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Optimizing sustainable development in arid river basins: A multi-objective approach to balancing water, energy, economy, carbon and ecology nexus 优化干旱河流流域的可持续发展:平衡水、能源、经济、碳和生态关系的多目标方法
IF 14 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.ese.2024.100481
Yufei Zhang , Yongping Li , Guohe Huang , Yuan Ma , Yanxiao Zhou

The ongoing water crisis poses significant threats to the socioeconomic sustainability and ecological security of arid and semi-arid river basins. Achieving Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) within a complex socio-ecological nexus requires effective and balanced resource management. However, due to the intricate interactions between human societies and environmental systems, the tradeoffs and synergies of different SDGs remain unclear, posing a substantial challenge for collaborative management of natural resources. Here we introduce a gray fractional multi-objective optimization (GFMOP) model to balance multi-dimensional SDGs through a novel water–energy–economy–carbon–ecology nexus perspective. The model was applied to a typical arid river basin in Northwest China, where thirty-two scenarios were explored, considering factors such as shared socioeconomic pathways, carbon removal rates, water conveyance efficiencies, and ecological requirements. The results reveal a strong tradeoff between marginal benefit and carbon emission intensity, indicating that improving the economic efficiency of water use can simultaneously reduce emissions and protect the environment. Given the immense power generation potential, wind power development should be prioritized in the future, with its share in the energy structure projected to increase to 23.3% by 2060. Furthermore, promoting carbon capture technologies and expanding grassland coverage are recommended to achieve regional carbon neutrality, contributing 39.5% and 49.1% to carbon absorption during 2021–2060, respectively. Compared with traditional single-objective models, GFMOP demonstrates a superiority in uncovering interrelationships among multiple SDGs and identifying compromised alternatives within the compound socio-ecological nexus. The model also provides detailed strategies for resource allocation and pollutant control, offering valuable guidance to policymakers and stakeholders in pursuing sustainable and harmonious watershed management.

当前的水危机对干旱和半干旱流域的社会经济可持续性和生态安全构成了重大威胁。要在复杂的社会生态关系中实现可持续发展目标(SDGs),就必须进行有效、平衡的资源管理。然而,由于人类社会与环境系统之间错综复杂的相互作用,不同可持续发展目标之间的权衡与协同作用仍不明确,这给自然资源的协同管理带来了巨大挑战。在此,我们引入了灰色分数多目标优化(GFMOP)模型,通过新颖的水-能源-经济-碳-生态关系视角来平衡多维可持续发展目标。该模型被应用于中国西北地区的一个典型干旱流域,考虑到共同的社会经济路径、碳去除率、输水效率和生态要求等因素,共探讨了 32 种方案。结果表明,边际效益与碳排放强度之间存在很强的权衡关系,这表明提高水资源利用的经济效益可以同时减少排放和保护环境。鉴于风力发电潜力巨大,未来应优先发展风力发电,预计到 2060 年,风力发电在能源结构中的比重将增至 23.3%。此外,为实现区域碳中和,建议推广碳捕集技术和扩大草地覆盖面,在 2021-2060 年期间分别为碳吸收做出 39.5% 和 49.1% 的贡献。与传统的单一目标模型相比,GFMOP 在揭示多个可持续发展目标之间的相互关系、确定复合社会生态关系中的折衷替代方案方面表现出了优势。该模型还提供了详细的资源分配和污染物控制策略,为政策制定者和利益相关者提供了宝贵的指导,以实现可持续的和谐流域管理。
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引用次数: 0
Hydrology, vegetation, and soil properties as key drivers of soil organic carbon in coastal wetlands: A high-resolution study 水文、植被和土壤特性是沿海湿地土壤有机碳的主要驱动因素:高分辨率研究
IF 14 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-08-31 DOI: 10.1016/j.ese.2024.100482
Mao Guo , Lin Yang , Lei Zhang , Feixue Shen , Michael E. Meadows , Chenghu Zhou

Coastal wetlands are important blue carbon ecosystems that play a significant role in the global carbon cycle. However, there is insufficient understanding of the variations in soil organic carbon (SOC) stocks and the mechanisms driving these ecosystems. Here we analyze a comprehensive multi-source dataset of SOC in topsoil (0–20 cm) and subsoil (20–100 cm) across 31 coastal wetlands in China to identify the factors influencing their distribution. Structural equation models (SEMs) reveal that hydrology has the greatest overall effect on SOC in both soil layers, followed by vegetation, soil properties, and climate. Notably, the mechanisms driving SOC density differ between the two layers. In topsoil, vegetation type and productivity directly impact carbon density as primary sources of carbon input, while hydrology, primarily through seawater salinity, exerts the largest indirect influence. Conversely, in subsoil, hydrology has the strongest direct effect on SOC, with seawater salinity also influencing SOC indirectly through soil and vegetation mediation. Soil properties, particularly pH, negatively affect carbon accumulation, while climate influences SOC indirectly via its effects on vegetation and soil, with a diminishing impact at greater depths. Using Random Forest, we generate high-resolution maps (90 m × 90 m) of topsoil and subsoil carbon density (R2 of 0.53 and 0.62, respectively), providing the most detailed spatial distribution of SOC in Chinese coastal wetlands to date. Based on these maps, we estimate that SOC storage to a depth of 1 m in Chinese coastal wetlands totals 74.58 ± 3.85 Tg C, with subsoil carbon storage being 2.5 times greater than that in topsoil. These findings provide important insights into mechanism on driving spatial pattern of blue carbon and effective ways to assess carbon status on a national scale, thus contributing to the advancement of global blue carbon monitoring and management.

沿海湿地是重要的蓝碳生态系统,在全球碳循环中发挥着重要作用。然而,人们对土壤有机碳(SOC)储量的变化以及这些生态系统的驱动机制还缺乏足够的了解。在此,我们分析了中国 31 个滨海湿地表土(0-20 厘米)和底土(20-100 厘米)中 SOC 的多源综合数据集,以确定影响其分布的因素。结构方程模型(SEM)显示,水文对两层土壤中的 SOC 的总体影响最大,其次是植被、土壤特性和气候。值得注意的是,两层土壤中 SOC 密度的驱动机制有所不同。在表层土壤中,植被类型和生产力作为碳输入的主要来源直接影响碳密度,而水文(主要通过海水盐度)的间接影响最大。相反,在底土中,水文对 SOC 的直接影响最大,海水盐度也会通过土壤和植被间接影响 SOC。土壤特性(尤其是 pH 值)对碳积累有负面影响,而气候则通过对植被和土壤的影响间接影响 SOC,且影响程度越深越小。利用随机森林技术,我们生成了表土和底土碳密度的高分辨率地图(90 米×90 米)(R2 分别为 0.53 和 0.62),提供了迄今为止中国滨海湿地 SOC 最详细的空间分布。根据这些地图,我们估计中国滨海湿地 1 米深处的 SOC 储量为 74.58 ± 3.85 Tg C,其中底土碳储量是表土碳储量的 2.5 倍。这些发现为了解蓝碳空间格局的驱动机制和评估全国范围内碳状况的有效方法提供了重要启示,从而有助于推进全球蓝碳监测和管理。
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引用次数: 0
Mass transfer in heterogeneous biofilms: Key issues in biofilm reactors and AI-driven performance prediction 异质生物膜中的传质:生物膜反应器的关键问题和人工智能驱动的性能预测
IF 14 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-08-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.ese.2024.100480
Huize Chen , Ao Xia , Huchao Yan , Yun Huang , Xianqing Zhu , Xun Zhu , Qiang Liao

Biofilm reactors, known for utilizing biofilm formation for cell immobilization, offer enhanced biomass concentration and operational stability over traditional planktonic systems. However, the dense nature of biofilms poses challenges for substrate accessibility to cells and the efficient release of products, making mass transfer efficiency a critical issue in these systems. Recent advancements have unveiled the intricate, heterogeneous architecture of biofilms, contradicting the earlier view of them as uniform, porous structures with consistent mass transfer properties. In this review, we explore six biofilm reactor configurations and their potential combinations, emphasizing how the spatial arrangement of biofilms within reactors influences mass transfer efficiency and overall reactor performance. Furthermore, we discuss how to apply artificial intelligence in processing biofilm measurement data and predicting reactor performance. This review highlights the role of biofilm reactors in environmental and energy sectors, paving the way for future innovations in biofilm-based technologies and their broader applications.

众所周知,生物膜反应器利用生物膜的形成来固定细胞,与传统的浮游生物系统相比,生物膜反应器具有更高的生物量浓度和运行稳定性。然而,生物膜的致密性给细胞获得基质和高效释放产物带来了挑战,使传质效率成为这些系统的关键问题。最近的研究进展揭示了生物膜错综复杂的异质结构,这与之前认为生物膜是具有一致传质特性的均匀多孔结构的观点相矛盾。在这篇综述中,我们探讨了六种生物膜反应器配置及其潜在组合,强调了反应器内生物膜的空间排列如何影响传质效率和反应器的整体性能。此外,我们还讨论了如何应用人工智能处理生物膜测量数据和预测反应器性能。本综述强调了生物膜反应器在环境和能源领域的作用,为未来基于生物膜的技术创新及其更广泛的应用铺平了道路。
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引用次数: 0
Trusted artificial intelligence for environmental assessments: An explainable high-precision model with multi-source big data 用于环境评估的可信人工智能:利用多源大数据建立可解释的高精度模型
IF 14 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-08-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.ese.2024.100479
Haoli Xu , Xing Yang , Yihua Hu , Daqing Wang , Zhenyu Liang , Hua Mu , Yangyang Wang , Liang Shi , Haoqi Gao , Daoqing Song , Zijian Cheng , Zhao Lu , Xiaoning Zhao , Jun Lu , Bingwen Wang , Zhiyang Hu

Environmental assessments are critical for ensuring the sustainable development of human civilization. The integration of artificial intelligence (AI) in these assessments has shown great promise, yet the "black box" nature of AI models often undermines trust due to the lack of transparency in their decision-making processes, even when these models demonstrate high accuracy. To address this challenge, we evaluated the performance of a transformer model against other AI approaches, utilizing extensive multivariate and spatiotemporal environmental datasets encompassing both natural and anthropogenic indicators. We further explored the application of saliency maps as a novel explainability tool in multi-source AI-driven environmental assessments, enabling the identification of individual indicators' contributions to the model's predictions. We find that the transformer model outperforms others, achieving an accuracy of about 98% and an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.891. Regionally, the environmental assessment values are predominantly classified as level II or III in the central and southwestern study areas, level IV in the northern region, and level V in the western region. Through explainability analysis, we identify that water hardness, total dissolved solids, and arsenic concentrations are the most influential indicators in the model. Our AI-driven environmental assessment model is accurate and explainable, offering actionable insights for targeted environmental management. Furthermore, this study advances the application of AI in environmental science by presenting a robust, explainable model that bridges the gap between machine learning and environmental governance, enhancing both understanding and trust in AI-assisted environmental assessments.

环境评估对于确保人类文明的可持续发展至关重要。将人工智能(AI)整合到这些评估中已显示出巨大的前景,但人工智能模型的 "黑箱 "性质往往会因为其决策过程缺乏透明度而破坏信任,即使这些模型表现出很高的准确性也是如此。为了应对这一挑战,我们利用包含自然和人为指标的大量多变量和时空环境数据集,评估了变压器模型与其他人工智能方法的性能。我们进一步探索了显著性地图作为一种新型可解释性工具在多源人工智能驱动的环境评估中的应用,从而能够识别单个指标对模型预测的贡献。我们发现,变压器模型优于其他模型,准确率达到约 98%,接收器工作特征曲线下面积 (AUC) 为 0.891。从区域来看,中部和西南部研究区域的环境评估值主要分为 II 级或 III 级,北部区域为 IV 级,西部区域为 V 级。通过可解释性分析,我们发现水硬度、溶解性总固体和砷浓度是模型中影响最大的指标。我们的人工智能驱动环境评估模型准确且可解释,为有针对性的环境管理提供了可操作的见解。此外,本研究还提出了一个稳健、可解释的模型,弥合了机器学习与环境治理之间的差距,增强了人们对人工智能辅助环境评估的理解和信任,从而推动了人工智能在环境科学中的应用。
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引用次数: 0
Hydrodynamic and trophic variations reshape macroinvertebrate food webs in urban ecosystems 水动力和营养变化重塑城市生态系统中的大型无脊椎动物食物网
IF 14 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-08-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.ese.2024.100478
Xiongdong Zhou , Congcong Wang , Giri Kattel , Jiahao Zhang , Mengzhen Xu

Urbanization is modifying aquatic ecosystems, with hydrodynamic and trophic variations altering biotic assemblages in rapidly expanding cities worldwide. Despite the fundamental bioenergetic role of food webs within these assemblages, their responding mechanism to the hydrodynamic and trophic variations remains largely unknown. Here we show that hydrodynamic and trophic loss, coupled with the weakening of cascade controls by key trophic guilds, leads to a significant decline in the structure, function and stability of macroinvertebrate food webs. Utilizing the allometric diet breadth model and biomass balance model, we established representative food webs for macroinvertebrate groups under varying hydrodynamic and trophic stresses. We found that such losses have reduced ∼75% trophic guild richness, ∼85% biomass flux, and ∼80% biomass storage. These reductions promote trophic guild specialization, further destabilizing food web, eroding interactive strength asymmetry, and diminishing the control of trophic guilds. Furthermore, macroinvertebrate food webs show divergent stability responses under similar stress levels, mainly driven by differences in the cascade controls exerted by key trophic guilds. Our results underscore the critical role of hydrodynamic and trophic variations in shaping urban aquatic ecosystems and highlight the significance of both external environmental revitalization and internal food web dynamics enhancement in restoring the ecological stability in urban settings.

城市化正在改变水生生态系统,水动力和营养物质的变化改变了全球快速发展城市中的生物群落。尽管食物网在这些生物群落中发挥着重要的生物能作用,但其对水动力和营养变化的响应机制在很大程度上仍不为人所知。在这里,我们表明,水动力和营养物质的损失,加上关键营养行会级联控制的减弱,导致大型无脊椎动物食物网的结构、功能和稳定性显著下降。利用异速食性广度模型和生物量平衡模型,我们建立了在不同水动力和营养压力下具有代表性的大型无脊椎动物食物网。我们发现,这种损失使营养群丰富度降低了 75%,生物量通量降低了 85%,生物量储存量降低了 80%。这些减少促进了营养行会的专业化,进一步破坏了食物网的稳定,侵蚀了相互作用强度的不对称性,削弱了营养行会的控制力。此外,大型无脊椎动物食物网在相似的压力水平下表现出不同的稳定性响应,这主要是由于关键营养行会施加的级联控制存在差异。我们的研究结果强调了水动力和营养变异在形成城市水生生态系统中的关键作用,并突出了外部环境振兴和内部食物网动态增强在恢复城市生态稳定性中的重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
Wintertime ozone surges: The critical role of alkene ozonolysis 冬季臭氧激增:烯烃臭氧分解的关键作用
IF 14 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-08-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.ese.2024.100477
Jin Yang , Yangzong Zeren , Hai Guo , Yu Wang , Xiaopu Lyu , Beining Zhou , Hong Gao , Dawen Yao , Zhanxiang Wang , Shizhen Zhao , Jun Li , Gan Zhang

Ozone (O3) pollution is usually linked to warm weather and strong solar radiation, making it uncommon in cold winters. However, an unusual occurrence of four high O3 episode days (with maximum hourly concentrations exceeding 100 ppbv and peaking at 121 ppbv) was recorded in January 2018 in Lanzhou city, China. During these episodes, the average daytime concentration of total non-methane volatile organic compounds (TVOCs) reached 153.4 ± 19.0 ppbv, with alkenes—largely emitted from the local petrochemical industry—comprising 82.3 ± 13.1 ppbv. Here we show a photochemical box model coupled with a Master Chemical Mechanism to elucidate the mechanisms behind this unusual wintertime O3 pollution. We find that the typically low temperatures (−1.7 ± 1.3 °C) and weak solar radiation (263.6 ± 60.7 W m-2) of those winter episode days had a minimal effect on the reactivity of VOCs with OH radicals. Instead, the ozonolysis of alkenes generated Criegee intermediates, which rapidly decomposed into substantial ROx radicals (OH, HO2, and RO2) without sunlight. This radical production led to the oxidation of VOCs, with alkene ozonolysis ultimately contributing to 89.6 ± 8.7% of the O3 formation during these episodes. This mechanism did not activate at night due to the depletion of O3 by the NO titration effect. Furthermore, the findings indicate that a reduction of alkenes by 28.6% or NOx by 27.7% in the early afternoon could significantly mitigate wintertime O3 pollution. Overall, this study unravels the unique mechanism of alkene-induced winter O3 pollution and offers a reference for winter O3 reduction strategies in the petrochemical industrial regions.

臭氧(O3)污染通常与温暖的天气和强烈的太阳辐射有关,因此在寒冷的冬季并不常见。然而,2018 年 1 月,中国兰州市异常地出现了 4 个臭氧高发日(最大小时浓度超过 100 ppbv,峰值达到 121 ppbv)。在这些事件中,非甲烷总挥发性有机化合物(TVOC)的日平均浓度达到了 153.4 ± 19.0 ppbv,其中烯烃(主要来自当地石化工业的排放)的日平均浓度为 82.3 ± 13.1 ppbv。在这里,我们展示了一个光化学箱模型,并结合主化学机制来阐明这种不寻常的冬季臭氧污染背后的机制。我们发现,冬季典型的低温(-1.7 ± 1.3 °C)和微弱的太阳辐射(263.6 ± 60.7 W m-2)对挥发性有机化合物与 OH 自由基的反应性影响极小。相反,烯烃的臭氧分解产生了 Criegee 中间体,这些中间体在没有阳光照射的情况下迅速分解成大量的 ROx 自由基(OH、HO2 和 RO2)。这种自由基的产生导致了挥发性有机化合物的氧化,在这些事件中,烯烃臭氧分解最终产生了 89.6 ± 8.7% 的 O3。由于氮氧化物滴定效应导致臭氧消耗,这一机制在夜间没有启动。此外,研究结果表明,在下午早些时候减少 28.6% 的烯烃或 27.7% 的氮氧化物,可以显著减轻冬季的臭氧污染。总之,本研究揭示了烯类诱导冬季臭氧污染的独特机制,为石化工业地区冬季臭氧减排策略提供了参考。
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引用次数: 0
Stability of sedimentary organic matter: Insights from molecular and redox analyses 沉积有机物的稳定性:分子和氧化还原分析的启示
IF 14 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-08-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.ese.2024.100470
Qi Li , Chao Zhang , Baoqing Shan

Sedimentary organic matter (SOM) affects the stability of the aquatic carbon pool. The degradation process of SOM is complex for its multifaceted composition. The concentration and properties of SOM affect its steady state, yet the transformation processes of SOM in lakes remain unclear. Here we show the molecular and redox perspectives of SOM stability in polluted sediments with high organic matter content and diverse vegetation. We find significant differences in carbon fractions across various sites. The origin of the organic matter, determined using excitation-emission matrix spectra, influences the consistency of organic matter composition and biochemical degradation in lacustrine sediment. We also observe that sulfur-containing substances decrease carbon chain length and reduce organic matter stability. Fourier-transform ion cyclotron resonance mass spectrometry shows that sulfur-containing substances decrease the degree of saturation and cause reduction. In contrast, nitrogen-containing compounds increase the modified aromaticity index and humin content, enhancing organic carbon complexity and stability (p < 0.05). These results complement the characteristics and transformations of SOM. In a broader perspective, this study contributes to laying the foundation for understanding SOM stability in the carbon cycle and its future effects.

沉积有机物(SOM)会影响水生碳库的稳定性。SOM 的降解过程十分复杂,因为其成分是多方面的。SOM 的浓度和性质会影响其稳定状态,但 SOM 在湖泊中的转化过程仍不清楚。在这里,我们从分子和氧化还原角度展示了有机质含量高、植被多样的污染沉积物中 SOM 的稳定性。我们发现不同地点的碳组分存在明显差异。利用激发-发射矩阵光谱确定的有机物来源会影响湖沼沉积物中有机物组成和生化降解的一致性。我们还观察到含硫物质会减少碳链长度,降低有机物的稳定性。傅立叶变换离子回旋共振质谱分析表明,含硫物质会降低饱和度并导致还原。相反,含氮化合物会增加改良芳香指数和腐殖质含量,提高有机碳的复杂性和稳定性(p <0.05)。这些结果补充了 SOM 的特征和转化。从更广阔的角度来看,这项研究有助于为了解碳循环中 SOM 的稳定性及其未来影响奠定基础。
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引用次数: 0
Characterizing PFASs in aquatic ecosystems with 3D hydrodynamic and water quality models 利用三维水动力和水质模型确定水生生态系统中全氟辛烷磺酸的特征
IF 14 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-08-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.ese.2024.100473
Jingjie Zhang , Huiting Chen , Nguyen Viet Tung , Amrita Pal , Xuan Wang , Hanyu Ju , Yiliang He , Karina Yew-Hoong Gin

Understanding how per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFASs) enter aquatic ecosystems is challenging due to the complex interplay of physical, chemical, and biological processes, as well as the influence of hydraulic and hydrological factors and pollution sources at the catchment scale. The spatiotemporal dynamics of PFASs across various media remain largely unknown. Here we show the fate and transport mechanisms of PFASs by integrating monitoring data from an estuarine reservoir in Singapore into a detailed 3D model. This model incorporates hydrological, hydrodynamic, and water quality processes to quantify the distributions of total PFASs, including the major components perfluorooctanoate (PFOA) and perfluorooctane sulfonate (PFOS), across water, particulate matter, and sediments within the reservoir. Our results, validated against four years of field measurements with most relative average deviations below 40%, demonstrate that this integrated approach effectively characterizes the occurrence, sources, sinks, and trends of PFASs. The majority of PFASs are found in the dissolved phase (>95%), followed by fractions sorbed to organic particles like detritus (1.0–3.5%) and phytoplankton (1–2%). We also assess the potential risks in both the water column and sediments of the reservoir. The risk quotients for PFOS and PFOA are <0.32 and < 0.00016, respectively, indicating an acceptable risk level for PFASs in this water body. The reservoir also exhibits substantial buffering capacity, even with a tenfold increase in external loading, particularly in managing the risks associated with PFOA compared to PFOS. This study not only enhances our understanding of the mechanisms influencing the fate and transport of surfactant contaminants but also establishes a framework for future research to explore how dominant environmental factors and processes can mitigate emerging contaminants in aquatic ecosystems.

了解全氟和多氟烷基物质(PFASs)是如何进入水生生态系统的具有挑战性,这是因为物理、化学和生物过程之间存在着复杂的相互作用,而且在流域范围内还受到水力和水文因素以及污染源的影响。全氟辛烷磺酸在各种介质中的时空动态在很大程度上仍不为人所知。在此,我们将新加坡一个河口水库的监测数据整合到一个详细的三维模型中,展示了 PFASs 的归宿和迁移机制。该模型结合了水文、流体力学和水质过程,量化了水库中总全氟化合物(包括主要成分全氟辛酸(PFOA)和全氟辛烷磺酸(PFOS))在水体、颗粒物和沉积物中的分布。我们的研究结果经过四年的实地测量验证,大多数相对平均偏差低于 40%,这表明这种综合方法可以有效地描述全氟辛烷磺酸的发生、来源、汇和趋势。大部分 PFASs 存在于溶解相中(95%),其次是吸附在有机颗粒上的部分,如残渣(1.0%-3.5%)和浮游植物(1%-2%)。我们还评估了水库水体和沉积物中的潜在风险。全氟辛烷磺酸和全氟辛酸的风险商数分别为 0.32 和 0.00016,表明该水体中全氟辛烷磺酸的风险水平可以接受。即使外部负荷增加了十倍,水库也表现出很强的缓冲能力,尤其是在管理与全氟辛烷磺酸相关的风险方面。这项研究不仅加深了我们对影响表面活性剂污染物归宿和迁移机制的理解,还为未来的研究建立了一个框架,以探索主导环境因素和过程如何减轻水生生态系统中新出现的污染物。
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引用次数: 0
Provincial-Level Analysis of Electrification Feasibility and Climate Policy Interactions 电气化可行性与气候政策相互作用的省级分析
IF 14 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-08-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.ese.2024.100474
Huihuang Wu , Haozhe Yang , Xiurong Hu , Yuhan Zhou , Xian Wang , Junfeng Liu , Ying Liu , Shu Tao

Improving electrification feasibility is essential for reducing emissions from non-electric energy sources, thereby enhancing air quality and public health. Concurrently, climate mitigation actions, such as carbon pricing policies, have significant potential to alleviate increasing carbon dioxide (CO2) and other co-emitted air pollutants. However, the interactions between climate policy and the improvement of electrification feasibility at the provincial level remain unclear, collectively impacting the net-zero transition of energy-intensive sectors. Here we combine a technologically rich economic-energy-environment model with air quality modeling across China to examine the health, climate, and economic implications of large-scale upgrades in electrification feasibility and climate policies from 2017 to 2030. The results indicate that advancing electrification feasibility, coupled with adopting carbon pricing policies, is likely to facilitate a transition towards electricity-dominant energy systems. Improved electrification feasibility is projected to yield a 7–25% increase in nationwide climate benefits and a 5–14% increase in health benefits by 2030. These incremental benefits, coupled with reduced economic costs, result in a 22–68% increase in net benefits. However, regionally, improvements in electrification feasibility will lead to heightened power demand and unintended emissions from electric energy production in certain provinces (e.g., Nei Mongol) due to the coal-dominated power system. Additionally, in major coal-producing provinces like Shanxi and Shaanxi, enhanced electrification feasibility exacerbates the negative economic impacts of climate policies. This study provides quantitative insights into how improving electrification feasibility reshapes energy evolution and the benefit-cost profile of climate policy at the provincial level. The findings underscore the necessity of a well-designed compensation scheme between affected and unaffected provinces and coordinated emission mitigation across the power and other end-use sectors.

提高电气化的可行性对于减少非电力能源的排放,从而改善空气质量和公众健康至关重要。同时,气候减缓行动,如碳定价政策,对于缓解二氧化碳(CO2)和其他共同排放的空气污染物的增加具有巨大潜力。然而,气候政策与提高省级电气化可行性之间的相互作用仍不明确,这将共同影响能源密集型行业的净零过渡。在此,我们将一个技术丰富的经济-能源-环境模型与中国各地的空气质量模型相结合,研究了从 2017 年到 2030 年大规模提升电气化可行性和气候政策对健康、气候和经济的影响。研究结果表明,提高电气化可行性,同时采取碳定价政策,有可能促进能源系统向以电力为主的方向过渡。预计到 2030 年,电气化可行性的提高将使全国范围内的气候效益增加 7-25%,健康效益增加 5-14%。这些增量效益加上经济成本的降低,可使净效益增加 22-68%。然而,就地区而言,由于某些省份(如内蒙古)的电力系统以煤炭为主,电气化可行性的提高将导致电力需求的增加和电力生产的意外排放。此外,在山西和陕西等产煤大省,电气化可行性的提高会加剧气候政策对经济的负面影响。本研究从定量角度深入探讨了提高电气化可行性如何在省级层面重塑能源演变和气候政策的效益-成本状况。研究结果强调,必须在受影响和未受影响的省份之间制定完善的补偿方案,并在电力和其他终端使用部门协调减排。
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引用次数: 0
Resilient water quality management: Insights from Japan's environmental quality standards for conserving aquatic life framework 弹性水质管理:日本水生生物保护框架环境质量标准的启示
IF 14 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-08-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.ese.2024.100472
Zihan Xu , Ying Wang , Li Xie , Di Shi , Jia He , Yanqing Chen , Chenglian Feng , John P. Giesy , Kenneth M.Y. Leung , Fengchang Wu

Currently, chemicals and waste are recognized as key drivers of habitat degradation and biodiversity loss in aquatic ecosystems. To ensure vibrant habitats for aquatic species and maintain a sustainable aquatic food supply system, Japan promulgated its Environmental Quality Standards for the Conservation of Aquatic Life (EQS-CAL), based on its own aquatic life water quality criteria (ALWQC) derivation method and application mechanism. Here we overview Japan's EQS-CAL framework and highlight their best practices by examining the framework systems and related policies. Key experiences from Japan's EQS-CAL system include: (1) Classifying six types of aquatic organisms according to their adaptability to habitat status; (2) Using a risk-based chemical screening system for three groups of chemical pollutants; (3) Recommending a five-step method for determining ALWQC values based on the most sensitive life stage of the most sensitive species; (4) Applying site-specific implementation mechanisms through a series of Plan-Do-Check-Act loops. This paper offers scientific references for other jurisdictions, aiding in the development of more resilient ALWQC systems that can maintain healthy environments for aquatic life and potentially mitigate ongoing threats to human societies and global aquatic biodiversity.

目前,化学品和废物被认为是导致水生生态系统生境退化和生物多样性丧失的主要因素。为确保水生生物栖息地的活力并维持可持续的水生食物供应系统,日本颁布了《水生生物保护环境质量标准》(EQS-CAL),该标准基于日本自己的水生生物水质标准(ALWQC)推导方法和应用机制。在此,我们将概述日本的 EQS-CAL 框架,并通过研究框架系统和相关政策,重点介绍其最佳实践。日本 EQS-CAL 系统的主要经验包括(1) 根据水生生物对栖息地状况的适应性,对六种水生生物进行分类;(2) 对三类化学污染物采用基于风险的化学筛选系统;(3) 根据最敏感物种的最敏感生命阶段,建议采用五步方法确定 ALWQC 值;(4) 通过一系列 "计划-实施-检查-行动 "循环,采用针对具体地点的实施机制。本文为其他司法管辖区提供了科学参考,有助于开发更具弹性的 ALWQC 系统,从而维护水生生物的健康环境,并有可能减轻对人类社会和全球水生生物多样性的持续威胁。
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Environmental Science and Ecotechnology
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