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Is Korea Moving Toward the Welfare State?: An IECI Approach 韩国正在走向福利国家吗?: IECI方法
Pub Date : 2008-02-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1095545
Ilho Yoo
In this paper, it is attempted to see whether the recent increase in the actual social expenditure can be the one caused by the change in the policy stance of Korean government. IECI is calculated to check this. The initial finding is that the IECI of the welfare expenditure shows the clear increasing trend. Moreover, IECI's after 2000 are greater than 100 meaning that the welfare expenditure in Korea now is far greater than the level expected under the international (OECD) standard, currently. It is a remarkable change considering the fact that IECI's before 1997 were less than 90. Thus, it shows that there is a fundamental change in the government policy toward the welfare. In this paper, it is argued that this is a sign of the policy change toward the European welfare state, although Korea is not the one yet. This also poses a serious problem in the future because the increase in the welfare expenditure is inevitable.
本文试图探究近期实际社会支出的增加是否由韩国政府政策立场的转变所引起。IECI是用来检查这一点的。初步发现,福利支出的IECI呈明显的上升趋势。而且,2000年以后的IECI都超过了100,这意味着韩国的福利支出远远超过了目前按照国际(OECD)标准所期望的水平。考虑到1997年以前的IECI不到90,这是一个显著的变化。因此,这表明政府的福利政策发生了根本性的变化。虽然韩国还不是福利国家,但这是向欧洲福利国家转变的征兆。福利支出的增加是不可避免的,这在未来也会造成严重的问题。
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引用次数: 0
Territoriality Principle under Preferential Rules of Origin 优惠原产地规则下的属地原则
Pub Date : 2007-10-01 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.1020880
Jong Bum Kim
In this paper, we examine the territoriality principle under preferential rules of origin. The territoriality principle under preferential rules of origin provides that when a material is imported from outside the territory of a party, the material would be entirely treated as non-originating regardless of the content in the material originating from the territory of a party. The territoriality assumption constrains the manufacturing process and distorts the international flow of trade and investment. In this paper, we review various outward processing provisions that are adopted as exemptions from the territoriality principle and examine their WTO consistency. We propose that outward processing provisions that conform to substantial transformation rule should be recognized as a suitable remedy for distortion arising from the territoriality assumption.
本文研究了优惠原产地规则下的属地性原则。优惠原产地规则下的属地性原则规定,当一种材料从一缔约方领土以外进口时,该材料将完全被视为非原产材料,而不管源自一缔约方领土的材料中含有什么内容。地域性假设限制了制造过程,扭曲了贸易和投资的国际流动。在本文中,我们回顾了作为地域性原则豁免的各种外发加工规定,并考察了它们与WTO的一致性。我们建议,应承认符合实质转化规则的外发加工规定是对地域假设引起的扭曲的适当补救措施。
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引用次数: 0
The Marginal Effective Tax Rates in Korea for 45 Years: 1960-2004 韩国45年边际有效税率:1960-2004
Pub Date : 2007-08-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1006943
Ilho Yoo
This paper attempts to measure marginal effective tax rates in Korea for the past 45 years since 1960 in order to evaluate Korea's tax incentive policies. It is shown that marginal effective tax rates are manifest both negatively and positively, although mostly negative. This is a change compared to previous studies, due to high statutory tax rates and the low rate of debt financing after the economic crisis of 1997-8. While debt financing has been heavily subsidized, equity and retained earnings have not. Small and medium sized firms have been treated more favorably compared to their larger counterparts. In making an international comparison, it can be observed that Korea is shown to be among countries with low effective tax rates.
本文试图对韩国自1960年以来45年间的边际有效税率进行测度,以评价韩国的税收优惠政策。结果表明,边际有效税率既有负向的,也有正向的,但多数为负向的。由于1997-8年经济危机后的高法定税率和低债务融资率,与以往的研究相比,这是一个变化。虽然债务融资得到了大量补贴,但股票和留存收益却没有得到补贴。与大型企业相比,中小企业受到了更优惠的待遇。在国际比较中,可以看出韩国是实际税率较低的国家之一。
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引用次数: 2
A Tale of Two Government Reforms in Korea 韩国两次政府改革的故事
Pub Date : 2006-12-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.950896
J. Park
This paper evaluates and compares the government reforms of current Roh government and the previous administration based on 7 success factors of a government reform. The Roh administration is doing a better job than the Kim administration in such areas as preparation for a reform, periodical examinations and evaluation, and change management. However, the Roh administration shows relative weaknesses in creating an effective reform-leading organization, providing a balanced reform direction, and in overcoming resistance. This paper also suggests five important features of a successful reform-leading organization: full-time and permanent organization, organization directly under the President, focus on reform, flexibility in organizational management, and a combination of career civil servants and specialists from the non-government sector.
本文以政府改革的7大成功要素为基础,对现政府和前任政府的政府改革进行了评价和比较。卢武铉政府在改革准备、定期考核评价、变化管理等方面比金大中政府做得更好。但是,卢武铉政府在建立有效的改革领导机构、提供均衡的改革方向、克服阻力等方面存在相对薄弱的地方。本文还提出了一个成功的改革领导型组织的五个重要特征:全职和永久性组织、总统直属组织、注重改革、组织管理的灵活性以及职业公务员和非政府部门专家的结合。
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引用次数: 0
Military Service: Draft or Recruit 兵役:征兵
Pub Date : 2006-12-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.959988
Ji Hong Kim
Korean society had adopted the draft system for several decades, and more careful analysis of military personnel procurement system is needed. The pros and cons of draft and recruit system is compared, and the third chapter explains an economic model. A model to analyze various issues are presented and discusses the implication is discussed.
韩国社会已经实行了几十年的征兵制度,因此有必要对军队人事采购制度进行更细致的分析。第三章对征兵制度的利弊进行了比较,并给出了一个经济模型。提出了一个分析各种问题的模型,并讨论了其含义。
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引用次数: 0
On the Stock Return Method to Determining Industry Substructure: Airline, Banking, and Oil Industries 确定行业子结构的股票收益法:航空、银行和石油行业
Pub Date : 2006-12-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.960658
Seong-Ho Cho
Partly because firm structures vary within an industry and partly because the industry, strategic group, and firm levels are significantly associated with firm performance, it is important to subcategorize the firms in an industry in an objective way. As an effective method in classifying industry substructure, the stock return method has been proposed in the field using the spot movements of stock returns upon inside and outside perturbations. In the paper, we apply the method to a sample in the airline, banking and oil industries over the period from 1988 to 1992 in order to examine whether the groups found are reasonable from a common sense point of view and whether their structures are robust across different sample windows. We find that the groups identified show a clear face validity and that the group structures are consistently maintained across 1 , 2 , 3 , and 5 year windows. The results may imply that the method could detect both industry and strategic group effects at the same time. Given that objectivity and replicability are crucial in empirical studies, the stock return method is likely to introduce a way to enhance the level of empirical work in the strategic group research.
部分原因是企业结构在一个行业内有所不同,部分原因是行业、战略集团和企业水平与企业绩效显著相关,因此以客观的方式对行业中的企业进行细分是很重要的。股票收益法作为一种对行业子结构进行分类的有效方法,在业内已经提出了利用股票收益在内外扰动下的动态变化来进行分类的方法。在本文中,我们将该方法应用于1988年至1992年期间航空公司,银行和石油行业的样本,以检查从常识的角度来看,所发现的群体是否合理,以及它们的结构是否在不同的样本窗口中具有鲁棒性。我们发现所识别的群体显示出清晰的面孔效度,并且群体结构在1、2、3和5年的窗口中始终保持不变。结果表明,该方法可以同时检测产业效应和战略群体效应。鉴于实证研究的客观性和可复制性至关重要,股票收益法可能为战略集团研究引入一种提高实证工作水平的方法。
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引用次数: 0
Collective Experience and Civil Society in Governance 集体经验与治理中的公民社会
Pub Date : 2006-12-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.954645
Younguck Kang
Korea is widely recognized as a paragon of miraculous economic development as well as rapid advancement of democracy, and yet most researchers in Korea point to the lack of political leadership and immaturity of civil society as dominant factors inhibiting advancement of democracy. Considering the lack of experiences in self-governance by grassroots Korean people, where such experience is only recently (since 1988 at most) beginning to accumulate, such a claim may mislead the true nature of the obstacles in advancement of democracy as the Korean society as a whole face today: it may imply that the institutional context of Korean society has little effect on deterrence of democracy. It is the claim of this author that the maturing of civil society depends on cumulative experiences of self-governance and subsequent learning effect from such 'collective experience,' which in turn must shape the institutional context of a society and the role expectation of actors and institutions. This paper aims at identifying the relationship between civil society and 'collective experience' in the context of Korean society, especially in terms of the inherent limitations imposed by transplanted governance structure, independent of such 'collective experiences' and lack of consensus on role expectations, on the advancement of democracy.
虽然韩国被公认为是经济奇迹般发展和民主主义快速发展的典范,但国内大多数研究人员指出,阻碍民主主义发展的主要因素是政治领导能力的缺乏和市民社会的不成熟。考虑到韩国基层人民缺乏自我管理的经验,而这种经验只是最近(最多从1988年开始)才开始积累,这种说法可能会误导韩国社会作为一个整体今天所面临的民主进步障碍的真实性质:它可能意味着韩国社会的制度背景对民主的威慑作用很小。作者认为,公民社会的成熟依赖于自我治理的累积经验和随后从这种“集体经验”中获得的学习效果,而这些经验反过来又必须塑造一个社会的制度背景以及行动者和机构的角色期望。本文旨在确定韩国社会背景下公民社会与“集体经验”之间的关系,特别是在独立于这种“集体经验”和对角色期望缺乏共识的移植治理结构所施加的固有限制方面,以及在民主进步方面。
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引用次数: 0
Korea-Us FTA 美国双边自由贸易协定
Pub Date : 2006-12-01 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.959990
Ji Hong Kim
If an agreement is reached, Kor-US FTA would be the US's largest FTA since the completion of NAFTA in 1992, and will have long term effects not only for economic, political but also geostrategic factors in Korea and East Asia. The FTA presents a unique opportunity for both countries to commit to a new and more meaningful level of cooperation that will be of profound mutual benefit and enhance the bilateral relationship in the long term. FTA negotiations are expected to be complicated by the expiration of trade promotion authority(TPA) in June 2007. Most issues except few impasses can be negotiated at the working level. Unless leaders in both Washington and Seoul properly manage these challenges, the two ot necessarily affected. Countries will be risking not only a trade agreement, but also the future of the alliance due to the short-term bilateral tensions and domestic political battle that can be expected to arise during negotiations. If there exist impasses, the exclusion of impasses in FTA is recommended than the collapse of the negotiation.
如果达成协议,韩美FTA将成为自1992年北美自由贸易协定(NAFTA)签署以来美国签署的最大的FTA,不仅对韩国乃至东亚的经济、政治、地缘战略因素都将产生长期影响。自贸协定为两国提供了一个独特的机会,致力于一个新的、更有意义的合作水平,这将深刻地造福双方,并从长远来看加强双边关系。由于贸易促进权(TPA)将于2007年6月到期,预计FTA谈判将变得更加复杂。除了少数僵局外,大多数问题都可以在工作层面进行谈判。除非华盛顿和首尔的领导人妥善处理这些挑战,否则这两个国家未必会受到影响。在谈判过程中,短期内可能出现的韩美关系紧张和国内政治斗争,不仅是韩美fta,连韩美同盟的未来也将受到威胁。如果出现僵局,与其谈判破裂,不如排除僵局。
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引用次数: 3
Fiscal Balance Forecast of Cambodia 2007-2011 2007-2011年柬埔寨财政平衡预测
Pub Date : 2006-12-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.953568
Ilho Yoo
In this paper, we attempt to forecast the fiscal balance of Cambodia in years 2007-2011, based on the revenue and expenditure data since the political stabilization which started in 1993. Major tool for the analysis is OLS, and the huge deficit is forecasted. To cover the deficit, Cambodian government should issue government bond, which is not an easy task considering the development stage of her bond markets. A few policy recommendations on its development will be given.
在本文中,我们试图预测柬埔寨2007-2011年的财政平衡,基于1993年政治稳定以来的收入和支出数据。分析的主要工具是OLS,并预测了巨额赤字。为了弥补赤字,柬埔寨政府应该发行政府债券,考虑到柬埔寨债券市场的发展阶段,这不是一件容易的事情。本文将就其发展提出一些政策建议。
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引用次数: 0
Payg Pension in a Small Open Economy 在小型开放经济中支付养老金
Pub Date : 2006-12-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.953589
Ilho Yoo
In a recent paper (2006), Pestieu et.al. showed that the optimal payroll tax rate for the PAYG pension in an open large economy should increase as number of countries increases. This rather counterintuitive result -increasing the factor mobility makes redistribution easier-depends on a crucial assumption of the only one tax ; payroll tax. In this paper, analysis of the optimal PAYG pension in the small open economy setting is attempted. Under this new situation, it is shown here that the standard result of trade-off between equity and increase in the capital mobility could be restored. In deriving such result the assumption of variable labor supply plays an important part.
在最近的一篇论文(2006年)中,表明,在一个开放的大型经济体中,现收现付养老金的最优工资税率应该随着国家数量的增加而增加。这个相当违反直觉的结果——增加要素流动性使再分配更容易——取决于唯一一种税的关键假设;工资税。本文尝试分析小型开放经济环境下现收现付养老金的最优选择。在这种新情况下,可以恢复股权与资本流动性增加之间权衡的标准结果。在得出这一结论的过程中,可变劳动力供给假设起着重要的作用。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
KDI School of Public Policy & Management Research Paper Series
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