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Water resources management deficiencies from an environmental perspective: An assessment of the shanty towns of Peri-urban Metropolitan Lima 从环境角度看水资源管理的不足:对利马城郊棚户区的评估
Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2025-12-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.envc.2025.101386
Juan Carlos Pena Philippides , Kamal A. Alsharif , Luis Humberto Chirif Rivera , Christopher F. Meindl , Shawn M. Landry , Ricardo Izurieta
The rapid increase in population has a considerable influence on the environment and poses a substantial challenge for the development of peri‑urban areas worldwide. These human settlements are becoming increasingly common: shanty towns or peri‑urban areas, where essential services such as direct water supply and sewage systems are often deficient. The need for strategic planning to facilitate urban adaptation to emerging issues and mitigate adverse trends is substantial. This study examines the primary environmental issue of inaccessible direct water distribution and the lack of sanitation affecting peri‑urban metropolitan Lima, which is home to over 1 million residents.
The development in Lima's urban areas and shanty towns reflects a swift transformation in land use due to both regulated and unregulated urbanization. The population of the shantytowns in the peri‑urban region of Lima is generally impoverished. Water quality is a significant issue in the community, as water tanks are exposed to environmental influences and contaminated by various types of pollutants. Therefore, immediate intervention from the government is needed to guarantee that peri‑urban residents have access to safe drinking water: SEDAPAL managing water distribution and overseeing the water quality, and educating the communities on how to preserve water is an essential task. Research methods to ensure a proper analysis included GIS, community surveys, stakeholder interviews, and water sampling assessment by spectrophotometric analysis specifically for heavy metals. These assessments involve establishing accessible and sustainable water and sanitation systems for all communities and citizens. Nonetheless, there is a substantial population of shantytowns in the peri‑urban areas of metropolitan Lima.
人口的迅速增加对环境产生了相当大的影响,并对全世界城郊地区的发展构成了重大挑战。这些人类住区正变得越来越普遍:棚户区或城郊地区,那里往往缺乏直接供水和污水处理系统等基本服务。需要进行战略规划,以促进城市适应新出现的问题并缓解不利趋势。本研究考察了影响100多万居民居住的近郊大都市利马的主要环境问题,即无法直接供水和缺乏卫生设施。利马城区和棚户区的发展反映了受管制和不受管制的城市化导致的土地利用的迅速转变。利马城郊地区棚户区的人口普遍贫困。水质是社会的一个重要问题,因为水箱受到环境的影响,并受到各种污染物的污染。因此,需要政府立即进行干预,以确保城郊居民能够获得安全饮用水:seapal管理供水和监督水质,并教育社区如何保护水资源是一项重要任务。确保正确分析的研究方法包括地理信息系统、社区调查、利益相关者访谈以及通过分光光度法分析重金属的水样评估。这些评估涉及为所有社区和公民建立可获得和可持续的水和卫生系统。然而,在大都市利马的城郊地区有大量的棚户区人口。
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引用次数: 0
Environmental deregulation by design: Institutional capacities and the perils of Brazil’s new environmental licensing law 环境放松管制的设计:机构能力和巴西新环境许可法的危险
Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2025-12-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.envc.2025.101383
José Amorim Reis-Filho , Yram Lecht Fiterman , Tommaso Giarrizzo , Eurico Mesquita Noleto-Filho
Decentralizing environmental governance is often cast a route to greater administrative efficiency and local empowerment. Yet its ability to uphold socio-environmental safeguards remains under-scrutinized, particularly when authority is devolved to subnational entities with limited institutional capacity. Brazil faces its most severe regulatory rollback: The environmental legislation reform would dramatically expand municipal autonomy in environmental licensing—including for complex, high-impact projects—while weakening oversight mechanisms, community consultation, and technical safeguards. To evaluate the risks of this institutional shift, we assessed the environmental governance and institutional capacity of 1270 municipalities across all twenty-six Brazilian states. Using a multidimensional framework, we analyzed indicators such as the presence of municipal environmental secretariats, existence of local environmental legislation and councils, and availability of qualified technical staff. Our findings reveal widespread and persistent institutional fragility: most municipalities lack even the minimum structures required to conduct precautionary and effective environmental licensing. These deficits are especially acute in regions with lower Human Development Index (HDI) and in ecologically critical biomes such as the Amazon—home to the planet’s highest biodiversity—and the Caatinga, a uniquely Brazilian semiarid biome of high socioecological vulnerability. We also identify strong associations between territorial, socioeconomic, and environmental profiles of municipalities and their institutional readiness. We argue about the need to strengthen municipal capacity, standardize licensing procedures, and provide intergovernmental technical support before transferring complex projects to local authorities. Without these safeguards, decentralization could undermine Brazil’s environmental protection and its commitments under global frameworks. This study offers a national-scale diagnostic of subnational environmental governance and provides a scalable framework for assessing institutional capacity in countries facing similar deregulatory pressures.
下放环境管理权力往往被视为提高行政效率和赋予地方权力的途径。然而,其维护社会环境保障的能力仍未得到充分审查,特别是当权力下放给机构能力有限的次国家实体时。巴西面临着最严重的监管倒退:环境立法改革将极大地扩大市政在环境许可方面的自主权——包括复杂的、高影响的项目——同时削弱监督机制、社区咨询和技术保障。为了评估这种制度转变的风险,我们评估了巴西所有26个州的1270个城市的环境治理和制度能力。使用多维框架,我们分析了诸如市级环境秘书处的存在、地方环境立法和委员会的存在以及合格技术人员的可用性等指标。我们的研究结果揭示了普遍而持久的制度脆弱性:大多数市政当局甚至缺乏进行预防性和有效的环境许可所需的最低结构。这些缺陷在人类发展指数(HDI)较低的地区和生态关键型生物群系尤其严重,比如亚马逊——地球上生物多样性最高的家园——和Caatinga——巴西独有的半干旱生物群系,具有高度的社会生态脆弱性。我们还确定了城市的领土、社会经济和环境概况与其制度准备程度之间的密切联系。我们认为有必要加强市政能力,规范许可程序,并在将复杂项目移交给地方当局之前提供政府间技术支持。如果没有这些保障措施,权力下放可能会破坏巴西的环境保护及其在全球框架下的承诺。本研究提供了国家层面的次国家环境治理诊断,并提供了一个可扩展的框架,用于评估面临类似放松管制压力的国家的机构能力。
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引用次数: 0
Global imbalances in tropical Cesium-137 bioaccumulation research: A PRISMA-guided bibliometric assessment of geographic and methodological disparities 热带铯-137生物积累研究中的全球失衡:prisma引导的地理和方法差异的文献计量评估
Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2025-12-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.envc.2025.101387
Abubakar Umar , Mohamad Syazwan Mohd Sanusi
Cesium-137 (¹³⁷Cs) poses heightened radiological risks in tropical and subtropical ecosystems due to environmental conditions that enhance its mobility. Yet, a diagnostic bibliometric analysis of 38 empirical studies (2005–2024) reveals that knowledge production is shaped by epistemic asymmetry rather than ecological need. We find a reactive research agenda, thematic overemphasis on soil systems, and a stark productivity–impact decoupling: Brazil and India produce 60 % of studies but receive only 22 % of citations, reflecting systemic inequities in visibility and authority. High-risk regions including Malaysia and Central Africa remain absent from authorship and discourse. These patterns constrain the validity of region-specific risk assessments. We propose three evidence-based shifts: (1) IAEA-coordinated tropical-specific radioecological protocols; (2) targeted funding for underrepresented ecosystems; and (3) equitable international collaboration through co-leadership and open data sharing. All data are publicly archived (DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17529451).
铯-137(¹³⁷Cs)在热带和亚热带生态系统中具有更高的放射性风险,因为环境条件增强了其流动性。然而,对38项实证研究(2005-2024)的诊断性文献计量分析表明,知识生产是由认知不对称而不是生态需求形成的。我们发现了一个被动的研究议程,主题过分强调土壤系统,以及明显的生产力影响脱钩:巴西和印度产生了60% %的研究,但只获得了22% %的引用,反映了可见性和权威方面的系统性不平等。包括马来西亚和中非在内的高风险地区仍然缺席作者和讨论。这些模式限制了特定区域风险评估的有效性。我们提出了三个基于证据的转变:(1)国际原子能机构协调的热带特定放射生态学协议;(2)有针对性地为代表性不足的生态系统提供资金;(3)通过共同领导和开放数据共享实现公平的国际合作。所有数据都公开存档(DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17529451)。
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引用次数: 0
Synthesis, characterization, and response surface methodology-based parametric optimization of copper-modified LSX zeolite for efficient cyanide ion removal 铜改性LSX沸石的合成、表征及响应面法参数优化
Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2025-12-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.envc.2025.101385
Leta Dereje Wilessa, Abdi Nemera Imana PhD, Abdisa Jabesa PhD, Gadissa Tokuma Gindaba
Cyanide contamination from industrial and mining effluents poses a serious environmental and public health risk. This study reports the synthesis, characterization, and parametric optimization of copper-modified low-silica X (Cu-LSX) zeolite for efficient cyanide ions (CN⁻) removal. The adsorbent was prepared by hydrothermal synthesis and copper ion exchange, and characterized using Scanning Electron Microscopy (SEM), Thermogravimetric Analysis (TGA), Fourier Transform Infrared (FTIR) spectroscopy, and Brunauer-Emmett-Teller (BET). The results show that Cu-LSX possesses a higher surface area (432.1 m²/g) than unmodified LSX (285.2 m²/g), along with improved porosity, stability, and a preserved crystalline structure. SEM image confirmed the formation of a porous morphology, which is suitable for adsorption. The equilibrium adsorption isotherm analysis for CN⁻ on the Cu-LSX zeolite showed that the Langmuir model (R² = 0.9975) provided a slightly better fit than the Freundlich model (R² = 0.9930). This suggests that CN⁻ adsorption proceeds predominantly via monolayer coverage on a homogeneous surface, indicating the Langmuir isotherm as the more appropriate model for describing the adsorption process. Optimization of process parameters using response surface methodology (RSM) (central composite design (CCD)) revealed an optimal CN⁻ removal efficiency of 96.7 %. The two-factor interaction (2FI) model provided the best fit (R² = 0.997), confirming the reliability of the predictions. These findings demonstrate that Cu-LSX zeolite is a robust, high-capacity adsorbent with significant potential for industrial wastewater treatment applications.
工业和采矿废水中的氰化物污染构成严重的环境和公共健康风险。本研究报道了铜修饰低硅X (Cu-LSX)沸石的合成、表征和参数优化,用于高效去除氰化物离子(CN⁻)。采用水热合成和铜离子交换法制备了该吸附剂,并利用扫描电镜(SEM)、热重分析(TGA)、傅里叶变换红外光谱(FTIR)和布鲁诺尔-埃米特-泰勒(BET)对其进行了表征。结果表明,Cu-LSX比未改性的LSX (285.2 m²/g)具有更高的表面积(432.1 m²/g),并且具有更好的孔隙率、稳定性和完整的晶体结构。SEM图像证实了多孔形态的形成,适合吸附。对Cu-LSX分子筛的平衡吸附等温线分析表明,Langmuir模型(R²= 0.9975)比Freundlich模型(R²= 0.9930)的拟合性稍好。这表明,CN -吸附主要是通过均匀表面的单层覆盖进行的,这表明Langmuir等温线是描述吸附过程更合适的模型。利用响应面法(RSM)(中心复合设计(CCD))对工艺参数进行优化,结果显示,最优的CN毒枭清除效率为96.7%。双因子交互作用(2FI)模型拟合最佳(R²= 0.997),证实了预测的可靠性。这些发现表明,Cu-LSX沸石是一种强大的,高容量吸附剂,具有巨大的工业废水处理应用潜力。
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引用次数: 0
Does the adoption of improved pulse technologies increase farm profitability in the face of climate risk? Evidence from coastal Bangladesh 面对气候风险,采用改进的脉冲技术是否能提高农场的盈利能力?来自孟加拉国沿海地区的证据
Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2025-12-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.envc.2025.101384
Nanda Dulal Kundu , Md. Taj Uddin , Andrila Sarker Shama , M. Nahid Sattar , Monoj Kumar Majumder , Md. Touhedul Islam Tushar , Md. Monirul Islam
Pulse crops are an important source of income, nutrition, and soil fertility for smallholders in coastal Bangladesh; however, their productivity remains low due to limited adoption of improved technologies. Evidence on how these technologies influence farm performance in climate-stressed environments remains scarce. This study assesses the adoption of improved pulse crop technologies (PCTs) and examines their effects on farm profitability and production efficiency across three major pulse crops. A multistage random sampling approach was used to select 360 farmers (120 mungbean growers, 120 grasspea growers, and 120 cowpea growers) from four coastal districts. The adoption index results show that the overall adoption rate of PCTs is moderate, with the highest adoption rate (0.73) driven by the high uptake of Bangladesh Agricultural Research Institute (BARI) Mung-6. Adoption is significantly influenced by education level, access to credit & training, market connectivity, and whether farming is the main occupation. A comparative profitability analysis reveals that adopters consistently achieve higher yields, as well as higher gross and net returns and benefit-cost ratios, across all pulse crops. Stochastic frontier analysis estimates show that adopters are more technically efficient than non-adopters. Causal estimates through propensity score matching confirm that adoption leads to meaningful improvements in productivity and profitability, highlighting the economic benefits of using improved PCTs in coastal farming systems. These findings underscore the need for policies that strengthen extension services, increase access to credit and quality inputs, and support the wider dissemination of climate-adaptive PCTs to enhance the resilience and livelihoods of smallholder farmers in vulnerable coastal regions.
豆类作物是孟加拉国沿海地区小农收入、营养和土壤肥力的重要来源;然而,由于改进技术的采用有限,它们的生产率仍然很低。在气候紧张的环境中,这些技术如何影响农业绩效的证据仍然很少。本研究评估了改良脉冲作物技术(pct)的采用情况,并考察了它们对三种主要脉冲作物的农场盈利能力和生产效率的影响。采用多阶段随机抽样方法,从四个沿海地区选取360名农民(绿豆种植者120名,草籽种植者120名,豇豆种植者120名)。采用指数结果表明,pct的总体采用率中等,其中最高采用率为0.73,主要受孟加拉国农业研究所(BARI) Mung-6的高采用率驱动。收养受教育程度、获得信贷和培训的机会、市场连通性以及农业是否是主要职业的显著影响。一项比较盈利能力分析显示,在所有豆类作物中,采用者始终能获得更高的产量,以及更高的总回报和净回报以及效益成本比。随机前沿分析估计表明,采用者在技术上比非采用者更有效率。通过倾向得分匹配进行的因果估计证实,采用可显著提高生产率和盈利能力,突出了在沿海农业系统中使用改进的pct的经济效益。这些研究结果强调,需要制定政策,加强推广服务,增加获得信贷和优质投入的机会,并支持更广泛地传播适应气候变化的pct,以增强脆弱沿海地区小农的抵御力和生计。
{"title":"Does the adoption of improved pulse technologies increase farm profitability in the face of climate risk? Evidence from coastal Bangladesh","authors":"Nanda Dulal Kundu ,&nbsp;Md. Taj Uddin ,&nbsp;Andrila Sarker Shama ,&nbsp;M. Nahid Sattar ,&nbsp;Monoj Kumar Majumder ,&nbsp;Md. Touhedul Islam Tushar ,&nbsp;Md. Monirul Islam","doi":"10.1016/j.envc.2025.101384","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.envc.2025.101384","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Pulse crops are an important source of income, nutrition, and soil fertility for smallholders in coastal Bangladesh; however, their productivity remains low due to limited adoption of improved technologies. Evidence on how these technologies influence farm performance in climate-stressed environments remains scarce. This study assesses the adoption of improved pulse crop technologies (PCTs) and examines their effects on farm profitability and production efficiency across three major pulse crops. A multistage random sampling approach was used to select 360 farmers (120 mungbean growers, 120 grasspea growers, and 120 cowpea growers) from four coastal districts. The adoption index results show that the overall adoption rate of PCTs is moderate, with the highest adoption rate (0.73) driven by the high uptake of Bangladesh Agricultural Research Institute (BARI) Mung-6. Adoption is significantly influenced by education level, access to credit &amp; training, market connectivity, and whether farming is the main occupation. A comparative profitability analysis reveals that adopters consistently achieve higher yields, as well as higher gross and net returns and benefit-cost ratios, across all pulse crops. Stochastic frontier analysis estimates show that adopters are more technically efficient than non-adopters. Causal estimates through propensity score matching confirm that adoption leads to meaningful improvements in productivity and profitability, highlighting the economic benefits of using improved PCTs in coastal farming systems. These findings underscore the need for policies that strengthen extension services, increase access to credit and quality inputs, and support the wider dissemination of climate-adaptive PCTs to enhance the resilience and livelihoods of smallholder farmers in vulnerable coastal regions.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":34794,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Challenges","volume":"22 ","pages":"Article 101384"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-12-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145749830","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Determinants of agroecological practices adoption in mango-based farming systems: Evidence from southern Ethiopia 在以芒果为基础的农业系统中采用农业生态实践的决定因素:来自埃塞俄比亚南部的证据
Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2025-12-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.envc.2025.101382
Fasikaw Belay Mihretu , Melkamu Alemayehu , Mengistie Mossie , Yayeh Bitew , Tadele Tefera
Agroecological practices are a promising strategy for improving the productivity of mango-based farming systems sustainably. However, their adoptions among farmers in Ethiopia remain low and inconsistent. Despite their potential benefits, little is known about the extent of adoption, the interdependent nature of these practices, and the determinants associated with the farmers' decisions to adopt multiple agroecological practices. Hence, this investigation explores the determinants associated with the adoption of agroecological practices in mango-based farming systems in southern Ethiopia. The study employed a mixed-methods design using 395 randomly selected households. The multivariate probit and Poisson regression models were used for data analysis. Findings showed that crop diversification (90.63 %), integrated pest management (55.7 %), canopy management (53.16 %), organic fertilizer application (48.1 %), and topworking (27.09 %) of mango trees were the most commonly implemented agroecological practices that have significant complementarity. The multivariate probit model showed that farmers’ adoption of agroecological practices was positively associated with education, access to training, farmer experience, tree density, awareness of pest information, access to credit, and farm inputs. The Poisson regression analysis also indicated that older farmers tended to adopt fewer agroecological practices, whereas education, tree density, training, farm experience, and farm input use were positively associated with farmers' intensity to adopt the agroecological practices. Therefore, the study suggests that the extension program should focus on introducing context and site-specific agroecological practices and support farmers with relevant skill and knowledge training as well as input supplies. Moreover, policies and support programs should prioritize the dissemination of best agroecological practices and lessons learned elsewhere to smallholder farmers.
农业生态实践是可持续提高以芒果为基础的农业系统生产力的一种有前途的战略。然而,埃塞俄比亚农民对它们的采用率仍然很低且不稳定。尽管它们有潜在的好处,但人们对采用的程度、这些做法的相互依存性质以及与农民决定采用多种农业生态做法有关的决定因素知之甚少。因此,本调查探讨了埃塞俄比亚南部以芒果为基础的农业系统中采用农业生态实践的决定因素。该研究采用混合方法设计,随机选择395个家庭。采用多元probit和泊松回归模型进行数据分析。结果表明,作物多样化(90.63%)、病虫害综合治理(55.7%)、树冠管理(53.16%)、施用有机肥(48.1%)和对芒果树进行顶耕(27.09%)是最常用的具有显著互补性的农业生态措施。多变量probit模型显示,农民采用农业生态实践与教育程度、获得培训的机会、农民经验、树木密度、害虫信息意识、获得信贷的机会和农业投入呈正相关。泊松回归分析还表明,年龄较大的农民倾向于较少采用农业生态实践,而教育程度、树木密度、培训、农场经验和农场投入使用与农民采用农业生态实践的强度呈正相关。因此,研究建议推广项目应侧重于引入因地制宜的农业生态实践,并向农民提供相关的技能和知识培训以及投入物供应。此外,政策和支持方案应优先向小农传播最佳生态农业实践和其他地方的经验教训。
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引用次数: 0
Seasonal contamination of heavy metals in Tawi River - Sources, fate, and health implications 塔威河重金属季节性污染的来源、命运及健康影响
Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2025-12-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.envc.2025.101380
Avinash Bhagat , Sunil Kumar , Som Nath Kundal , Irfan Ahmad Wani , Isha Devi , Nafees Ahmad , Neha , Jatin S. Manhas , Ambili Anoop , Praveen K Mishra
The present study assesses the non-carcinogenic and carcinogenic effects of HMs in the Tawi River, with a focus on seasonal (December – S1, and July - S2) and altitudinal variation. The seasonal comparison showed higher Al and Fe concentrations in July (season 2) samples, suggesting intensified monsoon-induced weathering. However, Hg concentrations were consistently higher (in both seasons) at higher altitudes, suggesting the influence of atmospheric deposition and “cold trapping” processes. Further, the non-carcinogenic effects measured through hazard quotient (HQ) show minimal risk from all metals. The hazard index (HI) values for selected metal lie below 1 (HI<1), except for arsenic (in seasons 1 and 2) and Hg (in season 2 only). This reflects a seasonal weathering-induced mobilisation of arsenic during the monsoon. The carcinogenic risk (CR) analysis indicated that the samples collected during S1 showed a low to very low risk for Cr, Ni, Cd and Pb, whereas As falls into the medium-risk category, with children being more vulnerable than adults to HM exposure. Similarly, for the samples collected during S2, CR values for Cr, Ni, and As fall in the medium risk category, whereas Cd and Pb represent the very to low-risk category.
These findings emphasise the urgent need for better water quality management and a focus on regular monitoring of seasonal HM measurements and increased public awareness concerning the Tawi River in the Jammu region.
本研究评估了Tawi河中HMs的非致癌性和致癌性效应,重点研究了季节(12月- S1月和7月- S2月)和海拔变化。季节对比显示,7月(第二季)样品Al和Fe浓度较高,表明季风风化作用加剧。然而,在高海拔地区,汞浓度始终较高(在两个季节),这表明大气沉积和“冷捕获”过程的影响。此外,通过危害系数(HQ)测量的非致癌效应显示所有金属的风险最小。除砷(1季和2季)和汞(仅2季)外,所选金属的危害指数(HI)值均低于1 (HI<1)。这反映了季风期间由季节性气候引起的砷调动。致癌风险(CR)分析表明,S1期间收集的样本显示CR、Ni、Cd和Pb的致癌风险为低至极低,而As属于中等风险类别,儿童比成人更容易暴露于HM。同样,在S2期间收集的样本中,CR、Ni和As的CR值属于中等风险类别,而Cd和Pb则属于极低风险类别。这些发现强调迫切需要更好的水质管理,注重定期监测季节性HM测量,以及提高公众对查谟地区塔威河的认识。
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引用次数: 0
Environmental determinants of household recycling behavior: An econometric analysis of participation barriers and willingness-to-pay 家庭回收行为的环境决定因素:参与障碍和支付意愿的计量经济学分析
Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2025-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.envc.2025.101374
Mohammad M. Hamed , Suhaib R. DarMusa , Saralees Nadarajah
Traditional economic models do not account for the complex relationships between residents' environmental goals, barriers to participation in municipal recycling programs, and payment behaviors. This paper presents a framework that examines the three related areas: household intentions to join recycling programs, perceived obstacles, and willingness to pay (WTP) for recycling services. The methodology in this paper adopts the Grouped Random Parameters Bivariate Probit Models with a four-tier pricing structure. The results show that unobserved differences greatly influence multiple WTP decisions, supporting the bivariate models’ use. Both engagement intentions and perceived barriers are important predictors of payment behavior. The joint probability estimates indicate that 93 % of households reject both lower pricing tiers. Only 7 % accept fees of USD 1 to 3 but turn down those between USD 4 to 6, indicating a clear ceiling on WTP. Households that report a lack of bin availability are 0.131 times less likely to accept even the lowest fees, showing the negative effect of infrastructure issues. The results also show that 69.9 % of high-income households (earning over USD 2800 monthly) accept fees in the USD 11 to 14 range, while middle-income households (USD 700 to 1400) consistently reject the USD 4 to 6 tier. Service frequency emerges to influence payment behavior more than environmental motivation. Our findings suggest that recycling programs relying on user fees may struggle financially without additional funding sources. This study supports the United Nations Sustainable Development Goal 12 by providing practical suggestions for creating fair, effective, and context-sensitive recycling policies.
传统的经济模型没有考虑到居民的环境目标、参与城市回收计划的障碍和支付行为之间的复杂关系。本文提出了一个框架,该框架考察了三个相关领域:家庭加入回收计划的意愿、感知到的障碍和为回收服务付费的意愿。本文采用四层定价结构的分组随机参数二元概率模型。结果表明,未观察到的差异极大地影响了多个WTP决策,支持了双变量模型的使用。用户粘性意图和感知障碍都是付费行为的重要预测因素。联合概率估计表明,93%的家庭拒绝两种较低的定价等级。只有7%的人接受1至3美元的费用,但拒绝4至6美元的费用,这表明WTP的上限很明显。报告缺乏垃圾箱可用性的家庭接受最低费用的可能性要低0.131倍,这显示了基础设施问题的负面影响。结果还显示,69.9%的高收入家庭(月收入超过2800美元)接受11至14美元的费用,而中等收入家庭(700至1400美元)一直拒绝4至6美元的费用。服务频率比环境动机更能影响支付行为。我们的研究结果表明,如果没有额外的资金来源,依赖用户费用的回收项目可能会在财务上陷入困境。本研究通过为制定公平、有效和环境敏感的回收政策提供实用建议,支持联合国可持续发展目标12。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluating the enhanced benefits of multi-model ensemble mean from NEX-GDDP-CMIP6 versus native CMIP6 Models in accurately representing historical temperature patterns in South America 评估来自nex - gdp -CMIP6的多模式集合平均值与本地CMIP6模式在准确代表南美洲历史温度模式方面的增强效益
Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2025-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.envc.2025.101373
Heli A. Arregocés , Roberto Rojano , Martha L. Castellanos
We assessed the additional value of the NEX-GDDP-CMIP6 (NEX ensemble) temperature models compared with that of their original CMIP6 models across seven climatic sub-regions in South America from 1950 to 2014, aiming to identify the best-performing models with the smallest biases. Using ERA5 data, the 22 NEX ensemble temperature models and an equivalent number of native CMIP6 models were evaluated. All models and reanalysis data were remapped to a standard latitude-longitude grid with a spatial resolution of 0.25° × 0.25° using bilinear interpolation. Model performance was evaluated at seasonal and annual timescales, with metrics computed separately for each aggregation period and then averaged regionally. We applied six complementary performance metrics—mean bias, correlation coefficient, mean absolute error, root mean square error, modified Kling–Gupta efficiency, and Taylor skill score—to quantify accuracy and consistency. The comparison between NEX and CMIP6 models was conducted at the ensemble mean level to identify systematic differences in skill. The NEX ensemble model consistently demonstrates a tendency to overestimate temperatures, particularly within the NWS, NSA, SAM, and SES sub-regions, with observed biases reaching up to 1.84 ± 2.3°C. Contrastingly, the 22 native CMIP6 model showed mixed biases, exhibiting significant underestimations in the NES and SSA. Statistical comparisons using a two-tailed t-test (p < 0.05) demonstrate that improvements in the NEX ensemble are significant in various high-altitude regions. The NEX model exhibits enhanced performance in estimating annual temperature in high-altitude areas with average MAE reductions of 4.50 ± 3.1°C, whereas the native CMIP6 ensemble model displays greater accuracy in select low-altitude regions with MAE reductions of 3.70 ± 2.8°C. Our findings emphasize the need to improve future climate projections derived from both the NEX ensemble and the native CMIP6 datasets. It will help identify temperature biases in the models and evaluate their performance across various regions. Such insights are essential for conducting climate change research, including drought forecasts, forest fire evaluations, and other studies where temperature plays a critical role.
我们评估了NEX- gdp -CMIP6 (NEX集合)温度模型与原始CMIP6模型在1950年至2014年间在南美洲7个气候分区域的附加价值,旨在确定偏差最小且表现最佳的模型。利用ERA5数据,对22个NEX系综温度模式和等效数量的本地CMIP6模式进行了评估。采用双线性插值将所有模型和再分析数据重新映射到空间分辨率为0.25°× 0.25°的标准经纬度网格。模型性能在季节和年度时间尺度上进行评估,每个聚合期分别计算指标,然后进行区域平均。我们应用了六个互补的绩效指标——平均偏差、相关系数、平均绝对误差、均方根误差、修正克林-古普塔效率和泰勒技能分数——来量化准确性和一致性。NEX和CMIP6模型在整体平均水平上进行比较,以确定技能的系统性差异。NEX集合模式一致显示出高估温度的趋势,特别是在NWS、NSA、SAM和SES子区域,观测到的偏差高达1.84±2.3°C。相比之下,22个本地CMIP6模型表现出混合偏差,在NES和SSA中表现出显著的低估。使用双尾t检验(p < 0.05)的统计比较表明,NEX集合的改善在各个高海拔地区都是显著的。NEX模型在估算高海拔地区年气温方面表现出更好的性能,平均MAE降低4.50±3.1°C,而本地CMIP6集成模型在部分低海拔地区表现出更高的精度,MAE降低3.70±2.8°C。我们的发现强调了改进基于NEX集合和本地CMIP6数据集的未来气候预测的必要性。它将有助于识别模型中的温度偏差,并评估它们在不同地区的表现。这些见解对于开展气候变化研究至关重要,包括干旱预测、森林火灾评估和其他温度起关键作用的研究。
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引用次数: 0
Community firearm violence during extreme temperatures in the continental United States: A spatiotemporal epidemiological analysis (2014–2024) 美国大陆极端气温下的社区枪支暴力:时空流行病学分析(2014-2024)
Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2025-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.envc.2025.101377
Margaret M. Sugg , Quinn Keefer , Sophia C Ryan , Michael R. Desjardins , Jennifer D. Runkle

Background

Firearm violence and climate change represent intersecting public health crises in the United States. While temporal associations between temperature and violence have been established, critical gaps remain in understanding the spatial dimensions, underlying mechanisms, and differential impacts of both heat and cold extremes on firearm violence patterns.

Objective

To identify and characterize spatial clusters of firearm violence during extreme temperature events across the continental United States from 2014 to 2024, and to examine how incident characteristics, temporal factors, and contextual circumstances vary across these clusters.

Methods

We analyzed 427,312 firearm violence incidents from the Gun Violence Archive and temperature data from NOAA's ClimGrid dataset between 2014 and 2024. Using county-specific thresholds for heat and cold (95th and 5th percentiles), we identified extreme temperature events (1-day, 2-day, and 3-day) using a 31-day moving window approach. Purely spatial Bernoulli models in SaTScan detected statistically significant clusters of firearm violence during temperature extremes. We employed logistic regression to identify predictors of cluster membership and used natural language processing to extract contextual patterns from incident narratives.

Results

During heatwaves (≥95th percentile), we identified three high-risk clusters: central Florida (relative risk [RR] = 1.59, p < 0.001), southern Texas ( RR = 1.47, p < 0.001), and the New York City area (RR = 1.33, p < 0.001). Three low-risk clusters emerged in the Midwest and Southeast (RR = 0.71–0.79, p < 0.001). During cold extremes (≤5th percentile), high-risk clusters appeared in Arkansas/Oklahoma/Missouri (RR=1.65, p < 0.001) and Kansas/Missouri/Nebraska (RR=1.65, p < 0.001), while low-risk clusters concentrated in Florida (RR=0.54–0.58, p < 0.05). Heat-related violence showed increased outdoor incidents, public space violence, and criminal activity, while cold-related violence demonstrated elevated domestic violence, substance-related incidents, and defensive gun use. Weekend and holiday effects varied by cluster type, with holidays amplifying the risk of cold-related violence.

Conclusions

Firearm violence during temperature extremes exhibits distinct spatial clustering patterns, with regional variations suggesting differential vulnerability to climate-violence interactions. The contrasting mechanisms between heat and cold extremes,with heat increasing opportunistic outdoor violence and cold elevating planned domestic violence,necessitate differentiated prevention strategies. These findings support the integration of geographically targeted interventions that combine violence prevention with climate adaptation strategies.
枪支暴力和气候变化代表了美国交叉的公共卫生危机。虽然温度和暴力之间的时间关联已经确立,但在理解空间维度、潜在机制以及极端高温和极端低温对枪支暴力模式的不同影响方面仍存在重大差距。目的确定2014 - 2024年美国大陆极端温度事件中枪支暴力的空间集群特征,并研究事件特征、时间因素和背景环境在这些集群中的变化。方法:我们分析了2014年至2024年间来自枪支暴力档案的427,312起枪支暴力事件和NOAA ClimGrid数据集的温度数据。使用各县特定的冷热阈值(第95和第5百分位),我们使用31天移动窗口法确定了极端温度事件(1天、2天和3天)。SaTScan中的纯空间伯努利模型在极端温度期间检测到具有统计意义的枪支暴力集群。我们使用逻辑回归来识别聚类隶属度的预测因子,并使用自然语言处理从事件叙述中提取上下文模式。结果在热浪(≥95百分位)期间,我们确定了三个高风险集群:佛罗里达州中部(相对风险[RR] = 1.59, p < 0.001),德克萨斯州南部(RR = 1.47, p < 0.001)和纽约市地区(RR = 1.33, p < 0.001)。中西部和东南部出现了三个低风险集群(RR = 0.71-0.79, p < 0.001)。在极寒期(≤5百分位),高危聚集群出现在阿肯色州/俄克拉荷马州/密苏里州(RR=1.65, p < 0.001)和堪萨斯州/密苏里州/内布拉斯加州(RR=1.65, p < 0.001),低危聚集群集中在佛罗里达州(RR= 0.54-0.58, p < 0.05)。与高温相关的暴力表现出户外暴力、公共场所暴力和犯罪活动的增加,而与寒冷相关的暴力表现出家庭暴力、物质相关事件和防御性枪支使用的增加。周末和假期的影响因集群类型而异,假期会增加与感冒相关的暴力的风险。结论极端温度期间的枪支暴力表现出明显的空间聚类模式,区域差异表明对气候暴力相互作用的脆弱性存在差异。极端炎热和极端寒冷之间的不同机制,高温增加机会性户外暴力和寒冷增加有计划的家庭暴力,需要有区别的预防策略。这些发现支持将地理上有针对性的干预措施与气候适应战略相结合。
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Environmental Challenges
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