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Introduction 介绍
Pub Date : 2020-12-30 DOI: 10.18778/1427-9657.09.01
Alicja Stępień-Kuczyńska, M. Słowikowski
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引用次数: 0
The cybersecurity of Georgia and threats from Russia 格鲁吉亚的网络安全与俄罗斯的威胁
Pub Date : 2020-12-30 DOI: 10.18778/1427-9657.09.07
V. Maisaia, Alika Guchua, Thornike Zedelashvili
The world is living in a state of constant psychological warfare, technological advances and development; in the 21st century Internet governance has become a puzzle for scientists and practitioners. Virtual warfare is an alternative to real warfare, one of the biggest threats to global security. In discussing the issue, we must consider the capabilities of the world’s leading countries, and first of all, identify the threat posed by Russia, which is the core of unpredictable aggression. This state is trying to influence almost the whole world with large-scale cyber-hacking attacks and continuous disinformation and fake news. Today it is difficult to find out where the theoretical war begins and where the practical military aggression ends, so new research, recommendations, scientific papers, and defence strategies are needed. Defensive mechanisms are created for cyber-attacks and this is always followed by more powerful attacks; that is why NATO enacted Article 5 of the Washington Treaty or the principle of “collective defence.” The article discusses Russia’s aggressive policy towards Georgia during and after the Russian-Georgian war in August 2008. The features of the Russian hybrid war and cyber attacks are discussed.
世界正处于不断的心理战、技术进步和发展的状态;在21世纪,互联网治理已经成为困扰科学家和实践者的一个难题。虚拟战争是真实战争的另一种选择,是对全球安全的最大威胁之一。在讨论这个问题时,我们必须考虑世界主要国家的能力,首先,确定俄罗斯构成的威胁,这是不可预测的侵略的核心。这个国家正试图通过大规模的网络黑客攻击和持续的虚假信息和假新闻影响几乎整个世界。今天,很难找出理论上的战争在哪里开始,实际的军事侵略在哪里结束,因此需要新的研究、建议、科学论文和防御战略。防御机制是为网络攻击而建立的,随之而来的总是更强大的攻击;这就是北约制定《华盛顿条约》第5条或“集体防御”原则的原因。本文论述了2008年8月俄格战争期间及之后俄罗斯对格鲁吉亚的侵略政策。讨论了俄罗斯混合战争和网络攻击的特点。
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引用次数: 0
Russia’s hybrid invasion in Belarus during the presidential election campaign 2020 俄罗斯在2020年总统竞选期间对白俄罗斯的混合入侵
Pub Date : 2020-12-30 DOI: 10.18778/1427-9657.09.08
A. Ilyina
There are various instruments for Russia to have influence on its neighbours, such as using opinion leaders (authorities), intellectuals, and journalists to create a favourable informational context or to place the ordered materials in the media so as to have an impact on public opinion. These are the types of information attacks that can lead to the loss of statehood or the substantial limitation of sovereignty. This hybrid aggression strives to precisely this result. The main questions are: how the Russian information space, mud-slinging and troll farms functioned in Belarus during the presidential election? How the fake news which is produced in Russia impacts societies? Which political scenarios appeared in Belarus following Russia’s informational influence? It is a fact that today the Russian authorities use tools of fake news and propaganda; combined with the extra possibilities of social media. The appearance of fake news is connected with national safety because they jeopardize democratic institutions, lead to the radicalization of society, and change the balance of authority. In the research, the methodologies were used from the sociology of communication, political science and content analysis.
俄罗斯有各种手段对其邻国产生影响,例如利用舆论领袖(当局)、知识分子和记者创造有利的信息环境,或将订购的材料放在媒体上,以对公众舆论产生影响。这些类型的信息攻击可能导致国家地位的丧失或主权的实质性限制。这种混合攻击正是为了达到这个结果。主要问题是:在总统选举期间,俄罗斯的信息空间、甩泥和巨魔农场是如何在白俄罗斯运作的?俄罗斯制造的假新闻如何影响社会?在俄罗斯的信息影响下,白俄罗斯出现了哪些政治场景?事实上,今天俄罗斯当局使用假新闻和宣传工具;再加上社交媒体的额外可能性。假新闻的出现与国家安全有关,因为它们危害民主制度,导致社会激进化,并改变权力平衡。在研究中,采用了传播社会学、政治学和内容分析的方法。
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引用次数: 0
Old and New Uzbekistan – A comparative essay on the last years of Islam Karimov’s reign and Shavkat Mirziyoyev’s presidency 新旧乌兹别克斯坦-一篇关于伊斯兰·卡里莫夫统治的最后几年和沙夫卡特·米尔济约耶夫总统任期的比较文章
Pub Date : 2019-12-30 DOI: 10.18778/1427-9657.08.11
Krystian Pachucki-Włosek
The article aims to present the positive and negative effects of the change in the position of the President of the Republic of Uzbekistan. The article focuses on economic issues, comparing the policy of President Islam Karimov and the policy of President Shavkat Mirziyoyev. The work also compares the foreign policy of both leaders towards Uzbekistan’s largest political partners: Russia and China. The above article tries to answer the question: are the changes in Uzbekistan significant after 2016 or only superficial?
本文旨在介绍乌兹别克斯坦共和国总统职位变动的积极和消极影响。这篇文章聚焦于经济问题,比较了总统伊斯兰·卡里莫夫和总统沙夫卡特·米尔济约耶夫的政策。这项工作还比较了两位领导人对乌兹别克斯坦最大政治伙伴俄罗斯和中国的外交政策。上述文章试图回答这样一个问题:2016年后乌兹别克斯坦的变化是显著的,还是只是表面的?
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引用次数: 0
Vectors of development in higher education of Russia and Belarus: A comparative approach 俄罗斯和白俄罗斯高等教育发展的载体:比较方法
Pub Date : 2019-12-30 DOI: 10.18778/1427-9657.08.09
L. Titarenko
The article is devoted to the sphere of higher education in two former Soviet countries: Russia and Belarus . It is aimed to compare the systems of higher education in these countries under the angle of global and regional challenges . The article is based on national statistics from both states and survey data . The author analyses the ways that each of the countries’ practices to increase its educational competitiveness on the global level and adapt to the market conditions . It is described that both countries use such mechanisms in the sphere of higher education as an educational service for foreign students and membership in the educational associations (European and Eurasian) . The scale of the systems of higher education and their potential are described to explain the similarities and differences between the two countries. Three types of educational integration are described . The article concludes that the system of higher education in Belarus is currently developing in a way that differs from Russia and its achievements are much smaller; at the same time, regardless of the declarations on the necessity of internationalisation, current development leads Belarus further away from the European education system, while also not make it closer to Russia . A lack of resources and political dominance over the educational goals make the Belarusian system of higher education not as attractive for students as the Russian one .
这篇文章专门介绍了两个前苏联国家的高等教育领域:俄罗斯和白俄罗斯。它旨在从全球和地区挑战的角度对这些国家的高等教育体系进行比较。这篇文章基于各州的国家统计数据和调查数据。作者分析了各国在提高全球教育竞争力和适应市场条件方面的做法。据介绍,两国都在高等教育领域使用这种机制,为外国学生提供教育服务,并加入教育协会(欧洲和欧亚)。介绍了两国高等教育体系的规模及其潜力,以解释两国之间的异同。介绍了三种类型的教育融合。文章的结论是,白俄罗斯的高等教育体系目前正以不同于俄罗斯的方式发展,其成就要小得多;与此同时,尽管有关于国际化必要性的声明,但当前的发展使白俄罗斯进一步远离欧洲教育体系,同时也没有使其更接近俄罗斯。由于缺乏资源和在教育目标上的政治主导地位,白俄罗斯高等教育体系对学生的吸引力不如俄罗斯。
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引用次数: 0
Subnational actors in the relations between China and Central and Eastern European countries 中国与中东欧国家关系中的地方行为体
Pub Date : 2019-12-30 DOI: 10.18778/1427-9657.08.10
Hongfei Gu
While much discussion centres on China’s engagement with Central and Eastern European countries, few studies investigate the role of subnational actors in the relations between the two sides. This paper brings China’s cooperation with Central and Eastern European (CEECs) countries, centred around what is popularly known as the “16 + 1” mechanism. It aims to unravel the link between local governments and the “16 + 1” cooperation mechanism. Local governments’ external cooperation is a new attempt in China’s diplomatic layout. It argues that the exchanges between local governments are a useful supplement to the in-depth cooperation between the two sides, and the cooperation between the two sides has formed a relatively stable pattern. At present, it has entered the stage of an in-depth integration focusing on optimization and upgrading. The further development of local cooperation mainly depends on whether it can play a sufficient leading role in the economic development of China and the countries of Central and Eastern Europe.
虽然很多讨论都集中在中国与中东欧国家的交往上,但很少有研究调查次国家行为体在双方关系中的作用。本文以“16 + 1合作”机制为核心,介绍了中国与中东欧国家的合作。它旨在解开地方政府与“16 + 1合作”机制之间的联系。地方政府对外合作是中国外交布局的新尝试。认为地方政府间的交流是对双方深入合作的有益补充,双方的合作已经形成了相对稳定的格局。目前已进入以优化升级为重点的深度整合阶段。地方合作的进一步发展,主要取决于它能否在中国和中东欧国家的经济发展中发挥足够的引领作用。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of foreign direct investment and venture capital investment on entrepreneurship in the Republic of Serbia 外国直接投资和风险资本投资对塞尔维亚共和国创业的影响
Pub Date : 2019-12-30 DOI: 10.18778/1427-9657.08.01
Ivana Jolović, Alpar Lošonc
The subject of the research is the examination of features and significance of two modern types of investment intended for financing entrepreneurship: that is, foreign direct investment and venture capital investment. The starting point of the study is the sector of small and medium-sized enterprises and entrepreneurs with all the challenges and opportunities that characterize its financial position in the Republic of Serbia. The aim of this research is to analyse the impact of both direct investment and entrepreneurial capital investment on small businesses, or more precisely, to examine the influence of foreign direct investment and venture capital investment on entrepreneurship. This paper focuses on the impact that these types of financing have on management, financial stability, and the performance of the relevant business entities. Furthermore, the current situation and perspectives of these types of financing are analysed in detail. The aim of this paper is to provide insight into the effects that foreign direct and venture capital investments have on Serbian small and medium-sized enterprises and the entrepreneurial sector, as well as to point to what is currently the more favourable solution for the financing problem with which these entities are faced. The following methods are used for the preparation of this paper: a detailed analysis of the content of European and national statistical reports; available national and foreign literature of international and domestic authors in the field of foreign direct investment, venture capital investment and entrepreneurship; descriptive and comparative methods.
本研究的主题是考察两种旨在为创业融资的现代投资类型的特征和意义:即外国直接投资和风险投资。这项研究的出发点是中小型企业和企业家部门,其在塞尔维亚共和国的财务状况面临着各种挑战和机遇。本研究的目的是分析直接投资和创业资本投资对小企业的影响,或者更准确地说,考察外国直接投资和风险资本投资对创业的影响。本文重点研究了这些类型的融资对相关企业实体的管理、财务稳定性和绩效的影响。此外,还详细分析了这类融资的现状和前景。本文的目的是深入了解外国直接投资和风险投资对塞尔维亚中小企业和创业部门的影响,并指出目前对这些实体面临的融资问题更有利的解决方案。本文采用以下方法编写:详细分析欧洲和国家统计报告的内容;国际和国内作者在外国直接投资、风险投资和创业领域的现有国内外文献;描述性和比较性方法。
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引用次数: 0
The negative implications of Russia’s doping scandal on the country’s international image 俄罗斯兴奋剂丑闻对该国国际形象的负面影响
Pub Date : 2019-12-30 DOI: 10.18778/1427-9657.08.07
Anna Kobierecka, M. Kobierecki
In December 2014, Russia was accused of developing a state-organized doping system in the second decade of the twenty-first century. The scandal resulted in many Russian athletes being banned from competing in the Olympics in Rio in 2016 and the IOC’s suspension of the Russian National Olympic Committee prior to the 2018 Winter Olympics in PyeongChang. The research presented in this article aims to answer the research question of whether the doping scandal actually affected the international image of Russia. The research was conducted with the use of frame analysis of public discourse. The hypothesis to be tested states that the Russian doping scandal contributed to the intensification of a negative external image of this state.
2014年12月,俄罗斯被指控在21世纪第二个十年发展了一个国家组织的兴奋剂系统。该丑闻导致许多俄罗斯运动员被禁止参加2016年奥运会,国际奥委会在2018年平昌冬奥会之前暂停了俄罗斯国家奥委会的参赛资格。本文的研究旨在回答兴奋剂丑闻是否真的影响了俄罗斯的国际形象这一研究问题。本研究采用公共话语的框架分析法进行。有待检验的假设是,俄罗斯兴奋剂丑闻加剧了这个国家的负面外部形象。
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引用次数: 1
The social policy of Belarus and the development of human potential: Problems and solutions 白俄罗斯的社会政策与人类潜力的开发:问题和解决办法
Pub Date : 2019-12-30 DOI: 10.18778/1427-9657.08.14
E. Rezanova
The article is devoted to the analysis of the directions and mechanisms of adapting the social policy of Belarus to the demographic, migration, communication and technological challenges of modern society. The purpose of the article is to search for social policy mechanisms aimed at developing human potential and stimulating the social activity of citizens. The author analyses the directions of the state’s social policy in the absence of the reproduction of labor resources, an increase in the demographic burden on the ablebodied population, an uneven distribution of labor resources, the emigration of skilled personnel, growth in automation and robotization of production, and a growing need to build effective communication between the government and the population. The article provides an extensive analysis of statistical information, sociological research data, the legislative framework, methods and social technologies of social policy. As a result of the study the author comes to the conclusion that it is necessary to search for new mechanisms for implementing social policy in various fields. Therefore, in the field of demography, it is advisable to search for indirect measures to increase social guarantees for women in order to stimulate fertility, and transform the pension system in order to reduce the demographic burden on the working population. In the field of migration, it is advisable to take government action to prevent the outflow of highly qualified specialists abroad and to return of students who have received education abroad. In the field of social and labor relations existing personnel technologists should be improved and objective methods for evaluating the effectiveness of employees based on a competency-based approach should be introduced. In the field of communication between society and the state it is necessary to inform the public about the current state policy and to organize public discussions of the state initiatives before making them.
本文致力于分析白俄罗斯社会政策适应现代社会人口、移民、通信和技术挑战的方向和机制。这篇文章的目的是寻找旨在开发人类潜力和刺激公民社会活动的社会政策机制。作者分析了在劳动力资源没有再生产、健全人口的人口负担增加、劳动力资源分配不均、技术人员外流、生产自动化和机器人化发展的情况下,国家社会政策的方向,以及越来越需要在政府和民众之间建立有效的沟通。本文对统计信息、社会学研究数据、社会政策的立法框架、方法和社会技术进行了广泛的分析。研究结果表明,有必要在各个领域寻找新的社会政策实施机制。因此,在人口学领域,最好寻求间接措施,增加对妇女的社会保障,以刺激生育,并改革养老金制度,以减轻劳动人口的人口负担。在移民领域,建议政府采取行动,防止高素质专家外流到国外,并防止在国外接受教育的学生回国。在社会和劳动关系领域,应改进现有的人事技术人员,并引入基于能力的方法评估员工有效性的客观方法。在社会和国家之间的沟通领域,有必要向公众宣传当前的国家政策,并在制定国家倡议之前组织公众讨论。
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引用次数: 0
Stability and economic freedom in the countries of Central and Eastern Europe: Quantitative analysis 中欧和东欧国家的稳定和经济自由:定量分析
Pub Date : 2019-12-30 DOI: 10.18778/1427-9657.08.06
A. Karateev
Exploring the stability of states and political systems is of interest to scientists and politicians all around the world. One of the most important questions in this field is the question of the relationship between stability and freedom. This paper considers the relationship between economic freedom and stability with regards to the example of countries of Central and Eastern Europe. The study uses quantitative analysis and the operationalisation of economic freedom through the Index of Economic Freedom (IEF); furthermore, stability is studied through the Fragile States Index (FSI), and the Political Stability and Absence of Violence/Terrorism Index (PSI). The analysis reveals a strong correlation between economic freedom and stability. According to linear regression models obtained by the author, economic freedom has a strong impact on stability. Models show that most of the components of IEF increase stability, whilst some components decrease it. This means that the same factors affect economic freedom and stability in different ways. In particular, taxes have a very positive effect on stability. At the same it is obvious that taxes reduce economic freedom. This fact allows us to resolve the existing contradictions among politicians and scientists, who differently assess the impact of economic freedom on stability. It may be stated that whilst economic freedom has in general a strong positive effect on stability, it can also have a negative effect.
探索国家和政治制度的稳定性是全世界科学家和政治家都感兴趣的问题。这一领域中最重要的问题之一是稳定与自由之间的关系问题。本文以中东欧国家为例,探讨了经济自由与稳定的关系。该研究通过经济自由指数(IEF)对经济自由进行定量分析和操作;此外,稳定性研究通过脆弱国家指数(FSI)和政治稳定和没有暴力/恐怖主义指数(PSI)。分析表明,经济自由与稳定之间存在很强的相关性。根据笔者得到的线性回归模型,经济自由度对稳定性有很强的影响。模型表明,IEF的大部分成分增加了稳定性,而一些成分降低了稳定性。这意味着同样的因素会以不同的方式影响经济自由和稳定。特别是,税收对稳定有非常积极的影响。同时,很明显,税收降低了经济自由。这一事实使我们能够解决政治家和科学家之间存在的矛盾,他们对经济自由对稳定的影响有不同的评估。可以说,虽然经济自由通常对稳定有很强的积极影响,但它也可能有消极影响。
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引用次数: 0
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Eastern Review
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