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Urban Unemployment Duration Analysis in Post-Reform China 改革开放后中国城市失业持续时间分析
Q4 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2024-05-01 DOI: 10.37625/abr.27.1.302-325
Soumyatanu Mukherjee, Soumya Roy
We link China’s accession to the WTO with the unemployment duration of urban jobseekers. Using data from the Rural Urban Migration in China (RUMiC) of a survey conducted in early 2008, we construct an inflow sample of those who started a period of joblessness between January 2002 and December 2007 to estimate the unemployment duration for local urban jobseekers. Deploying the Cox Proportional Hazards and Accelerated Failure Time models, we find reduced trade policy uncertainty significantly shortens unemployment duration, with hazard-rate varying across internal in-migrants and urban natives, due to variations in job accessibility and reservation wages.
我们将中国加入世贸组织与城镇求职者的失业持续时间联系起来。我们利用 2008 年初进行的中国农村城市人口迁移(RUMiC)调查数据,构建了 2002 年 1 月至 2007 年 12 月期间开始失业的人口流入样本,以估计当地城镇求职者的失业持续时间。通过使用考克斯比例危害模型和加速失败时间模型,我们发现贸易政策不确定性的降低显著缩短了失业持续时间,而由于就业可得性和保留工资的不同,危害率在内部移民和城市本地人之间存在差异。
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引用次数: 0
A New Look at the Connectedness Between Energy and Metal Markets Using a Novel Approach 用新方法重新审视能源和金属市场之间的关联性
Q4 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2024-05-01 DOI: 10.37625/abr.27.1.116-166
Adeolu O. Adewuyi, Olusegun S. Adeboye, A. Tiwari
This study extends the existing literature in this area by examining the conditional connectedness between energy and metal markets using a novel time-varying quantile and frequency connectedness method developed by Chatziantoniou, et al. (2022) based on Ando, et al. (2018) and Barunik & Krehlik (2018) techniques. Connectedness between the markets was analyzed across various times and frequencies, with daily data covering May 18, 2011, to September 23, 2020. Short-term dynamics strongly drive the total pairwise shocks, while the contribution of medium-term dynamics was meagre, and that of long-term dynamics was insignificant. While the natural gas, gasoline, gas oil, heating oil, crude oil, coal, kerosene, propane, and diesel markets spilled-out shocks to many markets, gold, copper, aluminum, platinum, silver, nickel, palladium and lead markets received shocks from many markets. Zinc appears as an isolated market. The market which influenced the majority of other markets is natural gas, followed by gasoline, gas oil, heating oil, crude oil, coal, kerosene, propane and diesel. In contrast, zinc did not influence any of the markets. The pairwise connectedness results reveal the existence of intra-market linkages within the energy markets (horizontal market integration), while inter-market associations also exist between energy and metal markets (vertical market integration). However, there are only intra-market linkages in the metal markets. Linkages are strong in some markets during the COVID-19 crisis. These results inform some policy recommendations well-articulated in the conclusion section.
本研究使用 Chatziantoniou 等人(2022 年)在 Ando 等人(2018 年)和 Barunik & Krehlik(2018 年)技术的基础上开发的一种新型时变量级和频率关联性方法,对能源和金属市场之间的条件关联性进行了研究,从而扩展了该领域的现有文献。通过 2011 年 5 月 18 日至 2020 年 9 月 23 日的每日数据,分析了不同时间和频率下市场之间的关联性。短期动态有力地推动了总的成对冲击,而中期动态的贡献微不足道,长期动态的贡献也不明显。天然气、汽油、煤气油、取暖油、原油、煤炭、煤油、丙烷和柴油市场的冲击波及多个市场,而黄金、铜、铝、铂、银、镍、钯和铅市场则受到来自多个市场的冲击。锌似乎是一个孤立的市场。影响其他大多数市场的市场是天然气,其次是汽油、燃气油、取暖油、原油、煤炭、煤油、丙烷和柴油。相比之下,锌对任何市场都没有影响。成对关联度结果显示,能源市场内部存在市场内关联(横向市场一体化),而能源市场和金属市场之间也存在市场间关联(纵向市场一体化)。然而,金属市场只存在市场内部联系。在 COVID-19 危机期间,某些市场的关联性很强。这些结果为结论部分详细阐述的一些政策建议提供了依据。
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引用次数: 0
The Effect of Managerial Ability on the Market Valuation of Unrecognized Tax Benefits 管理能力对未确认税收优惠市场估值的影响
Q4 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2024-05-01 DOI: 10.37625/abr.27.1.349-371
Chunhao Xu, Xiangge Wang, Shiyou Li, Rachana Kalelkar, Lili Gai
This study examines the effect of managerial ability on the market valuation of unrecognized tax benefits (UTBs). While UTBs are generally associated with significant risks, we hypothesize that highly able managers can enhance the market valuation of the UTBs through their ability and efforts to report high-quality UTBs and retain the economic benefits of tax strategies. Consistent with our expectations, we find that managerial ability positively moderates the relationship between UTBs and firm values. Our additional analyses show that highly able executives can reduce firms’ future overall tax risk and tax settlements. Collectively, our findings suggest that the stock market values UTBs positively in firms managed by highly capable executives who can minimize tax risks while lowering tax payments.
本研究探讨了管理能力对未确认税收优惠(UTBs)市场估值的影响。虽然UTB 通常与重大风险相关联,但我们假设,高能力的管理者可以通过其报告高质量UTB 的能力和努力提高UTB 的市场估值,并保留税收战略的经济效益。与我们的预期一致,我们发现管理能力正向调节了UTB 与公司价值之间的关系。我们的补充分析表明,高能力的高管可以降低企业未来的整体税务风险和税务结算。总之,我们的研究结果表明,对于由高能力高管管理的公司来说,股票市场对UTBs的估值是积极的,因为高能力高管可以最大限度地降低税务风险,同时减少纳税额。
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引用次数: 0
To Sue or Not To Sue?: Foreign-Sounding CEO Name and Class-Action Lawsuits 起诉与否:听起来像外国人的首席执行官名字与集体诉讼
Q4 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2024-05-01 DOI: 10.37625/abr.27.1.5-95
Gajanan Ganji, Arati Kale, Devendra Kale
In this paper, we investigate if the perceived name-based ethnicity of CEOs has any relationship with the likelihood of shareholder class-action lawsuits. Using machine learning algorithms on CEO names, we develop an objective proxy of name-based ethnicity and find that firms managed by ‘foreign-sounding’ CEOs exhibit a lower likelihood of class-action lawsuits. Our results are robust to matched sample analysis, Heckman two-stage selection, alternate model specifications as well as use of an alternate proxy. We further find that succession of a foreign-sounding CEO by a non-foreign-sounding CEO increases the likelihood of class-action lawsuits. Our paper has important implications for firms, especially in high litigation industries or high litigation situations.
在本文中,我们研究了首席执行官的姓名种族是否与股东集体诉讼的可能性有任何关系。通过对首席执行官姓名的机器学习算法,我们开发出了基于姓名的种族的客观替代指标,并发现由 "听起来像外国人 "的首席执行官管理的公司表现出较低的集体诉讼可能性。我们的结果对匹配样本分析、赫克曼两阶段选择、替代模型规格以及使用替代替代物都是稳健的。我们进一步发现,由非外籍首席执行官接任外籍首席执行官会增加集体诉讼的可能性。我们的论文对企业,尤其是高诉讼行业或高诉讼情况下的企业具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
Asset Returns and Economic Uncertainty: A Cross-Country Analysis 资产回报与经济不确定性:跨国分析
Q4 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2024-05-01 DOI: 10.37625/abr.27.1.244-276
Javed Bin Kamal, A. Hossain, Omar Al Farooque, M. Wohar
This paper examines the effects of economic uncertainty (idiosyncratic vis-à-vis common uncertainty) on equity, bond and housing returns across both developed and developing countries. Building on International/Intertemporal Capital Asset Pricing Model (ICAPM), we find that economic uncertainty exerts negative effects on equity, bond and housing returns. When we decompose economic uncertainty into two parts: idiosyncratic and common economic uncertainty, we find that ‘idiosyncratic uncertainty’ affects equity, bond and housing returns more negative and pronounced than ‘common’ uncertainty, where investors do not demonstrate differences in responses to the different dimensions of uncertainty. Moreover, there are weak lagged effects of economic uncertainty on asset returns. Additionally, we find negative uncertainty premium for equity more persistently in bullish rather than bearish market conditions. Our results are also robust for low frequency data and inclusion of covid period in the analysis. Our findings have implications for policy makers in both developed and emerging markets regarding clear communication of economic policies.
本文研究了发达国家和发展中国家的经济不确定性(特异不确定性与共同不确定性)对股票、债券和住房回报率的影响。在国际/跨时资本资产定价模型(ICAPM)的基础上,我们发现经济不确定性对股票、债券和住房回报率产生了负面影响。当我们将经济不确定性分解为两个部分:特异性经济不确定性和普通经济不确定性时,我们发现 "特异性不确定性 "对股票、债券和住房回报率的负面影响比 "普通 "不确定性更明显,投资者对不同维度的不确定性的反应没有表现出差异。此外,经济不确定性对资产回报率的滞后影响也很微弱。此外,我们发现在市场看涨而非看跌的情况下,股票的负不确定性溢价更为持久。我们的分析结果对于低频数据和纳入协变量期也是稳健的。我们的研究结果对发达市场和新兴市场的政策制定者明确传达经济政策具有启示意义。
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引用次数: 0
Designing Efficient and Equitable Freight Services Markets for Sustainable Economic Performance 设计高效公平的货运服务市场,实现可持续经济效益
Q4 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2024-05-01 DOI: 10.37625/abr.27.1.167-181
Arim Park, Mark Rodgers, Soohyun Cho
Despite the indispensability of freight trucking services and truckers’ role as critical stakeholders in supply chains, relatively little attention has been paid to analyzing small independent truckers’ roles. Shippers often prefer working with larger trucking companies to the detriment of smaller independent truckers, who must grapple with an inherently disadvantageous job market. Furthermore, in the presence of uncertainty or peak demand periods, trucker shortages can pose significant economic challenges for shippers and downstream customers. In this paper, we propose an analytical framework to address these challenges in efforts to enhance the sustainability of the freight service industry. We formulate and solve a weighted bi-objective optimization model that simultaneously maximizes the total profits of both shippers and truckers to design a sustainable freight services market. Further, we leverage Monte Carlo simulation trials to examine how all players in this market can achieve a better solution under uncertainty. Ultimately, after evaluating multiple scenarios, we find that shippers and truckers yield the highest economic benefits under a balanced design that leverages principles of supply chain coordination, while satisfying all demand from shippers. This framework can serve as a decision support tool for policymakers who aim to ensure all stakeholders in the market can become and remain profitable. Based on our findings, this study suggests practical implications on how to consider humanitarian policies aimed at promoting equity for truckers and ensuring the timely shipment of essential products for both shippers and truckers.
尽管卡车货运服务不可或缺,卡车司机在供应链中也扮演着重要的利益相关者角色,但人们对分析小型独立卡车司机角色的关注却相对较少。托运人通常更愿意与大型卡车公司合作,这不利于小型独立卡车司机,因为他们必须面对固有的不利就业市场。此外,在不确定或需求高峰期,卡车司机短缺会给托运人和下游客户带来巨大的经济挑战。在本文中,我们提出了一个分析框架来应对这些挑战,努力提高货运服务业的可持续性。我们制定并求解了一个加权双目标优化模型,该模型可同时使托运人和卡车司机的总利润最大化,从而设计出一个可持续的货运服务市场。此外,我们还利用蒙特卡洛模拟试验来研究市场中的所有参与者如何在不确定的情况下实现更好的解决方案。最终,在对多种方案进行评估后,我们发现托运人和卡车司机在利用供应链协调原则的平衡设计下获得了最高的经济效益,同时满足了托运人的所有需求。这一框架可作为决策者的决策支持工具,帮助他们确保市场中的所有利益相关者都能实现并保持盈利。基于我们的研究结果,本研究就如何考虑旨在促进卡车司机公平、确保托运人和卡车司机及时运输基本产品的人道主义政策提出了实际建议。
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引用次数: 0
Firm Type and Unconditional Conservatism: The Indian Experience with IFRS Convergence 公司类型与无条件保守主义:印度的《国际财务报告准则》趋同经验
Q4 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2024-05-01 DOI: 10.37625/abr.27.1.221-243
Debarati Basu
This paper investigates how private and public firms vary with respect to unconditional conservatism in financial reporting in the pre and post IFRS worlds. I consider unconditional conservatism (UC) which pre-empts the more commonly studied conditional conservatism, private firms that are differently regulated, IFRS convergence instead of the more uniform IFRS adoption and an emerging market. Using a large Indian sample of 63,000 observations across more than 15,500 firms (~41% are private) over 10 years (2011-2020), I show that private firms are less unconditionally conservative than public firms. Also, contrary to literature, IFRS convergence increases conservatism in India and reduces the conservatism gap between private and public firms. These results hold even after controlling for monitoring, governance, and group-affiliation. This adds significantly to our understanding of how the effect of uniform accounting standards on reporting choices of different firm types varies significantly by and within a context and region.
本文研究了在采用《国际财务报告准则》之前和之后,私营企业和上市公司在财务报告无条件保守主义方面的差异。我考虑了无条件保守主义(UC)(它先于更常研究的有条件保守主义)、受不同监管的私营企业、《国际财务报告准则》趋同(而非更统一的《国际财务报告准则》采用)以及新兴市场。通过对印度超过 15,500 家企业(约 41% 为私营企业)10 年(2011-2020 年)的 63,000 个观测数据进行大量抽样,我发现私营企业的无条件保守程度低于上市公司。此外,与文献相反,《国际财务报告准则》的趋同增加了印度企业的保守性,缩小了私营企业与上市企业之间的保守性差距。即使在控制了监督、治理和集团隶属关系之后,这些结果仍然成立。这大大加深了我们的理解,即统一会计准则对不同类型公司的报告选择的影响如何因环境和地区的不同而存在显著差异。
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引用次数: 0
A Rational Perspective of Servant Leadership: Towards a Paradigm Shift in Servant Leader Motivation 仆人式领导的理性视角:实现仆人式领导激励范式的转变
Q4 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2024-05-01 DOI: 10.37625/abr.27.1.326-348
Kevin J. Hurt, Ross Nolan
Advocates of servant leadership maintain that altruism is the foundational ethic fueling the success of the servant leader. Thus, the foremost requirement of a servant leader is the possession of a concern for others above and beyond his or herself. Researchers have largely neglected the possibility that servant leaders may be, at least partially, motivated by self-interest. We challenge the current foundational ethic attributed with servant leadership and put forth a new ethical perspective. Reviewing four motivational states, from purely other-centered to purely self-centered, we introduce a conceptual model and argue that the proper ethic to ascribe with servant leadership is a dual motivational perspective of rational self-interest and agapao love. A dual motivational perspective allows the servant leader to avoid the negative consequences of the self-sacrificial, altruistic motivation while maintaining the positive, pro-social behaviors that improve organizational outcomes associated with servant leadership.
仆人式领导的倡导者坚持认为,利他主义是推动仆人式领导成功的基本伦理。因此,对仆人式领导者的首要要求是拥有超越自身的对他人的关心。研究人员在很大程度上忽视了仆人式领导至少有部分动机是出于自身利益的可能性。我们对当前服务型领导的基本伦理提出了质疑,并提出了一个新的伦理视角。我们回顾了从纯粹以他人为中心到纯粹以自我为中心的四种动机状态,提出了一个概念模型,并认为仆人式领导的正确道德观是理性的利己主义和阿加帕奥之爱的双重动机视角。双重动机视角允许仆人式领导者避免自我牺牲、利他主义动机的负面影响,同时保持积极的亲社会行为,从而改善与仆人式领导相关的组织成果。
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引用次数: 0
The Boundary Conditions of Optimal Contracting and Managerial Entrenchment: A Simultaneous Two-Equation Vector Autoregression with Exogenous Variables Approach for Chief Executive Officer Compensation and Firm Performance 最优契约和管理者箝制的边界条件:首席执行官薪酬与公司业绩的同步两方程向量自回归与外生变量法
Q4 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2024-05-01 DOI: 10.37625/abr.27.1.182-206
Juehui Shi, Ngoc Cindy Pham
We apply the vector autoregression with exogenous variables (VARX) approach to integrate the optimal contracting theory, the managerial entrenchment theory, the principal-agent theory, the contextual criteria theory, and the upper echelon theory. Based on this new approach, we discover two middle ground conditions between the boundary of managerial entrenchment and optimal contracting, where CEO non-entrenchment or entrenchment cannot be explained by the managerial entrenchment theory or optimal contracting theory alone. For example, some CEOs are not entrenched when the agency problem is not mitigated, while others are entrenched when the agency problem is mitigated. The results imply that merely mitigating the agency problem cannot prevent managerial entrenchment. However, not mitigating the agency problem at all leads to managerial entrenchment. We recommend the boards look at other non-financial means and social approaches (e.g., value- and culture-based trainings, performance recognition, goodwill and friendship building events, pay transparency increase, smooth flow of information among stakeholders, value-adding managerial investments, oversight committee) to minimize the impact of managerial entrenchment on both firm performance and CEO compensation. In addition, we recommend the boards take on the approaches unique to their own firms and their CEOs to address managerial entrenchment.
我们运用带有外生变量的向量自回归(VARX)方法,整合了最优契约理论、经理人堑壕理论、委托代理理论、情境标准理论和上层梯队理论。基于这一新方法,我们发现了介于经理人堑壕和最优契约边界之间的两个中间条件,即 CEO 不堑壕或堑壕不能仅用经理人堑壕理论或最优契约理论来解释。例如,当代理问题没有得到缓解时,一些首席执行官不会被控制,而当代理问题得到缓解时,另一些首席执行官则会被控制。这些结果表明,仅仅缓解代理问题并不能防止管理阶层的固化。但是,如果完全不缓解代理问题,则会导致经理人的固化。我们建议董事会关注其他非财务手段和社会方法(例如,基于价值和文化的培训、绩效表彰、亲善和友谊建设活动、提高薪酬透明度、利益相关者之间的信息畅通、增值管理投资、监督委员会),以最大限度地减少经理人职位固化对公司业绩和首席执行官薪酬的影响。此外,我们还建议董事会采取适合本公司及其首席执行官的独特方法来解决管理者职位固化问题。
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引用次数: 0
Embracing AI with Integrity: Recommendations for Authors and Reviewers at American Business Review 诚信拥抱人工智能:美国商业评论》对作者和审稿人的建议
Q4 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2024-05-01 DOI: 10.37625/abr.27.1.1-4
As Editors of the American Business Review (ABR), we are navigating a complex landscape as the rapid integration of Artificial Intelligence (AI) into academic research unfolds. This digital transformation era offers remarkable opportunities yet poses significant challenges, particularly in educational contexts. As teachers, we've all observed a surge in AI usage among students where outputs often appear coherent initially but may lack depth or relevance to the class content. Many of these instances underscore critical aspects of AI, such as the "black box" problem, where the decision-making processes of AI systems are opaque, making it difficult for users to understand how conclusions are drawn.
作为《美国商业评论》(ABR)的编辑,随着人工智能(AI)与学术研究的快速融合,我们正处于一个复杂的环境中。这个数字化转型时代提供了非凡的机遇,同时也带来了巨大的挑战,尤其是在教育领域。作为教师,我们都观察到学生对人工智能的使用激增,最初的输出往往看起来很连贯,但可能缺乏深度或与课堂内容不相关。许多此类情况都凸显了人工智能的关键方面,例如 "黑箱 "问题,即人工智能系统的决策过程不透明,用户难以理解结论是如何得出的。
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引用次数: 0
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