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(Dis)utopian Landscapes: Baudrillard, Deleuze, and DeLillo (乌托邦景观(失)》:波德里亚、德勒兹和德里罗
Pub Date : 2023-11-27 DOI: 10.30613/curesosc.1381692
Muhsin Yanar
What drives us to speculate, hypothesize, and fantasize about utopia and dystopia? The concepts of utopia (a good place) and dystopia (a bad place) might be arrived at and developed by one’s contact with the (constructed) reality and comprehension, yet frustration and discontent with it, and one’s pessimism and optimism over a better present and future contingent upon the place and time in which one exists. The former has a long history, whereas the latter is a work in progress. That is, one cannot simply distinguish between the two by asking whether the latter is primarily precautionary and reactive, cautioning us what not to do, whilst the former is proactive, pointing us in the right direction. Both the former and latter may have similar motives, namely, to demonstrate the dark characteristics of one society by comparing it with another, fictitious culture. Someone’s utopia might alternate dystopia, or many traditional utopias from the past include aspects that modern readers would identify as dystopian. On the other hand, one could argue that dystopia serves as the worst-case scenario, presenting a degraded, collapsing, and/or collapsed society, be it socio-culturally, economically, or technologically, worse than another, yet still hopeful for a drastic change for the better. Utopia could be received as the best-case scenario for people in a society considering its socio-political demise. Shortly, both utopian and dystopian scenarios would fit into an extended framework of contemplations on a catastrophe that would either signal a tremendous shift for the better or result in an apocalyptic nightmare. Drawing on the standpoints of Giles Deleuze and Jean Baudrillard and tracing Don DeLillo’s fiction, this paper seeks to explore the notion of dystopia, the future assumptions that dystopian fiction puts forward, and the challenges and issues it highlights, such as digital surveillance, technological control, the disappearance of individualism, uncertainty, and dread.
是什么驱使我们对乌托邦和乌托邦进行猜测、假设和幻想?乌托邦(一个好地方)和乌托邦(一个坏地方)的概念可能是由人们对(建构的)现实的接触和理解、对现实的沮丧和不满,以及对所处地点和时间所决定的更美好的现在和未来的悲观和乐观而形成和发展起来的。前者由来已久,而后者则是一项正在进行的工作。也就是说,我们不能简单地通过询问后者是否主要是预防性的和被动的,告诫我们不应该做什么,而前者则是积极主动的,为我们指明正确的方向来区分两者。前者和后者的动机可能相似,即通过将一个社会与另一个虚构的文化进行比较,来展示这个社会的黑暗特征。有人的乌托邦可能是另一种乌托邦,或者说,过去的许多传统乌托邦都包含了现代读者会认为是乌托邦的内容。另一方面,人们也可以说乌托邦是最坏的情况,它展现了一个堕落、崩溃和/或坍塌的社会,无论是社会文化、经济还是技术方面,都比另一个社会更糟糕,但仍有希望发生翻天覆地的变化。乌托邦可以被理解为一个社会中的人们在考虑其社会政治消亡时的最佳选择。不久之后,乌托邦和乌托邦情景都将被纳入对一场灾难的思考的扩展框架,这场灾难要么预示着向好的方向发展的巨大转变,要么导致世界末日般的噩梦。本文借鉴吉尔斯-德勒兹(Giles Deleuze)和让-鲍德里亚(Jean Baudrillard)的观点,并追溯唐-德里罗(Don DeLillo)的小说,试图探讨乌托邦的概念、乌托邦小说提出的未来假设,以及它所强调的挑战和问题,如数字监控、技术控制、个人主义的消失、不确定性和恐惧。
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引用次数: 0
ÇOCUKLUK ÇAĞI TRAVMALARI İLE ROMANTİK İLİŞKİDE İSTİSMARA MARUZİYET ARASINDAKİ İLİŞKİDE BORDERLİNE KİŞİLİK ÖZELLİKLERİ VE AYRILIK ANKSİYETESİNİN ARACI ROLÜ 边缘型人格特质和分离焦虑在童年创伤与恋爱关系中遭受虐待的关系中的中介作用
Pub Date : 2023-11-23 DOI: 10.30613/curesosc.1168755
Haydeh Faraji̇, D. Demi̇r
The aim of the study is to examine the mediating role of borderline personality pattern and separation anxiety in adults in the relationship between childhood traumas and exposure to abuse in romantic relationships, to emphasize some factors that may cause violence in relationships, and to support initiatives to prevent exposure to partner violence. For the research 400 participants aged 18-55 residing in Istanbul determined by simple random sampling method. After than Socio-demographic Information Form, Childhood Traumas Questionnaire (CTQ-33), Romantic Relationship Assessment Inventory (RRAI), Borderline Personality Questionnaire (BPQ), Adult Separation Anxiety Questionnaire (ASAQ) were given to them. The data obtained from the study were evaluated with the SPSS-25 statistical analysis program. Relationships between scales were evaluated with Pearson Correlation analysis and mediating roles were evaluated with PROCESS 3.5 Macro. All analyzes were based on a 95% confidence interval. When the research findings are examined, Childhood Traumas Questionnaireand all its subscales and Borderline Personality Disorder Scale and all its subscales; A positive correlation was found between the Adult Separation Anxiety Questionnaire and the Romantic Relationship Assessment Scale. Similarly, a positive correlation was also found between the Borderline Personality Questionnaire and all its subscales, and the Adult Separation Anxiety Questionnaire and the Romantic Relationship Assessment Scale. In addition, the results of the research show that the Childhood Traumas Questionnairepredicts the Romantic Relationship Assessment Inventory and that Borderline Personality Traits and Adult Separation Anxiety play a partial mediating role in this relationship. As conclusion, it was determined that childhood abuse and neglect experiences were associated with unhealthy personality patterns and exposure to maltreatment in adulthood romantic relationships.
本研究旨在探讨边缘型人格模式和成人分离焦虑在童年创伤与恋爱关系中遭受虐待之间的中介作用,强调可能导致恋爱关系中暴力行为的一些因素,并支持预防伴侣间暴力行为的倡议。本次研究通过简单随机抽样方法确定了 400 名居住在伊斯坦布尔、年龄在 18-55 岁之间的参与者。然后向他们发放社会人口信息表、童年创伤问卷(CTQ-33)、恋人关系评估量表(RRAI)、边缘型人格问卷(BPQ)和成人分离焦虑问卷(ASAQ)。研究数据使用 SPSS-25 统计分析程序进行评估。各量表之间的关系用皮尔逊相关分析进行评估,中介作用用 PROCESS 3.5 宏程序进行评估。所有分析均基于 95% 的置信区间。研究结果显示,童年创伤问卷及其所有分量表和边缘型人格障碍量表及其所有分量表;成人分离焦虑问卷和浪漫关系评估量表之间存在正相关。同样,边缘型人格问卷及其所有分量表、成人分离焦虑问卷与恋人关系评估量表之间也发现了正相关。此外,研究结果表明,童年创伤问卷可以预测浪漫关系评估量表,而边缘型人格特质和成人分离焦虑在这种关系中起着部分中介作用。综上所述,童年受虐待和忽视的经历与不健康的人格模式和成年后恋爱关系中遭受虐待的情况有关。
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引用次数: 0
Classroom Emotional Climate and School Burnout in Secondary School Students: A Hierarchical Regression Model 课堂情绪氛围与中学生的学校倦怠:分层回归模型
Pub Date : 2023-11-23 DOI: 10.30613/curesosc.1361793
Mete Si̇pahi̇oğlu, Abdullah Manap, Ümit Dilekçi, Murat Yıldırım
The present study investigated the relationship between secondary school students' gender, grade level, the emotional climate of the classroom, and school burnout levels. Using a correlational research design with a random sampling approach, the study collected data from a cohort of 404 Turkish students currently enrolled in secondary schools. Participants completed both the Classroom Emotional Climate Scale and Elementary School Student Burnout Scale for Grades 6-8 in addition to providing responses to a set of demographic questions. Descriptive statistics, Pearson correlation coefficient and hierarchical regression analyses were used to analyse the data. The findings from the correlation analysis demonstrated a significant negative relationship between positive emotional climate and both negative emotional climate and school burnout. Conversely, a significant positive correlation was observed between negative emotional climate and school burnout. Furthermore, the results of the hierarchical regression analysis revealed that both positive and negative emotional climate significantly predicted school burnout, even after accounting for the potential influences of gender and grade level. These findings indicate that interventions focused on enhancing a positive emotional climate while concurrently diminishing a negative emotional climate could be effective in alleviating school burnout among adolescents despite gender and grade level differences.
本研究调查了中学生的性别、年级、课堂情绪氛围与学校倦怠水平之间的关系。本研究采用随机抽样的相关研究设计,收集了 404 名土耳其中学生的数据。除回答一系列人口统计学问题外,参与者还填写了课堂情感氛围量表和 6-8 年级小学生职业倦怠量表。数据分析采用了描述性统计、皮尔逊相关系数和分层回归分析。相关分析结果表明,积极情绪氛围与消极情绪氛围和学校倦怠之间存在显著的负相关。相反,负性情绪氛围与学校倦怠之间存在明显的正相关。此外,分层回归分析的结果表明,即使考虑到性别和年级的潜在影响,积极和消极情绪氛围也能显著预测学校倦怠。这些研究结果表明,尽管存在性别和年级的差异,但如果干预措施能在增强积极情绪氛围的同时减少消极情绪氛围,就能有效减轻青少年的学校倦怠感。
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引用次数: 0
The Pied Piper as a Killer in 21st Century London: China Miéville’s King Rat 21 世纪伦敦的杀手 "魔笛手":中国米耶维尔的《鼠王
Pub Date : 2023-11-23 DOI: 10.30613/curesosc.1348759
Emrah Özbay
This study examines how the story of The Pied Piper of Hamelin is re-told in China Miéville’s novel King Rat in 21st century London by combining elements of urban fantasy and arguing that the boundaries between the real and the fantasy world are blurred in the city of London. China Miéville is regarded as one of the most remarkable writers of contemporary British Fantasy literature. In King Rat, the blending of the familiar cityscape with elements of myth, magic and horror creates a rich environment where ordinary lives intersect with extraordinary forces. By analysing the thematic and stylistic features of the novel, this study will reveal how King Rat exemplifies the basic elements of urban fantasy focusing on the setting, characters, and fantastic elements and how it makes an important contribution to the genre. This analysis will provide readers with a detailed panorama of the interplay between urban settings, fantastic elements, and dark themes in contemporary literature.
本研究探讨了中国作家米耶维尔的小说《鼠王》如何结合城市奇幻元素,在 21 世纪的伦敦重新讲述了《哈梅林魔笛手》的故事,并认为在伦敦这座城市中,现实与奇幻世界的界限变得模糊不清。China Miéville 被誉为当代英国奇幻文学最杰出的作家之一。在《鼠王》中,他将人们熟悉的城市景观与神话、魔法和恐怖元素相融合,创造了一个平凡生活与非凡力量交织的丰富环境。通过分析小说的主题和风格特征,本研究将揭示《鼠王》如何体现了城市奇幻的基本要素,重点是环境、人物和奇幻元素,以及它如何对这一流派做出了重要贡献。这一分析将为读者提供当代文学中城市背景、奇幻元素和黑暗主题之间相互作用的详细全景。
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引用次数: 0
Examination of the psychological effects of Covid 19 on university students in Turkey one year later from the pandemic 研究 Covid 19 大流行一年后对土耳其大学生的心理影响
Pub Date : 2023-10-24 DOI: 10.30613/curesosc.1252237
Yıldız Bilge, Ülkü TANKUT YILDIRIM, Aygerim Bi̇lgen, Esra Belgeli̇, Zeynep Zengi̇n
Abstract This study aims to evaluate and compare the levels of depression, anxiety, stress, social media addiction, loneliness, and life satisfaction of university students for the pre-pandemic period and one year after Covid-19. Furthermore, aims to examine whether gender is a determinant in this comparison and to determine to what extent depression, anxiety, and stress are predicted by social media addiction, loneliness, life satisfaction, and tolerance to Covid-19. Participants consisted of 544 university students, 411 women (75.6%), and 133 (24.4%) men, aged between 18 and 40 (22.63-3.46). It was detected that the whole variables in the present study were related to each other. Also, there was a significant difference in favor of after Covid-19 between before and after Covid-19 scores in all of the variables of this study and this difference for some variables was higher in the female group. Additionally, it was observed tolerance to Covid-19, loneliness, social media addiction and satisfaction with life were predictors. Consequently, the difficulties brought by the pandemic may increase the susceptibility of depression, stress, and anxiety by affect loneliness and life satisfaction. Besides, the determination that women are more vulnerable in the face of difficulties related to Covid-19 may be associated that genders differ in the way they perceive and experience these difficulties.
摘要 本研究旨在评估和比较大流行前和 Covid-19 一年后大学生的抑郁、焦虑、压力、社交媒体成瘾、孤独感和生活满意度水平。此外,还旨在研究性别是否是这种比较的决定因素,并确定社交媒体成瘾、孤独感、生活满意度和对 Covid-19 的耐受性对抑郁、焦虑和压力的预测程度。参与者包括 544 名大学生,其中女性 411 人(75.6%),男性 133 人(24.4%),年龄在 18 岁至 40 岁之间(22.63-3.46)。研究发现,本研究中的所有变量都相互关联。此外,在本研究的所有变量中,Covid-19 前后的得分存在明显差异,女性组在某些变量上的差异更大。此外,研究还发现,对 Covid-19 的耐受性、孤独感、社交媒体成瘾和生活满意度也是预测因素。因此,大流行病带来的困难可能会影响孤独感和生活满意度,从而增加抑郁、压力和焦虑的易感性。此外,女性在面对与 Covid-19 相关的困难时更加脆弱,这可能与两性在感知和体验这些困难的方式上存在差异有关。
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引用次数: 0
Hand grip strength as a marker of physical fitness and its association to body symmetry in young adults: An anthropological approach 握力作为年轻人身体健康的标志及其与身体对称的关系:一种人类学方法
Pub Date : 2023-05-27 DOI: 10.30613/curesosc.1195115
Berna ERTUĞRUL ÖZENER, Muhammet Fatih Aydık
Some research in the field of anthropology provides some evidence that high hand grip strength and a symmetrical body are reliable indicators of health and fitness. In this study, we consider the relationship between these two indicators in healthy young individuals. In the study, 185 university students (87 males and 97 females) were examined. In addition to the weight and height of the students, eight bilateral traits were measured with an accuracy of 0.01 mm to evaluate their bodily symmetry, and their hand grip strength was determined with a hand dynamometer by applying the Southampton protocol. The composite fluctuating asymmetry formula was used to standardize the bodily symmetries of individuals. Analyzes show that women have a more symmetrical body structure and lower hand grip strength scores than men. When the effect of weight and body mass index was controlled, no correlation was observed between composite fluctuating asymmetry and hand grip strength in both sexes. As conclusion, although hand grip strength and body symmetry are accepted as reliable indicators of health and fitness, it is seen that there is no significant relationship between the two indicators in both sexes in our study. In addition, our findings support the view that fluctuating asymmetry is not a reliable indicator to predict an individual's physical fitness and developmental quality.
人类学领域的一些研究提供了一些证据,表明高握力和对称的身体是健康和健身的可靠指标。在这项研究中,我们考虑这两个指标之间的关系,在健康的年轻人。在这项研究中,185名大学生(87名男性,97名女性)接受了调查。除了学生的体重和身高外,研究人员还测量了八项双侧特征,测量精度为0.01毫米,以评估他们的身体对称性,并采用南安普顿协议用手测力仪测定了手握力。采用复合波动不对称公式对个体的身体对称性进行标准化。分析表明,女性的身体结构更为对称,握力得分也低于男性。在控制体重和身体质量指数的影响后,两性的复合波动不对称与握力之间没有相关性。综上所述,虽然握力和身体对称性被认为是健康和健身的可靠指标,但在我们的研究中,这两个指标在两性之间没有显著的关系。此外,我们的研究结果支持了波动不对称不是预测个体身体健康和发展质量的可靠指标的观点。
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引用次数: 0
Comparison of Ottoman Empire and Qing Dynasty through Süleyman Şükrü's Seyahatü'l Kübra and Kang Youwei's Turk Travelogue 从<s:1>莱曼Şükrü《Seyahatü l k<e:1> bra》和康有为《土耳其游记》看奥斯曼帝国与清朝的比较
Pub Date : 2023-05-25 DOI: 10.30613/curesosc.1267199
Fatma Ecem Ceylan
In 1906, Traveller Karçınzade Süleyman Şükrü, starting from Anatolia, travelled to Iran, Ashgabat, Bukhara, Baku, West Turkistan, Caucasus, Austria, France, Marseille, African Continent, Tunisia, Morocco, Algeria, Egypt, Aden, India, Kolkata, Colombo, Ceylon, Singapore and China and reached Russia as the last stop, St. Petersburg. During this trip, he also brought his notes together in his work named Seyahatü'l Kübra. The impressions of China found in Seyahatü'l Kübra are grouped under eleven headings. These are details of the outer seas through which the traveller crosses until he reaches Shanghai, Beijing, Taku Port, the Pier of Hong Kong; the sea to the east of the Indian Peninsula, the Pacific Ocean, Tin-i China (Tianjin), Beijing, Cancaku, Lancosin (Lanzhou), Hoço (Hezhou), Hami, Urumqi. Şükrü tried to reveal clear data about China's outer seas, rivers, architecture of cities, temples, mosques, the situation of European states in China, what foreigners do, and the number of Muslims and mosques in the section of impressions of China. Similarly, in 1908, Kang Youwei, who came to Ottoman Empire, which he called the Turkish Country, collected his travel notes under the title of Turk Travelogue. In his travelogue, he gave detailed information about the political structure, military structure, education, architecture and historical places of the Turks. By comparing many points which he witnessed in Ottoman Empire with his own country or European countries, he examined the similarities or differences of these countries with the Ottoman Empire. The importance of these two travelogues stems from the fact that the periods in which the travellers travelled correspond to the same periods and that they witnessed almost the same events in terms of periods even though they were in two different countries. The aim of this study, which is a comparative study, is to examine the similarities and differences between the two countries in line with the perspectives of Şükrü and Kang. For this reason, in addition to the comparison method, content analysis, text scanning and text analysis methods will be adopted as a review method in the study.
1906年,旅行家Karçınzade sellleyman Şükrü从安纳托利亚出发,游历了伊朗、阿什哈巴德、布哈拉、巴库、西突厥斯坦、高加索、奥地利、法国、马赛、非洲大陆、突尼斯、摩洛哥、阿尔及利亚、埃及、亚丁、印度、加尔各答、科伦坡、锡兰、新加坡和中国,最后到达俄罗斯的圣彼得堡。在这次旅行中,他还把他的笔记汇集在他的作品Seyahatü'l k bra中。在Seyahatü'l k bra中发现的中国印象分为11个标题。这些是旅行者穿过的外海的细节,直到他到达上海、北京、大库港、香港码头;东临印度洋半岛、太平洋、天津(天津)、北京、坎库、兰科辛(兰州)、贺州、哈密、乌鲁木齐。Şükrü在“中国印象”部分,试图展示中国的外海、河流、城市建筑、寺庙、清真寺、欧洲国家在中国的情况、外国人的活动、穆斯林和清真寺的数量等清晰的数据。同样,1908年,康有为来到他称之为土耳其国的奥斯曼帝国,收集了他的游记,并以《土耳其游记》为题。在他的游记中,他详细介绍了土耳其人的政治结构、军事结构、教育、建筑和历史遗迹。通过将他在奥斯曼帝国与他自己的国家或欧洲国家所看到的许多方面进行比较,他研究了这些国家与奥斯曼帝国的异同。这两本游记之所以重要,是因为这两位旅行者所经历的时期是相同的,而且他们在两个不同的国家目睹了几乎相同的事件。本研究是一项比较研究,目的是根据Şükrü和Kang的观点来考察两国之间的异同。因此,在研究中除了采用对比法外,还将采用内容分析法、文本扫描法和文本分析法作为复习方法。
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引用次数: 3
The Mediating Role of Consumer Boycott Participation Motives in The Effect of Consumer Cynicism on Consumer Boycott Behaviour 消费者抵制参与动机在消费者犬儒主义对消费者抵制行为影响中的中介作用
Pub Date : 2023-05-24 DOI: 10.30613/curesosc.1261916
E. Keser, Rabia Söğütlü
Consumer cynism, it is explained by the distrust, dissatisfaction and unmet expectations that consumers feel towards businesses. Consumer boycott behavior is evaluated as a form of consumer behavior in marketing science. Consumer boycott participation motives are expressed as the motivations that enable consumers to participate in the boycott. The purpose of this study is to examine whether a significant mediating effect of consumer boycott participation motives in the effect of consumer cynicism on consumer boycott behavior. The scope of the research consists of the residents of Erzurum province. Therefore, the research was limited to Erzurum province. The research was carried out by using the questionnaire method with 401 consumers living in Erzurum. Arithmetic average, standard deviation, frequency distribution, reliability analysis, variance analysis, confirmatory factor analysis, exploratory factor analysis and structural equation analysis were used in the analysis of the data obtained in this research. Lisrel 8.51 and SPSS 22.0 package statistics programs were used in the analysis. As a result of the reliability and confirmatory factor analyzes applied in the study, it was determined that the research variables had a high degree of reliability and the goodness of fit values were also within acceptable limits as a result of the modifications made. In the study, it was determined that the consumer cynism level of the consumers was 3.34, their consumer boycott behaviour level was 3.78 and their consumer boycott participation motives level was 3.30. As a result of the structural equation analysis performed in the study, it was found that the variables of making a difference and self-enhancement among the consumer boycott participation motives has a significant mediating effect on the effect of consumer cynicism on consumer boycott behavior; on the other hand, it was determined that the counter-arguments did not have a significant mediating effect.
消费者愤世嫉俗,这是由消费者对企业的不信任、不满和未满足的期望来解释的。消费者抵制行为被市场营销学评价为消费者行为的一种形式。消费者抵制参与动机是指使消费者能够参与抵制的动机。本研究的目的是探讨消费者抵制参与动机在消费者犬儒主义对消费者抵制行为的影响中是否具有显著的中介作用。研究范围包括埃尔祖鲁姆省的居民。因此,本研究仅限于埃尔祖鲁姆省。本研究采用问卷调查法对居住在埃尔祖鲁姆的401名消费者进行调查。采用算术平均、标准差、频率分布、信度分析、方差分析、验证性因子分析、探索性因子分析和结构方程分析等方法对本研究获得的数据进行分析。采用Lisrel 8.51和SPSS 22.0软件包统计程序进行分析。通过研究中应用的信度和验证性因子分析,确定研究变量具有较高的信度,并且由于修改,拟合优度值也在可接受的范围内。本研究确定消费者的消费者犬儒主义水平为3.34,消费者抵制行为水平为3.78,消费者抵制参与动机水平为3.30。研究通过结构方程分析发现,消费者抵制参与动机中的“有所作为”和“自我提升”变量对消费者犬儒主义对消费者抵制行为的影响具有显著的中介作用;另一方面,已确定反论点没有显著的调解作用。
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引用次数: 0
THE THRESHOLD EFFECT OF PUBLIC AND INTERNAL DEBT ON ECONOMIC GROWTH: THE CASE OF KENYA 公共债务和内部债务对经济增长的门槛效应:以肯尼亚为例
Pub Date : 2023-05-07 DOI: 10.30613/curesosc.1122651
Wilkista Lore Obi̇ero, Seher Gülşah Topuz
This paper investigates the presence of threshold effect of public debt and internal debt on economic growth in Kenya for the period 1970-2018. The Smooth Transition Regression model of analysis is used to analyze the effect of public and internal debt on growth. The findings of this study indicate that the threshold level of internal debt in Kenya is 17.3115% implying that domestic debt positively impacts economic growth when this threshold level is exceeded. The public debt threshold estimate is 33.29% and growth is positively affected when public debt exceeds this level. The results of this study imply that public and internal debt have a U-shaped relationship with the economic growth rate in Kenya and that the rate of economic growth is dependent on the amount of debt owed by the country. These results imply that there is a need for appropriate policy actions on more productive use of debt to ensure economic growth.
本文研究了1970-2018年期间肯尼亚公共债务和内部债务对经济增长的阈值效应。采用平稳过渡回归分析模型,分析了公共债务和内部债务对经济增长的影响。本研究结果表明,肯尼亚的国内债务阈值水平为17.3115%,这意味着当国内债务超过这一阈值水平时,国内债务对经济增长产生了积极影响。公共债务阈值估计为33.29%,当公共债务超过这一水平时,增长将受到积极影响。本研究的结果表明,公共债务和内部债务与肯尼亚的经济增长率呈u型关系,经济增长率取决于国家所欠的债务数额。这些结果表明,有必要采取适当的政策行动,更有效地利用债务,以确保经济增长。
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引用次数: 0
Corruption and Economic Growth Nexus: What Has the Arab Spring Changed? 腐败与经济增长的关系:阿拉伯之春改变了什么?
Pub Date : 2023-01-11 DOI: 10.30613/curesosc.1187599
Fatih Kırşanlı
Corruption is an everlasting phenomenon in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA). It is considered one of the fundamental reasons for the Arab incidents that started in Tunisia in 2011. Considering its devastating effects, this paper concentrates on the impacts of corruption at the macro level following the Arab uprisings. Notably, it investigates the impact of corruption on economic growth between 1996-2020. The paper utilizes panel estimators with country-fixed effect regressions given the results of the Hausman test. Panel estimators help control time-variant unobserved heterogeneity and capture both time and country-specific differences. The results indicate that after the Arab Spring, corruption lowers economic growth in the MENA region. One unit increase in control of corruption score of World Governance Indicators (WGI) decreases economic growth between 1.64-2.98 percentage points depending on the model. The results are robust with alternative corruption indexes such as the International Country Risk Guide (ICRG), Varieties of Democracy (V-Dem), and lastly, the Corruption Perception Index (CPI). Furthermore, the Chow test also confirms that 2011 constitutes a structural break in the history of the MENA region. The outcomes indicate that specific policies need to be implemented to alleviate the adverse impacts of corruption in MENA countries.
腐败是中东和北非(MENA)地区长期存在的现象。这被认为是2011年始于突尼斯的阿拉伯事件的根本原因之一。考虑到腐败的破坏性影响,本文集中研究了阿拉伯起义后腐败在宏观层面的影响。值得注意的是,它调查了1996年至2020年间腐败对经济增长的影响。本文利用具有国家固定效应回归的面板估计,给出了豪斯曼检验的结果。面板估计器有助于控制时变的未观察到的异质性,并捕获时间和国家具体差异。结果表明,在阿拉伯之春之后,腐败降低了中东和北非地区的经济增长。根据不同的模型,世界治理指标(WGI)控制腐败得分每增加一个单位,经济增长率就会下降1.64-2.98个百分点。使用国际国家风险指南(ICRG)、民主多样性(V-Dem)以及最后的腐败感知指数(CPI)等其他腐败指数,结果也很稳健。此外,Chow测试还证实,2011年构成了中东和北非地区历史上的结构性断裂。结果表明,需要实施具体政策,以减轻腐败在中东和北非国家的不利影响。
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引用次数: 2
期刊
Current Research in Social Sciences
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