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LDR, ROA Dan BOPO Terhadap Harga Saham LDR, ROA和BOPO反对股票价格
Pub Date : 2021-02-28 DOI: 10.33005/JEDI.V4I1.95
Dian Widianingsih, R. Dewi, Purnama Siddi
Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menguji dan menganalisis pengaruh LDR (Loan to Deposit ration), ROA (Return On Asset), BOPO (Beban Operasional Pendapatan Operasional) terhadap harga saham pada perusahaan sektor perbankan di BEI. Data yang digunakan adalah data sekunder berupa laporan keuangan perusahaan yang terdaftar di BEI tahun2017-2018. Sampel yang digunakan sejumlah 44 perusahaan dengan metode purposive sampling. Tahap analisis data penelitian adalah analisis linear berganda. Hasil penelitian secara simultan menunjukkan bahwa LDR, ROA dan BOPO berpengaruh terhadap harga saham. Secara parsial LDR tidak berpengaruh terhadap harga saham memiliki signifikansi 0,152 > 0,05. ROA memiliki signifikansi 0,000 < 0,05 berpengaruh terhadap harga saham. BOPO memiliki signifikansi 0,011 < 0,05 berpengaruh terhadap harga saham. Hal tersebut berarti bahwa setiap kenaikan ROA dan BOPO akan menaikan harga saham, sedangkan LDR mempunyai pengaruh negatif terhadap harga saham, artinya setiap kenaikan LDR akan menurunkan harga saham.
本研究旨在测试和分析针对北北区银行企业股价的LDR (Loan to存款ration)、ROA(资产回报率)、BOPO(业务收入负担)的影响。所使用的数据是2018年北上市公司财务报表的次要数据。这是44家公司采用采样方法使用的样本。研究数据分析的阶段是线性的多元分析。同时的研究结果表明,LDR、ROA和BOPO对股票价格产生了影响。部分LDR对股票价格没有影响,其重要性为0.152 > 0.05。ROA的重要性高达10000万< 0.05影响股票价格。BOPO的重要性为0.011 < 0.05影响股票价格。这意味着ROA和BOPO的任何增加都会提高股票价格,而LDR对股票价格有负面影响,这意味着每次上涨都会降低股票价格。
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引用次数: 2
Determinants of financial performance of listed firms manufacturing food products in Vietnam: regression analysis and Blinder–Oaxaca decomposition analysis 越南食品生产上市公司财务绩效的决定因素:回归分析和Blinder-Oaxaca分解分析
Pub Date : 2021-02-16 DOI: 10.1108/JED-09-2020-0130
Nhung Nguyen Thi Kim, Huyen Le Thanh
PurposeThis article studies the impact of micro and macro factors on firm performance in the context of an emerging economy just changed from a subsidized economy to a market economy.Design/methodology/approachThe authors carried out an investigation into 30 listed food processing companies in Vietnam from 2014 to 2019. The data are analyzed by using STATA software. In this study, beside the regression analytical technique, the Blinder–Oaxaca decomposition analysis is used to study more deeply the effect of variables on financial performance of food processing companies, so its results are reliable base to give suggestions.FindingsThe results of empirical research help us to have some following conclusion. First, two variables consisting of total assets turnover ratio (ATR) and growth in sales significantly influence financial performance, when it is measured by return on equity (ROE) or return on sales (ROS). Second, leverage significantly negatively impacts return on sale. Third, there are difference in financial performance and the effect of predictors on dependent variable “ROS” between state-owned enterprises (SOEs) and non SOEs, and the causes come from the component effect.Originality/valueIn fact, although a range of previous researches on that topic have been carried out, none of them dig deeper reasons resulting to the differences in financial performance between SOEs and non SOEs, whereas Vietnamese economy has just changed to a market economy since 1986, making impacts of State ownership totally different from other countries. In this study, the authors use the t-test and analysis to have more accurate conclusions about that problem.
本文研究在新兴经济体从补贴经济向市场经济转型的背景下,微观和宏观因素对企业绩效的影响。设计/方法/方法作者从2014年到2019年对越南30家上市食品加工公司进行了调查。利用STATA软件对数据进行分析。在本研究中,除了采用回归分析技术外,还采用Blinder-Oaxaca分解分析,更深入地研究了变量对食品加工企业财务绩效的影响,其结果为提出建议提供了可靠的依据。实证研究的结果有助于我们得出以下结论。首先,总资产周转率(ATR)和销售增长率这两个变量在以净资产收益率(ROE)或销售收益率(ROS)衡量时显著影响财务绩效。其次,杠杆对销售回报率有显著的负向影响。第三,国有企业和非国有企业在财务绩效和预测因子对因变量“ROS”的影响上存在差异,其原因来自于成分效应。事实上,尽管之前对这一主题进行了一系列研究,但都没有深入挖掘国有企业与非国有企业财务绩效差异的原因,而越南经济自1986年以来刚刚转变为市场经济,因此国有制的影响与其他国家完全不同。在这项研究中,作者使用t检验和分析来对这个问题得出更准确的结论。
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引用次数: 26
The effect of government expenditure and free maternal health care policy (FMHC) on household consumption in Ghana 政府支出和免费孕产妇保健政策对加纳家庭消费的影响
Pub Date : 2021-02-15 DOI: 10.1108/JED-07-2020-0088
Prince Fosu, Martinson Ankrah Twumasi
In Covid-19 pandemic era when most households’ members have lost their jobs and incomes, the government assistance and programs in ensuring consumption smoothing is imperative. The main objectives of this study are to analyze the impact of government expenditure and free maternal healthcare policy on household consumption expenditure in Ghana using the ARDL estimation technique and historical data from 1967 to 2018. The results revealed that government expenditure and free maternal healthcare policy had a negative and statistically significant effect of on household consumption expenditure in Ghana in both long run and short run. The result suggests that government expenditure and free maternal healthcare policy crowed-out private consumption in Ghana. In addition, the marginal propensity to consume in the long run is 0.690 while the marginal propensity to consume in the short run is 0.214 suggesting that real income have much higher effect on household consumption in the long run than in the short run. The study suggests the need to increase public spending on basic social amenities and also extend the free maternal healthcare policy to all pregnant women especially those in the rural areas of Ghana as these have a greater impact on household consumption in Ghana. The findings from the study have important implications for household savings and interest rate in Ghana.
在大多数家庭成员失去工作和收入的新冠疫情大流行时期,确保消费平滑的政府援助和计划势在必行。本研究的主要目的是利用ARDL估计技术和1967年至2018年的历史数据,分析加纳政府支出和免费孕产妇保健政策对家庭消费支出的影响。结果表明,政府支出和免费孕产妇保健政策对加纳家庭消费支出的长期和短期都有负的、统计上显著的影响。结果表明,政府支出和免费孕产妇保健政策挤占了加纳的私人消费。此外,长期边际消费倾向为0.690,而短期边际消费倾向为0.214,表明实际收入对家庭消费的长期影响远大于短期影响。研究表明,有必要增加基本社会福利设施的公共支出,并将免费孕产妇保健政策扩大到所有孕妇,特别是加纳农村地区的孕妇,因为这些孕妇对加纳的家庭消费有更大的影响。研究结果对加纳的家庭储蓄和利率具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 5
Using PLS-SEM to analyze challenges hindering success of green building projects in Vietnam 利用PLS-SEM分析阻碍越南绿色建筑项目成功的挑战
Pub Date : 2021-01-14 DOI: 10.1108/JED-04-2020-0033
Quangdung Tran
PurposeThe green building (GB) market in Vietnam is growing quite slowly. Project stakeholders are facing very much undefined difficulty to gain success of GB projects. This study focused on investigation of the critical challenges the general contractors are facing in executing GB projects in Vietnam.Design/methodology/approachThe study conducted a literature review and three in-depth interviews to define 31 potential challenges hindering success of GB projects. Data was collected from 163 respondents through the questionnaire survey and was analyzed by the mean ranking technique, EFA and PLS-SEM.FindingsThe result found general contractors in Vietnam are facing the four components of challenges, namely “Planning activities-related challenges”, “Organizational activities-related challenges”, “Onsite management and control activities-related challenges” and “Green supply chain-related challenges”; and all of them have statistically significant effects on success of GB projects in Vietnam. Furthermore, the most dominant component was related to the non-readiness of external GB supply chain.Research limitations/implicationsThis present study has several notable limitations that may be addressed by future research. First, the data was collected from the quite small sample; and sampling is not randomly conducted. The findings may be tested by a larger dataset from a nationwide population. Also, the generalization of the findings may be limited because the data was only collected under the viewpoint of general contractors within the specific context of Vietnam; future studies should extend to developers and/or project managers, etc.Practical implicationsThe findings suggest for practical measures to enhance success of GB projects in Vietnam, including (1) completing the system of legal regulations and technical codes, standards, guidelines on GB, (2) providing incentive policies to promote the R&D activities on GB and (3) providing educational programs to improve the awareness and capacity on GB in domestic construction organizations, especially medium and small subcontractors.Originality/valueIn order to fill the gap of the existing literature, this study seeks to gain a better understanding on critical challenges hindering success of green building projects under the view point of general contractors with reference to the context of Vietnam – a developing economy. This study first identified potential challenges, then evaluated the impact of the key components of challenges on success of GB projects.
越南的绿色建筑市场增长相当缓慢。项目利益相关者在获得GB项目成功方面面临着非常不明确的困难。本研究的重点是调查总承包商在越南执行GB项目时面临的关键挑战。设计/方法/方法本研究进行了文献综述和三次深度访谈,以确定阻碍GB项目成功的31个潜在挑战。通过问卷调查收集了163名被调查者的数据,并采用平均排名技术、EFA和PLS-SEM进行分析。结果发现,越南总承包商面临的挑战主要有四个组成部分,即“计划活动相关挑战”、“组织活动相关挑战”、“现场管理和控制活动相关挑战”和“绿色供应链相关挑战”;所有这些对越南GB项目的成功都有统计上显著的影响。此外,最主要的因素与外部GB供应链的不准备程度有关。研究局限性/启示本研究有几个值得注意的局限性,可能会在未来的研究中加以解决。首先,数据是从相当小的样本中收集的;抽样并不是随机进行的。这些发现可能会得到来自全国人口的更大数据集的检验。此外,调查结果的概括可能是有限的,因为数据只是在越南的具体情况下根据总承包商的观点收集的;实践启示研究结果为越南提高GB项目的成功提供了切实可行的措施,包括:(1)完善GB的法律法规和技术规范、标准、指南体系;(2)提供激励政策以促进GB的研发活动;(3)提供教育计划以提高国内建筑组织对GB的认识和能力。特别是中小型分包商。原创性/价值为了填补现有文献的空白,本研究旨在更好地理解在总承包商的观点下,参考越南-一个发展中经济体的背景下,阻碍绿色建筑项目成功的关键挑战。本研究首先确定了潜在的挑战,然后评估了挑战的关键组成部分对GB项目成功的影响。
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引用次数: 12
Growth effect of foreign direct investment and financial development: new insights from a threshold approach 外国直接投资与金融发展的增长效应:一个阈值方法的新见解
Pub Date : 2020-12-21 DOI: 10.1108/jed-08-2020-0108
Thu-Ha Thi An, K. Yeh
PurposeThe purpose of this study is to examine the effect of foreign direct investment (FDI) on economic growth contingent on the development level of the local financial system in emerging and developing Asia during the period 1996–2017.Design/methodology/approachThe study adopts the threshold approach, namely the panel smooth transition regression (PSTR) model, for the annual data collection of 18 emerging and developing Asian countries in 22 years. The authors analyze the alternative PSTR models on different proxies of financial development (FD).FindingsThe results show new findings of two distinct thresholds of FD in the FDI–growth nexus. The growth-enhancing effect of FDI is realized only when the FD lies between the two threshold values. Notably, at very high levels of FD, the beneficial effect of FDI on growth is vanishing.Originality/valueThe authors provide new insights into the growth effect of FDI and the role of FD. The estimated nonlinear effect of FDI on growth and the thresholds of FD can be benchmarks for emerging and developing Asia in assessment of their situations. The results suggest important implications to the region in setting the long-run policies to boost the effect of FDI on economic growth.
本研究的目的是考察1996-2017年期间外国直接投资(FDI)对亚洲新兴和发展中国家经济增长的影响,这取决于当地金融体系的发展水平。设计/方法/方法本研究采用阈值法,即面板平滑过渡回归(PSTR)模型,对亚洲18个新兴和发展中国家22年的年度数据收集。本文对不同金融发展指标的PSTR模型进行了分析。研究结果表明,在fdi -增长关系中,FD的两个不同阈值有了新的发现。FDI的促增长效应只有在FD位于两个阈值之间时才能实现。值得注意的是,在非常高的对外直接投资水平下,外国直接投资对增长的有利影响正在消失。作者对FDI的增长效应和FDI的作用提供了新的见解。估计的外国直接投资对增长的非线性影响和外国直接投资的阈值可以作为新兴亚洲和发展中亚洲评估其情况的基准。研究结果对该地区制定长期政策以提高FDI对经济增长的影响具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 23
Credit composition and income inequality in Vietnam: an empirical analysis 越南信贷构成与收入不平等:实证分析
Pub Date : 2020-12-17 DOI: 10.1108/jed-08-2020-0110
L. Hoi, Huong Thi Lan Tran
PurposeThis paper aims to examine the credit composition and income inequality reduction in Vietnam. In particular, the authors focus on the distinction between policy and commercial credits and investigate whether these two types of credit had adverse effects on income inequality. The authors also examine whether the impact of policy credit on income inequality is conditioned by the educational level and institutional quality.Design/methodology/approachThe authors use the primary data set, which contains a panel of 60 provinces collected from the General Statistics Office of Vietnam from 2002 to 2016. The authors employ the generalized method of moments to solve the endogenous problem.FindingsThe authors show that while commercial credit increases income inequality, policy credit contributes to reducing income inequality in Vietnam. In addition, we provide evidence that the institutional quality and educational level condition the impact of policy credit on income inequality. Based on the findings, the paper implies that it was not the size of the private credit but its composition that mattered in reducing income inequality, due to the asymmetric effects of different types of credit.Originality/valueThis is the first study that examines the links between the two components of credit and income inequality as well as constraints of the links. The authors argue that analyzing the separate effects of commercial and policy credits is more important for explaining the role of credit in income inequality than the size of total credit.
目的研究越南的信贷构成和收入不平等的减少。作者特别关注了政策信贷和商业信贷之间的区别,并调查了这两种信贷是否对收入不平等产生了不利影响。作者还研究了政策信贷对收入不平等的影响是否受教育水平和制度质量的制约。设计/方法/方法作者使用的原始数据集包含从2002年至2016年从越南总统计局收集的60个省份的面板数据。作者采用广义矩量法来解决内生问题。研究结果表明,虽然商业信贷增加了收入不平等,但政策信贷有助于减少越南的收入不平等。此外,我们还提供证据表明,制度质量和教育水平决定了政策信贷对收入不平等的影响。基于这些发现,本文暗示,由于不同类型信贷的不对称效应,在减少收入不平等方面起重要作用的不是私人信贷的规模,而是其构成。独创性/价值这是第一个研究信贷和收入不平等的两个组成部分之间的联系以及这种联系的约束。作者认为,在解释信贷在收入不平等中的作用时,分析商业信贷和政策信贷的单独影响比分析信贷总量更重要。
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引用次数: 6
Gender pay gap in Vietnam: a propensity score matching analysis 越南性别薪酬差距:倾向得分匹配分析
Pub Date : 2020-12-15 DOI: 10.1108/jed-07-2020-0089
Gabriel Obermann, Nguyen Hoang Oanh, Nguyen Thi Hong Ngoc
PurposeThis paper investigates the extent, the determinants and the change in the gender pay gap in Vietnam in the period 2010–2016 in order to provide suggestions for policy adjustment to narrow gender pay inequality more effectively.Design/methodology/approachThis study employs the propensity score matching (PSM) method to examine inequality in pay between female and male earners sharing identical characteristics. The analysis is conducted for both the full sample and various characteristic-based subsamples. This procedure is conducted for 2010 and 2016 separately to discover the change in gap and inequality during this period.FindingsThe matching results based on the data sets taken from the Vietnam Household Living Standards Survey (VHLSS) 2010 and 2016 affirm that gender income inequality in Vietnam, though persisted, decreased significantly in 2016 compared to 2010, and was insignificant in many subsamples in 2016. In addition to the observable determinants including educational level, occupation, economic sector and industry, unobservable factors are proved to also play an important role in creating the gender pay gap in Vietnam.Practical implicationsThe research findings suggest that policies aimed at mitigating gender pay inequality should take into account both observable characteristics and unobservable factors such as unobservable gender differences that affect wages and gender discrimination in pay.Originality/valueThis is the first study using a matching technique to investigate gender wage gap in Vietnam. With up-to-date data, longer research period and the superiority of the method used in dealing with sample selection bias, the results obtained are more robust, more detailed and reliable.
目的研究2010-2016年越南性别薪酬差距的程度、影响因素和变化,为政策调整提供建议,以更有效地缩小性别薪酬不平等。设计/方法/方法本研究采用倾向得分匹配(PSM)方法来检验具有相同特征的男女收入者之间的薪酬不平等。对全样本和各种基于特征的子样本进行了分析。该程序分别对2010年和2016年进行,以发现这一时期差距和不平等的变化。基于2010年和2016年越南家庭生活水平调查(VHLSS)数据集的匹配结果证实,2016年越南的性别收入不平等虽然持续存在,但与2010年相比显著下降,并且在2016年的许多子样本中不显著。除了包括教育水平、职业、经济部门和行业在内的可观察的决定因素外,不可观察的因素也被证明在越南造成性别工资差距方面发挥了重要作用。研究结果表明,旨在缓解性别薪酬不平等的政策应考虑到可观察到的特征和不可观察到的因素,如影响工资的不可观察到的性别差异和薪酬中的性别歧视。原创性/价值这是第一个使用匹配技术调查越南性别工资差距的研究。随着数据的更新,研究周期的延长以及处理样本选择偏差的方法的优越性,所得到的结果更加稳健,更加详细和可靠。
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引用次数: 4
A business-cycle model with monopolistically competitive firms and Calvo wages: lessons for Bulgaria (1999–2018) 具有垄断竞争企业和卡尔沃工资的商业周期模型:保加利亚的经验教训(1999-2018)
Pub Date : 2020-12-08 DOI: 10.1108/jed-09-2020-0131
Aleksandar Vasilev
Purpose The author augments an otherwise standard business-cycle model with a rich government sector and adds monopolistic competition in the product market and rigid prices, as well as rigid wages a la Calvo (1983) in the labor market. Design/methodology/approach This specification with the nominal wage rigidity, when calibrated to Bulgarian data after the introduction of the currency board (1999–2018), allows the framework to reproduce better observed variability and correlations among model variables and those characterizing the labor market in particular. Findings As nominal wage frictions are incorporated, the variables become more persistent, especially output, capital stock, investment and consumption, which help the model match data better, as compared to a setup without rigidities. Originality/value The computational experiments performed in this paper suggest that wage rigidities are a quantitatively important model ingredient, which should be taken into consideration when analyzing the effects of different policies in Bulgaria, which is a novel result.
作者在一个标准的商业周期模型中增加了一个丰富的政府部门,并增加了产品市场的垄断竞争和刚性价格,以及劳动力市场的刚性工资a la Calvo(1983)。该规范具有名义工资刚性,在引入货币局(1999-2018)后根据保加利亚数据进行校准时,允许框架重现更好地观察到的模型变量之间的可变性和相关性,特别是那些表征劳动力市场的变量。随着名义工资摩擦的纳入,变量变得更加持久,特别是产出、资本存量、投资和消费,与没有刚性的设置相比,这有助于模型更好地匹配数据。本文进行的计算实验表明,工资刚性是定量上重要的模型成分,在分析保加利亚不同政策的影响时应考虑到这一点,这是一个新颖的结果。
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引用次数: 12
Impact of the volatility of resource revenue on non-resource revenue volatility 资源收入波动对非资源收入波动的影响
Pub Date : 2020-12-01 DOI: 10.1108/jed-07-2020-0094
S. Gnangnon
PurposeThis paper investigates the effect of the volatility of resource revenue on the volatility of non-resource revenue.Design/methodology/approachThe empirical analysis has utilized an unbalanced panel data set comprising 54 countries over the period 1980–2015. The two-step system generalized methods of moments (GMM) is the main economic approach used to carry out the empirical analysis.FindingsResults show that resource revenue volatility generates lower non-resource revenue volatility only when the share of resource revenue in total public revenue is lower than 18%. Otherwise, higher resource revenue volatility would result in a rise in non-resource revenue volatility.Research limitations/implicationsIn light of the adverse effect of volatility of non-resource revenue on public spending, and hence on economic growth and development prospects, countries whose total public revenue is highly dependent on resource revenue should adopt appropriate policies to ensure the rise in non-resource revenue, as well as the stability of the latter.Practical implicationsEconomic diversification in resource-rich countries (particularly in developing countries among them) could contribute to reducing the dependence of economies on natural resources, and hence the dependence of public revenue on resource revenue. Therefore, policies in favour of economic diversification would contribute to stabilizing non-resource revenue, which is essential for financing development needs.Originality/valueTo the best of our knowledge, this topic has not been addressed in the literature.
目的研究资源收入波动性对非资源收入波动性的影响。设计/方法/方法实证分析使用了一个不平衡的面板数据集,包括1980-2015年期间的54个国家。两步系统广义矩量法(GMM)是进行实证分析的主要经济方法。研究结果表明,只有当资源收入占公共总收入的比重低于18%时,资源收入波动率才会产生较低的非资源收入波动率。否则,较高的资源收入波动性将导致非资源收入波动性的上升。鉴于非资源收入的波动对公共支出的不利影响,从而对经济增长和发展前景的不利影响,公共收入总额高度依赖资源收入的国家应采取适当的政策,确保非资源收入的增加以及后者的稳定。实际意义资源丰富的国家(特别是其中的发展中国家)的经济多样化有助于减少经济对自然资源的依赖,从而减少公共收入对资源收入的依赖。因此,有利于经济多样化的政策将有助于稳定非资源收入,这对发展需要的筹资是必不可少的。原创性/价值据我们所知,这个话题还没有在文献中提到。
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引用次数: 3
What drives target status decision in emerging markets acquisitions? 在新兴市场收购中,是什么推动了目标地位的决定?
Pub Date : 2020-11-23 DOI: 10.1108/jed-05-2020-0059
Viet Anh Duong Hoang, Man Dang, N. Nguyen, N. Nguyen
The purpose of this paper is to investigate the effects of cross-country characteristics on acquirers' target status choice in cross-border mergers and acquisitions across 41 emerging markets.,The paper first reviews the existing literature and develops the related hypotheses, in conjunction with the objectives of this paper. We then describe the data employed, variable measurement and examine the effects of cross-country characteristics on the acquirers' target status choice in cross-border mergers and acquisitions while controlling for firm-level and deal-specific characteristics. The paper continues to conduct the robustness check on cross-country determinants of target status choices using the difference independent variables rather than target country-level variables only.,This research found that the likelihood of a public firm acquired relative to private one is higher if the target firm is located in countries with stronger government quality, weaker economic freedom, better financial market development and lower cultural distance between the host and home countries. The results suggest that bidders actively assess cross-country characteristics as part of their acquisition planning.,Rather than commonly analysed determinants in the previous research such as firm- and deal-specific attributes, value creation and shareholder protection, this paper indicates that institutional environments and economic conditions are closely associated with acquisition risks and benefits and have direct influences on bidder firms' acquisition bidding planning and target choice decision-making.
本文旨在研究跨国特征对41个新兴市场跨国并购中收购方目标地位选择的影响。本文首先回顾了已有的文献,并结合本文的目的提出了相关的假设。然后,我们描述了所使用的数据,变量测量,并在控制公司层面和交易特定特征的情况下,检验了跨国特征对跨国并购中收购方目标地位选择的影响。本文继续对目标地位选择的跨国决定因素进行鲁棒性检查,使用差异自变量,而不仅仅是目标国家层面的变量。本研究发现,如果目标公司位于政府质量较强、经济自由度较弱、金融市场发展较好、东道国与母国文化距离较低的国家,那么上市公司被收购的可能性相对于私营公司更高。结果表明,竞标者积极评估跨国特征,作为其收购计划的一部分。不同于以往研究中通常分析的企业和交易特定属性、价值创造和股东保护等决定因素,本文指出制度环境和经济条件与收购风险和收益密切相关,并直接影响投标人企业的收购投标计划和目标选择决策。
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引用次数: 2
期刊
Journal of Economics and Development
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