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Long-term survival after invasive pneumococcal disease: a matched cohort study using electronic health records in England 侵袭性肺炎球菌疾病后的长期生存:一项使用英国电子健康记录的匹配队列研究
IF 14.6 Q1 GERIATRICS & GERONTOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-11-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.lanhl.2025.100775
Anne Suffel PhD , Fariyo Abdullahi MSc , Eleanor Barry PhD , Jemma Walker PhD , Prof Nick Andrews PhD , Zahin Amin-Chowdhury MSc , Prof Shamez N Ladhani PhD , Daniel Grint PhD , Helen I McDonald PhD , Prof Ian Douglas PhD , Prof Kathryn E Mansfield PhD , Edward P K Parker PhD

Background

Invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) is associated with increased long-term mortality, but it is unclear if this is explained by pre-existing comorbidities. We aimed to estimate the long-term survival following IPD in comparison with the general population, adjusting for potential confounders such as underlying comorbidities.

Methods

We conducted a matched cohort study comparing long-term survival (>120 days after infection) in individuals with IPD and comparators without IPD. Cases were individuals aged 65 years or older with laboratory-confirmed IPD (2012–19) identified through enhanced national surveillance. Comparators matched on age, sex, and calendar date of laboratory-confirmed diagnosis were drawn from primary care electronic health records in Clinical Practice Research Datalink GOLD. We used Cox regression, stratified by matched set, to compare mortality in people with and without IPD, adjusting for relevant comorbidities, socioeconomic deprivation, and ethnicity.

Findings

We included 13 401 IPD cases and 67 005 comparators without IPD. There were 5038 (53·5%) female and 4380 (46·5%) male IPD cases and 19 927 (53·5%) female and 17 351 (46·5%) male comparators without IPD. After adjusting for comorbidities, socioeconomic deprivation, and ethnicity, we found increased all-cause mortality in IPD cases compared with comparators without IPD (hazard ratio 3·74 [95% CI 3·50–3·99]). The predicted median survival was 4·7 years (IQR 2·9–7·4) for IPD cases and more than 11·9 years (IQR 8·7 to >11·9) for comparators without IPD. This increased mortality was consistent across subgroups defined by age, vaccination history, and comorbidity status (including diabetes, chronic respiratory disease, and chronic heart disease).

Interpretation

IPD was associated with increased mortality at least 5 years after infection. These findings emphasise the value of IPD prevention and the need for more research into the clinical management of people who have had IPD. Long-term mortality should be incorporated in cost-effectiveness analyses for pneumococcal vaccines.

Funding

National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR) Health Protection Research Unit in Vaccines and Immunisation (NIHR200929).
背景:侵袭性肺炎球菌病(IPD)与长期死亡率增加有关,但尚不清楚这是否可以用先前存在的合并症来解释。我们的目的是估计IPD后与普通人群相比的长期生存,调整潜在的混杂因素,如潜在的合并症。方法:我们进行了一项匹配队列研究,比较IPD患者和非IPD患者的长期生存(感染后120天)。病例为通过加强国家监测发现的65岁或以上实验室确诊IPD(2012- 2019年)患者。根据年龄、性别和实验室确诊日期匹配的比较者从临床实践研究数据链GOLD中的初级保健电子健康记录中提取。我们使用Cox回归,按匹配集分层,比较IPD患者和非IPD患者的死亡率,调整相关合并症、社会经济剥夺和种族。结果:我们纳入了13 401例IPD病例和67 005例无IPD的比较者。女性IPD 5038例(53.5%),男性4380例(46.5%);无IPD比较者女性19927例(53.5%),男性17351例(46.5%)。在调整了合并症、社会经济剥夺和种族因素后,我们发现IPD患者的全因死亡率比没有IPD的对照组增加(风险比3.74 [95% CI 3.50 - 3.99])。IPD患者的预测中位生存期为4.7年(IQR为2.9 - 7.4),无IPD对照者的预测中位生存期超过11.9年(IQR为8.7 - 11.9)。这种死亡率的增加在年龄、疫苗接种史和合并症(包括糖尿病、慢性呼吸系统疾病和慢性心脏病)定义的亚组中是一致的。解释:IPD与感染后至少5年的死亡率增加有关。这些发现强调了IPD预防的价值,以及对IPD患者的临床管理进行更多研究的必要性。长期死亡率应纳入肺炎球菌疫苗的成本效益分析。资助:国家卫生和保健研究所(NIHR)疫苗和免疫健康保护研究单位(NIHR200929)。
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引用次数: 0
Significant new disability after major non-cardiac surgery in older adults aged 65 years and older in Canada: a multicentre prospective cohort study 加拿大65岁及以上老年人非心脏大手术后显著新发残疾:一项多中心前瞻性队列研究
IF 14.6 Q1 GERIATRICS & GERONTOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-11-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.lanhl.2025.100789
Prof Duminda N Wijeysundera PhD , Prof Shabbir M H Alibhai MD , Prof Martine T E Puts PhD , Keying Xu MSc , Julian F Daza PhD , Calvin Diep MD , Karim S Ladha MD , Tyler R Chesney MD , Prof C David Mazer MD , Alice C Wei MD , Sahar Ehtesham MSc , Emily Hladkowicz PhD , Janneth Pazmino-Canizares MSc , Stephen Choi MD , Melinda Davis MBBS , Prof Derek Dillane MD , Emmanuelle Duceppe PhD , Prof Eric Jacobsohn MBChB , Gianni R Lorello MD , David B MacDonald MD , J Wu

Background

Older adults aged 65 years and older considering major surgery often prioritise functional and cognitive outcomes over survival. Therefore, we conducted a prospective cohort study that aimed to characterise the incidence, effect, and predictors of new postoperative disability in older adults.

Methods

The Functional Improvement Trajectories After Surgery multicentre prospective cohort study enrolled older adults (ie, those aged ≥65 years) undergoing major elective non-cardiac surgery at 17 hospitals across Canada. Endovascular, joint replacement, intra-cranial, and palliative procedures were excluded. The WHO Disability Assessment Schedule was used to assess disability preoperatively and at 1, 3, 6, 9, and 12 months postoperatively. The primary outcome was 6-month significant new disability or death. The secondary outcome was this composite outcome at 12 months. Multivariable logistic regression models were used to estimate associations of baseline characteristics with outcomes.

Findings

Between Dec 16, 2019, and April 26, 2023, we enrolled 2007 patients (median age 72 years [IQR 68–76]; 853 [42·5%] were female), of whom 1988 (99·1%) lived at home and 868 (43·3%) lived with frailty. By 6 months after surgery, 16·5% patients had significant new disability and death, increasing to 20·7% by 1 year. Patients with new disability at 6 months had higher risks of concurrent depression (risk difference 36·7%, 95% CI 31·9–41·6) and decisional regret (9·9%, 5·1–14·7). At 12 months, the higher risks of depression (33·6%, 28·2–39·0) and decisional regret (12·9%, 7·9–17·8) persisted. Multivariable modelling identified baseline frailty, cognitive impairment, mobility aids, open surgery, smoking, and possibly unmet social supports as associated with increased risks of postoperative new disability or death.

Interpretation

One in six older adults in this cohort experienced new disability or death at 6 months following major surgery, increasing to one in five patients by 1 year. Preoperative assessment of frailty, cognitive status, and social supports could enhance shared decision making, care planning, and functional recovery.

Funding

Canadian Institutes of Health Research, PSI Foundation, Ontario Ministry of Health Innovation Fund, and the Elizabeth A and Richard J Currie, OC Chair in Translational Anesthesia Research at St Michael’s Hospital and the University of Toronto.
背景:65岁及以上考虑大手术的老年人通常优先考虑功能和认知结果而不是生存。因此,我们进行了一项前瞻性队列研究,旨在描述老年人术后新发残疾的发生率、效果和预测因素。方法:手术后功能改善轨迹多中心前瞻性队列研究纳入了加拿大17家医院接受重大选择性非心脏手术的老年人(即年龄≥65岁的老年人)。排除了血管内、关节置换术、颅内和姑息性手术。世卫组织残疾评估表用于术前和术后1、3、6、9和12个月的残疾评估。主要结局为6个月的显著新发残疾或死亡。次要终点是12个月时的综合终点。使用多变量逻辑回归模型来估计基线特征与结果的关联。研究结果:在2019年12月16日至2023年4月26日期间,我们纳入了2007例患者(中位年龄72岁[IQR 68-76]; 853例[42.5%]为女性),其中1988例(99.1%)生活在家中,868例(43.3%)生活虚弱。术后6个月,16.5%的患者有明显的新发残疾和死亡,1年后增加到20.7%。6个月时出现新残疾的患者并发抑郁(风险差36.7%,95% CI 31.9 ~ 41.6)和决定后悔(9.9%,5.1 ~ 14.7)的风险较高。在12个月时,抑郁(33.6%,28.2 - 39.0)和决策后悔(12.9%,7.9 - 17.8)的较高风险持续存在。多变量模型确定了基线虚弱、认知障碍、活动辅助、开放式手术、吸烟以及可能未满足的社会支持与术后新发残疾或死亡风险增加相关。解释:该队列中有六分之一的老年人在大手术后6个月内出现新的残疾或死亡,1年后增加到五分之一。术前对虚弱、认知状态和社会支持的评估可以促进共同决策、护理计划和功能恢复。资助:加拿大卫生研究院、PSI基金会、安大略省卫生创新基金,以及圣迈克尔医院和多伦多大学转化麻醉研究OC主席Elizabeth A和Richard J Currie。
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引用次数: 0
Highlights of the EuGMS congress 2025 2025年欧共体大会的亮点。
IF 14.6 Q1 GERIATRICS & GERONTOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-11-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.lanhl.2025.100793
Philippa K Harris
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引用次数: 0
Ageing in South-East Asia 东南亚的老龄化问题。
IF 14.6 Q1 GERIATRICS & GERONTOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-11-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.lanhl.2025.100807
The Lancet Healthy Longevity
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引用次数: 0
A pragmatic application with clear personal impact 一个具有明显个人影响的实用应用。
IF 14.6 Q1 GERIATRICS & GERONTOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-11-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.lanhl.2025.100795
Carolyn E Schwartz
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引用次数: 0
Bridging the age gap: improving representation of older adults in clinical trials for type 2 diabetes and chronic kidney disease 缩小年龄差距:改善老年人在2型糖尿病和慢性肾脏疾病临床试验中的代表性。
IF 14.6 Q1 GERIATRICS & GERONTOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-11-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.lanhl.2025.100796
Changyuan Yang MD , Hanneke Joosten MD PhD , Lynne Chepulis PhD , Fabiana Rossi Varallo PhD , Peter van Dijk MD PhD , Deidra C Crews MD , Priya Vart PhD
Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is common among older adults, with more than a third of individuals older than 65 years having moderate to severe CKD globally. Management of CKD in older adults is often complex because of multiple comorbidities, polypharmacy, and frailty. However, older adults remain under-represented in clinical trials for both type 2 diabetes (T2D), which is the leading risk factor for CKD, and CKD itself. Recent analyses show consistent low representation of older adults in T2D trials. Similarly, participants of dialysis trials tend to be younger, healthier, and have a lower mortality rate than individuals in the real-world dialysis population, and even greater age disparities are reported in trials for non-dialysis-dependent CKD. This under-representation limits the evidence base for treating older adults and often compels clinicians to extrapolate findings from younger populations or rely on observational data. Consequently, both undertreatment and overtreatment of T2D and CKD might occur. Excluding older adults from trial participation leads to society bearing the costs of avoidable harms from preventable adverse events, inappropriate medication use, and missed opportunities to improve functional outcomes in an ageing population. Addressing this age gap in trial population and target treatment population is crucial to ensure evidence-based, equitable care for older adults. In this Personal View, we explore the barriers of under-representation of older adults and propose strategies to enhance their inclusion in future trials for T2D and CKD.
慢性肾脏疾病(CKD)在老年人中很常见,全球超过三分之一的65岁以上的老年人患有中度至重度CKD。由于多种合并症、多种药物和虚弱,老年人CKD的管理通常是复杂的。然而,老年人在2型糖尿病(T2D)和CKD本身的临床试验中仍然缺乏代表性。2型糖尿病是CKD的主要危险因素。最近的分析显示,老年人在T2D试验中的代表性一直很低。同样,透析试验的参与者往往比现实生活中的透析人群更年轻、更健康、死亡率更低,而在非透析依赖性CKD的试验中,年龄差异甚至更大。这种代表性不足限制了治疗老年人的证据基础,常常迫使临床医生从年轻人群中推断结果或依赖观察数据。因此,可能会出现T2D和CKD治疗不足和过度治疗的情况。将老年人排除在试验之外会导致社会承担可预防不良事件造成的可避免伤害的成本、不适当的药物使用以及错失改善老龄化人口功能结局的机会。解决试验人群和目标治疗人群的这一年龄差距对于确保为老年人提供循证、公平的护理至关重要。在本个人观点中,我们探讨了老年人代表性不足的障碍,并提出了在未来的T2D和CKD试验中增加老年人纳入的策略。
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引用次数: 0
Understanding changes in complex care needs over time: key research insights into multimorbidity trajectories 理解复杂护理需求随时间的变化:对多病轨迹的关键研究见解。
IF 14.6 Q1 GERIATRICS & GERONTOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-11-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.lanhl.2025.100790
Amaia Calderón-Larrañaga PhD , Elisa Fabbri MD , Ana Isabel González MD , Prof Rafael Perera-Salazar PhD , Nina Grede PhD , Prof Bruce Guthrie MD , Prof José M Valderas MD , Caterina Gregorio PhD , Prof Christiane Muth MD , Davide L Vetrano MD , Prof Gabriele Meyer PhD , Luigi Ferrucci MD , Jeanet W Blom MD , Kerstin Bernartz MSc , Lara Schürmann MSc , Maria Hanf MSc , Prof Martin Scherer MD , Prof Michael A Steinman MD , Prof Mieke Rijken PhD , Prof Sharon Straus MD , Marjan van den Akker PhD
Multimorbidity, the coexistence of multiple chronic diseases or conditions, poses a major challenge for health-care systems worldwide. Traditional research has largely relied on cross-sectional studies, offering limited insight into multimorbidity evolution over time. This Personal View advocates for a paradigm shift towards longitudinal approaches that capture multimorbidity trajectories. Tracking the sequence, pace, and severity of disease accumulation can enhance our understanding of underlying mechanisms, inform early interventions, and improve patient care. Drawing on expert discussions from an international workshop held in Bielefeld, Germany, in May, 2024, we outline key themes and findings to guide future research on the dynamic processes underlying multimorbidity trajectories. Specifically, we summarise previous work, examine the challenges and opportunities of existing data resources, and highlight priority areas for further investigation. Advancing this field will require the standardisation of longitudinal multimorbidity phenotypes, integration of health and social care processes, and testing the usefulness of trajectories for patient-relevant outcomes and risk stratification. Progress will also depend on methodological innovation, patient and public involvement, harmonisation of diverse data sources, and close interdisciplinary collaboration. Ultimately, a trajectory-based framework for multimorbidity research can enable more personalised, efficient, and equitable health-care strategies, improving outcomes in ageing populations.
多重发病,即多种慢性疾病或病症的共存,对世界各地的卫生保健系统构成重大挑战。传统的研究在很大程度上依赖于横断面研究,对多病随时间的演变提供了有限的见解。这种个人观点提倡向纵向方法的范式转变,以捕捉多病症的轨迹。跟踪疾病积累的顺序、速度和严重程度可以增强我们对潜在机制的理解,为早期干预提供信息,并改善患者护理。根据2024年5月在德国比勒费尔德举行的国际研讨会上的专家讨论,我们概述了关键主题和发现,以指导未来对多重疾病轨迹的动态过程的研究。具体来说,我们总结了以前的工作,研究了现有数据资源的挑战和机遇,并强调了进一步调查的优先领域。推进这一领域将需要纵向多病表型的标准化,健康和社会护理过程的整合,以及测试与患者相关的结果和风险分层的轨迹的有用性。进展还将取决于方法的创新、患者和公众的参与、各种数据来源的协调以及密切的跨学科合作。最终,基于轨迹的多病研究框架可以实现更加个性化、高效和公平的卫生保健战略,改善老龄人口的结果。
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引用次数: 0
Hidden risks: long-term mortality after invasive pneumococcal disease 潜伏风险:侵袭性肺炎球菌病后的长期死亡率。
IF 14.6 Q1 GERIATRICS & GERONTOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-11-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.lanhl.2025.100785
Carmen Ardanuy , Jordi Càmara
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引用次数: 0
Pain and suicide in ageing societies: closing a structural blind spot 老龄化社会中的痛苦和自杀:消除结构性盲点。
IF 14.6 Q1 GERIATRICS & GERONTOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-11-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.lanhl.2025.100787
Nilson N Mendes Neto , Jessika M Mendes , Thiago Duarte , Brendon Stubbs
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引用次数: 0
The WHO Integrated Care for Older People programme: a key strategy for addressing ageing in sub-Saharan Africa 世卫组织老年人综合护理规划:撒哈拉以南非洲解决老龄化问题的关键战略。
IF 14.6 Q1 GERIATRICS & GERONTOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-10-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.lanhl.2025.100784
Maturin Tabue-Teguo , Marie-Josiane Ntsama-Essomba , Moustapha Drame , Mamadou Coume , Nadine Simo
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Lancet Healthy Longevity
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