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Exploring the link between public health compliance and voting patterns in the 2020 U.S. presidential election 探索公共卫生合规性与 2020 年美国总统大选投票模式之间的联系
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-04-10 DOI: 10.3389/fpos.2024.1370243
Florent Nkouaga
The COVID-19 pandemic has significantly impacted society and politics, particularly in the context of the 2020 U.S. presidential election. Public officials' unpreparedness resulted in skepticism regarding government responses. Additionally, health inequities and political polarization profoundly influenced voter attitudes and behaviors.This study employs statistical techniques to examine voting patterns, leveraging data from the 2021 African American COVID-19 Vaccine Polls (AACVP) alongside the 2020 Collaborative Multiracial Post-Election Survey (CMPS). Specifically, it utilizes logistic regression and t-tests to dissect and understand the dichotomous electoral decisions made by voters between Donald Trump and Joe Biden in the U.S. presidential election. The research analyzes the nuances of the electorate's behavior by considering many factors that may influence the binary vote decision.T-tests revealed significant mean differences in voting patterns based on public health compliance, with less compliant individuals more likely to vote for Trump and more compliant individuals favoring Biden. Logistic regression analysis showed a substantial statistical correlation between public health compliance and voting preferences, independent of confounding variables.The study confirmed that public health compliance during the pandemic impacted voting behavior, with a divide based on attitudes toward health measures. This reflected broader societal divisions, suggesting that public health behaviors are linked with political identities. Additionally, media sources and racial identity significantly influenced voting decisions.
COVID-19 大流行对社会和政治产生了重大影响,尤其是在 2020 年美国总统大选的背景下。政府官员毫无准备,导致人们对政府的应对措施持怀疑态度。本研究利用 2021 年非裔美国人 COVID-19 疫苗民意调查 (AACVP) 和 2020 年多种族选后合作调查 (CMPS) 的数据,采用统计技术研究投票模式。具体而言,该研究利用逻辑回归和 t 检验来剖析和理解选民在唐纳德-特朗普(Donald Trump)和乔-拜登(Joe Biden)的美国总统选举中做出的二分选举决定。研究通过考虑可能影响二元投票决定的多种因素,分析了选民行为的细微差别。T 检验显示,基于公共卫生合规性的投票模式存在显著的平均差异,合规性较低的人更有可能投票给特朗普,而合规性较高的人则倾向于拜登。逻辑回归分析表明,公共卫生合规性与投票偏好之间存在显著的统计相关性,不受混杂变量的影响。研究证实,大流行病期间公共卫生合规性影响了投票行为,并根据对卫生措施的态度产生了分歧。这反映了更广泛的社会分歧,表明公共卫生行为与政治身份有关。此外,媒体来源和种族身份也对投票决定产生了重大影响。
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引用次数: 0
Patterns of politicization following triggering events: the indirect effect of issue-owning challengers 触发事件后的政治化模式:拥有议题的挑战者的间接影响
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-04-05 DOI: 10.3389/fpos.2024.1314217
Wouter van der Brug, Joost Berkhout
Changes in party systems do not always occur gradually. While structural changes in societies lead to new tensions and potential conflicts, these conflicts often become politicized in the wake of ‘triggering events’. However, such events do not always lead to the politicization of an issue. This study addresses the question why potentially triggering events sometimes produce extensive political attention and conflict around an associated issue, whereas in other circumstances very similar events do not generate much political attention or contestation. Some scholars highlight the strategic incentives of party political elites (the top-down perspective) whereas others focus on the key role of political challengers in politicizing issues (‘the bottom-up perspective)’. We focus on three events that potentially trigger the politicization of immigration (9–11, Banlieus riots and the Cartoon crisis) and identify anti-immigration parties as challengers of government parties. Based on political claims analysis of newspapers in seven European countries, we find that government parties exert strong control over the political agenda, both in terms of salience as in positional terms. However, when anti-immigration parties are large and in opposition, they do play an important role in politicizing the issue of immigration. Since anti-immigration parties have increased their vote share over the past decade and typically remain in the opposition nevertheless, it is likely that future events will lead to further politicization of the issue of immigration.
政党制度的变化并不总是逐渐发生的。虽然社会结构的变化会导致新的紧张局势和潜在冲突,但这些冲突往往会在 "触发事件 "之后被政治化。然而,这些事件并不总是导致问题的政治化。本研究探讨的问题是,为什么潜在的触发事件有时会围绕相关问题引发广泛的政治关注和冲突,而在其他情况下,非常类似的事件却不会引发太多的政治关注或争论。一些学者强调政党政治精英的战略动机(自上而下的视角),而另一些学者则关注政治挑战者在将问题政治化方面的关键作用("自下而上的视角")。我们聚焦于可能引发移民问题政治化的三个事件(9-11、班利亚斯骚乱和卡通片危机),并将反移民政党视为政府政党的挑战者。基于对七个欧洲国家报纸的政治诉求分析,我们发现政府党派对政治议程的控制力很强,这既体现在突出性方面,也体现在立场方面。然而,当反移民政党规模较大且处于反对党地位时,它们确实在将移民问题政治化方面发挥了重要作用。由于反移民政党在过去十年中得票率不断上升,而且通常仍处于反对党地位,因此未来的事件很可能会导致移民问题进一步政治化。
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引用次数: 0
Rethinking representative democracy in Croatia 重新思考克罗地亚的代议制民主
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-04-03 DOI: 10.3389/fpos.2024.1375224
H. Butković
The article analyses the development of representative democracy in Croatia from its independence to today. During the 1990s, Croatia changed its electoral system several times and had a bicameral parliament. With the constitutional changes implemented in 2001, the legislative power was organized on a unicameral principle. At the same time, the previous semi-presidential system was replaced by a parliamentary one. These changes represent only the basic framework within which representative democracy in Croatia developed over time. An important milestone in this development was the introduction of preferential voting at the national elections in 2015, which allowed the voters to vote for a particular list and a specific candidate on that list. According to some, this improved the problematic state of inner-party democracy, although, for others, the reform was not far-reaching enough. Given that representative democracy does not function in a vacuum, the article also considers the impact of direct democracy on the functioning of representative democracy in Croatia. Referring to the Croatian experience, it argues that this complementary form of democracy had a positive impact on the quality of representative democracy in the country. Nevertheless, in the face of representative democracy in Croatia, many open questions still need to be addressed. The most important one is how to increase the turnout in the elections, which is still comparatively low and arguably related to the low trust in politics.
文章分析了克罗地亚代议制民主从独立至今的发展历程。20 世纪 90 年代,克罗地亚曾多次改变选举制度,实行两院制议会。随着 2001 年实施的宪法改革,立法权按照一院制原则组织。同时,以前的半总统制被议会制取代。这些变化只是克罗地亚代议制民主逐步发展的基本框架。这一发展过程中的一个重要里程碑是在 2015 年的全国选举中引入了优先投票制,允许选民投票给特定名单和名单上的特定候选人。一些人认为,这改善了党内民主问题重重的状况,但也有人认为,改革的意义还不够深远。鉴于代议制民主并非在真空中运作,文章还探讨了直接民主对克罗地亚代议制民主运作的影响。参考克罗地亚的经验,文章认为这种民主的补充形式对该国代议制民主的质量产生了积极影响。然而,面对克罗地亚的代议制民主,仍有许多悬而未决的问题需要解决。最重要的一个问题是如何提高选举的投票率,投票率仍然相对较低,可以说与对政治的低信任度有关。
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引用次数: 0
Between individualization and politicization: young people's interpretation patterns and action orientations in the face of climate change 在个性化和政治化之间:青年人面对气候变化的解释模式和行动取向
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-05 DOI: 10.3389/fpos.2024.1324386
Leonie Reuter, Vivian Frick
This paper examines the prevailing interpretation patterns and action orientations regarding climate change and climate protection among the young generation (14–22 years) in Germany. Based on a representative survey, we investigate which climate action options are currently favored and widespread among young individuals in Germany, encompassing both private sphere behavior—sustainable consumption—and public sphere behavior—collective climate action and civic engagement. Subsequently, through qualitative interviews, we delve into the shared interpretation patterns that young individuals draw upon to comprehend, evaluate, and guide their actions in climate protection. In this process, an individualizing and a politicizing interpretation pattern are identified and juxtaposed. As a result, both the representative survey and the qualitative analysis underscore a deep-rooted and widespread adoption of the individualizing rationale among young people in interpreting and acting on climate change. We discuss this finding by exploring the discursive origins of the dominant interpretation pattern and by questioning the respective transformative potential of both the individualizing and the politicizing action orientation.
本文研究了德国年轻一代(14-22 岁)对气候变化和气候保护的普遍解释模式和行动取向。基于一项有代表性的调查,我们研究了目前在德国年轻人中流行的气候行动选择,包括私人领域的行为--可持续消费和公共领域的行为--集体气候行动和公民参与。随后,通过定性访谈,我们深入研究了年轻人在理解、评估和指导其气候保护行动时所采用的共同解释模式。在这一过程中,个性化和政治化的解释模式被识别出来并并列在一起。因此,代表性调查和定性分析都强调,年轻人在解释气候变化并采取相应行动时,普遍采用了根深蒂固的个性化理论。我们通过探索主流解释模式的话语渊源以及质疑个人化和政治化行动取向各自的变革潜力来讨论这一发现。
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引用次数: 0
Evidence from Albania: local government, public goods, and the free-rider problem 阿尔巴尼亚的证据:地方政府、公共产品和搭便车问题
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-01 DOI: 10.3389/fpos.2024.1280260
Rudina Lipi, I. Lipi, Evis Kumi, Etleva Leskaj
Public goods and their benefits are necessarily related to their nature. From an economic point of view, citizens are always looking for more and more public goods, judging that they should always finance them even less. Especially in a democracy, it is sufficient to remember that people who don't vote still benefit from the government's agenda. Mainly in developing countries and especially in ex-communist ones, the public does not have enough literacy and interest to understand the issues of public finance, political economy, the fiscal system, legal and political systems, social paradigms, and economics. So, it generally attributes the provision of public goods necessarily to the central and local governments without understanding or knowing any of the elements of the public goods ecosystem. So it seems that everything that the local government provides must be of high quality and be free, which proves evidence and traces of one of the main problems of public goods, which is the free-rider problem. From the research point of view, regardless of the moderation made by the civil society for the awareness of the social contract as well as the transparency of the economic activity of the municipalities, the citizens' awareness about the nature and problems of the provision of public goods still remains a concern. Therefore, the purpose of this article is to address the free-rider problem as an issue that must be recognized and considered so that optimal local legal regulations can be formulated, especially in small communities like Vlora municipality, where the free-rider problem is on a smaller scale compared to larger municipalities in the world.
公共产品及其利益与其性质有着必然的联系。从经济学的角度来看,公民总是希望获得越来越多的公共产品,并认为他们总是应该资助更少的公共产品。特别是在民主国家,只要记住不投票的人仍能从政府的议程中受益就足够了。主要是在发展中国家,尤其是前共产主义国家,公众没有足够的知识和兴趣来了解公共财政、政治经济、财政制度、法律和政治制度、社会范式和经济学等问题。因此,公众普遍认为公共产品的提供必然归属于中央和地方政府,而对公共产品生态系统中的任何要素都不了解、不知道。因此,似乎地方政府提供的一切都必须是高质量的、免费的,这就证明了公共产品的一个主要问题,即搭便车问题的证据和痕迹。从研究的角度来看,无论公民社会在社会契约意识和市政当局经济活动透明度方面做了多少努力,公民对提供公共产品的性质和问题的认识仍然令人担忧。因此,本文的目的是将搭便车问题作为一个必须认识和考虑的问题,以便制定最佳的地 方法律法规,特别是在发罗拉市这样的小社区,因为与世界上较大的城市相比,发罗拉市的搭 便车问题规模较小。
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引用次数: 0
Young SNP members: socio-nationalism, identity and politics 年轻的苏格兰民族党成员:社会民族主义、身份和政治
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-01-25 DOI: 10.3389/fpos.2024.1267022
Claire Breniaux
Scotland is an interesting case study when it comes to politics, nationalism and identity. The separatist movement led by the Scottish National Party (SNP) raises a wide range of questions with regard to Scottish and British politics as well as people's sense of belonging. Given that young people are the generation most likely to witness a hypothetical second independence referendum in the future, this paper focuses on them. It examines the young members of the SNP. It explores the interconnection between Scottish politics and young SNP members' nationalism as well as their understanding of Scottishness. With the analysis of empirical research conducted from 2018 to 2020, it suggests that the Young Scots for Independence (YSI) and SNP Students' nationalism should be regarded as socio-nationalism. This paper defines it as the promotion of societal values and a certain perception of society combined with the promotion and defense of a nation. Interviews and questionnaires reveal that these young people define Scotland as socially just, equal and open. Overall, their definition of Scottishness is similar. In that sense, this paper argues that their political ideology and their sense of belonging are interrelated. This is highlighted by the fact that Scottish independence is, among other factors, the most significant reason why young people choose to become SNP members. It also highlights a relationship between their sense of Scottishness and their wish for Scotland to become independent. Therefore, this paper argues that young people's membership of the SNP and national identity are interrelated.
在政治、民族主义和身份认同方面,苏格兰是一个有趣的案例研究。苏格兰民族党(SNP)领导的分离主义运动对苏格兰和英国的政治以及人们的归属感提出了一系列广泛的问题。鉴于年轻人是最有可能见证未来假设的第二次独立公投的一代人,本文将重点关注他们。本文研究了苏格兰民族党的年轻成员。本文探讨了苏格兰政治与苏格兰民族党青年党员的民族主义及其对苏格兰性的理解之间的相互联系。通过对 2018 年至 2020 年进行的实证研究的分析,本文认为,青年苏格兰独立派(YSI)和苏格兰民族党学生的民族主义应被视为社会民族主义。本文将其定义为社会价值观的推广和对社会的某种认知与国家的推广和捍卫相结合。访谈和问卷调查显示,这些年轻人将苏格兰定义为社会公正、平等和开放的地方。总体而言,他们对苏格兰性的定义是相似的。从这个意义上说,本文认为他们的政治意识形态和归属感是相互关联的。除其他因素外,苏格兰独立是年轻人选择成为苏格兰民族党党员的最重要原因,这一事实凸显了这一点。这也凸显了他们的苏格兰意识与希望苏格兰独立之间的关系。因此,本文认为,年轻人加入苏格兰民族党与国家认同是相互关联的。
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引用次数: 0
Reinforcing or moderating? The impact of Brexit on Italian and German Euroscepticism 加强还是缓和?英国脱欧对意大利和德国欧洲怀疑论的影响
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-01-24 DOI: 10.3389/fpos.2024.1063039
Vittorio Orlando, Maximilian Conrad
This article investigates the impact of Brexit on Eurosceptic parties' arguments for leaving (or remaining in) the European Union (EU). Drawing on a comparative design, the article looks at the images and narratives of the EU that Eurosceptic parties in Italy and Germany have advanced in the aftermath of the 2016 Brexit referendum and reflects on the broader implications in terms of the prospects of further states leaving the EU. This research is motivated by two assumptions grounded in the literature on Euroscepticism and EU polity contestation: firstly, that Euroscepticism is fuelled by external circumstances that are exploited by interested political actors; and secondly, that both the Brexit referendum and the UK's departure from the EU have had a profound impact on discourses on the EU within member states, most importantly because this process has highlighted the real possibility of replacing EU membership with trade agreements and other specific arrangements. By means of a comparative analysis of the development of Eurosceptic discourse in Italy and Germany after Brexit, the article reveals that on the structural level, Eurozone membership remains the main obstacle to leaving the EU. Yet on the ideological level, Eurosceptic discourse in the two countries centers on two principles that are at odds with each other. Beyond the alleged lack of democratic representation within EU institutions that is pointed out by Eurosceptic parties in both countries, the main criticism of the EU project in Germany is that the country shares the costs of states with lower economic outputs. In Italy, on the other hand, the criticism is that the EU benefits wealthier states while constraining the country's opportunities for development.
本文研究了英国脱欧对持欧洲怀疑论的政党主张退出(或留在)欧盟的影响。文章采用比较设计,考察了意大利和德国的疑欧派政党在2016年英国脱欧公投后提出的欧盟形象和叙事,并思考了更多国家脱欧前景的广泛影响。本研究基于欧洲怀疑论和欧盟政体争论文献中的两个假设:第一,欧洲怀疑论是由外部环境助长的,而这些外部环境被相关政治行为体所利用;第二,英国脱欧公投和英国脱离欧盟对成员国内部关于欧盟的论述产生了深远影响,最重要的原因是这一进程凸显了以贸易协定和其他具体安排取代欧盟成员国身份的现实可能性。文章通过比较分析意大利和德国在英国脱欧后欧洲怀疑论的发展,揭示了在结构层面上,欧元区成员资格仍然是脱离欧盟的主要障碍。然而,在意识形态层面,两国的疑欧派言论围绕着两个相互矛盾的原则。除了两国的疑欧派政党都指出欧盟机构中缺乏民主代表之外,德国对欧盟项目的主要批评是,德国分担了经济产出较低国家的成本。而在意大利,批评的焦点则是欧盟使较富裕的国家受益,却限制了本国的发展机会。
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引用次数: 0
A qualitative study on the social representations of populism and democracy in Peru 关于秘鲁民粹主义和民主的社会表征的定性研究
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-01-22 DOI: 10.3389/fpos.2024.1306060
Agustín Espinosa, Erika Janos, Manuel Pacheco, Renzo Cisneros, Fiorella Cueva, Renato De Las Casas De La Lama, Chrystian Noe De La Cruz Bellido, Camila Grados, Carla Huapaya, Sebastián Mercado, Danika Palacios, Jackeline Elena Reyes, Eleonora Salazar, Mikel Silva, Kelly Patricia Villa, Angela Vera
The purpose of this paper is to describe and analyze the social representations of democracy, populism and the relationship between both concepts in a sample of citizens from different regions of Peru (n = 76). To this end, a qualitative research design was proposed, using in-depth interviews, which were analyzed from a discursive approach. The results show that democracy and populism are two closely related concepts in tension. On the one hand, the social representation of democracy is semantically poor, closely related to electoral behavior and is seen as a political system that, ideally, is positively valued. Populism, on the other hand, is seen as a political strategy based on the manipulation of citizens' needs in order to reach power using the democratic process of elections. The representation of populism in general is negative, and it is mentioned that it appears and acquires strength in the face of citizen dissatisfaction with democracy, when it cannot solve problems of poverty, corruption or exclusion. The representations of populism take up the constitutive components proposed by different authors on the topic (people, elites and democracy as a product of popular will), but the participants do not necessarily structure the relationships between these components as proposed in the academic literature. Finally, the results shows that respondents' experiences with democracy and populism in Peru act as important socializing forces that will frame how citizens relate to politics and the public.
本文旨在描述和分析民主、民粹主义的社会表征,以及这两个概念在秘鲁不同地区公民样本(n = 76)中的关系。为此,本文提出了一种定性研究设计,采用深入访谈的方式,并从话语分析的角度对访谈进行了分析。研究结果表明,民主和民粹主义是两个密切相关的概念,两者之间存在紧张关系。一方面,民主的社会表征语义贫乏,与选举行为密切相关,在理想情况下被视为一种受到积极评价的政治制度。另一方面,民粹主义则被视为一种政治策略,其基础是操纵公民的需求,从而利用选举这一民主程序来获得权力。民粹主义的表述总体上是负面的,它是在公民对民主不满的情况下,在民主无法解决贫困、腐败或排斥问题的情况下出现并壮大的。对民粹主义的表述包含了不同作者就这一主题提出的构成要素(人民、精英和作为民意产物的民主),但参与者并不一定像学术文献中提出的那样构建这些要素之间的关系。最后,研究结果表明,受访者在秘鲁的民主和民粹主义经历是一种重要的社会化力量,将决定公民与政治和公众的关系。
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引用次数: 0
The benefits of shared leadership on minister-junior minister delegation and accountability 共同领导对部长-小部长授权和问责的益处
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-01-12 DOI: 10.3389/fpos.2023.1320693
Pedro Silveira
The relationships between ministers and their junior ministers have hardly been addressed in the literature, yet they are crucial to understanding government departmental dynamics. Using a principal agent framework, this article analyses 144 minister-junior minister relationships in three Portuguese governments (2005–2015), uncovering serious divergences (agency losses). The results were obtained through a qualitative approach, using many sources, including 111 interviews with former Portuguese prime ministers, ministers and junior ministers, content analysis, and one Minister's direct observation. It concludes that sharing the decisional power (shared leadership) improves accountability (promoting preference alignment and reducing asymmetric information), preventing and dealing effectively with divergences.
文献中几乎没有涉及部长与其下级部长之间的关系,但这对理解政府部门的动态关系至关重要。本文采用委托代理框架,分析了葡萄牙三届政府(2005-2015 年)中 144 名部长与下级部长的关系,发现了严重的分歧(代理损失)。结果是通过定性方法得出的,使用了多种资料来源,包括对葡萄牙前总理、部长和低级部长的 111 次访谈、内容分析以及一位部长的直接观察。研究得出的结论是,共享决策权(共同领导权)能提高问责制(促进偏好一致,减少信息不对称),预防和有效处理分歧。
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引用次数: 0
How Greens turn gray: Green Party politics and the depoliticization of energy and climate change 绿党如何变灰:绿党政治与能源和气候变化的非政治化
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-01-12 DOI: 10.3389/fpos.2023.1301734
Jens Marquardt
Decarbonization efforts and sustainability transformations represent highly contested socio-political projects. Yet, they often encounter various forms of depoliticization. This article illuminates how a grand socio-ecological challenge like the energy transition gets depoliticized by an unusual suspect, namely Germany's Green Party. Based on a qualitative content analysis of Green Party programs, party conventions, and additional documents published between 1980 and 2021, this article traces how the Green Party has depoliticized the energy transition over time, emphasizing a shift from radical societal change to ecological modernization. The changing stance of the German Greens on the country's energy transition reflects more profound changes of a future society the party collectively envisions through their energy and climate change agenda. These changes result from a struggle between moderates advocating incremental political reforms and radicals aiming for more fundamental and systemic societal change. By merging sustainability transition research with science and technology studies, this article makes a twofold contribution: First, it proposes a conceptual framework to investigate social and political futures envisioned through energy and climate politics. Second, the article empirically demonstrates the long process of depoliticization for an unusual but critical case. Germany's Green Party has embraced a technocentric vision of the energy transition, thereby suppressing earlier notions of broader societal change, such as anti-capitalism and energy democracy. This article spells out implications for the wider field of energy and climate politics and concludes with suggestions for future research.
去碳化努力和可持续性转型是极具争议的社会政治项目。然而,它们经常遭遇各种形式的非政治化。本文揭示了像能源转型这样宏大的社会生态挑战是如何被一个不同寻常的嫌疑人--德国绿党--非政治化的。基于对绿党纲领、党内会议以及 1980 年至 2021 年间出版的其他文件的定性内容分析,本文追溯了绿党如何随着时间的推移将能源转型非政治化,强调了从激进的社会变革到生态现代化的转变。德国绿党在国家能源转型问题上立场的变化,反映了该党通过其能源和气候变化议程共同设想的未来社会的更深刻变化。这些变化源于主张渐进式政治改革的温和派与旨在实现更根本、更系统的社会变革的激进派之间的斗争。通过将可持续性转型研究与科学技术研究相结合,本文做出了两方面的贡献:首先,文章提出了一个概念框架,用于研究通过能源和气候政治设想的社会和政治未来。其次,文章通过一个不寻常但关键的案例,以经验证明了去政治化的漫长过程。德国绿党接受了以技术为中心的能源转型愿景,从而压制了早期更广泛的社会变革理念,如反资本主义和能源民主。本文阐述了对更广泛的能源和气候政治领域的影响,并对未来的研究提出了建议。
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引用次数: 0
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Frontiers in Political Science
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