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Corporate Social Responsibility and Zero Leverage 企业社会责任与零杠杆
Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-04-01 DOI: 10.17576/jem-2021-5601-03
Q. Zaman
This paper aims to investigate the link between Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) and Zero Leverage (ZL) policy of firms. We use panel logistic multivariate regression to determine the socially responsible behavior of ZL firms and their levered counterparts. Our proxies for CSR are corporate social responsibility disclosure and corporate tax contribution against the proxies of ZL and almost zero-leverage (AZL). The sample firm-year observations of Pakistani listed firms from 2009-2018 are further divided in subsamples for short term ZL and long term ZL firms. We also test the constraints hypothesis for our sample firms. We found that CSR and ZL policy complement each other, adding to the firm's financial and social sustainability. The positive relationship between CSR and ZL is more significant in dividend-paying firms. Further, results support that financially unconstrained socially responsible firms have more probability to choose ZL or AZL policy. This study provides initial evidence regarding the relationship between CSR behavior and ZL policy of firms. Further, this study is the pioneer to introduce tax contribution as a proxy of CSR.
本文旨在探讨企业社会责任与企业零杠杆政策之间的关系。我们使用面板逻辑多元回归来确定ZL公司及其杠杆对手的社会责任行为。我们对企业社会责任的代理是企业社会责任披露和企业税收贡献相对于ZL和几乎零杠杆(AZL)的代理。2009-2018年巴基斯坦上市公司的样本年度观察结果进一步分为短期ZL和长期ZL公司的子样本。我们还对样本公司的约束假设进行了检验。我们发现企业社会责任和ZL政策相辅相成,增加了公司的财务和社会可持续性。企业社会责任与ZL之间的正相关关系在股利支付企业中更为显著。此外,研究结果还支持无财务约束的社会责任企业更有可能选择ZL或AZL政策。本研究为企业社会责任行为与ZL政策之间的关系提供了初步证据。此外,本研究是引入税收贡献作为企业社会责任代理的先驱。
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引用次数: 2
Kecekapan Teknikal Pertanian Padi dan Faktor Penentu: Model Pengeluaran Sempadan Stokastik
Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-04-01 DOI: 10.17576/jem-2022-5601-01
Nurul Syafiza, Chen Nan, B. Talib, N. Salleh
This study analyzes the level of technical efficiency of paddy farming. It based on stratified randon sampling of 285 Malaysian paddy farmers under the management of the Muda Agricultural Developement Authority. Data was analyzed using Ordinary Least Squares and Stochastic Frontier Analysis method in the Cobb-Douglas production function. We estimated the paddy farming technical efficiency and its determinants. The results indicate that the Cobb-Douglas model with distribution of half-normal is better than the truncated normal as the average technical efficiency of the former is 0.855 and relatively higher than 0.624 in the latter. While the paddy income, the household income and the operational costs help to improve efficiency, the cultivation size, number of workers and land rent are associated with deterioration in efficiency. The input-output relationship further show that the cultivation size, number of workers, seeds and machinery used improve the output.. The study in consequence recommended policies that will ensure the cost of productive inputs such as machinery cost and land rent are affordable to farmers. Moreover, these policies may also improve households’ income through better pricing for their outputs and reduction in technical inefficiencies in paddy production.
本研究分析了水田种植的技术效率水平。该研究基于对Muda农业发展局管理下的285名马来西亚稻农的分层随机抽样。采用Cobb-Douglas生产函数中的普通最小二乘法和随机前沿分析法对数据进行分析。我们估计了水田耕作技术效率及其决定因素。结果表明,半正态分布的Cobb-Douglas模型优于截断正态分布的Cobb-Douglas模型,前者平均技术效率为0.855,后者相对高于0.624。水稻收入、家庭收入和经营成本有助于提高效率,而种植规模、工人数量和土地租金则与效率下降有关。投入产出关系进一步表明,种植规模、工人数量、种子和使用的机械提高了产量。因此,这项研究建议了一些政策,以确保农民能够负担得起生产投入的成本,如机械成本和土地租金。此外,这些政策还可以通过更好地为其产出定价和减少水稻生产中的技术低效来提高家庭收入。
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引用次数: 0
The Volatility of the Stock Market and Financial Cycle: GARCH Family Models 股票市场波动与金融周期:GARCH家族模型
Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-04-01 DOI: 10.17576/jem-2022-5601-11
Thuy N. Tran
The paper examines the association between financial market volatility and actual economic incidents. We specifically analyze the statistical characteristics of the stock price series and its association with the financial cycle. Using 20 years of Vietnamese main stock VNIndex daily data from 2 August 2000 to 31 December 2020, we select the most adequate Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) family models and corresponding distribution rules. The paper initially assesses several types of GARCH models’ criteria, namely the log-likelihood, AIC and BIC, in choosing the best model to illustrate the financial cycle. We further use three different distribution rules, namely the normal distribution rule, the Student-t statistic distribution, and the Generalized Error Distribution (GED), in selecting the best GARCH model. The results show that Exponential Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedastic (EGARCH) with student-t statistic distribution seems the best suited to demonstrate the stock price and its return volatility. It also suits the marginal distribution of the financial cycle. Our study further validates the lead time and volatility between the selected model results and the significant financial events using the turning point and Bull-Bear application (Lunde and Timmermann, 2004). Although the recommended model has shown no evidence as an effective forecast tool for the financial cycle in long run, this study paves the way for extensive research in the future.
本文考察了金融市场波动与实际经济事件之间的关系。我们具体分析了股票价格序列的统计特征及其与金融周期的关系。利用2000年8月2日至2020年12月31日越南主要股票VNIndex 20年的每日数据,我们选择了最合适的广义自回归条件异方差(GARCH)族模型和相应的分布规则。本文首先评估了几种GARCH模型的标准,即对数似然、AIC和BIC,以选择最佳模型来说明金融周期。我们进一步使用三种不同的分布规则,即正态分布规则、Student-t统计分布和广义误差分布(GED)来选择最佳GARCH模型。结果表明,具有student-t统计分布的指数广义自回归条件异方差(EGARCH)最适合反映股票价格及其收益波动。它也符合金融周期的边际分布。我们的研究使用拐点和牛熊应用进一步验证了所选模型结果与重大金融事件之间的提前期和波动性(Lunde和Timmermann, 2004)。虽然所推荐的模型并没有显示出作为长期金融周期的有效预测工具的证据,但本研究为未来的广泛研究铺平了道路。
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引用次数: 0
The Influence of Institutional Quality on Human Development: Evidence from Developing Countries 制度质量对人类发展的影响:来自发展中国家的证据
Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-04-01 DOI: 10.17576/jem-2022-5601-07
Kabiru Kamalu, Z. Abidin
The paper evaluates the influence of institutional quality on human development in 14 developing countries using data over 1991-2019. We employed the Dynamic Common Correlated Effect method that accounts for heterogeneity and cross-sectional dependency associated with panel data, due to unobserved common factors. The findings revealed the evidence of positive and statistically significant long run effect of institutional quality on human development. In addition, financial development was found to promote human development whereas higher military expenditure negatively affected it in the long run. The results suggest that institutional quality promotes long run human development. Policymakers should nurture and develop institutions that have good quality such as deterring corruption, improving quality regulation and the application of the rule of law.
本文利用1991-2019年的数据评估了14个发展中国家的制度质量对人类发展的影响。由于未观察到的共同因素,我们采用了动态共同相关效应方法来解释与面板数据相关的异质性和横截面依赖性。研究结果揭示了制度质量对人类发展的积极和统计显著的长期影响的证据。此外,发现财政发展促进了人的发展,而从长远来看,较高的军事开支对人的发展产生了负面影响。研究结果表明,制度质量促进人的长期发展。政策制定者应该培育和发展具有良好质量的制度,如遏制腐败、改善质量监管和实施法治。
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引用次数: 3
Macroeconomic Consequences of Covid-19 in a Small Open Economy: An Empirical Analysis of Nigeria 2019冠状病毒病对小型开放经济体的宏观经济影响:对尼日利亚的实证分析
Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.17576/jem-2021-5501-8
L. O. Oyelami, O. Saibu
Nigeria is a small open economy with a high level of external dependency especially on the export of crude oil for foreign earnings and government revenue and import of consumables goods including pharmaceutical products. Currently, China and USA contribute more than 35% of Nigerian total import and in addition with Euro area constitute top export destinations of Nigerian crude oil. Studies in the past have investigated the vulnerability of Nigerian economy to external shocks, however, the emerging shocks from global economy due to COVID-19 seems unprecedented. Thus, it is imperative to preemptively examine the likely spillover effects of COVID-19 pandemic to a small open economy like Nigeria based on shocks to strategic trade partners. Given this background, this study investigates the macroeconomic consequences of COVID-19 in China, the Euro area and United States of America (USA) in Nigeria using Global Vector Autoregressive (GVAR) approach. This modelling approach provides an opportunity to analyze international macroeconomic transmission of shocks and spillovers between different countries. It also provides a framework to offer adequate tools to deal with the curse of dimensionality that may arise during the analysis. Macroeconomic variables such as exchange rate, economic growth, inflation rate, trade flows and consumers’ spending were employed from Nigeria and other COVID-19 infected partner countries to build the GVAR model. Similarly, variable such as oil price and world commodity price index served as global variables. These variables were introduced quarterly to obtain stable behavioural interactions. Subsequently, simulations were performed to capture economic reality of COVID-19 and policy reactions in COVID-19 infected partner countries. The study identified output and inflation shocks in USA and China as important external shocks to the Nigerian economy however, oil price shocks constitute the biggest external threat to the economy during and post COVID-19 era. © 2021 Penerbit Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia. All rights reserved.
尼日利亚是一个小型的开放经济体,对外依赖程度很高,特别是依靠原油出口获得外汇收入和政府收入,以及进口包括药品在内的消耗品。目前,中国和美国占尼日利亚总进口的35%以上,此外,欧元区是尼日利亚原油的主要出口目的地。过去的研究调查了尼日利亚经济对外部冲击的脆弱性,但由于COVID-19而出现的全球经济冲击似乎是前所未有的。因此,必须根据对战略贸易伙伴的冲击,先发制人地研究COVID-19大流行对尼日利亚这样的小型开放经济体可能产生的溢出效应。在此背景下,本研究使用全球向量自回归(GVAR)方法调查了COVID-19在中国、欧元区和美利坚合众国(美国)在尼日利亚的宏观经济后果。这种建模方法为分析冲击的国际宏观经济传导和不同国家之间的溢出效应提供了机会。它还提供了一个框架,以提供足够的工具来处理分析过程中可能出现的维度问题。利用尼日利亚和其他COVID-19感染伙伴国的汇率、经济增长、通货膨胀率、贸易流量和消费者支出等宏观经济变量构建GVAR模型。同样,油价、世界大宗商品价格指数等变量作为全球变量。每季度引入这些变量以获得稳定的行为相互作用。随后,进行了模拟,以捕捉COVID-19的经济现实和COVID-19感染伙伴国的政策反应。该研究将美国和中国的产出和通胀冲击确定为对尼日利亚经济的重要外部冲击,然而,在2019冠状病毒病期间和后时代,油价冲击构成了对经济的最大外部威胁。©2021马来西亚Penerbit大学。版权所有。
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引用次数: 1
Heterogeneity Effect of Central Bank Independence on Asset Prices: Evidence from Selected Developing Countries 中央银行独立性对资产价格的异质性效应:来自特定发展中国家的证据
Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.17576/jem-2021-5502-6
C. Anwar, Sultan ageng Tirtayasa
The study analyzes the response to financial asset prices and economic activity concerning central bank independence (CBI) shocks in selected developing countries. Financial asset prices were divided into the exchange rate, bond yield, and stock price, while the analysis was contingent on a panel Vector Autoregressive estimation. Furthermore, this study identifies heterogeneity across the countries in its sample through poolability tests. This is achieved through a mean-group estimation to the panel Vector Autoregressive by averaging the PVAR coefficients and impulse response function for all individual countries. Additionally, the sample countries are divided into two sub-groups. The results showed that central bank independence reduces bond yield and increases stock price in the first two quarters. However, it takes a year to cause an appreciation in the exchange rate. Moreover, financial asset prices have an essential role in monetary policy transmission to the extent that a change in CBI affects the exchange rate, bond yield, stock price, thereby influencing private consumption and investment.
本研究分析了选定的发展中国家对金融资产价格和经济活动对中央银行独立性冲击的反应。金融资产价格分为汇率、债券收益率和股票价格,而分析则取决于面板向量自回归估计。此外,本研究通过可汇集性测试确定了样本中各国的异质性。这是通过平均所有单个国家的PVAR系数和脉冲响应函数对面板向量自回归进行均值组估计来实现的。此外,样本国家被分为两个亚组。结果表明,央行独立性降低了前两个季度的债券收益率,提高了股价。但是,要使汇率升值需要一年的时间。此外,金融资产价格在货币政策传导中起着至关重要的作用,因为CBI的变化会影响汇率、债券收益率、股票价格,从而影响私人消费和投资。
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引用次数: 7
Kesan Persepsi Risiko dan Motivasi Melancong Terhadap Gelagat Pelancong Tempatan Semasa Pandemik COVID-19
Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.17576/jem-2021-5503-10
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引用次数: 0
Stock Price Reaction when Covid -19 Exist: Moderating by Firm’s Operating Cash Flow Covid -19存在时的股价反应:公司经营性现金流的调节作用
Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.17576/jem-2021-5501-5
D. Nugroho, M. Pertiwi
COVID-19 has been declared a global pandemic by the WHO, rendering the stock markets volatile. Investors predict that the pandemic can be a threat to a company's cash flow, whereas managers use the last year’s financial condition to defend their stock price. We evaluate whether the company's operating cash flow moderates the company's financial condition and stock price reactions, in addition to making a comparison between the period before and during the COVID-19 pandemic using Difference in Difference. The regression analysis model used is a random effect model. The objects of this research are the hotel, tourism, restaurant, and retail trade sub-sector companies in the first quarter and second quarter of 2020, and 2019 and 2018 annually. We found that none of the firm's financial condition affected the stock's price reaction. We also found that operating cash flow strengthens the relationship between cash and ROA to the stock price. The results of this study further imply that the COVID-19 pandemic caused a significant stock price reaction when compared between the time before and during the COVID-19 disaster in Indonesia. The current study is hoped to contribute towards supporting the government in formulating policies to stimulate the currently-slumping economy. This study can also assist the investors in preparing their analysis to determine whether what action they should take in regards to their stocks, considering that our research implicitly reflects the development of conditions in several industrial sectors. © 2021 Penerbit Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia. All rights reserved.
世界卫生组织(WHO)宣布新冠肺炎(COVID-19)为全球大流行,导致股市剧烈波动。投资者预测,疫情可能对公司的现金流构成威胁,而管理人员则利用去年的财务状况来捍卫自己的股价。我们评估了公司的经营性现金流是否调节了公司的财务状况和股价反应,并使用Difference in Difference对COVID-19大流行之前和期间进行了比较。采用的回归分析模型为随机效应模型。本研究的对象是2020年第一季度和第二季度,以及2019年和2018年的酒店、旅游、餐饮和零售贸易子行业公司。我们发现公司的财务状况没有影响股票价格的反应。我们还发现经营性现金流量强化了现金、资产收益率与股价之间的关系。本研究的结果进一步表明,与2019冠状病毒病在印度尼西亚发生之前和期间相比,2019冠状病毒病大流行引起了显著的股价反应。本研究希望能协助政府制定政策,以刺激目前低迷的经济。考虑到我们的研究隐含地反映了几个行业的发展状况,本研究也可以帮助投资者准备他们的分析,以确定他们应该采取什么行动。©2021马来西亚Penerbit大学。版权所有。
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引用次数: 4
Does Oil Consumption Respond Asymmetrically to Oil Price, Exchange Rate and Income Differentials? 石油消费对油价、汇率和收入差异的反应是否不对称?
Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.17576/jem-2021-5502-5
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引用次数: 2
The Determinants of Carbon Dioxide Emissions in Malaysia and Singapore 马来西亚和新加坡二氧化碳排放的决定因素
Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.17576/jem-2021-5502-9
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引用次数: 3
期刊
Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia
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