For the first time, we analyse the role of future topics in Bundestag speeches between 1949 and 2021 using computational linguistic methods. The results show that the discourse on future issues in the Bundestag rose sharply in parallel with the “Wirtschaftswunder” between the 1960s and 1990s. However, since the global financial crisis of 2008, the Bundestag has lost its future focus. An algorithmic content analysis explains this phenomenon: Recent Bundestag speeches deal more with the short-term challenges of multiple crises and less with long-term frameworks.
{"title":"Welche Rolle spielt das Thema Zukunft im Bundestag?","authors":"A. Küsters, Jochen Andritzky","doi":"10.2478/wd-2024-0069","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2478/wd-2024-0069","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 For the first time, we analyse the role of future topics in Bundestag speeches between 1949 and 2021 using computational linguistic methods. The results show that the discourse on future issues in the Bundestag rose sharply in parallel with the “Wirtschaftswunder” between the 1960s and 1990s. However, since the global financial crisis of 2008, the Bundestag has lost its future focus. An algorithmic content analysis explains this phenomenon: Recent Bundestag speeches deal more with the short-term challenges of multiple crises and less with long-term frameworks.","PeriodicalId":35890,"journal":{"name":"Wirtschaftsdienst","volume":"93 4","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140760868","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
After the Federal Constitutional Court declared the previous property tax system unconstitutional in 2018, eleven federal states chose the so-called federal model as the new procedure. It continues to be based on the valuation of properties using the modified Valuation Act. This assumes static value ratios, which may have become significantly outdated and no longer contribute to equal taxation. In addition, the character of the property tax as a special wealth tax is extremely antiquated and is no longer constitutional.
{"title":"Grundsteuer-Reform – auch für das Bundesmodell keine Verfassungskonformität","authors":"G. Graf","doi":"10.2478/wd-2024-0073","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2478/wd-2024-0073","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 After the Federal Constitutional Court declared the previous property tax system unconstitutional in 2018, eleven federal states chose the so-called federal model as the new procedure. It continues to be based on the valuation of properties using the modified Valuation Act. This assumes static value ratios, which may have become significantly outdated and no longer contribute to equal taxation. In addition, the character of the property tax as a special wealth tax is extremely antiquated and is no longer constitutional.","PeriodicalId":35890,"journal":{"name":"Wirtschaftsdienst","volume":"175 ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140792484","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Current assessments of the German economy and its innovation potential are reminiscent of the early 2000s when Germany was considered the sick man of Europe. Germany is facing enormous challenges of overlapping crises in connection with demographic change and the green transformation that will require a wide range of innovations to overcome. The responsibility must first and foremost be borne by the companies themselves. However, public (infrastructure) investment is often followed by private investment. Streamlining the bureaucracy for targeted immigration is a high priority in order to counteract the shortage of skilled labour.
{"title":"Die Innovationsfähigkeit Deutschlands","authors":"","doi":"10.2478/wd-2024-0063","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2478/wd-2024-0063","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 Current assessments of the German economy and its innovation potential are reminiscent of the early 2000s when Germany was considered the sick man of Europe. Germany is facing enormous challenges of overlapping crises in connection with demographic change and the green transformation that will require a wide range of innovations to overcome. The responsibility must first and foremost be borne by the companies themselves. However, public (infrastructure) investment is often followed by private investment. Streamlining the bureaucracy for targeted immigration is a high priority in order to counteract the shortage of skilled labour.","PeriodicalId":35890,"journal":{"name":"Wirtschaftsdienst","volume":"73 18","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140769566","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Timm Bönke, Oliver Holtemöller, Stefan Kooths, T. Schmidt, Timo Wollmershäuser
Cyclical and structural factors are overlapping in Germany’s sluggish overall economic development. Until recently, there have been more headwinds than tailwinds from both the external and domestic economy. A low momentum recovery is likely to set in after spring. Net immigration has stabilised the labour force substantially; the productivity of immigrants remains subdued though due to integration problems and qualification mismatches. While a mild reform of the debt brake is advisable, a reorganisation of the overall fiscal constitution to better shield municipal investment activity from cyclical budget shortfalls is much more important.
{"title":"Deutsche Wirtschaft kränkelt – Reform der Schuldenbremse kein Allheilmittel","authors":"Timm Bönke, Oliver Holtemöller, Stefan Kooths, T. Schmidt, Timo Wollmershäuser","doi":"10.2478/wd-2024-0068","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2478/wd-2024-0068","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 Cyclical and structural factors are overlapping in Germany’s sluggish overall economic development. Until recently, there have been more headwinds than tailwinds from both the external and domestic economy. A low momentum recovery is likely to set in after spring. Net immigration has stabilised the labour force substantially; the productivity of immigrants remains subdued though due to integration problems and qualification mismatches. While a mild reform of the debt brake is advisable, a reorganisation of the overall fiscal constitution to better shield municipal investment activity from cyclical budget shortfalls is much more important.","PeriodicalId":35890,"journal":{"name":"Wirtschaftsdienst","volume":"317 ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140755804","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Sebastian Schultis, Stefan Seuffert, Sebastian Stramka
The assumptions underlying the German Federal Statistical Office’s population projections have evolved, resulting in a moderate increase in the old-age dependency ratio. Previous scenarios anticipated larger gains in life expectancy, leading to demographic aging. However, consistently heightened migration patterns have counteracted the projections. The dual aging process in demographic change has now transformed into a triple demographic transformation, which may have fiscal implications beyond demographic aging.
{"title":"Der demografische Wandel im Wandel","authors":"Sebastian Schultis, Stefan Seuffert, Sebastian Stramka","doi":"10.2478/wd-2024-0072","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2478/wd-2024-0072","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 The assumptions underlying the German Federal Statistical Office’s population projections have evolved, resulting in a moderate increase in the old-age dependency ratio. Previous scenarios anticipated larger gains in life expectancy, leading to demographic aging. However, consistently heightened migration patterns have counteracted the projections. The dual aging process in demographic change has now transformed into a triple demographic transformation, which may have fiscal implications beyond demographic aging.","PeriodicalId":35890,"journal":{"name":"Wirtschaftsdienst","volume":"68 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140778270","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Innovation is crucial to economic development. Innovation expenditures in Germany’s business sector as well as public funding for science and research have been increasing in the past decade. However, the share of businesses with innovations – especially among the small- and medium-sized ones – decreased from 70% in the 2010s to 50% in 2022. Likewise the share of sales from new products and collaborations between science and industry have been declining in recent years. This might be explained by certain barriers to innovation. Increasingly important hampering factors are the lack of qualified employees and the burden of regulation and bureaucracy. Policy measures to support Germany’s innovation capacity should tackle the reduction of such constraints that currently reduce the return to investment into R&D and innovation.
{"title":"Wie steht es um die Innovationsfähigkeit Deutschlands?","authors":"Hanna Hottenrott, B. Peters, Christian Rammer","doi":"10.2478/wd-2024-0065","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2478/wd-2024-0065","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 Innovation is crucial to economic development. Innovation expenditures in Germany’s business sector as well as public funding for science and research have been increasing in the past decade. However, the share of businesses with innovations – especially among the small- and medium-sized ones – decreased from 70% in the 2010s to 50% in 2022. Likewise the share of sales from new products and collaborations between science and industry have been declining in recent years. This might be explained by certain barriers to innovation. Increasingly important hampering factors are the lack of qualified employees and the burden of regulation and bureaucracy. Policy measures to support Germany’s innovation capacity should tackle the reduction of such constraints that currently reduce the return to investment into R&D and innovation.","PeriodicalId":35890,"journal":{"name":"Wirtschaftsdienst","volume":"120 ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140777556","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
The German Parliament has decided to gradually abolish tax relief for diesel in agriculture. Given the asymmetrical importance of agriculture for the economy and climate, this step was long overdue. Regulatory and distributional policy arguments also speak against maintaining the tax relief.
{"title":"Die Abschaffung der steuerlichen Begünstigung von Agrardiesel ist überfällig","authors":"Berthold U. Wigger","doi":"10.2478/wd-2024-0074","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2478/wd-2024-0074","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 The German Parliament has decided to gradually abolish tax relief for diesel in agriculture. Given the asymmetrical importance of agriculture for the economy and climate, this step was long overdue. Regulatory and distributional policy arguments also speak against maintaining the tax relief.","PeriodicalId":35890,"journal":{"name":"Wirtschaftsdienst","volume":"69 17","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140794929","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
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