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A.I. model forecast of building cooling load demand for the reduction of energy consumption to work towards carbon neutrality 人工智能模型预测建筑冷负荷需求,减少能耗,努力实现碳中和
Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.33430/v30n1thie-2022-0033
Tony Ip, Tattwa Darshi Panda, Xiaoyu Jia, Yiqun Pan, D. Mishra, Matthew Yuen, Harris Sun
The world needs to achieve carbon neutrality or net zero emissions of greenhouse gases (GHG) by 2050. Buildings are major sources of GHG emissions. Applications of the latest innovative technologies of machine learning/A.I. algorithms have opened up new opportunities. The optimal control of cooling plant systems is important to reduce energy consumption and therefore emissions. Knowing the cooling load demand in advance can help facility managers operate cooling plants much more efficiently. This paper presents a real-life application of nine A.I. models for time-series forecasting of the cooling load demand of a commercial building. LSTM neural networks, Facebook Prophet time series model, and DeepAR recurrent neural network models are found to be the most accurate with a Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) in the range of 15 to 16 with a computing time in the range of 294 to 319 seconds respectively. The LightGBM machine learning model on the other hand proves to be the fastest with a MAPE of 18.96 in just 7 seconds. Thus, different models can be deployed for different requirements. Optimising the operation of cooling systems as per the forecast cooling demand can bring enormous energy savings that are essential for achieving carbon neutrality.
到2050年,世界需要实现碳中和或温室气体净零排放。建筑物是温室气体排放的主要来源。机器学习/人工智能最新创新技术的应用算法带来了新的机会。冷却装置系统的优化控制对于降低能源消耗和排放至关重要。提前了解冷却负荷需求可以帮助设施管理人员更有效地运行冷却设备。本文介绍了9种人工智能模型在商业建筑冷负荷需求时序预测中的实际应用。LSTM神经网络、Facebook Prophet时间序列模型和DeepAR递归神经网络模型最准确,平均绝对百分比误差(MAPE)在15到16之间,计算时间分别在294到319秒之间。另一方面,LightGBM机器学习模型被证明是最快的,MAPE在7秒内达到18.96。因此,可以针对不同的需求部署不同的模型。根据预测的冷却需求优化冷却系统的运行可以带来巨大的能源节约,这对实现碳中和至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
The development of floating solar farms on the surface of impounding reservoirs in Hong Kong 在香港蓄水池表面发展浮动太阳能农场
Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.33430/v30n2thie-2022-0065
Samuel L W Choi, S. Y. Cheng, J. Searle
The initiative to develop Renewable Energy in Hong Kong was first addressed in the 2018 Policy Address and further elaborated in the ‘Hong Kong Climate Action Plan 2030+’. In October 2021, the Government of the HKSAR announced the new ‘Climate Action Plan 2050’ to strive to achieve carbon neutrality by 2050. In response, to promote the development of renewable energy, the Water Supplies Department (WSD) has undertaken studies and three pilot trials of floating photovoltaic (FPV) systems on the surfaces of Hong Kong’s reservoirs. With the successful implementation and operation of these pilot systems, the WSD is now embarking on the investigation and design of a large-scale 5-megawatt (MW) capacity floating solar farm (FSF) at Plover Cove Reservoir. Future studies will commence shortly to explore the feasibility of also implementing large-scale FSFs totalling 130 MW on other impounding reservoirs. The paper discusses some of the design issues and considerations including innovations/technology of FSFs which are specific to Hong Kong. These include the resilience of the FPV system to withstand severe typhoon conditions, environmental and water quality issues, and the proximity of nearby waterworks facilities for utilisation of the generated renewable energy.
2018年《施政报告》首次提出在香港发展可再生能源的倡议,并在《香港气候行动计划2030+》中作进一步阐述。二零一一年十月,香港特区政府公布新的《2050年气候行动计划》,力争在2050年达到碳中和。为此,为了促进可再生能源的发展,水务署进行了研究,并在香港的水塘表面进行了三次浮动光伏系统的试验。随着这些试验系统的成功实施和运作,水务署现正着手在船湾水塘调查和设计一个容量为5兆瓦的大型浮动太阳能发电场。未来的研究将于短期内展开,以探讨在其他蓄水水塘亦实施总容量达130兆瓦的大型水力稳定系统的可行性。本文讨论了一些设计问题和考虑因素,包括创新/技术的金融稳定基金,这是香港特有的。这些因素包括光伏发电系统抵御严重台风的能力、环境和水质问题,以及邻近水厂设施,以利用所产生的可再生能源。
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引用次数: 0
Long-term performance of hybrid MiC buildings considering concrete creep and shrinkage 考虑混凝土徐变和收缩的混合MiC建筑的长期性能
Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.33430/v30n3thie-2022-0051
Yingqi Liu, Ho Kit Siu, Shiyu Guan, F. Au
With the completion of several pilot projects in Hong Kong, Modular Integrated Construction (MiC) is being promoted to boost the productivity and cope with the labour shortage in the local construction industry. However, the possible adverse effects of differential axial shortening due to the time-dependent behaviour arising from concrete creep and shrinkage will only become obvious after a long time. In this study, simplified numerical models are established based on typical hybrid MiC buildings in Hong Kong. Time-dependent analyses considering the creep and shrinkage of concrete are carried out. The construction schedules of the pilot MiC projects are used as a reference to model the staged construction. The results for a 20-storey hybrid MiC building indicate, owing to the concrete creep and shrinkage, noticeable stresses at the module-to-wall connections at the corners of core walls 30 years after construction. The compressive stresses at the bottom of the steel MiC modules will increase substantially over time, which could reduce the amount of material strength that can be utilised by other loads. Hence checking of long-term performance should be conducted at the design stage, particularly focusing on the connections.
随着多个试验项目在香港完成,政府正推广“组合式综合建筑”,以提高生产力和应付本地建造业的劳工短缺问题。然而,由于混凝土徐变和收缩引起的随时间变化的差异轴向缩短可能产生的不利影响只有在很长一段时间后才会变得明显。本研究以香港典型混合MiC建筑为例,建立简化的数值模型。考虑混凝土徐变和收缩,进行了随时间的分析。以试点MiC项目的施工进度为参考,对分期施工进行建模。对20层混合MiC建筑的结果表明,由于混凝土蠕变和收缩,在施工30年后,核心墙拐角的模块与墙壁连接处存在明显的应力。钢MiC模块底部的压应力将随着时间的推移而大幅增加,这可能会降低可用于其他负载的材料强度。因此,在设计阶段应进行长期性能的校核,特别是对连接处进行校核。
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引用次数: 0
A federated learning and blockchain-based data sharing framework for developing intelligent building design models 用于开发智能建筑设计模型的联邦学习和基于区块链的数据共享框架
Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.33430/v30n3thie-2023-0005
Qiqi Zhang, Zhiqian Zhang, W. Pan
Intelligent building design can reduce manual work and streamline the design process by automatically generating design content using artificial neural networks (ANNs). However, it is challenging to collect sufficient drawings to develop a high-performance ANN. Data owners may not be willing to share their drawings with untrusted parties due to privacy considerations. To address these challenges, this paper proposes a novel data sharing framework of confidential building design information to facilitate the development of intelligent auxiliary building design models. The data sharing framework utilises the federated learning technique and blockchain technology to encourage data sharing through fair benefits allocation based on the Shapley value. A case study was conducted to evaluate the effectiveness and feasibility of the proposed framework. The results show that the intersection over union is improved by more than 10%. More benefits are allocated to data owners who provide datasets with higher quality and quantity. Methodologically, the paper should facilitate the effective integration of the fragmented and confidential project data to train building design models and add much value by addressing the data sharing complexity and dynamics in modern construction. Practically, the paper demonstrates a novel way to train auxiliary design models for building designers.
智能建筑设计利用人工神经网络(ann)自动生成设计内容,减少了人工操作,简化了设计过程。然而,收集足够的图纸来开发高性能的人工神经网络是一项挑战。出于隐私考虑,数据所有者可能不愿意与不受信任的方分享他们的图纸。针对这些挑战,本文提出了一种新的机密建筑设计信息数据共享框架,以促进智能辅助建筑设计模型的发展。数据共享框架利用联邦学习技术和区块链技术,通过基于Shapley值的公平利益分配,鼓励数据共享。通过一个案例研究来评估该框架的有效性和可行性。结果表明,该方法使并集的交点提高了10%以上。提供更高质量和数量数据集的数据所有者将获得更多利益。在方法上,通过解决现代建筑中数据共享的复杂性和动态性,促进碎片化和机密性项目数据的有效整合,以训练建筑设计模型,并增加价值。在实践中,提出了一种培养建筑设计师辅助设计模型的新方法。
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引用次数: 0
Tools adapted to Ethical Analysis of Data Bias 适用于数据偏见伦理分析的工具
Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2022-09-30 DOI: 10.33430/v29n3thie-2022-0037
W. Lee
Data Bias, a bias embedded in data during collection, storing, and use, and in the apps used by a human, is an emerging issue of data privacy exemplified by Artificial Intelligence bias (AI bias). This issue is becoming gradually an added vulnerability to data ethics, an added threat to data security, and an added burden to data protection. It has an effect to induce a reduction in data protection expenditure, and is crucial to the success of any creative endeavours in the data-driven technology-intensive era, including Engineering, exemplified by AI bias, and AI bias is bias created when biased data creeps in during design, development, and training of AI algorithms. AI indeed culminates in a phenomenon in which the populace jumps, yet a sober minority steers away from because of the pervasive cyber-threats that AI bias raises. At issue is not data bias per se, nor the multi-dimensional issues induced by human bias, which are usually complex and slippery, but a need for a method to enable a holistic view covering the technical, financial, legal, social, ethical, and ecological aspects of a given problem, action, policy, or decision. Recommendable is a method composed of the Ethical Matrix Algorithm and Hexa-dimension Metric Algorithm (Lee, forthcoming) based respectively on the Ethical Matrix and Hexa-dimension Metric (Lee, 2021).
数据偏见是一种嵌入在数据收集、存储和使用过程以及人类使用的应用程序中的偏见,是一个新兴的数据隐私问题,以人工智能偏见(AI偏见)为例。这一问题正逐渐成为数据伦理的一个附加漏洞,对数据安全的一个附加威胁,以及对数据保护的一个附加负担。它具有诱导数据保护支出减少的效果,对于数据驱动的技术密集型时代(包括工程)的任何创造性努力的成功至关重要,以人工智能偏见为例,人工智能偏见是在人工智能算法的设计、开发和培训过程中,当有偏见的数据潜入时产生的偏见。人工智能确实在一种现象中达到顶峰,即大众跳起来,但由于人工智能偏见带来的无处不在的网络威胁,少数清醒的人避开了这种现象。问题不是数据偏见本身,也不是由人类偏见引起的多维问题,这通常是复杂和棘手的,而是需要一种方法来实现一个全面的观点,涵盖给定问题、行动、政策或决定的技术、金融、法律、社会、伦理和生态方面。推荐是一种分别基于伦理矩阵和六维度量(Lee, 2021),由伦理矩阵算法和六维度量算法(Lee,即将出版)组成的方法。
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引用次数: 0
Investigation and development of an empirical model for transmission loss of acoustic windows in alleviating road traffic noise impact 缓解道路交通噪声影响的声窗传输损耗经验模型的研究与开发
Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2022-09-30 DOI: 10.33430/v29n3thie-2020-0009
Carmen Ka-man Cheung, Jamie Chi-ting Lai
An Acoustic Window is comprised of a horizontal sliding window at the inner layer, and a side-hung window, which can be pushed to open, on one side of the outer layer, and a fixed glazing on the other side. The glazing of the sliding inner window serves as a “baffle” for screening off the noise passing through the opened outer window when it is slid behind the opened outer window. This baffle-type acoustic window is proved to reduce up to 8 dB(A) road traffic noise and is gaining popularity in residential developments of Hong Kong, particularly for those located in difficult sites in close proximity to heavily trafficked roads. This paper presents the experimental results from a study looking into the acoustical transmission loss of Acoustic Windows with respect to changes in window configuration and setting of line sources. Based on the experimental results, empirical models for noise reduction of Acoustic Windows are developed and investigated to assist quick design of Acoustic Windows for planning residential developments.
隔音窗由内层的水平滑动窗、外层一侧的可推开的侧悬窗和另一侧的固定玻璃组成。滑动内窗的玻璃充当“挡板”,当它滑到打开的外窗后面时,可以屏蔽通过打开的外车窗的噪音。事实证明,这种令人困惑的声学窗可降低高达8 dB(A)的道路交通噪音,并在香港的住宅开发中越来越受欢迎,尤其是对于那些位于交通繁忙道路附近的困难地段的住宅开发。本文介绍了一项研究声学窗口的声学传输损耗随窗口配置和线源设置变化的实验结果。基于实验结果,开发并研究了隔音窗降噪的经验模型,以帮助住宅开发规划中快速设计隔音窗。
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引用次数: 0
Viability of renewable energy technologies under the Feed-in Tariff scheme in Hong Kong 香港可再生能源技术在上网电价计划下的可行性
Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2022-09-30 DOI: 10.33430/v29n3thie-2021-0003
Jackson Tsz Chun Tsui, D. Leung
Many countries and regions around the world have incorporated renewable energy use for the purpose of achieving resource sustainability, pollution reduction, as well as reducing the carbon footprint. Many cities around the world including Hong Kong have created Feed-in Tariff (FIT) schemes to encourage and provide incentives for renewable energy development. There is thus a need to study the feasibility of using renewable energy under the scheme. Energy generated from two prominent renewable energy technologies ‒ solar PV and wind turbines ‒ are studied for a hypothetical housing development in Hong Kong. To allow for increased knowledge of different types of solar panels and wind turbines that are available in the market, two different types of solar panels – the monocrystalline and amorphous silicon PV ‒ and two different types of wind turbines – the horizontal and vertical wind turbine ‒ are studied. The revenue that can be generated is then calculated based on a power company’s FIT scheme. The payback period required for each type of renewable energy technology development is also determined. The results show that solar panels are feasible for installation within the city, and both solar panels and wind turbines are feasible for installation on outlying islands outside the city such as Cheung Chau.
为了实现资源可持续性、减少污染和减少碳足迹,世界上许多国家和地区都将可再生能源的利用纳入其中。包括香港在内的全球许多城市都设立了上网电价(FIT)计划,鼓励和激励可再生能源的发展。因此,有必要研究在该计划下使用可再生能源的可行性。我们研究了两种主要的可再生能源技术——太阳能光伏和风力涡轮机——所产生的能源,用于香港一个假想的房屋发展。为了增加对市场上不同类型的太阳能电池板和风力涡轮机的了解,我们研究了两种不同类型的太阳能电池板——单晶和非晶硅光伏发电——以及两种不同类型的风力涡轮机——水平和垂直风力涡轮机。然后根据电力公司的FIT计划计算可产生的收入。还确定了每种可再生能源技术开发所需的投资回收期。结果表明,太阳能电池板在城市内安装是可行的,太阳能电池板和风力涡轮机在城市外的离岛(如张洲)安装是可行的。
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引用次数: 0
Instream filtering system for the removal of suspended solids in King Yip Street Nullah, Kwun Tong 观塘景业街明渠的污水过滤系统,以去除悬浮固体
Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2022-09-30 DOI: 10.33430/v29n3thie-2021-0031
Yuqing Sun, Liang Chen, Coleman K Y Chan, Antony N F Wan, Daniel C W Tsang
The preliminary design of the project “Revitalization of Tsui Ping River” recommended a few water quality improvement measures aiming to enhance the aesthetic appearance and environmental conditions of the existing King Yip Street Nullah in Kwun Tong, including the use of a cost-effective instream filtering system to remove suspended solids (SS) in dry weather flows. However, the effectiveness as well as operational and maintenance experience of instream filtering systems in Hong Kong is not well established. Thus, we conducted a site trial to ascertain its effectiveness before full-scale implementation. The results showed that the sand trap screened a lot of sandy materials during the site trial period, especially during rainfall events. The instream filtering system with a gravel size of 80−120 mm effectively removed SS and total organic carbon from the water. We recommend that for the instream filtering system to be implemented in other nullahs in Hong Kong, larger dimensions (length of 4−9 m) with possible flow control (0.3−1.5 m3/h) measures could be considered when the site conditions (water depth of 1.1−1.5 m and water turbidity level below 500 NTU) allow. Overall, this study provided indispensable guidance to formulate the future design of filter sizing criteria based on targeted rainfall events and specific hydrological objectives.
「翠屏河活化计划」的初步设计建议采取多项水质改善措施,以改善观塘现有景业街明渠的外观及环境,包括采用具成本效益的河道内过滤系统,以清除干燥天气水流中的悬浮固体。然而,香港的流内过滤系统的有效性以及运行和维护经验尚不成熟。因此,在全面实施之前,我们进行了现场试验,以确定其有效性。结果表明,在现场试验期间,特别是在降雨期间,拦沙器筛选了大量的砂质物质。砾石尺寸为80−120 mm的河道内过滤系统有效地去除了水中的SS和总有机碳。我们建议在香港其他明渠采用的河道内过滤系统,在现场条件(水深1.1−1.5 m,水浊度低于500 NTU)允许的情况下,可考虑采用更大尺寸(长度4−9 m)和可能的流量控制(0.3−1.5 m3/h)措施。总的来说,这项研究为根据有针对性的降雨事件和特定的水文目标制定过滤器尺寸标准的未来设计提供了不可或缺的指导。
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引用次数: 0
Seasonal variation of heavy metal contents in road dust from residential, industrial and rural areas of Hong Kong 香港居民区、工业区及乡村道路尘埃重金属含量的季节变化
Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2022-09-30 DOI: 10.33430/v29n3thie-2020-0049
K. Ngai, Ming Wai Mak, Hon Sang Ko, K. Pun
Heavy metal contents in road dust have been an important indicator of heavy metal pollution arising from traffic-related activities. In this study, 108 road dust samples were collected from four locations of Hong Kong, namely Kwai Hing (industrial area), Sau Mau Ping (residential area), Sai Kung and Tai Lam (rural area), over a one-year period and analysed for zinc (Zn), nickel (Ni), copper (Cu), lead (Pb), chromium (Cr), cadmium (Cd), and arsenic (As). The geo-accumulation indices (Igeo) and contamination factors indicated zinc, copper, chromium, to a lesser extent, nickel, and cadmium pollution of road dust in industrial and residential areas. The potential ecological risks of Cu were found to be particularly high in both areas. Residential and industrial areas are prone to considerable and very high risks, respectively, based on the risk indices (RI). The sources of heavy metals may vary slightly between the areas based on Pearson's correlation analysis. It was found that the metal contents in the road dust samples vary differently between the dry and wet seasons. The concentrations of Zn were higher in the dry season while those of Cu, Cr and Ni were generally higher in the wet season.
道路扬尘中的重金属含量一直是交通相关活动造成重金属污染的重要指标。在这项研究中,在香港的四个地点,即葵兴(工业区)、秀茂坪(住宅区)、西贡和大榄(农村区)收集了108份道路灰尘样本,为期一年,并分析了锌(Zn)、镍(Ni)、铜(Cu)、铅(Pb)、铬(Cr)、镉(Cd)和砷(As)。地质累积指数(Igeo)和污染因子表明,工业区和居民区道路粉尘对锌、铜、铬的污染程度较低,对镍和镉的污染程度较小。铜的潜在生态风险在这两个地区都特别高。根据风险指数(RI),住宅区和工业区分别容易出现相当大和非常高的风险。根据Pearson的相关性分析,不同地区的重金属来源可能略有不同。研究发现,道路灰尘样本中的金属含量在旱季和雨季之间存在差异。Zn在旱季的浓度较高,而Cu、Cr和Ni在雨季的浓度通常较高。
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引用次数: 0
Performance enhancement of PRNU-based source identification for smart video surveillance 基于PRNU的智能视频监控源识别性能增强
Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2022-09-30 DOI: 10.33430/v29n3thie-2022-0035
Sai-Chung Law, N. Law
This paper introduces a current signal-based source verification (SSV) system for images in video surveillance networks including the cloud. Using a signal, the well-known photo-response non-uniformity (PRNU) can be used, which is unique and intrinsic in every digital image taken by a source camera, like fingerprints. The SSV system using PRNU has proved before to be useful for reliable video source identification in both network- and cloud-based video surveillance. However, in the era of smart living, security video systems have become part of the IoT devices which typically have limited resources such as low computation, power, storage and memory. To address these problems in the IoT applications, the effects of I-frames only and infra-red night scenes are studied as well as two proposed approaches for the SSV system. Then a hybrid version of the SSV scheme is further suggested, in combination with the best approach using averaged noise residues (for reduced false positive rate), and a recent technique using spatial domain averaged frames (for reduced computational complexity). Theenhanced performance of the improved SSV system for smart video surveillance has been verified through tests.
本文介绍了一种用于包括云在内的视频监控网络中图像的基于当前信号的源验证(SSV)系统。使用信号,可以使用众所周知的光响应不均匀性(PRNU),这在源相机拍摄的每一张数字图像中都是独特的,就像指纹一样。使用PRNU的SSV系统以前已经被证明在基于网络和云的视频监控中都可以用于可靠的视频源识别。然而,在智能生活时代,安全视频系统已成为物联网设备的一部分,这些设备通常具有有限的资源,如低计算、低功耗、存储和内存。为了解决物联网应用中的这些问题,研究了仅I帧和红外夜景的影响,并提出了SSV系统的两种方法。然后,结合使用平均噪声残差的最佳方法(用于降低误报率)和使用空间域平均帧的最新技术(用于降低计算复杂度),进一步提出了SSV方案的混合版本。通过测试验证了改进的SSV智能视频监控系统的增强性能。
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引用次数: 2
期刊
Transactions Hong Kong Institution of Engineers
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