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Transport system modelling based on analogies between road networks and electrical circuits 基于道路网络和电路之间类比的交通系统建模
Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-07-11 DOI: 10.15826/RECON.2019.5.2.010
A. Tolmachev, E. V. Sinitsyn, D. A. Brusyanin
This article describes a probabilistic mathematical model which can be used to analyse traffic flows in a road network. This model allows us to calculate the probability of distribution of vehicles in a regional road network or an urban street network. In the model, the movement of cars is treated as a Markov process. This makes it possible to formulate an equation determining the probability of finding cars at key points of the road network such as street intersections, parking lots or other places where cars concentrate. For a regional road network, we can use cities as such key points. This model enables us, for instance, to use the analogues of Kirchhoff First Law (Ohm's Law) for calculation of traffic flows. This calculation is based on the similarity of a real road network and resistance in an electrical circuit. The traffic flow is an analogue of the electric current, the resistance of the section between the control points is the time required to move from one key point to another, and the voltage is the difference in the number of cars at these points. In this case, well-known methods for calculating complex electrical circuits can be used to calculate traffic flows in a real road network. The proposed model was used to calculate the critical load for a road network and compare road networks in various regions of the Ural Federal District.
本文描述了一个概率数学模型,该模型可用于分析路网中的交通流量。该模型使我们能够计算车辆在区域道路网络或城市街道网络中分布的概率。在该模型中,汽车的运动被视为一个马尔可夫过程。这使得可以建立一个方程,确定在道路网络的关键点(如十字路口、停车场或其他汽车集中的地方)找到汽车的概率。对于区域公路网,我们可以将城市作为这样的关键点。例如,该模型使我们能够使用基尔霍夫第一定律(欧姆定律)的类似物来计算交通流量。该计算基于真实道路网络和电路中电阻的相似性。交通流量是电流的模拟,控制点之间路段的电阻是从一个关键点移动到另一个关键点所需的时间,电压是这些点上汽车数量的差异。在这种情况下,计算复杂电路的众所周知的方法可以用于计算真实道路网络中的交通流量。所提出的模型用于计算道路网络的临界负荷,并比较乌拉尔联邦区不同地区的道路网络。
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引用次数: 4
Sino-Russian environmental cooperation: past, present, and future 中俄环境合作:过去、现在和未来
Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-07-11 DOI: 10.15826/RECON.2019.5.2.007
Qiuji Chen
In order to address vital environmental issues, China and Russia have established a set of cooperation mechanisms, such as the Sub-Committee on Environmental Protection of the Regular Meeting of the Prime Ministers of China and Russia. There is currently a multi-level environmental cooperation system between the two countries. In recent years, China and Russia have strengthened their ecological cooperation and have achieved certain results in the conservation of cross-border water resources and establishment of transboundary nature reserves. There are still, however, many problems to handle such as the discrepancies in legislation and the limited character of investment each of the countries is willing to make into environmental protection. Therefore, as the article shows, it is necessary to formulate a unified regulatory framework; to establish a resource protection zone; to enhance joint monitoring of the water quality in transboundary rivers as well as soil and air quality in adjacent areas; and, finally, to raise public awareness in both countries of environmental security and nature conservation. In 2017, Russia hosted the Year of Ecology, which was a good opportunity for both countries to promote information exchange and cooperation in the sphere of joint monitoring and governance, environmental legislation, and ecological education.
为了解决重要的环境问题,中俄两国建立了一系列合作机制,如中俄总理定期会议环境保护小组委员会。目前,两国之间有一个多层次的环境合作体系。近年来,中俄加强生态合作,在跨界水资源保护和建立跨界自然保护区等方面取得了一定成效。然而,仍有许多问题需要处理,如立法上的差异和每个国家在环境保护方面的投资有限。因此,正如文章所示,有必要制定一个统一的监管框架;建立资源保护区;加强对跨界河流水质以及邻近地区土壤和空气质量的联合监测;最后,提高两国公众对环境安全和自然保护的认识。2017年,俄罗斯举办了生态年,这是两国在联合监测与治理、环境立法和生态教育领域促进信息交流与合作的良好机会。
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引用次数: 0
The role of e-government systems in ensuring government effectiveness and control of corruption 电子政务系统在确保政府有效性和控制腐败方面的作用
Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-07-11 DOI: 10.15826/RECON.2019.5.2.006
E. Agbozo, B. K. Asamoah
E-government systems are a part of the general process of digital transformation in the public sector: countries with efficient e-government manage to reduce the administrative burden on private citizens and businesses and to improve government performance, transparency and accountability. This article brings to light the connection between the development of e-government systems and such factors as the rule of law and control of corruption. The study relies on a path model, which was built and statistically tested by using linear regression analysis to authenticate the veracity of the model’s components. The model uses three indicators adopted from the World Bank’s Governance Indicator project – the rule of law, control of corruption, and government effectiveness. The data to measure the e-Government Development Index (EGDI) in fifteen countries was provided by the e-Government 2016 Survey conducted by the United Nations. The findings reveal a positive complementary relationship between the rule of law in a country and the development of an e-government system, which enhances the government’s effectiveness. The article describes a shift towards a more citizen-centric e-government implementation strategy, which can be recommended in particular to policy-makers in developing economies. The proposed model can be recommended as a measurement tool to assess effective governance in any given country.
电子政务系统是公共部门数字化转型总体进程的一部分:拥有高效电子政务的国家设法减轻公民和企业的行政负担,提高政府绩效、透明度和问责制。本文揭示了电子政务系统的发展与法治和腐败控制等因素之间的联系。这项研究依赖于一个路径模型,该模型是通过使用线性回归分析建立和统计测试的,以验证模型组件的准确性。该模型使用了世界银行治理指标项目中采用的三个指标——法治、腐败控制和政府效率。联合国进行的2016年电子政府调查提供了衡量15个国家电子政府发展指数的数据。研究结果显示,一个国家的法治与电子政务系统的发展之间存在着积极的互补关系,从而提高了政府的效率。这篇文章描述了向更以公民为中心的电子政务实施战略的转变,特别可以向发展中经济体的决策者推荐这一战略。可以建议将拟议的模式作为衡量工具,以评估任何特定国家的有效治理。
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引用次数: 1
Methodology for comprehensive assessment of regional innovative development 区域创新发展综合评估方法
Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-07-11 DOI: 10.15826/RECON.2019.5.2.009
E. Polina, I. Solovyeva
Innovative development of territories is strategically important for the prosperity of any country. This article aims at describing original methodology for comprehensive assessment of innovative development of Russian regions. The proposed model takes into account specific features of innovative activity of regions and identifies growth potential and resources of territories, taking into account not only the innovation environment, but also areas of innovative activity. The study relies on the statistical data provided by the Central Statistical Database and the Unified Interdepartmental Information and Statistical System. In the course of processing and analyzing data, the index method, the multidimensional average method, factor-index analysis and other statistical data processing methods are used. The research involves ranking Russian regions according to their levels of innovative development and further dividing them into groups of powerful, strong, medium and weak innovators. We also analyzed the dynamics of innovation in the regions by looking at the changes in their ranking positions. The research findings brought to light the uneven development of Russian regions. The proposed assessment toolkit can be further used for drawing individual profiles for regions and formulating recommendations and guidelines for these regions’ development by taking into consideration their strengths and weaknesses.The results of this study have theoretical and practical significance and can be used as a tool for management of innovative activities both at the level of individual territories and at the national level.
领土的创新发展对任何国家的繁荣都具有重要的战略意义。本文旨在描述俄罗斯地区创新发展综合评价的原始方法。所提出的模型考虑了区域创新活动的具体特征,并确定了领土的增长潜力和资源,不仅考虑了创新环境,而且考虑了创新活动的领域。这项研究依靠中央统计数据库和统一部门间信息和统计系统提供的统计数据。在对数据进行处理和分析的过程中,运用了指数法、多维平均法、因子指数分析法等统计数据处理方法。这项研究包括根据俄罗斯各地区的创新发展水平对其进行排名,并进一步将其分为强大、强大、中等和薄弱的创新者群体。我们还通过观察这些地区排名的变化,分析了这些地区的创新动态。研究结果揭示了俄罗斯地区发展不平衡的问题。建议的评估工具包可以进一步用于绘制区域的个别概况,并通过考虑这些区域的优势和劣势,为这些区域的发展制定建议和指导方针。本研究的结果具有理论和实践意义,可以作为在个别地区和国家一级管理创新活动的工具。
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引用次数: 3
Cluster approach to organization of special economic zones in Russia and Kazakhstan 俄罗斯和哈萨克斯坦经济特区组织的集群方法
Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-07-11 DOI: 10.15826/RECON.2019.5.2.008
I. Turgel, L. Bozhko, E. Zinovyeva
The article aims to study the theoretical and empirical foundations of combining free economic zones with industrial clusters. The theoretical foundation is provided by the concept of a cumulative and circular process and the theory of ‘new economic geography’. The empirical part deals with the creation of cluster-type economic zones in Russia and Kazakhstan. The symbiosis of special economic zones (SEZs) and clusters is expected to enhance export potential and act as a powerful catalyst for national innovative development. Establishment of clusters within the framework of the existing SEZs can bring to these zones highly efficient projects for manufacturing export-oriented products. Methodologically, the research relies on systemic and structural-functional approaches, the logical method and the method of formalization as well as on the comparative and grouping methods applied to analyze SEZs. The study also provides a general overview of the SEZs and clusters operating in Russia and Kazakhstan and indicates their main types and characteristics. The practical significance of this research is that its findings can be used to devise recommendations for improving economic performance of both countries, attracting new technologies and investments and addressing social and economic problems of the regions.
本文旨在研究自由经济区与产业集群相结合的理论和实证基础。累积循环过程的概念和“新经济地理学”理论提供了理论基础。实证部分论述了俄罗斯和哈萨克斯坦集群型经济区的创建。经济特区和集群的共生有望增强出口潜力,并成为国家创新发展的强大催化剂。在现有经济特区框架内建立集群可以为这些经济特区带来高效的出口导向型产品制造项目。在方法论上,该研究依赖于系统和结构功能方法、逻辑方法和形式化方法,以及用于分析经济特区的比较和分组方法。该研究还概述了在俄罗斯和哈萨克斯坦运营的经济特区和集群,并指出了它们的主要类型和特征。这项研究的实际意义在于,其研究结果可用于制定改善两国经济表现、吸引新技术和投资以及解决该地区社会和经济问题的建议。
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引用次数: 6
The impact of institutions on regional credit ratings in Russia 机构对俄罗斯地区信用评级的影响
Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.15826/recon.2022.8.1.004
A. Mikhaylova, E. Timushev
Relevance. Institutions of a fiscal system play a significant role in regional credit ratings. This is reflected in the low creditworthiness of Russian regions from the international perspective. Research objective. The paper discusses the role of the institutional factors in the credit ratings assigned to Russian regions by Russian and international agencies. Data and Methods. The study analyzes the rating methodology adopted by Russian and international credit rating agencies and tests the presence of the institutional factors by conducting a formal regression analysis based on the data from the budgetary systems of Russia and the United States. Results. We demonstrate that international agencies value institutional factors, while Russian agencies use formal quantitative indicators. By applying comparative regression analysis to the economic and fiscal indicators of Russian regions and U.S. states, we found that The Big Three (Fitch Ratings, S&P Global Ratings and Moody's Investors Service) rate Russian regions lower than U.S. states, although the formal indicators between the two fiscal systems at the regional level do not differ as much. Conclusions. We conclude that the lower creditworthiness of Russian regions in the international perspective reflects the weakness of the institutions in the Russian budgetary system. Practically, the assessment of regional creditworthiness in Russia by the international agencies highlights the areas of intergovernmental fiscal relations that need improvement, most notably the insufficient tax and spending autonomy of local and regional governments.
的相关性。财政体系的机构在地区信用评级中发挥着重要作用。这反映在俄罗斯各地区在国际上的信誉较低。研究目标。本文讨论了制度因素在俄罗斯和国际机构对俄罗斯地区信用评级中的作用。数据和方法。本研究分析了俄罗斯和国际信用评级机构采用的评级方法,并根据俄罗斯和美国预算系统的数据进行形式回归分析,检验了体制因素的存在。结果。我们证明国际机构重视制度因素,而俄罗斯机构使用正式的定量指标。通过对俄罗斯地区和美国各州的经济和财政指标进行比较回归分析,我们发现三大评级机构(惠誉评级、标准普尔全球评级和穆迪投资者服务公司)对俄罗斯地区的评级低于美国各州,尽管两国财政体系在地区层面的正式指标差异并不大。结论。我们的结论是,俄罗斯地区在国际上的信誉较低反映了俄罗斯预算系统机构的弱点。实际上,国际机构对俄罗斯地区信誉的评估凸显了政府间财政关系需要改善的领域,最明显的是地方和地区政府的税收和支出自主权不足。
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引用次数: 0
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REconomy
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