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Impact of external and internal factors on China’s economic growth 外部和内部因素对中国经济增长的影响
Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.15826/recon.2022.8.2.008
B. Kheyfets, V. Chernova
Relevance. China is the dominant trading partner for many countries of the world. The new plan for the Chinese economic development in 2021–2035, based on the “double circulation” model, has become the subject of vigorous debate. Research objective. The study aims to identify China’s economic growth drivers before and during the COVID-19 pandemic and evaluate the impact of external and internal factors on China’s economic growth, taking into account future strategic changes. Data and methods. To identify the growth factors of GDP, we used a factor model based on GDP components by spending and the data provided by the State Bureau of Statistics of the PRC for 2007–2020. Results. Over the past decade, the contribution of GDP components that shape domestic demand has been steadily reduced. The decline in the share of net exports in GDP growth was replaced by the fluctuations in the external and domestic demand shares in the subsequent periods. The evaluations show that in 2020, 1% of 3.56% of China’s economic growth in GDP (in national currency) was provided by net exports and 2% of 3.56% was provided by an increase in gross capital formation. Conclusions. The increase in the contribution of net exports to GDP growth was caused not only by the growth of exports with a slowdown in the growth of imports but also by the redistribution of the shares of all factors and primarily by the sharp reduction in the share of the contribution of household expenditures to consumption. To promote domestic circulation through personal consumption, it is necessary for China to lower the savings rate, solve the problem of income inequality, and increase disposable income per capita.
的相关性。中国是世界上许多国家的主要贸易伙伴。以“双循环”模式为基础的中国经济发展新规划(2021-2035)已成为热议的话题。研究目标。该研究旨在识别新冠肺炎大流行之前和期间中国经济增长的驱动因素,并在考虑未来战略变化的情况下评估外部和内部因素对中国经济增长的影响。数据和方法。为了确定GDP的增长因素,我们使用了基于支出的GDP成分和中国国家统计局提供的2007-2020年数据的因素模型。结果。在过去十年中,影响国内需求的GDP组成部分的贡献一直在稳步下降。净出口在国内总产值增长中所占份额的下降在随后的时期被外部和国内需求所占份额的波动所取代。评估表明,到2020年,中国经济增长3.56%的GDP(以本国货币计算)中有1%是由净出口提供的,3.56%的增长中有2%是由资本形成总额的增长提供的。结论。净出口对国内总产值增长的贡献之所以增加,不仅是因为出口增长而进口增长放缓,而且还因为所有因素份额的重新分配,主要是因为家庭支出对消费的贡献份额急剧减少。中国要通过个人消费促进国内流通,就必须降低储蓄率,解决收入不平等问题,提高人均可支配收入。
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引用次数: 1
The impact of economic sanctions on the industrial regions of Russia (the case of Sverdlovsk region) 经济制裁对俄罗斯工业地区的影响(以斯维尔德洛夫斯克地区为例)
Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.15826/recon.2022.8.3.023
A. Stepanov, A. Burnasov, G. N. Valiakhmetova, M. Ilyushkina
Relevance. The turbulence of the global economy and pressure from sanctions have become a serious challenge for the Russian economy. Industry is hit the hardest as it is involved in the international division of labor and creation of value chains, unlike other branches of material production. It is, therefore, necessary to conduct in-depth research on these processes in order to provide Russian industrial regions with effective strategies to adapt to this new geo-economic reality. Research objective is to identify trends and prospects for the development of Russian industrial regions in the context of international sanctions pressure. A particular focus is made on the case of Sverdlovsk region, which has a high concentration of mining and manufacturing enterprises. Data and methods. The study applies a systematic approach by using methods of structural, statistical and comparative analysis. Statistical materials of relevant ministries and departments of the government of Sverdlovsk region as well as the data from international databases comprise the empirical basis of the study. The results of the survey of 50 managers from 12 logistics companies of Sverdlovsk region have been analyzed as well. The survey was carried out from January, 2022 to August, 2022. Results. The study has shown the complex effects of the international economic sanctions on the trajectory and dynamics of the development of the industrial sector in Russia. The study describes the scenarios of the industrial development of Sverdlovsk region involved in the process of import substitution and transformation of logistics and value chains. Conclusions. These findings can be of interest to policy-makers on the national and regional levels as well as businesses involved in import substitution programs.
的相关性。全球经济动荡和制裁压力已成为俄罗斯经济面临的严峻挑战。与其他物质生产部门不同,工业参与了国际劳动分工和价值链的创造,因此受到的打击最大。因此,有必要对这些过程进行深入研究,以便为俄罗斯工业区提供有效的战略,以适应这种新的地缘经济现实。研究目的是确定在国际制裁压力背景下俄罗斯工业区发展的趋势和前景。特别着重于斯维尔德洛夫斯克地区的情况,该地区高度集中了采矿和制造企业。数据和方法。本研究采用结构分析、统计分析和比较分析等系统方法。斯维尔德洛夫斯克州政府相关部委的统计资料以及来自国际数据库的数据构成了本研究的实证基础。对斯维尔德洛夫斯克地区12家物流公司的50名管理人员的调查结果也进行了分析。该调查于2022年1月至2022年8月进行。结果。这项研究表明,国际经济制裁对俄罗斯工业部门发展的轨迹和动力产生了复杂的影响。该研究描述了斯维尔德洛夫斯克地区在进口替代和物流和价值链转型过程中所涉及的工业发展情景。结论。这些发现对国家和地区层面的政策制定者以及参与进口替代计划的企业都很有意义。
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引用次数: 2
Challenges of anti-Russia sanctions for metals and mining enterprises in Kazakhstan 哈萨克斯坦金属和矿业企业面临反俄制裁的挑战
Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.15826/recon.2022.8.3.019
L. Bozhko
Relevance: The new challenges for Kazakhstan's economy have emerged in the aftermath of current geopolitical tensions, especially after Kazakhstani businesses have found themselves under the threat of the US and EU secondary sanctions. The industries of the export-oriented metals and mining sector were hit the hardest. Kazakhstani enterprises in their attempts to navigate the sometimes contradictory trends in world trade responded in a variety of ambivalent ways. This situation clearly requires more research. While the lack of large data volumes makes qualitative diagnostics and scenario-based forecasting extremely difficult, the proposed approach may prove to be a viable solution. Research objective: This study aims to identify and describe the main models of behaviour demonstrated by Kazakhstani companies that seek to manage the risk of secondary sanctions and mitigate their export losses. Data and methods: To study the responses of Kazakhstani companies to the risk of secondary sanctions, the case study method was used, which provides us with a broader view on the companies of different sizes and territorial presence. The cases are then systematized to identify the key types of corporate responses to secondary sanctions. The study relies on the observations and data gathered from the documentations of Kazakhstani companies, media publications, reviews, the List of Items Prohibited for Export and Import in Russia and the Republic of Belarus Pursuant to Sanctions, and the normative legal acts of the Republic of Kazakhstan. Results: The study has brought to light the models of behaviour demonstrated by large enterprises and junior companies in Kazakhstan's metals and mining industry. Seeking to minimize the risk of secondary sanctions, Kazakhstani enterprises choose different behaviour models. A comprehensive in-depth content-analysis has revealed the basic trends in the development of Kazakhstan's metals and mining sector. Conclusions: The analysis of the resulting portfolio of cases has shown differences in the responses of large companies affiliated with TNCs and small and medium-sized juniors. The study also brought to light the sanctions' negative impact on the development of Kazakhstan's economy.
相关性:哈萨克斯坦经济面临的新挑战是在当前地缘政治紧张局势之后出现的,特别是在哈萨克斯坦企业发现自己受到美国和欧盟二级制裁的威胁之后。以出口为导向的金属工业和采矿业受到的打击最为严重。哈萨克斯坦企业在试图驾驭世界贸易中有时相互矛盾的趋势时,以各种矛盾的方式做出了回应。这种情况显然需要更多的研究。虽然缺乏大数据量使得定性诊断和基于场景的预测非常困难,但提议的方法可能被证明是一种可行的解决方案。研究目的:本研究旨在确定和描述哈萨克斯坦公司在寻求管理二次制裁风险和减轻其出口损失方面所表现出的主要行为模式。数据和方法:为了研究哈萨克斯坦公司对二次制裁风险的反应,我们使用了案例研究方法,这为我们提供了不同规模和地域的公司更广泛的视角。然后将这些案例系统化,以确定企业对二级制裁的主要反应类型。这项研究依据的观察和数据来自哈萨克斯坦公司的文件、媒体出版物、评论、俄罗斯和白俄罗斯共和国因制裁而禁止进出口的物品清单以及哈萨克斯坦共和国的规范性法律行为。结果:该研究揭示了哈萨克斯坦金属和采矿业大企业和初级公司所表现出的行为模式。为了尽量减少二次制裁的风险,哈萨克斯坦企业选择了不同的行为模式。全面深入的内容分析揭示了哈萨克斯坦金属和采矿部门发展的基本趋势。结论:对所产生的一系列案例的分析表明,与跨国公司有关联的大公司和中小型初级公司的反应有所不同。该研究还揭示了制裁对哈萨克斯坦经济发展的负面影响。
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引用次数: 1
Territorial capital of Russian regions and its spatial organization 俄罗斯地区的领土首府及其空间组织
Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.15826/recon.2022.8.2.009
A. Suvorova
Relevance. The new challenges that exacerbate long-standing issues stimulate the Russian economic system to evolve faster and to seek greater efficiency. One of the impediments to this process, however, is the inertness of the spatial organization of the national economy. There is a need for more detailed research on the characteristics of the national economic space for evidence-based policy-making in the sphere of spatial development. Research objective The study aims to describe the organization of Russia's economic space by focusing on the patterns of localization of its territorial capital. Data and methods. The study uses official statistical data on Russian regions provided by the Federal State Statistics Service (Rosstat) and a set of indicators of regional inequality. Methodologically, the study relies on the methods of spatial autocorrelation analysis and cartographic analysis. Results. It has been shown that there are significant regional disparities combined with the high level of polarization of the Russian space. There is a scarcity of asset concentration areas, which are mostly located in the country's western part, leaving the eastern part lagging behind and limiting its potential. The territories that are struggling the most are those devoid of resources and located remotely from the areas of asset concentration. The patterns of geographic distribution of gross regional product are to a great extent similar to the patterns of distribution of production capital, which may point to the existence of factors leading to regional divergence. The distribution of creative capital in Russia is far from optimal, which prevents it from becoming a major driver behind the country's economic growth. Conclusions. Policy-makers need to take into account the patterns of asset distribution in devising measures for enhancing territorial capital and setting priorities for the country's economic spatial development.
的相关性。新的挑战加剧了长期存在的问题,促使俄罗斯经济体系更快地发展并寻求更高的效率。然而,这一进程的障碍之一是国民经济空间组织的惰性。有必要对国家经济空间的特征进行更详细的研究,以便在空间发展领域进行循证决策。本研究旨在通过关注俄罗斯领土资本的本土化模式来描述俄罗斯经济空间的组织。数据和方法。这项研究使用了俄罗斯联邦国家统计局(Rosstat)提供的有关俄罗斯各地区的官方统计数据和一套地区不平等指标。在方法上,采用空间自相关分析和地图学分析方法。结果。研究表明,俄罗斯空间存在显著的区域差异,同时存在高度的两极分化。资产集中区稀缺,且多集中在西部地区,东部地区相对落后,潜力有限。最困难的地区是那些缺乏资源且远离资产集中地区的地区。区域生产总值的地理分布格局在很大程度上与生产资本的分布格局相似,这可能表明存在导致区域差异的因素。创造性资本在俄罗斯的分布远非最佳状态,这阻碍了它成为该国经济增长背后的主要推动力。结论。决策者在制定增强领土资本的措施和确定国家经济空间发展的优先事项时,需要考虑到资产分配的模式。
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引用次数: 2
Reconsidering contemporary classifications of sanctions in the light of the Russia sanctions regime 根据俄罗斯制裁制度重新考虑当代制裁分类
Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.15826/recon.2022.8.3.016
A. A. Pobedin
Relevance In 2022, Russia has been facing unprecedented sanctions pressure, which has created a need to reconsider the established classifications of sanctions. As the new challenges arise, one has to deploy not only the current analytical resources but rely on the integrated conceptualization of earlier cases. Research objective. The study aims to describe and test methodology for analysis of sanctions regimes by using the current data on the sanctions against Russia. Data and method. The study relies on the methods of case study and statistical analysis and uses the data provided by Rosstat, Central Bank of the Russian Federation, Castellum.AI, UNCTAD. Results. The study proposes a base model of sanctions which combines two dimensions – the areas of foreign economic activity impacted by the restrictions and the factors that determine the sanctions' influence on the target country. It is shown how the proposed model can be adjusted for the analysis of the Russia sanctions regime. Conclusions. The sanctions put considerable pressure on Russia's economy because by the nature of their impact and scope they far exceed the scale of the restrictions that were previously applied to other countries. To withstand the sanctions pressure, a serious revision and reorganization of the country's foreign trade structure and domestic economic policy is necessary.
2022年,俄罗斯面临着前所未有的制裁压力,有必要重新考虑既定的制裁类别。随着新挑战的出现,人们不仅要部署当前的分析资源,还要依赖于早期案例的综合概念化。研究目标。本研究的目的是描述和测试分析制裁制度的方法,利用目前对俄罗斯的制裁数据。数据和方法。本研究采用案例研究和统计分析的方法,使用俄罗斯联邦中央银行(Rosstat)、卡斯泰勒姆(Castellum)提供的数据。人工智能,联合国贸发会议。结果。该研究提出了一个制裁的基本模型,它结合了两个方面- -受限制影响的外国经济活动领域和决定制裁对目标国家影响的因素。本文展示了如何根据对俄罗斯制裁制度的分析对所提出的模型进行调整。结论。这些制裁给俄罗斯经济带来了相当大的压力,因为就其影响的性质和范围而言,它们远远超过了此前对其他国家实施的限制。为了承受制裁压力,有必要对该国的外贸结构和国内经济政策进行认真的修订和重组。
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引用次数: 0
Cloud computing: global trends and challenges for Russia in the time of sanctions 云计算:制裁时期俄罗斯的全球趋势和挑战
Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.15826/recon.2022.8.3.021
S. Balashova, Timur I. Musin
Relevance. Cloud computing brings significant benefits to economy; the speed of its adoption is crucial for emerging as well as for established businesses. In 2022, since the sanctions against Russia were introduced, the dynamically developing Russian cloud market has been dealing with new challenges, which require scholarly attention. Research Objective. The purpose of this study is to summarize the key factors that determine cloud adoption globally, identify the peculiarities of the Russian cloud market and outline the prospects for the development of cloud computing in Russia, taking into account the sanctions imposed in 2022. Data and methods. The study relies on the statistical data from global databases and market surveys. The methodological framework of the study comprises comparative analysis and scenario methods. Results. The main drivers of cloud adoption are infrastructural, economic, social and legal factors. Even though in some of these parameters Russia has achieved good results, the overall level of adoption of cloud services in the country is quite low. The Russian cloud market has a large share of local players, but the negative factor is SMEs’ reluctance to move to the cloud. Further growth in this sphere is possible, however, even if the size of the cloud market shrinks. Conclusions. The 2022 sanctions have posed a major threat to the Russian cloud market as they affected the segments of the critical IT infrastructure. However, there is likelihood that local cloud service providers might be able to substitute global providers. In many ways, it depends on the success of import substitution programs in the field of IT equipment, the policy of local providers, legislative support, and businesses’ willingness to move to the cloud.
的相关性。云计算带来显著的经济效益;对新兴企业和老牌企业来说,采用这种技术的速度至关重要。自2022年对俄罗斯实施制裁以来,动态发展的俄罗斯云市场一直在应对新的挑战,这需要学术界的关注。研究目标。本研究的目的是总结决定全球云采用的关键因素,确定俄罗斯云市场的特点,并概述俄罗斯云计算发展的前景,考虑到2022年实施的制裁。数据和方法。该研究依赖于全球数据库和市场调查的统计数据。本研究的方法论框架包括比较分析法和情景分析法。结果。云采用的主要驱动因素是基础设施、经济、社会和法律因素。尽管俄罗斯在某些方面取得了不错的成绩,但该国采用云服务的总体水平相当低。俄罗斯云市场有很大的本地企业份额,但负面因素是中小企业不愿转向云计算。然而,即使云市场的规模缩小,这一领域的进一步增长也是可能的。结论。2022年的制裁对俄罗斯云市场构成了重大威胁,因为它们影响了关键IT基础设施的各个部分。但是,本地云服务提供商有可能取代全球云服务提供商。在许多方面,这取决于it设备领域进口替代计划的成功、当地供应商的政策、立法支持以及企业迁移到云的意愿。
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引用次数: 0
FDI outflows and international trade nexus: Empirical evidence from country income groups 外国直接投资流出与国际贸易关系:来自国家收入群体的经验证据
Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.15826/recon.2022.8.4.026
O. Osabuohien-Irabor, I. Drapkin
Relevance. Outward foreign direct investment (OFDI) and international trade are traditionally viewed as key drive of economic integration and globalization. At the same time, the relationship between these phenomena is ambiguous both from theoretical and empirical points of view. This study contributes to the existing literature by analyzing the relationship between outward foreign direct investment and international trade for countries with different levels of income per capita. Research objective. This study examines the dynamic interplay between OFDI and international trade in different income groups such as low-income (LIC), low-middle income (LMIC), upper-middle income (UMIC), and high-income (HIC) groups. Data and methods. Based on World bank country income classifications, data from 161 countries are divided into LIC, LMIC, UMIC, and HIC for the period 1998-2019. The study employs the Difference (DFF-GMM) and two-step System Generalized Method of Moments (SYS-GMM) techniques to explore the OFDI-trade nexus. Results. The results are mixed and significant providing support for both complementarity and substitutive FDI. Findings suggest that OFDI and trade nexus in LIC have negative impact indicating a substitutive effect, but in other economies, the impact is significantly positive and complementary. Conclusions. Trade and OFDI nexus are substitutive in LIC, hence sound economic policy, aimed at increasing country’s international competitiveness, should be adopted. However, trade and OFDI in LMIC, UMIC and HIC economies have mutually complementary relationship that facilitates the improvement of the domestic economy. Thus, government should promote policies that sustain the benefits of OFDI and trade interactions.
的相关性。对外直接投资(OFDI)和国际贸易历来被视为经济一体化和全球化的关键驱动力。同时,从理论和实证的角度来看,这些现象之间的关系是模糊的。本研究通过分析不同人均收入水平的国家对外直接投资与国际贸易的关系,对现有文献有所贡献。研究目标。本研究考察了不同收入群体(如低收入(LIC)、中低收入(LMIC)、中高收入(UMIC)和高收入(HIC)群体)对外直接投资与国际贸易之间的动态相互作用。数据和方法。根据世界银行的国家收入分类,从1998年到2019年,161个国家的数据被分为低收入国家、低收入国家、中等收入国家和高收入国家。本研究采用差分(DFF-GMM)和两步系统广义矩量法(SYS-GMM)技术来探讨对外直接投资与贸易的关系。结果。结果是混合的和显著的,为互补性和替代性FDI提供了支持。研究结果表明,在低收入国家,对外直接投资与贸易联系具有负向影响,表明存在替代效应,但在其他经济体,其影响显著为正向互补。结论。在低收入国家中,贸易和对外直接投资的关系是替代性的,因此应采取旨在提高国家国际竞争力的健全经济政策。然而,中低收入、中低收入和高收入经济体的贸易和对外直接投资具有相互补充的关系,有利于国内经济的改善。因此,政府应促进维持对外直接投资和贸易互动利益的政策。
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引用次数: 0
Theoretical approaches to identifying creative industries 识别创意产业的理论方法
Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.15826/recon.2022.8.4.024
I. Turgel, V. Derbeneva, I. Baskakova, K. Chukavina
Relevance. The relevance of the study is determined by the growing importance of creative industries in the global economy, which necessitates the formation of common approaches to identifying and defining creative industries to make effective management decisions at the state level. The lack of a unified approach to defining the conceptual and methodological apparatus necessitates additional research on this topic. Purpose of the study. The purpose of this study is to conduct a comparative analysis of approaches to identifying creative industries that have developed in the international and domestic academic community. Data and methods. The study is based on the Scoping review method, which consists of a full analysis of the existing literature in the context of key concepts of a given area of research. The international bibliographic database Scopus was used to select publications for the review. To consider the national specifics of research, the sample was expanded to include articles from the Russian Science Citation Index (RSCI). Results. The article reviews and summarizes the existing scientific approaches to identifying creative industries, highlights the main debatable issues of terminology in the field of the creative economy. Based on a comprehensive review of the approaches of international and domestic researchers, the article presents a system of criteria for identifying creative industries, which are differentiated by types of sources, specifics, and results. The application of this system of criteria will allow us to determine the boundaries of creative industries and distinguish creative industries from the general array of economic sectors. Conclusion. Systematization of theoretical approaches to defining and identifying creative industries is a necessary condition for their further classification and evaluation. The proposed system of criteria is a synthesis of existing approaches, which makes it universal and suggests the possibility of its practical application for solving a wide range of tasks related to managerial decision-making in the field of creative economy development.
的相关性。这项研究的相关性取决于创意产业在全球经济中日益增长的重要性,这需要形成共同的方法来识别和定义创意产业,以便在国家层面上做出有效的管理决策。由于缺乏统一的方法来定义概念和方法工具,因此需要对这一主题进行进一步的研究。研究目的:本研究的目的是比较分析国际与国内学术界对创意产业的认定方法。数据和方法。该研究基于范围审查方法,该方法包括在给定研究领域的关键概念背景下对现有文献进行全面分析。使用国际书目数据库Scopus选择出版物进行审查。考虑到研究的国家特殊性,样本被扩大到包括来自俄罗斯科学引文索引(RSCI)的文章。结果。文章回顾和总结了现有的识别创意产业的科学方法,强调了创意经济领域术语的主要争议问题。本文在全面回顾国内外研究方法的基础上,提出了一套识别创意产业的标准体系,并根据来源类型、具体内容和结果进行了区分。这套标准体系的应用将使我们能够确定创意产业的界限,并将创意产业与一般的经济部门区分开来。结论。定义和识别创意产业的理论方法的系统化是进一步分类和评价创意产业的必要条件。拟议的标准系统是现有方法的综合,这使它具有普遍性,并表明它有可能实际应用于解决与创造经济发展领域的管理决策有关的广泛任务。
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引用次数: 4
Sanctions in international politics: Expectations and reality 国际政治中的制裁:期望与现实
Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.15826/recon.2022.8.3.015
I. Turgel
Sanctions have a long history, which spans over two thousand years. In fact, the first recorded cases of sanctions go as far back as ancient Greece. In the Middle Ages, such measures were formalized in legislation and were called repressalia. Under their current name, sanctions came to be known after World War I: the power to deploy sanctions was described in the League of Nations' Covenant. After the establishment of the United Nations, such measures were included into the Chapter VII of the UN Charter. Traditionally, sanctions are seen as a foreign policy tool falling between diplomacy and military force and applied in response to the undesirable actions of a certain state. Unlike diplomatic intervention efforts, sanctions have a more pronounced economic effect and are seen as more likely to bring the desired change in the target state's behaviour on the international arena. Unlike military force, sanctions are a less costly alternative and they also carry less risk of further escalation of the conflict. Lately, the topic of international sanctions has gained much urgency worldwide and has been actively discussed in the academic circles. The debates mostly centre around the impact of sanctions on the target's economy and their appropriateness as a foreign policy tool. There is, however, a perceived shortage of studies providing a comprehensive analysis of sanctions' impact on the regional, national and international levels as well as the specific tools of sanction policy and their effectiveness. More inquiry is needed into the challenges faced by target countries as well as the whole international community in relation to sanctions. The papers included in this special issue can be divided into three groups. The first group deals with the theory and methodology of sanctions studies. A.A.Pobedin in his paper 'Reconsidering Contemporary Classifications of Sanctions in the Light of the Russia Sanctions Regime' systematizes the approaches to the classification of international economic sanctions and proposes a qualitative model that can be used to examine specific sanctions regimes. The second group of studies includes the papers analyzing specific sanctions episodes. Special attention is given to comparative analysis of sanctions in different countries. I.V.Lazanyuk and D.Mambu Diu investigate the development of the Angolan economy under the pressure of sanctions. The authors focus on the role and mechanisms of the sanctions adopted by Western countries against Angola and some other African states. O.S.Sukharev and E.N.Voronchikhina compare the development of Iran and Russia during their respective sanctions episodes by looking at the dynamics of each country's macro-indicators. L.L.Bozhko in her paper 'Challenges of Anti-Russia Sanctions for Metals and Mining Enterprises in Kazakhstan' considers the problem from the perspective of Kazakhstan, which is not targeted by sanctions but is nevertheless affected by them because of its close trade ties wi
制裁有着悠久的历史,跨越了两千多年。事实上,最早有记录的制裁案例可以追溯到古希腊。在中世纪,这些措施被正式写入立法,并被称为压制。在第一次世界大战后,制裁以其现在的名称为人所知:实施制裁的权力在《国际联盟公约》中得到了描述。联合国成立后,这些措施被纳入《联合国宪章》第七章。传统上,制裁被视为介于外交和军事力量之间的外交政策工具,用于应对某个国家的不良行为。与外交干预努力不同,制裁具有更明显的经济效果,被视为更有可能在国际舞台上为目标国的行为带来预期的变化。与军事力量不同,制裁是一种成本较低的替代方案,而且冲突进一步升级的风险也较小。近年来,国际制裁问题在世界范围内日益紧迫,学术界也在积极讨论。辩论主要围绕制裁对目标国家经济的影响,以及制裁作为外交政策工具的适宜性展开。但是,人们认为缺乏对制裁在区域、国家和国际各级的影响以及制裁政策的具体工具及其效力进行全面分析的研究。需要对目标国家以及整个国际社会在制裁方面面临的挑战进行更多的调查。本期特刊收录的论文可分为三组。第一组论述制裁研究的理论和方法。A.A.Pobedin在他的论文《根据俄罗斯制裁制度重新考虑当代制裁分类》中系统化了国际经济制裁的分类方法,并提出了一个可用于审查具体制裁制度的定性模型。第二组研究包括分析具体制裁事件的论文。特别注意对不同国家的制裁进行比较分析。I.V.Lazanyuk和D.Mambu Diu调查了在制裁压力下安哥拉经济的发展。作者着重分析了西方国家对安哥拉和其他一些非洲国家实施制裁的作用和机制。O.S.Sukharev和E.N.Voronchikhina通过观察各自国家宏观指标的动态,比较了伊朗和俄罗斯在各自制裁时期的发展。L.L.Bozhko在她的论文《反俄制裁对哈萨克斯坦金属和矿业企业的挑战》中从哈萨克斯坦的角度考虑了这个问题,哈萨克斯坦不是制裁的目标,但由于与俄罗斯的密切贸易关系,哈萨克斯坦也受到了制裁的影响。该研究旨在确定和描述哈萨克斯坦公司为避免二次制裁风险而使用的战略和行为模式。第三组包括讨论制裁对俄罗斯特定经济部门和地区影响的文章。I.S.Belik、N.V.Starodubets、A.I.Yachmeneva和K.A. Prokopov估计了由于欧盟引入碳边界调整机制和制裁压力,俄罗斯金属出口商可能遭受的损失。S.A.Balashova和t.m asin分析了制裁下俄罗斯云计算市场的问题和前景。由于市场的进一步动态充满了与关键驱动因素的行为和可能引入的新制裁有关的不确定性,因此为俄罗斯云市场的发展和云技术的实施建立了几种情景。E.A.扎哈尔丘克考虑了俄罗斯最大的石油和天然气地区亚马尔-涅涅茨自治区在制裁下的三种经济发展情况。这篇文章估计了制裁对亚马尔特定地区的影响,特别是对北极地区新碳氢化合物矿床的开发。m.y.i ilyushkina, A.V.Stepanov, G.N.Valiakhmetova和a.s.b arnasov描述了制裁下俄罗斯工业区的发展趋势和前景。他们关注的是斯维尔德洛夫斯克地区的情况,该地区高度集中了采矿和制造业(重型工程)企业。
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引用次数: 0
Trade credit promotes industrial growth during the COVID-19 pandemic: Evidence from the textile sector of Pakistan 2019冠状病毒病大流行期间贸易信贷促进工业增长:来自巴基斯坦纺织部门的证据
Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.15826/recon.2022.8.1.006
F. Shah, Yumin Liu, Y. Shah, Fadia Shah
Relevance. The rapid spread of COVID-19 around the world is disastrous to low-income countries. The pandemic was a serious threat to developing countries. In the case of Pakistan's textile industry, small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) have been hit hard. Importantly, the textile sector is the largest industrial sector in Pakistan. Purpose of the study. The purpose of the article is to identify the challenges that SMEs are facing due to the pandemic and to consider trade credit as a possible tool to resolve them. Data and Methods. The data were collected through the questionnaire survey among the representatives of SMEs in the textile industry in Pakistan. In total, representatives of 150 textile industries were surveyed, but due to incomplete data only 115 were used for the analysis. The survey was conducted from March 2020 to March 2021. Then, the structural equation model (SEM) was applied to ensure the accuracy of the results. Results. The COVID-19 pandemic has impacted the textile industry in Pakistan and the buying process as well as the satisfaction level. The study highlights the industrial safety issues during the pandemic which exacerbated the economic difficulties. The study also explains the mechanism how perceived control over buying, perceived satisfaction, and perceived trust in science relate to trade credit and COVID-19 pandemic. Conclusions. The Pakistani government has taken many proactive measures, but there is still no consistent policy to attract more agents to the small textile business. Thus, a trade loan is the best solution for SMEs as it does not require immediate cash payments. The lack of government support has exacerbated the general pandemic-related economic crisis. In this light, trade loans may be considered as one of the most effective tools to keep SMEs afloat.
的相关性。COVID-19在世界各地的迅速蔓延给低收入国家带来了灾难性后果。这一流行病对发展中国家构成严重威胁。就巴基斯坦纺织业而言,中小企业(SMEs)受到了沉重打击。重要的是,纺织部门是巴基斯坦最大的工业部门。研究目的:本文的目的是确定中小企业因疫情而面临的挑战,并考虑将贸易信贷作为解决这些挑战的可能工具。数据和方法。数据是通过对巴基斯坦纺织行业中小企业代表的问卷调查收集的。总共调查了150个纺织行业的代表,但由于数据不完整,只有115个被用于分析。该调查于2020年3月至2021年3月进行。然后,采用结构方程模型(SEM)来保证计算结果的准确性。结果。新冠肺炎疫情对巴基斯坦纺织业、采购流程和满意度产生了影响。该研究强调了疫情期间的工业安全问题,这加剧了经济困难。该研究还解释了对购买的感知控制、感知满意度和对科学的感知信任与贸易信贷和COVID-19大流行之间的关系机制。结论。巴基斯坦政府已经采取了许多积极的措施,但仍然没有一致的政策来吸引更多的代理商到小型纺织企业。因此,贸易贷款是中小企业的最佳解决方案,因为它不需要立即支付现金。缺乏政府支持加剧了与大流行有关的经济危机。在这种情况下,贸易贷款可能被认为是维持中小企业生存的最有效工具之一。
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引用次数: 0
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REconomy
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