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MODELS AND ALGORITHMS OF THE CONSISTENT FINANCIAL DISTRIBUTION IN THE IMPLEMENTATION OF PROJECTS OF THE ASSOCIATION OF BUSINESS ENTITIES 企业联合体项目实施中财务一致性分配的模型与算法
Yu. V. Bondarenko, Azeez Ammar Emad, E. Vasilchikova, O. Bondarenko
A characteristic feature of the development of modern economic systems is active association, inte-gration of enterprises into larger economic entities. A distinctive feature of such associations is the multidirectional interests of its members. The development of innovative mechanisms for financial management of an integrated structure, allowing to take into account the conflic¬ting interests of the enterprises of the association, is an urgent task. Aim. To develop mathematical models and algo-rithms to improve the efficiency of financial management of the association of business entities by forming an optimal package of projects and coordinated distribution of profits from its implemen-tation between enterprises. Materials and methods. The proposed approach is based on the use of systems analysis methods, optimization methods, decision theory and game theory. The paper dis-cusses the mechanism for the coordinated distribution of funds of the enterprises of the association in the implementation of projects, which consists of two enlarged stages. At the first stage, an optimal package of merger projects is formed. Each enterprise of the association offers its own variants of projects, from which a package of projects is formed. The constructed model of the formation of a package of projects that ensures the amalgamation of obtaining the greatest profit is a knapsack problem and is solved by the branch and bound method. At the second stage, the distri-bution of profits from the implementation of projects between the enterprises of the association is carried out. To find the distribution of profits, ensuring the coordination of the economic interests of the enterprises of the association, it is proposed to use the methods and principles of the theory of cooperative games. The paper shows that the described problem can be formally represented as a game in the form of a characteristic function. It is proposed to choose a certain element of the C-core as an agreed profit distribution. The formation of this element is carried out on the basis of an optimization model, the function of the goal and the system of restrictions of which takes into ac-count quantitative indicators of the activity of enterprises' participation in the implementation of merger projects. Results. A mechanism has been developed for the coordinated distribution of fi-nancial resources of the enterprises of the association during the implementation of projects, based on mathematical models and methods. A feature of the mechanism is the application of the game principle when distributing the profit of projects. Practical calculations are carried out to substantiate the advantages of the presented approach in comparison with the known methods. Conclusion. The coordinated distribution of finances proposed in the work reasonably ensures the benefit of each en-terprise from the joint implementation of projects and stimulates the management of enterprises to search for highly effective p
现代经济体系发展的一个特征是企业积极地联合起来,整合成更大的经济实体。这种协会的一个显著特征是其成员的多向利益。发展一体化结构的创新财务管理机制,考虑到协会企业的利益冲突,是一项紧迫的任务。的目标。开发数学模型和算法,通过形成最优的项目组合,协调企业间实施收益分配,提高企业联合体财务管理效率。材料和方法。该方法基于系统分析方法、优化方法、决策理论和博弈论的应用。本文探讨了协会企业在项目实施过程中的资金协调分配机制,该机制分为两个扩大阶段。在第一阶段,形成最优的并购方案包。协会的每个企业都提供了自己的项目变体,由此形成了一个项目包。构建的保证项目组合获得最大利润的项目组合模型是一个背包问题,采用分支定界法进行求解。第二阶段,在协会企业之间进行项目实施利润的分配。为了寻找利润分配,保证协会企业经济利益的协调,提出了运用合作博弈理论的方法和原则。本文证明了所描述的问题可以用特征函数的形式表示为一个博弈。建议选择c核心的某一要素作为商定的利润分配。这一要素的形成是在优化模型的基础上进行的,优化模型的目标功能和约束体系考虑了企业参与并购项目实施活动的量化指标。结果。建立了以数学模型和方法为基础的协会企业在项目实施过程中资金资源协调分配机制。该机制的一个特点是在分配项目利润时运用了博弈原则。实际计算表明,与已知方法相比,所提出的方法具有优势。结论。工作中提出的资金协调分配,合理保证了各企业在共同实施项目中获得的利益,激励企业管理层寻找高效的项目。
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引用次数: 0
FORECASTING OF FINANCING OF ENTERPRISE CONVERSION 企业转型融资预测
O. Dranko
Purpose of the study. The task set by the President of Russia to increase the output of civilian products at the enterprises of the defense complex to 50% in 2030 requires the study of various ne-cessary resources, as well as models and methods of managing them. In the context of the econom-ic crisis caused by the coronavirus in 2020, the relevance of studying the possibilities of achieving this significant task is increasing. In this work, the goal is to develop a mathematical model, conduct modeling and assess the need for financing the growth of civilian output at enterprises in the re-search and development industry. Methods. A simulation model for multi-period forecasting of the financial state of the enterprise is used. Methods of processing big data are used to obtain the in-itial information. The means of regression analysis are used to determine the dependencies of the fi-nancial statements. Scenario analysis methods allow us to consider and highlight the significant fac-tors influencing the research goal. Results. A multi-period model of forecasting the financial and economic state of an enterprise has been developed to assess the consequences of an increase in ci-vilian production at enterprises of scientific research and development. The initial data of financial statements based on open data from Russian Agency for Statistics (Rosstat) were obtained, and the aggregation of reporting indicators was carried out. Simulation calculations were carried out in the scenarios of inertial growth, growth with an increase in efficiency, and replacement growth. The task of increasing the share of civilian products to 50% by 2030 at scientific and technical en-terprises in Russia will require significant additional funding, an estimate of about 1,300 billion ru-bles in an inertial scenario. The development and implementation of a program to improve the effi-ciency of enterprises significantly reduces the need for additional financing, the estimate is about 1,100 billion rubles with a slight improvement in efficiency parameters. Conclusion. The results of this study can be used to develop industrial development programs both at the industry level and at the level of individual enterprises. Increasing the output of civilian products will require significant funding. Development and implementation of operational efficiency programs of enterprises can significant-ly reduce the need for additional funding.
研究目的:俄罗斯总统提出的到2030年将国防综合体企业的民用产品产量提高到50%的任务,需要研究各种必要的资源,以及管理这些资源的模式和方法。在2020年冠状病毒引发经济危机的背景下,研究实现这一重大任务的可能性的重要性日益增加。在这项工作中,目标是发展一个数学模型,进行建模并评估为研究和发展工业企业民用产出增长提供资金的需要。方法。提出了一种多期预测企业财务状况的仿真模型。采用大数据处理方法获取初始信息。运用回归分析的方法确定财务报表的相关性。情景分析方法使我们能够考虑并突出影响研究目标的重要因素。结果。开发了一个预测企业财务和经济状况的多时期模型,以评估科研和开发企业增加民用生产的后果。基于俄罗斯统计局(Rosstat)的公开数据获得财务报表的初始数据,并对报告指标进行汇总。分别在惯性生长、效率提高生长和替代生长三种情况下进行了仿真计算。到2030年将俄罗斯科技企业的民用产品份额提高到50%的任务将需要大量额外资金,在惯性情景下估计约为1.3万亿卢布。制定和实施提高企业效率的方案大大减少了对额外融资的需求,估计约为1.1万亿卢布,效率参数略有改善。结论。本研究结果可用于产业层面及个别企业层面的产业发展规划。增加民用产品的产量将需要大量资金。企业运营效率方案的制定和实施可以显著减少对额外资金的需求。
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引用次数: 0
DEVELOPMENT OF AN AUTOMATIC REFLUX RATIO REGULATION SYSTEM FOR THE RECTIFICATION COLUMN 精馏塔自动回流比调节系统的研制
L. Tugashova, A. Zatonskiy
This article provides an overview of the methods of managing the primary petroleum refining. To improve separation efficiency was proposed to stabilize the reflux ratio in the rectifying column. Purpose of work. To develop a system for automatic regulation of the reflux ratio of diesel fuel sec-tions in an atmospheric column of the refinery oil. To study the operating modes of an atmospheric column with the participation of the obtained automatic control system. Materials and methods. The article presented the features of the oil rectification process at the atmospheric unit of a small capacity refinery. The features of heat dissipation with intermediate circulation flash compared to a large-capacity unit will be shown in this article. The parameters of the facility were selected and divided into groups. A dynamic model of the section of shell-and-tube heat exchangers for heating oil with diesel fuel at a low-power refinery unit in the form of differential equations of heat balance has been developed to achieve the goal set work. An electrode dehydrator material balance equation has been compiled to find desalted oil consumption and saltwater consumption. The dependence of the reflux ratio of diesel fuel sections of the atmospheric column on the inlet and outlet temperatures of the atmospheric column circulation flash, the acute fractionation con-sumption, circulation flash, and oil fraction selection was obtained. The resulting model of the facili-ty consists of two parts: the linear part of the electric dehydrator and heat exchanger section, which determines the temperatures of the coolants, and the nonlinear output part, which determines the re-flux ratio depending on technological parameters. The proposed model makes it possible to investi-gate the effect of disturbances on the controlled parameters. The MATLAB/Simulink software prod-uct has been chosen as a tool to implement the model. A system of automatic regulation of the re-flux ratio in MATLAB/Simulink has been built with the participation of the developed model of the study object. Conclusion. The results of modeling a system for automatic regulation of the reflux ratio of diesel fuel sections in the atmospheric column of a low-power refinery unit has been ob-tained, taking into account the peculiarities of the process under disturbance conditions.
本文综述了石油初级炼制的管理方法。为了提高精馏塔的分离效率,提出了稳定精馏塔回流比的方法。工作目的。研制一种炼油厂常压塔中柴油段回流比自动调节系统。在获得的自动控制系统的参与下,研究常压塔的操作模式。材料和方法。介绍了某小容量炼油厂常压装置炼油精馏工艺的特点。本文将介绍与大容量机组相比,中间循环闪蒸的散热特点。对设施的参数进行了选择和分组。为实现设定的目标工作,建立了小功率炼油装置管壳式换热器用柴油加热油段的热平衡微分方程动态模型。建立了电极脱水机物料平衡方程,计算了脱盐油消耗量和海水消耗量。得到了常压塔柴油段回流比与常压塔循环闪蒸进出口温度、急性分馏消耗、循环闪蒸和油分选择的关系。所得到的装置模型由两部分组成:电脱水器和热交换器段的线性部分决定冷却剂的温度,非线性输出部分根据工艺参数决定回流比。该模型使研究扰动对被控参数的影响成为可能。本文选择MATLAB/Simulink软件产品作为实现模型的工具。利用研究对象开发的模型,在MATLAB/Simulink中建立了一个再通比自动调节系统。结论。给出了考虑扰动条件下常压塔内柴油段回流比自动调节系统的建模结果。
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引用次数: 0
DEVELOPMENT OF A MODIFIED WINNOWING METHOD FOR AGGREGATING BIBLIOGRAPHIC INFORMATION DATA FROM CITATION SYSTEMS UNDER THE CONDITIONS OF INCOMPLETE INFORMATION 在不完全信息条件下从引文系统中收集书目信息数据的改进筛选方法的开发
I. Bolodurina, Yu. P. Ivanova, L. M. Antsiferova, V. D. Blinov
Currently, transition to the electronic presentation of bibliographic information about scientific works has caused an increased interest in scientometric research. At the same time, the existing sci-entometric methods are criticized by scientists, since the incomplete bibliographic base and tools for its assessment do not allow the most accurate assessment of the contribution of scientific work. The problem of the quality of scientometric assessments, as a rule, is based on the study of the data of a certain citation system, which does not include complete information about all publications of the authors contained in other citation systems. Aim. This study is aimed at developing an adaptive ap-proach for the formation of aggregated data of bibliographic information of a scientific organiza-tion in conditions of incomplete information from the citation systems of the RSCI, “Google Aca-demy” and Scopus. Methods. The definition of the aggregated list of publications for the analysis of scientometric indicators was carried out by the Winnowing method, the Levenshtein algorithm, the shingle method and the Jaro–Winkler method. In the framework of the experimental study, the effectiveness of the application of the considered methods for aggregating information from cita-tion systems was assessed based on the analysis of accuracy, completeness and F-measure. Results. Expe¬riments on test data from the list of publications by authors of the Orenburg State University from the citation systems RSCI, Google Academy and Scopus showed that the Winnowing method formed the most accurate lists of publications by the F-measure criterion. To improve the perfor-mance of this algorithm, a two-stage optimization of the aggregation process was carried out, which made it possible to improve the running time of the algorithm when generating a list of bibliographic descriptions. Conclusion. The proposed approach for the formation of aggregated data of biblio-graphic information of a scientific organization in conditions of incomplete information from the ci-tation systems of the Russian Science Citation Index, Google Academy and Scopus allows increas-ing productivity in the formation of a list of authors' publications and shows good efficiency in de-termining the scientometric characteristics of authors.
目前,向科学著作书目信息的电子表示的过渡引起了人们对科学计量学研究的兴趣。与此同时,现有的科学计量学方法也受到了科学家的批评,因为其评估的书目基础和工具不完整,无法最准确地评估科学工作的贡献。通常,科学计量学评估的质量问题是基于对某一引文系统数据的研究,而该系统不包括其他引文系统中作者所有出版物的完整信息。的目标。本研究旨在开发一种在RSCI、“Google academy -demy”和Scopus引文系统信息不完全的情况下,形成科学组织书目信息汇总数据的自适应方法。方法。采用Winnowing法、Levenshtein算法、shingle法和Jaro-Winkler法定义用于科学计量指标分析的出版物汇总列表。在实验研究的框架内,基于准确性、完整性和F-measure分析,评估了所考虑的引文系统信息聚合方法的有效性。结果。对来自RSCI、Google Academy和Scopus引文系统的奥伦堡州立大学作者的出版物列表的测试数据进行了实验,结果表明,根据F-measure标准,Winnowing方法形成了最准确的出版物列表。为了提高算法的性能,对聚合过程进行了两阶段优化,使得算法在生成书目描述列表时的运行时间得以提高。结论。在俄罗斯科学引文索引(Russian Science Citation Index)、Google Academy和Scopus等引文系统信息不完全的情况下,提出的形成科学组织书目信息汇总数据的方法可以提高作者出版物列表的形成效率,并在确定作者的科学计量特征方面显示出良好的效率。
{"title":"DEVELOPMENT OF A MODIFIED WINNOWING METHOD FOR AGGREGATING BIBLIOGRAPHIC INFORMATION DATA FROM CITATION SYSTEMS UNDER THE CONDITIONS OF INCOMPLETE INFORMATION","authors":"I. Bolodurina, Yu. P. Ivanova, L. M. Antsiferova, V. D. Blinov","doi":"10.14529/ctcr200413","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.14529/ctcr200413","url":null,"abstract":"Currently, transition to the electronic presentation of bibliographic information about scientific works has caused an increased interest in scientometric research. At the same time, the existing sci-entometric methods are criticized by scientists, since the incomplete bibliographic base and tools for its assessment do not allow the most accurate assessment of the contribution of scientific work. The problem of the quality of scientometric assessments, as a rule, is based on the study of the data of a certain citation system, which does not include complete information about all publications of the authors contained in other citation systems. Aim. This study is aimed at developing an adaptive ap-proach for the formation of aggregated data of bibliographic information of a scientific organiza-tion in conditions of incomplete information from the citation systems of the RSCI, “Google Aca-demy” and Scopus. Methods. The definition of the aggregated list of publications for the analysis of scientometric indicators was carried out by the Winnowing method, the Levenshtein algorithm, the shingle method and the Jaro–Winkler method. In the framework of the experimental study, the effectiveness of the application of the considered methods for aggregating information from cita-tion systems was assessed based on the analysis of accuracy, completeness and F-measure. Results. Expe¬riments on test data from the list of publications by authors of the Orenburg State University from the citation systems RSCI, Google Academy and Scopus showed that the Winnowing method formed the most accurate lists of publications by the F-measure criterion. To improve the perfor-mance of this algorithm, a two-stage optimization of the aggregation process was carried out, which made it possible to improve the running time of the algorithm when generating a list of bibliographic descriptions. Conclusion. The proposed approach for the formation of aggregated data of biblio-graphic information of a scientific organization in conditions of incomplete information from the ci-tation systems of the Russian Science Citation Index, Google Academy and Scopus allows increas-ing productivity in the formation of a list of authors' publications and shows good efficiency in de-termining the scientometric characteristics of authors.","PeriodicalId":338904,"journal":{"name":"Bulletin of the South Ural State University. Ser. Computer Technologies, Automatic Control & Radioelectronics","volume":"95 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"132169631","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
CLASSIFIER OF THE KNOWLEDGE AREA AS AN INFORMATION MODEL OF STRUCTURAL SYNTHESIS SYSTEM. PROBLEMS OF ITS CREATION AND DEVELOPMENT 知识领域分类器作为结构综合系统的信息模型。其产生和发展的问题
O. Malina, A. Moiseev, E. A. Malina
Goal. Application of fundamentally new approaches to solving the problem of structural syn-thesis of ill-defined objects is, on the one hand, a challenge of time that requires reducing the time for development and obtaining high-quality technical solutions, and, on the other hand, the result of research that allows the use of invariant trial and error algorithms for structural synthesis. Solving this problem by the proposed method requires the creation of the set of data and knowledge, the search of which will give the desired result. Formation of this set and control of its correct and actual state is a serious task requiring the development of new approaches, formalization of processes and development of algorithms imposed by these approaches. Methods. The stages of formation of the pointed set are: collection of data on existing technical solutions, their formal description, gene-ralization of these descriptions with the formation of a certain structure, which allows for identifying each existing object unambiguously and creating a new one either by a combination of existing knowledge or by upgrading the known technical solutions. It is proposed to use a classifier as a structure that summarizes the data of a specific area of knowledge. The peculiarity of this classifi-er is that two methods of development are implemented here: hierarchical and faceted. Creation of such a classifier and its correct state is a problem that allows to solve the problem of formation of information support for structural synthesis systems of ill-defined objects of medium and high complexity. Results. The process of creating such a classifier deals with a number of problems, the identification of which is the first step towards the development of high-quality information support. These problems arise at each stage of the domain analysis (analysis of existing versions of objects; generalization of knowledge about the considered objects; addition (extension) of the classifier). The reasons for their occurrence may be violation of the principle of sufficiency in analysis and de-composition, violation of the hierarchy of the structure when generalizing in the process of building a domain model, violation of the signs of mandatory and optional when synthesizing and expand-ing the model, which is based on the classifier. Conclusion. Identifying these problems and studying the process of avoiding and overcoming them is an important task, the solution of which will allow you to for-malize the process of creating a classifier as an information model of a structural synthesis system.
的目标。应用全新的方法来解决不明确对象的结构合成问题,一方面是对时间的挑战,需要减少开发时间和获得高质量的技术解决方案,另一方面,研究结果允许使用不变的试错算法进行结构合成。用所提出的方法解决这个问题需要创建一组数据和知识,对这些数据和知识进行搜索将得到期望的结果。这个集合的形成和对其正确和实际状态的控制是一项严肃的任务,需要开发新的方法,将过程形式化,并开发由这些方法施加的算法。方法。点集的形成阶段是:现有技术解决方案的数据收集,它们的形式描述,这些描述的基因实现与一定结构的形成,这允许明确地识别每个现有对象,并通过现有知识的组合或通过升级已知的技术解决方案创建一个新的对象。建议使用分类器作为一种结构来总结特定知识领域的数据。这个分类器的特点是在这里实现了两种开发方法:分层和分面。这样一个分类器的创建及其正确的状态是一个问题,它允许解决对中、高复杂性的不明确对象的结构综合系统形成信息支持的问题。结果。创建这样一个分类器的过程涉及许多问题,确定这些问题是开发高质量信息支持的第一步。这些问题出现在领域分析的每个阶段(分析对象的现有版本;对所考虑对象的知识进行概括;添加(扩展)分类器。其发生的原因可能是在分析分解时违反了充分性原则,在构建领域模型的过程中泛化时违反了结构的层级性,在综合和扩展模型时违反了基于分类器的强制性和可选性标志。结论。识别这些问题并研究避免和克服它们的过程是一项重要的任务,其解决方案将允许您将创建分类器的过程作为结构综合系统的信息模型进行具体化。
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引用次数: 0
METHODOLOGY OF SYSTEM MODELING OF ADAPTIVE MANAGEMENT OF MACHINE-BUILDING PRODUCTION 机械制造生产自适应管理的系统建模方法
G. Kulikov, A. Rechkalov, A. V. Artyukhov
The Model Paradigm of digital control in production systems is based on the intelligent integra-tion of virtual and real processes with production objects (their system models). In this case, the platform (environment) for the intelligent integration of virtual and real processes is the information environment of the subject-oriented area. The functions of specialists, in this case, are reduced to the role of experts who implement the formal predicate knowledge prescribed in the corresponding methods and job descriptions (documents) and analyze the updated data of real production from the corresponding databases and knowledge bases. This ensures the properties of identifiability and traceability of production facilities and their processes. The spatial and temporal distribution of the holding's production facilities determine the basic coordinate system for their system modeling and management. Automation of intellectual processes of organization, planning, monitoring and management of interconnected production facilities in space and time, taking into account the in-fluence of the external environment, in real and virtual aspects, is an important and urgent task. System modeling is one of the main components of the organization of any process, including pro-duction. It should also be noted that the system modeling process itself is an intellectual, laborious and ob-jective process. Purpose of the study. To develop a methodology for system modeling (system de-scription) and adaptive management of production activities by individual enterprises as part of a machine-building holding. Develop a methodology for implementing this system model. Research methods used in the work: – principles of system engineering methodology (process approach, life cycle, etc.); – an integrated approach and structural analysis of the diversity of information processes in the interaction of individual production enterprises within the holding; – functional modeling of dynamic systems. Results. A methodology of system modeling (system description) of multilevel adaptive control of production systems distributed in space and time is proposed, taking into account the influence of the external environment. On the example of a machine-building holding, it is shown that this in-tellectualized system dynamic model can be implemented in the form of an Information-Advisory System. Conclusion. The proposed Methodology of System Analysis and Modeling of Adaptive Mana¬gement of Machine-Building Production as a part of the holding allows solving urgent prob-lems of effective management of production activities, taking into account the influence of the ex-ternal environment.
生产系统中数字控制的模型范式是基于虚拟和真实过程与生产对象(其系统模型)的智能集成。在这种情况下,虚实过程智能集成的平台(环境)就是面向学科领域的信息环境。在这种情况下,专家的职能被简化为实现相应方法和工作描述(文档)中规定的正式谓词知识,并从相应的数据库和知识库中分析实际生产的更新数据的专家角色。这确保了生产设施及其过程的可识别性和可追溯性。控股公司生产设施的时空分布决定了其系统建模和管理的基本坐标系。考虑到外部环境在现实和虚拟方面的影响,在空间和时间上组织、规划、监测和管理相互关联的生产设施的智能过程的自动化是一项重要而紧迫的任务。系统建模是任何过程(包括生产)组织的主要组成部分之一。还应该注意到,系统建模过程本身是一个智力的、费力的和客观的过程。研究目的:开发系统建模(系统描述)和生产活动的适应性管理的方法,由单个企业作为机械制造控股的一部分。开发实现此系统模型的方法。工作中使用的研究方法:-系统工程方法论原理(过程法、生命周期等);-对控股公司内各生产企业相互作用中信息过程的多样性采取综合方法和结构分析;-动态系统的功能建模。结果。提出了一种考虑外部环境影响的时空分布生产系统多级自适应控制的系统建模(系统描述)方法。以某机械制造控股公司为例,表明该智能系统动态模型可以以信息咨询系统的形式实现。结论。提出的机械制造生产自适应管理的系统分析和建模方法作为控股的一部分,允许在考虑外部环境影响的情况下解决有效管理生产活动的紧迫问题。
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引用次数: 0
RETROSPECTIVE OF WEB TECHNOLOGIES EVOLUTION IN DEVELOPMENT OF ENTERPRISE INFORMATION SYSTEMS 回顾web技术在企业信息系统发展中的演变
A. Shinkarev, Chelyabinsk Russian Federation Softmast-IT Llc
The first mentions of enterprise information systems refer to the 1960s. These systems developed over time, becoming more complex and allowing to solve a wide range of problems. The 1990s mark the beginning of the active development of web technologies. Naturally, they found way into the development of enterprise information systems used for various purposes. The purpose of the study was to describe the main stages in the development of web technologies, from the appearance of the hypertext markup language to modern single-page web applications, as well as the impact they had on approaches to the development of enterprise information systems. The author meant to identify promising trends in web-based solutions that can be successfully used in the development of enterprise information systems. Materials and methods. The paper discusses modern web tech-no¬logies, their development from the dawn to the present day, as well as some tools recognized as obsolete, and the reasons why it is impossible to develop them further. Results. The paper gives the history of the emergence of various technologies, describes their impact on approaches to the im-plementation of enterprise systems, and a way to move from a desktop version of the system to an online one. Some predictions are made concerning the prospects of certain technological areas that have good chances to successfully develop in the future. The author assesses the growing complexity of web applica-tions, the way they merge with the server side development approaches and tools. The demand of software engineers who can develop both the server and client side of an application is rationalized.
第一次提到企业信息系统是在20世纪60年代。这些系统随着时间的推移而发展,变得越来越复杂,并允许解决广泛的问题。20世纪90年代标志着网络技术积极发展的开始。自然,它们找到了用于各种目的的企业信息系统开发的方法。这项研究的目的是描述网络技术发展的主要阶段,从超文本标记语言的出现到现代单页网络应用程序,以及它们对企业信息系统开发方法的影响。作者的目的是确定基于web的解决方案中有希望的趋势,这些解决方案可以成功地用于企业信息系统的开发。材料和方法。本文讨论了现代网络技术,从萌芽到今天的发展,以及一些被认为过时的工具,以及它们不可能进一步发展的原因。结果。本文给出了各种技术出现的历史,描述了它们对企业系统实现方法的影响,以及从系统的桌面版本迁移到在线版本的方法。对未来很有可能成功发展的某些技术领域的前景作了一些预测。作者评估了web应用程序日益增长的复杂性,以及它们与服务器端开发方法和工具相结合的方式。能够开发应用程序的服务器端和客户端的软件工程师的需求是合理的。
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引用次数: 1
PREDICTING THE TECHNICAL CONDITION OF AN ELECTRIC SUBMERSIBLE PUMP BASED ON NEURAL NETWORK MODELING 基于神经网络建模的电潜泵技术状态预测
I. Karakulov, A. V. Kluiev, V. Stolbov
The problem of predicting the state of an Electric Submersible Pump during operation is considered. Downtime and shortages caused by pump failure lead to losses in oil pro-duction and require time to replace equipment. By predicting the condition of the equipment, it is possible to minimize pump maintenance costs and reduce well downtime. Expert systems and pre-dictive analytics methods are used to analyze the state of systems. The scientific work uses methods that are based on artificial neural networks. Purpose of research. Elaboration of the issues of fore-casting the technical condition of the pump through by using machine-learning models. Materials and methods. Equipment failure forecasting is carried out using time series analysis. The data was obtained from telemetric sensors of the monitoring system installed on an electric submersible pump. The initial data were taken at one-minute intervals. Initial data preprocessing was carried out. The data was cleared of values (peaks) that are clearly got out of normal operation and places where the phase voltage was equal to zero were removed. An artificial neural network with the LSTM neuron type is used to predict time series. Time series forecasting was carried out for five days. Evaluating system parameters over long periods allows you to assess the condition of its compo-nents and prevent equipment failure. Results. The possibilities of neural networks trained on the ba-sis of data from telemetric sensors of the monitoring system for predicting the values of vertical vi-bration of the pump are investigated. The use of a neural network model in the form of LSTM, which has shown good results in the analysis of time series, is justified. It was found that neural net-works capture the trend well within the time series, which indicates the possibility of using it together with the expert system. Conclusion. The proposed methods and models are tested on real data, which confirms the possibility of their use in the development of an intelligent information system for managing the technical condition of an Electric Submersible Pump during operation.
研究了电潜泵运行状态的预测问题。泵故障造成的停机和短缺导致石油生产损失,并且需要时间来更换设备。通过预测设备的状态,可以最大限度地降低泵的维护成本,减少井的停机时间。专家系统和预测分析方法用于分析系统的状态。这项科学工作使用了基于人工神经网络的方法。研究目的。阐述了利用机器学习模型对水泵技术状况进行预测的问题。材料和方法。采用时间序列分析方法进行设备故障预测。数据来自安装在电潜泵上的监测系统的遥测传感器。每隔一分钟采集一次初始数据。进行了初步的数据预处理。数据清除了明显脱离正常操作的值(峰值),移除了相电压等于零的地方。采用LSTM神经元类型的人工神经网络对时间序列进行预测。时间序列预测为期5天。长期评估系统参数可以让您评估其组件的状况并防止设备故障。结果。研究了利用监测系统的遥测传感器数据训练神经网络预测泵的垂直振动值的可能性。采用LSTM形式的神经网络模型对时间序列进行分析,取得了良好的效果。结果表明,神经网络能很好地捕捉时间序列内的趋势,这表明了神经网络与专家系统结合使用的可能性。结论。所提出的方法和模型在实际数据上进行了验证,验证了其在开发电潜泵运行过程技术状态管理智能信息系统中的可行性。
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引用次数: 0
THE USE OF MATHEMATICAL METHODS OF DIAGNOSTICS AS A FACTOR OF EFFECTIVE MANAGEMENT OF A MEDICAL ORGANIZATION 使用诊断的数学方法作为医疗机构有效管理的一个因素
O. Loginovskiy, D. Gilev
This article introduces the main mathematical methods of diagnosis of diseases. At first, based on the study of the issue, it is concluded that the task of diagnostics is the most important task for the implementation of effective activities of any medical institution. Methods. Further, in the theoretical part, the main diagnostic models are formulated, such as discriminant analysis and taxonomy (cluster analysis). Then methods of discriminant analysis are applied for the diagnostic system, which allow reducing the medical problem to a system of linear inequalities, using the meth-od of decomposition of the function by basic functions. Results. At the end of the article, important conclusions are made that iterative methods for solving this problem are grouped mainly around the linear correction method, and final methods are grouped around the simplex method. The issue of using decision rule collectives in application packages is also discussed. Further, as a practical part, we consider the application of the described methods to a specific medical task, namely, the diagnosis of primary headaches by signs. To solve the problem, we construct the decisive rules that are the result of discriminant analysis. For these purposes, the Committee method is enabled, and other methods are used in comparison with it. The results show better predictive power for the Committee method. Conclusion. In the conclusion the author about kind of the specifics of mana¬gement of medical institutions, and highlighted the criterion of a correct and timely diagnosis – as one of the main, lets talk about the efficiency of management from the point of view of public health that is Central to an integrated approach of evaluating the effectiveness of medical organiza-tions.
本文介绍了疾病诊断的主要数学方法。首先,通过对问题的研究,得出诊断任务是任何医疗机构有效开展活动的最重要任务。方法。在理论部分,提出了主要的诊断模型,如判别分析和分类(聚类分析)。然后将判别分析方法应用于诊断系统,利用基本函数分解函数的方法,将医学问题简化为线性不等式系统。结果。在文章的最后,我们得出了重要的结论:解决这一问题的迭代方法主要是围绕线性修正法进行分组,最终的方法是围绕单纯形法进行分组。本文还讨论了在应用程序包中使用决策规则集合的问题。此外,作为一个实际的部分,我们考虑将所描述的方法应用于特定的医疗任务,即通过体征诊断原发性头痛。为了解决这个问题,我们构建了判别分析结果的决定性规则。出于这些目的,启用了Committee方法,并使用其他方法与之比较。结果表明,委员会方法具有较好的预测能力。结论。在结论中,作者谈到了医疗机构管理的一些细节,并强调了正确及时诊断的标准,作为主要标准之一,让我们从公共卫生的角度谈谈管理效率,这是评估医疗机构有效性的综合方法的核心。
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引用次数: 0
OPTO-ULTRASONIC COMMUNICATION CHANNELS 光超声通信通道
B. Saidov, V. Telezhkin
Ultrasound is widely used in various applications, such as monitoring the state of structures, biomed-ical ultrasound imaging, and information (data) transmission. Ultrasonic transceivers are one of the modern communication systems, both for short-range and remote access. Indeed, the technology of the process of transmitting information using communication channels based on ultrasonic (US) vi-brations and the physical implementation of transmission using optical fiber are widely used in con-ditions of confidentiality of data processing. At the same time, the needs of wireless and wired communication demanded the development of more advanced applications (software, hardware solutions). In particular, new challenges have arisen requiring transceivers to have high frequency, wide bandwidth and compact size. Aim. Consider the “technology – opto-ultrasonic” approach used in data transmission and reception channels. This technology involves the generation of ultrasound by a pulse using the optical-acoustic effect, followed by the reception and processing of ultrasonic vibrations. Optical ultrasonic transceivers based on the photo-acoustic (US) principle of operation have great potential, in particular, to obtain the necessary: (super high) frequency of the transmitted signal; wide bandwidth (speed); ease of use as transceivers; low manufacturing cost. Materials and methods. Various methods of spectral analysis (Fourier and Wavelet) have been in-vestigated to ensure the achievement of the above goal. Results. Compared to traditional technolo-gies of information reception and transmission, optical ultrasonic transceivers provide high-frequency communication, wide bandwidth and compact size. Conclusion. The paper investigates the methods of spectral analysis (Fourier and Wavelet) and proposes, based on these studies, possi-ble options for the implementation of optical ultrasonic transceivers that can generate ultrasonic pulses with a duration on a nanosecond scale using an ultrafast laser and receive confidential data with a high degree of security. At the same time, by combining the principle of generating photo-acoustic ultrasound with the use of optical fiber, it is possible to obtain compact and inexpensive ul-trasonic transceivers.
超声在结构状态监测、生物医学超声成像、信息(数据)传输等方面有着广泛的应用。超声波收发器是现代通信系统的一种,可用于近距离和远程接入。事实上,利用基于超声波(US)振动的通信信道传输信息的过程技术和利用光纤传输的物理实现被广泛应用于数据处理的机密性条件下。同时,无线和有线通信的需求要求开发更先进的应用程序(软件,硬件解决方案)。特别是,对收发器的高频、宽带宽和小尺寸提出了新的挑战。的目标。考虑在数据传输和接收通道中使用的“技术-光-超声波”方法。这项技术包括利用光声效应的脉冲产生超声波,然后接收和处理超声波振动。基于光声(US)工作原理的光超声收发器具有很大的潜力,特别是可以获得必要的:(超高)频率的发射信号;宽频带(速度);易于作为收发器使用;制造成本低。材料和方法。研究了各种光谱分析方法(傅里叶和小波),以确保实现上述目标。结果。与传统的信息接收和传输技术相比,光超声收发器具有通信频率高、带宽宽、体积小等优点。结论。本文研究了光谱分析方法(傅立叶和小波),并在这些研究的基础上提出了实现光学超声收发器的可能选择,该收发器可以使用超快激光产生持续时间在纳秒级的超声脉冲,并以高度安全的方式接收机密数据。同时,通过将产生光声超声的原理与光纤的使用相结合,可以获得紧凑而廉价的超声波收发器。
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引用次数: 3
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Bulletin of the South Ural State University. Ser. Computer Technologies, Automatic Control & Radioelectronics
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