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Urban flood risk assessment under rapid urbanization in Zhengzhou City, China 郑州市快速城市化条件下城市洪水风险评估
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsus.2023.08.004
Li Guoyi , Jiahong Liu , Weiwei Shao

With accelerated urbanization and climate change, urban flooding is becoming more and more serious. Flood risk assessment is an important task for flood management, so it is crucial to map the spatial and temporal distribution of flood risk. This paper proposed an urban flood risk assessment method that takes into account the influences of hazard, vulnerability, and exposure, by constructing a multi-index urban flood risk assessment framework based on Geographic Information System (GIS). To determine the weight values of urban flood risk index factors, we used the analytic hierarchy process (AHP). Also, we plotted the temporal and spatial distribution maps of flood risk in Zhengzhou City in 2000, 2005, 2010, 2015, and 2020. The analysis results showed that, the proportion of very high and high flood risk zone in Zhengzhou City was 1.362%, 5.270%, 4.936%, 12.151%, and 24.236% in 2000, 2005, 2010, 2015, and 2020, respectively. It is observed that the area of high flood risk zones in Zhengzhou City showed a trend of increasing and expanding, of which Dengfeng City, Xinzheng City, Xinmi City, and Zhongmu County had the fastest growth rate and the most obvious increase. The flood risk of Zhengzhou City has been expanding with the development of urbanization. The method is adapted to Zhengzhou City and will have good adaptability in other research areas, and its risk assessment results can provide a scientific reference for urban flood management personnel. In the future, the accuracy of flood risk assessment can be further improved by promoting the accuracy of basic data and reasonably determining the weight values of index factors. The risk zoning map can better reflect the risk distribution and provide a scientific basis for early warning of flood prevention and drainage.

随着城市化进程的加快和气候变化,城市洪涝灾害越来越严重。洪水风险评估是洪水管理的一项重要任务,因此绘制洪水风险的时空分布图至关重要。本文通过构建基于地理信息系统(GIS)的多指标城市洪水风险评估框架,提出了一种考虑灾害、脆弱性和暴露影响的城市洪水风险评价方法。为了确定城市洪水风险指标因子的权重值,我们采用层次分析法(AHP)。此外,我们绘制了郑州市2000年、2005年、2010年、2015年和2020年洪水风险的时空分布图。分析结果表明,2000年、2005年、2010年、2015年和2020年,郑州市极高和高洪水风险区的比例分别为1.362%、5.270%、4.936%、12.151%和24.236%。据观察,郑州市洪水高风险区面积呈增加和扩大趋势,其中登封市、新郑市、新密市和中牟县增长最快,增幅最明显。随着城市化的发展,郑州市的洪涝灾害风险不断扩大。该方法适用于郑州市,在其他研究领域具有良好的适应性,其风险评估结果可为城市防洪管理人员提供科学参考。未来,通过提高基础数据的准确性,合理确定指标因子的权重值,可以进一步提高洪水风险评估的准确性。风险区划图能够更好地反映风险分布,为防洪排涝预警提供科学依据。
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引用次数: 2
Measuring the agricultural sustainability of India: An application of Pressure-State-Response (PSR) model 衡量印度农业可持续性:压力状态响应(PSR)模型的应用
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsus.2023.05.006
Surendra Singh Jatav , Kalu Naik

Analyzing agricultural sustainability is essential for designing and assessing rural development initiatives. However, accurately measuring agricultural sustainability is complicated since it involves so many different factors. This study provides a new suite of quantitative indicators for assessing agricultural sustainability at regional and district levels, involving environmental sustainability, social security, and economic security. Combining the Pressure-State-Response (PSR) model and indicator approach, this study creates a composite agricultural sustainability index for the 14 mainstream agro-climatic regions of India. The results of this study show that the Trans-Gengatic Plain Region (TGPR) ranks first in agricultural sustainability among India’s 14 mainstream agro-climatic regions, while the Eastern Himalayan Region (EHR) ranks last. Higher livestock ownership, cropping intensity, per capita income, irrigation intensity, share of institutional credit, food grain productivity, crop diversification, awareness of minimum support price, knowledge sharing with fellow farmers, and young and working population, as well as better transportation facilities and membership of agricultural credit societies are influencing indicators responsible for higher agricultural sustainability in TGPR compared with EHR. Although, the scores of environmental sustainability indicators of EHR are quite good, its scores of social and economic security indicators are fairly low, putting it at the bottom of the rank of agricultural sustainability index among the 14 mainstream agro-climatic regions in India. This demonstrates the need of understanding agricultural sustainability in relation to social and economic dimensions. In a nation as diverse and complicated as India, it is the social structure that determines the health of the economy and environment. Last but not least, the sustainability assessment methodology may be used in a variety of India’s agro-climatic regions.

分析农业可持续性对于设计和评估农村发展举措至关重要。然而,准确衡量农业可持续性很复杂,因为它涉及许多不同的因素。这项研究为评估区域和地区层面的农业可持续性提供了一套新的定量指标,涉及环境可持续性、社会保障和经济保障。本研究结合压力状态响应(PSR)模型和指标方法,为印度14个主流农业气候区创建了一个综合农业可持续性指数。这项研究的结果表明,在印度14个主流农业气候区中,跨Gengatic平原区(TGPR)的农业可持续性排名第一,而东喜马拉雅地区(EHR)排名最后。更高的牲畜所有权、种植强度、人均收入、灌溉强度、机构信贷份额、粮食生产力、作物多样化、对最低支持价格的认识、与其他农民、年轻人和劳动人口的知识共享,以及更好的交通设施和农业信贷协会的成员资格正在影响TGPR中与EHR相比具有更高农业可持续性的指标。尽管EHR的环境可持续性指标得分相当不错,但其社会和经济安全指标得分相当低,在印度14个主流农业气候区中,在农业可持续性指数排名中垫底。这表明需要从社会和经济层面理解农业可持续性。在印度这样一个多样化和复杂的国家,社会结构决定了经济和环境的健康。最后但并非最不重要的是,可持续性评估方法可用于印度的各种农业气候区域。
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引用次数: 0
Impacts of climate change on the yields of leguminous crops in the Guinea Savanna agroecological zone of Ghana 气候变化对加纳几内亚草原农业生态区豆科作物产量的影响
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsus.2023.04.002
Enoch Yeleliere, Philip Antwi-Agyei, Frank Baffour-Ata

The impacts of climate change on crop yields are receiving renewed interest, with focus on cereals and staple crops at the regional and national scales. Yet, the impacts of climate variability on the yields of leguminous crops in the local context has not been explored. Thus, an in-depth understanding of climate change variability in the local context may support the design of locally relevant adaptation responses to current and future climate risks. This study examined the impacts of climate variables (annual rainfall, annual average temperature, rainfall indices (rainfall onset, rainfall cessation, and the length of rainy days), and the number of dry days) on the yields of leguminous crops (groundnuts, cowpeas, and soybeans) in the Guinea Savanna agroecological zone of Ghana during the period of 1989–2020. The data were analysed using Mann-Kendall's trend, Sen's slope test, correlation analysis, and Multiple Regression Analysis (MRA). The findings revealed that annual rainfall, annual average temperature, rainfall onset, rainfall cessation, and the length of rainy days, and the number of dry days all showed varied impacts on the yields of groundnuts, cowpeas, and soybeans. The trend analysis detected a marginal decrease in the amount of rainfall, rainfall onset, and the number of dry days from 1989 to 2020 (P ​> ​0.050). Annual average temperature and the length of rainy days substantially varied (P ​< ​0.050) from 1989 to 2020, showing an increasing trend. The findings also showed a marked upward trend for the yields of groundnuts, cowpeas, and soybeans during 2005–2020. The climate variables analysed above increased the yields of groundnuts, cowpeas, and soybeans by 49.0%, 55.0%, and 69.0%, respectively. The yields of groundnuts, cowpeas, and soybeans have been fluctuating with the variability of 30.0%, 28.0%, and 27.0% from 2005 to 2020, respectively. The three leguminous crops under study demonstrated unpredictable yields due to the variations of annual rainfall, annual average temperature, rainfall onset, rainfall cessation, the length of rainy days, and the number of dry days, which stressed the need for agricultural diversification, changing planting dates, using improved seed variety, and irrigation to respond to climate change. The results of this study implied that climate change considerably impacts crop production in the Guinea Savanna agroecological zone of Ghana, emphasizing the urgency of locally based and farmer-induced adaptation measures for food security and resilient agricultural systems.

气候变化对作物产量的影响重新引起人们的兴趣,在区域和国家范围内重点关注谷物和主要作物。然而,气候变化对当地豆科作物产量的影响尚未得到探讨。因此,深入了解当地的气候变化可变性,可能有助于设计与当地相关的适应措施,以应对当前和未来的气候风险。本研究考察了1989年至2020年期间,气候变量(年降雨量、年平均温度、降雨指数(降雨开始、降雨停止、降雨天数)和干旱天数)对加纳几内亚-萨凡纳农业生态区豆科作物(花生、豇豆和大豆)产量的影响。使用Mann-Kendall趋势、Sen斜率检验、相关分析和多元回归分析(MRA)对数据进行分析。研究结果表明,年降雨量、年平均温度、降雨开始、降雨停止、雨天长度和干旱天数都对花生、豇豆和大豆的产量产生了不同的影响。趋势分析发现,从1989年到2020年,降雨量、降雨开始时间和干旱天数略有下降(P​>;​年平均气温和降雨天数变化较大(P​<;​0.050),呈上升趋势。研究结果还显示,2005-2020年间,花生、豇豆和大豆的产量呈显著上升趋势。上述分析的气候变量使花生、豇豆和大豆的产量分别增加了49.0%、55.0%和69.0%。从2005年到2020年,花生、豇豆和大豆的产量一直在波动,变化率分别为30.0%、28.0%和27.0%。由于年降雨量、年平均温度、降雨开始、降雨停止、雨天长度和干旱天数的变化,研究中的三种豆科作物表现出不可预测的产量,这强调了农业多样化、改变种植日期、使用改良种子品种和灌溉以应对气候变化的必要性。这项研究的结果表明,气候变化对加纳几内亚-萨凡纳农业生态区的作物生产产生了重大影响,强调了为粮食安全和有韧性的农业系统采取基于当地和农民的适应措施的紧迫性。
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引用次数: 1
Synergies and trade-offs of climate-smart agriculture (CSA) practices selected by smallholder farmers in Geshy watershed, Southwest Ethiopia 埃塞俄比亚西南部Geshy流域小农选择的气候智能型农业(CSA)实践的协同效应和权衡
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsus.2023.04.001
Girma Tilahun , Amare Bantider , Desalegn Yayeh

Studies on mainstreaming climate-smart agriculture (CSA) practices can increase smallholder farmers’ capacity and awareness to improve food security and establish sustainable livelihoods through resilient agricultural systems, while achieving adaptation and mitigation benefits. Hence, valuable insights can be obtained from smallholder farmers in responding to present and forthcoming challenges of climate change impacts. However, there is little research work on trade-off and synergy assessments. Taking Geshy watershed in Southwest Ethiopia as a case study area, both quantitative and qualitative data analysis were undertaken in this study. The data were collected from 15 key informant interviews, 6 focus group discussions, and 384 households to answer the following questions: (1) what are the top 5 preferred CSA practices for smallholder farmers in Geshy watershed when coping with the impacts of climate change? (2) What is the performance of the preferred CSA practices? And (3) which trade-offs and synergies are experienced upon the implementation of CSA practices? The study came up with the most preferred CSA practices such as the use of improved crop varieties, small-scale irrigation, improved animal husbandry, the use of efficient inorganic fertilizers, and crop rotation with legumes. The selected CSA practices showed that the productivity goal exhibit the best synergy, while the mitigation goal has trade-offs. The study also has shown that the use of improved crop varieties causes high synergies in all 3 goals of CSA practices; small-scale irrigation provides a medium synergy on productivity goal but high synergy for adaptation and mitigation goals; improved animal husbandry shows a high synergy with the adaptation goal, a relatively lower synergy with the productivity goal, and a trade-off with the mitigation goal; the use of efficient inorganic fertilizers shows maximum synergy for the productivity and adaptation goals; and crop rotation with legumes exhibits high synergy with the productivity and mitigation goals but a relatively lower synergy with the adaptation goal. These results can provide evidence to various stakeholder farmers in the value chain that the impacts of climate change can be addressed by the adoption of CSA practices. In general, CSA practices are considered indispensable. Smallholder farmers prefer CSA practices that help to increase crop productivity and household resilience to climate change impacts. The results generate a vital foundation for recommendations to smallholder farming decision-makers. It also sensitizes actions for innovative and sustainable methods that are able to upscale the preferred CSA practices in the agricultural system in Geshy watershed of Southwest Ethiopia and other regions.

研究将气候智能农业做法纳入主流,可以提高小农户的能力和意识,通过有弹性的农业系统改善粮食安全,建立可持续生计,同时实现适应和缓解效益。因此,在应对当前和即将到来的气候变化影响挑战时,可以从小农户那里获得有价值的见解。然而,关于权衡和协同评估的研究工作很少。本研究以埃塞俄比亚西南部的格希流域为例,对其进行了定量和定性数据分析。数据收集自15次关键信息人访谈、6次焦点小组讨论和384户家庭,以回答以下问题:(1)在应对气候变化影响时,格希流域小农户最喜欢的CSA做法是什么?(2) 首选CSA实践的性能如何?以及(3)在CSA实践的实施过程中,经历了哪些权衡和协同作用?该研究提出了最受欢迎的CSA做法,如使用改良作物品种、小规模灌溉、改良畜牧业、使用高效无机肥料以及豆类作物轮作。选定的CSA实践表明,生产力目标表现出最佳的协同作用,而缓解目标则存在权衡。该研究还表明,在CSA实践的所有3个目标中,使用改良作物品种会产生高度协同效应;小规模灌溉在生产力目标方面具有中等协同作用,但在适应和缓解目标方面具有高度协同作用;改良畜牧业与适应目标的协同效应较高,与生产力目标的协同作用相对较低,与缓解目标的协同性相对较低;高效无机肥料的使用显示出对生产力和适应目标的最大协同作用;豆类作物轮作与生产力和缓解目标具有很高的协同作用,但与适应目标的协同作用相对较低。这些结果可以为价值链中的各种利益相关者农民提供证据,证明气候变化的影响可以通过采用CSA实践来解决。通常,CSA实践被认为是必不可少的。小农更喜欢有助于提高作物生产力和家庭应对气候变化影响的CSA做法。研究结果为向小农户农业决策者提出建议奠定了重要基础。它还宣传了创新和可持续方法的行动,这些方法能够提升埃塞俄比亚西南部Geshy流域和其他地区农业系统中首选的CSA做法。
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引用次数: 1
Socio-economic development of countries based on the Composite Country Development Index (CCDI) 基于国家综合发展指数的国家社会经济发展
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsus.2023.03.005
Kalamkas Nuralina , Raissa Baizholova , Natalya Aleksandrova , Viktor Konstantinov , Alexander Biryukov

World experience indicates the existence of significant imbalances in the development of countries. The problem of assessing the rational development of the regional and national economy is becoming urgent, since such assessments can prevent development imbalances across countries. The aim of this study is to elaborate a methodology to assess the countries’ socio-economic development by integraring 12 modern indices of socio-economic development into the Composite Country Development Index (CCDI). The methodology of this research was based on a set of key indices that described socio-economic development level in four fields (social development, digital development, economic development, and environmental security) and then these indices were integrated into the CCDI. The study further applied factor analysis and R-Studio software to define the gaps of social and economic development in 59 selected countries using the trigonometric function of the angle sine. The correlation analysis confirmed the existence of a close interrelation among the studied countries. This paper noted that due to the emergence of new priorities, it is necessary to revise the assessment methodology of socio-economic development level and expand them to cover the decisive factors. This was confirmed by the results obtained, demonstrating various combinations of the development level in the four fields and their impact on the CCDI. The scientific contribution of this research is to form a methodology (e.g., the CCDI) for evaluating the socio-economic development level of countries in the world.

世界经验表明,各国的发展存在严重的不平衡。评估区域和国家经济合理发展的问题日益紧迫,因为这种评估可以防止各国之间的发展失衡。本研究的目的是通过将12个现代社会经济发展指数整合到综合国家发展指数中,阐述一种评估各国社会经济发展的方法。本研究的方法基于一组关键指标,这些指标描述了四个领域(社会发展、数字发展、经济发展和环境安全)的社会经济发展水平,然后将这些指标纳入CCDI。该研究进一步应用因子分析和R-Studio软件,使用正弦角的三角函数来确定59个选定国家的社会和经济发展差距。相关性分析证实了所研究的国家之间存在着密切的相互关系。本文指出,由于出现了新的优先事项,有必要修订社会经济发展水平的评估方法,并将其扩大到涵盖决定性因素。所获得的结果证实了这一点,证明了四个领域的发展水平及其对CCDI的影响的各种组合。这项研究的科学贡献是形成一种评估世界各国社会经济发展水平的方法论(如CCDI)。
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引用次数: 0
Knowledge flow analysis of knowledge co-production-based climate change adaptation for lowland rice farmers in Bulukumba Regency, Indonesia 印度尼西亚布卢昆巴县低地稻农基于知识合作生产的气候变化适应的知识流分析
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsus.2023.05.005
Arifah , Darmawan Salman , Amir Yassi , Eymal Bahsar Demmallino

To increase the resilience of farmers' livelihood systems, detailed knowledge of adaptation strategies for dealing with the impacts of climate change is required. Knowledge co-production approach is an adaptation strategy that is considered appropriate in the context of the increasing frequency of disasters caused by climate change. Previous research of knowledge co-production on climate change adaptation in Indonesia is insufficient, particularly at local level, so we examined the flow of climate change adaptation knowledge in the knowledge co-production process through climate field school (CFS) activities in this study. We interviewed 120 people living in Bulukumba Regency, South Sulawesi Province, Indonesia, involving 12 crowds including male and female farmers participated in CFS and not participated in CFS, local government officials, agriculture extension workers, agricultural traders, farmers' family members and neighbors, etc. In brief, the 12 groups of people mainly include two categories of people, i.e., people involved in CFS activities and outside CFS. We applied descriptive method and Social Network Analysis (SNA) to determine how knowledge flow in the community network and which groups of actors are important for knowledge flow. The findings of this study reveal that participants in CFS activities convey the knowledge they acquired formally (i.e., from TV, radio, government, etc.) and informally (i.e., from market, friends, relatives, etc.) to other actors, especially to their families and neighbors. The results also show that the acquisition and sharing of knowledge facilitate the flow of climate change adaptation knowledge based on knowledge co-operation. In addition, the findings highlight the key role of actors in the knowledge transfer process, and key actors involved in disseminating information about climate change adaptation. To be specific, among all the actors, family member and neighbor of CFS actor are the most common actors in disseminating climate knowledge information and closest to other actors in the network; agricultural trader and family member of CFS actor collaborate most with other actors in the community network; and farmers participated in CFS, including those heads of farmer groups, agricultural extension workers, and local government officials are more willing to contact with other actors in the network. To facilitate the flow of knowledge on climate change adaptation, CFS activities should be conducted regularly and CFS models that fit the situation of farmers’ vulnerability to climate change should be developed.

为了提高农民生计系统的复原力,需要详细了解应对气候变化影响的适应战略。知识合作生产方法是一种适应战略,在气候变化造成的灾害日益频繁的背景下被认为是适当的。先前对印度尼西亚气候变化适应知识合作生产的研究不足,特别是在地方层面,因此我们在本研究中通过气候实地学校(CFS)活动考察了气候变化适应信息在知识合作生产过程中的流动。我们采访了居住在印度尼西亚南苏拉威西省Bulukumba Regency的120人,涉及12个群体,包括参加CFS和未参加CFS的男女农民、当地政府官员、农业推广工作者、农业贸易商、农民家庭成员和邻居等。简言之,这12个群体主要包括两类人。,参与粮安委活动和粮安委外的人员。我们应用描述性方法和社会网络分析(SNA)来确定知识在社区网络中的流动方式,以及哪些参与者群体对知识流动很重要。这项研究的结果表明,CFS活动的参与者将他们正式(即从电视、广播、政府等)和非正式(即从市场、朋友、亲戚等)获得的知识传达给其他参与者,尤其是他们的家人和邻居。研究结果还表明,知识的获取和共享促进了基于知识合作的气候变化适应知识的流动。此外,研究结果强调了行动者在知识转让过程中的关键作用,以及参与传播有关气候变化适应的信息的关键行动者。具体而言,在所有行动者中,粮安委行动者的家庭成员和邻居是传播气候知识信息最常见的行动者,也是网络中最接近其他行动者的行动者;农产品贸易商和CFS参与者的家庭成员与社区网络中的其他参与者合作最多;参与粮安委的农民,包括农民团体负责人、农业推广工作者和地方政府官员,更愿意与网络中的其他行为者接触。为了促进适应气候变化的知识流动,粮安委应定期开展活动,并制定适合农民易受气候变化影响的粮安委模式。
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引用次数: 0
Dynamicity of Land Use/Land Cover (LULC) An analysis from peri-urban and rural neighbourhoods of Durgapur Municipal Corporation (DMC) in India 土地利用/土地覆盖动态(LULC):来自印度杜尔加普尔市政公司(DMC)城郊和农村社区的分析
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsus.2023.05.001
Subrata Haldar , Somnath Mandal , Subhasis Bhattacharya , Suman Paul

The availability of better economic possibilities and well-connected transportation networks has attracted people to migrate to peri-urban and rural neighbourhoods, changing the landscape of regions outside the city and fostering the growth of physical infrastructure. Using multi-temporal satellite images, the dynamics of Land Use/Land Cover (LULC) changes, the impact of urban growth on LULC changes, and regional environmental implications were investigated in the peri-urban and rural neighbourhoods of Durgapur Municipal Corporation in India. The study used different case studies to highlight the study area's heterogeneity, as the phenomenon of change is not consistent. Landsat TM and OLI-TIRS satellite images in 1991, 2001, 2011, and 2021 were used to analyze the changes in LULC types. We used the relative deviation (RD), annual change intensity (ACI), uniform intensity (UI) to show the dynamicity of LULC types (agriculture land; built-up land; fallow land; vegetated land; mining area; and water bodies) during 1991–2021. This study also applied the Decision-Making Trial and Evaluation Laboratory (DEMATEL) to measure environmental sensitivity zones and find out the causes of LULC changes. According to LULC statistics, agriculture land, built-up land, and mining area increased by 51.7, 95.46, and 24.79 ​km2, respectively, feom 1991 to 2021. The results also suggested that built-up land and mining area had the greatest (LST), whereas water bodies and vegetated land showed the lowest LST. Moreover, this study looked at the relationships among LST, spectral indices (Normalized Differenced Built-up Index (NDBI), Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), and Normalized Difference Water Index (NDWI)), and environmental sensitivity. The results showed that all of the spectral indices have the strongest association with LST, indicating that built-up land had a far stronger influence on the LST. The spectral indices indicated that the decreasing trends of vegetated land and water bodies were 4.26 and 0.43 km2/a, respectively, during 1991–2021. In summary, this study can help the policy-makers to predict the increasing rate of temperature and the causes for the temperature increase with the rapid expansion of built-up land, thus making effective peri-urban planning decisions.

更好的经济可能性和良好的交通网络吸引了人们迁移到城郊和农村社区,改变了城市以外地区的面貌,促进了有形基础设施的发展。利用多时相卫星图像,对印度杜尔加普尔市政公司的城市周边和农村社区的土地利用/土地覆盖变化的动态、城市增长对土地利用变化的影响以及区域环境影响进行了调查。该研究使用了不同的案例研究来强调研究区域的异质性,因为变化现象并不一致。利用1991年、2001年、2011年和2021年的Landsat TM和OLI-TIRS卫星图像分析了LULC类型的变化。我们使用相对偏差(RD)、年变化强度(ACI)和均匀强度(UI)来显示1991-2021年间LULC类型(农业用地、建成区用地、休耕地、植被地、矿区和水体)的动态性。本研究还应用决策试验与评估实验室(DEMATEL)测量环境敏感区,找出LULC变化的原因。根据LULC的统计,农业用地、建筑用地和采矿面积分别增加了51.7、95.46和24.79​1991年至2021年,面积分别为km2。结果还表明,建成区和矿区的地表温度最高,而水体和植被区的地表温度最低。此外,本研究考察了LST、光谱指数(归一化差异累积指数(NDBI)、归一化差异植被指数(NDVI)和归一化差异水分指数(NDWI))与环境敏感性之间的关系。结果表明,所有光谱指数与地表温度的相关性最强,表明建成区对地表温度的影响要大得多。光谱指数表明,1991-2021年间,植被覆盖的土地和水体的减少趋势分别为4.26和0.43 km2/a。总之,本研究可以帮助决策者预测随着建成区用地的快速扩张,气温的上升速度以及气温上升的原因,从而做出有效的城郊规划决策。
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引用次数: 4
Climate change risk, resilience, and adaptation among rural farmers in East Africa: A literature review 东非农村农民的气候变化风险、恢复力和适应:文献综述
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsus.2023.05.004
Tobias Ackerl , Lemlem Fitwi Weldemariam , Mary Nyasimi , Ayansina Ayanlade

This study assesses the literature evidence on climate change risk, resilience, and adaptation measures used among rural farmers in East Africa. A systematic literature review was conducted comprising 30 papers from the Web of Science database published during 2000–2022. The results of the literature review showed that climate change risks have direct impacts on agricultural practices, limit rural farmers’ resilience, and exacerbate their food insecurity. The most prominent risks are increasingly shorter wet seasons and heat stress, which lead to droughts and food production losses. Responding to climate risks, farmers in East Africa adopt various adaptation strategies such as mixed- and inter-cropping, conservation tillage, early planting, crop diversification, etc. Also, this review summarizes the determinants of climate change adaptation strategy selection by farmers in East Africa, including age, gender, household size, economic status and household assets, landownership and livestock, education and training, etc. Overall, the choice of adaptation strategies to climate change is strongly determined by the gender of household heads, the results of gender as a determinant of adaptation differ greatly between different case studies. Although female-headed households (FHHs) tend to perceive changes in temperature more readily than male-headed households (MHHs), the latter are generally more likely to adopt different adaptation strategies. Despite the resilience and adaptation measures used by rural farmers in East Africa now, improved weather forecasting and early warning systems are needed as a better direction towards the future.

这项研究评估了东非农村农民使用的气候变化风险、复原力和适应措施的文献证据。进行了一项系统的文献综述,包括2000-2002年期间发表的科学网数据库中的30篇论文。文献综述的结果表明,气候变化风险对农业实践有直接影响,限制了农村农民的复原力,并加剧了他们的粮食不安全。最突出的风险是雨季越来越短和热应激,这会导致干旱和粮食生产损失。为了应对气候风险,东非农民采取了各种适应策略,如混合和间作、保护性耕作、早期种植、作物多样化等。此外,本综述总结了东非农民选择气候变化适应策略的决定因素,包括年龄、性别、家庭规模、经济状况和家庭资产,土地所有权和牲畜、教育和培训等。总的来说,选择适应气候变化的战略在很大程度上取决于户主的性别,性别作为适应决定因素的结果在不同的案例研究中差异很大。尽管女性户主家庭(FHH)比男性户主家庭(MHH)更容易感知温度变化,但后者通常更有可能采取不同的适应策略。尽管东非农村农民现在采取了恢复力和适应措施,但需要改进天气预报和预警系统,以更好地指导未来。
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引用次数: 6
Evolution of economic linkage network of the cities and counties on the northern slope of the Tianshan Mountains, China 天山北坡市县经济联系网络演化
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsus.2023.05.002
Zeyu Yang , Shubao Zhang , Jun Lei , Xiaolei Zhang , Yanjun Tong , Zuliang Duan , Liqin Fan

The exchanges between cities and counties in the Northern Slope Economic Belt of Tianshan Mountains (NSEBTM) are increasingly frequent and the economic linkages are increasingly close, but the spatial distribution of economic development and linkages among the cities and counties within NSEBTM is uneven. Therefore, it is of great significance to study the evolution of spatial-temporal pattern of the economic linkage network of cities and counties on NSEBTM to promote the coordinated and integrated development of the regional economy on NSEBTM. In this study, we used the modified gravity model and social network analysis method to analyze the spatio-temporal evolution characteristics of the economic linkage network structure of cities and counties on NSEBTM in 2000, 2010, and 2020. The results showed that the comprehensive development quality level of cities and counties on NSEBTM increased from 2000 to 2020, its growth rate also increased, and its gap between cities and counties continued expanding. Both the spatial distribution patterns of the comprehensive development quality level of cities and counties on NSEBTM in 2000 and 2010 were presented as “high in the middle and low at both ends”, while the spatial distribution pattern of 2020 was exhibited as “high value and low value staggered”. The total amount of external economic linkages of cities and counties on NSEBTM showed an obvious upward trend, and its gap between cities and counties continued expanding, also showing a pattern of “a strong middle section and weak ends”. The direction of economic linkages of NSEBTM existed obvious central orientation and geographical proximity. The density of economic linkage network of NSEBTM increased from 2000 to 2020, and the structure of economic linkage network changed from single-core structure centered with Urumqi City to multicore structure centered with Urumqi City, Karamay City, Shihezi City, and Changji City, shifting from unbalanced development to balanced development. In the future, we should accelerate the construction of urban agglomeration on NSEBTM, cultivate a modern Urumqi metropolitan area, improve the comprehensive development quality of the cities and counties at the eastern and western ends, strengthen the intensity of economic linkages between cities and counties, optimize the economic linkage network, and promote the coordinated and integrated development of regional economy.

天山北坡经济带(NSEBTM)的市县之间的交流日益频繁,经济联系日益紧密,但NSEBTM内的经济发展和市县之间联系的空间分布不均衡。因此,在NSEBTM上研究市县经济联动网络的时空格局演变,对促进NSEBTM区域经济协调融合发展具有重要意义。在本研究中,我们使用修正的引力模型和社会网络分析方法,在NSEBTM上分析了2000年、2010年和2020年市县经济联系网络结构的时空演化特征。结果表明,2000年至2020年,NSEBTM上的市县综合发展质量水平有所提高,增长率也有所提高,市县差距不断扩大。2000年和2010年NSEBTM上的市县综合发展质量水平空间分布格局均呈现为“中高两端低”,而2020年的空间分布格局则呈现为“高值低值交错”。NSEBTM上市县对外经济联系总量呈明显上升趋势,市县间差距持续扩大,也呈现出“中段强、末端弱”的格局。NSEBTM的经济联系方向存在明显的中心取向和地理邻近性。从2000年到2020年,北疆经济联系网的密度不断增加,经济联系网结构由以乌鲁木齐市为中心的单核结构向以乌鲁木齐市、克拉玛依市、石河子市、昌吉市为中心,由不平衡发展向平衡发展转变。未来,我们应该加快建设NSEBTM上的城市群,培育现代化的乌鲁木齐都市圈,提高东西两端市县的综合发展质量,加强市县之间的经济联系强度,优化经济联系网络,促进区域经济协调融合发展。
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引用次数: 2
Overview of priorities, threats, and challenges to biodiversity conservation in the southern Philippines 菲律宾南部生物多样性保护的优先事项、威胁和挑战概述
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsus.2023.05.003
Angelo Rellama Agduma , Francisco Gil Garcia , Ma Teodora Cabasan , Jonald Pimentel , Renee Jane Ele , Meriam Rubio , Sedra Murray , Bona Abigail Hilario-Husain , Kier Celestial Dela Cruz , Sumaira Abdullah , Shiela Mae Balase , Krizler Cejuela Tanalgo

Human activities have severely impacted many species and ecosystems. Thus, understanding the local biodiversity situation is crucial for implementing effective biodiversity conservation interventions. Mindanao in the southern Philippines is home to various unique species, particularly in its pristine ecosystems. However, the available biodiversity data for many terrestrial vertebrates and key areas remain incomplete. To address this issue, we synthesized published literature related to biodiversity from 2000 to 2022 in Mindanao. Moreover, this analysis used four key terrestrial vertebrates (amphibians, reptiles, birds, and mammals) in Mindanao as research objects. According to our findings, there was a significant and positive correlation between the number of biodiversity studies and species recorded. In terms of species richness, birds were the most recorded group (n ​= ​334 spp.), followed by reptiles (n ​= ​108 spp.), mammals (n ​= ​70 spp.), and amphibians (n ​= ​52 spp.). We also found that the number of endemic and threatened species varies geographically and across taxonomic groups. Yet, we discovered a significant disparity in the information available on biodiversity in different provinces of Mindanao. For example, the western provinces of Mindanao have had not records of biodiversity for more than two decades. Furthermore, we found that the changes in tree cover loss were consistent with biodiversity records, but this correlation is only significant for birds. Finally, we highlighted some critical threats and challenges to biodiversity, including deforestation, agricultural expansion, mining, and their impact on biodiversity conservation in Mindanao. Our findings suggested that biodiversity conservation should focus not only on areas with high levels of biodiversity but also on areas lacking biodiversity information. To do this, we call for strengthening collaboration among various institutions and digitizing and centralizing of information related to biodiversity. By gaining a deeper understanding of biodiversity in Mindanao, we can better and sustainably protect critical ecosystems in this region from the increasing threats posed by human activities.

人类活动严重影响了许多物种和生态系统。因此,了解当地生物多样性状况对于实施有效的生物多样性保护干预措施至关重要。菲律宾南部的棉兰老岛是各种独特物种的家园,尤其是在其原始的生态系统中。然而,许多陆生脊椎动物和关键地区的可用生物多样性数据仍然不完整。为了解决这个问题,我们综合了2000年至2022年棉兰老岛已发表的与生物多样性有关的文献。此外,该分析以棉兰老岛的四种主要陆生脊椎动物(两栖动物、爬行动物、鸟类和哺乳动物)为研究对象。根据我们的发现,生物多样性研究的数量与记录的物种之间存在显著的正相关。就物种丰富度而言,鸟类是记录最多的群体(n​=​334种),其次是爬行动物(n​=​108种),哺乳动物(n​=​70种)和两栖动物(n​=​52种)。我们还发现,特有物种和受威胁物种的数量在地理上和分类群之间存在差异。然而,我们发现棉兰老岛不同省份的生物多样性信息存在显著差异。例如,棉兰老岛西部省份已经20多年没有生物多样性记录了。此外,我们发现树木覆盖损失的变化与生物多样性记录一致,但这种相关性仅对鸟类显著。最后,我们强调了生物多样性面临的一些重大威胁和挑战,包括森林砍伐、农业扩张、采矿及其对棉兰老岛生物多样性保护的影响。我们的研究结果表明,生物多样性保护不仅应关注生物多样性水平高的地区,还应关注缺乏生物多样性信息的地区。为此,我们呼吁加强各机构之间的合作,并将与生物多样性有关的信息数字化和集中化。通过深入了解棉兰老岛的生物多样性,我们可以更好、可持续地保护该地区的关键生态系统,使其免受人类活动带来的日益严重的威胁。
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引用次数: 6
期刊
Regional Sustainability
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