, Duoyong Sun, Renqi Zhu
As an important part of strategic analysis and strategic evaluation, the analysis of organizational decision-making behavior is widely used in strategic research and application fields such as politics, military affairs and economy. At present, the research on organizational decision-making behavior based on organizational theory mainly involves the fields of social network analysis, group decision making and multi-stage decision making. Because of the many advantages of social network to organization modeling, decision behavior analysis based on social network has been paid more and more attention by researchers. Based on organizational theory and social network analysis method, this paper explores the modeling and analysis methods of organizational decision-making behavior through the study of organizational structure, decision-making mode, decision-making behavior analysis and other related issues, so as to provide methodological support for the strategic analysis and research of relevant departments in the political, military, economic and other fields.
组织决策行为分析作为战略分析和战略评价的重要组成部分,广泛应用于政治、军事、经济等战略研究和应用领域。目前,基于组织理论的组织决策行为研究主要涉及社会网络分析、群体决策和多阶段决策等领域。由于社会网络对组织建模的诸多优势,基于社会网络的决策行为分析越来越受到研究者的重视。本文以组织理论和社会网络分析方法为基础,通过对组织结构、决策模式、决策行为分析等相关问题的研究,探索组织决策行为的建模和分析方法,为政治、军事、经济等领域相关部门的战略分析和研究提供方法论支持。
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引用次数: 0
Quality evaluation of government epidemic data openness based on cloud model and PSR theory 基于云模型和PSR理论的政府疫情数据开放质量评价
Liu Yang, Jian Wang, Zebin Zhao
Government data opening has become one of the key measures of government emergency management in the big data era. Investigating deeply the quality of government data opening under public health emergencies can help grasp the current situation and provide experience for future work. This paper evaluates the 31 regional health commissions’ epidemic data openness using a framework based on PSR theory in China, and the cloud model was used to evaluate the quality of government data opening at the national and regional levels. The comprehensive evaluation level of government data openness under the epidemic situation in China was ordinary level and the level of data openness varies greatly among regions. Data state is the main factor restricting the level of data openness.
政府数据开放已成为大数据时代政府应急管理的关键措施之一。深入调查突发公共卫生事件下政府数据开放的质量,有助于把握现状,为今后的工作提供经验。本文采用基于PSR理论的框架对中国31个地区卫生健康委员会的疫情数据开放进行了评估,并采用云模型对国家和地区两个层面的政府数据开放质量进行了评估。疫情下中国政府数据开放综合评价水平为一般水平,各地区数据开放水平差异较大。数据状态是制约数据开放水平的主要因素。
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引用次数: 0
Research and its Theoretical Framework on Local Financial Risks 地方金融风险研究及其理论框架
Yan Yuan, Jialan Ma
Abstract: This paper takes the local financial risk as the research object. The prevention of financial risks is a hot issue concerned by the Local Government Regulator, but from the current literature research, quantitative research is relatively rare. Based on the overview of local financial risk research, this paper constructs an analytical framework including the theoretical basis of local financial risk, multi-dimensional measurement of local financial risk, influencing factors of local financial risk and its economic effects, and provides theoretical support for effectively preventing local financial risk. Based on the above theoretical framework, this paper puts forward the research prospect of local financial risk.
摘要:本文以地方财政风险为研究对象。金融风险防范是地方政府监管部门关注的热点问题,但从目前的文献研究来看,定量研究相对较少。本文在概述地方财政风险研究概况的基础上,构建了包括地方财政风险理论基础、地方财政风险多维测度、地方财政风险影响因素及其经济效应的分析框架,为有效防范地方财政风险提供理论支撑。基于上述理论框架,本文提出了地方财政风险的研究前景。
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引用次数: 0
Orbital Equation Smoothing based Trajectory and Impact Point Prediction 基于轨道方程平滑的轨迹和弹着点预测
Shiyin Zhu, Yu Cheng, Lijun Liu
Trajectory prediction and impact point prediction demand for high velocity accuracy of the initial prediction point, to obtain prediction precision benefit. Non-cooperative radars are usually incapable of velocity measurement. The velocity is often computed by polynomial smoothing differentiation and Kalman filtering based on the measured data, of which the accuracy is low. An orbital equation smoothing based prediction is proposed in this paper, so as to improve the precision of trajectory prediction and impact point prediction. The experimental results shows that the method can eliminate the influence of random errors and provide stable and highly accurate prediction. The method is demonstrated to perform well in practical aircraft orbit prediction and landing point prediction.
弹道预测和弹着点预测对初始预测点的速度精度要求较高,以获得预测精度效益。非合作雷达通常无法进行速度测量。速度的计算通常采用多项式平滑微分法和卡尔曼滤波法,其精度较低。为了提高弹道预测和弹着点预测的精度,提出了一种基于轨道方程平滑的预测方法。实验结果表明,该方法可以消除随机误差的影响,提供稳定、高精度的预测。该方法在实际飞行器轨道预测和着陆点预测中取得了较好的效果。
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引用次数: 0
Data Value-added Chain and Competitive Application for Digital Platform 数字平台的数据价值链与竞争性应用
Yaxin Han, Huamin Li
Compared with traditional enterprises, the value-added mode of digital platform enterprises is quite different. Data value-added chain of digital platform enables platform enterprises to get excess profits from virtual data value to real currency. This paper gives a kind of formal description and a pross model to the data value-added chain of digital platform, clarifies the value-added process for digital platform enterprises based on data value-added chain, explains the mechanism of multi-sided market effects in digital platform such as installed base, cross network effect, competition effect, etc. The results show the key competitive behaviors of digital platform enterprises is acting on the data value-added chain for example, algorithm, user allowance and investment in platform. Then, collections of competitive strategies are given to different types of digital platform enterprises at different stage in the life cycle.
与传统企业相比,数字平台企业的增值模式有很大的不同。数字平台的数据增值链使平台企业能够从虚拟数据价值到真实货币获得超额利润。本文对数字平台的数据增值链进行了形式化描述和过程模型,阐明了基于数据增值链的数字平台企业的增值过程,解释了数字平台中安装基数、跨网络效应、竞争效应等多方市场效应的产生机制。结果表明,数字平台企业的关键竞争行为表现在算法、用户补贴和平台投入等数据价值链上。然后,针对不同类型的数字平台企业在生命周期的不同阶段,给出了竞争策略集合。
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引用次数: 0
Establishment of Multi-type Differentiated Warehouse KPI Evaluation System Based on Principal Component Analysis 基于主成分分析的多类型差异化仓库KPI评价体系的建立
He Yuan, Xu Xin
There are differences in geographical location, warehouse conditions and warehouse facilities of various types of warehouses, and the evaluation data of warehouses cannot be unified. It is difficult to evaluate the level of each warehouse uniformly, which is a challenge for warehouse management.Finding a suitable multi-type differentiated warehouse evaluation index system and timely improvement and optimization can make logistics companies better understand the actual situation of their various warehouses.In this paper, A logistics company's warehouse as the research object, through the analysis of multiple influencing factors, finally comprehensive screening storage ability, operating ability and ability to use human resources of the three factors, using principal component analysis (PCA) to analysis and calculation, obtained a type of KPI evaluation system can be applied to all warehouse, it can be used to scientifically evaluate multi-type differentiation of the warehouse.
各类仓库在地理位置、仓储条件、仓储设施等方面存在差异,仓库的评价数据无法统一。很难对各个仓库的水平进行统一的评价,这对仓库管理是一个挑战。寻找合适的多类型差异化仓库评价指标体系,并及时进行改进和优化,可以使物流企业更好地了解其各类仓库的实际情况。本文以A物流公司的仓库为研究对象,通过对多个影响因素的分析,最后综合筛选仓储能力、运营能力和人力资源利用能力这三个因素,运用主成分分析法(PCA)进行分析计算,得到了一种可适用于所有仓库的类型KPI评价体系,它可用于科学地评价多类型差异化的仓库。
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引用次数: 0
Research on Military Network Computer Purchasing Decision Based on Multi-Objective Decision 基于多目标决策的军事网络计算机采购决策研究
Dongjing Li, Bin Wang
According to the basic steps of decision analysis, this paper studies how consumers make computer purchase decisions. Through market research, from the four aspects of product quality, price, service level and personal preference, using the weighted-square method and the relative position estimation method based on estimated relative position Four computer products were analyzed for purchasing decision, and relevant conclusions were drawn.
根据决策分析的基本步骤,研究消费者如何进行电脑购买决策。通过市场调研,从产品质量、价格、服务水平和个人偏好四个方面,运用加权平方法和基于估计相对位置的相对位置估计法对四种计算机产品进行了购买决策分析,并得出了相关结论。
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引用次数: 0
Factors Influencing Stocks in the New Energy Vehicle Industry based on Multiple Linear Regression Models 基于多元线性回归模型的新能源汽车行业股票影响因素分析
Yawen Zhou
With the promulgation of the Paris Peace Treaty, governments are paying more and more attention to environmental protection, and the world has put forward higher requirements for energy conservation. New energy becomes a focal spot, and more people are willing to invest in the new energy industry. Therefore, the question “which company is the worthiest to invest?” bother every investor. BYD, for example, has been China's new energy vehicle sales champion for four consecutive years. From January to October this year, the company's sales of new energy vehicles reached 172,000 units, increasing its market share to 20 percent and continuing to rank first. The Tesla Model 3, which is owned by Tesla Motors, has sold 158,925 units in the United States, occupying almost half of the sales of new energy vehicles in the United States. This paper takes Tesla as an example to study the influencing factors of new energy stocks, and this paper selects the closing price of Tesla from 2017 to the end of 2021. It studies the corresponding daily USD to RMB exchange rate, Dow Jones index, P/E ratio and CPI data for analysis, using S&P linear regression. In conclusion, the stoke of Tesla is most sensitive to Dow Jones and least sensitive to exchange rate. New energy is an important area of future energy development in the world and the one with the greatest potential. The trend of new energy stocks reflects the stockholders' expectation and bullishness on the future prospect of new energy.
随着《巴黎和平条约》的颁布,各国政府越来越重视环境保护,世界对节能提出了更高的要求。新能源成为焦点,更多人愿意投资新能源产业。因此,“哪家公司最值得投资?”困扰着每一个投资者。例如,比亚迪已连续四年成为中国新能源汽车销量冠军。今年1月至10月,该公司新能源汽车销量达到17.2万辆,市场份额增加到20%,继续排名第一。特斯拉汽车公司旗下的特斯拉Model 3在美国已经售出了158,925辆,几乎占据了美国新能源汽车销量的一半。本文以特斯拉为例,研究新能源股的影响因素,选取特斯拉2017年至2021年底的收盘价。采用标准普尔线性回归,研究相应的美元兑人民币汇率、道琼斯指数、市盈率和CPI数据进行分析。综上所述,特斯拉的股票对道琼斯最敏感,对汇率最不敏感。新能源是未来世界能源发展的重要领域,也是最具发展潜力的领域。新能源股的走势反映了股东对新能源未来前景的期待和看好。
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引用次数: 0
Study on the Impact of Big Data Technology on Green Logistics Performance of Manufacturing Enterprises 大数据技术对制造企业绿色物流绩效的影响研究
Lan Wang, Li Yang
In the context of carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals, more and more enterprises realize the importance of green development for enterprise transformation and sustainable development. We explore the impact of big data technology on green logistics performance of manufacturing enterprises by introducing supply chain integration as a mediator variable. We select annual reports of 696 manufacturing company in Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets, and quantify the level of big data technology using the method of content analysis. The results show that (1) big data technology can positively affect the green logistics performance; (2) supply chain integration can significantly positively affect the green logistics performance; (3) supply chain integration plays a mediation role in the relationship of big data technology and green logistics performance. It confirms the positive impact of big data technology on green logistics performance and enriches relevant research on green logistics performance.
在碳调峰和碳中和目标的背景下,越来越多的企业意识到绿色发展对企业转型和可持续发展的重要性。本文通过引入供应链整合作为中介变量,探讨大数据技术对制造企业绿色物流绩效的影响。选取沪深两市696家制造业企业年报,运用内容分析法对大数据技术水平进行量化。结果表明:(1)大数据技术对绿色物流绩效具有正向影响;(2)供应链整合对绿色物流绩效有显著正向影响;(3)供应链整合在大数据技术与绿色物流绩效的关系中起中介作用。证实了大数据技术对绿色物流绩效的积极影响,丰富了绿色物流绩效的相关研究。
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引用次数: 0
China's Green Development Path Based on The Belt and Road Initiative 基于“一带一路”倡议的中国绿色发展道路
M. Fan
The Green Silk Road is an important part of the "Belt and Road" construction, which is highly in line with the green development needs of the "Belt and Road" countries, and is fully compatible with the United Nations 2030 Sustainable Development Goals in addressing climate change, protecting biodiversity, and promoting green investment and financing. Through the construction of the "Belt and Road" green development policy dialogue and communication platform, environmental knowledge and information platform, technology exchange and transfer platform, the construction of the Green Silk Road has achieved pragmatic results. China has taken the initiative in the global environmental governance system and contributed Chinese wisdom and Chinese solutions to promote global sustainable development. Looking forward to the future, the Green Silk Road will continue to support the green and low-carbon recovery of the joint construction of the country, deeply integrate into the global environmental governance system, and work together to build the country to actively respond to climate change and serve the high-quality development of the "Belt and Road". In the eight years since the Belt and Road Initiative was proposed, China has always adhered to the concept of green development in the practice of the "Belt and Road" construction, and regarded the construction of the Green Silk Road as an important measure to promote the implementation of the United Nations 2030 Sustainable Development Goals by the "Belt and Road" countries.
绿色丝绸之路是“一带一路”建设的重要组成部分,高度符合“一带一路”国家绿色发展需求,在应对气候变化、保护生物多样性、促进绿色投融资等方面与联合国2030年可持续发展目标完全契合。通过建设“一带一路”绿色发展政策对话与沟通平台、环境知识与信息平台、技术交流与转让平台,绿色丝绸之路建设取得了务实成果。中国主动参与全球环境治理体系建设,为促进全球可持续发展贡献中国智慧和中国方案。展望未来,绿色丝绸之路将继续支持国家绿色低碳复苏共建,深度融入全球环境治理体系,携手建设积极应对气候变化的国家,服务“一带一路”高质量发展。“一带一路”倡议提出8年来,中国在“一带一路”建设实践中始终坚持绿色发展理念,将建设绿色丝绸之路作为推动“一带一路”国家落实联合国2030年可持续发展目标的重要举措。
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引用次数: 0
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Proceedings of the 5th International Conference on Information Management and Management Science
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