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Can behavioral interventions optimize self-consumption? Evidence from a field experiment with prosumers in Germany 行为干预能否优化自我消费?来自德国消费者实地实验的证据
Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-05-01 Epub Date: 2024-03-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.segy.2024.100140
Sabine Pelka , Anne Kesselring , Sabine Preuß , Emile Chappin , Laurens de Vries

Aligning prosumers' electricity consumption to the availability of self-generated electricity decreases CO2 emissions and costs. Nudges are proposed as one behavioral intervention to orchestrate such changes. At the same time, fragmented findings in the literature make it challenging to identify suitable behavioral interventions for specific households and contexts - specifically for optimizing self-consumption. We test three sequentially applied interventions (feedback, benchmark, and default) delivered by digital tools in a field experiment with 111 German households with rooftop-photovoltaics. The experiment design with a control-group, baseline measurements, and high-frequency smart-meter-data allows us to examine the causal effects of each intervention for increasing self-consumption. While feedback and benchmark deliver small self-consumption increases (3–4 percent), the smart changing default leads to a 16 percent increase for active participants. In general, households with controllable electric vehicles show stronger effects than those without. For upscaling behavioral interventions for other prosumers, we recommend interventions that require little interaction and energy literacy because even the self-selected, motivated sample rarely interacted with the digital tools.

使消费者的用电量与自发自用的电力供应相匹配,可以减少二氧化碳排放并降低成本。有人提出 "暗示"(Nudges)作为一种行为干预措施来协调这种变化。与此同时,文献中零散的研究结果使得为特定家庭和环境确定合适的行为干预措施--特别是优化自我消费的行为干预措施--具有挑战性。我们在一项针对 111 户德国屋顶光伏家庭的实地实验中,测试了数字工具提供的三种依次应用的干预措施(反馈、基准和默认)。实验设计包括对照组、基线测量和高频智能电表数据,使我们能够检验每种干预措施对增加自我消费的因果效应。虽然反馈和基准会带来较小的自我消费增长(3%-4%),但智能改变默认值会使积极参与者的自我消费增长 16%。一般来说,拥有可控电动汽车的家庭比没有可控电动汽车的家庭显示出更强的效果。为了扩大对其他消费者的行为干预,我们建议采取只需少量互动和能源知识的干预措施,因为即使是自主选择的积极样本也很少与数字工具互动。
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引用次数: 0
Machine learning-based energy monitoring method applied to the HVAC systems electricity demand of an Italian healthcare facility 将基于机器学习的能源监测方法应用于意大利一家医疗机构的暖通空调系统用电需求
Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-05-01 Epub Date: 2024-03-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.segy.2024.100137
Marco Zini, Carlo Carcasci

The buildings energy consumption is a great part of Europe's overall energy demand. The development of diagnostic methods capable of promptly alerting users in case of issues (e.g. mild and progressive decrease in systems components performance) is crucial for the smart management of buildings. Machine learning-based building energy monitoring is a reliable approach for identifying subtle anomalies in the building energy demand behaviour. This study presents the application of a systematic procedure to develop a reliable monitoring method based on machine learning predictive models, ensuring minimal user knowledge requirements. The proposed method applied to the electricity demand of various components of the heating, ventilation and air conditioning system of a real Italian healthcare facility. The obtained models are exploited to apply the building energy monitoring method, assessing its capability to highlight mild changes in building energy demand behaviour. Considering that its application on specific system components implies an increased technical and economic effort to carry out data collection, the present work is aimed at assessing the benefits of such applications. Because of its high reproducibility and relatively simple integration into centralized building energy management systems, the proposed method offers a practical solution to enhance the smart management of building energy systems.

建筑能耗是欧洲整体能源需求的重要组成部分。开发能够在出现问题时(如系统组件性能轻度和逐步下降)及时向用户发出警报的诊断方法,对于楼宇的智能管理至关重要。基于机器学习的楼宇能源监测是识别楼宇能源需求行为中细微异常的可靠方法。本研究介绍了在机器学习预测模型的基础上开发可靠监测方法的系统性程序的应用情况,同时确保对用户知识的要求降至最低。所提出的方法适用于意大利一家实际医疗机构的供暖、通风和空调系统各组件的电力需求。利用获得的模型来应用建筑能源监测方法,评估其突出建筑能源需求行为轻微变化的能力。考虑到在特定系统组件上应用该方法意味着需要增加数据收集的技术和经济投入,目前的工作旨在评估此类应用的益处。由于其可重复性高,且相对简单地集成到集中式建筑能源管理系统中,所提出的方法为加强建筑能源系统的智能管理提供了一个实用的解决方案。
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引用次数: 0
Applicable models for upscaling of smart local energy systems: An overview 提升智能地方能源系统的适用模式:概述
Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-02-01 Epub Date: 2024-02-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.segy.2024.100133
Chukwumaobi K. Oluah , Sandy Kerr , M. Mercedes Maroto-Valer

As the transition towards a net-zero gains momentum, smart local energy systems (SLES) will play a key role in delivering clean and sustainable energy in various forms of usage such as heat, electricity, and transportation, to communities where these projects are implemented. Successful SLES have previously shown a combination of cutting-edge engineering technology, as well as social and economic factors coming into play to achieve a set goal. The interdependencies between these contributing factors illustrates the multi-attribute nature of SLES. This article highlights how insightful models can be in upscaling SLESs. The models considered were categorized according to their modes of application, and instances where they have been used for modelling a multi-energy system upscale. Multi-criteria analysis was used to rank these models according to their ability to represent SLES. Four major aspects of upscaling (growth, replication, accumulation, and transformation) were used to weight the criteria using the entropy method and CRITIC method, respectively. The TOPSIS method was used to rank the models and the result indicated that among 21 models considered, the hybrid combination of an optimization model, a weighting model, and a multi-criteria decision model was the closest to the ideal solution.

随着向 "净零排放 "过渡的势头日益强劲,智能本地能源系统(SLES)将在为实施这些项目的社区提供各种使用形式的清洁和可持续能源(如热能、电力和运输)方面发挥关键作用。成功的智能地方能源系统曾展示了尖端工程技术与社会和经济因素的结合,以实现既定目标。这些促成因素之间的相互依存关系说明了 SLES 的多属性性质。本文强调了模型在提升 SLES 方面的洞察力。所考虑的模型根据其应用模式和用于多能源系统升级建模的实例进行了分类。采用多重标准分析法,根据这些模型代表 SLES 的能力对其进行排序。使用熵值法和 CRITIC 法分别对升级的四个主要方面(生长、复制、积累和转化)进行标准加权。结果表明,在考虑的 21 个模型中,优化模型、加权模型和多标准决策模型的混合组合最接近理想解决方案。
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引用次数: 0
Residential demand response and dynamic electricity contracts with hourly prices: A study of Norwegian households during the 2021/22 energy crisis 住宅需求响应和小时电价动态电力合同:2021/22年能源危机期间挪威家庭的研究
Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-02-01 Epub Date: 2023-11-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.segy.2023.100126
Matthias Hofmann , Karen Byskov Lindberg

Price-responsive demand and dynamic electricity price contracts can play a vital role in balancing renewable energy production and alleviating energy shortages such as those experienced in the European energy crisis. This study focuses on the implicit demand flexibility of residential consumers during extraordinarily high electricity prices in winter 2021/22 in Norway where most households have electric heating and spot price contracts. An econometric model is developed that compares the demand with pre-crisis levels, adjusts for factors influencing electricity consumption, such as outdoor temperature, and utilises a comprehensive dataset including hourly electricity demand data. The results reveal a quick response since the price signal was passed immediately to the customers and substantial energy savings of 11.4 % during winter. While the average household showed no significant short-term price response to daily or hourly price variations, several subgroups did. Particularly, households actively monitoring hourly prices via real-time information channels and those with automatic smart charging of electric cars showed higher load reductions in peak price hours and load shifting to low-price hours. Thus, the study concludes that households are able to respond to variable hourly electricity prices and suggests the promotion of spot price contracts to incentivise residential demand response.

价格响应需求和动态电价合同可以在平衡可再生能源生产和缓解能源短缺方面发挥至关重要的作用,例如欧洲能源危机所经历的情况。本研究的重点是2021/22年冬季挪威住宅消费者在异常高电价期间的隐性需求灵活性,大多数家庭都有电供暖和现货价格合同。开发了一个计量经济模型,将需求与危机前的水平进行比较,调整影响电力消耗的因素,如室外温度,并利用包括每小时电力需求数据在内的综合数据集。结果显示,由于价格信号立即传递给客户,因此反应迅速,在冬季节省了11.4%的能源。虽然普通家庭对每日或每小时的价格变化没有明显的短期价格反应,但有几个小组有。特别是,通过实时信息渠道积极监测每小时电价的家庭和电动汽车自动智能充电的家庭,在高峰电价时段的负荷下降幅度更大,负荷转移到低电价时段。因此,研究得出结论,家庭能够对可变的小时电价做出反应,并建议推广现货价格合同来激励居民需求反应。
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引用次数: 0
Trade-off between optimal design and operation in district cooling networks 区域供冷网络优化设计与运行之间的权衡
Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-02-01 Epub Date: 2023-11-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.segy.2023.100127
Manfredi Neri, Elisa Guelpa, Vittorio Verda

Especially in densely populated areas, district cooling represents an opportunity to reduce energy consumption and emissions. Nevertheless, this technology is characterised by large capital costs which impede its diffusion. As a consequence, optimization tools can significantly help to unleash their potential. In this paper, a methodology is proposed to combinedly optimize the design and operation of a district cooling system based on a Mixed Integer Quadratic Programming. The model is compared to the design only optimization, based on a properly tailored heuristic approach. The models, when applied to a case study characterized by seasonal demand, provide similar solutions, which differ by 0.5 % in terms of objective value for a standard scenario. The simultaneous design and operation optimization does not provide sensible savings with respect to optimizing solely the design. A sensitivity analysis is performed to prove the robustness of the results. The results showed that the simultaneous operation and design optimization would be limited to 1 % of total costs in the case of seasonal cooling demand. On the other hand, if the cooling demand persists throughout the year, as in tropical climates, the combined optimization provides significant benefits, since these savings reach 4.7 % of total costs.

特别是在人口密集的地区,区域供冷是减少能源消耗和排放的一个机会。然而,这项技术的特点是资本成本高,阻碍了它的推广。因此,优化工具可以极大地帮助释放他们的潜力。本文提出了一种基于混合整数二次规划的区域供冷系统设计与运行组合优化方法。将该模型与基于适当定制的启发式方法的设计优化进行了比较。当应用于以季节性需求为特征的案例研究时,这些模型提供了类似的解决方案,就标准情景的客观价值而言,它们相差0.5%。与单独优化设计相比,同时进行设计和运行优化并不能提供合理的节省。进行敏感性分析以证明结果的稳健性。结果表明,在季节性制冷需求的情况下,同时运行和设计优化的成本将限制在总成本的1%以内。另一方面,如果制冷需求全年持续,如在热带气候下,联合优化提供了显著的好处,因为这些节省达到总成本的4.7%。
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引用次数: 0
Identification of key factors for the sustainable integration of high-temperature aquifer thermal energy storage systems in district heating networks 确定可持续地将高温含水层热能储存系统纳入区域供热网络的关键因素
Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-02-01 Epub Date: 2024-02-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.segy.2024.100134
Niklas Scholliers , Max Ohagen , Claire Bossennec , Ingo Sass , Vanessa Zeller , Liselotte Schebek

High-temperature aquifer thermal energy storage systems for storage and utilization of excess heat are a promising element for decarbonization strategies of district heating systems. Based on a combination of literature review and expert consultation, this study aims to identify potential environmental and economic key factors determining a sustainable integration of high-temperature aquifer thermal energy storage systems into district heating networks. For this objective, we use several methods in five steps to narrow down the potentially high number of influencing factors. We identify hard boundary constraints for project development, the most relevant life cycle phases and related internal factors. Moreover, we identify influencing external factors and methodological factors that impact environmental and economic outcomes from a systemic perspective. Our findings suggest that potential key factors mainly pertain to the construction and operation phases, which are significantly affected by drilling, heat production, and the electricity required for submersible pumps and heat pumps for injection and extraction of stored heat. Identifying these factors enhances the comprehension and transparency of decision support based on life cycle assessment and life cycle costing. The results further guides research and practical improvement actions towards the most pertinent factors.

用于储存和利用多余热量的高温含水层热能储存系统是区域供热系统去碳化战略的一个有前途的要素。本研究将文献综述和专家咨询相结合,旨在确定决定高温含水层热能储存系统与区域供热网络可持续整合的潜在环境和经济关键因素。为此,我们采用多种方法,分五个步骤缩小潜在影响因素的范围。我们确定了项目开发的硬边界限制、最相关的生命周期阶段以及相关的内部因素。此外,我们还从系统角度确定了影响环境和经济成果的外部因素和方法因素。我们的研究结果表明,潜在的关键因素主要涉及施工和运营阶段,这两个阶段受到钻井、热量生产、潜水泵所需电力以及注入和提取储存热量的热泵等因素的显著影响。确定这些因素可提高基于生命周期评估和生命周期成本计算的决策支持的理解力和透明度。研究结果进一步指导了针对最相关因素的研究和实际改进行动。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluating the potential of wind and solar energy in achieving zero energy ratings in residential homes: A Nottingham case study 评估风能和太阳能在实现住宅零能耗等级方面的潜力:诺丁汉案例研究
Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-02-01 Epub Date: 2023-12-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.segy.2023.100129
Kevin Naik , Anton Ianakiev , Ahmad Said Galadanci , Giorgio Cucca , Shubham , Ming Sun

This research explores the potential for reducing reliance on fossil fuels through the combined utilisation of photovoltaic energy and local Vertical Axis Wind Turbines (VAWTs). In urban settings, VAWTs offer advantages such as lower noise emissions, independence from wind direction, operational efficiency at both low and high wind speeds, and enhanced stability due to their unique helical blade design. These characteristics make VAWTs a suitable and effective option for generating sustainable energy in urban environments. A Vertical Axis Wind Turbine (VAWT) will be virtually introduced to 2050 Homes Development in Nottingham, a cluster of 27 houses configured to use a micro–Low Temperature District Heating (LTDH) network.

This paper investigates the possibility to move 2050 Homes scheme into zero energy level by using Quite Revolution (QR6) helical blade VAWT along with photovoltaic energy generation. The preliminary results show that two QR6 VAWT can bring the 27 terrace homes from the 2050 Homes scheme into zero energy class performance.

这项研究探讨了通过结合利用光伏能源和本地垂直轴风力涡轮机(VAWTs)来减少对化石燃料依赖的潜力。在城市环境中,垂直轴风力涡轮机具有噪音低、不受风向影响、在低风速和高风速下均可高效运行以及因其独特的螺旋叶片设计而增强稳定性等优势。这些特点使 VAWT 成为在城市环境中生产可持续能源的合适而有效的选择。垂直轴风力涡轮机(VAWT)将被实际引入诺丁汉的 "2050家园开发项目",该项目由27栋房屋组成,配置了微型低温区域供热(LTDH)网络。本文研究了通过使用Quite Revolution(QR6)螺旋叶片垂直轴风力涡轮机和光伏发电,将 "2050家园 "计划提升到零能耗水平的可能性。初步结果表明,两台 QR6 VAWT 可使 2050 家庭计划中的 27 个露台住宅达到零能耗水平。
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引用次数: 0
Circularity characterizes low-temperature district energy business models 循环性是低温区域能源商业模式的特点
Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-02-01 Epub Date: 2024-02-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.segy.2024.100132
Kristina Lygnerud, Nathalie Fransson

This study has been undertaken to understand whether business models for heating, cooling and hot water can be categorized as circular. The study addresses the case of new, combustion-free technology by resorting to low-temperature district energy. Such systems necessitate smart infrastructure with efficient demand and supply matching ensuring the most cost-efficient use of heat supply over time. By studying 10 cases in a research project stretching across 3 years, it is identified that all cases display circular economy features, across the categories of reuse, reduce and recycle. The category of reverse logistics is only identified in 7 cases where energy is circulated within the networks. The integration of excess heat exhibits a particularly strong circularity case, covering all four circular economy dimensions. The circularity of low temperature district energy business models is, however, not free, but comes at a cost compared to conventional combustion-based technology, as new key resources and consequential investments are needed. The major conclusion of the study is that low temperature district energy business models are inherently circular, an important information for European policy making, fostering a circular energy transition.

本研究旨在了解供热、制冷和热水的商业模式是否可归类为循环模式。本研究探讨了采用低温区域能源的新型无燃烧技术。此类系统需要智能基础设施,通过有效的供需匹配,确保长期以最具成本效益的方式使用供热。在一个为期 3 年的研究项目中,通过对 10 个案例的研究,我们发现所有案例都显示出循环经济的特征,包括再利用、减量化和再循环。只有在 7 个案例中发现了逆向物流,即能源在网络内循环。过剩热量的整合表现出特别强的循环性,涵盖了循环经济的所有四个方面。然而,低温区域能源商业模式的循环性并不是免费的,与传统的燃烧技术相比,它需要付出代价,因为需要新的关键资源和相应的投资。这项研究的主要结论是,低温区域能源商业模式本质上是循环的,这对欧洲制定政策、促进循环能源转型是一个重要信息。
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引用次数: 0
Enhancing HVAC control systems through transfer learning with deep reinforcement learning agents 通过深度强化学习代理的迁移学习改进暖通空调控制系统
Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-02-01 Epub Date: 2024-01-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.segy.2024.100131
Kevlyn Kadamala, Des Chambers, Enda Barrett

Traditionally, building control systems for heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) relied on rule-based scheduler systems. Deep reinforcement learning techniques have the ability to learn optimal control policies from data without the need for explicit programming or domain-specific knowledge. However, these data-driven methods require considerable time and data to learn effective policies without prior knowledge. Performing transfer learning using pre-trained models avoids the need to learn the underlying data from scratch, thus saving time and resources. In this work, we evaluate reinforcement learning as a method of pretraining and fine-tuning neural networks for HVAC control. First, we train an RL agent in a building simulation environment to obtain a foundation model. We then fine-tune this model on two separate simulation environments such that one environment simulates the same building under different weather conditions while the other environment simulates a different building under the same weather conditions. We perform these experiments with two different reward functions to evaluate their effect on transfer learning. The results indicate that transfer learning agents outperform the rule-based controller and show improvements in the range of 1% to 4% when compared to agents trained from scratch.

传统上,用于供暖、通风和空调(HVAC)的楼宇控制系统依赖于基于规则的调度系统。深度强化学习技术能够从数据中学习最佳控制策略,而无需明确的编程或特定领域的知识。然而,这些数据驱动方法需要大量时间和数据,才能在没有先验知识的情况下学习有效的策略。使用预训练模型进行迁移学习可以避免从头开始学习基础数据,从而节省时间和资源。在这项工作中,我们评估了强化学习作为一种预训练和微调神经网络的方法在暖通空调控制中的应用。首先,我们在建筑仿真环境中训练一个 RL 代理,以获得一个基础模型。然后,我们在两个不同的模拟环境中对该模型进行微调,其中一个环境模拟在不同天气条件下的相同建筑物,而另一个环境模拟在相同天气条件下的不同建筑物。我们使用两种不同的奖励函数进行这些实验,以评估它们对迁移学习的影响。结果表明,迁移学习代理的表现优于基于规则的控制器,与从零开始训练的代理相比,迁移学习代理的改进幅度在 1% 到 4% 之间。
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引用次数: 0
Beyond sector coupling: Utilizing energy grids in sector coupling to improve the European energy transition 超越部门耦合:利用部门耦合中的能源电网改善欧洲能源转型
Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2023-11-01 Epub Date: 2023-08-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.segy.2023.100116
Jakob Zinck Thellufsen , Henrik Lund , Peter Sorknæs , Steffen Nielsen , Miguel Chang , Brian Vad Mathiesen

Sector coupling and system integration are key concepts in the energy transition from fossil fuels to fully decarbonized energy systems based on renewable energy. An intelligent use of sector coupling – such as that expressed in the concept of a smart energy system –accommodates for the identification of a more energy-efficient and affordable green transition. However, these benefits are often not fully identified in scenario modelling for the simple reason that not all energy systems analysis tools are equipped to do so. Here, we use the EnergyPLAN tool to replicate the EU Baseline and 1.5 TECH scenarios of the report “A Clean Planet for All”, which we then compare to a smart energy systems scenario for Europe. Due to its focus on sector coupling, we show how such a smart energy Europe scenario can be more energy efficient and affordable than the other scenarios.

部门耦合和系统集成是从化石燃料向基于可再生能源的完全脱碳能源系统过渡的关键概念。智能使用部门耦合——比如智能能源系统概念中所表达的耦合——可以确定更节能、更实惠的绿色转型。然而,这些好处在情景建模中往往没有完全确定,原因很简单,并不是所有的能源系统分析工具都具备这样的能力。在这里,我们使用EnergyPLAN工具来复制“人人共享清洁地球”报告中的欧盟基线和1.5技术情景,然后将其与欧洲的智能能源系统情景进行比较。由于其对行业耦合的关注,我们展示了这种智能能源欧洲场景如何比其他场景更节能、更实惠。
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引用次数: 1
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