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Electrolysis waste heat utilization for district heating — A Norwegian case study 电解余热用于区域供热-挪威案例研究
IF 5 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-10-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.segy.2025.100207
Davide Tommasini , Nicolas Marx , Yannick Wimmer , Stefan Reuter , Hanne Kauko
Hydrogen is expected to play a key role in future climate-neutral energy systems, with electrolysis emerging as a primary production method. However, approximately one-third of the electricity used in electrolysis is lost as heat, presenting an opportunity for district heating (DH) integration. This study explores the feasibility of utilizing waste heat from an alkaline electrolyzer facility in Bodø, Northern Norway, to supply an existing high-temperature DH network and a planned low-temperature network. Using techno-economic modeling and dynamic simulations, different integration strategies are evaluated, focusing on heat pump configurations and direct utilization options. Results indicate that integrating waste heat can significantly reduce energy costs for DH operators while improving the economic viability of hydrogen production. The study highlights the potential of sector coupling between hydrogen and district heating to enhance system efficiency and sustainability.
氢有望在未来的气候中和能源系统中发挥关键作用,电解将成为主要的生产方法。然而,电解中使用的大约三分之一的电力作为热量损失,这为区域供热(DH)集成提供了机会。本研究探讨了利用挪威北部Bodø碱性电解槽设施的废热为现有的高温DH网络和计划中的低温网络供电的可行性。通过技术经济建模和动态模拟,评估了不同的集成策略,重点是热泵配置和直接利用选项。结果表明,整合废热可以显著降低DH运营商的能源成本,同时提高制氢的经济可行性。该研究强调了氢和区域供热之间部门耦合的潜力,以提高系统效率和可持续性。
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引用次数: 0
Minimizing the multi-decadal cost of islanded renewable-electricity microgrids for different climate zones 将不同气候区域的孤岛可再生电力微电网的多年成本降至最低
IF 5 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-10-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.segy.2025.100208
Andreas Mühlbauer, Yuanbei F. Fan, Daniel J. Sambor, Mark Z. Jacobson
The aim of this study is to minimize the cost of developing a renewable energy islanded microgrid that provides reliable electricity and thermal comfort for a small building over multiple decades. The study is carried out with a model that minimizes the total cost of energy system components. Four different system configurations considering solar photovoltaics, electric heat pumps for heating and cooling, and a subset of battery-electricity storage, hydrogen-fuel-cell-electricity storage, and thermal-energy storage with phase-change materials are modeled. The objective is to minimize total lifecycle costs (capacity and operational costs) while ensuring reliable electricity as well as heat and cold supply. Over five climate zones, four system configurations, and 25 weather years, the annual costs of 100 % renewable microgrids for residential-type loads and structures are at least 67 % lower than the same microgrid powered with diesel generators for 75 % of the cases. On average, using renewable energy instead of diesel reduces the annual cost of islanded microgrids by 72 %. Systems with higher technology diversity, such as batteries combined with hydrogen-fuel-cell-electricity storage, result in even lower average-cost solutions (75 % lower than diesel); however, they may increase the risk of loss of load events over the project lifetime if the systems are optimized for only one weather year. Despite the higher risk, the incremental cost to reduce one kWh loss of load over multiple weather years is estimated to be 89 % lower with both batteries and hydrogen than with batteries alone, highlighting the value of diverse technology portfolios in microgrid planning.
本研究的目的是将开发可再生能源孤岛微电网的成本降至最低,该微电网可在数十年内为小型建筑提供可靠的电力和热舒适性。本研究采用最小化能源系统组件总成本的模型进行。四种不同的系统配置考虑太阳能光伏,用于加热和冷却的电热泵,以及电池-电力存储,氢燃料电池-电力存储和相变材料的热能存储的子集进行了建模。目标是最大限度地降低总生命周期成本(容量和运营成本),同时确保可靠的电力以及冷热供应。在五个气候带、四种系统配置和25个天气年的情况下,100%可再生微电网的年成本至少比75%的情况下使用柴油发电机的微电网低67%。平均而言,使用可再生能源代替柴油可使孤岛微电网的年成本降低72%。具有更高技术多样性的系统,例如结合氢燃料电池-电力存储的电池,可以产生更低的平均成本解决方案(比柴油低75%);然而,如果系统仅针对一个天气年进行优化,它们可能会增加项目生命周期中负载事件损失的风险。尽管风险较高,但与单独使用电池相比,电池和氢气在多个天气年份减少1千瓦时负荷损失的增量成本估计要低89%,这突出了微电网规划中多样化技术组合的价值。
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引用次数: 0
Neural network synthetic dataset generation for fault detection in district heating substations 区域供热站故障检测的神经网络合成数据集生成
IF 5 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.segy.2025.100206
Dominik Stecher , Lukas Ziegltrum , Paul Reiprich , Christian Fuchs , Andreas Maier , Jochen Schmidt
District heating systems (DHS) play a vital role in sustainable heating solutions and the decarbonization of the energy sector. However, inefficiencies due to undetected faults in substations result in high return temperatures, increasing heat losses, and limiting the integration of renewable energy sources. The lack of publicly available labeled datasets poses a significant challenge for fault detection using supervised learning models. To address this issue, this study explores three machine learning-based synthetic data generation techniques – time series forecasting, generative adversarial networks (GANs), and fault signature transfer. These methods aim to increase publicly available data either by sharing the generating model or a synthetic dataset. The novelty lies in the combination of advanced supervised machine learning methods being applied to a large, fully labeled data set to create new, equally labeled data for publication, as, to our knowledge, no such dataset has been compiled before. We evaluate our methods on the first-of-its-kind ILSE dataset, which includes real-world smart meter data from 547 substations and 1,162 reviewed faults from a German DHS network, including detailed root cause information. Overall, time series forecasting achieves an MAPE of 3% to 10% for inlet and outlet temperature and 25% to 40% for heat load and flow rate, both of which are within year-to-year variance. For GANs, specifically TimeGAN, we found a discriminative score of about 0.10 compared to 0.24 in the original publication when tested on Energy benchmark data. Fault signature transfer has yet to yield usable results, most likely due to the high variance in the fault signatures, fault duration, and overlapping or multiple root causes. Finally, fault data in the synthetic data is not yet good enough for practical use, e.g. training a fault detector.
区域供热系统(DHS)在可持续供暖解决方案和能源部门脱碳方面发挥着至关重要的作用。然而,由于变电站未被发现的故障导致的效率低下导致返回温度高,增加热损失,并限制了可再生能源的整合。缺乏公开可用的标记数据集对使用监督学习模型进行故障检测提出了重大挑战。为了解决这个问题,本研究探索了三种基于机器学习的合成数据生成技术——时间序列预测、生成对抗网络(GANs)和故障签名传输。这些方法旨在通过共享生成模型或合成数据集来增加公共可用数据。新颖之处在于将先进的监督机器学习方法应用于一个大型的、完全标记的数据集,以创建新的、同样标记的数据供发表,因为据我们所知,以前还没有编制过这样的数据集。我们在首个同类ILSE数据集上评估了我们的方法,该数据集包括来自547个变电站的真实智能电表数据和来自德国DHS网络的1,162个审查故障,包括详细的根本原因信息。总体而言,时间序列预测的进口和出口温度的MAPE为3%至10%,热负荷和流量的MAPE为25%至40%,两者都在年变化范围内。对于gan,特别是TimeGAN,我们发现在对能源基准数据进行测试时,与原始出版物中的0.24相比,判别分数约为0.10。故障签名传输尚未产生可用的结果,很可能是由于故障签名的高度差异、故障持续时间以及重叠或多个根本原因。最后,合成数据中的故障数据还不足以用于实际应用,例如训练故障检测器。
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引用次数: 0
Requirements analysis for Model Predictive Control in a decentralized district heating network 分布式集中供热网络模型预测控制的需求分析
IF 5 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-09-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.segy.2025.100188
Theda Zoschke , Christian Wolff , Armin Nurkanović , Gregor Rohbogner , Daniel Weiß , Lilli Frison , Moritz Diehl , Axel Oliva
This study introduces a method to derive requirements for non-linear formulations in optimization problems for Model Predictive Control (MPC) of district heating networks. Those formulations become particularly relevant in decentralized networks where thermohydraulic effects stemming from pressure and temperature distribution impact the optimal dispatch schedule of producers. This is illustrated through a case study of the network in Weil am Rhein, Germany. Initially, a linear MPC formulation that neglects thermohydraulic dynamics was evaluated using one year of measurement data, revealing potential cost reductions of 14.3%. These savings primarily result from reduced operation of fossil fuel boilers and increased utilization of Combined Heat and Power plants. Subsequently, hydraulic simulations and monitoring data were analyzed, revealing that at least one of the production sites is unable to supply its installed capacity into the network during high-load scenarios due to hydraulic limitations. Furthermore, the analysis of thermal losses suggested that supply temperature optimization has an additional cost-saving potential of approximately 1.8%. The study concludes that future versions of the optimization framework require the consideration of pressure losses and pumping limitations to enhance operational reliability, while also recognizing additional improvement potential offered by supply temperature optimization.
本文介绍了一种推导区域供热网络模型预测控制(MPC)优化问题非线性公式要求的方法。这些配方在分散网络中尤为重要,因为压力和温度分布产生的热工效应会影响到生产者的最佳调度计划。通过对德国莱茵河畔韦尔(Weil am Rhein)的网络进行案例研究,可以说明这一点。最初,利用一年的测量数据对忽略热水力动力学的线性MPC配方进行了评估,结果显示,该配方的潜在成本降低了14.3%。这些节省主要是由于减少了化石燃料锅炉的运行和增加了热电联产电厂的利用。随后,对水力模拟和监测数据进行了分析,发现由于水力限制,至少有一个生产基地无法在高负荷情况下向网络提供其装机容量。此外,热损失分析表明,优化供电温度可以额外节省约1.8%的成本。该研究得出结论,未来版本的优化框架需要考虑压力损失和泵送限制,以提高运行可靠性,同时也要认识到供应温度优化提供的额外改进潜力。
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引用次数: 0
Optimum utilization of power plant waste heat by nearly-zero exergy district prosumers for minimum carbon footprint 电厂废热的最佳利用几乎为零的火用区产消者为最小的碳足迹
IF 5 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-09-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.segy.2025.100204
Birol Kilkis
This paper presents a new exergy-based model for minimizing the total carbon dioxide emission responsibility of district heating systems connected to thermal power plants. An optimal exergy balance can be determined between the degree of low-exergy prosuming buildings on the demand side and the utilization rate of waste heat from a power plant on the supply side. Therefore, the optimum degree of prosuming buildings and the utilization of waste heat in a district also minimize the embodied emissions and costs of prosuming buildings for sustainable growth. Following the massive earthquake in 2023 in the Afşin-Elbistan province located in the Southeast region of Türkiye, 10,000 apartments to be heated by individual boilers are compared with an alternative design using this model. This alternative design features low-exergy prosumer buildings integrated with the waste heat of the 1,355 GW lignite power plant. The waste heat is obtained from the nearby return pipe of the water-cooling system, which is connected to a river head, located 30 km away. The model played a crucial role in determining the optimal degree of low-exergy building design, which simultaneously minimizes the carbon footprint of the power plant and the embodied emissions of such buildings, thereby facilitating the optimal level of renewable energy sources for prosumption. A new exergy star green metric is introduced, with a maximum rating of five stars. The new model assigned an optimal of three stars for the alternative design, which minimizes the carbon footprint by reducing carbon dioxide emissions by 79 %.
本文提出了一种新的基于火用的模型,用于最小化与火电厂连接的区域供热系统的二氧化碳总排放责任。需求侧低用能建筑的程度与供给侧电厂余热的利用率之间可以确定最优的用能平衡。因此,一个地区的最佳产建筑程度和余热利用也将使产建筑的隐含排放量和成本最小化,以实现可持续增长。在2023年位于 rkiye东南部地区的af in- elbistan省发生大地震之后,使用该模型将10,000套公寓与单独锅炉供暖的替代设计进行了比较。这种替代设计的特点是低能耗的产消建筑与1355吉瓦褐煤发电厂的废热相结合。余热从附近的水冷系统回水管中获得,该回水管连接到30公里外的河头。该模型在确定低能耗建筑设计的最优程度上发挥了至关重要的作用,使电厂的碳足迹和低能耗建筑的隐含排放同时最小化,从而促进可再生能源的最优消费水平。引入了一种新的能源星绿色指标,最高评级为5颗星。新模型为备选设计分配了最优的三颗星,通过减少79%的二氧化碳排放,将碳足迹降至最低。
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引用次数: 0
A comprehensive evaluation of prediction techniques and their influence on model predictive control in smart energy storage systems 智能储能系统预测技术及其对模型预测控制的影响
IF 5 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-09-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.segy.2025.100202
Ulrich Ludolfinger , Thomas Hamacher , Maren Martens
The increasing share of intermittent renewable energy calls for intelligent building energy management systems to maintain grid stability. A widely used method for operating on-site storage is model predictive control (MPC), whose effectiveness heavily depends on forecast accuracy. This paper systematically evaluates the impact of prediction models on MPC performance in smart energy storage systems (SESS). Using a three-year, multi-building dataset with 15 min resolution, we compare five forecasting methods, linear model, XGBoost, RNN, TimeMixer, and TimesNet, for load, PV generation, and electricity price prediction. While XGBoost achieves the lowest mean squared error (MSE) and yields the highest revenue gain of 104% over a no-storage baseline during a four-month winter–spring test period, other models reveal a mismatch between forecast accuracy and control performance. Notably, the linear model, ranking mostly lowest in MSE, delivers the third-highest revenue (73%), nearly on par with the second best (79%). This illustrates that prediction accuracy alone is not a reliable proxy for control quality. Even the best realistic setup remains far from the ideal benchmark using perfect forecasts (235% gain). Daily retraining improves some models substantially (linear model to 105%) but has limited effect on others (XGBoost to 107%). These findings emphasize three key insights: (1) standard metrics like MSE may misrepresent the utility of forecasts for control, (2) errors across multiple inputs compound degradation in MPC, and (3) frequent retraining can mitigate losses. Overall, the results underscore the importance of robust forecasting and carefully chosen loss functions in the smart energy systems concept.
间歇性可再生能源的份额不断增加,需要智能建筑能源管理系统来维持电网的稳定。模型预测控制(MPC)是一种应用广泛的现场存储操作方法,其有效性在很大程度上取决于预测精度。本文系统地评估了预测模型对智能储能系统(SESS)中MPC性能的影响。使用15分钟分辨率的三年多建筑数据集,我们比较了五种预测方法,线性模型,XGBoost, RNN, TimeMixer和TimesNet,用于负荷,光伏发电和电价预测。在为期四个月的冬春测试期间,XGBoost实现了最低的均方误差(MSE),并在无存储基线的情况下获得了104%的最高收益,但其他模型显示,预测精度与控制性能之间存在不匹配。值得注意的是,线性模型虽然在MSE中排名最低,但却提供了第三高的收入(73%),几乎与第二高的收入(79%)持平。这说明预测精度本身并不是控制质量的可靠代表。即使是最现实的设定,也与使用完美预测(235%的涨幅)的理想基准相差甚远。每天的再训练大大提高了一些模型(线性模型提高到105%),但对其他模型的影响有限(XGBoost提高到107%)。这些发现强调了三个关键的见解:(1)像MSE这样的标准指标可能会歪曲预测对控制的效用;(2)MPC中多个输入的复合退化误差;(3)频繁的再训练可以减轻损失。总的来说,结果强调了在智能能源系统概念中稳健预测和精心选择损失函数的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Editorial: Integrating innovations across sectors: Insights from SESAAU2020 towards a smart energy future 社论:跨部门整合创新:SESAAU2020对智能能源未来的见解
IF 5 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.segy.2025.100203
Brian Vad Mathiesen, Nanna Finne Skovrup
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引用次数: 0
Editorial: Smart Energy Systems SESAAU2021 社论:智能能源系统SESAAU2021
IF 5 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.segy.2025.100195
Brian Vad Mathiesen, Nanna Finne Skovrup
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引用次数: 0
100% renewable energy system for the island of Mauritius by 2050: A techno-economic study 到2050年毛里求斯岛100%可再生能源系统:一项技术经济研究
IF 5 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.segy.2025.100199
M.N. Edoo, Robert T.F. Ah King
The urgency of climate change and the need to reduce dependence on expensive and polluting fossil fuels have prompted a transition to renewable energy (RE) in many countries. Mauritius, a small island developing state which relies heavily on imported fossil fuels faces such a challenge. This work presents a techno-economic study of a 100 % RE system incorporating the power, transport and manufacturing sectors of Mauritius in 2050. The novelty of this study lies in it being the first 100 % RE system study for Mauritius. Furthermore, its use of mature and commercially available technologies as opposed to more advanced ones renders it realistic from the perspective of a developing country with limited means. The simulations of key scenarios demonstrate that a 100 % RE system for Mauritius is technically feasible within reasonable costs. Solar photovoltaic (PV) and battery energy storage system (BESS) would form the backbone of the 100 % RE system due to their complementarity. It was also found that offshore wind is a valuable resource as it has high-capacity factor (46.4 %) but is also highly seasonal. The switch to a 100 % RE system entails an increase in the cost of final energy, +121 % versus cost in 2016 and + 11 % versus cost in 2022 for the PV-BESS scenario. The large difference between those two years is due to the high volatility of the cost of fossil fuels which the 100 % RE system would shield the country from. Finally, electric vehicles through smart charging and vehicle-to-grid can greatly reduce the cost of electricity.
气候变化的紧迫性和减少对昂贵和污染的化石燃料的依赖的必要性促使许多国家向可再生能源(RE)过渡。毛里求斯,一个严重依赖进口化石燃料的小岛屿发展中国家,面临着这样的挑战。这项工作提出了2050年毛里求斯电力、交通和制造业100%可再生能源系统的技术经济研究。这项研究的新颖之处在于它是毛里求斯第一个100% RE系统研究。此外,它使用成熟和商业上可获得的技术,而不是更先进的技术,从一个手段有限的发展中国家的角度来看,这是现实的。关键情景的模拟表明,在合理的成本范围内,毛里求斯100%可再生能源系统在技术上是可行的。由于太阳能光伏(PV)和电池储能系统(BESS)的互补性,它们将构成100%可再生能源系统的支柱。研究还发现,海上风电是一种宝贵的资源,因为它具有高容量因子(46.4%),但也具有很强的季节性。转换到100%可再生能源系统需要增加最终能源成本,与2016年的成本相比增加121%,与2022年的PV-BESS情景相比增加11%。这两年的巨大差异是由于化石燃料成本的高度波动,而100%可再生能源系统将使该国免受这种波动。最后,电动汽车通过智能充电和车联网可以大大降低电力成本。
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引用次数: 0
Editorial: A pillar of Sustainable Development – Insights from SDEWES 2020 社论:可持续发展的支柱——来自SDEWES 2020的见解
IF 5 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.segy.2025.100196
Brian Vad Mathiesen, Nanna Finne Skovrup
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引用次数: 0
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