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In-situ and modelled debris thickness distribution on Panchi Nala Glacier (western Himalaya, India) and its impact on glacier state 潘奇纳拉冰川(印度喜马拉雅山西部)的原地和模型碎屑厚度分布及其对冰川状态的影响
IF 2.9 Q2 GEOGRAPHY, PHYSICAL Pub Date : 2024-12-01 Epub Date: 2024-11-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.qsa.2024.100254
Purushottam Kumar Garg , Mohd Farooq Azam , Iram Ali , Aparna Shukla , Arindan Mandal , Himanshu Kaushik
This study presents extensive in-situ debris thickness measurements over the Panchi Nala Glacier (western Himalaya, India) and models its spatial distribution using remote sensing and ERA-5 reanalysis data. A rigorous comparison of in-situ and modelled debris thickness and a systematic assessment of its influence on glacier state (2000–2019) are also made. In-situ measurements reveal debris thickness ranging from 0 to 70 ± 0.25 cm. Modelled debris thickness ranges from 0 to 64 ± 1.75 cm. Debris thickness pattern is such that it increases from centre to margins and snout to upglacier. In-situ and modelled debris thickness show a good positive correlation (r = 0.73; p < 0.05). Further, the glacier-wide mass balance is −0.51 ± 0.09 m w.e./y. Modelled debris thickness showed a moderate positive correlation (r = 0.66; p < 0.05) with surface lowering, indicating reduced melt under thick debris. These moderate-to-good correlations in both cases can be ascribed to the inability of coarse resolution data to capture small supraglacial feature variations. Also, thicker debris over margins probably protected it, manifested through limited area loss (0.13 ± 0.2%/y) and snout retreat (5.9 ± 1.6 m/y). Results show higher thinning over the upper ablation zone (4725–4925 m asl) compared to the lower ablation zone (4546–4725 m asl), likely induced by typical debris distribution, has reduced the glacier-tongue's slope (6.7°). Gentle glacier-tongue in a negative mass balance regime with growing debris (0.3 ± 0.2%/y) has become conducive to supraglacial ponds and ice cliffs development, which now dominate ablation processes. Overall, the study presents crucial data on debris thickness and provides vital insights into glacier evolution.
本研究利用遥感和ERA-5再分析数据,对潘奇纳拉冰川(印度喜马拉雅山西部)的碎屑厚度进行了广泛的实地测量,并对其空间分布进行了建模。此外,还对原位碎片厚度和建模碎片厚度进行了严格比较,并系统评估了碎片厚度对冰川状态(2000-2019 年)的影响。原位测量显示碎屑厚度范围为 0 至 70 ± 0.25 厘米。模拟的碎屑厚度范围为 0 至 64 ± 1.75 厘米。碎屑厚度的变化规律是,从冰川中心到边缘,从冰川鼻端到上冰川,碎屑厚度不断增加。原位和模拟的碎屑厚度显示出良好的正相关性(r = 0.73; p < 0.05)。此外,整个冰川的质量平衡为-0.51 ± 0.09 m w.e./y。模拟的碎屑厚度与地表下降呈中度正相关(r = 0.66; p <0.05),表明厚碎屑下的融化减少。这两种情况下的中度到良好相关性可归因于粗分辨率数据无法捕捉到微小的上冰川特征变化。此外,边缘较厚的碎屑可能对其起到了保护作用,表现为有限的面积损失(0.13 ± 0.2%/年)和鼻端后退(5.9 ± 1.6 米/年)。结果表明,上消融带(海拔 4725-4925 米)比下消融带(海拔 4546-4725 米)的消融程度更高,这可能是由于典型的碎屑分布造成的,从而降低了冰川舌的坡度(6.7°)。由于碎屑不断增加(0.3 ± 0.2%/年),处于负质量平衡状态的温和冰川舌有利于超冰川池塘和冰崖的形成,而这两种现象目前在消融过程中占主导地位。总之,该研究提供了有关碎屑厚度的重要数据,并为冰川演变提供了重要见解。
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引用次数: 0
Morphological characteristics and controlling factors of the piedmont fan systems in the Zanskar region, Northwest Himalaya, India 印度西北喜马拉雅山赞斯卡尔地区山腹扇系统的形态特征和控制因素
IF 2.9 Q2 GEOGRAPHY, PHYSICAL Pub Date : 2024-12-01 Epub Date: 2024-09-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.qsa.2024.100240
Mohammad Irfan, Bikram Singh Bali, Ahsan Afzal
Piedmont fans are prominent geomorphic features formed at the transition between mountain slopes and valley floors. This study investigates the morphology of alluvial fans in the Zanskar Basin (ZB) to uncover the key variables influencing their development and morphodynamics. Utilizing advanced GIS and remote sensing techniques, along with field investigations, we conducted a detailed spatial analysis of 103 alluvial fans along the Doda, Tsarap, and Zanskar rivers. This approach allowed for precise mapping and characterization of these fans within complex depositional settings of ZB, particularly where fans merge into bajadas. Our analysis revealed distinct characteristics for the fans, including Fan Area (FA), Fan Slope (SF), Radius (R), Base Length of Fan (BF), Fan Maximum Entrenchment (FME), and Flow Expansion Angle (FEA). A morphometric analysis was then conducted to evaluate the correlation between the fans and their upstream basins. The linear regression analysis demonstrated both positive and negative correlations between these parameters, highlighting the important role of the upstream basins in controlling sediment delivery to fans. The findings suggest that larger basins contribute to the morphological development of fan systems, with larger, less steep fans forming as a result of greater flows and increased sediment supply from basins with denser drainage networks. Lower values of Mountain Front Sinuosity, Valley Floor Width to Valley Height ratio and Basin Elongation suggest that upstream basins in the ZB are significantly influenced by tectonic forces, resulting in linear mountain fronts, V-shaped valleys and elongated upstream basins. The F-99 fan, in particular, has developed a prominent stepped-fan morphology, attributed to differential uplift, vertical incision, and lateral migration of channels across the fan surface. Along the various fronts of the Zanskar, fan morphology is controlled by a complex interplay of long-term tectonic processes, climate, upstream lithology, and basin characteristics. Tectonic forces, particularly the NW-SE-trending ZSZ/STD and ZCT, exert first-order control on fan morphology by influencing sediment-flux and accommodation space. This influence is evident in tectonically modified landforms such as active mountain fronts, fan terraces, elongated basin shapes, wine-glass valleys and triangular facets, all indicating recent uplift and active tectonics in the region. Our results indicate that ZSZ and ZCT exert significant tectonic control over the geometry and evolution of fans, alongside substantial climatic influences.
山麓冲积扇是在山坡和谷底之间形成的突出地貌特征。本研究调查了赞斯卡尔盆地(ZB)冲积扇的形态,以揭示影响其发展和形态动力学的关键变量。利用先进的地理信息系统和遥感技术以及实地调查,我们对多达河、察拉普河和赞斯卡尔河沿岸的 103 个冲积扇进行了详细的空间分析。通过这种方法,我们可以对赞斯卡尔河复杂沉积环境中的这些冲积扇进行精确测量和特征描述,尤其是在冲积扇汇入巴加达的地方。我们的分析揭示了扇形地貌的显著特征,包括扇形面积(FA)、扇形坡度(SF)、半径(R)、扇形地貌的基长(BF)、扇形地貌的最大堑壕(FME)和水流扩张角(FEA)。然后进行了形态计量分析,以评估扇面与其上游盆地之间的相关性。线性回归分析表明,这些参数之间既存在正相关关系,也存在负相关关系,凸显了上游盆地在控制沉积物向扇形水域输送方面的重要作用。研究结果表明,较大的盆地有助于扇形系统的形态发展,而较大、较不陡峭的扇形系统的形成则是由于流量较大以及来自排水管网较密集的盆地的沉积物供应量增加。山前正弦度、谷底宽度与谷高之比和盆地伸长率的较低值表明,ZB 上游盆地受到构造力的显著影响,形成了线形山前、V 形谷和伸长的上游盆地。特别是 F-99 扇面,由于扇面的不同隆起、垂直切割和河道横向迁移,形成了显著的阶梯扇面形态。在赞斯卡尔河的各条锋面上,扇面形态受控于长期构造过程、气候、上游岩性和盆地特征的复杂相互作用。构造作用力,尤其是西北-东南走向的 ZSZ/STD 和 ZCT,通过影响沉积物流动和容纳空间,对扇面形态施加了一阶控制。这种影响明显体现在经构造改造的地貌上,如活跃的山前、扇形阶地、拉长的盆地形状、酒杯谷和三角面等,所有这些都表明该地区最近发生了隆起和活跃的构造运动。我们的研究结果表明,ZSZ 和 ZCT 对扇形地貌的几何形状和演变具有重要的构造控制作用,同时还受到气候的巨大影响。
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引用次数: 0
Combined GIS, FR and AHP approaches to landslide susceptibility and risk zonation in the Baso Liben district, Northwestern Ethiopia 埃塞俄比亚西北部巴索利本地区滑坡易发性和风险分区的 GIS、FR 和 AHP 组合方法
IF 2.9 Q2 GEOGRAPHY, PHYSICAL Pub Date : 2024-12-01 Epub Date: 2024-10-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.qsa.2024.100250
Biniyam Taye Alamrew , Tibebu Kassawmar , Likinaw Mengstie , Muralitharan Jothimani
In mountainous places, landslides pose severe environmental threats, weakening infrastructure, resulting in death and costing the economy. This article assesses landslide susceptibility and risk in the Baso Liben district of Northwestern Ethiopia using an analytical hierarchy process (AHP) and Geographic Information System (GIS)-based Frequency Ratio (FR). Eleven key environmental and geological components— height, slope, lithology, soil type, and land use—were studied. After field research and Google Earth photos, 342 landslide incidents were collated and separated into validation (30%) and training (70%) datasets. ROC curves provide a technique for analyzing the efficacy of the FR and AHP models. With an Area Under the Curve (AUC) value of 83.4%, the AHP model exhibited superior accuracy than the FR model, with an AUC value of 74.4%. Very low, low, moderate, high, and very high vulnerability are five categories defined as landslide hazard zones. The AHP model assessed 10.5% of the area as very high risk, 19.8% as high danger, 25.6% as moderate risk, 28% as medium risk, and 16.1% as very low risk. The FR model meanwhile assessed 10.16% of the area as very high risk, 21.3% as high risk, 28.9% as moderate risk, 22.5% as low risk, and 17.04% as very low risk. The results reveal that slope angle, lithology, and elevation are key factors impacting landslide vulnerability. These findings equip a practical framework for land-use planning and disaster risk reduction, providing decision-makers with appropriate instruments to help lessen landslide hazards. The research underscores the significance of combining objective data analysis with expert knowledge to enhance the accuracy and reliability of landslide susceptibility models.
在山区,山体滑坡会对环境造成严重威胁,削弱基础设施,造成人员伤亡,并使经济蒙受损失。本文采用层次分析法(AHP)和基于地理信息系统(GIS)的频率比(FR)对埃塞俄比亚西北部巴索利本地区的滑坡易发性和风险进行了评估。研究了 11 个关键的环境和地质要素--高度、坡度、岩性、土壤类型和土地利用。经过实地调查和谷歌地球照片,整理出 342 起滑坡事件,并将其分为验证数据集(30%)和训练数据集(70%)。ROC 曲线为分析 FR 模型和 AHP 模型的有效性提供了一种技术。AHP 模型的曲线下面积(AUC)值为 83.4%,比 FR 模型(AUC 值为 74.4%)表现出更高的准确性。极低、低、中、高和极高的脆弱性被定义为滑坡危险区的五个类别。AHP 模型将 10.5% 的区域评估为极高风险区,19.8% 为高危险区,25.6% 为中等风险区,28% 为中等风险区,16.1% 为极低风险区。而 FR 模型则将 10.16% 的区域评估为极高风险,21.3% 为高风险,28.9% 为中等风险,22.5% 为低风险,17.04% 为极低风险。结果表明,坡角、岩性和海拔是影响滑坡脆弱性的关键因素。这些研究结果为土地利用规划和减少灾害风险提供了一个实用框架,为决策者提供了帮助减少滑坡危害的适当工具。这项研究强调了将客观数据分析与专家知识相结合以提高滑坡易发性模型的准确性和可靠性的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Assessing foundation characteristics at the war dam site, lake tana basin, Ethiopia: A geophysical and geotechnical perspective 评估埃塞俄比亚塔纳湖盆地战争坝址的地基特征:地球物理和岩土工程视角
IF 2.9 Q2 GEOGRAPHY, PHYSICAL Pub Date : 2024-09-01 Epub Date: 2024-07-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.qsa.2024.100216
Yahya Ali Abdulkadir , Tigabu Baye , Muralitharan Jothimani

An integrated geophysical and geotechnical study evaluated the foundation conditions at the War dam site in northwest Ethiopia. This investigation included the classification of rock quality, shallow seismic refraction, and magnetic approaches. The dam's location comprises quaternary soil deposits and rhyolite rock units that have undergone varied weathering and fracturing. The shallow seismic refraction method distinguishes three layers of p-wave velocities that are less than 1.5 km per second with a depth range of 2–6 m, 1.5–2.5 km per second at a depth range of 15–20 m, and 2.5–3.5 km per second ranging from 20 to 40 m, respectively. Magnetic data were used to identify lineaments, and the RQD value acquired from boreholes ranged from extremely poor to excellent. Lineaments were recognized using the tilt angle approach. The results of the permeability tests demonstrated that the rock mass that serves as the dam's foundation had characteristics that are resistant to low permeability. The maximum and minimum lugeon values obtained from the testing were 9Lu and 0.81Lu, respectively. There are weak zones at and below the surface of the dam site, according to the overall findings acquired from seismic refraction, magnetic, and discontinuity surveying. These results were obtained from monitoring the dam site. These significant structures are directed towards a SW-NE, NE-SW, NNW-SSE, and SSW-NNE orientation. The study assessed the geological suitability of a proposed dam site using seismic refraction and magnetic survey methods. Significant geological variations were observed, particularly in the right abutment and valley floor, indicating the need for targeted grouting. The findings suggest that while the site is generally suitable for dam construction, specific areas require further ground improvement to ensure stability.

一项综合地球物理和岩土工程研究对埃塞俄比亚西北部 War 大坝的地基条件进行了评估。这项调查包括岩石质量分类、浅层地震折射和磁力方法。大坝所在地由第四纪土壤沉积和流纹岩岩石单元组成,这些单元经历了不同程度的风化和断裂。浅层地震折射法可分辨出三层 p 波速度,分别为深度范围为 2-6 米的每秒小于 1.5 千米、深度范围为 15-20 米的每秒 1.5-2.5 千米和深度范围为 20-40 米的每秒 2.5-3.5 千米。磁性数据用于识别线状构造,从钻孔获得的 RQD 值从极差到极好不等。采用倾斜角方法识别了线状构造。渗透性测试结果表明,作为大坝地基的岩体具有抗低渗透性的特征。测试得出的最大和最小渗透系数分别为 9Lu 和 0.81Lu。根据地震折射、磁力和不连续勘测的总体结果,坝址地表及地表以下存在薄弱区。这些结果是通过对坝址的监测获得的。这些重要结构的走向为西南-东北、东北-西南、西北-东南和西南-东北。该研究利用地震折射和磁力勘测方法评估了拟建坝址的地质适宜性。观察到了明显的地质变化,尤其是在右坝基和谷底,这表明需要进行有针对性的灌浆。研究结果表明,虽然该坝址总体上适合建造大坝,但特定区域需要进一步改善地层,以确保稳定性。
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引用次数: 0
Archaeology, climate change and human adaptation in southern Africa: Evidence from Mapela and Little Mapela, southern Africa 南部非洲的考古学、气候变化和人类适应性:来自南部非洲马佩拉和小马佩拉的证据
IF 2.9 Q2 GEOGRAPHY, PHYSICAL Pub Date : 2024-09-01 Epub Date: 2024-07-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.qsa.2024.100219
Shadreck Chirikure , Foreman Bandama , Michelle House , Munyaradzi Manyanga , Robert T. Nyamushosho

In Africa south of the Zambezi River, archaeologists and other experts have long explored the impact of climate and environmental changes to the development of ancient civilizations during the Iron Age (CE 200–1900). Some of the prevailing thought is however still rooted in environmental deterministic models informed by selected ethnographies, stable isotopes and archaeological evidence. For instance, the drought brought by the medieval Little Ice Age is assumed to have collapsed the civilisation at Mapungubwe in the Shashi-Limpopo valley around 1300 CE. And yet, within the wider region, and in similar ecological settings, upstream (Shashi and Upper Limpopo) and downstream civilisations (Lower Limpopo), persisted and thrived through the same climatic challenges. We draw on African cosmologies, resilience theory and archaeological evidence from Mapela and Little Mapela to spotlight adaptation strategies utilised by their inhabitants to build resilience through time. The main conclusion is that even in cases of climatic extremes, humans responded to opportunities and constraints in context specific ways.

在非洲赞比西河以南地区,考古学家和其他专家长期以来一直在探索气候和环境变化对铁器时代(公元 200-1900 年)古代文明发展的影响。然而,一些流行的观点仍然根植于环境决定论模型,这些模型以选定的人种志、稳定同位素和考古证据为依据。例如,中世纪小冰河时期带来的干旱被认为是导致公元 1300 年左右沙希-林波波河谷马蓬古布韦文明崩溃的原因。然而,在更广阔的区域内,在类似的生态环境中,上游文明(沙希和上林波波)和下游文明(下林波波)在同样的气候挑战中得以延续和繁荣。我们借鉴了非洲宇宙论、复原力理论以及马佩拉和小马佩拉的考古证据,以揭示其居民为建立复原力所采取的适应策略。主要结论是,即使在极端气候条件下,人类也会以特定的方式应对机遇和限制。
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引用次数: 0
Assessment of fluvial response to landslide susceptibility and transient response of tectonically active upper Alaknanda River basin of Uttarakhand Himalaya, India 印度北阿坎德邦喜马拉雅地区构造活跃的阿拉克南达河上游流域对滑坡易发性和瞬态响应的河川响应评估
IF 2.9 Q2 GEOGRAPHY, PHYSICAL Pub Date : 2024-09-01 Epub Date: 2024-07-31 DOI: 10.1016/j.qsa.2024.100221
Hem Ch Kothyari , Girish Ch Kothyari , R.C. Joshi , Kalpana Gururani , Senjuti Nandy , Atul Kumar Patidar

This paper focuses on the transient response of the upper Alaknanda River basin and landslide vulnerability analysis of tectonically active segments located between the Trans Himadri Fault (THF) and Main Central Thrust (MCT) in the higher central Himalayan domain. We applied the power law functions of the conventional bedrock incision proxies to decode erosionally balanced tectonic processes. The channel concavity and slope of the upper Alaknanda basin have been logarithmically evaluated to understand the balance between erosion/incision and tectonic events. Further, tectonically balanced erosional events along the trunk and tributary stream dynamics have been estimated using the Chi (χ) function law. The results of χ suggest a disequilibrium state of the trunk and tributary stream concerning steady state condition. Furthermore, the landform and longitudinal river profile have been analyzed to understand differential uplift/incision and impact of erosion in river profile between THF and MCT. Furthermore, we applied a geospatial technique for landslide susceptibility analysis. Our results show that approximately 94.45% of the basin area is highly vulnerable and has the potential for future landslides and glacial avalanches. Furthermore, we claim that this study is extremely helpful to identify the locations of future geohazards (landslide, avalanche, cloudburst etc.) and their impact on the downstream areas where population density is very high.

本文重点研究了阿拉克南达河上游流域的瞬态响应,以及位于喜马拉雅山中高山区跨喜马德里断层(THF)和主中央隆起(MCT)之间的构造活跃地段的滑坡脆弱性分析。我们应用传统基岩切入代用指标的幂律函数来解码侵蚀平衡构造过程。我们对上阿拉克南达盆地的河道凹度和坡度进行了对数评估,以了解侵蚀/侵蚀与构造事件之间的平衡。此外,还利用 Chi (χ) 函数定律估算了干流和支流动态的构造平衡侵蚀事件。χ 的结果表明,干流和支流在稳态条件下处于非平衡状态。此外,我们还对地貌和河流纵剖面进行了分析,以了解 THF 和 MCT 之间不同的隆起/内陷以及侵蚀对河流剖面的影响。此外,我们还应用地理空间技术进行了滑坡易发性分析。我们的研究结果表明,盆地约 94.45% 的面积非常脆弱,未来有可能发生滑坡和冰川雪崩。此外,我们认为这项研究对于确定未来地质灾害(滑坡、雪崩、云爆弹等)的位置及其对下游人口密集地区的影响非常有帮助。
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引用次数: 0
Morphological differences across the Shumagin-Semidi fault segments control slip behaviors and tsunami genesis in the Aleutian-Alaska subduction zone 舒马金-塞米迪断层段的形态差异控制着阿留申-阿拉斯加俯冲带的滑动行为和海啸成因
IF 2.9 Q2 GEOGRAPHY, PHYSICAL Pub Date : 2024-09-01 Epub Date: 2024-07-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.qsa.2024.100215
Qiang Qiu , Linlin Li , Xiaodong Yang , Jian Lin , Constance Ting Chua

Rupture behaviors of a subduction megathrust define the slip type, the extent and the associated tsunami hazard. They are, however, difficult to be defined precisely due to limited fault-zone observations. Here, we integrate GNSS, tsunami-waveforms, seismic-profiles, and earthquake-cycle modeling to delineate the slip-extent of the 2020 Mw 7.8 Simeonof and the 2021 Mw 8.2 Chignik earthquakes in the Semidi segment; and to understand the possible structural and mechanical control on the distinct rupture behaviors of this segment and its neighboring Shumagin segment at the Aleutian-Alaska subduction zone. We show that both the Simeonof and Chignik earthquakes slipped a compact area at depth between ∼20 and 40 km that is well constrained by the combination of GNSS and tsunami-waveform data. We explain the distinct slip behaviors associated with the Semidi and Shumagin segments by highlighting the morphological changes in the fault along the strike direction. Beneath the Shumagin Island, we identify a structural-mechanical boundary that separates the megathrust into Semidi (east) and Shumagin (west) two segments. Semidi is gentle and curved; while Shumagin is steep and planar. The Semidi segment produces spatially-heterogenous stress field, and generates partial, full, complex ruptures as indicated in modeled cycles and in historical seismic observations. Meanwhile the Shumagin segment, coincides with the ocean-continent transition boundary – the Beringian margin, tend to generate slow-slip-events, tremors, otherwise, generates small or moderate seismicity as indicated in the modeled cycles and in seismic records since 1750. Our findings indicate that Semidi is likely to rupture in a chaotic fashion with major or large earthquakes, resulting a greater tsunami hazard like the 1938 Mw 8.2 event. The tsunami potential in the Unimak segment may also remain high.

俯冲大地壳的断裂行为决定了滑动类型、范围和相关的海啸危害。然而,由于对断层区的观测有限,很难对它们进行精确定义。在此,我们整合了全球导航卫星系统、海啸波形、地震剖面图和地震周期模型,以划定塞米迪地段 2020 年 7.8 级 Simeonof 地震和 2021 年 8.2 级 Chignik 地震的滑动范围,并了解阿留申-阿拉斯加俯冲带该地段及其邻近的舒马金地段的不同断裂行为可能受到的结构和机械控制。我们的研究表明,Simeonof 地震和 Chignik 地震都使深度在 20 至 40 千米之间的一个紧凑区域发生滑动,该区域受到全球导航卫星系统(GNSS)和海啸波形数据的良好约束。我们通过强调断层沿走向的形态变化来解释塞米迪段和舒马金段的不同滑动行为。在舒马金岛下方,我们确定了一个结构-机械边界,该边界将大断层分为塞米迪(东段)和舒马金(西段)两段。塞米迪段地势平缓,呈弧形;而舒马金段地势陡峭,呈平面。塞米迪地段产生空间异源应力场,并产生部分、完全、复杂的断裂,这在模型循环和历史地震观测中都有所体现。与此同时,舒马金地段与海洋-大陆过渡边界--白令海边缘相吻合,往往会产生缓慢的滑动事件、震颤,否则,就会产生小震或中震,这在模型周期和 1750 年以来的地震记录中都有显示。我们的研究结果表明,塞米迪很可能在发生大地震时以混乱的方式破裂,从而导致更大的海啸危害,如 1938 年发生的 8.2 级地震。尤尼马克(Unimak)地段的海啸潜势也可能居高不下。
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引用次数: 0
Landslide susceptibility assessment in Addi Arkay, Ethiopia using GIS, remote sensing, and AHP 利用地理信息系统、遥感和 AHP 评估埃塞俄比亚 Addi Arkay 的滑坡易发性
IF 2.9 Q2 GEOGRAPHY, PHYSICAL Pub Date : 2024-09-01 Epub Date: 2024-07-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.qsa.2024.100217
Likinaw Mengstie , Assayew Nebere , Muralitharan Jothimani , Biniyam Taye

Landslides account for the breakdown of natural topographies, impacting many mountainous areas and leading to loss of lives and damaged infrastructure. This research aims to generate a reliable landslide susceptibility zonation map employing geospatial and Analytical Hierarchy Processes (AHP) in Addi Arkay Woreda, North Gondar Zone, Amhara Regional State, northern Ethiopia. The present study uses remote sensing data, geographic information system (GIS) tools, AHP, and weighted linear combination (WLC) models to analyze multiple environmental variables, including slope, aspect, curvature, lithology, soil texture, topographic wetness index (TWI), and rainfall. As per the results, around 186.12 km2 (13.26%) of the total study area is under very high landslide susceptibility and 140.85 km2 (10.05%) under very low susceptibility. Using Google Earth images for inaccessible areas, 121 landslide inventories were identified through fieldwork. Of these inventories, 85 were used to train the model and 36 for testing. The performance of the AHP model was validated by the Receiver Operating Characteristics (ROC) curve (0.75), which indicates good predictive accuracy for identifying landslide-prone areas. These findings are essential to regional land use planning, hazard mitigation, and landslide prevention efforts. Additionally, this study contributes to the scientific understanding of landslide dynamics in the Northwestern highlands of Ethiopia and offers a methodological framework that can be applied to other regions with similar geological and climatic conditions.

山体滑坡是造成自然地形破坏的原因之一,影响着许多山区,并导致生命损失和基础设施损坏。本研究旨在利用地理空间和层次分析法(AHP),在埃塞俄比亚北部阿姆哈拉地区州北贡达区阿迪阿卡伊乡绘制可靠的滑坡易发区划图。本研究利用遥感数据、地理信息系统(GIS)工具、AHP 和加权线性组合(WLC)模型分析多种环境变量,包括坡度、坡向、曲率、岩性、土壤质地、地形湿润指数(TWI)和降雨量。结果显示,在整个研究区域中,约有 186.12 平方公里(13.26%)属于极易发生滑坡的区域,140.85 平方公里(10.05%)属于极易发生滑坡的区域。利用谷歌地球图像对无法进入的地区进行了实地考察,确定了 121 个滑坡清单。其中 85 个用于训练模型,36 个用于测试。接收操作特征曲线(ROC)(0.75)验证了 AHP 模型的性能,表明该模型在识别滑坡易发区方面具有良好的预测准确性。这些发现对区域土地利用规划、减灾和滑坡预防工作至关重要。此外,这项研究还有助于科学界了解埃塞俄比亚西北部高原地区的滑坡动态,并提供了一个方法框架,可应用于具有类似地质和气候条件的其他地区。
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引用次数: 0
Changes in the particulate organic carbon pump efficiency since the Last Glacial Maximum in the northwestern Philippine Sea 菲律宾海西北部末次冰期以来颗粒有机碳泵效率的变化
IF 2.9 Q2 GEOGRAPHY, PHYSICAL Pub Date : 2024-09-01 Epub Date: 2024-07-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.qsa.2024.100223
Pierrick Fenies , Maria-Angela Bassetti , Natalia Vazquez Riveiros , Sze Ling Ho , Yuan-Pin Chang , Ludvig Löwemark , Florian Bretonnière , Nathalie Babonneau , Gueorgui Ratzov , Shu-Kun Hsu , Chih-Chieh Su

Changes in bottom and pore water oxygenation over glacial – interglacial cycles have influenced the ocean's capacity to store particulate organic carbon regardless of its source, either the marine primary productivity or the continent-to-ocean transfer of terrestrial organic matter. In the Philippine Sea, east off Taiwan, despite being currently oligotrophic, the enhanced East Asian Winter Monsoon during the Last Glacial Maximum and the Heinrich Stadial 1 might have altered the nutrient budget in surface waters by providing nutrients from the Eurasian loess dust and deepening the vertical mixing, bringing nutrients from the nutrient-enriched Kuroshio Current subsurface waters to the surface. During the deglaciation, previous studies also suggest an overall weakening of the marine biological pump during the Heinrich Stadial 1, and the rise in sea level is expected to have led to a global significant decline in the ability of continents to bury their particulate organic carbon in marine sediments. However, changes in the continent-ocean transfer of terrestrial organic matter and on the marine biological pump around Taiwan remain poorly constrained.

In the present study, we have thus aimed to reconstruct bottom – pore water oxygenation, past marine primary productivity and continental-ocean transfer of terrestrial particulate organic carbon to the ocean since the end of the Last Glacial Maximum, in order to better constrain the ability of marine sediments to capture atmospheric carbon over the past 20,000 years. To this end, sediment core MD18-3523 has been recovered from a levee of Hoping Canyon, north-east of Taiwan, in the Ryukyu forearc basin. The reconstructions were made possible by the application of multivariate statistics and transfer functions on benthic foraminiferal assemblages, by the measurement of total organic carbon concentration and by the investigation of chemical element ratios obtained from X-ray fluorescence (XRF).

We observed a transition across the Bølling–Allerød and the Younger Dryas from suboxic-dysoxic bottom – pore waters during Heinrich Stadial 1 to oxic-suboxic during the Holocene, and revealed an increase in marine primary productivity during Heinrich Stadial 1 in all probability due to intensified East Asian Winter Monsoon winds. We have also identified periods of enhanced terrestrial particulate organic carbon transfer to the ocean driven by short-lived extreme events, most likely typhoons, during the Bølling–Allerød, at the beginning of the Early Holocene and the end of the Late Holocene, when the typhoon dynamics affecting Taiwan were intensified. Overall, these findings suggest an enhanced marine biological pump during the Heinrich Stadial 1 and an efficient carbon turbidity pump during the Bølling–Allerød, the Early and Late Holocene, contrasting with the western coast of Taiwan.

冰川-间冰期周期中底层和孔隙水含氧量的变化影响了海洋储存颗粒有机碳的能力,无论其来源是海洋初级生产力还是陆地有机物从大陆向海洋的转移。在台湾以东的菲律宾海,尽管目前处于寡营养状态,但在末次冰期极盛时期和海因里希滞后期 1,东亚冬季季候风增强,可能改变了表层水的营养预算,从欧亚黄土尘埃中提供了营养物质,并加深了垂直混合,将富含营养物质的黑潮次表层水的营养物质带到表层。先前的研究还表明,在海因里希滞留期(Heinrich Stadial 1),海洋生物泵整体减弱,海平面上升预计会导致全球大陆将其颗粒有机碳埋藏在海洋沉积物中的能力显著下降。因此,在本研究中,我们旨在重建海底孔隙水含氧量、过去的海洋初级生产力以及自末次冰川极盛时期结束以来陆地颗粒有机碳向海洋的大陆-海洋转移,以更好地确定过去两万年间海洋沉积物捕获大气碳的能力。为此,我们从琉球前弧盆地台湾东北部的合欢峡谷堤坝上采集了沉积岩芯MD18-3523。通过对底栖有孔虫集合体应用多元统计和转移函数、测量总有机碳浓度以及研究 X 射线荧光(XRF)获得的化学元素比率,实现了重建。我们观察到,在整个博林-阿勒勒岛和幼年旱期,底层孔隙水从海因里希期 1 的亚氧-缺氧过渡到全新世的缺氧-亚氧,并发现海因里希期 1 期间海洋初级生产力的提高很可能是由于东亚冬季季候风的加强。我们还发现,在全新世早期和全新世晚期的博林-阿勒罗德时期,影响台湾的台风动态加强,在短命极端事件(很可能是台风)的驱动下,陆地颗粒有机碳向海中的转移增强。总之,这些研究结果表明,在海因里希恒河 1 期,海洋生物泵增强,而在全新世早期和晚期的博林-阿勒罗德期,碳浊度泵有效,这与台湾西海岸形成鲜明对比。
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引用次数: 0
When to generalise and when to specialise? Climate change and hominin biocultural adaptability in the African early and middle stone age 何时通用,何时专用?气候变化与非洲早、中期石器时代人类的生物文化适应性
IF 2.9 Q2 GEOGRAPHY, PHYSICAL Pub Date : 2024-09-01 Epub Date: 2024-07-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.qsa.2024.100218
James Clark , Gonzalo J. Linares-Matás

A growing number of authors have discussed the role of climate change in periods of important biological and cultural transition along the hominin lineage. This paper establishes a biocultural framework elucidating human behavioural adaptations during the African Early and Middle Stone Age, centred on three crucial dimensions of hunter-gatherer adaptation: mobility, social network dynamics, and technology. We contend that landscape properties, specifically resource diversity and seasonal to inter-annual resource variability, can be used to model the specific responses of hominin groups to climate change over time, based on their awareness of these properties. Specifically, we focus on hominin technological generalisation and specialisation, meaning the extent to which there is a high degree of specificity (or fit) between final tool form and the task(s) in which the tool is deployed.

In this regard, we argue that the archaeological record reveals punctuated and discontinuous specialisation during certain phases of the Early Stone Age driven by landscape predictability. These periods encourage the expression of relevant innovations and stepwise increases in technological complexity. While some of them become lost to demographic or cultural stochasticity, others end up forming the basis for a standardisation of generalised forms within the context of unexpected climatic deterioration. This is highlighted by the late Acheulean: following a period of greater generalisation in the late Early Pleistocene correlating with repeated and severe orbitally-forced periods of aridity, smaller biface forms become more common (or absent) and regional experimentation with prepared-core technology in Eastern Africa takes place in the context of a return to more humid and stable climatic conditions. The onset of more arid and variable climates associated with the emergence of the Middle Stone Age led to the continental expansion of the prepared-core technological substrate underpinning generalised assemblages. The cycle continues in the Middle Stone Age with a return to climatic stability in the Late Pleistocene and subsequent regional diversification of this techno-complex, in which hominins responded with greater toolkit specialisation in a number of different ways. In this context, we support the existence of a cyclical and non-linear relationship between environmental adaptation and cognitive evolution, as part of a wider biocultural feedback loop, which contributes to explain the evolutionary roots of our “generalist specialist” niche.

越来越多的学者讨论了气候变化在人类重要的生物和文化转型时期所起的作用。本文围绕狩猎采集者适应性的三个关键方面:流动性、社会网络动态和技术,建立了一个生物文化框架,以阐明非洲早、中石器时代人类的行为适应性。我们认为,景观属性,特别是资源多样性和季节性到年际性的资源变异性,可用于模拟类人群体根据对这些属性的认识对气候变化的具体反应。在这方面,我们认为考古记录显示,在早期石器时代的某些阶段,在地貌可预测性的驱动下,出现了点状和不连续的专业化现象。这些时期鼓励了相关创新的表现和技术复杂性的逐步提高。其中一些创新因人口或文化的随机性而消失,而另一些创新则在气候意外恶化的背景下最终形成了通用形式标准化的基础。这一点在阿切古雷晚期表现得尤为突出:在早更新世晚期与反复和严重的轨道强迫干旱期相关的更普遍化时期之后,较小的双面石器变得更加常见(或不存在),东非地区在恢复到更加潮湿和稳定的气候条件的背景下进行了有准备的核心技术试验。随着中石器时代的出现,气候开始变得更加干旱和多变,这导致了作为普遍集合体基础的预制核心技术在非洲大陆的扩展。这一循环在中石器时代继续,到了晚更新世气候恢复稳定,这一技术复合体随之出现区域多样化,在这一过程中,类人猿以多种不同的方式对工具包作出了更大的专业化反应。在这种情况下,我们支持环境适应与认知进化之间存在着一种周期性的非线性关系,这种关系是更广泛的生物文化反馈回路的一部分,有助于解释我们的 "通才专家 "生态位的进化根源。
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