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Seasonal large-scale thermal energy storage in an evolving district heating system – Long-term modeling of interconnected supply and demand 不断发展的区域供热系统中的季节性大规模热能存储 - 互联供需的长期建模
IF 5.4 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.segy.2024.100156
Karl Vilén, Erik O. Ahlgren

Given the strong seasonal nature of heating demands, peak heat is important during colder seasons. Instead of peak heat plants, seasonal large-scale thermal energy storage (TES) could be utilized. These can be charged during warmer seasons and discharged when required, decreasing the need for peak heat plants. Systems modelling studies on seasonal TES are lacking. Thus, a long-term local energy system model is applied under different scenarios to investigate the potential roles of seasonal TES in an evolving heating system. The results show that seasonal TES is economically viable for: all future electricity price cases for low TES construction costs, corresponding to repurposing of underground oil storages, and for most electricity price cases for mid- and high construction costs, corresponding to new underground excavations. Seasonal TES mainly decrease the investments in and usage of electric boilers or biogas boilers, while increase the utilization of heat pumps. Other technologies may be affected depending on the future trajectory of electricity price developments. The size of the TES is between 3 and 7% of the annual district heating heat demand, depending on construction cost and electricity price development. The expansion of district heating into new housing is mostly unaffected by the availability of TES.

由于供热需求具有很强的季节性,因此在寒冷季节调峰供热非常重要。可以利用季节性大型热能储存(TES)来代替调峰热电厂。这些设备可在温暖季节充电,并在需要时放电,从而减少对调峰热电厂的需求。目前还缺乏有关季节性热能储存的系统建模研究。因此,我们在不同情况下应用了一个长期本地能源系统模型,以研究季节性 TES 在不断发展的供热系统中的潜在作用。研究结果表明,季节性热电联产在以下情况下具有经济可行性:在热电联产建设成本较低的所有未来电价情况下,与地下储油库的重新利用相对应;在中高建设成本的大多数电价情况下,与新的地下挖掘相对应。季节性有毒物质释放措施主要减少了电锅炉或沼气锅炉的投资和使用,同时增加了热泵的使用。其他技术可能会受到影响,这取决于未来电价的发展轨迹。根据建筑成本和电价发展情况,TES 的规模占每年区域供热热需求的 3% 到 7%。区域供热向新建住宅的扩展大多不受 TES 可用性的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Integrating district heating potentials into European energy system modelling: An assessment of cost advantages of renewable and excess heat 将区域供热潜力纳入欧洲能源系统建模:评估可再生能源和过剩热量的成本优势
IF 5.4 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.segy.2024.100150
Anna Billerbeck , Christiane Bernath , Pia Manz , Gerda Deac , Anne Held , Jenny Winkler , Ali Kök , Mario Ragwitz

This paper takes a novel modelling approach by considering high spatial resolution heat generation potentials for district heating and integrating them into a European energy system model. Subsequently, a modelling analysis of an integrated energy system including district heating, electricity and hydrogen supply for 25 EU Member States and the year 2050 is carried out. In contrast to existing approaches, the modelling approach captures the heterogeneous resource availability in district heating. The results show multivalent district heating networks based on a wide range of renewable and excess heat sources used directly or in combination with large-scale heat pumps. The high spatial resolution of the heat generation potentials allows a detailed cost comparison of different possible future technology mixes in district heating. The paper finds that the use of heat pumps, geothermal energy and industrial excess heat offer slight cost advantages for the energy system as a whole. Geothermal heat can also provide cost advantages for district heating generation.

本文采用了一种新颖的建模方法,考虑了区域供热的高空间分辨率发热潜力,并将其纳入欧洲能源系统模型。随后,对 25 个欧盟成员国和 2050 年的综合能源系统(包括区域供热、电力和氢气供应)进行了建模分析。与现有方法相比,该建模方法捕捉到了区域供热中的异质资源可用性。结果表明,基于直接使用或与大型热泵结合使用的各种可再生热源和过剩热源的多价区域供热网络。高空间分辨率的制热潜力允许对区域供热未来可能采用的不同技术组合进行详细的成本比较。论文发现,使用热泵、地热能和工业过剩热量可为整个能源系统带来轻微的成本优势。地热也能为区域供热带来成本优势。
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引用次数: 0
Enhancing grid hosting capacity with coordinated non-firm connections in industrial energy communities 通过协调工业能源社区的非确认连接,提高电网托管能力
IF 5.4 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.segy.2024.100154
Sigurd Bjarghov , Sverre Stefanussen Foslie , Magnus Askeland , Rubi Rana , Henning Taxt

A significant increase in grid connection requests from industrial customers has lead to long connection queues. Combined with long lead times on grid construction, the result is significant socioeconomic losses due to lack of grid capacity. Distribution system operators (DSO) have therefore introduced non-firm connections as an alternative, where the new grid customer may connect on the condition that the DSO retains the right to disconnect the grid customer if necessary. An option to potential disconnection is for customers to leverage flexibility to stay below an agreed capacity level. Unfortunately, many existing grid customers possess flexibility potential but lack incentives to utilise it. To address this, we propose a “coordinated non-firm connection”, where the new grid customer forms an energy community with existing grid customers to coordinate flexibility and capacity utilisation. To demonstrate technical feasibility and incentive compatibility, we formulate a complementarity model. Applying this model to a case study involving three industrial grid customers, we showcase both technical potential and incentive compatibility. Results illustrate how energy community members engage in capacity trading within a local market, ensuring adherence to grid limitations. The game theory-based model confirms sufficient economic benefit for all members to participate.

工业客户的并网申请大幅增加,导致并网排队时间过长。再加上电网建设周期长,结果是由于电网容量不足而造成重大社会经济损失。因此,配电系统运营商(DSO)引入了非确认连接作为替代方案,即新的电网客户可以连接电网,但条件是配电系统运营商保留在必要时断开电网客户连接的权利。除了可能的断开连接外,客户还可以利用灵活性,使其保持在商定的容量水平以下。遗憾的是,许多现有电网客户拥有灵活性潜力,但缺乏利用灵活性的动力。为了解决这个问题,我们提出了 "协调非确认连接",即新电网客户与现有电网客户组成一个能源社区,以协调灵活性和容量利用。为了证明技术可行性和激励相容性,我们建立了一个互补模型。将该模型应用于涉及三个工业电网客户的案例研究中,我们展示了技术潜力和激励相容性。研究结果说明了能源社区成员如何在本地市场进行容量交易,确保遵守电网限制。基于博弈论的模型证实了所有成员参与其中都能获得足够的经济利益。
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引用次数: 0
Transitioning to a renewable hydrogen system: Optimal infrastructure for self-sufficient hydrogen supply in Austria by 2030 向可再生氢系统过渡:到 2030 年奥地利氢气供应自给自足的最佳基础设施
IF 5.4 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.segy.2024.100151
Stefan Strömer, Anton Beck, Matthias Traninger, Dana Orsolits, Stefan Reuter

In this study, we employ an optimization model to optimally design a self-sufficient, independent of any imports and exports, hydrogen infrastructure for Austria by 2030. Our approach integrates key hydrogen technologies within a detailed spatial investment and operation model – coupled with a European scale electricity market model. We focus on optimizing diverse infrastructure components including trailers, pipelines, electrolyzers, and storages to meet Austria's projected hydrogen demand. To accurately estimate this demand in hourly resolution, we combine existing hydrogen strategies and projections to account for developments in various industrial sectors, consider demand driven by the transport sector, and integrate hydrogen demand arising from its use in gas-powered plants. Accounting for the inherent uncertainty linked to such projections, we run the analysis for two complementary scenarios. Our approach addresses the challenges of integrating large quantities of renewable hydrogen into a future energy system by recognizing the critical role of domestic production in the early market stages. The main contribution of this work is to address the gap in optimizing hydrogen infrastructure for effective integration of domestic renewable hydrogen production in Austria by 2030, considering sector coupling potentials, optimal electrolyzer placement, and the design of local hydrogen networks.

在这项研究中,我们采用了一个优化模型,为奥地利在 2030 年之前设计出一个自给自足、不依赖任何进出口的氢气基础设施。我们的方法将关键的氢技术整合到详细的空间投资和运营模型中,并结合欧洲规模的电力市场模型。我们专注于优化各种基础设施组件,包括拖车、管道、电解槽和储氢器,以满足奥地利的预期氢气需求。为了准确估算每小时的氢气需求量,我们结合现有的氢气战略和预测,考虑了各工业部门的发展,考虑了运输部门的需求,并整合了天然气发电厂对氢气的需求。考虑到与此类预测相关的固有不确定性,我们对两种互补方案进行了分析。通过认识到国内生产在早期市场阶段的关键作用,我们的方法解决了将大量可再生氢纳入未来能源系统的难题。这项工作的主要贡献在于,通过考虑行业耦合潜力、最佳电解槽位置以及本地氢网络的设计,弥补了氢基础设施优化方面的不足,从而在 2030 年之前有效整合奥地利国内的可再生氢生产。
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引用次数: 0
Unveiling the cost competitiveness of sector coupling technologies - Policy impacts on levelised costs of heat pumps and battery electric vehicles in Germany 揭示行业耦合技术的成本竞争力--政策对德国热泵和电池电动汽车平准化成本的影响
IF 5.4 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.segy.2024.100149
Jan Frederick George , Anne Held , Jenny Winkler , Wolfgang Eichhammer , Mario Ragwitz

Heat pumps and battery electric vehicles play a crucial role in achieving a climate-neutral economy and integrating the Energy Efficiency First Principle into the building and transport sectors, rendering the overall energy system more efficient. To achieve cost competitiveness of these new technologies compared to conventional ones, investments, operating costs and conversion efficiencies are important. We conducted micro-simulations of the development of levelised cost of heat and transport for these sector coupling technologies to assess the direct cost impact of these parameters. With a broad and in-depth analysis of economies of scale, we determine future bandwidths of investment development. Based on this data, we compared implications of two policy scenarios of taxes and levies on final energy prices using a German case study. The first scenario considers recently adjusted taxes and levies: the national emissions trading system in 2021 and the abolishment of the electricity levy to finance renewable energy support in 2022. A counterfactual scenario includes previous framework conditions. Our results show that rising carbon and lower electricity prices already economically favour heat pumps from 2020 onwards. In contrast, taxes and levies do not decisively impact the cost competitiveness of battery electric vehicles, but expected reductions in manufacturing cost do.

热泵和电池电动汽车在实现气候中和经济以及将 "能效第一 "原则纳入建筑和交通领域,提高整个能源系统的效率方面发挥着至关重要的作用。要使这些新技术与传统技术相比具有成本竞争力,投资、运营成本和转换效率都很重要。我们对这些行业耦合技术的供热和运输平准化成本发展进行了微观模拟,以评估这些参数对成本的直接影响。通过对规模经济进行广泛而深入的分析,我们确定了未来的投资发展带宽。基于这些数据,我们利用德国的案例研究,比较了两种税收政策方案对最终能源价格的影响。第一种方案考虑了最近调整的税收和征税:2021 年的国家排放交易系统和 2022 年取消的用于资助可再生能源的电力征税。反事实情景包括以前的框架条件。我们的研究结果表明,从 2020 年起,碳排放的增加和电价的降低已经在经济上有利于热泵的发展。相比之下,税收和征费不会对电池电动汽车的成本竞争力产生决定性影响,但制造成本的预期下降会产生影响。
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引用次数: 0
Scenarios on future electricity storage requirements in the austrian electricity system with high shares of variable renewables 可变可再生能源比例较高的奥地利电力系统未来电力储存需求的设想方案
IF 5.4 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-07-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.segy.2024.100148
M. Sayer, A. Ajanovic, R. Haas

This paper presents three scenarios (policy, renewables and electrification and efficiency) for transitioning to a 100 % renewable electricity sector in Austria, based predominantly on wind and photovoltaics, alongside sector-specific electrification. Considering renewable expansion targets and three distinctive weather years from an overall system perspective, the core objective is to minimize variable costs of electricity storage and dispatchable power plants. The model developed determines their optimal dispatch for meeting the underlying electricity demand each hour. Within the scenarios for renewable expansion, a special focus lies on integrating short-duration (batteries), medium-duration (pumped storage hydro) and long-duration (hydrogen) energy storage. Our analysis reveals the significant impact of weather patterns on renewable electricity generation, particularly the differences between winter and summer generation quantities. This necessitates seasonal balancing and the mitigation of extremes like low wind power events, which require corresponding backup capacities. This contrast is particularly evident when comparing the years 2030–2050, wherein in the latter, certain dispatchable generators are only utilized in one of the three underlying weather years during extreme weather conditions. In our paper, we demonstrate how, especially for hydrogen production and storage, weather conditions influence production levels and the re-electrification demand. The results indicate the feasibility of achieving a fully decarbonized energy system in Austria through suitable policy measures and expanded renewable generation, with long-duration storage playing a crucial role in seasonal balance and compensating for the absence of fossil fuel generation. Strategic planning is essential to aligning the expansion of renewable energy generation with the necessary flexibility.

本文提出了三种方案(政策、可再生能源、电气化和效率),以实现奥地利电力行业向 100% 可再生能源的过渡,主要以风能和光伏为基础,同时实现特定行业的电气化。从整个系统的角度考虑可再生能源扩张目标和三个不同的天气年份,核心目标是最大限度地降低电力储存和可调度发电厂的可变成本。所开发的模型可确定它们的最优调度,以满足每小时的基本电力需求。在可再生能源扩展方案中,特别注重整合短时(电池)、中时(抽水蓄能水电)和长时(氢气)储能。我们的分析揭示了天气模式对可再生能源发电的重大影响,尤其是冬季和夏季发电量之间的差异。这就需要进行季节性平衡,缓解低风力事件等极端情况,这就需要相应的备用容量。这种对比在比较 2030-2050 年的情况时尤为明显,在 2030-2050 年的极端天气条件下,某些可调度发电机仅在三个基本天气年份中的一个年份使用。在本文中,我们展示了天气条件如何影响生产水平和再电气化需求,尤其是在氢气生产和储存方面。结果表明,通过适当的政策措施和扩大可再生能源发电,在奥地利实现完全去碳化的能源系统是可行的,而长期储存在季节性平衡和补偿化石燃料发电不足方面发挥着至关重要的作用。战略规划对于使可再生能源发电的扩展与必要的灵活性相一致至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Recommendations for a positive energy district framework – Application and evaluation of different energetic assessment methodologies 关于积极能源地区框架的建议 - 不同能源评估方法的应用和评估
IF 5.4 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-06-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.segy.2024.100147
Marie Gondeck , Marc-André Triebel , Annette Steingrube , Vicky Albert-Seifried , Gerhard Stryi-Hipp

Positive Energy Districts are seen as a stepstone towards climate-neutrality for European cities. The concept aims to make districts an active contributor to urban energy systems. However, the definition of PEDs is relatively loose and there is currently a lack of a common European assessment methodology, which makes it difficult to evaluate PED in practice. This research evaluates the energetic assessment methodologies developed in three PED-relevant projects in Europe – namely MAKING CITY, Zukunftsquartier Wien, and Zero Emission Neighbourhood – in order to derive recommendations for a common PED assessment framework. For this purpose, the three methodologies have been applied to case study districts in Germany. Subsequently, the application of the methodologies has been analysed based on their general practicality as well as their fulfilment of the PED objectives. The findings suggest that a positive energy balance might not be considered as a prerequisite of PEDs as this strict requirement sets a high entry barrier for districts that lack the intrinsic factors for surplus renewable energy production. For PED as an inclusive framework, the focus should be on delivering positive impacts for the districts and the wider energy systems; whilst the positive energy balance can be seen as a complementary rather than a mandatory condition.

积极能源区被视为欧洲城市实现气候中立的一块基石。这一概念旨在使各区成为城市能源系统的积极贡献者。然而,正能区的定义相对宽松,而且目前缺乏欧洲共同的评估方法,因此在实践中很难对正能区进行评估。本研究对欧洲三个与 PED 相关的项目(即 MAKING CITY、Zukunftsquartier Wien 和 Zero Emission Neighbourhood)中开发的能源评估方法进行了评估,以便为通用的 PED 评估框架提出建议。为此,这三种方法被应用于德国的案例研究区。随后,根据这些方法的一般实用性及其实现 PED 目标的情况,对其应用进行了分析。研究结果表明,正能量平衡可能不会被视为 PED 的先决条件,因为这一严格要求为缺乏可再生能源生产过剩内在因素的地区设置了很高的准入门槛。PED 作为一个包容性框架,重点应放在为地区和更广泛的能源系统带来积极影响上;而正能量平衡可被视为一个补充条件,而非强制性条件。
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引用次数: 0
What drives energy storage deployment in local energy transitions? Stakeholders’ perspective 是什么推动了地方能源转型中的储能部署?利益相关者的观点。
Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-06-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.segy.2024.100146
Kristiana Dolge, Armands Gravelsins, Laura Kristiana Vicmane, Andra Blumberga, Dagnija Blumberga

The global shift towards decentralised energy systems has assigned municipalities a key role in achieving national climate neutrality objectives. As the main stakeholders in the local energy transition, municipalities are responsible for the decarbonization of the local energy system through the extensive integration of renewable energy sources into existing systems. However, this integration requires new approaches and system adjustments, such as energy storage deployment, to satisfy the variable nature of renewable energy sources. The integration of novel solutions, such as energy storage, is difficult because of the diverse range of stakeholders involved, each with their own perceptions and expertise. This study uses the Fuzzy Cognitive Mapping (FCM) methodology to analyse the mental models of different stakeholders regarding their perceived importance of different factors influencing the implementation of energy storage in municipalities. The approach of this study enables a better understanding of municipal energy systems and its dynamics. The results reveal that support schemes such as subsidies and awareness campaigns are key to all stakeholders. Municipalities tend to focus on local needs and technological solutions, while energy experts prioritize technical aspects and national policies. Municipalities address challenges linearly, missing interconnections, whereas energy experts consider feedback loops and system requirements. The study highlights the need for common ground to drive effective policy and infrastructure development. The results could be used to facilitate discussions with policy makers on why energy storage is important and what policy measures should be considered to accelerate its deployment.

全球能源系统向分散化转变,使市政当局在实现国家气候中和目标方面发挥了关键作用。作为地方能源转型的主要利益相关者,市政当局有责任通过将可再生能源广泛融入现有系统,实现地方能源系统的去碳化。然而,这种整合需要新的方法和系统调整,如储能部署,以满足可再生能源的可变性。由于涉及的利益相关者多种多样,每个人都有自己的看法和专业知识,因此整合储能等新型解决方案十分困难。本研究采用模糊认知绘图(FCM)方法,分析不同利益相关者对影响城市实施储能的不同因素的认知重要性的心智模型。这种研究方法有助于更好地了解市政能源系统及其动态。研究结果表明,补贴和宣传活动等支持计划对所有利益相关者都至关重要。市政当局倾向于关注当地需求和技术解决方案,而能源专家则优先考虑技术方面和国家政策。市政当局以线性方式应对挑战,缺乏相互联系,而能源专家则考虑反馈回路和系统要求。这项研究强调,需要达成共识,以推动有效的政策和基础设施发展。研究结果可用于促进与政策制定者讨论为什么储能很重要,以及应考虑采取哪些政策措施来加快储能的部署。
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引用次数: 0
Data analysis and estimation of the conversion efficiency of bidirectional EV chargers using home energy management systems data 利用家庭能源管理系统数据分析和估算双向电动汽车充电器的转换效率
Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-06-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.segy.2024.100145
Yumiko Iwafune, Toshiaki Kawai

This study elucidates the authentic utilization of Vehicle-to-Home (V2H) system, a bi-directional DC charger for residential use and appraises power conversion losses incurred during V2H charging and discharging, utilizing data from commercial Home Energy Management Systems (HEMS). This approach offers the advantage of ascertaining operational efficiency within practical scenarios at a reduced cost relative to empirical data acquisition.

The empirical examination of results revealed that V2H households exhibited more frequent connections to the charger and engaged in more substantial charging activities compared to Charging-only households.

When estimating the power conversion efficiency in the context of V2H charging and discharging, a partial load efficiency curve was constructed for the input power of the V2H charger, thereby confirming that the peak efficiency closely approximated the nominal rated efficiency. These identified characteristics hold value for V2H system simulations. Furthermore, it was confirmed that a substantial standby power, ranging from 92 to 142 kWh per year, was generated when the V2H charger remained inactive in the sampled households. Additionally, the lack of reverse power flow to the external grid from the V2H system led to an observed increase in V2H partial load operation, resulting in a situation characterized by diminished conversion efficiency.

本研究利用商用家庭能源管理系统(HEMS)的数据,阐明了住宅用双向直流充电器--车辆到家庭(V2H)系统的真实使用情况,并评估了 V2H 充放电过程中产生的电力转换损耗。在估算 V2H 充放电过程中的电力转换效率时,为 V2H 充电器的输入功率构建了部分负载效率曲线,从而确认峰值效率非常接近额定效率。这些确定的特征对于 V2H 系统模拟具有价值。此外,经证实,在取样家庭中,当 V2H 充电器处于不活动状态时,每年会产生大量待机电量,从 92 千瓦时到 142 千瓦时不等。此外,由于缺乏从 V2H 系统流向外部电网的反向电力流,因此观察到 V2H 部分负载运行增加,导致转换效率降低。
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引用次数: 0
Combining techno-economic modeling and spatial analysis for heat planning in rural regions: A case study of the Holbæk municipality in Denmark 将技术经济建模和空间分析相结合,促进农村地区的供热规划:丹麦霍尔拜克市案例研究
Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-05-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.segy.2024.100144
Hyunkyo Yu , Claire Bergaentzlé , Stefan Petrović , Erik O. Ahlgren , Filip Johnsson

This study examines the opportunities and challenges related to heat decarbonization in rural municipalities by applying a spatial analysis in combination with techno-economic modeling using TIMES. While the transition to low-carbon heating technologies is progressing in urban areas, this shift is happening more slowly in rural areas, reflecting a difference in decarbonization rate between urban and rural contexts. This study takes the Holbæk Municipality in Denmark as a case to investigate the potential for rural heating systems considering local fuels, excess heat, and investments in different energy infrastructures. The technology options investigated include both individual heating technologies, such as domestic boilers and heat pumps, and district heating. The modeling results demonstrate that use of excess heat from the municipal wastewater treatment plant and the neighboring industrial site for district heating competes with individual heating systems that have heat pumps and biogas-fueled boilers, where the mix depends on the conditions assumed for each technology and the heat demand density. The extent of district heating expansion differs between districts in the municipality, ranging from 14% to 100% depending on the heat demand density and proximity to the current district heating network. The different possibilities for the transition of the heating sector revealed in this work indicate that a successful transition will require both a clear policy for the heating sector and an explicit decarbonization strategy for the industries that can provide excess heat for district heating.

本研究通过使用 TIMES 结合技术经济模型进行空间分析,探讨了与农村城市供热脱碳相关的机遇和挑战。城市地区正在向低碳供热技术转型,而农村地区的转型速度较慢,这反映了城市和农村地区在去碳化速度上的差异。本研究以丹麦 Holbæk 市为例,从当地燃料、多余热量以及不同能源基础设施投资等方面,调查农村供热系统的潜力。研究的技术方案包括家用锅炉和热泵等单项供热技术以及区域供热。建模结果表明,使用城市污水处理厂和邻近工业用地的多余热量进行区域供热,与使用热泵和沼气锅炉的单独供热系统相竞争,其中的组合取决于每种技术的假设条件和热需求密度。市内各区的区域供热扩展程度各不相同,从 14% 到 100% 不等,取决于热需求密度和与当前区域供热网络的距离。本研究揭示的供热行业转型的不同可能性表明,成功的转型既需要明确的供热行业政策,也需要为可为区域供热提供多余热量的行业制定明确的去碳化战略。
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引用次数: 0
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