首页 > 最新文献

Regional Sustainability最新文献

英文 中文
Greenhouse gas emission dynamics and climate change mitigation efforts toward sustainability in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region 中东和北非(MENA)区域温室气体排放动态和减缓气候变化以实现可持续性的努力
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2025-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsus.2025.100246
Syed Masiur RAHMAN , Asif RAIHAN , Md Shafiul ALAM , Shakhawat CHOWDHURY
Greenhouse gas (GHG) emssions from fossil fuel consumption are driving global climate change. This study applied the fully modified ordinary least squares (FMOLS) model and pairwise panel Granger causality test to explore the relationships of GHG emissions with gross domestic product (GDP), population, urbanization, natural resource rents, foreign direct investment (FDI), and renewable energy consumption in 12 Middle East and North Africa (MENA) countries (Algeria, Bahrain, Comoros, Djibouti, Egypt, Qatar, Somalia, Saudi Arabia, Syria, the United Arab Emirates, Tunisia, and Yemen) from 1990 to 2023. Due to the limited data on renewable energy after 2020, the coverage of renewable energy consumption is from 1990 to 2021. Findings showed that Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Algeria, the United Arab Emirates, and Qatar are the top 5 GHG emitters in the MENA region, with the GHG emissions of the energy sector rising fastest among all sectors. Results also indicated that a 1.00% increase in GDP, population, urbanization, natural resource rents, and FDI raises GHG emissions by 0.48%, 0.61%, 0.86%, 0.29%, and 0.11%, respectively. Conversely, a 1.00% increase in renewable energy consumption reduces GHG emissions by 0.13%. Effective policies promoting renewable energy investment and the adoption of renewable energy could significantly reduce electricity costs and GHG emissions, contributing to achieving climate goals, such as net-zero emissions and environmental sustainability. Additionally, the increase of renewable energy consumption and technology development would improve energy efficiency, create jobs, and stimulate economic growth in the MENA region. This study recommends tailored policy instruments to support the transition to low-emission technologies and strategies.
化石燃料消耗产生的温室气体(GHG)排放正在推动全球气候变化。本研究运用完全修正的普通最小二乘(FMOLS)模型和两两面板格兰杰因果检验,探讨了12个中东和北非国家(阿尔及利亚、巴林、科摩罗、吉布提、埃及、卡塔尔、索马里、沙特阿拉伯、叙利亚、阿联酋、突尼斯、阿尔及利亚、沙特阿拉伯、沙特阿拉伯和沙特阿拉伯)的温室气体排放与国内生产总值(GDP)、人口、城市化、自然资源租金、外国直接投资(FDI)和可再生能源消费的关系。和也门),从1990年到2023年。由于2020年以后可再生能源数据有限,可再生能源消费的覆盖范围为1990年至2021年。调查结果显示,沙特阿拉伯、埃及、阿尔及利亚、阿拉伯联合酋长国和卡塔尔是中东和北非地区前五大温室气体排放国,其中能源部门的温室气体排放在所有部门中增长最快。GDP、人口、城镇化、自然资源租金和FDI每增长1.00%,温室气体排放量分别增加0.48%、0.61%、0.86%、0.29%和0.11%。相反,可再生能源消费每增加1.00%,温室气体排放量就会减少0.13%。促进可再生能源投资和采用的有效政策可以显著降低电力成本和温室气体排放,有助于实现净零排放和环境可持续性等气候目标。此外,可再生能源消费的增加和技术开发将提高能源效率,创造就业机会,并刺激中东和北非地区的经济增长。这项研究建议了有针对性的政策工具,以支持向低排放技术和战略的过渡。
{"title":"Greenhouse gas emission dynamics and climate change mitigation efforts toward sustainability in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region","authors":"Syed Masiur RAHMAN ,&nbsp;Asif RAIHAN ,&nbsp;Md Shafiul ALAM ,&nbsp;Shakhawat CHOWDHURY","doi":"10.1016/j.regsus.2025.100246","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.regsus.2025.100246","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Greenhouse gas (GHG) emssions from fossil fuel consumption are driving global climate change. This study applied the fully modified ordinary least squares (FMOLS) model and pairwise panel Granger causality test to explore the relationships of GHG emissions with gross domestic product (GDP), population, urbanization, natural resource rents, foreign direct investment (FDI), and renewable energy consumption in 12 Middle East and North Africa (MENA) countries (Algeria, Bahrain, Comoros, Djibouti, Egypt, Qatar, Somalia, Saudi Arabia, Syria, the United Arab Emirates, Tunisia, and Yemen) from 1990 to 2023. Due to the limited data on renewable energy after 2020, the coverage of renewable energy consumption is from 1990 to 2021. Findings showed that Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Algeria, the United Arab Emirates, and Qatar are the top 5 GHG emitters in the MENA region, with the GHG emissions of the energy sector rising fastest among all sectors. Results also indicated that a 1.00% increase in GDP, population, urbanization, natural resource rents, and FDI raises GHG emissions by 0.48%, 0.61%, 0.86%, 0.29%, and 0.11%, respectively. Conversely, a 1.00% increase in renewable energy consumption reduces GHG emissions by 0.13%. Effective policies promoting renewable energy investment and the adoption of renewable energy could significantly reduce electricity costs and GHG emissions, contributing to achieving climate goals, such as net-zero emissions and environmental sustainability. Additionally, the increase of renewable energy consumption and technology development would improve energy efficiency, create jobs, and stimulate economic growth in the MENA region. This study recommends tailored policy instruments to support the transition to low-emission technologies and strategies.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":34395,"journal":{"name":"Regional Sustainability","volume":"6 4","pages":"Article 100246"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145098760","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Impacts of land use and cover change on carbon storage: Multi-scenario projections in the arid region of Northwest China 西北干旱区土地利用/覆被变化对碳储量的影响:多情景预测
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2025-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsus.2025.100248
Xuyu FENG , Xiao ZHAO , Ling TONG , Sufen WANG , Risheng DING , Shaozhong KANG
Carbon storage serves as a key indicator of ecosystem services and plays a vital role in maintaining the global carbon balance. Land use and cover change (LUCC) is one of the primary drivers influencing carbon storage variations in terrestrial ecosystems. Therefore, evaluating the impacts of LUCC on carbon storage is crucial for achieving strategic goals such as the China’s dual carbon goals (including carbon peaking and carbon neutrality). This study focuses on the Aral Irrigation Area in Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, China, to assess the impacts of LUCC on regional carbon storage and their spatiotemporal dynamics. A comprehensive LUCC database from 2000 to 2020 was developed using Landsat satellite imagery and the random forest classification algorithm. The integrated valuation of ecosystem services and trade-offs (InVEST) model was applied to quantify carbon storage and analyze its response to LUCC. Additionally, future LUCC patterns for 2030 were projected under multiple development scenarios using the patch-generating land use simulation (PLUS) model. These future LUCC scenarios were integrated with the InVEST model to simulate carbon storage trends under different land management pathways. Between 2000 and 2020, the dominant land use types in the study area were cropland (area proportion of 35.52%), unused land (34.80%), and orchard land (12.19%). The conversion of unused land and orchard land significantly expanded the area of cropland, which increased by 115,742.55 hm2. During this period, total carbon storage and carbon density increased by 7.87×106 Mg C and 20.19 Mg C/hm2, respectively. The primary driver of this increase was the conversion of unused land into cropland, accounting for 49.28% of the total carbon storage gain. Carbon storage was notably lower along the northeastern and southeastern edges. By 2030, the projected carbon storage is expected to increase by 0.99×106, 1.55×106, and 1.71×106 Mg C under the natural development, cropland protection, and ecological conservation scenarios, respectively. In contrast, under the urban development scenario, carbon storage is projected to decline by 0.40×106 Mg C. In line with China’s dual carbon goals, the ecological conservation scenario emerges as the most effective strategy for enhancing carbon storage. Accordingly, strict enforcement of the cropland red line is recommended. This study provides a valuable scientific foundation for regional ecosystem restoration and sustainable development in arid regions.
碳储量是生态系统服务的重要指标,在维持全球碳平衡中起着至关重要的作用。土地利用与覆被变化(LUCC)是影响陆地生态系统碳储量变化的主要驱动力之一。因此,评估土地利用/土地覆盖变化对碳储量的影响对于实现中国双重碳目标(包括碳峰值和碳中和)等战略目标至关重要。以新疆咸水灌区为研究对象,探讨了土地利用变化对区域碳储量的影响及其时空动态。利用Landsat卫星影像和随机森林分类算法,建立了2000 - 2020年中国土地利用变化综合数据库。应用生态系统服务与权衡综合评价(InVEST)模型量化碳储量并分析其对土地利用变化的响应。此外,利用斑块生成土地利用模拟(PLUS)模型预测了多种发展情景下2030年未来土地利用变化的格局。将这些未来土地利用/土地覆盖变化情景与InVEST模型相结合,模拟不同土地管理路径下的碳储量趋势。2000 - 2020年,研究区土地利用类型主要为耕地(面积占比35.52%)、未利用地(34.80%)和果园地(12.19%)。未利用地和果园用地的转化显著扩大了耕地面积,增加了115742.55 hm2。在此期间,总碳储量和碳密度分别增加了7.87×106 Mg C和20.19 Mg C/hm2。这一增长的主要驱动力是未利用土地转化为耕地,占总碳储量增量的49.28%。碳储量沿东北和东南边缘明显偏低。到2030年,在自然开发、农田保护和生态保护情景下,预计碳储量将分别增加0.99×106、1.55×106和1.71×106 Mg C。而在城市发展情景下,碳储量预计将下降0.40×106 Mg C.与中国的双碳目标一致,生态保护情景是提高碳储量的最有效策略。因此,建议严格执行耕地红线。该研究为干旱区区域生态系统恢复和可持续发展提供了有价值的科学依据。
{"title":"Impacts of land use and cover change on carbon storage: Multi-scenario projections in the arid region of Northwest China","authors":"Xuyu FENG ,&nbsp;Xiao ZHAO ,&nbsp;Ling TONG ,&nbsp;Sufen WANG ,&nbsp;Risheng DING ,&nbsp;Shaozhong KANG","doi":"10.1016/j.regsus.2025.100248","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.regsus.2025.100248","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Carbon storage serves as a key indicator of ecosystem services and plays a vital role in maintaining the global carbon balance. Land use and cover change (LUCC) is one of the primary drivers influencing carbon storage variations in terrestrial ecosystems. Therefore, evaluating the impacts of LUCC on carbon storage is crucial for achieving strategic goals such as the China’s dual carbon goals (including carbon peaking and carbon neutrality). This study focuses on the Aral Irrigation Area in Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, China, to assess the impacts of LUCC on regional carbon storage and their spatiotemporal dynamics. A comprehensive LUCC database from 2000 to 2020 was developed using Landsat satellite imagery and the random forest classification algorithm. The integrated valuation of ecosystem services and trade-offs (InVEST) model was applied to quantify carbon storage and analyze its response to LUCC. Additionally, future LUCC patterns for 2030 were projected under multiple development scenarios using the patch-generating land use simulation (PLUS) model. These future LUCC scenarios were integrated with the InVEST model to simulate carbon storage trends under different land management pathways. Between 2000 and 2020, the dominant land use types in the study area were cropland (area proportion of 35.52%), unused land (34.80%), and orchard land (12.19%). The conversion of unused land and orchard land significantly expanded the area of cropland, which increased by 115,742.55 hm<sup>2</sup>. During this period, total carbon storage and carbon density increased by 7.87×10<sup>6</sup> Mg C and 20.19 Mg C/hm<sup>2</sup>, respectively. The primary driver of this increase was the conversion of unused land into cropland, accounting for 49.28% of the total carbon storage gain. Carbon storage was notably lower along the northeastern and southeastern edges. By 2030, the projected carbon storage is expected to increase by 0.99×10<sup>6</sup>, 1.55×10<sup>6</sup>, and 1.71×10<sup>6</sup> Mg C under the natural development, cropland protection, and ecological conservation scenarios, respectively. In contrast, under the urban development scenario, carbon storage is projected to decline by 0.40×10<sup>6</sup> Mg C. In line with China’s dual carbon goals, the ecological conservation scenario emerges as the most effective strategy for enhancing carbon storage. Accordingly, strict enforcement of the cropland red line is recommended. This study provides a valuable scientific foundation for regional ecosystem restoration and sustainable development in arid regions.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":34395,"journal":{"name":"Regional Sustainability","volume":"6 4","pages":"Article 100248"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145098631","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Enhancing climate-smart coastal farming system through agriculture extension and advisory services towards the avenues of farm sustainability 通过农业推广和咨询服务,加强气候智能型沿海农业系统,实现农业可持续发展
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2025-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsus.2025.100243
Md Maruf BILLAH , Mohammad Mahmudur RAHMAN , Santiago MAHIMAIRAJA , Alvin LAL , Asadi SRINIVASULU , Ravi NAIDU
Agriculture extension and advisory services (AEAS) are integral to smart agricultural systems and play a pivotal role in supporting sustainable agricultural development. The study aimed to assess the role of AEAS in strengthening climate-smart coastal farming system to enhance coastal agricultural sustainability. A mixed-methods study was conducted in the southwestern coastal region of Bangladesh in 2023, which involved administering a structured questionnaire and conducing face-to-face interviews with 390 farmers. Perceived role index (PRI) was employed to assess the potential role of AEAS. To forecast the perceived role outcomes, the machine learning model was undertaken by utilizing suitable algorithms. Additionally, feature importance was calculated to underpin the significant factors of perceived role outcomes. The findings showed that coastal farming communities held a comprehensive understanding of the role of AEAS. Key roles included diffusion of agricultural innovations, acting as a bridge between farmers and research organizations, using demonstration techniques to educate farmers, training farmers on food storage, processing, and utilization, and promoting awareness and adoption of best practices. The machine learning model exposed a significant relationship between farmers’ socio-economic characteristics and their perception behavior. The results identified that factors like innovativeness, awareness, training exposure, access to AEAS, and access to information significantly influenced how farmers perceived the efficacy of AEAS in promoting a smart coastal farming system. However, farmers confronted multiple constraints in receiving demand-driven services and maintaining coastal farm sustainability. These insights can guide concerned authorities and policy-makers in providing AEAS for the purpose of strengthening climate-smart coastal farming system, particularly with a special focus on capacity building programs and machine learning application. Moreover, the outcomes of this study can assist the authorities of similar coastal systems throughout the world to initiate potential strategies for enhancing region-specific agricultural sustainability.
农业推广和咨询服务(AEAS)是智慧农业系统不可或缺的组成部分,在支持可持续农业发展方面发挥着关键作用。本研究旨在评估AEAS在加强气候智慧型沿海农业系统以提高沿海农业可持续性方面的作用。2023年在孟加拉国西南沿海地区进行了一项混合方法研究,其中包括管理结构化问卷并对390名农民进行面对面访谈。采用感知作用指数(PRI)评价AEAS的潜在作用。为了预测感知到的角色结果,利用合适的算法建立了机器学习模型。此外,计算特征重要性以支持感知角色结果的重要因素。研究结果表明,沿海农业社区对AEAS的作用有全面的了解。主要作用包括传播农业创新,充当农民和研究组织之间的桥梁,使用示范技术对农民进行教育,对农民进行粮食储存、加工和利用方面的培训,以及促进对最佳做法的认识和采用。机器学习模型揭示了农民的社会经济特征与其感知行为之间的重要关系。结果发现,创新、意识、培训、获得AEAS和获取信息等因素显著影响了农民对AEAS在促进沿海智能农业系统方面的有效性的看法。然而,农民在获得需求驱动型服务和维持沿海农业可持续性方面面临多重制约。这些见解可以指导有关当局和政策制定者提供AEAS,以加强气候智能型沿海农业系统,特别是特别关注能力建设计划和机器学习应用。此外,本研究的结果可以帮助世界各地类似沿海系统的当局启动潜在的战略,以提高区域特定的农业可持续性。
{"title":"Enhancing climate-smart coastal farming system through agriculture extension and advisory services towards the avenues of farm sustainability","authors":"Md Maruf BILLAH ,&nbsp;Mohammad Mahmudur RAHMAN ,&nbsp;Santiago MAHIMAIRAJA ,&nbsp;Alvin LAL ,&nbsp;Asadi SRINIVASULU ,&nbsp;Ravi NAIDU","doi":"10.1016/j.regsus.2025.100243","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.regsus.2025.100243","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Agriculture extension and advisory services (AEAS) are integral to smart agricultural systems and play a pivotal role in supporting sustainable agricultural development. The study aimed to assess the role of AEAS in strengthening climate-smart coastal farming system to enhance coastal agricultural sustainability. A mixed-methods study was conducted in the southwestern coastal region of Bangladesh in 2023, which involved administering a structured questionnaire and conducing face-to-face interviews with 390 farmers. Perceived role index (PRI) was employed to assess the potential role of AEAS. To forecast the perceived role outcomes, the machine learning model was undertaken by utilizing suitable algorithms. Additionally, feature importance was calculated to underpin the significant factors of perceived role outcomes. The findings showed that coastal farming communities held a comprehensive understanding of the role of AEAS. Key roles included diffusion of agricultural innovations, acting as a bridge between farmers and research organizations, using demonstration techniques to educate farmers, training farmers on food storage, processing, and utilization, and promoting awareness and adoption of best practices. The machine learning model exposed a significant relationship between farmers’ socio-economic characteristics and their perception behavior. The results identified that factors like innovativeness, awareness, training exposure, access to AEAS, and access to information significantly influenced how farmers perceived the efficacy of AEAS in promoting a smart coastal farming system. However, farmers confronted multiple constraints in receiving demand-driven services and maintaining coastal farm sustainability. These insights can guide concerned authorities and policy-makers in providing AEAS for the purpose of strengthening climate-smart coastal farming system, particularly with a special focus on capacity building programs and machine learning application. Moreover, the outcomes of this study can assist the authorities of similar coastal systems throughout the world to initiate potential strategies for enhancing region-specific agricultural sustainability.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":34395,"journal":{"name":"Regional Sustainability","volume":"6 4","pages":"Article 100243"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145098763","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Adaptive conservation of natural resources determines the sustainable livelihood strategies of farmers in the semi-arid Loess Plateau region of China 自然资源的适应性保护决定了半干旱黄土高原地区农民的可持续生计策略
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2025-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsus.2025.100244
Shengli MA , Mingxiang XU
Livelihood improvement and sustainable natural resource utilization are among the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals; however, most farm households either randomly select or just imitate livelihood strategies being practiced in other areas. As the livelihoods of farm households are vulnerable to several challenges in ecologically fragile areas, identifying the livelihood strategies of farm households in arid and semi-arid areas will help for promoting both livelihood security and environmental conservation. Hence, in this study, we constructed a sustainable evaluation index system for the livelihood of farmers in the Loess Plateau region of China by conducting field research and interviews. We employed the composite index method to measure the livelihood capital and the livelihood strategies chosen by farmers, and then analyzed the resource endowment of farmers under different livelihood strategies using logistic regression and structural equation modeling. The results revealed that under the combined influences of livelihood capital and government policy, farm households in the Loess Plateau region selected agro-dependent, agro-pastoral, agro-industrial, non-agricultural livelihood strategies. The key factors influencing the selection of these household livelihood strategies included the household labor capacity, the farmland owned per household, the number of livestock, and the grassland forage-supply ratio. The grassland forage-supply ratio was a crucial factor influencing the choice between agricultural and non-agricultural livelihood strategies. In this context, the grassland forage-supply ratio increased with the stocking rate. However, once the stocking rate exceeded 56.5 sheep/hm2, the grassland forage-supply ratio no longer increased rapidly under the agriculture-based livelihood strategy. The strategy of ecological resource conservation and moderate utilization based on the quality and quantity of natural resources ensures win-win benefits for the environment and human well-being in arid and semi-arid areas. Moderate grazing therefore has the potential to improve farmers’ livelihoods without causing grassland degradation. These results contribute to the synergistic co-adaptation of livelihood improvement and ecological conservation in arid and semi-arid areas.
改善民生和可持续利用自然资源是联合国可持续发展目标之一;然而,大多数农户要么随机选择,要么只是模仿其他地区正在实施的生计策略。由于生态脆弱地区农户的生计容易受到各种挑战,确定干旱半干旱地区农户的生计战略将有助于促进生计安全和环境保护。因此,本研究通过实地调研和访谈,构建了黄土高原地区农民生计可持续评价指标体系。本文采用综合指数法对农户生计资本和生计策略进行测度,并利用logistic回归和结构方程模型分析了不同生计策略下农户的资源禀赋。结果表明:在生计资本和政府政策的共同影响下,黄土高原地区农户选择了农业依赖型、农业牧养型、农业加工业型和非农业生计策略。影响农户生计策略选择的关键因素包括农户劳动能力、农户拥有耕地面积、牲畜存栏数和草地牧草供给比。草地牧草供给比是影响农业与非农业生计策略选择的重要因素。在此背景下,牧草供给率随载畜率的增加而增加。然而,一旦放养率超过56.5只/hm2,在以农业为基础的生计策略下,草地牧草供应比不再快速增加。以自然资源的质与量为基础,实施生态资源保护与适度利用战略,实现干旱半干旱区环境与人类福祉的双赢。因此,适度放牧有可能在不造成草地退化的情况下改善农民的生计。这些结果有助于干旱半干旱区改善生计和保护生态的协同适应。
{"title":"Adaptive conservation of natural resources determines the sustainable livelihood strategies of farmers in the semi-arid Loess Plateau region of China","authors":"Shengli MA ,&nbsp;Mingxiang XU","doi":"10.1016/j.regsus.2025.100244","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.regsus.2025.100244","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Livelihood improvement and sustainable natural resource utilization are among the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals; however, most farm households either randomly select or just imitate livelihood strategies being practiced in other areas. As the livelihoods of farm households are vulnerable to several challenges in ecologically fragile areas, identifying the livelihood strategies of farm households in arid and semi-arid areas will help for promoting both livelihood security and environmental conservation. Hence, in this study, we constructed a sustainable evaluation index system for the livelihood of farmers in the Loess Plateau region of China by conducting field research and interviews. We employed the composite index method to measure the livelihood capital and the livelihood strategies chosen by farmers, and then analyzed the resource endowment of farmers under different livelihood strategies using logistic regression and structural equation modeling. The results revealed that under the combined influences of livelihood capital and government policy, farm households in the Loess Plateau region selected agro-dependent, agro-pastoral, agro-industrial, non-agricultural livelihood strategies. The key factors influencing the selection of these household livelihood strategies included the household labor capacity, the farmland owned per household, the number of livestock, and the grassland forage-supply ratio. The grassland forage-supply ratio was a crucial factor influencing the choice between agricultural and non-agricultural livelihood strategies. In this context, the grassland forage-supply ratio increased with the stocking rate. However, once the stocking rate exceeded 56.5 sheep/hm<sup>2</sup>, the grassland forage-supply ratio no longer increased rapidly under the agriculture-based livelihood strategy. The strategy of ecological resource conservation and moderate utilization based on the quality and quantity of natural resources ensures win-win benefits for the environment and human well-being in arid and semi-arid areas. Moderate grazing therefore has the potential to improve farmers’ livelihoods without causing grassland degradation. These results contribute to the synergistic co-adaptation of livelihood improvement and ecological conservation in arid and semi-arid areas.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":34395,"journal":{"name":"Regional Sustainability","volume":"6 4","pages":"Article 100244"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145098764","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Desertification dynamics in the Tarim Basin during 1990–2020 1990-2020年塔里木盆地沙漠化动态
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2025-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsus.2025.100226
YU Xiang , LEI Jiaqiang , GAO Xin , SUN Lingxiao , LYU Zhentao , Ireneusz MALIK , Malgorzata WISTUBA
Desertification poses a significant ecological threat to global sustainability, notably within arid regions such as the Tarim Basin surrounding the extensive Taklimakan Desert in Northwest China. This study used the Google Earth Engine (GEE) platform and Random Forest (RF) to analyze multi-temporal Landsat images to reveal desertification dynamics in the Tarim Basin spanning from 1990 to 2020. The results showed that land use types of the Tarim Basin were classified into three types: artificial oases, natural oases, and desertified land. To robustly quantify the spatiotemporal dynamics of land use, we introduced the Desertification Change Index (DCI), a novel metric specifically designed to measure the transformation sensitivity of land use types. Our analysis demonstrated that from 1990 to 2020, artificial oases showed a continuous increasing trend, while desertified land decreased significantly. Natural oases decreased during 1990–2000, then continued to grow, and showed a decreasing trend again after 2015. Moreover, natural oases have mainly been converted into desertified land and artificial oases. Artificial oases were mainly converted into natural oases, and most of desertified land was converted into natural oases. Regions with significant oasis expansion (DCI=2) were mostly concentrated within the influence radius of artificial oases. In contrast, regions with significant oasis degradation (DCI= –2) were generally farther from artificial oases. Finally, this study found that the changes in land use types of the Tarim Basin are mainly driven by human activities, which play a dual role—mitigating desertification by controlling oasis expansion and exacerbating desertification through unsustainable resource utilization. Ultimately, this research provides essential insights for policy-makers and land managers aiming to devise adaptive and sustainable desertification control measures in the Tarim Basin and similarly arid regions globally.
荒漠化对全球可持续发展构成了重大的生态威胁,特别是在中国西北部塔里木盆地周围广阔的塔克拉玛干沙漠等干旱地区。利用谷歌地球引擎(Earth Engine, GEE)平台和随机森林(Random Forest, RF)对塔里木盆地1990 - 2020年的多时相Landsat影像进行分析,揭示了塔里木盆地沙漠化动态。结果表明:塔里木盆地土地利用类型可划分为人工绿洲、天然绿洲和沙漠化土地3种类型。为了量化土地利用的时空动态,我们引入了荒漠化变化指数(DCI),这是一个专门用于衡量土地利用类型转变敏感性的新指标。结果表明:1990 ~ 2020年,中国人工绿洲面积呈持续增加趋势,沙漠化土地面积明显减少;自然绿洲数量在1990-2000年间呈下降趋势,随后持续增长,2015年后再次呈现下降趋势。此外,天然绿洲主要被沙漠化土地和人工绿洲所取代。人工绿洲主要转化为天然绿洲,大部分沙化土地转化为天然绿洲。绿洲扩张显著区(DCI=2)主要集中在人工绿洲的影响半径内。绿洲退化严重的地区(DCI= -2)一般离人工绿洲较远。最后,研究发现塔里木盆地土地利用类型的变化主要受人类活动驱动,人类活动具有通过控制绿洲扩张来缓解荒漠化和通过不可持续的资源利用来加剧荒漠化的双重作用。最终,该研究为决策者和土地管理者在塔里木盆地和全球类似干旱地区设计适应性和可持续的荒漠化控制措施提供了重要的见解。
{"title":"Desertification dynamics in the Tarim Basin during 1990–2020","authors":"YU Xiang ,&nbsp;LEI Jiaqiang ,&nbsp;GAO Xin ,&nbsp;SUN Lingxiao ,&nbsp;LYU Zhentao ,&nbsp;Ireneusz MALIK ,&nbsp;Malgorzata WISTUBA","doi":"10.1016/j.regsus.2025.100226","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.regsus.2025.100226","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Desertification poses a significant ecological threat to global sustainability, notably within arid regions such as the Tarim Basin surrounding the extensive Taklimakan Desert in Northwest China. This study used the Google Earth Engine (GEE) platform and Random Forest (RF) to analyze multi-temporal Landsat images to reveal desertification dynamics in the Tarim Basin spanning from 1990 to 2020. The results showed that land use types of the Tarim Basin were classified into three types: artificial oases, natural oases, and desertified land. To robustly quantify the spatiotemporal dynamics of land use, we introduced the Desertification Change Index (DCI), a novel metric specifically designed to measure the transformation sensitivity of land use types. Our analysis demonstrated that from 1990 to 2020, artificial oases showed a continuous increasing trend, while desertified land decreased significantly. Natural oases decreased during 1990–2000, then continued to grow, and showed a decreasing trend again after 2015. Moreover, natural oases have mainly been converted into desertified land and artificial oases. Artificial oases were mainly converted into natural oases, and most of desertified land was converted into natural oases. Regions with significant oasis expansion (DCI=2) were mostly concentrated within the influence radius of artificial oases. In contrast, regions with significant oasis degradation (DCI= –2) were generally farther from artificial oases. Finally, this study found that the changes in land use types of the Tarim Basin are mainly driven by human activities, which play a dual role—mitigating desertification by controlling oasis expansion and exacerbating desertification through unsustainable resource utilization. Ultimately, this research provides essential insights for policy-makers and land managers aiming to devise adaptive and sustainable desertification control measures in the Tarim Basin and similarly arid regions globally.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":34395,"journal":{"name":"Regional Sustainability","volume":"6 3","pages":"Article 100226"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144633349","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
How climate change adaptation strategies and climate migration interact to control food insecurity? 气候变化适应战略和气候移民如何相互作用以控制粮食不安全?
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2025-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsus.2025.100229
Mohammad Reza PAKRAVAN-CHARVADEH , Jeyran CHAMCHAM , Rahim MALEKNIA
As the impact of climate change intensifies, climate migration (climate change-induced migration) has become a pressing global issue that requires effective adaptation strategies to lessen its effects. Therefore, this study delved into the complex relationship between climate change adaptation strategies and climate migration with food insecurity serving as a mediating factor. We collected sample data through face-to-face interviews in Khorramabad City, Iran from February to May in 2023. Using the Structural Equation Modeling (SEM), we explored how food insecurity influences the relationship between climate change adaptation strategies and climate migration. The findings showed that while climate change adaptation strategies can boost community resilience, their success is closely tied to levels of food insecurity. About 78.72% of the surveyed households experienced certain levels of food insecurity, increasing the risk of displacement due to climate-related disasters. Climate change adaptation strategies including economic strategies, irrigation management strategies, organic-oriented strategies, sustainable development-oriented strategies, and crop variety management strategies played a significant role in reducing climate migration. Moreover, we found that climate change adaptation strategies not only impact food security, but also shape migration decisions. This research underscores the importance of an integrated approach that links climate change adaptation strategies, climate migration, and food insecurity. This study emphasizes the importance of food security for formulating sustainable adaptation strategies.
随着气候变化影响的加剧,气候移民(气候变化导致的移民)已成为一个紧迫的全球性问题,需要有效的适应策略来减轻其影响。因此,本研究以粮食不安全为中介因素,深入探讨气候变化适应策略与气候移民之间的复杂关系。我们于2023年2 - 5月在伊朗霍拉马巴德市通过面对面访谈收集样本数据。利用结构方程模型(SEM),探讨了粮食不安全如何影响气候变化适应策略与气候移民之间的关系。研究结果表明,虽然气候变化适应战略可以增强社区抵御能力,但其成功与否与粮食不安全程度密切相关。约78.72%的受访家庭经历了一定程度的粮食不安全,增加了因气候相关灾害而流离失所的风险。气候变化适应战略包括经济战略、灌溉管理战略、有机战略、可持续发展战略和作物品种管理战略,在减少气候移民中发挥了重要作用。此外,我们发现气候变化适应战略不仅影响粮食安全,还影响移民决策。这项研究强调了将气候变化适应战略、气候移民和粮食不安全联系起来的综合方法的重要性。本研究强调了粮食安全对于制定可持续适应战略的重要性。
{"title":"How climate change adaptation strategies and climate migration interact to control food insecurity?","authors":"Mohammad Reza PAKRAVAN-CHARVADEH ,&nbsp;Jeyran CHAMCHAM ,&nbsp;Rahim MALEKNIA","doi":"10.1016/j.regsus.2025.100229","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.regsus.2025.100229","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>As the impact of climate change intensifies, climate migration (climate change-induced migration) has become a pressing global issue that requires effective adaptation strategies to lessen its effects. Therefore, this study delved into the complex relationship between climate change adaptation strategies and climate migration with food insecurity serving as a mediating factor. We collected sample data through face-to-face interviews in Khorramabad City, Iran from February to May in 2023. Using the Structural Equation Modeling (SEM), we explored how food insecurity influences the relationship between climate change adaptation strategies and climate migration. The findings showed that while climate change adaptation strategies can boost community resilience, their success is closely tied to levels of food insecurity. About 78.72% of the surveyed households experienced certain levels of food insecurity, increasing the risk of displacement due to climate-related disasters. Climate change adaptation strategies including economic strategies, irrigation management strategies, organic-oriented strategies, sustainable development-oriented strategies, and crop variety management strategies played a significant role in reducing climate migration. Moreover, we found that climate change adaptation strategies not only impact food security, but also shape migration decisions. This research underscores the importance of an integrated approach that links climate change adaptation strategies, climate migration, and food insecurity. This study emphasizes the importance of food security for formulating sustainable adaptation strategies.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":34395,"journal":{"name":"Regional Sustainability","volume":"6 3","pages":"Article 100229"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144633352","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Challenges and opportunities in the energy transition of agribusiness: A deep dive into the rebound effect in Latin America 农业综合企业能源转型中的挑战与机遇:深入探讨拉丁美洲的反弹效应
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2025-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsus.2025.100225
Fábio DE OLIVEIRA NEVES , Eduardo Gomes SALGADO , Mateus CURY , Jean Marcel Sousa LIRA , Breno Régis SANTOS
Growing climate change concerns have intensified the focus on agribusiness sustainability, driving an urgent energy transition to improve production efficiency and mitigate environmental harm. The complex interplay between energy efficiency and energy consumption highlights the essential role of strategic energy policies in ensuring sustainable development. This study used the Double-Log regression model with bootstrap resampling to examine the rebound effect in the energy transition of agribusiness focusing on five Latin American countries including Brazil, Argentina, Uruguay, Colombia, and Mexico based on the agricultural sector data during 2010–2022. The findings revealed that the rebound effect significantly influences energy transition, with varying degrees of impact across agricultural sectors. This study identified partial rebound effect across all five countries, with elasticity coefficient varying from 9.63% (Colombia’s coffee sector) to 89.12% (Brazil’s livestock sector). In Brazil’s sugarcane sector, non-renewable energy, agricultural employment, and irrigation efficiency were identified as key factors influencing energy consumption, while in livestock sector, energy consumption was affected by CH4 emissions, income and well-being of farmers, water consumption, and water conservation practices. In Mexico’s livestock sector, CH4 emissions, non-renewable energy, and water conservation practices were the key factors affecting energy consumption. In Argentina’s sugarcane sector, pesticides, NO2 emissions, renewable energy, and agricultural employment were the key factors affecting energy consumption, while renewable energy, income and well-being of farmers, and water consumption were the key factors affecting energy consumption in livestock sector. In Uruguay’s livestock sector, non-renewable energy, income and well-being of farmers, and irrigation efficiency were the key factors affecting energy consumption. In Colombia’ coffee sector, NO2 emissions and irrigation efficiency were identified as key factors influencing energy consumption. Finally, this study reinforces the importance of aligning energy transition with Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), ensuring that energy efficiency gains do not inadvertently increase energy consumption or environmental degradation.
对气候变化的担忧日益加剧,促使人们更加关注农业综合企业的可持续性,推动能源转型以提高生产效率和减轻环境危害。能源效率和能源消费之间复杂的相互作用突出了战略性能源政策在确保可持续发展方面的重要作用。本研究基于2010-2022年期间的农业部门数据,以巴西、阿根廷、乌拉圭、哥伦比亚和墨西哥五个拉美国家为研究对象,采用双对数回归模型和自举重采样,考察了农业综合企业能源转型中的反弹效应。研究结果表明,反弹效应显著影响能源转型,不同农业部门的影响程度不同。该研究确定了所有五个国家的部分反弹效应,弹性系数从9.63%(哥伦比亚的咖啡行业)到89.12%(巴西的畜牧业)不等。在巴西的甘蔗部门,不可再生能源、农业就业和灌溉效率被确定为影响能源消耗的关键因素,而在畜牧业部门,能源消耗受到甲烷排放、农民收入和福祉、用水量和节水做法的影响。在墨西哥畜牧业,甲烷排放、不可再生能源和节水措施是影响能源消耗的关键因素。在阿根廷的甘蔗部门,农药、二氧化氮排放、可再生能源和农业就业是影响能源消费的关键因素,而可再生能源、农民的收入和福祉以及水资源消耗是影响畜牧业能源消费的关键因素。在乌拉圭的畜牧部门,不可再生能源、农民的收入和福利以及灌溉效率是影响能源消耗的关键因素。在哥伦比亚的咖啡部门,二氧化氮排放和灌溉效率被确定为影响能源消耗的关键因素。最后,本研究强调了使能源转型与可持续发展目标(sdg)保持一致的重要性,确保能源效率的提高不会无意中增加能源消耗或环境退化。
{"title":"Challenges and opportunities in the energy transition of agribusiness: A deep dive into the rebound effect in Latin America","authors":"Fábio DE OLIVEIRA NEVES ,&nbsp;Eduardo Gomes SALGADO ,&nbsp;Mateus CURY ,&nbsp;Jean Marcel Sousa LIRA ,&nbsp;Breno Régis SANTOS","doi":"10.1016/j.regsus.2025.100225","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.regsus.2025.100225","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Growing climate change concerns have intensified the focus on agribusiness sustainability, driving an urgent energy transition to improve production efficiency and mitigate environmental harm. The complex interplay between energy efficiency and energy consumption highlights the essential role of strategic energy policies in ensuring sustainable development. This study used the Double-Log regression model with bootstrap resampling to examine the rebound effect in the energy transition of agribusiness focusing on five Latin American countries including Brazil, Argentina, Uruguay, Colombia, and Mexico based on the agricultural sector data during 2010–2022. The findings revealed that the rebound effect significantly influences energy transition, with varying degrees of impact across agricultural sectors. This study identified partial rebound effect across all five countries, with elasticity coefficient varying from 9.63% (Colombia’s coffee sector) to 89.12% (Brazil’s livestock sector). In Brazil’s sugarcane sector, non-renewable energy, agricultural employment, and irrigation efficiency were identified as key factors influencing energy consumption, while in livestock sector, energy consumption was affected by CH<sub>4</sub> emissions, income and well-being of farmers, water consumption, and water conservation practices. In Mexico’s livestock sector, CH<sub>4</sub> emissions, non-renewable energy, and water conservation practices were the key factors affecting energy consumption. In Argentina’s sugarcane sector, pesticides, NO<sub>2</sub> emissions, renewable energy, and agricultural employment were the key factors affecting energy consumption, while renewable energy, income and well-being of farmers, and water consumption were the key factors affecting energy consumption in livestock sector. In Uruguay’s livestock sector, non-renewable energy, income and well-being of farmers, and irrigation efficiency were the key factors affecting energy consumption. In Colombia’ coffee sector, NO<sub>2</sub> emissions and irrigation efficiency were identified as key factors influencing energy consumption. Finally, this study reinforces the importance of aligning energy transition with Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), ensuring that energy efficiency gains do not inadvertently increase energy consumption or environmental degradation.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":34395,"journal":{"name":"Regional Sustainability","volume":"6 3","pages":"Article 100225"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144633348","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Exploring the interdependencies among social progress index (SPI) components and their impact on country-level sustainability performance based on Bayesian Belief Network 基于贝叶斯信念网络的社会进步指数(SPI)各成分之间的相互依赖关系及其对国家级可持续发展绩效的影响
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2025-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsus.2025.100230
Abroon QAZI
The social progress index (SPI) measures social and environmental performance beyond traditional economic indicators, providing transparent and actionable insights into the true condition of societies. This study investigates the interdependencies among SPI components and their impact on country-level sustainability performance. Using a Bayesian Belief Network (BBN) approach, the analysis explores the interdependencies among 12 SPI components (including advanced education, basic education, environmental quality, freedom and choice, health, housing, inclusive society, information and communications, nutrition and medical care, rights and voice, safety, and water and sanitation) and their collective influence on sustainability performance. Data from the Sustainable Development Report and SPI datasets, covering 162 countries (including Australia, China, United Arab Emirates, United Kingdom, United States, and so on), were used to assess the relative importance of each SPI component. The key findings indicate that advanced education, inclusive society, and freedom and choice make substantial contributions to high sustainability performance, whereas deficiencies in nutrition and medical care, water and sanitation, and freedom and choice are associated with poor sustainability performance. The results reveal that sustainability performance is shaped by a network of interlinked SPI components, with education and inclusion emerging as key levers for progress. The study emphasizes that targeted improvements in specific SPI components can significantly enhance a country’s overall sustainability performance. Rather than visualizing countries’ progress through composite indicator-based heat maps, this study explores the interdependencies among SPI components and their role in sustainability performance at the global level. The study underscores the importance of a multidimensional policy approach that addresses social and environmental factors to enhance sustainability. The findings contribute to a deeper understanding of how SPI components interact and shape sustainable development.
社会进步指数(SPI)衡量的是超越传统经济指标的社会和环境绩效,为了解社会的真实状况提供了透明和可操作的见解。本研究探讨社会进步指数各成分之间的相互依存关系及其对国家可持续发展绩效的影响。利用贝叶斯信念网络(BBN)方法,该分析探讨了12个SPI组成部分(包括高等教育、基础教育、环境质量、自由和选择、健康、住房、包容性社会、信息和通信、营养和医疗保健、权利和发言权、安全、水和卫生设施)之间的相互依赖关系,以及它们对可持续发展绩效的集体影响。来自可持续发展报告和SPI数据集的数据,涵盖162个国家(包括澳大利亚、中国、阿拉伯联合酋长国、英国、美国等),用于评估每个SPI成分的相对重要性。主要调查结果表明,先进的教育、包容性社会以及自由和选择对可持续发展的高绩效做出了重大贡献,而营养和医疗、水和卫生以及自由和选择方面的不足与可持续发展的低绩效有关。结果表明,可持续发展绩效是由相互关联的社会进步指数组成的网络形成的,教育和包容成为进步的关键杠杆。该研究强调,有针对性地改善特定SPI成分可以显著提高一个国家的整体可持续性绩效。本研究不是通过基于综合指标的热图来可视化各国的进展,而是探讨社会进步指数组成部分之间的相互依赖关系及其在全球可持续发展绩效中的作用。该研究强调了一种解决社会和环境因素以提高可持续性的多维政策方法的重要性。这些发现有助于更深入地了解SPI成分如何相互作用并塑造可持续发展。
{"title":"Exploring the interdependencies among social progress index (SPI) components and their impact on country-level sustainability performance based on Bayesian Belief Network","authors":"Abroon QAZI","doi":"10.1016/j.regsus.2025.100230","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.regsus.2025.100230","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The social progress index (SPI) measures social and environmental performance beyond traditional economic indicators, providing transparent and actionable insights into the true condition of societies. This study investigates the interdependencies among SPI components and their impact on country-level sustainability performance. Using a Bayesian Belief Network (BBN) approach, the analysis explores the interdependencies among 12 SPI components (including advanced education, basic education, environmental quality, freedom and choice, health, housing, inclusive society, information and communications, nutrition and medical care, rights and voice, safety, and water and sanitation) and their collective influence on sustainability performance. Data from the Sustainable Development Report and SPI datasets, covering 162 countries (including Australia, China, United Arab Emirates, United Kingdom, United States, and so on), were used to assess the relative importance of each SPI component. The key findings indicate that advanced education, inclusive society, and freedom and choice make substantial contributions to high sustainability performance, whereas deficiencies in nutrition and medical care, water and sanitation, and freedom and choice are associated with poor sustainability performance. The results reveal that sustainability performance is shaped by a network of interlinked SPI components, with education and inclusion emerging as key levers for progress. The study emphasizes that targeted improvements in specific SPI components can significantly enhance a country’s overall sustainability performance. Rather than visualizing countries’ progress through composite indicator-based heat maps, this study explores the interdependencies among SPI components and their role in sustainability performance at the global level. The study underscores the importance of a multidimensional policy approach that addresses social and environmental factors to enhance sustainability. The findings contribute to a deeper understanding of how SPI components interact and shape sustainable development.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":34395,"journal":{"name":"Regional Sustainability","volume":"6 3","pages":"Article 100230"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144633353","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Spatiotemporal characteristics and driving factors of the fractional vegetation coverage in the Ertix River Basin 额尔齐斯河流域植被覆盖度时空特征及驱动因素
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2025-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsus.2025.100227
LIU Yixuan , Alim SAMAT , L.I. Wenbo , Jilili ABUDUWAILI
The rapid acceleration of global warming and intensifying human activities have exacerbated the fragility and climate sensitivity of ecosystems worldwide, particularly in arid regions. Vegetation, a key component of ecosystems, is critical in enhancing the ecological environment. The Ertix River Basin (ERB) is a transboundary watershed that spans multiple countries, mostly in arid regions. However, research on the fractional vegetation coverage (FVC) and its driving factors in the ERB remains limited. Investigating the spatiotemporal changes in the FVC and its relationship with various factors in the ERB can offer scientific support for optimizing regional vegetation restoration policies and promoting the coordinated development of human–environment interactions. The Moderate-resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) MYD13Q1 V6 data were obtained via the Google Earth Engine platform, and methods including the pixel dichotomy method, Theil–Sen median trend analysis, and Mann‒Kendall test were employed to examine the spatiotemporal dynamics of the FVC in the ERB from 2003 to 2023, with future trend forecast using the Hurst index. The impacts of natural and socioeconomic factors on the FVC were evaluated through the partial least squares-structural equation model (PLS-SEM). The results indicated that the FVC in the ERB showed a slight degradation trend with an average annual decrease of 0.046% during 2003–2023, with significant changes occurring in 2004, 2010, and 2019. Spatially, 53.380% of the study area was degraded, and the change in the FVC increased gradually from southeast to northwest. The FVC in 63.000% of the study area was highly stable and displayed long-term persistence; and the direct impact of natural factors (path coefficient of 0.617) on the FVC was significantly higher than that of socioeconomic factors (0.167). Among the natural factors, precipitation (0.999) was the most significant. This study reveals the significant impacts of natural and socioeconomic factors on vegetation dynamics in arid regions, and provides a scientific basis for transnational ecological conservation.
全球变暖的迅速加速和人类活动的加剧加剧了全球生态系统的脆弱性和气候敏感性,特别是在干旱地区。植被是生态系统的重要组成部分,对改善生态环境至关重要。额尔齐斯河流域(ERB)是跨越多个国家的跨界流域,主要位于干旱地区。然而,目前对鄂陵区植被覆盖度及其驱动因素的研究还很有限。研究ERB植被覆盖度的时空变化及其与各因子的关系,可为优化区域植被恢复政策、促进人地相互作用的协调发展提供科学依据。利用谷歌Earth Engine平台获取中分辨率成像光谱仪(MODIS) MYD13Q1 V6数据,采用像元二分法、Theil-Sen中位数趋势分析和Mann-Kendall检验等方法,研究了2003 - 2023年ERB植被覆盖度的时空动态变化,并利用Hurst指数进行了未来趋势预测。通过偏最小二乘-结构方程模型(PLS-SEM)评价自然和社会经济因素对植被覆盖度的影响。结果表明:2003-2023年,植被覆盖度呈轻微退化趋势,年均减少0.046%,其中2004年、2010年和2019年发生显著变化;空间上,研究区有53.380%的植被退化,植被覆盖度变化由东南向西北逐渐增大。63.000%的研究区植被覆盖度高度稳定,具有长期持续性;自然因素(通径系数为0.617)对植被覆盖度的直接影响显著高于社会经济因素(通径系数为0.167)。自然因子中,降水(0.999)最显著。该研究揭示了自然和社会经济因素对干旱区植被动态的显著影响,为跨国生态保护提供了科学依据。
{"title":"Spatiotemporal characteristics and driving factors of the fractional vegetation coverage in the Ertix River Basin","authors":"LIU Yixuan ,&nbsp;Alim SAMAT ,&nbsp;L.I. Wenbo ,&nbsp;Jilili ABUDUWAILI","doi":"10.1016/j.regsus.2025.100227","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.regsus.2025.100227","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The rapid acceleration of global warming and intensifying human activities have exacerbated the fragility and climate sensitivity of ecosystems worldwide, particularly in arid regions. Vegetation, a key component of ecosystems, is critical in enhancing the ecological environment. The Ertix River Basin (ERB) is a transboundary watershed that spans multiple countries, mostly in arid regions. However, research on the fractional vegetation coverage (FVC) and its driving factors in the ERB remains limited. Investigating the spatiotemporal changes in the FVC and its relationship with various factors in the ERB can offer scientific support for optimizing regional vegetation restoration policies and promoting the coordinated development of human–environment interactions. The Moderate-resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) MYD13Q1 V6 data were obtained via the Google Earth Engine platform, and methods including the pixel dichotomy method, Theil–Sen median trend analysis, and Mann‒Kendall test were employed to examine the spatiotemporal dynamics of the FVC in the ERB from 2003 to 2023, with future trend forecast using the Hurst index. The impacts of natural and socioeconomic factors on the FVC were evaluated through the partial least squares-structural equation model (PLS-SEM). The results indicated that the FVC in the ERB showed a slight degradation trend with an average annual decrease of 0.046% during 2003–2023, with significant changes occurring in 2004, 2010, and 2019. Spatially, 53.380% of the study area was degraded, and the change in the FVC increased gradually from southeast to northwest. The FVC in 63.000% of the study area was highly stable and displayed long-term persistence; and the direct impact of natural factors (path coefficient of 0.617) on the FVC was significantly higher than that of socioeconomic factors (0.167). Among the natural factors, precipitation (0.999) was the most significant. This study reveals the significant impacts of natural and socioeconomic factors on vegetation dynamics in arid regions, and provides a scientific basis for transnational ecological conservation.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":34395,"journal":{"name":"Regional Sustainability","volume":"6 3","pages":"Article 100227"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144633350","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Factors influencing greenhouse gas emissions from road transport and energy consumption in the Extended Bangkok Metropolitan Region, Thailand 影响泰国曼谷大都市区道路运输和能源消费温室气体排放的因素
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2025-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsus.2025.100231
Sutinee CHOOMANEE , Vilas NITIVATTANANON , Kampanart SILVA , Kunnawee KANITPONG , Jai Govind SINGH
Road transport plays a crucial role in facilitating mobility and the movement of goods, particularly in the Extended Bangkok Metropolitan Region (EBMR), Thailand. This area is undergoing rapid industrialization and urbanization, resulting in significant energy consumption and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. This study examined the relationships among individual socioeconomic factors, travel characteristics, and energy consumption characteristics and their impacts on GHG emissions from road transport. The path analysis technique was applied to identify the key driving factors and their causal relationships. The data were collected through 1600 questionnaire surveys with road drivers in representative areas of the EBMR from December 2022 to May 2023. The results revealed that individual socioeconomic factors significantly influenced GHG emissions from road transport. Among the drivers, factors such as income, age, education, and driving experience indirectly influenced travel characteristics and energy consumption characteristics, impacting GHG emissions. Similarly, individual socioeconomic factors affected the travel characteristics of tourists and personal travelers. Driving experience was a crucial factor for public road transport and freight vehicle drivers, influencing travel characteristics and contributing to GHG emissions. These findings highlight the importance of key policy recommendations, such as promoting the adoption of electric vehicles, optimizing public transport, incentivizing low-emission tourism, and modernizing freight transport with clean technologies, to enhance efficiency, reduce emissions, and support regional sustainability. This study provides policy-makers with insights into the key factors influencing GHG emissions across different driving factors, revealing how individual socioeconomic factors impact travel characteristics and energy consumption characteristics. The findings will inform the development of targeted emission reduction strategies and sustainable transport policies.
公路运输在促进流动性和货物流动方面发挥着至关重要的作用,特别是在泰国曼谷大都市区。该地区正在经历快速的工业化和城市化,导致大量的能源消耗和温室气体(GHG)排放。本研究考察了个体社会经济因素、出行特征和能源消耗特征之间的关系及其对道路运输温室气体排放的影响。采用通径分析技术,确定了关键驱动因素及其因果关系。从2022年12月至2023年5月,通过对EBMR代表性地区的道路驾驶员进行1600份问卷调查收集数据。结果表明,个体社会经济因素对道路运输温室气体排放有显著影响。在驾驶员中,收入、年龄、受教育程度和驾驶经验等因素间接影响出行特征和能耗特征,从而影响温室气体排放。同样,个体社会经济因素影响旅游者和个人旅行者的旅行特征。驾驶经验对公共道路运输和货运车辆驾驶员来说是一个至关重要的因素,影响着出行特征并导致温室气体排放。这些研究结果强调了关键政策建议的重要性,例如促进电动汽车的采用,优化公共交通,激励低排放旅游,以及用清洁技术实现货运现代化,以提高效率,减少排放,并支持区域可持续性。本研究为政策制定者提供了不同驱动因素下影响温室气体排放的关键因素,揭示了个体社会经济因素如何影响出行特征和能源消耗特征。研究结果将为制定有针对性的减排战略和可持续运输政策提供信息。
{"title":"Factors influencing greenhouse gas emissions from road transport and energy consumption in the Extended Bangkok Metropolitan Region, Thailand","authors":"Sutinee CHOOMANEE ,&nbsp;Vilas NITIVATTANANON ,&nbsp;Kampanart SILVA ,&nbsp;Kunnawee KANITPONG ,&nbsp;Jai Govind SINGH","doi":"10.1016/j.regsus.2025.100231","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.regsus.2025.100231","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Road transport plays a crucial role in facilitating mobility and the movement of goods, particularly in the Extended Bangkok Metropolitan Region (EBMR), Thailand. This area is undergoing rapid industrialization and urbanization, resulting in significant energy consumption and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. This study examined the relationships among individual socioeconomic factors, travel characteristics, and energy consumption characteristics and their impacts on GHG emissions from road transport. The path analysis technique was applied to identify the key driving factors and their causal relationships. The data were collected through 1600 questionnaire surveys with road drivers in representative areas of the EBMR from December 2022 to May 2023. The results revealed that individual socioeconomic factors significantly influenced GHG emissions from road transport. Among the drivers, factors such as income, age, education, and driving experience indirectly influenced travel characteristics and energy consumption characteristics, impacting GHG emissions. Similarly, individual socioeconomic factors affected the travel characteristics of tourists and personal travelers. Driving experience was a crucial factor for public road transport and freight vehicle drivers, influencing travel characteristics and contributing to GHG emissions. These findings highlight the importance of key policy recommendations, such as promoting the adoption of electric vehicles, optimizing public transport, incentivizing low-emission tourism, and modernizing freight transport with clean technologies, to enhance efficiency, reduce emissions, and support regional sustainability. This study provides policy-makers with insights into the key factors influencing GHG emissions across different driving factors, revealing how individual socioeconomic factors impact travel characteristics and energy consumption characteristics. The findings will inform the development of targeted emission reduction strategies and sustainable transport policies.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":34395,"journal":{"name":"Regional Sustainability","volume":"6 3","pages":"Article 100231"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144633356","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
期刊
Regional Sustainability
全部 Acc. Chem. Res. ACS Applied Bio Materials ACS Appl. Electron. Mater. ACS Appl. Energy Mater. ACS Appl. Mater. Interfaces ACS Appl. Nano Mater. ACS Appl. Polym. Mater. ACS BIOMATER-SCI ENG ACS Catal. ACS Cent. Sci. ACS Chem. Biol. ACS Chemical Health & Safety ACS Chem. Neurosci. ACS Comb. Sci. ACS Earth Space Chem. ACS Energy Lett. ACS Infect. Dis. ACS Macro Lett. ACS Mater. Lett. ACS Med. Chem. Lett. ACS Nano ACS Omega ACS Photonics ACS Sens. ACS Sustainable Chem. Eng. ACS Synth. Biol. Anal. Chem. BIOCHEMISTRY-US Bioconjugate Chem. BIOMACROMOLECULES Chem. Res. Toxicol. Chem. Rev. Chem. Mater. CRYST GROWTH DES ENERG FUEL Environ. Sci. Technol. Environ. Sci. Technol. Lett. Eur. J. Inorg. Chem. IND ENG CHEM RES Inorg. Chem. J. Agric. Food. Chem. J. Chem. Eng. Data J. Chem. Educ. J. Chem. Inf. Model. J. Chem. Theory Comput. J. Med. Chem. J. Nat. Prod. J PROTEOME RES J. Am. Chem. Soc. LANGMUIR MACROMOLECULES Mol. Pharmaceutics Nano Lett. Org. Lett. ORG PROCESS RES DEV ORGANOMETALLICS J. Org. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. A J. Phys. Chem. B J. Phys. Chem. C J. Phys. Chem. Lett. Analyst Anal. Methods Biomater. Sci. Catal. Sci. Technol. Chem. Commun. Chem. Soc. Rev. CHEM EDUC RES PRACT CRYSTENGCOMM Dalton Trans. Energy Environ. Sci. ENVIRON SCI-NANO ENVIRON SCI-PROC IMP ENVIRON SCI-WAT RES Faraday Discuss. Food Funct. Green Chem. Inorg. Chem. Front. Integr. Biol. J. Anal. At. Spectrom. J. Mater. Chem. A J. Mater. Chem. B J. Mater. Chem. C Lab Chip Mater. Chem. Front. Mater. Horiz. MEDCHEMCOMM Metallomics Mol. Biosyst. Mol. Syst. Des. Eng. Nanoscale Nanoscale Horiz. Nat. Prod. Rep. New J. Chem. Org. Biomol. Chem. Org. Chem. Front. PHOTOCH PHOTOBIO SCI PCCP Polym. Chem.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:604180095
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1