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The prospective power of personality for childbearing: a longitudinal study based on data from Germany 人格对生育的前瞻性影响——基于德国数据的纵向研究
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-02-15 DOI: 10.1186/s41118-023-00184-y
S. Peters
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引用次数: 0
Review of Ageing, Lifestyles and Economic Crises. The New People of the Mediterranean, edited by Thierry Blöss, in collaboration with Isabelle Blöss-Widmer, Elena Ambrosetti, Michèle Pagès and Sébastien Oliveau 老龄化、生活方式和经济危机综述。《地中海新人民》,由Thierry Blöss与Isabelle Blöss-Widmer、Elena Ambrosetti、michelle pag<e:1>和ssambastien Oliveau合作编辑
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-02-03 DOI: 10.1186/s41118-021-00114-w
Angela Paparusso
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引用次数: 0
Social origins, geographical mobility and occupational attainment in contemporary Italy 当代意大利的社会起源、地理流动和职业成就
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-01-20 DOI: 10.1186/s41118-020-00112-4
G. Ballarino, Nazareno Panichella
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引用次数: 1
Rapid mortality surveillance using a national population register to monitor excess deaths during SARS-CoV-2 pandemic in South Africa. 在南非 SARS-CoV-2 大流行期间,利用全国人口登记册进行快速死亡率监测,以监控超额死亡人数。
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-01-01 Epub Date: 2021-09-03 DOI: 10.1186/s41118-021-00134-6
Rob E Dorrington, Tom A Moultrie, Ria Laubscher, Pam J Groenewald, Debbie Bradshaw

This paper describes how an up-to-date national population register recording deaths by age and sex, whether deaths were due to natural or unnatural causes, and the offices at which the deaths were recorded can be used to monitor excess death during the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic, both nationally, and sub-nationally, in a country with a vital registration system that is neither up to date nor complete. Apart from suggesting an approach for estimating completeness of reporting at a sub-national level, the application produces estimates of the number of deaths in excess of those expected in the absence of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic that are highly correlated with the confirmed number of COVID-19 deaths over time, but at a level 2.5 to 3 times higher than the official numbers of COVID-19 deaths. Apportioning the observed excess deaths more precisely to COVID, COVID-related and collateral deaths, and non-COVID deaths averted by interventions with reduced mobility and gatherings, etc., requires access to real-time cause-of-death information. It is suggested that the transition from ICD-10 to ICD-11 should be used as an opportunity to change from a paper-based system to electronic capture of the medical cause-of-death information.

本文介绍了在一个生命登记系统既不及时也不完整的国家,如何利用按年龄和性别、死亡原因是自然的还是非自然的、以及死亡记录的办公室分列的最新全国人口登记册来监测 SARS-CoV-2 大流行期间全国和国家以下各级的超额死亡情况。除了提出一种估算国家以下各级报告完整性的方法外,该应用还能估算出在没有 SARS-CoV-2 流行的情况下超出预期的死亡人数,这些死亡人数与经证实的 COVID-19 死亡人数高度相关,但比官方公布的 COVID-19 死亡人数高出 2.5 到 3 倍。要将观察到的超额死亡人数更精确地划分为 COVID、COVID 相关死亡和附带死亡,以及通过减少流动性和集会等干预措施避免的非 COVID 死亡,需要获取实时死因信息。建议以 ICD-10 向 ICD-11 过渡为契机,将医疗死因信息从纸质系统转变为电子采集系统。
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引用次数: 0
The potential impact of co-residence structures on socio-demographic inequalities in COVID-19 mortality. 同居结构对COVID-19死亡率方面的社会人口不平等的潜在影响。
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-01-01 Epub Date: 2021-09-07 DOI: 10.1186/s41118-021-00124-8
Julien Giorgi, Diederik Boertien

During the COVID-19 pandemic, confinement measures were adopted across the world to limit the spread of the virus. In France, these measures were applied between March 17 and May 10. Using high-quality population census data and focusing on co-residence structures on French territory, this article analyzes how co-residence patterns unevenly put different socio-demographic groups at risk of being infected and dying from COVID-19. The research ambition is to quantify the possible impact of co-residence structures heterogeneity on socio-economic inequalities in mortality stemming from within-household transmission of the virus. Using a simulation approach, the article highlights the existence of theoretical pronounced inequalities of vulnerability to COVID-19 related to cohabitation structures as well as a reversal of the social gradient of vulnerability when the age of the infected person increases. Among young age categories, infection is simulated to lead to more deaths in the less educated or foreign-born populations. Among the older ones, the inverse holds with infections having a greater potential to provoke deaths through the transmission of the virus within households headed by a highly educated or a native-born person. Demographic patterns such as the cohabitation of multiple generations and the survival of both partners of a couple help to explain these results. Even though inter-generational co-residence and large households are more common among the lower educated and foreign born in general, the higher educated are more likely to still live with their partner at higher ages.

在2019冠状病毒病大流行期间,世界各地都采取了隔离措施,以限制病毒的传播。在法国,这些措施在3月17日至5月10日期间实施。本文利用高质量的人口普查数据,重点关注法国境内的同居结构,分析了同居模式如何不均匀地使不同的社会人口群体面临感染和死于COVID-19的风险。研究目标是量化共同居住结构异质性对家庭内病毒传播引起的死亡率的社会经济不平等可能产生的影响。通过模拟方法,本文强调了与同居结构相关的COVID-19脆弱性在理论上存在明显的不平等,以及随着感染者年龄的增加,脆弱性的社会梯度发生逆转。在年轻年龄组中,感染被模拟为在受教育程度较低或在外国出生的人口中导致更多死亡。在年龄较大的人群中,情况正好相反,在受过高等教育或在当地出生的人担任户主的家庭中,通过病毒传播,感染更有可能引发死亡。诸如几代人的同居和夫妻双方的生存等人口统计模式有助于解释这些结果。尽管在受教育程度较低的人和外国出生的人中,两代人共同居住和大家庭更为常见,但受教育程度较高的人更有可能在年龄较大时仍与伴侣住在一起。
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引用次数: 5
On the changes of the intention to leave the parental home during the COVID-19 pandemic: a comparison among five European countries. COVID-19大流行期间离家意愿的变化:欧洲五国的比较
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-01-01 Epub Date: 2021-06-23 DOI: 10.1186/s41118-021-00117-7
Francesca Luppi, Alessandro Rosina, Emiliano Sironi

With the spread of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic in Europe during the first months of 2020, most of the governments imposed restrictive measures to people mobility and physical distance (the lockdown), which severely impacted on the economic activities and performance of many countries. Thus, the health emergency turned rapidly into in an economic crisis. The COVID-19 crisis in Europe increased the uncertainty about the economic recovery and the end of health emergency. This situation is supposed to have conditioned individuals' life course path with the effect of inducing people to postpone or to abandon many life plans. This paper aims to explore and describe whether the rise of health emergency due to the COVID-19 has delayed or vanished young people's intention to leave the parental home, in order to establish their own household, during 2020 in five European countries: Italy, Germany, France, Spain and the UK. Using data from an international survey from the "Youth Project", carried out by the Toniolo Institute of Advanced Studies, this paper implements generalized logistic models for ordinal dependent variables to investigate the factors associated with a possible revision of the choice of leaving the parental home for a representative sample of 6000 respondents aged 18 to 34, interviewed between March and April 2020. In particular, we compare the effect of the occupational condition and the perceived income and employment vulnerability on the chance of confirmation, postponement or abandonment of the pre-pandemic plan across the five selected European countries. Results show that Italy, Spain and the UK are the countries with the highest probability of a downward revision of the intentions of leaving the nest. Especially in these countries, having negative expectations about changes in the individual's and family's future income is associated with the choice of abandoning the purpose of leaving the parental home. However, the vulnerability of the category of temporary workers particularly arises in Southern European countries: young people with precarious jobs seem to be the most prone to negatively revise their intentions of leaving, even compared with those not working.

2020年前几个月,随着新冠肺炎大流行在欧洲的蔓延,大多数国家的政府都对人员流动和身体距离采取了限制措施(封锁),这严重影响了许多国家的经济活动和经济表现。因此,突发卫生事件迅速演变为经济危机。欧洲新冠肺炎危机增加了经济复苏和卫生紧急情况结束的不确定性。这种情况被认为限制了个人的生命历程,并诱使人们推迟或放弃许多人生计划。本文旨在探讨和描述,在意大利、德国、法国、西班牙和英国这五个欧洲国家,2019冠状病毒病引发的突发卫生事件是否推迟或消除了年轻人在2020年离开父母家建立自己家庭的意愿。本文利用托尼奥洛高等研究所(Toniolo Institute of Advanced Studies)开展的“青年项目”(Youth Project)国际调查的数据,对有序因变量实施了广义逻辑模型,以调查与可能修改离开父母家的选择相关的因素,该样本是在2020年3月至4月期间接受采访的6000名年龄在18岁至34岁之间的代表性样本。特别是,我们比较了选定的五个欧洲国家的职业状况和感知的收入和就业脆弱性对确认、推迟或放弃大流行前计划的可能性的影响。研究结果显示,意大利、西班牙和英国是最有可能下调退休意愿的国家。特别是在这些国家,对个人和家庭未来收入的变化抱有消极期望与放弃离开父母家的选择有关。然而,临时工类别的脆弱性尤其出现在南欧国家:工作不稳定的年轻人似乎最容易消极地改变他们离开的意图,甚至与那些没有工作的人相比也是如此。
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引用次数: 14
Population-level mortality burden from novel coronavirus (COVID-19) in Europe and North America. 欧洲和北美新型冠状病毒(COVID-19)造成的人口死亡负担。
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-01-01 Epub Date: 2021-04-16 DOI: 10.1186/s41118-021-00115-9
Samir Soneji, Hiram Beltrán-Sánchez, Jae Won Yang, Caroline Mann

As of 31 January 2021, 63.9 million cases and 1.4 million deaths had been reported in Europe and North America, which accounted for 62.5% and 62.4% of the global total, respectively. Comparing the level of mortality across countries has proven difficult because of inherent limitations in the most commonly cited measures (e.g., case-fatality rates). We collected the cumulative number of confirmed deaths from COVID-19 by age in 2020 from the L'Institut National d'études Démographiques (INED) database and Statistics Canada for 15 European and North American countries. We calculated age-specific death rates and age-standardized death rates (ASDR) for each country over a 1-year period from 6 February 2020 (date of first COVID-19 death in Europe and North America) to 5 February 2021 using established demographic methods. We estimated that COVID-19 was the second leading cause of death behind cancer in England and Wales and France and the third leading cause of death behind cancer and heart disease in nine countries including the US. Countries with higher all-cause mortality prior to the COVID-19 experienced higher COVID-19 mortality than countries with lower all-cause mortality prior to the pandemic. The COVID-19 ASDR varied substantially within country (e.g., a 5-fold difference among the highest and lowest mortality states in Germany). Consistently strong public health measures may have lessened the level of mortality for some European and North American countries. In contrast, many of the largest countries and economies in these regions may continue to experience a high mortality level because of poor implementation and adherence to such measures.

Supplementary information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s41118-021-00115-9.

截至 2021 年 1 月 31 日,欧洲和北美报告了 6390 万例病例和 140 万例死亡,分别占全球总数的 62.5% 和 62.4%。由于最常引用的衡量标准(如病死率)存在固有的局限性,因此很难比较各国的死亡率水平。我们从 L'Institut National d'études Démographiques (INED) 数据库和加拿大统计局收集了 2020 年 15 个欧洲和北美国家 COVID-19 按年龄划分的累计确诊死亡人数。我们使用既定的人口统计学方法计算了每个国家从 2020 年 2 月 6 日(欧洲和北美地区首次 COVID-19 死亡日期)到 2021 年 2 月 5 日这 1 年期间的特定年龄死亡率和年龄标准化死亡率 (ASDR)。我们估计,在英格兰、威尔士和法国,COVID-19 是仅次于癌症的第二大死因,而在包括美国在内的九个国家,COVID-19 是仅次于癌症和心脏病的第三大死因。在 COVID-19 之前全因死亡率较高的国家,其 COVID-19 死亡率高于 COVID-19 之前全因死亡率较低的国家。各国的 COVID-19 ASDR 差异很大(例如,德国死亡率最高和最低的州之间相差 5 倍)。持续有力的公共卫生措施可能降低了一些欧洲和北美国家的死亡率。与此相反,这些地区的许多大国和经济体可能会继续经历高死亡率,原因是这些措施的执行和遵守情况不佳:在线版本包含补充材料,可查阅 10.1186/s41118-021-00115-9。
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引用次数: 0
Investigating regional excess mortality during 2020 COVID-19 pandemic in selected Latin American countries. 在选定的拉丁美洲国家调查2020年COVID-19大流行期间的区域超额死亡率。
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-01-01 Epub Date: 2021-11-03 DOI: 10.1186/s41118-021-00139-1
Everton E C Lima, Estevão A Vilela, Andrés Peralta, Marília Rocha, Bernardo L Queiroz, Marcos R Gonzaga, Mario Piscoya-Díaz, Kevin Martinez-Folgar, Víctor M García-Guerrero, Flávio H M A Freire

In this paper, we measure the effect of the 2020 COVID-19 pandemic wave at the national and subnational levels in selected Latin American countries that were most affected: Brazil, Chile, Ecuador, Guatemala, Mexico, and Peru. We used publicly available monthly mortality data to measure the impacts of the pandemic using excess mortality for each country and its regions. We compare the mortality, at national and regional levels, in 2020 to the mortality levels of recent trends and provide estimates of the impact of mortality on life expectancy at birth. Our findings indicate that from April 2020 on, mortality exceeded its usual monthly levels in multiple areas of each country. In Mexico and Peru, excess mortality was spreading through many areas by the end of the second half of 2020. To a lesser extent, we observed a similar pattern in Brazil, Chile, and Ecuador. We also found that as the pandemic progressed, excess mortality became more visible in areas with poorer socioeconomic and sanitary conditions. This excess mortality has reduced life expectancy across these countries by 2-10 years. Despite the lack of reliable information on COVID-19 mortality, excess mortality is a useful indicator for measuring the effects of the coronavirus pandemic, especially in the context of Latin American countries, where there is still a lack of good information on causes of death in their vital registration systems.

Supplementary information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s41118-021-00139-1.

在这篇论文中,我们测量了2020年新冠肺炎大流行浪潮在受影响最严重的拉丁美洲国家(巴西、智利、厄瓜多尔、危地马拉、墨西哥和秘鲁)的国家和国家以下各级的影响。我们使用公开的月度死亡率数据,利用每个国家及其地区的超额死亡率来衡量疫情的影响。我们将2020年国家和地区层面的死亡率与最近趋势的死亡率水平进行了比较,并估计了死亡率对出生时预期寿命的影响。我们的研究结果表明,从2020年4月起,每个国家的多个地区的死亡率都超过了通常的月度水平。在墨西哥和秘鲁,截至2020年下半年末,超额死亡率正在许多地区蔓延。在较小程度上,我们在巴西、智利和厄瓜多尔观察到了类似的模式。我们还发现,随着疫情的发展,在社会经济和卫生条件较差的地区,超额死亡率变得更加明显。这种超额死亡率使这些国家的预期寿命缩短了2-10年。尽管缺乏关于新冠肺炎死亡率的可靠信息,但超额死亡率是衡量冠状病毒大流行影响的有用指标,尤其是在拉丁美洲国家,这些国家的生命登记系统中仍然缺乏关于死因的良好信息。补充信息:在线版本包含补充材料,可访问10.1186/s41118-021-00139-1。
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引用次数: 43
Constructing personal networks in light of COVID-19 containment measures. 根据 COVID-19 的遏制措施构建个人网络。
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-01-01 Epub Date: 2021-08-26 DOI: 10.1186/s41118-021-00128-4
Emanuela Furfaro, Giulia Rivellini, Elvira Pelle, Susanna Zaccarin

The policies for containing the spread of the SARS-CoV2 virus include a number of measures aimed at reducing physical contacts. In this paper, we explore the potential impact of such containment measures on social relations of both young adults and the elderly in Italy. We propose two ego-centered network definitions accounting for physical distance in light of the COVID-19 containment measures: the easy-to-reach network, that represents an accessible source of support that can be activate in case of new lockdown; the accustomed-to-reach network, which includes proximity and habit to meet in person. The approach used for constructing personal (ego-centered) networks on data from the most recent release of Families and Social Subject survey allows us to bring to the foreground people exposed to relational vulnerability. The analysis of the most vulnerable individuals by age, gender, and place of residence reveals that living alone is often associated with a condition of relational vulnerability for both the elderly and for young adults.

遏制 SARS-CoV2 病毒传播的政策包括一系列旨在减少身体接触的措施。在本文中,我们探讨了这些遏制措施对意大利青壮年和老年人社会关系的潜在影响。根据 COVID-19 的遏制措施,我们提出了两个以自我为中心的网络定义,其中考虑到了物理距离:易于联系的网络,代表在新的封锁情况下可以启动的可获得的支持来源;习惯联系的网络,包括近距离接触和亲自会面的习惯。根据最新发布的《家庭与社会主体》调查数据构建个人(以自我为中心)网络的方法,使我们能够将暴露在关系脆弱性中的人群置于突出位置。按年龄、性别和居住地对最脆弱人群进行的分析表明,独居往往与老年人和年轻人的关系脆弱性相关。
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引用次数: 0
Residence registration to cope with homelessness: evidence from a qualitative research study in Milan. 户籍登记应对无家可归:来自米兰定性研究的证据。
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-01-01 Epub Date: 2021-12-18 DOI: 10.1186/s41118-021-00147-1
M Pasqualini, G Bazzani

Homeless people are one of the most vulnerable and marginalized groups in developed countries, and their homelessness situation often persists over the long term. However, so far, no studies have explained the specific role played by residence registration as it relates to deprivation amongst the homeless population and its contribution to improving the lives of homeless people. This paper investigates the paths homeless people in Milan use to access residence registration, via a case study in the city of Milan. Home to Italy's largest homeless population, the city of Milan has implemented the innovative ResidenzaMi project to improve access to residence registration for homeless people. The study considers official statistics and individual interviews with service providers involved in the registration process. It further investigates the main factors impeding the registration process and outlines the consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic. Results from our study indicate that a residence certificate plays a critical role in helping homeless people exercise their rights and access the services they need to escape homelessness. Our findings suggest the importance of a holistic, multidimensional approach to ensure access to residence registration for homeless persons.

无家可归者是发达国家中最脆弱和最边缘化的群体之一,他们的无家可归状况往往长期存在。然而,到目前为止,还没有研究解释居住登记所起的具体作用,因为它涉及无家可归者的剥夺及其对改善无家可归者生活的贡献。本文通过对米兰市的个案研究,探讨了米兰无家可归者获取户籍的途径。米兰是意大利无家可归人口最多的城市,该市实施了创新的ResidenzaMi项目,以改善无家可归者的居住登记。该研究考虑了官方统计数据和与注册过程中涉及的服务提供商的个人访谈。报告进一步调查了阻碍登记进程的主要因素,并概述了COVID-19大流行的后果。我们的研究结果表明,居留证在帮助无家可归者行使权利和获得他们摆脱无家可归所需的服务方面起着至关重要的作用。我们的研究结果表明,采取一种整体的、多维的方法来确保无家可归者获得居住登记的重要性。
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引用次数: 6
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