Pub Date : 2024-06-01DOI: 10.1016/S2666-7568(24)00069-2
Prof Stefan Klöppel MD , Esther Brill MSc , Prof Giovanni B Frisoni MD , Prof Dag Aarsland PhD , Prof Verena Klusmann-Weißkopf PhD
Lifestyles aimed at reducing dementia risk typically combine physical and cognitive training, nutritional adaptations, and, potentially, an augmentation in social interactions. Interventions at the population level are essential but should be complemented by individual efforts. For efficacy, lasting changes to an individual's lifestyle are needed, necessitating robust motivation and volition. Acting in accordance with one's values is assumed to be rewarding, leading to improved motivation and volition, and produces stable behaviour–outcome relationships. To this end, future preventive endeavours might first evaluate an individual's extant lifestyle, preferences, and values, including considerations of age-related changes to ensure these values remain a motivational source. Digital technology can support lifestyle goals and be targeted to support an individual's values. A digital platform could implement situation-specific, sensing-based feedback to alert users to a target situation (eg, opportunity for exercise) coupled with (smartphone-based) feedback on the extent of accomplished behavioural change to support individually set goals and facilitate their adjustment depending on whether these goals are achieved. This use of the motivational impetus of values, coupled with interpersonal techniques, such as motivational interviewing and SMART goal setting, in combination with sensor technology and just-in-time adaptive interventions, is assumed to hold high potential for dementia prevention.
{"title":"Value-based motivational strategies combined with technology to encourage a lifestyle that helps to prevent dementia","authors":"Prof Stefan Klöppel MD , Esther Brill MSc , Prof Giovanni B Frisoni MD , Prof Dag Aarsland PhD , Prof Verena Klusmann-Weißkopf PhD","doi":"10.1016/S2666-7568(24)00069-2","DOIUrl":"10.1016/S2666-7568(24)00069-2","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Lifestyles aimed at reducing dementia risk typically combine physical and cognitive training, nutritional adaptations, and, potentially, an augmentation in social interactions. Interventions at the population level are essential but should be complemented by individual efforts. For efficacy, lasting changes to an individual's lifestyle are needed, necessitating robust motivation and volition. Acting in accordance with one's values is assumed to be rewarding, leading to improved motivation and volition, and produces stable behaviour–outcome relationships. To this end, future preventive endeavours might first evaluate an individual's extant lifestyle, preferences, and values, including considerations of age-related changes to ensure these values remain a motivational source. Digital technology can support lifestyle goals and be targeted to support an individual's values. A digital platform could implement situation-specific, sensing-based feedback to alert users to a target situation (eg, opportunity for exercise) coupled with (smartphone-based) feedback on the extent of accomplished behavioural change to support individually set goals and facilitate their adjustment depending on whether these goals are achieved. This use of the motivational impetus of values, coupled with interpersonal techniques, such as motivational interviewing and SMART goal setting, in combination with sensor technology and just-in-time adaptive interventions, is assumed to hold high potential for dementia prevention.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":34394,"journal":{"name":"Lancet Healthy Longevity","volume":"5 6","pages":"Pages e443-e446"},"PeriodicalIF":13.1,"publicationDate":"2024-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666756824000692/pdfft?md5=39521d05722395615b75776036cff03f&pid=1-s2.0-S2666756824000692-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141200964","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-06-01DOI: 10.1016/S2666-7568(24)00067-9
Leandro Luongo Matos , Luiz Paulo Kowalski
{"title":"The need to include older patients with head and neck cancer in clinical trials","authors":"Leandro Luongo Matos , Luiz Paulo Kowalski","doi":"10.1016/S2666-7568(24)00067-9","DOIUrl":"10.1016/S2666-7568(24)00067-9","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":34394,"journal":{"name":"Lancet Healthy Longevity","volume":"5 6","pages":"Pages e380-e381"},"PeriodicalIF":13.1,"publicationDate":"2024-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666756824000679/pdfft?md5=d47beaf8f967069cf29bbb7b27caa713&pid=1-s2.0-S2666756824000679-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140959271","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-06-01DOI: 10.1016/S2666-7568(24)00068-0
Prof Eric P Moll van Charante MD , Marieke P Hoevenaar-Blom PhD , Manshu Song PhD , Prof Sandrine Andrieu MD , Linda Barnes RGN , Cindy Birck PhD , Rachael Brooks BA , Nicola Coley PhD , Esmé Eggink PhD , Jean Georges PhD , Melanie Hafdi PhD , Prof Willem A van Gool MD , Ron Handels PhD , Haifeng Hou PhD , Prof Jihui Lyu MD , Prof Yixuan Niu MD , Libin Song BSc , Prof Wenzhi Wang PhD , Prof Youxin Wang PhD , Anders Wimo PhD , Xi Wei
Background
The expected increase of dementia prevalence in the coming decades will mainly be in low-income and middle-income countries and in people with low socioeconomic status in high-income countries. This study aims to reduce dementia risk factors in underserved populations at high-risk using a coach-supported mobile health (mHealth) intervention.
Methods
This open-label, blinded endpoint, hybrid effectiveness–implementation randomised controlled trial (RCT) investigated whether a coach-supported mHealth intervention can reduce dementia risk in people aged 55–75 years of low socioeconomic status in the UK or from the general population in China with at least two dementia risk factors. The primary effectiveness outcome was change in cardiovascular risk factors, ageing, and incidence of dementia (CAIDE) risk score from baseline to after 12–18 months of intervention. Implementation outcomes were coverage, adoption, sustainability, appropriateness, acceptability, fidelity, feasibility, and costs assessed using a mixed-methods approach. All participants with complete data on the primary outcome, without imputation of missing outcomes were included in the analysis (intention-to-treat principle). This trial is registered with ISRCTN, ISRCTN15986016, and is completed.
Findings
Between Jan 15, 2021, and April 18, 2023, 1488 people (601 male and 887 female) were randomly assigned (734 to intervention and 754 to control), with 1229 (83%) of 1488 available for analysis of the primary effectiveness outcome. After a mean follow-up of 16 months (SD 2·5), the mean CAIDE score improved 0·16 points in the intervention group versus 0·01 in the control group (mean difference –0·16, 95% CI –0·29 to –0·03). 1533 (10%) invited individuals responded; of the intervention participants, 593 (81%) of 734 adopted the intervention and 367 (50%) of 734 continued active participation throughout the study. Perceived appropriateness (85%), acceptability (81%), and fidelity (79%) were good, with fair overall feasibility (53% of intervention participants and 58% of coaches), at low cost. No differences in adverse events between study arms were found.
Interpretation
A coach-supported mHealth intervention is modestly effective in reducing dementia risk factors in those with low socioeconomic status in the UK and any socioeconomic status in China. Implementation is challenging in these populations, but those reached actively participated. Whether this intervention will result in less cognitive decline and dementia requires a larger RCT with long follow-up.
Funding
EU Horizon 2020 Research and Innovation Programme and the National Key R&D Programmes of China.
Translation
For the Mandarin translation of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.
{"title":"Prevention of dementia using mobile phone applications (PRODEMOS): a multinational, randomised, controlled effectiveness–implementation trial","authors":"Prof Eric P Moll van Charante MD , Marieke P Hoevenaar-Blom PhD , Manshu Song PhD , Prof Sandrine Andrieu MD , Linda Barnes RGN , Cindy Birck PhD , Rachael Brooks BA , Nicola Coley PhD , Esmé Eggink PhD , Jean Georges PhD , Melanie Hafdi PhD , Prof Willem A van Gool MD , Ron Handels PhD , Haifeng Hou PhD , Prof Jihui Lyu MD , Prof Yixuan Niu MD , Libin Song BSc , Prof Wenzhi Wang PhD , Prof Youxin Wang PhD , Anders Wimo PhD , Xi Wei","doi":"10.1016/S2666-7568(24)00068-0","DOIUrl":"10.1016/S2666-7568(24)00068-0","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background</h3><p>The expected increase of dementia prevalence in the coming decades will mainly be in low-income and middle-income countries and in people with low socioeconomic status in high-income countries. This study aims to reduce dementia risk factors in underserved populations at high-risk using a coach-supported mobile health (mHealth) intervention.</p></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><p>This open-label, blinded endpoint, hybrid effectiveness–implementation randomised controlled trial (RCT) investigated whether a coach-supported mHealth intervention can reduce dementia risk in people aged 55–75 years of low socioeconomic status in the UK or from the general population in China with at least two dementia risk factors. The primary effectiveness outcome was change in cardiovascular risk factors, ageing, and incidence of dementia (CAIDE) risk score from baseline to after 12–18 months of intervention. Implementation outcomes were coverage, adoption, sustainability, appropriateness, acceptability, fidelity, feasibility, and costs assessed using a mixed-methods approach. All participants with complete data on the primary outcome, without imputation of missing outcomes were included in the analysis (intention-to-treat principle). This trial is registered with ISRCTN, ISRCTN15986016, and is completed.</p></div><div><h3>Findings</h3><p>Between Jan 15, 2021, and April 18, 2023, 1488 people (601 male and 887 female) were randomly assigned (734 to intervention and 754 to control), with 1229 (83%) of 1488 available for analysis of the primary effectiveness outcome. After a mean follow-up of 16 months (SD 2·5), the mean CAIDE score improved 0·16 points in the intervention group versus 0·01 in the control group (mean difference –0·16, 95% CI –0·29 to –0·03). 1533 (10%) invited individuals responded; of the intervention participants, 593 (81%) of 734 adopted the intervention and 367 (50%) of 734 continued active participation throughout the study. Perceived appropriateness (85%), acceptability (81%), and fidelity (79%) were good, with fair overall feasibility (53% of intervention participants and 58% of coaches), at low cost. No differences in adverse events between study arms were found.</p></div><div><h3>Interpretation</h3><p>A coach-supported mHealth intervention is modestly effective in reducing dementia risk factors in those with low socioeconomic status in the UK and any socioeconomic status in China. Implementation is challenging in these populations, but those reached actively participated. Whether this intervention will result in less cognitive decline and dementia requires a larger RCT with long follow-up.</p></div><div><h3>Funding</h3><p>EU Horizon 2020 Research and Innovation Programme and the National Key R&D Programmes of China.</p></div><div><h3>Translation</h3><p>For the Mandarin translation of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":34394,"journal":{"name":"Lancet Healthy Longevity","volume":"5 6","pages":"Pages e431-e442"},"PeriodicalIF":13.1,"publicationDate":"2024-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666756824000680/pdfft?md5=347ab4be77fe24ccc214ac7df12a2777&pid=1-s2.0-S2666756824000680-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141065018","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-06-01DOI: 10.1016/S2666-7568(24)00061-8
Prof Blossom C M Stephan PhD , Louie Cochrane MSc , Aysegul Humeyra Kafadar MSc , Jacob Brain MSc , Elissa Burton PhD , Prof Bronwyn Myers PhD , Prof Carol Brayne MD , Aliya Naheed PhD , Prof Kaarin J Anstey PhD , Ammar W Ashor PhD , Prof Mario Siervo PhD
<div><h3>Background</h3><p>More than 57 million people have dementia worldwide. Evidence indicates a change in dementia prevalence and incidence in high-income countries, which is likely to be due to improved life-course population health. Identifying key modifiable risk factors for dementia is essential for informing risk reduction and prevention strategies. We therefore aimed to estimate the population attributable fraction (PAF) for dementia associated with modifiable risk factors.</p></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><p>In this systematic review and meta-analysis, we searched Embase, MEDLINE, and PsycINFO, via Ovid, from database inception up to June 29, 2023, for population-derived or community-based studies and reviews reporting a PAF value for one or more modifiable risk factor for later-life dementia (prevalent or incident dementia in people aged ≥60 years), with no restrictions on dementia subtype, the sex or baseline age of participants, or the period of study. Articles were independently screened for inclusion by four authors, with disagreements resolved through consensus. Data including unweighted and weighted PAF values (weighted to account for communality or overlap in risk) were independently extracted into a predefined template by two authors and checked by two other authors. When five or more unique studies investigated a given risk factor or combination of the same factors, random-effects meta-analyses were used to calculate a pooled PAF percentage estimate for the factor or combination of factors. The review protocol was registered on PROSPERO, CRD42022323429.</p></div><div><h3>Findings</h3><p>4024 articles were identified, and 74 were included in our narrative synthesis. Overall, PAFs were reported for 61 modifiable risk factors, with sufficient data available for meta-analysis of 12 factors (n=48 studies). In meta-analyses, the highest pooled unweighted PAF values were estimated for low education (17·2% [95% CI 14·4–20·0], p<0·0001), hypertension (15·8% [14·7–17·1], p<0·0001), hearing loss (15·6% [10·3–20·9], p<0·0001), physical inactivity (15·2% [12·8–17·7], p<0·0001), and obesity (9·4% [7·3–11·7], p<0·0001). According to weighted PAF values, low education (9·3% [6·9–11·7], p<0·0001), physical inactivity (7·3% [3·9–11·2], p=0·0021), hearing loss (7·2% [5·2–9·7], p<0·0001), hypertension (7·1% [5·4–8·8], p<0·0001), and obesity (5·3% [3·2–7·4], p=0·0001) had the highest pooled estimates. When low education, midlife hypertension, midlife obesity, smoking, physical inactivity, depression, and diabetes were combined (Barnes and Yaffe seven-factor model; n=9 studies), the pooled unweighted and weighted PAF values were 55·0% (46·5–63·5; p<0·0001) and 32·0% (26·6–37·5; p<0·0001), respectively. The pooled PAF values for most individual risk factors were higher in low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs) versus high-income countries.</p></div><div><h3>Interpretation</h3><p>Governments need to invest in a li
{"title":"Population attributable fractions of modifiable risk factors for dementia: a systematic review and meta-analysis","authors":"Prof Blossom C M Stephan PhD , Louie Cochrane MSc , Aysegul Humeyra Kafadar MSc , Jacob Brain MSc , Elissa Burton PhD , Prof Bronwyn Myers PhD , Prof Carol Brayne MD , Aliya Naheed PhD , Prof Kaarin J Anstey PhD , Ammar W Ashor PhD , Prof Mario Siervo PhD","doi":"10.1016/S2666-7568(24)00061-8","DOIUrl":"10.1016/S2666-7568(24)00061-8","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background</h3><p>More than 57 million people have dementia worldwide. Evidence indicates a change in dementia prevalence and incidence in high-income countries, which is likely to be due to improved life-course population health. Identifying key modifiable risk factors for dementia is essential for informing risk reduction and prevention strategies. We therefore aimed to estimate the population attributable fraction (PAF) for dementia associated with modifiable risk factors.</p></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><p>In this systematic review and meta-analysis, we searched Embase, MEDLINE, and PsycINFO, via Ovid, from database inception up to June 29, 2023, for population-derived or community-based studies and reviews reporting a PAF value for one or more modifiable risk factor for later-life dementia (prevalent or incident dementia in people aged ≥60 years), with no restrictions on dementia subtype, the sex or baseline age of participants, or the period of study. Articles were independently screened for inclusion by four authors, with disagreements resolved through consensus. Data including unweighted and weighted PAF values (weighted to account for communality or overlap in risk) were independently extracted into a predefined template by two authors and checked by two other authors. When five or more unique studies investigated a given risk factor or combination of the same factors, random-effects meta-analyses were used to calculate a pooled PAF percentage estimate for the factor or combination of factors. The review protocol was registered on PROSPERO, CRD42022323429.</p></div><div><h3>Findings</h3><p>4024 articles were identified, and 74 were included in our narrative synthesis. Overall, PAFs were reported for 61 modifiable risk factors, with sufficient data available for meta-analysis of 12 factors (n=48 studies). In meta-analyses, the highest pooled unweighted PAF values were estimated for low education (17·2% [95% CI 14·4–20·0], p<0·0001), hypertension (15·8% [14·7–17·1], p<0·0001), hearing loss (15·6% [10·3–20·9], p<0·0001), physical inactivity (15·2% [12·8–17·7], p<0·0001), and obesity (9·4% [7·3–11·7], p<0·0001). According to weighted PAF values, low education (9·3% [6·9–11·7], p<0·0001), physical inactivity (7·3% [3·9–11·2], p=0·0021), hearing loss (7·2% [5·2–9·7], p<0·0001), hypertension (7·1% [5·4–8·8], p<0·0001), and obesity (5·3% [3·2–7·4], p=0·0001) had the highest pooled estimates. When low education, midlife hypertension, midlife obesity, smoking, physical inactivity, depression, and diabetes were combined (Barnes and Yaffe seven-factor model; n=9 studies), the pooled unweighted and weighted PAF values were 55·0% (46·5–63·5; p<0·0001) and 32·0% (26·6–37·5; p<0·0001), respectively. The pooled PAF values for most individual risk factors were higher in low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs) versus high-income countries.</p></div><div><h3>Interpretation</h3><p>Governments need to invest in a li","PeriodicalId":34394,"journal":{"name":"Lancet Healthy Longevity","volume":"5 6","pages":"Pages e406-e421"},"PeriodicalIF":13.1,"publicationDate":"2024-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666756824000618/pdfft?md5=cb707008c5477ab286a5261b3c99539f&pid=1-s2.0-S2666756824000618-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141200940","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-06-01DOI: 10.1016/S2666-7568(24)00072-2
Constantinos Christopoulos
{"title":"Polypharmacy research: in need of a new conceptual framework","authors":"Constantinos Christopoulos","doi":"10.1016/S2666-7568(24)00072-2","DOIUrl":"10.1016/S2666-7568(24)00072-2","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":34394,"journal":{"name":"Lancet Healthy Longevity","volume":"5 6","pages":"Page e388"},"PeriodicalIF":13.1,"publicationDate":"2024-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666756824000722/pdfft?md5=5ea13d3fc28ceaf01ae04528180f6b9e&pid=1-s2.0-S2666756824000722-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141200939","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-06-01DOI: 10.1016/S2666-7568(24)00071-0
Jason R Smith , Jennifer A Deal
{"title":"The need for a more holistic approach to dementia prevention","authors":"Jason R Smith , Jennifer A Deal","doi":"10.1016/S2666-7568(24)00071-0","DOIUrl":"10.1016/S2666-7568(24)00071-0","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":34394,"journal":{"name":"Lancet Healthy Longevity","volume":"5 6","pages":"Pages e382-e383"},"PeriodicalIF":13.1,"publicationDate":"2024-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666756824000710/pdfft?md5=d34ed927a82584c80c8c85556652372b&pid=1-s2.0-S2666756824000710-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141200961","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
<div><h3>Background</h3><p>The ε4 allele of the apolipoprotein E gene (<em>APOE4</em>) plays a role in neurodegeneration and in cardiovascular disease, but findings on its association with mortality are inconsistent. We aimed to examine the association between <em>APOE4</em> and mortality, and the role of dementia in this association.</p></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><p>In this pooled analysis, data on White participants aged 45–90 years who underwent <em>APOE</em> genotyping were drawn from two population-based cohorts: the Whitehall II study (UK), which began in 1985 and is ongoing, and the Three-City study (France), initiated in 1999 and ended in 2012. In the Three-City study, vital status was ascertained through linkage to the national registry of death Institut National de la Statistique des Études économiques, and dementia was ascertained via a neuropsychological evaluation and validation of diagnoses by an independent committee of neurologists and geriatricians. In the Whitehall II study, vital status was ascertained through linkage to the UK national mortality register, and dementia cases were ascertained by linkage to three national registers. Participants with prevalent dementia at baseline and participants missing an <em>APOE</em> genotype were excluded from <em>analyses</em>. Cox regression proportional hazard models were used to examine the association of <em>APOE4</em> with all-cause, cardiovascular, and cancer mortality. The role of dementia in the association between <em>APOE4</em> status and mortality was examined by excluding participants who developed dementia during follow-up from the analyses. An illness-death model was then used to examine the role of incident dementia in these associations.</p></div><div><h3>Findings</h3><p>14 091 participants (8492 from the Three-City study and 5599 from the Whitehall II study; 6668 [47%] of participants were women and 7423 [53%] were men), with a median follow-up of 15·4 years (IQR 10·6–21·2), were included in the analyses. Of these participants, <em>APOE4</em> carriers (3264 [23%] of the cohort carried at least one ε4 allele) had a higher risk of all-cause mortality compared with non-carriers, with hazard ratios (HR) of 1·16 (95% CI 1·07–1·26) for heterozygotes and 1·59 (1·24–2·06) for homozygotes. Compared with <em>APOE3</em> homozygotes, higher cardiovascular mortality was observed in <em>APOE4</em> carriers, with a HR of 1·23 (1·01–1·50) for heterozygotes, and no association was found between <em>APOE4</em> and cancer mortality. Excluding cases of incident dementia over the follow-up resulted in attenuated associations with mortality in homozygotes but not in heterozygotes. The illness-death model indicated that the higher mortality risk in <em>APOE4</em> carriers was not solely attributable to dementia.</p></div><div><h3>Interpretation</h3><p>We found a robust association between <em>APOE4</em> and all-cause and cardiovascular mortality but not cancer mortality. Dementia explained a sig
{"title":"The role of dementia in the association between APOE4 and all-cause mortality: pooled analyses of two population-based cohort studies","authors":"Mélina Régy PhD , Aline Dugravot PhD , Séverine Sabia PhD , Catherine Helmer PhD , Prof Christophe Tzourio PhD , Prof Bernard Hanseeuw PhD , Prof Archana Singh-Manoux PhD , Prof Julien Dumurgier PhD","doi":"10.1016/S2666-7568(24)00066-7","DOIUrl":"10.1016/S2666-7568(24)00066-7","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background</h3><p>The ε4 allele of the apolipoprotein E gene (<em>APOE4</em>) plays a role in neurodegeneration and in cardiovascular disease, but findings on its association with mortality are inconsistent. We aimed to examine the association between <em>APOE4</em> and mortality, and the role of dementia in this association.</p></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><p>In this pooled analysis, data on White participants aged 45–90 years who underwent <em>APOE</em> genotyping were drawn from two population-based cohorts: the Whitehall II study (UK), which began in 1985 and is ongoing, and the Three-City study (France), initiated in 1999 and ended in 2012. In the Three-City study, vital status was ascertained through linkage to the national registry of death Institut National de la Statistique des Études économiques, and dementia was ascertained via a neuropsychological evaluation and validation of diagnoses by an independent committee of neurologists and geriatricians. In the Whitehall II study, vital status was ascertained through linkage to the UK national mortality register, and dementia cases were ascertained by linkage to three national registers. Participants with prevalent dementia at baseline and participants missing an <em>APOE</em> genotype were excluded from <em>analyses</em>. Cox regression proportional hazard models were used to examine the association of <em>APOE4</em> with all-cause, cardiovascular, and cancer mortality. The role of dementia in the association between <em>APOE4</em> status and mortality was examined by excluding participants who developed dementia during follow-up from the analyses. An illness-death model was then used to examine the role of incident dementia in these associations.</p></div><div><h3>Findings</h3><p>14 091 participants (8492 from the Three-City study and 5599 from the Whitehall II study; 6668 [47%] of participants were women and 7423 [53%] were men), with a median follow-up of 15·4 years (IQR 10·6–21·2), were included in the analyses. Of these participants, <em>APOE4</em> carriers (3264 [23%] of the cohort carried at least one ε4 allele) had a higher risk of all-cause mortality compared with non-carriers, with hazard ratios (HR) of 1·16 (95% CI 1·07–1·26) for heterozygotes and 1·59 (1·24–2·06) for homozygotes. Compared with <em>APOE3</em> homozygotes, higher cardiovascular mortality was observed in <em>APOE4</em> carriers, with a HR of 1·23 (1·01–1·50) for heterozygotes, and no association was found between <em>APOE4</em> and cancer mortality. Excluding cases of incident dementia over the follow-up resulted in attenuated associations with mortality in homozygotes but not in heterozygotes. The illness-death model indicated that the higher mortality risk in <em>APOE4</em> carriers was not solely attributable to dementia.</p></div><div><h3>Interpretation</h3><p>We found a robust association between <em>APOE4</em> and all-cause and cardiovascular mortality but not cancer mortality. Dementia explained a sig","PeriodicalId":34394,"journal":{"name":"Lancet Healthy Longevity","volume":"5 6","pages":"Pages e422-e430"},"PeriodicalIF":13.1,"publicationDate":"2024-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666756824000667/pdfft?md5=f558e5586e63a8f953114a471aedc44b&pid=1-s2.0-S2666756824000667-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141200962","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-05-01DOI: 10.1016/S2666-7568(24)00029-1
Caroline Hartwell Garred MD , Morten Malmborg PhD , Mariam Elmegaard Malik MD , Deewa Zahir MD , Daniel Mølager Christensen PhD , Anojhaan Arulmurugananthavadivel MD , Prof Emil L Fosbøl PhD , Prof Gunnar Gislason PhD , Prof John J V McMurray MD , Prof Mark C Petrie MD , Charlotte Andersson PhD , Prof Lars Køber DMSc , Prof Morten Schou PhD
Background
Despite advances in heart failure care reducing mortality in clinical trials, it remains unclear whether real-life cohorts have had similar improvements in life expectancy across the age spectrum. We aimed to investigate how mortality trends changed in patients with heart failure over the past 25 years, stratified by age groups.
Methods
Using Danish nationwide registries, we identified patients with new-onset heart failure aged 18–95 years. The 5-year all-cause mortality risk and the absolute risk difference of mortality between patients with heart failure and age-matched and sex-matched heart failure-free controls were assessed using Kaplan–Meier estimates and multivariable Cox regression models. Mortality trends were analysed across five calendar periods (1996–2000, 2001–05, 2006–10, 2011–15, and 2016–20) and three age groups (<65 years, 65–79 years, and ≥80 years).
Findings
194 997 patients with heart failure were included. Mortality significantly decreased from 1996–2000 (66% [95% CI 65·5–66·4]) to 2016–20 (43% [42·1–43·4]), with similar results shown in all age groups (<65 years: 35% [33·9–36·1] to 15% [14·6–16·3]; 65–79 years: 64% [63·1–64·5] to 39% [37·6–39·6]; and ≥80 years: 84% [83·1–84·3] to 73% [71·7–73·9]). Adjusted mortality rates supported these associations. The absolute risk difference declined notably in younger age groups (<65 years: 29·9% [28·8–31·0] to 12·7% [12·0–13·4] and 65–79 years: 41·1% [40·3–41·9] to 25·1% [24·4–25·8]), remaining relatively stable in those aged 80 years or older (30·6% [29·9–31·3] to 28% [27·2–28·8]).
Interpretation
Over 25 years, there has been a consistent decrease in mortality among patients with heart failure across age groups, albeit less prominently in patients aged 80 years or older. Further insight is needed to identify effective strategies for improving disease burden in older patients with heart failure.
Funding
None.
Translation
For the Danish translation of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.
{"title":"Age-specific mortality trends in heart failure over 25 years: a retrospective Danish nationwide cohort study","authors":"Caroline Hartwell Garred MD , Morten Malmborg PhD , Mariam Elmegaard Malik MD , Deewa Zahir MD , Daniel Mølager Christensen PhD , Anojhaan Arulmurugananthavadivel MD , Prof Emil L Fosbøl PhD , Prof Gunnar Gislason PhD , Prof John J V McMurray MD , Prof Mark C Petrie MD , Charlotte Andersson PhD , Prof Lars Køber DMSc , Prof Morten Schou PhD","doi":"10.1016/S2666-7568(24)00029-1","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/S2666-7568(24)00029-1","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background</h3><p>Despite advances in heart failure care reducing mortality in clinical trials, it remains unclear whether real-life cohorts have had similar improvements in life expectancy across the age spectrum. We aimed to investigate how mortality trends changed in patients with heart failure over the past 25 years, stratified by age groups.</p></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><p>Using Danish nationwide registries, we identified patients with new-onset heart failure aged 18–95 years. The 5-year all-cause mortality risk and the absolute risk difference of mortality between patients with heart failure and age-matched and sex-matched heart failure-free controls were assessed using Kaplan–Meier estimates and multivariable Cox regression models. Mortality trends were analysed across five calendar periods (1996–2000, 2001–05, 2006–10, 2011–15, and 2016–20) and three age groups (<65 years, 65–79 years, and ≥80 years).</p></div><div><h3>Findings</h3><p>194 997 patients with heart failure were included. Mortality significantly decreased from 1996–2000 (66% [95% CI 65·5–66·4]) to 2016–20 (43% [42·1–43·4]), with similar results shown in all age groups (<65 years: 35% [33·9–36·1] to 15% [14·6–16·3]; 65–79 years: 64% [63·1–64·5] to 39% [37·6–39·6]; and ≥80 years: 84% [83·1–84·3] to 73% [71·7–73·9]). Adjusted mortality rates supported these associations. The absolute risk difference declined notably in younger age groups (<65 years: 29·9% [28·8–31·0] to 12·7% [12·0–13·4] and 65–79 years: 41·1% [40·3–41·9] to 25·1% [24·4–25·8]), remaining relatively stable in those aged 80 years or older (30·6% [29·9–31·3] to 28% [27·2–28·8]).</p></div><div><h3>Interpretation</h3><p>Over 25 years, there has been a consistent decrease in mortality among patients with heart failure across age groups, albeit less prominently in patients aged 80 years or older. Further insight is needed to identify effective strategies for improving disease burden in older patients with heart failure.</p></div><div><h3>Funding</h3><p>None.</p></div><div><h3>Translation</h3><p>For the Danish translation of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":34394,"journal":{"name":"Lancet Healthy Longevity","volume":"5 5","pages":"Pages e326-e335"},"PeriodicalIF":13.1,"publicationDate":"2024-05-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666756824000291/pdfft?md5=74e8b71555153d1e90274d8a16e7ca45&pid=1-s2.0-S2666756824000291-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140824570","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}