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Assessment of the Leontiev productive matrix of the economic development model for Tyumen region (Russia) 俄罗斯秋明地区经济发展模式的Leontiev生产矩阵评价
Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.15826/recon.2022.8.2.011
V. Tsibulsky, L. Vazhenina, Ilya G. Solovyov, D. Govorkov, Viktor P. Novikov
Relevance. Monitoring has always been an important part of the management of regional development. Recently, this task has been gaining currency due to the development of modern information technologies of data collection and processing, citizen-government interaction and digital modelling. The task of goal evaluation, that is, comparison of the actual results with the intended ones in different spheres, among other things, requires us to build and adjust the macro-economic model of regional development and in particular to update the input-output matrix based on the region’s statistical data. Research objective. The study aims to build a table of input-output balance for the south of Tyumen region (Russia) based on the statistical data of standardized economic indicators. Method and data. Two options for estimating the input-output matrix for Tyumen region are described. In the first option, a well-known method of adjustment of the reference input-output matrix for the priority economic sectors of Tyumen region is supplemented by the regularization of the resulting parameters according to the least squares method for the selected period. The second option is based on the aggregation of industries by subsystems based on the cost structure table of the same industries, but for the entire country, followed by the identification of the already aggregated matrix, without adjusting the result to the standard. Results. In the first option, we obtained a table of input-output balance for 2018. The table quite accurately reproduces the invoice structure of costs and consumption. The aggregated input-output matrix, taking regularization into account, reproduces the actual costs of the region for 2016-2018 with good approximation. In the second option, the distribution of the resulting direct costs coefficients over the years does not exceed 10%. Conclusions. The resulting estimates of the Leontiev input-output matrices meet the requirements of productivity and balance and can be used in benchmark problems for the analysis and forecasting of the economic development of Tyumen region. A variation of the functional scheme for assessing and analyzing the discrepancies between the declared and actual trajectories of the indicators based on the Leontiev matrix is proposed.
的相关性。监测一直是区域发展管理的重要组成部分。最近,由于数据收集和处理、公民-政府互动和数字建模的现代信息技术的发展,这项任务得到了广泛的关注。目标评价任务,即将不同领域的实际结果与预期结果进行比较,除其他外,要求我们建立和调整区域发展的宏观经济模型,特别是根据区域统计数据更新投入产出矩阵。研究目标。本研究旨在基于标准化经济指标的统计数据,构建俄罗斯秋明南部地区的投入产出平衡表。方法和数据。描述了秋明地区估计输入输出矩阵的两种选择。在第一种方案中,采用著名的秋明地区优先经济部门参考投入产出矩阵调整方法,并根据最小二乘法对所选时期的结果参数进行正则化。第二种选择是根据同一行业的成本结构表,对全国的各个子系统进行行业汇总,然后识别已经汇总的矩阵,不调整结果以符合标准。结果。在第一个选项中,我们得到了2018年的投入产出差额表。该表相当准确地再现了成本和消耗的发票结构。考虑到正则化,总投入产出矩阵以良好的近似再现了该地区2016-2018年的实际成本。在第二种方案中,所产生的直接成本系数在历年中的分布不超过10%。结论。所得的Leontiev投入产出矩阵估计值满足生产率和平衡性的要求,可用于秋明地区经济发展的基准问题分析和预测。提出了一种基于列昂蒂耶夫矩阵的评估和分析指标的声明轨迹和实际轨迹之间差异的功能方案的变体。
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引用次数: 2
Sanctions and scenarios of economic development of the Russian Arctic territories (the case of the Yamalo-Nenets Autonomous District) 俄罗斯北极地区经济发展的制裁和设想(以亚马尔-涅涅茨自治区为例)
Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.15826/recon.2022.8.3.022
E. Zakharchuk
Relevance. The sanctions against Russia in 2022 affected almost all areas of the country’s economic activity. The sanctions may have varying effects on different territories of Russia. Mono-sectoral regions specializing in the production of primary raw materials are faced with the highest uncertainty. Research objective. The main purpose of the study is to develop and describe scenarios for the economic development of the Yamalo-Nenets Autonomous District under the pressure of sanctions. As part of this task, the impact of restrictions on the development of municipalities in Yamal is assessed, with a special focus on the areas with new hydrocarbon deposits in the Arctic zone. Data and methods. The study relies on the scenario method and the System of National Accounts to calculate the key indicators of economic development, which are defined as aggregated parameters (gross regional product, investment, tax revenues of the consolidated budget, and employment). Results. The impact of sanctions on the development of the Yamalo-Nenets Autonomous District is considered through the three scenarios: inertial, negative, and catastrophic. Under the inertial scenario, the key indicators will not change, and the pace of economic development will decrease. Under the negative scenario, investment projects will be put on hold and a limited deterioration in economic indicators will be observed. Under the worst-case scenario, there will be a serious drop in the key indicators, especially investment and employment. Conclusions. The imposed sanctions prohibiting the supply of high-tech equipment and limiting the supply of natural gas and oil to world markets will not be destructive for Yamal even in the catastrophic scenario. However, these restrictions will seriously limit economic development, gradually worsening the prospects for the development of the Arctic territories and the region’s ability to maintain the current standards of living.
的相关性。2022年对俄罗斯的制裁影响了该国经济活动的几乎所有领域。制裁可能对俄罗斯不同地区产生不同的影响。专门从事初级原材料生产的单一部门地区面临着最大的不确定性。研究目标。这项研究的主要目的是制定和描述在制裁压力下亚马尔-涅涅茨自治区经济发展的设想。作为这项任务的一部分,评估了限制对亚马尔市发展的影响,特别侧重于北极地区有新的碳氢化合物矿床的地区。数据和方法。这项研究依靠情景法和国民经济核算系统来计算经济发展的关键指标,这些指标被定义为综合参数(地区生产总值、投资、综合预算税收和就业)。结果。制裁对亚马尔-涅涅茨自治区发展的影响是通过三种情况来考虑的:惯性、消极和灾难性。在惯性情景下,关键指标不会改变,经济发展速度会下降。在消极情况下,投资项目将被搁置,经济指标将出现有限的恶化。在最坏的情况下,主要指标特别是投资和就业将出现严重下滑。结论。禁止向世界市场供应高科技设备和限制向世界市场供应天然气和石油的制裁即使在灾难性的情况下也不会对亚马尔造成破坏。然而,这些限制将严重限制经济发展,使北极领土的发展前景和该区域维持目前生活水平的能力逐渐恶化。
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引用次数: 0
Diversification versus concentration trends in the housing construction and stock across Siberian regions 西伯利亚地区住房建设和存量的多元化与集中化趋势
Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.15826/recon.2022.8.2.013
Gheorghe Savoiu, A. Vilgelm
Relevance. The processes of regionalization and localization are currently intensifying in the Siberian macro-region, where local markets act as drivers of socio-economic development. We associate their development with the diversification of the sectoral structure. Nevertheless, the demographic conditions contribute to the growth of spatial concentration, which affects the sustainability of the housing construction structure and negatively affects the housing market. Research objective. This study aims to analyze the economic consequences of the diversification-related processes and the degree of the spatial concentration of these effects in Siberian regions. Data and methods. The study relies on official databases for the calculation of the Herfindahl-Hirschmann and Gini-Struck coefficients. Econometric analysis was conducted with the help of E-Views software. Results. The concentration phenomenon in housing construction becomes indirectly dependent on regional diversification of the urban and rural housing stock, with an intense and natural correlation for the urban housing stock, which is stronger than in the case of the rural housing stock. The multifactorial model of concentration in housing construction indirectly depends on the combined regional diversification of incomes and population and the urban or rural stock. Conclusions. The evolution of the Siberian macro-region is shaped by the increasing urbanization and localization processes, which exacerbate the insufficient level of diversification. These factors are detrimental to the development of the local markets of resources; they have a negative effect on the rate of housing construction and on the supply in the housing market.
的相关性。西伯利亚宏观区域的区域化和地方化进程目前正在加强,当地市场是社会经济发展的驱动力。我们把它们的发展同部门结构的多样化联系起来。然而,人口条件促进了空间集中度的增长,影响了住房建设结构的可持续性,并对住房市场产生了负面影响。研究目标。本研究旨在分析西伯利亚地区多元化相关过程的经济后果,以及这些影响的空间集中程度。数据和方法。这项研究依靠官方数据库来计算赫芬达尔-赫希曼系数和基尼系数。利用E-Views软件进行计量经济分析。结果。住房建设的集中化现象间接依赖于城乡住房存量的区域多样化,城市住房存量具有强烈而自然的相关性,比农村住房存量的相关性更强。住房建设集中的多因素模型间接取决于收入和人口的区域多样化以及城乡存量的组合。结论。西伯利亚宏观区域的演变受城市化进程和地方化进程的影响,加剧了多样化程度的不足。这些因素不利于当地资源市场的发展;它们对住房建设的速度和住房市场的供应有负面影响。
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引用次数: 0
Conjugation of the Eurasian economic union and the belt road initiative: the role and place of Kazakhstan 欧亚经济联盟与“一带一路”倡议的结合:哈萨克斯坦的作用和地位
Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.15826/recon.2022.8.2.014
A. Yerimpasheva, A. Myrzakhmetova, Dina Alshimbayeva
Relevance. In mass media, the Silk Road Economic Belt and the Eurasian economic integration are considered as the driving forces behind Eurasia’s development. Nevertheless, the processes of Eurasian integration have been impeded by the COVID-19 pandemic. In addition, 2020-22 have been marked by political turmoil in the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU) member states. Modelled on the European Union, the Eurasian Union increasingly resembles the former Soviet Union, which is a matter of concern for the member states. On the other hand, the growing democratic sentiments in the post-Soviet countries and the competition between Russia and China for influence in Eurasia make the cooperation of the EAEU and the Belt Road Initiative (BRI) more problematic. Research objective. The study examines the opportunities and challenges associated with the possible integration of the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU) and the Belt Road Initiative. Methods and Data. In this paper, we used an exploratory research design relying on collecting secondary and primary qualitative data. Methodologically, the study is based on the approaches of positive and nominative economics. The qualitative research in the form of in-depth interviews helped us gain insight into the economic problems of the EAEU member states. We also analyzed the dynamics of each member country’s GDP and compared it with that of China for the period from 2012 to present. Results. The compatibility of national and transnational interests in the EAEU programs is one of the main issues that have to be addressed. There have been specified areas of the EAEU’s development, many of which reveal the Russian Federation’s dominating role in managing the Union. According to the experts we have interviewed, to implement its programs, the EAEU needs significant centralization of power. On the other hand, the unresolved social, economic, and political issues can become a significant obstacle to the integration. Conclusion. Despite the widespread belief that the BRI would bring significant welfare and trade benefits to its participants, the EAEU member countries and China first need to focus on implementing political reforms, which the social and economic agenda hinges upon.
的相关性。在大众媒体中,丝绸之路经济带和欧亚经济一体化被认为是欧亚发展的动力。然而,新冠肺炎疫情阻碍了欧亚一体化进程。此外,2020- 2022年欧亚经济联盟(EAEU)成员国政治动荡。欧亚联盟以欧盟为蓝本,越来越像前苏联,这是各成员国关心的问题。另一方面,后苏联国家日益高涨的民主情绪以及俄罗斯和中国在欧亚大陆争夺影响力的竞争,使欧亚经济联盟和“一带一路”倡议的合作面临更多问题。研究目标。该研究考察了欧亚经济联盟(EAEU)和“一带一路”倡议可能整合带来的机遇和挑战。方法与数据:在本文中,我们采用了探索性的研究设计,依靠收集二次和一次定性数据。在方法上,本研究基于实证经济学和名义经济学的研究方法。通过深度访谈的定性研究,我们更深入地了解了欧亚经济联盟成员国的经济问题。我们还分析了每个成员国的GDP动态,并将其与中国从2012年至今的GDP进行了比较。结果。在欧亚经济联盟计划中,国家和跨国利益的兼容性是必须解决的主要问题之一。欧亚经济联盟的发展有特定的领域,其中许多领域显示出俄罗斯联邦在管理联盟方面的主导作用。根据我们采访的专家,为了实施其计划,欧亚经济联盟需要大量的权力集中。另一方面,未解决的社会、经济和政治问题可能成为一体化的重大障碍。结论。尽管人们普遍认为,“一带一路”倡议将为其参与者带来巨大的福利和贸易利益,但欧亚经济联盟成员国和中国首先需要专注于实施政治改革,这是社会和经济议程所依赖的。
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引用次数: 0
Debt Policy for the Sustainable Development of Russian Regions and Megacities 俄罗斯地区和特大城市可持续发展的债务政策
Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.15826/recon.2022.8.4.025
V. Klimanov, S. Kazakova
Relevance. In recent years, the role of ESG (Environmental, Social and Governance) bonds has been rapidly growing in the world. ESGs are used to raise funds for programs for sustainable development of territories. Research objective. The paper studies the cases of Russian regions using green bonds and considers the prospects of this tool in the Russian context. Data and Methods. The analysis focuses on the debt indicators of Russian regions and related budgetary indicators based on open source data from the Ministry of Finance, the Treasury, and independent rating agencies. The methods of comparative and retrospective analysis are used to identify the state and features of regional debt policy. Results. Our analysis of the debt policy of Russian regions and megacities shows a low level of their activity in the stock market as issuers of bonds. This can be explained by the complexity of the system of subnational finances and the role of the Federation in preventing default situations, and therefore the priority use of budget loans. The city of Moscow was a pioneer in this matter in Russia. This determines the uniqueness of Moscow's experience in implementing debt policy. Conclusions. The expansion of the green bond practice will allow Russia to move forward in achieving the goals of ESG agenda, which, despite the large-scale sanctions imposed on Russia at the moment, still remains relevant.
的相关性。近年来,ESG(环境、社会和治理)债券的作用在世界范围内迅速增长。esg用于为地区可持续发展项目筹集资金。研究目标。本文研究了俄罗斯地区使用绿色债券的案例,并考虑了该工具在俄罗斯背景下的前景。数据和方法。分析的重点是俄罗斯各地区的债务指标和相关预算指标,这些指标基于财政部、财政部和独立评级机构的开源数据。采用比较分析和回顾性分析的方法,对我国地方债务政策的现状和特点进行了梳理。结果。我们对俄罗斯地区和特大城市债务政策的分析显示,它们作为债券发行人在股票市场的活动水平很低。这可以解释为地方财政制度的复杂性和联邦在防止违约情况方面的作用,因此优先使用预算贷款。莫斯科市是俄罗斯在这方面的先驱。这决定了莫斯科在实施债务政策方面的经验的独特性。结论。绿色债券实践的扩大将使俄罗斯在实现ESG议程目标方面取得进展,尽管目前对俄罗斯实施了大规模制裁,但这些目标仍然具有相关性。
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引用次数: 1
Border Carbon Adjustment: Implications for Russian Companies and Regions in the Context of the Russia Sanctions (the case of Magnitogorsk Iron and Steel Works and Chelyabinsk region) 边境碳调整:在俄罗斯制裁背景下对俄罗斯公司和地区的影响(以马格尼托哥尔斯克钢铁厂和车里雅宾斯克地区为例)
Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.15826/recon.2022.8.3.020
I. Belik, N. Starodubets, Alena I. Yachmeneva, Konstantin A. Prokopov
Relevance. There are at least two serious challenges that Russian exporting companies are now facing: first, in 2021, the EU introduced the carbon border adjustment mechanism (CBAM), which will come into force in 2026, and, second, since February 2022, many exporters have been subject to the EU sanctions as part of the Russia sanctions regime. There is much uncertainty surrounding the duration of the current sanctions episode as well as the introduction of the carbon tax in the Middle Eastern and Asian countries. Research objective. The study aims to assess potential economic losses resulting from the CBAM introduction and the pressure of sanctions on the Russian exporters of metallurgical products and their home regions. The study focuses on the case of Magnitogorsk Iron and Steel Works (MMK) and Chelyabinsk region. Data and methods. Methodologically, the study relies on scenario analysis. Two scenarios are considered: the EU sanctions against Russian steel companies will be lifted after 2024–2025 and the sanctions will not be lifted in the near future. For each scenario, two variations are analyzed and the annual economic losses are calculated both for MMK and for Chelyabinsk region. The data for the study was taken from ММК official reports. Results. If the EU sanctions are lifted in the nearest future, at the initial stages of the carbon tax introduction, the economic consequences for Russian exporters will be insignificant. In the future, however, carbon regulation can create serious threats to the financial condition of such enterprises even if exports account for a small share of their revenue. If the EU sanctions stay in place, Russian enterprises are likely to search for trade partners in the Middle East and Asia. If the latter introduce a carbon tax, Russian companies can enjoy a competitive edge due to the comparatively low carbon intensity. Conclusions. To ensure Russian steel companies’ competitive edge, it is necessary to stimulate them to reduce their carbon footprint and create a national carbon regulation system. Not only will this measure help to reduce the loss of export income and regional governments’ tax revenues but it will also enable companies to stay competitive and deal more effectively with the sanctions pressure.
的相关性。俄罗斯出口企业目前至少面临两个严峻挑战:首先,2021年,欧盟引入了碳边界调整机制(CBAM),该机制将于2026年生效;其次,自2022年2月以来,作为俄罗斯制裁制度的一部分,许多出口商受到欧盟制裁。目前制裁的持续时间以及中东和亚洲国家征收碳税的时间都存在很大的不确定性。研究目标。这项研究的目的是评估实施CBAM和制裁对俄罗斯冶金产品出口商及其本国地区造成的潜在经济损失。该研究的重点是马格尼托格尔斯克钢铁厂(MMK)和车里雅宾斯克地区的案例。数据和方法。在方法上,该研究依赖于情景分析。考虑了两种情况:2024-2025年后欧盟将解除对俄钢铁企业的制裁,近期不会解除制裁。对于每种情景,分析了两种变化,并计算了MMK和车里雅宾斯克地区的年度经济损失。该研究的数据来自ММК官方报告。结果。如果欧盟的制裁在最近的将来,在引入碳税的初始阶段取消,对俄罗斯出口商的经济影响将是微不足道的。然而,在未来,即使出口只占这些企业收入的一小部分,碳监管也可能对这些企业的财务状况造成严重威胁。如果欧盟的制裁继续存在,俄罗斯企业可能会在中东和亚洲寻找贸易伙伴。如果后者引入碳税,俄罗斯企业将因碳强度相对较低而享有竞争优势。结论。为了确保俄罗斯钢铁企业的竞争优势,有必要刺激它们减少碳足迹,并建立一个全国性的碳监管体系。这一措施不仅有助于减少出口收入和地方政府的税收损失,而且还将使企业保持竞争力,更有效地应对制裁压力。
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引用次数: 1
The role of Russian border regions in the cross-border cooperation between Russia and Kazakhstan 俄罗斯边境地区在俄哈跨境合作中的作用
Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.15826/recon.2022.8.4.028
O. Roy
Relevance. In the attempt to withstand sanctions pressure and the continuing decline in the relationships with European states, the Russian government has switched the focus of its foreign economic policy to the south-eastern partners, including Kazakhstan. Research objective. The study aims to evaluate the readiness of the Russian border regions for more active cross-border cooperation with regions of Kazakhstan; to draw an inventory of the main forms such cooperation can take; and to describe the prospects of this cooperation in the context of the increasing integration processes in border regions. Data and methods. The article compares the dynamics of socio-economic indicators and qualitative characteristics of Russian border regions and summarizes the experience of cooperation between Russian and Kazakhstani border regions. The study relies on the methods of systems analysis and comparative analysis and uses the official data of regional Kazakhstani and Russian governments on the socio-economic development of their territories. The study also uses the statistical data provided by the Bureau of National Statistics of the Agency for Strategic Planning and Reforms of the Republic of Kazakhstan and the Federal State Statistics Service of the Russian Federation (Rosstat). Results. The study has brought to light significant disparities in Russian border regions' socio-economic potential, more specifically, in their readiness to participate in the integration processes with regions of the neighbouring state. The proposed conceptual model of cross-border cooperation comprises three levels: transport communication, joint projects, and social services. This model underpins the typology of Russian border regions, highlighting the most promising areas for their cooperation with Kazakhstan and the main impediments to such cooperation. By applying this model, we have identified the main growth points and bottlenecks in interregional cooperation along the state border and described the key trends in the development of the given countries in the context of global risks. Conclusions. The cross-border cooperation model can provide a framework for the development of projects aimed at enhancing the productivity of the relationships between the two countries. These findings may be used to evaluate the readiness of border regions to establish productive, mutually beneficial relationships with regions of the neighbouring state. They may also be of interest to policy-makers, national and regional government agencies.
的相关性。为了抵御制裁压力和与欧洲国家关系的持续恶化,俄罗斯政府已将其对外经济政策的重点转向包括哈萨克斯坦在内的东南部伙伴。研究目标。该研究旨在评估俄罗斯边境地区与哈萨克斯坦地区进行更积极的跨境合作的准备情况;列出这种合作可能采取的主要形式;并描述在边境地区日益一体化进程的背景下这种合作的前景。数据和方法。本文比较了俄罗斯边境地区社会经济指标的动态和质量特征,总结了俄罗斯和哈萨克斯坦边境地区合作的经验。该研究采用系统分析和比较分析的方法,并使用哈萨克斯坦和俄罗斯地区政府关于其领土社会经济发展的官方数据。这项研究还使用了哈萨克斯坦共和国战略规划和改革机构国家统计局和俄罗斯联邦联邦国家统计局(Rosstat)提供的统计数据。结果。这项研究揭示了俄罗斯边境地区在社会经济潜力方面的巨大差异,更具体地说,这些地区参与与邻国地区一体化进程的意愿方面的差异。拟议的跨境合作概念模式包括三个层面:交通通讯、联合项目和社会服务。这一模式支持了俄罗斯边境地区的类型,突出了它们与哈萨克斯坦合作的最有希望的领域以及这种合作的主要障碍。通过应用该模型,我们确定了沿国家边界的区域间合作的主要增长点和瓶颈,并描述了在全球风险背景下特定国家发展的主要趋势。结论。跨境合作模式可以为旨在提高两国关系生产力的项目发展提供框架。这些发现可用于评估边境地区是否准备好与邻国地区建立富有成效的互利关系。决策者、国家和区域政府机构也可能对此感兴趣。
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引用次数: 0
Smart territories as a driver for the transition to sustainable regional development and green economy 智能领土作为向可持续区域发展和绿色经济过渡的驱动力
Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.15826/recon.2022.8.2.010
A. Nikitaeva, O. Chernova, L. Molapisi
Relevance. Even though there is a general agreement regarding the importance of the transition to a green economy, this process still has a long way to go, which makes the research on the role of smart territories particularly relevant. Research objective. The study aims to describe the opportunities and areas of digital transformation of territories with a focus on the transition to a green economy. Data and methods. The research methods include content analysis, case study, mapping, and matrix analysis. The data sources were scientific articles presented in the Scopus database, materials from the Ministry of Finance and Economic Development, the Ministry of Mineral Resources, Green Technologies, and Energy Security, materials from the Central Bureau of Statistics of Botswana, the Botswana Energy Company. Results. Using the case of Botswana, the study showed that the establishment of a smart territory is the core mechanism of a transition to a green economy. Smart territories help regional governments to reach the sustainable development goals by using cutting-edge digital technologies. Conclusions. The article proposes a new approach to analyzing the transition to a green economy. This approach can also be applied to reconsider the composition and roles of the drivers of territorial development. The proposed methodology can be used to create a smart contour for the development of a given territory, taking into account the region’s industrial specialization, and to identify the most promising areas and "bottlenecks".
的相关性。尽管人们对向绿色经济过渡的重要性达成了普遍共识,但这一过程仍有很长的路要走,这使得对智能领土作用的研究尤为重要。研究目标。该研究旨在描述各地区数字化转型的机遇和领域,重点是向绿色经济过渡。数据和方法。研究方法包括内容分析法、案例分析法、地图分析法和矩阵分析法。数据来源为Scopus数据库中的科学文章,资料来自财政和经济发展部、矿产资源、绿色技术和能源安全部,资料来自博茨瓦纳中央统计局、博茨瓦纳能源公司。结果。以博茨瓦纳为例,该研究表明,建立智能领土是向绿色经济过渡的核心机制。智能领土通过使用尖端数字技术帮助地区政府实现可持续发展目标。结论。本文提出了一种分析绿色经济转型的新方法。这种方法也可以应用于重新考虑领土发展驱动因素的组成和作用。所提出的方法可用于为给定地区的发展创建智能轮廓,考虑到该地区的工业专业化,并确定最有前途的领域和“瓶颈”。
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引用次数: 5
Territorial distribution of economic activities and resilience in Vicenza’s jewelry industry 经济活动的地域分布和维琴察珠宝行业的弹性
Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.15826/recon.2022.8.4.029
D. Celetti
Relevance. The paper analyzes the development of Vicenza’s jewelry industry with a focus on the region’s resilience to external shocks and on the role that firms’ spatial concentration plays in the way territories respond to crises. The proposed analysis can provide entrepreneurs, managers, and public decision-makers with new insights into how firms’ location patterns influence economic development. Research Objectives. The purpose of this research is to test empirically the correlation between firms’ concentration, and resilience to external shocks. Data and Methods. The study uses the statistical data on the number of employees and active firms within the selected territory provided by Infocamere (Information Society of Italian Trade Chambers) over the last 20 years (2000-2021). These data are used to trace the localization of firms with the help of concentration indexes. By comparing the above-mentioned data, the study tests the correlation between firms’ concentration levels, the sector’s economic performance, and the reaction of territories to external shocks. Results Territories with high concentration levels of firms working in the same sector perform better than other territories. Moreover, territorial concentration increases during and after any adverse external shock. These results are consistent with the research evidence, stressing the relevance of Marshallian-like districts for sharing practices, technology, know-how, access to information, institutional links. These factors, in turn, enhance firms’ resilience to external shocks. Conclusions. The results provide a new understanding of how firms’ location schemes can affect sustainable territorial development.
的相关性。本文分析了维琴察珠宝行业的发展,重点关注该地区对外部冲击的抵御能力,以及公司的空间集中在领土应对危机的方式中所起的作用。本文提出的分析可以为企业家、管理者和公共决策者提供关于企业区位模式如何影响经济发展的新见解。研究的目标。本研究的目的是实证检验企业集中度与抵御外部冲击能力之间的相关性。数据和方法。该研究使用了过去20年(2000-2021年)由意大利商会信息协会(Infocamere)提供的选定区域内员工和活跃公司数量的统计数据。利用这些数据,利用集中度指数来追踪企业的本地化。通过对上述数据的比较,本研究检验了企业集中度水平、行业经济绩效和地区对外部冲击的反应之间的相关性。结果同一行业企业集中度高的地区表现优于其他地区。此外,在任何不利的外部冲击期间和之后,领土集中会增加。这些结果与研究证据一致,强调了马绍尔式地区在分享实践、技术、知识、获取信息和机构联系方面的重要性。这些因素反过来又增强了企业抵御外部冲击的能力。结论。研究结果为企业选址方案如何影响可持续领土发展提供了新的认识。
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引用次数: 0
Development of countries under sanctions: Iran and Russia 受制裁国家的发展:伊朗和俄罗斯
Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.15826/recon.2022.8.3.018
O. Sukharev, E. Voronchikhina
Relevance. The modern world economy is going through a period of ‘sanctions wars’ between countries waged openly or covertly through international institutions, with Russia and Iran serving as vivid examples of the first and second cases, respectively. In this connection, it is increasingly useful to analyze the economic development of countries under sanctions in order to gain new insights into how countries function in this changing reality. Research objective. The study aims to comparatively examine the macroeconomic development of Iran and Russia during the sanctions period through a comparative and statistical dynamics analysis of the main macro indicators, including the growth rate and value of base-period GDP, consumption expenditures, gross capital formation, export, import, etc. In theoretical terms, the description of sanctions as an instrument for harming economic development is chosen as a secondary aim in this work. Data and methods. The study is based on the methodology of international comparisons and an analysis of statistical data that can be used to assess the impact of various sanctions on economic development. Results. The uncertain impact of sanctions on economic development is confirmed. The analysis of empirical data collected over a twenty-year period, reveals no clear connection between the dynamics of indicators and the imposition of sanctions (both for Iran and Russia), which is confirmed by an empirical analysis of available time series. Although in some industrial areas, difficulties were observed. In addition, with the imposition of more stringent sanctions in 2012, the Iranian economy experienced a significant decline, followed by its recovery during the adaptation period. Conclusions. A counter-sanctions policy requires the integrative cooperation of targeted countries, which opens up new frontiers of collaboration between Iran and Russia. New forms of international labor division should be created to eliminate the possibility of some countries using sanctions as an instrument against others.
的相关性。现代世界经济正在经历国家之间通过国际机构公开或秘密进行的“制裁战争”,俄罗斯和伊朗分别是第一次和第二次的生动例子。在这方面,分析受制裁国家的经济发展,以便对各国如何在这种不断变化的现实中发挥作用有新的认识,是越来越有用的。研究目标。本研究旨在通过对基期GDP增长率和总值、消费支出、资本形成总额、出口、进口等主要宏观指标的比较和统计动态分析,比较考察伊朗和俄罗斯在制裁期间的宏观经济发展情况。从理论上讲,将制裁描述为损害经济发展的工具是本工作的次要目标。数据和方法。这项研究是以国际比较和统计数据分析的方法为基础的,这些数据可用于评估各种制裁对经济发展的影响。结果。制裁对经济发展的不确定影响得到证实。对二十年期间收集的经验数据的分析显示,指标的动态与实施制裁(对伊朗和俄罗斯)之间没有明确的联系,这一点得到了对现有时间序列的经验分析的证实。虽然在一些工业领域,观察到困难。此外,由于2012年实施了更严厉的制裁,伊朗经济出现了大幅下滑,随后在适应期间出现了复苏。结论。反制裁政策需要目标国家的综合合作,这为伊朗和俄罗斯之间的合作开辟了新的领域。应该创造新的国际分工形式,以消除一些国家利用制裁作为对付其他国家的工具的可能性。
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引用次数: 1
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REconomy
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