首页 > 最新文献

Eearth最新文献

英文 中文
Reference GNSS Stations for Warning on Possibility of Upcoming Earthquake in Zagreb 参考GNSS站对萨格勒布即将发生地震的可能性进行预警
Pub Date : 2020-05-18 DOI: 10.11648/J.EARTH.20200903.12
N. Solarić, M. Solarić, M. Marjanović, Zlatko Bogdanovski, Sasho Dimeski
Distances between permanent GNSSS stations in positional systems are usually short between 30 km and 80 km. So calculated distances between the GNSS stations from their position coordinates calculated by processing collected GNSS data with Bernese software will be very well determined. The first time we determined that two days before earthquake in Kraljevo 2010 were shortening of sides between the GNSS referent stations, that this was a compression of the Earth’s crust two days before the earthquake. This effect was also confirmed on the Earthquakes Dreznica 2013, Skopje 2016 and Zagreb 2018 and that after compression two or several days after the earthquake occurs. However, they can also enable geophysicists to determine warn of possible earthquakes. On the end it was suggested that in the Control Center of CROPOS is required to establish a department for determination of compression in Earth crust based on GNSS measurement of the reference GNSS stations. This compression is possible to determine by "The method of daily changing the distance between GNSS permanent referent stations". After determination compression in Earth crust and using other geophysical methods will be probably possible to warn to upcoming earthquakes.
定位系统中永久GNSSS站之间的距离通常在30公里至80公里之间。因此,用伯尔尼软件处理收集的GNSS数据计算出的GNSS站之间的位置坐标计算出的距离将很好地确定。我们第一次确定2010年克拉列沃地震前两天GNSS参考站之间的边缩短,这是地震前两天地壳的压缩。在2013年德雷兹尼察地震、2016年斯科普里地震和2018年萨格勒布地震中,以及地震发生后两天或几天的压缩后,也证实了这种效应。然而,它们也可以使地球物理学家确定可能发生地震的预警。最后,建议在CROPOS控制中心建立一个以参考GNSS站的GNSS测量为基础的地壳压缩测定部门。这种压缩可以通过“每日改变GNSS永久参考站之间距离的方法”来确定。在确定地壳的压缩和使用其他地球物理方法后,可能会对即将到来的地震发出警告。
{"title":"Reference GNSS Stations for Warning on Possibility of Upcoming Earthquake in Zagreb","authors":"N. Solarić, M. Solarić, M. Marjanović, Zlatko Bogdanovski, Sasho Dimeski","doi":"10.11648/J.EARTH.20200903.12","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.11648/J.EARTH.20200903.12","url":null,"abstract":"Distances between permanent GNSSS stations in positional systems are usually short between 30 km and 80 km. So calculated distances between the GNSS stations from their position coordinates calculated by processing collected GNSS data with Bernese software will be very well determined. The first time we determined that two days before earthquake in Kraljevo 2010 were shortening of sides between the GNSS referent stations, that this was a compression of the Earth’s crust two days before the earthquake. This effect was also confirmed on the Earthquakes Dreznica 2013, Skopje 2016 and Zagreb 2018 and that after compression two or several days after the earthquake occurs. However, they can also enable geophysicists to determine warn of possible earthquakes. On the end it was suggested that in the Control Center of CROPOS is required to establish a department for determination of compression in Earth crust based on GNSS measurement of the reference GNSS stations. This compression is possible to determine by \"The method of daily changing the distance between GNSS permanent referent stations\". After determination compression in Earth crust and using other geophysical methods will be probably possible to warn to upcoming earthquakes.","PeriodicalId":350455,"journal":{"name":"Eearth","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-05-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"129136026","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A Study of Human Response in the Blind Zone of Earthquake Early Warning 地震预警盲区中人的反应研究
Pub Date : 2020-05-15 DOI: 10.11648/J.EARTH.20200902.15
Kun-Sung Liu, Hsiangchi Huang
The potential for seismic hazard in Taiwan is quite high. In addition to the comprehensive reinforcement of the earthquake resistance of old construction, a short period of time can be immediately is the implementation of earthquake prevention and rescue education. Because of the blind zone of the existing strong earthquake real-time alarm system, the response time is limited, so the application of the message will have better efficiency in an automated way. As regards the emergency response of schoolchildren and the population in the blind zone of strong earthquake early warning, it is suggested that people should be using methods in line with local circumstances. In order to understand and make good use of the vibration characteristics of seismic waves, this study analyzes and illustrates them with several practical examples, including (1) 20100304 Jiasian earthquake with local magnitude (ML) of 6.4,(2) 20130327 Nantou earthquake with local magnitude (ML) of 6.2, as well as (3) 19990921 Chi-Chi earthquake with moment magnitude (Mw) of 7.6. The results of this study show that the human body's feelings are one of the most direct, real-time strong earthquake warning messages, especially in the blind zone of earthquake early warning where it is too late to provide seismic information. Judging by the obvious vibrations up and down by the P wave, it is advisable for the people on the first floor of the old low earthquake-resistant premises to seize the opportunity and suggest a time take an immediate approach to outdoor escape response. While fear and panic may be an obstacle to escape, reflex movements can overcome fear, and reflex movements can be developed through regular drills. Accordingly, people will make a correct seismic response immediately within the earthquake, in a short period of time without panic of the emergency evacuation to reach a safe location.
台湾发生地震的可能性非常高。除了对老旧建筑进行全面的抗震加固外,短时间内可以立即进行防震抢险教育。由于现有的强震实时报警系统存在盲区,响应时间有限,因此以自动化的方式对信息的应用会有更好的效率。对于小学生和强震预警盲区人群的应急响应,建议因地制宜。为了更好地理解和利用地震波的振动特性,本研究以(1)20100304年嘉西亚局地震级6.4级地震、(2)20130327年南投局地震级6.2级地震、(3)19990921年赤赤震级7.6级地震为实例对地震波的振动特性进行了分析和说明。本研究结果表明,人体的感觉是最直接、实时的强地震预警信息之一,特别是在地震预警盲区,提供地震信息为时已晚。从P波产生的明显的上下振动来看,老旧低抗震房屋一楼的人员应抓住机会,建议立即采取室外逃生响应措施。虽然恐惧和恐慌可能是逃跑的障碍,但反射动作可以克服恐惧,反射动作可以通过定期练习来发展。因此,人们会在地震发生后立即做出正确的地震反应,在短时间内毫无恐慌地紧急疏散到安全地点。
{"title":"A Study of Human Response in the Blind Zone of Earthquake Early Warning","authors":"Kun-Sung Liu, Hsiangchi Huang","doi":"10.11648/J.EARTH.20200902.15","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.11648/J.EARTH.20200902.15","url":null,"abstract":"The potential for seismic hazard in Taiwan is quite high. In addition to the comprehensive reinforcement of the earthquake resistance of old construction, a short period of time can be immediately is the implementation of earthquake prevention and rescue education. Because of the blind zone of the existing strong earthquake real-time alarm system, the response time is limited, so the application of the message will have better efficiency in an automated way. As regards the emergency response of schoolchildren and the population in the blind zone of strong earthquake early warning, it is suggested that people should be using methods in line with local circumstances. In order to understand and make good use of the vibration characteristics of seismic waves, this study analyzes and illustrates them with several practical examples, including (1) 20100304 Jiasian earthquake with local magnitude (ML) of 6.4,(2) 20130327 Nantou earthquake with local magnitude (ML) of 6.2, as well as (3) 19990921 Chi-Chi earthquake with moment magnitude (Mw) of 7.6. The results of this study show that the human body's feelings are one of the most direct, real-time strong earthquake warning messages, especially in the blind zone of earthquake early warning where it is too late to provide seismic information. Judging by the obvious vibrations up and down by the P wave, it is advisable for the people on the first floor of the old low earthquake-resistant premises to seize the opportunity and suggest a time take an immediate approach to outdoor escape response. While fear and panic may be an obstacle to escape, reflex movements can overcome fear, and reflex movements can be developed through regular drills. Accordingly, people will make a correct seismic response immediately within the earthquake, in a short period of time without panic of the emergency evacuation to reach a safe location.","PeriodicalId":350455,"journal":{"name":"Eearth","volume":"18 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-05-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"128381376","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Estimation of Reference Crop Evapotranspiration in Northwest China 西北地区参考作物蒸散量估算
Pub Date : 2020-05-15 DOI: 10.11648/J.EARTH.20200903.11
Biao Wang, Xinmin Zeng, G. Huang
Based on the daily meteorological data from 1956 to 2011 in Northwest (NW) China and the Penman-Monteith (PM) equation, the regional reference crop evapotranspiration (ET0) is estimated. The ET0 variations in time series and spatial distributions are analyzed. The trend analysis, Mann-Kendall (M-K) test, wavelet analysis, stepwise regression and EOF analysis methods are used to investigate the spatiotemporal variability of ET0 and its contributing climatic factors, the mutation of ET0, the period of ET0, and the main influencing meteorological factors, respectively. Major conclusions are obtained as follows: (1) In the past 56 years, the trend of average annual ET0 time series in the NW China is significantly reduced, the differences exists in different seasons, i.e., the trends of ET0 in spring (-0.26mm/a), summer (-0.72mm/a) and autumn (-0.31mm/a) are decreased, respectively, the ET0 in winter is slowly increased (0.02mm/a). (2) The region which ET0 decreased most is located at the field from Kumul to Hotan (from northeast to southwest). ET0 has a sharply decrease around the 1980s, with a multiple-time scale nesting complex structure in the period. The first, second and third EOF models account 36.84%, 13.87% and 9.04% for the explained variance, respectively. The summer EOF model is the main contributor to the annual first model. (3) The upward trend of mean surface air temperature (T) and the decreased trend of sunshine duration (SD), relative humidity (RH) and wind speed at 2 m high (U2) induce ET0 to decline. The variability of annual ET0 rate is most influenced by the variations of U2, followed by SD, RH and T, which is influenced by various climatic variables. The investigation of spatiotemporal variability of ET0 and its contributor meteorological factors may help us better understand how ET0 responds to regional climate change.
基于1956—2011年西北地区逐日气象资料,利用Penman-Monteith (PM)方程,估算了区域参考作物蒸散量(ET0)。分析了蒸散量的时间序列和空间分布。采用趋势分析、Mann-Kendall (M-K)检验、小波分析、逐步回归分析和EOF分析等方法,分别研究了中国东部蒸散量及其气候因子的时空变异特征、蒸散量的突变特征、蒸散量的周期特征以及主要影响因素。主要结论如下:(1)近56 a来,中国西北地区年平均ET0时间序列变化趋势显著减小,不同季节存在差异,春季(-0.26mm/a)、夏季(-0.72mm/a)和秋季(-0.31mm/a) ET0变化趋势分别减小,冬季ET0缓慢增加(0.02mm/a)。(2)从东北向西南方向,库木至和田区域的ET0减小幅度最大。80年代前后ET0急剧下降,呈现多时间尺度嵌套复杂结构。第一EOF模型、第二EOF模型和第三EOF模型分别占被解释方差的36.84%、13.87%和9.04%。夏季EOF模型是年度第一模型的主要贡献者。(3)地表平均气温(T)呈上升趋势,日照时数(SD)、相对湿度(RH)和2 m高空风速(U2)呈下降趋势,导致ET0呈下降趋势。年ET0速率的变率受U2变化的影响最大,其次是SD、RH和T,受各种气候变量的影响。研究ET0及其贡献因子的时空变异性有助于我们更好地理解ET0对区域气候变化的响应。
{"title":"Estimation of Reference Crop Evapotranspiration in Northwest China","authors":"Biao Wang, Xinmin Zeng, G. Huang","doi":"10.11648/J.EARTH.20200903.11","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.11648/J.EARTH.20200903.11","url":null,"abstract":"Based on the daily meteorological data from 1956 to 2011 in Northwest (NW) China and the Penman-Monteith (PM) equation, the regional reference crop evapotranspiration (ET0) is estimated. The ET0 variations in time series and spatial distributions are analyzed. The trend analysis, Mann-Kendall (M-K) test, wavelet analysis, stepwise regression and EOF analysis methods are used to investigate the spatiotemporal variability of ET0 and its contributing climatic factors, the mutation of ET0, the period of ET0, and the main influencing meteorological factors, respectively. Major conclusions are obtained as follows: (1) In the past 56 years, the trend of average annual ET0 time series in the NW China is significantly reduced, the differences exists in different seasons, i.e., the trends of ET0 in spring (-0.26mm/a), summer (-0.72mm/a) and autumn (-0.31mm/a) are decreased, respectively, the ET0 in winter is slowly increased (0.02mm/a). (2) The region which ET0 decreased most is located at the field from Kumul to Hotan (from northeast to southwest). ET0 has a sharply decrease around the 1980s, with a multiple-time scale nesting complex structure in the period. The first, second and third EOF models account 36.84%, 13.87% and 9.04% for the explained variance, respectively. The summer EOF model is the main contributor to the annual first model. (3) The upward trend of mean surface air temperature (T) and the decreased trend of sunshine duration (SD), relative humidity (RH) and wind speed at 2 m high (U2) induce ET0 to decline. The variability of annual ET0 rate is most influenced by the variations of U2, followed by SD, RH and T, which is influenced by various climatic variables. The investigation of spatiotemporal variability of ET0 and its contributor meteorological factors may help us better understand how ET0 responds to regional climate change.","PeriodicalId":350455,"journal":{"name":"Eearth","volume":"32 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-05-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"114171977","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 3
New Data Obtained with CT Scanning on Platypeltoides cuervoae (Corbacho & López-Soriano, 2012) Nileidae from the Lower Ordovician; Western Anti-Atlas, Morocco CT扫描对下奥陶统Platypeltoides cuervoae (Corbacho & López-Soriano, 2012)奈氏科的新资料西部反阿特拉斯,摩洛哥
Pub Date : 2020-04-08 DOI: 10.11648/J.EARTH.20200902.14
J. Corbacho, F. López-Soriano, Scott C. Morrison, Keith Hammond
The present study illustrates for the first time the ventral aspect and the hypostome of Platypeltoides cuervoae (Corbacho and Lopez-Soriano, 2012) of the Upper part of the Lower Fezouata Formation (Lower Ordovician: Tremadocian) of the Guelmim area; Western Anti-Atlas, Morocco. Computed tomography of the holotype and paratype kept at the Natural History Museum in London (United Kingdom) for the conduct of a study on computed tomography and radiography as expert legal evidence in paleontology has revealed the hypotheses of the two previously cited specimens (Corbacho and Lopez-Soriano, 2012) and another disarticulated specimen below, which was discovered during the computed tomography process. All CT Scanning images in this article have been obtained from a CT Scanned at the Natural History Museum, London, UK. By describing the ventral aspect and the hypostomes of the specimens studied in this article, any possible uncertainty and affiliation to Nileidae is stated and dissipated as suggested by Gutierrez Marco, Sa, Garcia Bellido and Chacaltana as belonging to Asaphidae, incorrectly suggesting that It is the species: Asaphellus stubssi Fortey, 2009. Consequently, membership in the Nileidae family is reaffirmed and Asaphidae is ruled out. The genus Platypeltoides is also reaffirmed and Asaphellus is discarded. Being the correct species Platypeltoides cuervoae (Corbacho & Lopez-Soriano, 2012).
本研究首次阐明了Guelmim地区下Fezouata组(下奥陶统:Tremadocian)上段Platypeltoides cuervoae (Corbacho and Lopez-Soriano, 2012)的腹侧特征和假说;西部反阿特拉斯,摩洛哥。保存在伦敦自然历史博物馆的全型和准型标本的计算机断层扫描,作为古生物学的专家法律证据,揭示了之前引用的两个标本(Corbacho和Lopez-Soriano, 2012)和下面另一个在计算机断层扫描过程中发现的断裂标本的假设。本文中所有CT扫描图像均来自英国伦敦自然历史博物馆的CT扫描。通过描述本文所研究标本的腹侧和下口,Gutierrez Marco, Sa, Garcia Bellido和Chacaltana提出的任何可能的不确定性和与Nileidae的隶属关系都被陈述和消除,属于Asaphidae,错误地表明它是物种:asaphelus stubssi Fortey, 2009。因此,Nileidae家族的成员身份得到了确认,Asaphidae被排除在外。Platypeltoides属也被确认,asaphelus属被丢弃。是正确的物种Platypeltoides cuervoae (Corbacho & Lopez-Soriano, 2012)。
{"title":"New Data Obtained with CT Scanning on Platypeltoides cuervoae (Corbacho & López-Soriano, 2012) Nileidae from the Lower Ordovician; Western Anti-Atlas, Morocco","authors":"J. Corbacho, F. López-Soriano, Scott C. Morrison, Keith Hammond","doi":"10.11648/J.EARTH.20200902.14","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.11648/J.EARTH.20200902.14","url":null,"abstract":"The present study illustrates for the first time the ventral aspect and the hypostome of Platypeltoides cuervoae (Corbacho and Lopez-Soriano, 2012) of the Upper part of the Lower Fezouata Formation (Lower Ordovician: Tremadocian) of the Guelmim area; Western Anti-Atlas, Morocco. Computed tomography of the holotype and paratype kept at the Natural History Museum in London (United Kingdom) for the conduct of a study on computed tomography and radiography as expert legal evidence in paleontology has revealed the hypotheses of the two previously cited specimens (Corbacho and Lopez-Soriano, 2012) and another disarticulated specimen below, which was discovered during the computed tomography process. All CT Scanning images in this article have been obtained from a CT Scanned at the Natural History Museum, London, UK. By describing the ventral aspect and the hypostomes of the specimens studied in this article, any possible uncertainty and affiliation to Nileidae is stated and dissipated as suggested by Gutierrez Marco, Sa, Garcia Bellido and Chacaltana as belonging to Asaphidae, incorrectly suggesting that It is the species: Asaphellus stubssi Fortey, 2009. Consequently, membership in the Nileidae family is reaffirmed and Asaphidae is ruled out. The genus Platypeltoides is also reaffirmed and Asaphellus is discarded. Being the correct species Platypeltoides cuervoae (Corbacho & Lopez-Soriano, 2012).","PeriodicalId":350455,"journal":{"name":"Eearth","volume":"130 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-04-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"133905116","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Hydro-climatology Characterization of Degraded Lwamunda Forest Catchment Based on Probability Distributions 基于概率分布的退化Lwamunda森林流域水文气候学特征
Pub Date : 2020-03-18 DOI: 10.11648/J.EARTH.20200902.13
Ausi Abubakar Ssentongo, Nsubuga Francis Waswa, D. Darkey
Hydroclimatology assessment is conventionally based on area data for identification of change patterns and trends. In this paper, monthly averages, maximum seasonal and maximum annual hydro- climatology data series from Lwamunda forest catchment area in central Uganda have been analyzed in order to determine the appropriate probability distribution models for the underlying climatology (i.e. rainfall, soil moisture content, evapotranspiration and temperature). A total of 7 probability distributions were considered and three goodnessof- fit tests were used to evaluate the best-fit probability distribution model for each hydro-climatology data series. They were Lilliefors (D), Anderson-Darling (AD), and Cramer-Von Mises (W2). A ranking metric based on the test statistic from the three GoF tests was used to select the most appropriate probability distribution model capable of reproducing the statistics of the hydroclimatological data series. The best fit probability distribution was selected based on the minimum sum of the three test statistic. Results showed that different best fit probability distribution models were identified for the different data series depending on location and on temporal scales which corroborate with those reported in literature. With the exception of soil moisture content for annual and seasonal maximum series who have the same best fit model. The same applied to evapotranspiration seasonal maximum and near surface temperature seasonal maximum as well as monthly near surface temperatures have the same best fit model. The soil moisture content data series was best fit by the Weibull probability distribution, rainfall series was best fit by Chi square and Gamma probability distributions. The evapotranspiration data series was best fit by Logistic and Extreme value maximum (Gumbel) probability distributions. Finally for near surface temperature it was best fitted by Logistic and Gumbel probability distributions. The contribution of this study lies in the use of hydroclimatological data series including soil moisture content from the area that had forest cover change to analyzeits impact on water resources patterns. The contribution is important for agricultural planning and forest managers’ simulation of forest degradation impacts.
水文气候学评估通常基于区域数据来确定变化模式和趋势。本文分析了乌干达中部Lwamunda森林集水区的月平均、最大季节和最大年水文气候学数据系列,以确定潜在气候学(即降雨量、土壤水分含量、蒸散发和温度)的适当概率分布模型。总共考虑了7种概率分布,并使用3种拟合优度检验来评估每个水文气候学数据序列的最佳拟合概率分布模型。他们是利列福斯(D)、安德森-达林(AD)和克莱默-冯·米塞斯(W2)。采用基于三个GoF检验统计量的排序度量来选择最适合再现水文气候资料序列统计量的概率分布模型。根据三个检验统计量的最小和选择最佳拟合概率分布。结果表明,不同的数据序列在不同的位置和时间尺度上具有不同的最佳拟合概率分布模型,这与文献报道的结果相吻合。除了土壤含水量的年和季节最大值序列具有相同的最佳拟合模型。蒸散量的季节最大值与近地表温度的季节最大值以及月近地表温度具有相同的最佳拟合模型。土壤含水量数据序列最适合Weibull概率分布,降雨量数据序列最适合Chi平方和Gamma概率分布。蒸散发数据序列最适合Logistic和极值最大值(Gumbel)概率分布。最后,对于近地表温度,采用Logistic和Gumbel概率分布拟合效果最好。本研究的贡献在于利用包括森林覆盖变化地区土壤水分含量在内的水文气候数据系列来分析其对水资源格局的影响。这对农业规划和森林管理者模拟森林退化影响具有重要意义。
{"title":"Hydro-climatology Characterization of Degraded Lwamunda Forest Catchment Based on Probability Distributions","authors":"Ausi Abubakar Ssentongo, Nsubuga Francis Waswa, D. Darkey","doi":"10.11648/J.EARTH.20200902.13","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.11648/J.EARTH.20200902.13","url":null,"abstract":"Hydroclimatology assessment is conventionally based on area data for identification of change patterns and trends. In this paper, monthly averages, maximum seasonal and maximum annual hydro- climatology data series from Lwamunda forest catchment area in central Uganda have been analyzed in order to determine the appropriate probability distribution models for the underlying climatology (i.e. rainfall, soil moisture content, evapotranspiration and temperature). A total of 7 probability distributions were considered and three goodnessof- fit tests were used to evaluate the best-fit probability distribution model for each hydro-climatology data series. They were Lilliefors (D), Anderson-Darling (AD), and Cramer-Von Mises (W2). A ranking metric based on the test statistic from the three GoF tests was used to select the most appropriate probability distribution model capable of reproducing the statistics of the hydroclimatological data series. The best fit probability distribution was selected based on the minimum sum of the three test statistic. Results showed that different best fit probability distribution models were identified for the different data series depending on location and on temporal scales which corroborate with those reported in literature. With the exception of soil moisture content for annual and seasonal maximum series who have the same best fit model. The same applied to evapotranspiration seasonal maximum and near surface temperature seasonal maximum as well as monthly near surface temperatures have the same best fit model. The soil moisture content data series was best fit by the Weibull probability distribution, rainfall series was best fit by Chi square and Gamma probability distributions. The evapotranspiration data series was best fit by Logistic and Extreme value maximum (Gumbel) probability distributions. Finally for near surface temperature it was best fitted by Logistic and Gumbel probability distributions. The contribution of this study lies in the use of hydroclimatological data series including soil moisture content from the area that had forest cover change to analyzeits impact on water resources patterns. The contribution is important for agricultural planning and forest managers’ simulation of forest degradation impacts.","PeriodicalId":350455,"journal":{"name":"Eearth","volume":"8 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-03-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"127490900","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Research Methods of Different Levels of Reservoirs Based on Seismic Data 基于地震资料的不同储层研究方法
Pub Date : 2020-03-07 DOI: 10.11648/J.EARTH.20200902.12
Wen Yelong
The lack of drilling data is a difficult problem in the study of reservoir configuration under the condition of sparse well pattern. In this paper, the seismic data are fully excavated, and the methods of frequency RGB fusion, small scale river sand attribute fusion and horizontal well data combination are used to study the river level, the level point bar level, and the internal configuration of point bar. The frequency division RGB fusion method has a good effect on the characterization of large-scale channel reservoirs, especially the channel stacking period and channel boundary response. The integrated attributes of river channel and sand body distribution method has a good effect on depicting the small-scale end river channel and abandoned river channel, and on this basis, the research on point bar sand body is consistent with the actual drilling. The high-precision edge detection section and RGB fusion section are superimposed to display the development of lateral volume, and verify with the actual horizontal well. River facies reservoirs of different scales have been verified by drilling with targeted research techniques. The results show that under the condition of sparse well pattern, well-seismic combination is the key to the division of small-scale sedimentary units, multi-attribute fusion under high-resolution seismic data is an important means to identify and depict point bar and abandoned river channels, and the application of horizontal well data is a supplementary means to test results and depict lateral accumulation. The research results have achieved good application results in guiding the actual production of oil field.
钻井资料的缺乏是稀疏井网条件下储层构型研究中的一个难题。本文在充分挖掘地震资料的基础上,采用频率RGB融合、小尺度河砂属性融合和水平井数据组合等方法,对河面、水平面点坝水平面和点坝内部构型进行了研究。频分RGB融合方法对大规模河道储层的表征,特别是河道叠加周期和河道边界响应具有很好的效果。河道与砂体分布综合属性方法对小尺度末端河道和废弃河道的刻画效果较好,在此基础上对点坝砂体的研究与实际钻探相吻合。将高精度边缘检测切片与RGB融合切片叠加显示横向体的发育情况,并与实际水平井进行验证。不同规模的河流相储层已通过钻井和定向研究技术得到验证。结果表明,在稀疏井网条件下,井震组合是小尺度沉积单元划分的关键,高分辨率地震数据下的多属性融合是识别和描绘点坝和废弃河道的重要手段,水平井数据的应用是测试结果和描绘侧向成藏的补充手段。研究成果在指导油田实际生产方面取得了较好的应用效果。
{"title":"Research Methods of Different Levels of Reservoirs Based on Seismic Data","authors":"Wen Yelong","doi":"10.11648/J.EARTH.20200902.12","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.11648/J.EARTH.20200902.12","url":null,"abstract":"The lack of drilling data is a difficult problem in the study of reservoir configuration under the condition of sparse well pattern. In this paper, the seismic data are fully excavated, and the methods of frequency RGB fusion, small scale river sand attribute fusion and horizontal well data combination are used to study the river level, the level point bar level, and the internal configuration of point bar. The frequency division RGB fusion method has a good effect on the characterization of large-scale channel reservoirs, especially the channel stacking period and channel boundary response. The integrated attributes of river channel and sand body distribution method has a good effect on depicting the small-scale end river channel and abandoned river channel, and on this basis, the research on point bar sand body is consistent with the actual drilling. The high-precision edge detection section and RGB fusion section are superimposed to display the development of lateral volume, and verify with the actual horizontal well. River facies reservoirs of different scales have been verified by drilling with targeted research techniques. The results show that under the condition of sparse well pattern, well-seismic combination is the key to the division of small-scale sedimentary units, multi-attribute fusion under high-resolution seismic data is an important means to identify and depict point bar and abandoned river channels, and the application of horizontal well data is a supplementary means to test results and depict lateral accumulation. The research results have achieved good application results in guiding the actual production of oil field.","PeriodicalId":350455,"journal":{"name":"Eearth","volume":"83 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-03-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"125420191","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Basic Petrological and Structural Analysis in the Zimbi Gold Area (East Cameroon) 东喀麦隆津比金矿区基本岩石学及构造分析
Pub Date : 2020-02-20 DOI: 10.11648/J.EARTH.20200902.11
Ntomb Yvan Demonstel, Ndzie Mvondo Justin, Ndong Bidzang François
The plutono-metamorphic series of the locality of Zimbi, extends over a narrow strip of 135 km2 on the eastern edge of the gold district of Baden-Colomine in East Cameroon. The work carried out in this locality is based on a cartographic approach (processing of maps and Landsat-7 ETM + images), combined with a geological and mining survey on the ground using conventional tools. On the morphostructural level, we observe NE-SW oriented penetrative lineaments. The trajectories of these are deviated or not in contact with other less dense lineaments, organized in networks of directions N-S, NE-SW, ENE-WSW, E-W, NW-SE. Parallel to the main Cameroon Center Shear (N070E), the ENE-WSW network which induces a significant reversal of foliation on contact, defines a structuring dexter shear zone accompanied by NE-SW and EW satellite shear zones with dexter kinematics and NW-SE and NS of senestrial kinematics. The lithological diversity allows the facies of calc-alkaline granite to predominate. Zimbi's range of structural elements highlights a magmatic fluidity substituted in foliation. The foliation directed NE-SW, of dip (40-90 °) either towards the NW, or towards the SE; carries a linearization of stretch submeridienne. The folding that affects it is induced by two directions of compression perpendicular N-S to NE-SW and E-W to NW-SE, which define the voltage slots favorable to mineral concentrations by circulation of mineralizing fluids. The shear zones and the quartz-feldspathic veins, structures favorable to mineralization such as gold, secondarily affect this complex. These geomorphological, lithological and structural geology data make the plutono-metamorphic procession of Zimbi a privileged area for mining research, in the gold district of Baden-Colomine.
辛比地区的深部变质岩系,在喀麦隆东部巴登-科伦坡金矿区东部边缘延伸出135平方公里的狭长地带。在这个地方进行的工作是根据制图方法(处理地图和Landsat-7 ETM +图像),结合使用常规工具在地面进行地质和采矿调查。在形态构造水平上,观察到NE-SW向的渗透构造。它们的轨迹偏离或不与其他密度较小的地形接触,呈N-S、NE-SW、ENE-WSW、E-W、NW-SE方向的网状结构。与喀麦隆中心主切变(N070E)平行,ENE-WSW网络在接触时引起了明显的片理反转,定义了一个构造上的右剪切带,伴随有NE-SW和EW卫星切变带,右剪切带运动学为ne - se和NS,右剪切带运动学为NW-SE和NS。岩性的多样性使其以钙碱性花岗岩相为主。辛比的一系列构造元素突出了在叶理作用中取代的岩浆流动性。叶理方向为NE-SW,倾角(40-90°)偏西北或偏东南;携带一个线性化的拉伸潜水器。影响其褶皱的两个方向分别是垂直于北向南至北东-西南方向和东西向北西-东南方向的压缩,这两个方向确定了矿化流体循环有利于矿物富集的电压槽。剪切带和有利于成矿的石英长石脉(如金)对该杂岩具有次要影响。这些地貌、岩性和构造地质资料使辛比岩体变质作用过程成为巴登-科伦坡金矿区成矿研究的有利区域。
{"title":"Basic Petrological and Structural Analysis in the Zimbi Gold Area (East Cameroon)","authors":"Ntomb Yvan Demonstel, Ndzie Mvondo Justin, Ndong Bidzang François","doi":"10.11648/J.EARTH.20200902.11","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.11648/J.EARTH.20200902.11","url":null,"abstract":"The plutono-metamorphic series of the locality of Zimbi, extends over a narrow strip of 135 km2 on the eastern edge of the gold district of Baden-Colomine in East Cameroon. The work carried out in this locality is based on a cartographic approach (processing of maps and Landsat-7 ETM + images), combined with a geological and mining survey on the ground using conventional tools. On the morphostructural level, we observe NE-SW oriented penetrative lineaments. The trajectories of these are deviated or not in contact with other less dense lineaments, organized in networks of directions N-S, NE-SW, ENE-WSW, E-W, NW-SE. Parallel to the main Cameroon Center Shear (N070E), the ENE-WSW network which induces a significant reversal of foliation on contact, defines a structuring dexter shear zone accompanied by NE-SW and EW satellite shear zones with dexter kinematics and NW-SE and NS of senestrial kinematics. The lithological diversity allows the facies of calc-alkaline granite to predominate. Zimbi's range of structural elements highlights a magmatic fluidity substituted in foliation. The foliation directed NE-SW, of dip (40-90 °) either towards the NW, or towards the SE; carries a linearization of stretch submeridienne. The folding that affects it is induced by two directions of compression perpendicular N-S to NE-SW and E-W to NW-SE, which define the voltage slots favorable to mineral concentrations by circulation of mineralizing fluids. The shear zones and the quartz-feldspathic veins, structures favorable to mineralization such as gold, secondarily affect this complex. These geomorphological, lithological and structural geology data make the plutono-metamorphic procession of Zimbi a privileged area for mining research, in the gold district of Baden-Colomine.","PeriodicalId":350455,"journal":{"name":"Eearth","volume":"20 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-02-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"123853459","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Sandstone-Shale Geochemistry of Miocene Surma Group in Bandarban Anticline, SE Bangladesh: Implications for Provenance, Weathering, and Tectonic Setting 孟加拉东南部Bandarban背斜中新世Surma群砂岩-页岩地球化学:物源、风化和构造背景的意义
Pub Date : 2020-02-14 DOI: 10.11648/J.EARTH.20200901.15
M. M. Haque, M. Roy
The present study analyzes the geochemical composition of sandstone and shale of the Miocene Surma Group to decipher the provenance, tectonic settings and paleoweathering condition of source area in the Bandarban Anticline which is at the western margin of Indo-Burmese Hill Ranges. Statistical empirical index of chemical weathering of the sediments that have been extracted by the Principal Component Analysis (PCA) is used to understand the weathering profile of the sediments of the study area. The PCA of the geochemical composition yields three principal components (PC–1, PC–2, and PC–3), which capture total variance 52.83%, 17.58% and 6.94%, respectively. The PC–1 shows the loss of SiO2 during weathering of preexisting source rocks; PC–2 reveals the enrichment of Na2O, CaO, and P2O5 due to leeching and carried by groundwater during weathering; highest loadings with MnO and Cr shows in PC–3 due to redox environment during early diagenetic of marine sediments. The MFW and A–CN–K diagrams show an intense weathering trend, and backward trend of the MFW diagram and the major elements provenance discriminant diagram refers to the mature polycyclic quartzes provenance and originated dominantly from felsic to intermediate igneous rocks. The trend of the SiO2/Al2O3–Na2O/K2O shows the hydraulic sorting effect and sediments were originated primarily from a recycled sedimentary provenance. The CIA (67.68–80.89), ICV (0.60–1.29, avg. 0.83) and K2O/Na2O ratios show a moderate to high maturity of the sediments and is derived from both weak and intensively weathered source rocks. Discriminate diagrams related to tectonic provenance refer to the deposit of the sediment dominantly under the influence of collision (active continental collision, compression) and mature sediment derived to the depositional basin after upliftment of the source areas after that collision.
本文通过对印缅山脉西缘班达尔班背斜中新世苏尔玛群砂岩和页岩地球化学组成的分析,揭示了该区物源、构造背景和古风化条件。利用主成分分析(PCA)提取的沉积物化学风化统计经验指数,了解研究区沉积物的风化剖面。地球化学成分主成分分析得到3个主成分(PC-1、PC-2和PC-3),总方差分别为52.83%、17.58%和6.94%。PC-1显示了原有烃源岩风化过程中SiO2的损失;PC-2显示在风化过程中,Na2O、CaO和P2O5因地下水的浸出和携带而富集;PC-3中MnO和Cr含量最高,这是由于海洋沉积物早期成岩氧化还原环境所致。MFW图和A-CN-K图显示出强烈的风化趋势,MFW图和主元素物源判别图的反向趋势为成熟的多旋回石英物源,主要来源于长英质至中火成岩。SiO2/ Al2O3-Na2O /K2O趋势显示水力分选作用,沉积物主要来源于再循环沉积物源。CIA(67.68 ~ 80.89)、ICV(0.60 ~ 1.29,平均值0.83)和K2O/Na2O比值显示沉积物具有中~高成熟度,烃源岩既有弱风化的,也有强风化的。构造物源判别图是指以碰撞(活动大陆碰撞、挤压)影响为主的沉积,以及碰撞后源区隆升后沉积盆地形成的成熟沉积。
{"title":"Sandstone-Shale Geochemistry of Miocene Surma Group in Bandarban Anticline, SE Bangladesh: Implications for Provenance, Weathering, and Tectonic Setting","authors":"M. M. Haque, M. Roy","doi":"10.11648/J.EARTH.20200901.15","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.11648/J.EARTH.20200901.15","url":null,"abstract":"The present study analyzes the geochemical composition of sandstone and shale of the Miocene Surma Group to decipher the provenance, tectonic settings and paleoweathering condition of source area in the Bandarban Anticline which is at the western margin of Indo-Burmese Hill Ranges. Statistical empirical index of chemical weathering of the sediments that have been extracted by the Principal Component Analysis (PCA) is used to understand the weathering profile of the sediments of the study area. The PCA of the geochemical composition yields three principal components (PC–1, PC–2, and PC–3), which capture total variance 52.83%, 17.58% and 6.94%, respectively. The PC–1 shows the loss of SiO2 during weathering of preexisting source rocks; PC–2 reveals the enrichment of Na2O, CaO, and P2O5 due to leeching and carried by groundwater during weathering; highest loadings with MnO and Cr shows in PC–3 due to redox environment during early diagenetic of marine sediments. The MFW and A–CN–K diagrams show an intense weathering trend, and backward trend of the MFW diagram and the major elements provenance discriminant diagram refers to the mature polycyclic quartzes provenance and originated dominantly from felsic to intermediate igneous rocks. The trend of the SiO2/Al2O3–Na2O/K2O shows the hydraulic sorting effect and sediments were originated primarily from a recycled sedimentary provenance. The CIA (67.68–80.89), ICV (0.60–1.29, avg. 0.83) and K2O/Na2O ratios show a moderate to high maturity of the sediments and is derived from both weak and intensively weathered source rocks. Discriminate diagrams related to tectonic provenance refer to the deposit of the sediment dominantly under the influence of collision (active continental collision, compression) and mature sediment derived to the depositional basin after upliftment of the source areas after that collision.","PeriodicalId":350455,"journal":{"name":"Eearth","volume":"641 ","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-02-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"114051991","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 5
Spatiotemporal Landuse Land Cover Changes in Walmara District, Central Oromia, Ethiopia 埃塞俄比亚中奥罗米亚沃尔马拉地区土地利用与土地覆盖时空变化
Pub Date : 2020-01-18 DOI: 10.11648/J.EARTH.20200901.14
Tokuma Urgessa, D. Lemessa
The rapidly changing landuse/landcover at various scales mainly during the past recent decades have caused the degradation of biodiversity and this in turn has affected the human wellbeing in Ethiopia. However, adequate study is lacking particularly in Walmara district where intensive cereal based faming system is exerted by the rapidly increasing rural population growth. Hence, the aim of this study was to examine the spatiotemoral pattern of the landuse/landcover change that has taken place in 1985 and in 2017. For this, two Landsat images (30×30m resolution) were used to analyze temporal landuse/landcover changes with the application of Geographic information system (GIS) techniques and remote sensing (RS) using Quantum GIS (version: 2.18). Here, a supervised image classification technique was applied with Maximum likelihood classification algorism. With this analysis six main landuse/land cover types namely, cropland, grassland, forest land, settlement, wetland and water body were identified. In 1985 the areas of cropland (52816ha), grass land (16755ha), forest land (4633ha), wetland (1665ha), settlement (1124ha) and waterbody (125ha), while in 2017, the areas of cropland (64984ha), grass land (2442), forest land (4329ha), wetland (1404ha), settlement (3790ha) and waterbody (170ha). These results show that over the last thirty years, in the study district, the area covered by crops has increased by 15.8%, settlement area by 3.5% while, in contrast, the areas covered by grassland has shrunk by 18.6%, forest area by 0.4% in 2017. The major reasons for such rapid changes in landuse/landcover in the study are land exploration for agricultural purpose and built ups for settlement and small scale factories. Overall, the present finding suggest the essence of devising integrated landuse policy and plan to sustainably utilize the limited land and land resources and to reduce the impact of climate change that is occurring mainly due to the unwise use of these resources.
近几十年来,不同规模的土地利用/土地覆盖迅速变化,造成了生物多样性的退化,这反过来又影响了埃塞俄比亚的人类福祉。然而,缺乏足够的研究,特别是在沃尔马拉地区,集约化的谷物为基础的农业系统是由农村人口的快速增长施加的。因此,本研究的目的是研究1985年和2017年土地利用/土地覆盖变化的时空格局。为此,利用两幅Landsat图像(30×30m分辨率),应用地理信息系统(GIS)技术和使用量子GIS(版本:2.18)的遥感(RS)分析了土地利用/土地覆盖的时间变化。本文采用最大似然分类算法对图像进行监督分类。通过分析,确定了耕地、草地、林地、聚落、湿地和水体6种主要的土地利用/土地覆被类型。1985年为耕地(52816ha)、草地(16755ha)、林地(4633ha)、湿地(1665ha)、聚落(1124ha)、水体(125ha), 2017年为耕地(64984ha)、草地(2442 ha)、林地(4329ha)、湿地(1404ha)、聚落(3790ha)、水体(170ha)。结果表明:近30年来,研究区耕地面积增加15.8%,居民点面积增加3.5%,草地面积减少18.6%,森林面积减少0.4%;研究中土地用途/土地覆盖变化如此迅速的主要原因是农业用途的土地勘探、定居点和小型工厂的建设。总体而言,目前的发现表明,制定综合土地利用政策和计划的本质是可持续地利用有限的土地和土地资源,并减少主要由于这些资源的不明智使用而发生的气候变化的影响。
{"title":"Spatiotemporal Landuse Land Cover Changes in Walmara District, Central Oromia, Ethiopia","authors":"Tokuma Urgessa, D. Lemessa","doi":"10.11648/J.EARTH.20200901.14","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.11648/J.EARTH.20200901.14","url":null,"abstract":"The rapidly changing landuse/landcover at various scales mainly during the past recent decades have caused the degradation of biodiversity and this in turn has affected the human wellbeing in Ethiopia. However, adequate study is lacking particularly in Walmara district where intensive cereal based faming system is exerted by the rapidly increasing rural population growth. Hence, the aim of this study was to examine the spatiotemoral pattern of the landuse/landcover change that has taken place in 1985 and in 2017. For this, two Landsat images (30×30m resolution) were used to analyze temporal landuse/landcover changes with the application of Geographic information system (GIS) techniques and remote sensing (RS) using Quantum GIS (version: 2.18). Here, a supervised image classification technique was applied with Maximum likelihood classification algorism. With this analysis six main landuse/land cover types namely, cropland, grassland, forest land, settlement, wetland and water body were identified. In 1985 the areas of cropland (52816ha), grass land (16755ha), forest land (4633ha), wetland (1665ha), settlement (1124ha) and waterbody (125ha), while in 2017, the areas of cropland (64984ha), grass land (2442), forest land (4329ha), wetland (1404ha), settlement (3790ha) and waterbody (170ha). These results show that over the last thirty years, in the study district, the area covered by crops has increased by 15.8%, settlement area by 3.5% while, in contrast, the areas covered by grassland has shrunk by 18.6%, forest area by 0.4% in 2017. The major reasons for such rapid changes in landuse/landcover in the study are land exploration for agricultural purpose and built ups for settlement and small scale factories. Overall, the present finding suggest the essence of devising integrated landuse policy and plan to sustainably utilize the limited land and land resources and to reduce the impact of climate change that is occurring mainly due to the unwise use of these resources.","PeriodicalId":350455,"journal":{"name":"Eearth","volume":"102 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-01-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"122468975","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 4
Estimation of Seismic Hazard Potential and Attendant Potential Human Fatalities from a Scenario Earthquake on the Sanchiao Fault in Northern Taiwan 台湾北部三桥断裂带假想地震的地震危险性及潜在人员伤亡估计
Pub Date : 2020-01-09 DOI: 10.11648/J.EARTH.20200901.13
Kun-Sung Liu
In this article, the seismic hazard potential in northern Taiwan, including Taipei City, New Taipei City, Keelung City and northern Taoyuan areas are estimated in the form of peak ground acceleration, peak ground velocity and Modified Mercalli Intensity as well as to assess attendant potential human fatalities from a scenario earthquake on the Sanchiao active fault in these areas. By using ground motion prediction equation method in a case of Mw6.88 resulting in the ShakeMap patterns of ground motion, showed the areas of PGA above 400 gals are located in the regions inside the yellow lines of the PGA contour map. Furthermore, the areas of PGA greater than 637 gal are located in the northern Bali and the border area of Sinjhuang and Shulin. Likewise, the high PGV area greater than 60 cm/s are located in the border area of Sinjhuang, Taishan and Shulin. In addition, from estimation of potential human fatalities for a scenario earthquake on the Sanchiao active fault, it is noted that potential fatalities increase rapidly in people above age 45. Total fatalities reach a high peak in age groups of 55–64. Another to pay special attention by Taipei City Government is the number and percentage of fatalities above age 85 are more in Taipei City with values of 419 and 8.54% than New than Taipei City with values of 319 and 5.02%. In addition, it is surprising that the number and percentage of fatalities are 1234 and 9.75%, respectively in Taoyuan City. Overall, the results of this paper will enable both local and central governments in Taiwan to take notice of potential earthquake threat in these areas, as well as to improve decision making with respect to emergency preparedness, response, and recovery activities for earthquakes in northern Taiwan.
本文以大地加速度峰值、大地速度峰值和修正麦加利烈度的形式,估算台北市、新北市、基隆市和桃园北部地区的潜在地震灾害,并评估在三桥活动断层上发生情景地震可能造成的人员伤亡。以Mw6.88为例,利用地震动预测方程方法得到了地面运动的ShakeMap模式,表明400 gal以上的PGA区域位于PGA等高线黄线内的区域。PGA大于637 gal的地区主要分布在巴厘北部和新庄、榆林交界地区。同样,大于60 cm/s的高PGV区域位于新庄、泰山和榆林的边境地区。此外,根据对三桥活动性断层假想地震的潜在死亡人数的估计,人们注意到45岁以上人群的潜在死亡人数迅速增加。总死亡人数在55-64岁年龄组达到高峰。另一个值得台北市政府特别关注的是,85岁以上的死亡人数和百分比,台北市为419和8.54%,比新市多,而台北市为319和5.02%。此外,令人惊讶的是,桃园市的死亡人数和百分比分别为1234%和9.75%。总体而言,本文的研究结果将使台湾的地方和中央政府能够注意到这些地区潜在的地震威胁,并改善台湾北部地震的应急准备,响应和恢复活动的决策。
{"title":"Estimation of Seismic Hazard Potential and Attendant Potential Human Fatalities from a Scenario Earthquake on the Sanchiao Fault in Northern Taiwan","authors":"Kun-Sung Liu","doi":"10.11648/J.EARTH.20200901.13","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.11648/J.EARTH.20200901.13","url":null,"abstract":"In this article, the seismic hazard potential in northern Taiwan, including Taipei City, New Taipei City, Keelung City and northern Taoyuan areas are estimated in the form of peak ground acceleration, peak ground velocity and Modified Mercalli Intensity as well as to assess attendant potential human fatalities from a scenario earthquake on the Sanchiao active fault in these areas. By using ground motion prediction equation method in a case of Mw6.88 resulting in the ShakeMap patterns of ground motion, showed the areas of PGA above 400 gals are located in the regions inside the yellow lines of the PGA contour map. Furthermore, the areas of PGA greater than 637 gal are located in the northern Bali and the border area of Sinjhuang and Shulin. Likewise, the high PGV area greater than 60 cm/s are located in the border area of Sinjhuang, Taishan and Shulin. In addition, from estimation of potential human fatalities for a scenario earthquake on the Sanchiao active fault, it is noted that potential fatalities increase rapidly in people above age 45. Total fatalities reach a high peak in age groups of 55–64. Another to pay special attention by Taipei City Government is the number and percentage of fatalities above age 85 are more in Taipei City with values of 419 and 8.54% than New than Taipei City with values of 319 and 5.02%. In addition, it is surprising that the number and percentage of fatalities are 1234 and 9.75%, respectively in Taoyuan City. Overall, the results of this paper will enable both local and central governments in Taiwan to take notice of potential earthquake threat in these areas, as well as to improve decision making with respect to emergency preparedness, response, and recovery activities for earthquakes in northern Taiwan.","PeriodicalId":350455,"journal":{"name":"Eearth","volume":"30 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-01-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"122089711","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
期刊
Eearth
全部 Acc. Chem. Res. ACS Applied Bio Materials ACS Appl. Electron. Mater. ACS Appl. Energy Mater. ACS Appl. Mater. Interfaces ACS Appl. Nano Mater. ACS Appl. Polym. Mater. ACS BIOMATER-SCI ENG ACS Catal. ACS Cent. Sci. ACS Chem. Biol. ACS Chemical Health & Safety ACS Chem. Neurosci. ACS Comb. Sci. ACS Earth Space Chem. ACS Energy Lett. ACS Infect. Dis. ACS Macro Lett. ACS Mater. Lett. ACS Med. Chem. Lett. ACS Nano ACS Omega ACS Photonics ACS Sens. ACS Sustainable Chem. Eng. ACS Synth. Biol. Anal. Chem. BIOCHEMISTRY-US Bioconjugate Chem. BIOMACROMOLECULES Chem. Res. Toxicol. Chem. Rev. Chem. Mater. CRYST GROWTH DES ENERG FUEL Environ. Sci. Technol. Environ. Sci. Technol. Lett. Eur. J. Inorg. Chem. IND ENG CHEM RES Inorg. Chem. J. Agric. Food. Chem. J. Chem. Eng. Data J. Chem. Educ. J. Chem. Inf. Model. J. Chem. Theory Comput. J. Med. Chem. J. Nat. Prod. J PROTEOME RES J. Am. Chem. Soc. LANGMUIR MACROMOLECULES Mol. Pharmaceutics Nano Lett. Org. Lett. ORG PROCESS RES DEV ORGANOMETALLICS J. Org. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. A J. Phys. Chem. B J. Phys. Chem. C J. Phys. Chem. Lett. Analyst Anal. Methods Biomater. Sci. Catal. Sci. Technol. Chem. Commun. Chem. Soc. Rev. CHEM EDUC RES PRACT CRYSTENGCOMM Dalton Trans. Energy Environ. Sci. ENVIRON SCI-NANO ENVIRON SCI-PROC IMP ENVIRON SCI-WAT RES Faraday Discuss. Food Funct. Green Chem. Inorg. Chem. Front. Integr. Biol. J. Anal. At. Spectrom. J. Mater. Chem. A J. Mater. Chem. B J. Mater. Chem. C Lab Chip Mater. Chem. Front. Mater. Horiz. MEDCHEMCOMM Metallomics Mol. Biosyst. Mol. Syst. Des. Eng. Nanoscale Nanoscale Horiz. Nat. Prod. Rep. New J. Chem. Org. Biomol. Chem. Org. Chem. Front. PHOTOCH PHOTOBIO SCI PCCP Polym. Chem.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1