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Estimating the cost of equity for performance based regulation: Important consequences from finance theory 估算基于绩效监管的股权成本:金融理论的重要影响
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.tej.2024.107444
David Havyatt, David Johnstone
All forms of economic regulation rely on observing the regulated firm’s costs which necessitates estimating the firm’s cost of capital including the cost of equity. Performance-based regulation (PBR) combines increased efficiency incentives with explicit performance-achievement rewards. It is attracting both increasing academic attention and greater application in electricity regulation. The standard textbook approaches to the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) incorrectly describe the asset beta as simply a measure of risk. More correctly, it is a measure of risk per unit of expected return. This interpretation makes the use of the CAPM to determine allowed rates of return problematic. The incentives in Performance Based Regulation exacerbate this problem. Regulators who base part of their decision on "judgement" should rely more on that judgement and develop approaches that focus on regulatory, rather than market, outcomes.
所有形式的经济监管都依赖于观察被监管企业的成本,这就需要估算企业的资本成本,包括股权成本。基于绩效的监管(PBR)将提高效率的激励措施与明确的绩效奖励相结合。它正吸引着越来越多的学术关注,并在电力监管中得到更广泛的应用。资本资产定价模型 (CAPM) 的标准教科书方法错误地将资产贝塔值简单地描述为风险度量。更正确的说法是,它是对每单位预期收益的风险度量。这种解释使得使用资本资产定价模型来确定允许收益率存在问题。绩效监管的激励机制加剧了这一问题。以 "判断 "为部分决策依据的监管者应更多地依赖这种判断,并制定注重监管结果而非市场结果的方法。
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引用次数: 0
Is it worthwhile to participate in transactive energy? A decision-making model for empowering residential customers 参与交互式能源是否值得?增强居民客户能力的决策模型
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.tej.2024.107447
Alejandro Parrado-Duque , Nilson Henao , Kodjo Agbossou , Sousso Kelouwani , Juan C. Oviedo-Cepeda , Juan Domínguez-Jiménez
The deployment of transactive energy systems hinges on well-defined policies that govern the decisions of transactive agents. Traditionally, upper-level agents, such as distribution system operators, aggregators, or coordinators, assume perpetual acceptance and participation by lower-level agents, like residential customers, in new demand-side programs. This assumption, alongside the presumption of agents’ benevolent behavior in a transactional environment, often overlooks the potential for false information in electricity markets, leading to significant economic losses and program failures. To address these challenges, we develop a transactive energy system based on mechanism design, structured around four comprehensive phases: Enrollment, Coordination, Execution, and Settlement. Customers adopt a decision-making model grounded in convex stochastic programming, enabling them to freely choose their daily enrollment in a demand response program and define their willingness to coordinate day-ahead electricity consumption once the Enrollment phase is cleared. The payment rule proposed in this work, which includes a penalty policy for energy deviations, ensures truthful information reporting from residential agents to the coordinator within a negotiation environment. Our results demonstrate that residential agents’ enrollment decisions vary according to the penalty values defined by the coordinator. Additionally, the number of customers enrolled in the Coordination phase significantly influences the coordinator’s daily profits. The study also highlights how electricity deviations during the Execution phase can increase customers’ costs beyond initial expectations, emphasizing the importance of adherence to planned consumption for optimal economic outcomes. This research offers a comprehensive transactive energy system that enhances customer participation through the principle of individual rationality and ensures truthful information reporting among agents based on the incentive compatibility concept in a day-ahead electricity market. Then, is it worthwhile to participate in transactive energy? The short answer is yes, and the reasons are unveiled throughout this paper.
交易型能源系统的部署取决于对交易代理决策进行管理的明确政策。传统上,上层代理(如配电系统运营商、聚合器或协调器)假定下层代理(如住宅客户)永远接受并参与新的需求方计划。这一假设,以及代理人在交易环境中的善意行为假设,往往忽视了电力市场中可能存在的虚假信息,从而导致重大经济损失和项目失败。为了应对这些挑战,我们开发了一种基于机制设计的交易型能源系统,该系统围绕四个综合阶段展开:注册、协调、执行和结算。客户采用以凸随机编程为基础的决策模型,使其能够自由选择每天是否加入需求响应计划,并在 "注册 "阶段结束后确定其协调日前电力消费的意愿。本研究提出的支付规则包括对能源偏差的惩罚政策,确保居民代理在协商环境中向协调者报告真实信息。我们的研究结果表明,住宅代理的注册决策会根据协调者定义的惩罚值而变化。此外,在协调阶段注册的用户数量对协调者的日利润有显著影响。该研究还强调了执行阶段的电力偏差如何使客户的成本增加到超出最初预期的程度,从而强调了遵守计划消费以实现最佳经济效益的重要性。这项研究提供了一个全面的交易型能源系统,该系统通过个体理性原则提高客户参与度,并基于激励相容概念确保代理之间在日前电力市场上如实报告信息。那么,交易型能源是否值得参与呢?简短的回答是肯定的,本文将揭示其中的原因。
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引用次数: 0
Unlocking trends in secondary battery technologies: A model based on bidirectional encoder representations from transformers 揭示二次电池技术的发展趋势:基于变压器双向编码器表示的模型
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.tej.2024.107438
Hanjun Shin, Juyong Lee

Battery technology is widely used in various aspects of modern life, and efficient energy storage is becoming increasingly crucial. Secondary battery technology is continuously developing, and its market value is increasing. Therefore, data analysis is essential for the continued growth of technology in this field. Patent data is commonly analysed to identify technological trends, providing valuable information for technological innovation and competitiveness. Compared to traditional topic modelling techniques based on word occurrence frequency, Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers (BERT) demonstrates superior natural language processing results in generating contextual word and sentence vector representations by considering the semantic similarities of the text. Therefore, this study utilised this model to extract topics. From a total of 6218 patent data, this study extracted core topics and the main keywords for secondary battery technologies between 2013 and 2022 were lithium-ion, electric vehicles, unmanned air vehicles, and solar panels, confirming the accuracy of BERT-based patent analysis. Additionally, this study selected the topics and present their main concepts and trend analysis to provide insights into future research on secondary battery technologies.

电池技术被广泛应用于现代生活的方方面面,高效储能变得越来越重要。二次电池技术在不断发展,其市场价值也在不断增加。因此,数据分析对该领域技术的持续发展至关重要。专利数据通常通过分析来确定技术趋势,为技术创新和竞争力提供有价值的信息。与传统的基于词出现频率的主题建模技术相比,来自变换器的双向编码器表示法(BERT)通过考虑文本的语义相似性,在生成上下文单词和句子向量表示方面展示了卓越的自然语言处理效果。因此,本研究利用这一模型来提取主题。本研究从总共 6218 项专利数据中提取了核心主题,2013 年至 2022 年间二次电池技术的主要关键词为锂离子、电动汽车、无人驾驶飞行器和太阳能电池板,这证实了基于 BERT 的专利分析的准确性。此外,本研究还对这些主题进行了筛选,并提出了其主要概念和趋势分析,为未来二次电池技术的研究提供了启示。
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引用次数: 0
Heatwaves and hardship: Shortcomings and solutions for enhancing the low income home energy assistance program to mitigate extreme heat and energy insecurity 热浪与困难:加强低收入家庭能源援助计划以缓解极端高温和能源不安全问题的不足与解决方案
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.tej.2024.107440
Daniel Carrión , Diana Hernández
The Low Income Home Energy Assistance Program (LIHEAP) must adapt and evolve to keep pace with the challenges posed by climate change and increased economic strain. Urgent action is needed to improve LIHEAP to effectively address extreme heat and energy insecurity faced by low-income households and protect the health and well-being of disadvantaged groups spurred by climate change. In evaluating LIHEAP’s shortcomings, we demonstrate that there is a substantial gap between program eligibility and enrollment, such that many households are not receiving this vital benefit or do so mainly when facing a crisis. We also show that LIHEAP funds overwhelmingly support cold-weather states even as record-breaking heat is a critical stressor. The spatial mismatch we unveil shows that southern states receive less LIHEAP funds despite higher cooling degree days and higher rates of energy insecurity. The importance of swift action based on sound data and up-to-date research can enhance the efficacy of LIHEAP, expand its reach, and ultimately improve the living conditions of millions of energy insecure households. We offer several recommendations to improve LIHEAP to ensure that this critical lifeline program remains an effective tool to mitigate energy insecurity and safeguard livelihoods in the face of extreme heat.
低收入家庭能源援助计划(LIHEAP)必须不断调整和发展,以应对气候变化和经济压力增加所带来的挑战。我们亟需采取行动改进低收入家庭能源援助计划,以有效解决低收入家庭面临的极端高温和能源不安全问题,并保护因气候变化而处于不利地位的群体的健康和福祉。在对 LIHEAP 的不足之处进行评估时,我们发现在项目资格和注册人数之间存在巨大差距,因此许多家庭并未享受到这一重要福利,或者主要是在面临危机时才享受到这一福利。我们还表明,尽管破纪录的高温是一个关键的压力因素,但 LIHEAP 的资金绝大部分都用于支持寒冷地区。我们揭示的空间错配现象表明,尽管南方各州的降温度日数更高,能源不安全率更高,但它们获得的 LIHEAP 资金却更少。在可靠数据和最新研究的基础上迅速采取行动的重要性,可以提高 LIHEAP 的效率,扩大其覆盖范围,并最终改善数百万能源无保障家庭的生活条件。我们提出了几项改进 LIHEAP 的建议,以确保这一重要的生命线计划在面对极端高温天气时仍能成为缓解能源不安全和保障生计的有效工具。
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引用次数: 0
Critical infrastructure organisational resilience assessment: A case study of Malawi’s power grid operator 关键基础设施组织复原力评估:马拉维电网运营商案例研究
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.tej.2024.107427
Joyce Nyuma Chivunga , Zhengyu Lin , Richard Blanchard

This study presents a comprehensive assessment of organisational resilience within Malawi's power grid operator, linking resilience parameters, indicators, and capacities through a detailed case study. Utilising interviews and questionnaires, resilience parameters were obtained. Twenty resilience indicators were identified from established and documented research and were categorised into five distinct capacities: preventive and mitigative, anticipative, absorptive, adaptive, and transformative. This approach addresses a significant gap in the literature on organisational resilience, which often focuses predominantly on adaptive capacity. Our analysis compared resilience strengths and weaknesses, revealing a predominance of the latter, with financial constraint identified as a universal challenge across all capacities. Particularly, the transformative capacity exhibited the largest gaps between strengths and weaknesses, underscoring the operator's challenges in responding to severe disruptions. The findings suggest that resilience in the context of Malawi's power grid operator extends beyond operational capabilities, highlighting the critical importance of robust infrastructure to enhance the overall resilience framework. This work offers practical insights for policymakers and infrastructure managers, particularly in developing countries facing similar challenges. It calls for a strategic realignment towards bolstering transformative capacity and securing financial resources, enhancing critical infrastructure resilience, and underlining these proposed actions' urgency and importance.

本研究对马拉维电网运营商的组织复原力进行了全面评估,通过详细的案例研究将复原力参数、指标和能力联系起来。通过访谈和问卷调查,获得了复原力参数。从已有的文献研究中确定了 20 项复原力指标,并将其分为五种不同的能力:预防和缓解能力、预测能力、吸收能力、适应能力和变革能力。这种方法弥补了有关组织复原力的文献中的一个重大空白,这些文献通常主要关注适应能力。我们的分析比较了抗灾能力的强项和弱项,发现后者占主导地位,而财务限制被认为是所有能力面临的普遍挑战。特别是,转型能力的优缺点差距最大,凸显了运营商在应对严重干扰时面临的挑战。研究结果表明,马拉维电网运营商的抗灾能力超出了运营能力的范畴,突出了稳健的基础设施对增强整体抗灾能力框架的极端重要性。这项研究为政策制定者和基础设施管理者,尤其是面临类似挑战的发展中国家的政策制定者和基础设施管理者提供了实用的见解。它呼吁进行战略调整,加强转型能力,确保财政资源,提高关键基础设施的复原力,并强调了这些拟议行动的紧迫性和重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Residential electricity efficiency and implications for Vietnam's clean energy transition 居民用电效率及对越南清洁能源转型的影响
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.tej.2024.107428
Lam Do, Le Viet Phu

Vietnam’s electricity consumption relative to its average national income per capita is significantly higher than that of similar countries like India or China. Current electricity use is not sustainable and in the future may threaten energy supply security. Of the total electricity consumption, the residential sector accounts for up to a third, making it a critical component for policy interventions. We employ a stochastic frontier model and three rounds of nationally representative household living standards surveys from 2014 to 2018 to measure residential electricity efficiency and its determinants in Vietnam. Our result shows that the average electricity efficiency in Vietnam is approximately 75 %. We then discuss Vietnam’s potential electricity savings and recommend improvements which will be necessary if Vietnam wants to accelerate its long-term clean and sustainable energy prospects.

越南的用电量与其人均国民收入相比,明显高于印度或中国等类似国家。目前的用电量是不可持续的,未来可能会威胁到能源供应安全。在总用电量中,住宅部门的用电量高达三分之一,因此成为政策干预的关键部分。我们采用随机前沿模型和 2014 年至 2018 年的三轮具有全国代表性的家庭生活水平调查来衡量越南的居民用电效率及其决定因素。结果显示,越南的平均用电效率约为 75%。然后,我们讨论了越南的潜在节电潜力,并提出了改进建议,如果越南希望加快其长期清洁和可持续能源的发展前景,这些建议将是必要的。
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引用次数: 0
Folding community engagement into decision making: A continuous process to increase equity in the energy system 将社区参与融入决策:提高能源系统公平性的持续过程
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.tej.2024.107442
Rebecca Tapio, Juliet Homer, Kendall Mongird, Jason Eisdorfer
Utilities and state energy regulators have historically incorporated community participation late in the process of creating programs and policies, often after most or all decisions have already been made. As more organizations seek to address energy inequity, they have engaged stakeholders in a variety of ways and at different stages of program development with varying levels of success. In this paper, we propose a continuous participation and feedback approach to system equity improvements and evaluation that incorporates engagement in planning and decision making processes as an integrated cycle. We provide example methods for increasing participation, developing structures and processes to receive and incorporate feedback, and measuring outcomes. Equity outcomes are particularly difficult to measure due to the impact of other socioeconomic and historic conditions, as well as the qualitative nature of experiences of inequity. To identify a set of equity outcomes that can be impacted by increased participation, we examine the relationship between regulators, utilities, and the community, and propose that folding engagement and continuous feedback into the normal functions of these organizations can improve the outcomes for energy system users.
从历史上看,公用事业公司和州能源监管机构在制定计划和政策的过程中很晚才纳入社区参与,通常是在大部分或所有决策已经做出之后。随着越来越多的机构寻求解决能源不公平问题,他们以各种方式让利益相关者参与到项目开发的不同阶段,并取得了不同程度的成功。在本文中,我们提出了一种持续参与和反馈的方法来改善和评估系统公平性,将参与规划和决策过程作为一个综合周期。我们举例说明了如何提高参与度、制定接收和采纳反馈意见的结构和流程,以及如何衡量成果。由于其他社会经济和历史条件的影响,以及不公平体验的定性性质,公平成果尤其难以衡量。为了确定一系列可以通过提高参与度来影响的公平结果,我们研究了监管机构、公用事业公司和社区之间的关系,并提出将参与度和持续反馈纳入这些组织的正常职能中可以改善能源系统用户的结果。
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引用次数: 0
The role of political parties in the public perception of nuclear energy 政党在公众对核能看法中的作用
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.tej.2024.107429
Emrah Akyuz

Discussions about nuclear energy in Türkiye are held in the shadow of the political polarization between the People's Alliance and the Nation's Alliance. However, there are no comprehensive studies that have investigated how political polarization affects the social acceptance of nuclear energy. To investigate these effects, face-to-face interviews (n=52) were conducted with people living around the Akkuyu Nuclear Power Plant. The study found two main results: first, the most important factor affecting the social acceptance of nuclear energy is the nuclear energy policies of the political parties they vote for; and second, those who vote for the People's Alliance, which advocates nuclear energy, have a high benefit perception, while those who vote for the Nation's Alliance, which opposes nuclear energy, have a high risk perception. The article concludes that Turkish nuclear energy policy is a highly political issue rather than just a strictly environmental one.

在土耳其,有关核能的讨论是在人民联盟和民族联盟政治两极分化的阴影下进行的。然而,目前还没有全面的研究调查政治两极化如何影响社会对核能的接受程度。为了调查这些影响,我们对居住在阿库尤核电站周围的居民进行了面对面访谈(n=52)。研究发现了两个主要结果:第一,影响核能社会接受度的最重要因素是他们所投票支持的政党的核能政策;第二,投票支持主张核能的人民联盟的人具有较高的利益认知,而投票支持反对核能的国家联盟的人具有较高的风险认知。文章的结论是,土耳其的核能政策是一个高度政治化的问题,而不仅仅是一个严格意义上的环境问题。
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引用次数: 0
Does electricity consumption impact biocapacity deficit? Evidence from domestic and commercial electricity consumption in India 电力消费会影响生物容量赤字吗?来自印度家庭和商业用电的证据
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.tej.2024.107443
Ch. Sravan, Prajna Paramita Mishra
The increasing population across the world poses challenges for the fulfilment of electricity demand across various sectors, and subsequently impacts biocapacity. As India is the second-most populous country and the third largest electricity consumer globally, such challenges need to be addressed. While it is true that, in the context of electricity, pollution stems from the producer’s side, that from the consumer’s side is largely ignored. Using the Vector Error Correction model, this study investigates whether electricity consumption from the domestic and commercial sectors has an impact on biocapacity deficit. The result shows that, in the long run, domestic electricity consumption is not significant in causing biocapacity deficit, whereas commercial electricity consumption has an increasing effect on the latter, making it unsustainable. Further, lower levels of income and natural resource rents are also observed to lead to biocapacity deficit. In the short run, however, neither domestic nor commercial consumption has any significant impact on biocapacity deficit. The findings call for an extended focus on the sustainable management of electricity consumption across sectors so that their adverse impact on biocapacity can be minimised.
全球人口的不断增长为满足各行各业的电力需求带来了挑战,并随之影响到生物容量。印度是全球第二大人口大国和第三大电力消费国,因此需要应对这些挑战。就电力而言,污染确实来自生产者,但来自消费者的污染却在很大程度上被忽视了。本研究利用向量误差修正模型,调查了家庭和商业部门的用电量是否会对生物容量赤字产生影响。结果表明,从长期来看,家庭用电对造成生物容量赤字的影响并不大,而商业用电对生物容量赤字的影响则越来越大,使其难以为继。此外,较低的收入水平和自然资源租金也会导致生物容量不足。然而,在短期内,无论是家庭消费还是商业消费都不会对生物容量赤字产生重大影响。研究结果呼吁扩大对各部门电力消费可持续管理的关注,从而将其对生物容量的不利影响降至最低。
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引用次数: 0
“Made for corruption?” Private sector actors, renewable energy, and corruption risks for wind power in Mexico and solar electricity in Kenya
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.tej.2024.107448
Benjamin K. Sovacool , Saul Mullard , Juan Camilo Ceballos
A future decarbonized global energy sector could require up to $110 trillion in new investment. With so much funding at stake, it is likely that low-carbon energy systems will attract and perpetuate corruption. This paper aims at providing an overview of private-sector stakeholders in the renewable-energy realm and examines possibilities and instances of corruption at the interface between private climate interventions and international development. In this paper, corruption risks and instances facing wind energy (including a mix of offshore and onshore designs) and solar photovoltaic panels (in off-grid configurations) are investigated. Based on original expert interviews and document analysis, we explore corruption risks in two national contexts (Mexico and Kenya) before offering a suite of recommendations and solutions to address corruption, and a conclusion with suggestions for future research.
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引用次数: 0
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