首页 > 最新文献

Brazilian Review of Econometrics最新文献

英文 中文
Heterogeneity and the Energy Consumption of Brazilian Households: A Structural Analysis 异质性与巴西家庭能源消费:一个结构分析
Pub Date : 2019-07-26 DOI: 10.12660/BRE.V39N12019.76943
Cezar Santos, M. Weiss, G. Zimmermann
This paper develops a structural economic model of the residential sector of an economy. The model features households that are heterogeneous with regard to their income. Given their incomes, households decide how much to spend on a plethora of different goods that use electrical energy as an input. The price of energy is non-linear and depends on one's energy demand. The model parameters are disciplined using rich Brazilian consumption micro data at the household level. The data exhibits substantial heterogeneity of expenditures on electric appliances and energy across the different income deciles, and the model is able to capture these features. We use the calibrated model to perform a variety of counterfactuals. The results suggest that the impact of changes in prices and income varies substantially across income groups. We also study the adoption of a new technology. In particular, the introduction of more energy-efficient fluorescent light bulbs is especially helpful to poorer households, despite the bulbs' higher cost.
本文建立了一个经济中居民部门的结构经济模型。该模型的特点是收入不同的家庭。考虑到他们的收入,家庭决定在大量使用电能作为输入的不同商品上花多少钱。能源价格是非线性的,取决于一个人的能源需求。模型参数使用巴西家庭层面的丰富消费微观数据进行规范。数据显示,在不同的收入十分位数中,电器和能源支出存在巨大的异质性,该模型能够捕捉到这些特征。我们使用校准模型来执行各种反事实。结果表明,价格和收入变化的影响在不同的收入群体中差异很大。我们也研究新技术的采用。特别是,引进更节能的荧光灯泡对贫困家庭尤其有帮助,尽管这种灯泡的成本更高。
{"title":"Heterogeneity and the Energy Consumption of Brazilian Households: A Structural Analysis","authors":"Cezar Santos, M. Weiss, G. Zimmermann","doi":"10.12660/BRE.V39N12019.76943","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.12660/BRE.V39N12019.76943","url":null,"abstract":"This paper develops a structural economic model of the residential sector of an economy. The model features households that are heterogeneous with regard to their income. Given their incomes, households decide how much to spend on a plethora of different goods that use electrical energy as an input. The price of energy is non-linear and depends on one's energy demand. The model parameters are disciplined using rich Brazilian consumption micro data at the household level. The data exhibits substantial heterogeneity of expenditures on electric appliances and energy across the different income deciles, and the model is able to capture these features. We use the calibrated model to perform a variety of counterfactuals. The results suggest that the impact of changes in prices and income varies substantially across income groups. We also study the adoption of a new technology. In particular, the introduction of more energy-efficient fluorescent light bulbs is especially helpful to poorer households, despite the bulbs' higher cost.","PeriodicalId":332423,"journal":{"name":"Brazilian Review of Econometrics","volume":"42 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-07-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"122864551","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Measuring Long Run Risks for Brazil 衡量巴西的长期风险
Pub Date : 2019-07-26 DOI: 10.12660/BRE.V39N12019.77132
Caio Almeida, Diego Brandão
We study the temporal structure of risk prices, risk exposures and expected market returns for Brazil assuming the economy follows a long run risks model. The model consists on an endowment economy where aggregate consumption and dividend growth contain predictable components, and a representative agent has Epstein-Zin recursive preferences with CES specification. We show that aggregate consumption in Brazil is sufficiently predictable to generate risk premia associated with Epstein-Zin preferences in excess of traditional compensations induced by power utility. Moreover, risk compensation is dominated by permanent shocks both in the short and long run, as Epstein-Zin preferences mitigate the price of temporary shocks' risk.
假设巴西经济遵循长期风险模型,我们研究了巴西风险价格、风险敞口和预期市场回报的时间结构。该模型建立在一个禀赋经济中,其中总消费和股利增长包含可预测的成分,代表代理人具有Epstein-Zin递归偏好与CES规范。我们的研究表明,巴西的总消费具有足够的可预测性,可以产生与爱泼斯坦-锌偏好相关的风险溢价,超过由电力公用事业引起的传统补偿。此外,风险补偿在短期和长期都以永久性冲击为主,因为Epstein-Zin偏好减轻了临时冲击风险的价格。
{"title":"Measuring Long Run Risks for Brazil","authors":"Caio Almeida, Diego Brandão","doi":"10.12660/BRE.V39N12019.77132","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.12660/BRE.V39N12019.77132","url":null,"abstract":"We study the temporal structure of risk prices, risk exposures and expected market returns for Brazil assuming the economy follows a long run risks model. The model consists on an endowment economy where aggregate consumption and dividend growth contain predictable components, and a representative agent has Epstein-Zin recursive preferences with CES specification. We show that aggregate consumption in Brazil is sufficiently predictable to generate risk premia associated with Epstein-Zin preferences in excess of traditional compensations induced by power utility. Moreover, risk compensation is dominated by permanent shocks both in the short and long run, as Epstein-Zin preferences mitigate the price of temporary shocks' risk.","PeriodicalId":332423,"journal":{"name":"Brazilian Review of Econometrics","volume":"58 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-07-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"126673202","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Long-term Yields Implied by Stochastic Discount Factor Decompositions 随机折现因子分解所隐含的长期收益率
Pub Date : 2019-07-26 DOI: 10.12660/bre.v39n12019.76365
Caio Almeida, F. Cordeiro
We use the framework developed by Christensen (2017) and Hansen and Scheinkman (2009) to study the long-term interest rates in the US and Brazil. We apply a nonparametric estimator to US and Brazilian data to identify how the yield of a long-term zero-coupon bond responds to the initial state of the economy. Using a flexible specification for the state process leads to an interesting non-linear response of the yield to changes in the initial state. As a by-product of our work, we assess the performance of Christensen's estimator using Monte Carlo simulations based on two widely adopted asset pricing models (rare disasters and habit formation).
我们使用Christensen(2017)和Hansen and Scheinkman(2009)开发的框架来研究美国和巴西的长期利率。我们将非参数估计器应用于美国和巴西的数据,以确定长期零息债券的收益率如何响应经济的初始状态。在状态过程中使用灵活的规范会导致yield对初始状态变化的有趣的非线性响应。作为我们工作的副产品,我们使用基于两种广泛采用的资产定价模型(罕见灾害和习惯形成)的蒙特卡罗模拟来评估Christensen估计器的性能。
{"title":"Long-term Yields Implied by Stochastic Discount Factor Decompositions","authors":"Caio Almeida, F. Cordeiro","doi":"10.12660/bre.v39n12019.76365","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.12660/bre.v39n12019.76365","url":null,"abstract":"We use the framework developed by Christensen (2017) and Hansen and Scheinkman (2009) to study the long-term interest rates in the US and Brazil. We apply a nonparametric estimator to US and Brazilian data to identify how the yield of a long-term zero-coupon bond responds to the initial state of the economy. Using a flexible specification for the state process leads to an interesting non-linear response of the yield to changes in the initial state. As a by-product of our work, we assess the performance of Christensen's estimator using Monte Carlo simulations based on two widely adopted asset pricing models (rare disasters and habit formation).","PeriodicalId":332423,"journal":{"name":"Brazilian Review of Econometrics","volume":"74 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-07-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"117262465","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Social Promotion in Primary School: Effects on Grade Progression 小学社会促进:对年级进步的影响
Pub Date : 2019-07-26 DOI: 10.12660/BRE.V39N12019.78513
Margaret Leighton, Priscila Souza, Straub Stephane
This paper evaluates the effect of relaxing promotion criteria in early primary school on grade delay in later years. Exploiting variation in primary school repetition policies across Brazilian municipalities, we find that social promotion in junior primary years reduces grade delay, and that some of this reduction persists through the transition to senior primary school. Cohorts of twelve-year-old students who have been exposed to the social promotion policy since they were seven have almost 5 percentage points fewer members who are delayed a year or more in their studies than do similar cohorts who faced the threat of retention every year. We also find that, when the option is available, students sort across schools in response to the policy in a way consistent with negative selection into social promotion.
本研究旨在探讨放宽小学早期升学标准对学生日后学业延迟的影响。利用巴西各城市小学留级政策的差异,我们发现小学低年级的社会晋升减少了年级延迟,并且这种减少在向小学高年级过渡的过程中持续存在。从7岁起就接触到社会晋升政策的12岁学生的队列中,比每年都面临留级威胁的同类队列中延迟一年或一年以上学习的成员少了近5个百分点。我们还发现,当有选择时,学生对政策的反应是跨学校的,与消极选择相一致的方式进入社会促进。
{"title":"Social Promotion in Primary School: Effects on Grade Progression","authors":"Margaret Leighton, Priscila Souza, Straub Stephane","doi":"10.12660/BRE.V39N12019.78513","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.12660/BRE.V39N12019.78513","url":null,"abstract":"This paper evaluates the effect of relaxing promotion criteria in early primary school on grade delay in later years. Exploiting variation in primary school repetition policies across Brazilian municipalities, we find that social promotion in junior primary years reduces grade delay, and that some of this reduction persists through the transition to senior primary school. Cohorts of twelve-year-old students who have been exposed to the social promotion policy since they were seven have almost 5 percentage points fewer members who are delayed a year or more in their studies than do similar cohorts who faced the threat of retention every year. We also find that, when the option is available, students sort across schools in response to the policy in a way consistent with negative selection into social promotion.","PeriodicalId":332423,"journal":{"name":"Brazilian Review of Econometrics","volume":"47 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-07-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"123528306","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 6
Estimating Risk and Risk Aversion in the Automobile Insurance Market 汽车保险市场的风险评估与风险规避
Pub Date : 2019-07-26 DOI: 10.12660/BRE.V39N12019.73975
B. A. Ledo, Caio Matteucci de Andrade Lopes
This paper is based on the structural model proposed by Cohen and Einav [2007]to estimate the joint distribution of risk and risk aversion in the automobile insurancemarket. However, while they estimated the model for a single insurer in the Israelimarket, we estimated the model by considering the top ve insurers in the Brazilianmarket at the same time. This difference allowed us to capture the eect of competitionon the joint distribution of risk and risk aversion. A counterfactual exercise allowedus to verify that the insurer with the largest market share can implement the optimalcontract, while the others do not.
本文基于Cohen和Einav[2007]提出的结构模型来估计汽车保险市场中风险和风险厌恶的联合分布。然而,当他们估算以色列市场上单个保险公司的模型时,我们通过同时考虑巴西市场上的前五家保险公司来估算模型。这种差异使我们能够捕捉到竞争的效应风险和风险厌恶的共同分布。反事实练习允许我们验证拥有最大市场份额的保险公司可以执行最优合同,而其他保险公司则不能。
{"title":"Estimating Risk and Risk Aversion in the Automobile Insurance Market","authors":"B. A. Ledo, Caio Matteucci de Andrade Lopes","doi":"10.12660/BRE.V39N12019.73975","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.12660/BRE.V39N12019.73975","url":null,"abstract":"This paper is based on the structural model proposed by Cohen and Einav [2007]to estimate the joint distribution of risk and risk aversion in the automobile insurancemarket. However, while they estimated the model for a single insurer in the Israelimarket, we estimated the model by considering the top ve insurers in the Brazilianmarket at the same time. This difference allowed us to capture the eect of competitionon the joint distribution of risk and risk aversion. A counterfactual exercise allowedus to verify that the insurer with the largest market share can implement the optimalcontract, while the others do not.","PeriodicalId":332423,"journal":{"name":"Brazilian Review of Econometrics","volume":"14 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-07-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"134297914","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
The collapse of Brazilian Social Security: Macroeconomic impacts of the increase of the minimum age of PEC nº 287/2016 reform 巴西社会保障的崩溃:第287/2016号改革中提高最低年龄对宏观经济的影响
Pub Date : 2019-07-26 DOI: 10.12660/BRE.V39N12019.75504
Carlos Eduardo De Freitas, N. Paes
This paper presents a simulation of the economic impacts of the increase of the minimum age contained in the Proposal for Constitutional Amendment (PEC) no 287/2016. For that, an overlapping generations (OLG) model with 57 generations was built, including the transition rule. The results suggest that not increasing the minimum age for retirement is a very bad choice for society. The fiscal situation becomes unsustainable, and the expansion of social security expenditures, in combination with the reduction of the labor supply, leads the country to a scenario of a sharp fall in consumption and output per capita. The simulation with the new minimum retirement age of PEC no 287/2016 indicates that, although it is not the definitive solution to the Brazilian pension issue. The results of the model indicate that raising the minimum age avoids a very bad scenario, but does not seem to be even able to maintain the current level of output per capita. As a policy suggestion, although PEC no 287/2016 has not even been voted, the recommendation is that it represents a minimum level for the next pension reform.
本文模拟了第287/2016号修宪提案中提高最低年龄的经济影响。为此,建立了包含过渡规则的57代重叠代(OLG)模型。结果表明,不提高最低退休年龄对社会来说是一个非常糟糕的选择。财政状况变得不可持续,社会保障支出的扩大,加上劳动力供给的减少,导致该国出现人均消费和产出急剧下降的局面。新的最低退休年龄PEC no 287/2016的模拟表明,虽然它不是巴西养老金问题的最终解决方案。该模型的结果表明,提高最低年龄避免了一种非常糟糕的情况,但似乎甚至无法维持目前的人均产出水平。作为一项政策建议,尽管PEC no 287/2016甚至尚未投票,但建议它代表了下一次养老金改革的最低水平。
{"title":"The collapse of Brazilian Social Security: Macroeconomic impacts of the increase of the minimum age of PEC nº 287/2016 reform","authors":"Carlos Eduardo De Freitas, N. Paes","doi":"10.12660/BRE.V39N12019.75504","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.12660/BRE.V39N12019.75504","url":null,"abstract":"This paper presents a simulation of the economic impacts of the increase of the minimum age contained in the Proposal for Constitutional Amendment (PEC) no 287/2016. For that, an overlapping generations (OLG) model with 57 generations was built, including the transition rule. The results suggest that not increasing the minimum age for retirement is a very bad choice for society. The fiscal situation becomes unsustainable, and the expansion of social security expenditures, in combination with the reduction of the labor supply, leads the country to a scenario of a sharp fall in consumption and output per capita. The simulation with the new minimum retirement age of PEC no 287/2016 indicates that, although it is not the definitive solution to the Brazilian pension issue. The results of the model indicate that raising the minimum age avoids a very bad scenario, but does not seem to be even able to maintain the current level of output per capita. As a policy suggestion, although PEC no 287/2016 has not even been voted, the recommendation is that it represents a minimum level for the next pension reform.","PeriodicalId":332423,"journal":{"name":"Brazilian Review of Econometrics","volume":"143 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-07-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"122565601","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 3
The Role of Jumps and Options in the Risk Premia of Interest Rates 跳跃和期权在利率风险溢价中的作用
Pub Date : 2019-01-04 DOI: 10.12660/BRE.V38N22018.18997
Bruno Lund
There is evidence that jumps double the explanatory power of Campbell and Shiller (1991) excess bond returns’ regressions (Wright and Zhou, 2009), and options bring information about bond risk premia beyond that spanned by the yield curve (Joslin, 2007). In this paper I incorporate these features in a Gaussian Affine Term Structure Model (ATSM) in order to assess two questions: (1) what are the implications of incorporating jumps in an ATSM for option pricing, and (2) how jumps and options affect the bond risk-premia dynamics.The main findings are: (1) jump risk-premia is negative in a scenario of decreasing interest rates, and has a significant average magnitude of 1% to 2%, which means that, it explains 10% to 20% of the level of the yields; (2) the Gaussian model (A30) and the Gaussian model with constant intensity jumps (A30J) are the ones that best fit the option prices; and (3) the Gaussian model with constant intensity jumps estimated jointly with options (A30oJ) is the one that best identifies the risk premium.
有证据表明,跳跃的解释能力是Campbell和Shiller(1991)超额债券收益回归(Wright和Zhou, 2009)的两倍,期权带来的债券风险溢价信息超出了收益率曲线的跨度(Joslin, 2007)。在本文中,我将这些特征纳入高斯仿射期限结构模型(ATSM)中,以评估两个问题:(1)将跳跃纳入ATSM对期权定价的影响是什么,以及(2)跳跃和期权如何影响债券风险溢价动态。研究发现:(1)在利率下降的情况下,跳跃风险溢价为负,其平均幅度为1% ~ 2%,这意味着它解释了收益率水平的10% ~ 20%;(2)高斯模型(A30)和等强度跳跃高斯模型(A30J)最能拟合期权价格;(3)与期权(A30oJ)联合估计的等强度跳变高斯模型最能识别风险溢价。
{"title":"The Role of Jumps and Options in the Risk Premia of Interest\u0000 Rates","authors":"Bruno Lund","doi":"10.12660/BRE.V38N22018.18997","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.12660/BRE.V38N22018.18997","url":null,"abstract":"There is evidence that jumps double the explanatory power of\u0000 Campbell and Shiller (1991) excess bond returns’ regressions (Wright and\u0000 Zhou, 2009), and options bring information about bond risk premia beyond\u0000 that spanned by the yield curve (Joslin, 2007). In this paper I incorporate\u0000 these features in a Gaussian Affine Term Structure Model (ATSM) in order to\u0000 assess two questions: (1) what are the implications of incorporating jumps\u0000 in an ATSM for option pricing, and (2) how jumps and options affect the bond\u0000 risk-premia dynamics.The main findings are: (1) jump\u0000 risk-premia is negative in a scenario of decreasing interest rates, and has\u0000 a significant average magnitude of 1% to 2%, which means that, it explains\u0000 10% to 20% of the level of the yields; (2) the Gaussian model (A30) and the\u0000 Gaussian model with constant intensity jumps (A30J) are the ones that best\u0000 fit the option prices; and (3) the Gaussian model with constant intensity\u0000 jumps estimated jointly with options (A30oJ) is the one that best identifies\u0000 the risk premium.","PeriodicalId":332423,"journal":{"name":"Brazilian Review of Econometrics","volume":"3 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-01-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"127733900","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Teacher Pay and Student Performance: Evidence from Brazil 教师薪酬和学生表现:来自巴西的证据
Pub Date : 2019-01-04 DOI: 10.12660/BRE.V38N22018.73437
Priscilla Albuquerque Tavares, V. Ponczek
In this paper, we provide evidence of the effects of teacher’s pay increases on students’ learning in the context of developing countries (Sao Paulo state public education). We explore the variation in teachers' pay, given by the rule of additional salaries by length of service (quinquennium rule). We observed each teacher's eligibility for salary increases and explored the differences in the teachers’ admission date throughout the year to calculate the exposure time of teachers treated at higher salaries. We employ a difference-in-differences strategy to control for unobserved characteristics of teachers belonging to different admission cohorts. Our results are in line with what is found in the international empirical literature: salary increases for incumbent teachers do not seem to affect their productivity and, therefore, are not capable of impacting student learning in basic education.
在本文中,我们提供了发展中国家(圣保罗州公共教育)背景下教师工资增长对学生学习影响的证据。我们探讨了教师工资的变化,根据服务年限的额外工资规则(五年期规则)给出。我们观察了每位教师的加薪资格,并探讨了全年教师入职日期的差异,以计算加薪教师的暴露时间。我们采用差异中的差异策略来控制属于不同入学队列的教师的未观察到的特征。我们的研究结果与国际经验文献的发现一致:在职教师的工资增长似乎不会影响他们的生产力,因此,不会影响学生在基础教育中的学习。
{"title":"Teacher Pay and Student Performance: Evidence from Brazil","authors":"Priscilla Albuquerque Tavares, V. Ponczek","doi":"10.12660/BRE.V38N22018.73437","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.12660/BRE.V38N22018.73437","url":null,"abstract":"In this paper, we provide evidence of the effects of teacher’s pay increases on students’ learning in the context of developing countries (Sao Paulo state public education). We explore the variation in teachers' pay, given by the rule of additional salaries by length of service (quinquennium rule). We observed each teacher's eligibility for salary increases and explored the differences in the teachers’ admission date throughout the year to calculate the exposure time of teachers treated at higher salaries. We employ a difference-in-differences strategy to control for unobserved characteristics of teachers belonging to different admission cohorts. Our results are in line with what is found in the international empirical literature: salary increases for incumbent teachers do not seem to affect their productivity and, therefore, are not capable of impacting student learning in basic education.","PeriodicalId":332423,"journal":{"name":"Brazilian Review of Econometrics","volume":"176 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-01-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"126068616","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 3
Financial Aid and Student Performance in College: Evidence from Brazil 经济援助和学生在大学的表现:来自巴西的证据
Pub Date : 2019-01-04 DOI: 10.12660/BRE.V38N22018.75505
A. Lépine
This paper studies the effects of a government scholarship program for low-income college students in Brazil, the Prouni. In order to deal with selection effects, I use propensity score matching based on observable student characteristics and a proxy for previous student performance. The results are robust across different specifications, and suggest that students who received a scholarship perform better than comparable students and take less time to reach the final year of college. These effects are higher for students with full scholarships than for students with partial scholarships, and seem to be partially driven by a decrease in the proportion of students who work and an increase in time spent studying.
本文研究了巴西政府为低收入大学生提供的奖学金项目的效果。为了处理选择效应,我使用基于可观察到的学生特征和以前学生表现的代理的倾向得分匹配。研究结果在不同的指标上都很稳健,表明获得奖学金的学生比同等水平的学生表现得更好,并且花更少的时间完成大学最后一年的学业。获得全额奖学金的学生比获得部分奖学金的学生受到的影响更大,部分原因似乎是工作学生比例的下降和学习时间的增加。
{"title":"Financial Aid and Student Performance in College: Evidence from\u0000 Brazil","authors":"A. Lépine","doi":"10.12660/BRE.V38N22018.75505","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.12660/BRE.V38N22018.75505","url":null,"abstract":"This paper studies the effects of a government scholarship program for\u0000 low-income college students in Brazil, the Prouni. In order to deal with\u0000 selection effects, I use propensity score matching based on observable\u0000 student characteristics and a proxy for previous student performance. The\u0000 results are robust across different specifications, and suggest that\u0000 students who received a scholarship perform better than comparable students\u0000 and take less time to reach the final year of college. These effects are\u0000 higher for students with full scholarships than for students with partial\u0000 scholarships, and seem to be partially driven by a decrease in the\u0000 proportion of students who work and an increase in time spent\u0000 studying.","PeriodicalId":332423,"journal":{"name":"Brazilian Review of Econometrics","volume":"94 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-01-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"124736878","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 6
Risk Aversion or Model Uncertainty? An Empirical Cross-Sectional Analysis Across Countries 风险厌恶还是模型不确定性?跨国家的实证横断面分析
Pub Date : 2019-01-04 DOI: 10.12660/BRE.V38N22018.76136
Caio Almeida, P. Engel, João Valente
By analyzing a panel of macro data including both Emerging Markets (EM) and Advanced Economies (AE), we identify that an acceptable level of model uncertainty helps to explain the equity premium existing in all these markets. Model uncertainty aversion is in general higher for EMs than for AEs. In addition, the degree of cross-sectional heterogeneity across countries' estimates of model uncertainty aversion is smaller than the corresponding heterogeneity of the risk aversion estimates in a traditional CRRA preference. We also compute separate costs of model risk and uncertainty for these economies in terms of present consumption, and conclude that the most significant effects come from uncertainty.
通过分析包括新兴市场(EM)和发达经济体(AE)在内的宏观数据面板,我们发现可接受的模型不确定性水平有助于解释所有这些市场中存在的股票溢价。新兴市场对模型不确定性的厌恶程度通常高于随机事件。此外,各国对模型不确定性厌恶估计的横截面异质性程度小于传统CRRA偏好中风险厌恶估计的相应异质性。我们还根据当前消费计算了这些经济体的模型风险和不确定性的单独成本,并得出结论,最显著的影响来自不确定性。
{"title":"Risk Aversion or Model Uncertainty? An Empirical Cross-Sectional Analysis\u0000 Across Countries","authors":"Caio Almeida, P. Engel, João Valente","doi":"10.12660/BRE.V38N22018.76136","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.12660/BRE.V38N22018.76136","url":null,"abstract":"By analyzing a panel of macro data including both Emerging Markets (EM)\u0000 and Advanced Economies (AE), we identify that an acceptable level of model\u0000 uncertainty helps to explain the equity premium existing in all these\u0000 markets. Model uncertainty aversion is in general higher for EMs than for\u0000 AEs. In addition, the degree of cross-sectional heterogeneity across\u0000 countries' estimates of model uncertainty aversion is smaller than the\u0000 corresponding heterogeneity of the risk aversion estimates in a traditional\u0000 CRRA preference. We also compute separate costs of model risk and\u0000 uncertainty for these economies in terms of present consumption, and\u0000 conclude that the most significant effects come from uncertainty.","PeriodicalId":332423,"journal":{"name":"Brazilian Review of Econometrics","volume":"23 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-01-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"122129568","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
期刊
Brazilian Review of Econometrics
全部 Acc. Chem. Res. ACS Applied Bio Materials ACS Appl. Electron. Mater. ACS Appl. Energy Mater. ACS Appl. Mater. Interfaces ACS Appl. Nano Mater. ACS Appl. Polym. Mater. ACS BIOMATER-SCI ENG ACS Catal. ACS Cent. Sci. ACS Chem. Biol. ACS Chemical Health & Safety ACS Chem. Neurosci. ACS Comb. Sci. ACS Earth Space Chem. ACS Energy Lett. ACS Infect. Dis. ACS Macro Lett. ACS Mater. Lett. ACS Med. Chem. Lett. ACS Nano ACS Omega ACS Photonics ACS Sens. ACS Sustainable Chem. Eng. ACS Synth. Biol. Anal. Chem. BIOCHEMISTRY-US Bioconjugate Chem. BIOMACROMOLECULES Chem. Res. Toxicol. Chem. Rev. Chem. Mater. CRYST GROWTH DES ENERG FUEL Environ. Sci. Technol. Environ. Sci. Technol. Lett. Eur. J. Inorg. Chem. IND ENG CHEM RES Inorg. Chem. J. Agric. Food. Chem. J. Chem. Eng. Data J. Chem. Educ. J. Chem. Inf. Model. J. Chem. Theory Comput. J. Med. Chem. J. Nat. Prod. J PROTEOME RES J. Am. Chem. Soc. LANGMUIR MACROMOLECULES Mol. Pharmaceutics Nano Lett. Org. Lett. ORG PROCESS RES DEV ORGANOMETALLICS J. Org. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. A J. Phys. Chem. B J. Phys. Chem. C J. Phys. Chem. Lett. Analyst Anal. Methods Biomater. Sci. Catal. Sci. Technol. Chem. Commun. Chem. Soc. Rev. CHEM EDUC RES PRACT CRYSTENGCOMM Dalton Trans. Energy Environ. Sci. ENVIRON SCI-NANO ENVIRON SCI-PROC IMP ENVIRON SCI-WAT RES Faraday Discuss. Food Funct. Green Chem. Inorg. Chem. Front. Integr. Biol. J. Anal. At. Spectrom. J. Mater. Chem. A J. Mater. Chem. B J. Mater. Chem. C Lab Chip Mater. Chem. Front. Mater. Horiz. MEDCHEMCOMM Metallomics Mol. Biosyst. Mol. Syst. Des. Eng. Nanoscale Nanoscale Horiz. Nat. Prod. Rep. New J. Chem. Org. Biomol. Chem. Org. Chem. Front. PHOTOCH PHOTOBIO SCI PCCP Polym. Chem.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1