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Application of Qualitative Characteristics to Evaluate Misstatements in Financial Statements: Evidence from Factual Audit Data 定性特征在财务报表错报评估中的应用——来自事实审计数据的证据
Pub Date : 2022-09-09 DOI: 10.15388/ekon.2022.101.2.1
Audrius Masiulevičius, Vaclovas Lakis
The auditor should use qualitative characteristics, which describe the essence of misstatement, while assessing identified misstatements. Final decision depends on the professional judgment made by the auditor, however, auditors may make erroneous decisions or be biased. Previous theoretical research highlighted problems with the application of qualitative characteristics. However, factual audit data is confidential and usually not available for researchers to examine, therefore previous research mostly relied on surveys or experiments and there is little evidence on how auditors behave during real audits (rather than simulations). One audit company agreed to provide us with factual data for this research. The aim of the research is to examine the application of primary qualitative characteristics based on factual audit data. During the research, the audits performed in one Lithuanian audit company for the financial years 2019–2020 were examined as well as summarized official (publicly available) data about audit companies in Lithuania and audits performed by them for 2018–2020 financial years were examined. Firstly, most important primary qualitative characteristics, as well as secondary commonly used characteristics, were singled out. Our further investigation, based on received 2019–2020 factual audit data revealed that some auditors still do not apply primary qualitative characteristics in all cases. Even though we investigated one company and we cannot directly extrapolate results for the whole audit market, but our results are in line with the official and publicly available information about audit companies in Lithuania. Thus, we conclude that our results partly reflect truthful view of factual behavior of audit companies in Lithuania. These results also confirm theoretical research that qualitative characteristics are not sufficiently appreciated.
审计师在评估已识别的错报时,应使用描述错报本质的定性特征。最终决定取决于审计师的专业判断,然而,审计师可能会做出错误的决定或有偏见。以往的理论研究突出了定性特征的应用问题。然而,事实审计数据是保密的,研究人员通常无法检查,因此之前的研究大多依赖于调查或实验,几乎没有证据表明审计师在实际审计中的行为(而不是模拟)。一家审计公司同意为我们提供这项研究的事实数据。本研究的目的是检验基于事实审计数据的主要定性特征的应用。在研究过程中,审查了立陶宛一家审计公司在2019-2020财政年度进行的审计,以及立陶宛审计公司的官方(公开)汇总数据,并审查了它们在2018-2020财政年度的审计。首先,挑选出最重要的主要定性特征和次要常用特征。我们根据收到的2019-2020年事实审计数据进行的进一步调查显示,一些审计师仍然没有在所有情况下应用主要的定性特征。尽管我们调查了一家公司,我们无法直接推断整个审计市场的结果,但我们的结果与立陶宛审计公司的官方和公开信息一致。因此,我们得出结论,我们的结果部分反映了立陶宛审计公司真实行为的真实看法。这些结果也证实了理论研究的定性特征没有得到充分的重视。
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引用次数: 0
Do Gender and Age Matter in Employment – Sectoral Growth Relationship Over the Recession and Expansion 就业中的性别和年龄重要吗?经济衰退和经济扩张期间的部门增长关系
Pub Date : 2022-09-09 DOI: 10.15388/ekon.2022.101.2.3
Mindaugas Butkus, Laura Dargenytė-kacilevičienė, Kristina Matuzevičiūtė, Dovilė Ruplienė, Janina Seputiene
This paper examines age- and gender-specific employment sensitivity to growth across different economic sectors. By applying a non-linear panel specification of Okun’s first-difference equation on EU-28 countries for 1995-2019, we estimate age-, gender-, and sector-specific employment intensities to growth. Our study examines the ability of growth in different sectors to generate total employment opportunities. Results show that regardless of gender or age, the employment growth is mainly driven by the services sector growth. Still, if we consider the share of a sector in the economy, the construction sector is found to be the most employment-intensive. Our estimates show that the male and female employment intensities of growth in services are quite equal. Considering the employment opportunities by gender, the main differences were found in the construction sector. Expansion and recession were confirmed to have a significantly different effect on the employment rate only in the construction sector regardless of age and gender.
本文考察了不同经济部门中年龄和性别对就业增长的敏感性。通过对1995-2019年欧盟28个国家应用奥肯一阶差分方程的非线性面板规范,我们估计了年龄、性别和行业特定的就业强度对增长的影响。我们的研究考察了不同行业的增长创造总就业机会的能力。结果表明,无论性别或年龄,就业增长主要由服务业增长驱动。尽管如此,如果我们考虑一个行业在经济中的份额,我们发现建筑业是就业密集程度最高的行业。我们的估计表明,服务业增长的男性和女性就业强度相当相等。考虑到按性别划分的就业机会,主要差异出现在建筑部门。研究还证实,只有在建设行业,经济扩张和经济衰退对就业率的影响与年龄和性别无关,存在显著差异。
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引用次数: 1
Foreign Exchange Volatility and the Bubble Formation in Financial Markets: Evidence From The COVID-19 Pandemic 外汇波动与金融市场泡沫形成——来自新冠肺炎疫情的证据
Pub Date : 2022-06-07 DOI: 10.15388/ekon.2022.101.1.8
Onur Özdemir
This paper applies recursive right-tailed unit root tests to detect bubble activity for Turkish Lira against financially most-traded five currencies (i.e., the US Dollar (USD/TRY), the British pound (GBP/TRY), the Euro (EUR/TRY), the Chinese Yuan (CNY/TRY) and the Russian Ruble (RUB/TRY)) over January 2, 2015 to February 12, 2021. It can be identified from the Supremum Augmented Dickey–Fuller (SADF) and the Generalized Supremum Augmented Dickey-Fuller (GSADF) tests statistics that there is a high degree of evidence of bubble activity which characterizes all five exchange rates both in the full-sample period and in the sub-periods, including the pre-COVID-19 era (January 2, 2015 to November 15, 2019) and the COVID-19 era (November 18, 2019 to February 12, 2021). The empirical results also indicate that positive bubbles are common for each selected exchange rate and the multiple bubbles were intensified during the COVID-19 period, referring that forex markets became relatively more inefficient compared to the pre-COVID-19 period.
本文应用递归右尾单位根检验来检测土耳其里拉在2015年1月2日至2021年2月12日期间对金融交易量最大的五种货币(即美元(USD/TRY)、英镑(GBP/TRY)、欧元(EUR/Tyr)、人民币(CNY/TRY)和俄罗斯卢布(RUB/TRY))的泡沫活动。从Supreum Augmented Dickey–Fuller(SADF)和广义Supreum Augmented Dickey-Fuller(GSADF)检验统计数据可以看出,有高度的证据表明,泡沫活动表征了整个样本期和子周期内的所有五种汇率,包括前COVID-19时代(2015年1月2日至2019年11月15日)和COVID-19]时代(2019年11月份18日至2021年2月12日)。实证结果还表明,正泡沫在每个选定的汇率中都很常见,而且多重泡沫在新冠肺炎期间加剧,这意味着外汇市场与新冠肺炎前相比效率相对更低。
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引用次数: 0
Economic Performance and Political Choice in Ukraine 乌克兰的经济表现与政治选择
Pub Date : 2022-05-09 DOI: 10.15388/ekon.2022.101.1.6
S. Slukhai, N. Slukhai, O. Bazhenova
In this article the economic performance as a factor that determined the political choice of Ukrainians has been analyzed. It is proven by a panel model that, unlike the countries with developed democracies, a retrospective economic vote in presidential elections was not observed in Ukraine; it turned out to be prospective instead with regard to the last (year 2019) presidential election. The authors presented a set of reasons which could explain such situation: lack of democratic experience, relying on heuristics and emotions, low public mood among the others. It has been demonstrated that Ukrainians’ political choice in 2019 has some consequences for the economy, which may contribute to the loss of a nation’s development guidelines for a certain period of time and subsequent social disappointment.
本文分析了经济表现作为决定乌克兰人政治选择的一个因素。一个小组模型证明,与发达民主国家不同,乌克兰没有在总统选举中进行回顾性经济投票;事实证明,这是对去年(2019年)总统选举的预期。作者提出了一系列可以解释这种情况的原因:缺乏民主经验,依赖启发式和情感,公众情绪低落等。事实证明,乌克兰人在2019年的政治选择对经济产生了一些影响,这可能导致一个国家在一段时间内失去发展指导方针,随后导致社会失望。
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引用次数: 0
Dynamics of Exchange Rate Fluctuations in Turkey: Evidence from Symmetric and Asymmetric Causality Analysis 土耳其汇率波动的动态:来自对称和非对称因果分析的证据
Pub Date : 2022-05-09 DOI: 10.15388/ekon.2022.101.1.7
A. Çelik
This study examines the factors affecting exchange rate fluctuations in Turkey by employing the quarterly data from 2008 to 2020. In this context, linear and nonlinear unit root tests were used to determine the stationarity levels of the variables. Then, symmetric and asymmetric causality analysis was preferred to ascertain the relationship between the variables. Symmetric causality analysis results indicated a causality relationship from the exchange rate to the long-term debt stock, from the credit default swap (CDS) to the exchange rate, and from the exchange rate to the uncertainty index. The asymmetric causality analysis showed a causality relationship from positive shocks in the short-term debt stock to negative shocks in the exchange rate. Also, it was proven that there exists a causality relationship from negative shocks in the short-term external debt stock to positive and negative shocks in the exchange rate. Another result demonstrated a causality relationship between positive shocks in the exchange rate to negative shocks in the long-term debt stock. In addition, it was found that negative shocks in net capital investment were the cause of negative shocks in the exchange rate, while it was determined that there was a causality relationship from positive shocks in the net reserves to positive shocks in the exchange rate. In conclusion, the asymmetric causality relationship from positive shocks in CDS to positive shocks in exchange rates was detected.
本研究采用2008年至2020年的季度数据,考察了影响土耳其汇率波动的因素。在这种情况下,线性和非线性单位根检验被用来确定变量的平稳性水平。然后,首选对称和非对称因果分析来确定变量之间的关系。对称因果分析结果表明,汇率与长期债务存量、信用违约互换(CDS)与汇率、汇率与不确定性指标之间存在因果关系。非对称因果分析表明,短期债务存量的正向冲击与汇率的负向冲击之间存在因果关系。同时也证明了短期外债存量的负冲击与汇率的正、负冲击之间存在因果关系。另一个结果表明,汇率的正面冲击与长期债务存量的负面冲击之间存在因果关系。此外,发现净资本投资的负冲击是汇率负冲击的原因,同时确定净储备的正冲击与汇率的正冲击之间存在因果关系。综上所述,CDS的正冲击与汇率的正冲击之间存在不对称的因果关系。
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引用次数: 0
Overcoming the Inadequacy of Economic Dynamics Models 克服经济动力学模型的不足
Pub Date : 2022-05-02 DOI: 10.15388/ekon.2022.101.1.5
Yuriy Vasylenko
Known models of economic dynamics are too aggregate, so inadequate to the real economy. The analyst will not be able to identify the real dynamics of the economy among the big mistakes. They have no connection between investments, their efficiency, and the rate of economic growth. There is no transition from the optimal share of savings in the country to the agents’ optimal shares, managing investment sources.To link investment and the pace of economic growth, the author introduced the concept of technical productivity of investments, which measures their ability to change the rate of material or labor costs.Based on the technical productivity of investment, the author has derived the equation (not identity) of economic dynamics.Instead of the highly aggregated models, the author developed an adequate causal simulation model, reflecting the economy as a closed system with positive feedback of the investment from incomes and economic growth from investment. The author determined the dynamics of the Ukrainian economy with different technical productivity of investment on this model.
已知的经济动态模型过于集中,因此不适用于实体经济。分析师将无法从这些重大错误中识别出经济的真正动态。它们在投资、效率和经济增长率之间没有联系。没有从国家储蓄的最优份额过渡到管理投资来源的代理人的最优份额。为了将投资和经济增长速度联系起来,作者引入了投资技术生产率的概念,它衡量了它们改变材料或劳动力成本的能力。在投资技术生产率的基础上,导出了经济动态方程(不是恒等式)。与高度聚合的模型不同,作者建立了一个充分的因果模拟模型,反映了经济是一个封闭的系统,投资来自收入,经济增长来自投资。作者在此模型上确定了不同投资技术生产率下乌克兰经济的动态。
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引用次数: 0
Financial Inclusion, Poverty, and Income Inequality: Evidence from European Countries 金融普惠、贫困和收入不平等:来自欧洲国家的证据
Pub Date : 2022-03-31 DOI: 10.15388/ekon.2022.101.1.3
Driss Tsouli
This study contributes to the existing literature on financial inclusion by examining the determinants of financial inclusion and studying the impact of financial inclusion on poverty reduction and income inequality in European countries. We investigate the impact of financial inclusion on poverty and income inequality in 30 European countries during 2004-2019 based on a composite financial inclusion index (FII) constructed by using principal component analysis (PCA). Then we assess the impact of financial inclusion, on poverty and income inequality, by employing the fixed effect method. The estimates reveal that, for the European countries, GNI per capita, population density, inflation, and internet users have a positive and significant impact on financial inclusion across all the regressions. Rule of law has a positive impact on financial inclusion, and the age dependency ratio has a negative impact on financial inclusion. The findings also indicate that financial inclusion is significantly correlated with lower poverty for the full sample. Lastly, the present study supports the role of financial inclusion in reducing income inequality in European countries.
本研究通过研究金融包容性的决定因素和研究金融包容性对欧洲国家减贫和收入不平等的影响,为现有的金融包容性文献做出了贡献。我们基于主成分分析构建的综合金融包容性指数(FII),调查了2004-2019年间30个欧洲国家金融包容性对贫困和收入不平等的影响。然后,我们采用固定效应法评估金融包容性对贫困和收入不平等的影响。估计显示,对于欧洲国家来说,人均国民总收入、人口密度、通货膨胀和互联网用户对所有回归中的金融包容性都有积极而显著的影响。法治对金融包容性有积极影响,而年龄抚养比对金融包容性则有负面影响。研究结果还表明,在整个样本中,金融包容性与较低的贫困程度显著相关。最后,本研究支持金融包容性在减少欧洲国家收入不平等方面的作用。
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引用次数: 2
Determinants of Bilateral Trade Balance Between Georgia and China 格鲁吉亚与中国双边贸易平衡的决定因素
Pub Date : 2022-03-30 DOI: 10.15388/ekon.2022.101.1.1
Azer Dilanchiev, Tengiz Taktakishvili
This paper aims to empirically examine the drivers of the bilateral balance of the trade model for the Georgian-Chinese economy from 2000 to 2020 and the influence of the Georgia-China free trade agreement on the Georgian-Chinese balance of trade. The Error Correction Model (ECM) of the ARDL was used to see if the balance of trade and its predictors have a long-term relationship. One of the ARDL’s defining properties is that it may be utilized in circumstances when there is minimal data, regardless of the level of variable integration. According to the findings, a perceived effective exchange rate has a statistically significant positive impact on the balance of trade in the long run and a statistically significant negative impact on the balance of trade in the short run. The output is shaped to favor the presence of the elasticity attitude’s J-Curve impact. The study also found that the comparative supply of money (MS) and GDP have only a minor impact on the trade balance in the medium and long run. The sponging and monetary methods are ineffective in characterizing the bilateral trade deficit between Georgia and China.
本文旨在实证检验2000 - 2020年格中经济双边贸易模型平衡的驱动因素,以及格中自贸协定对格中贸易平衡的影响。运用ARDL的误差修正模型(Error Correction Model, ECM)考察贸易平衡及其预测因子是否存在长期关系。ARDL的定义属性之一是,无论变量集成的级别如何,它都可以在数据最少的情况下使用。根据研究结果,感知有效汇率对长期贸易平衡具有统计上显著的积极影响,对短期贸易平衡具有统计上显著的消极影响。输出的形状有利于弹性态度的j曲线影响的存在。研究还发现,相对货币供应量(MS)和国内生产总值(GDP)对中长期贸易平衡的影响较小。海绵和货币的方法是无效的表征格鲁吉亚与中国的双边贸易逆差。
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引用次数: 14
Business Performance Evaluation Practice in Manufacturing Sector in Latvia 拉脱维亚制造业企业绩效评估实践
Pub Date : 2022-03-30 DOI: 10.15388/ekon.2022.101.1.2
Inta Kotāne, I. Mietule
The manufacturing sector plays an important role in promoting Latvia’s economic growth; this sector is one of the largest sectors of the Latvian economy. Performance can be described as one of the most important categories of economic analysis; however, there is no consensus among researchers on the business performance indicators, their measurement and evaluation methods. The research is based on the analysis of special literature and scientific publications, the evaluation of the financial ratios used in the financial analysis of companies by Latvian institutions, the results of an expert survey, and data from the Official Statistics Portal of Latvia. Literature analysis, expert surveys, correlations, multiple linear regression and forecasting methods were used in the research. The aim of the research is to identify and summarize the performance evaluation practices of manufacturing companies in Latvia. As a result of the research, the business performance evaluation practice in the manufacturing sector was analyzed, the significance of the financial ratios used in the financial analysis in the business performance evaluation in the manufacturing sector and the existence of statistically significant correlations between the financial analysis indicators of manufacturing companies and the key business indicators of manufacturing companies were identified and evaluated.
制造业在促进拉脱维亚经济增长方面发挥着重要作用;该部门是拉脱维亚经济中最大的部门之一。绩效可以说是经济分析中最重要的范畴之一;然而,对于企业绩效指标及其测量和评价方法,研究者们并没有达成共识。这项研究是基于对特殊文献和科学出版物的分析,对拉脱维亚机构在公司财务分析中使用的财务比率的评估,专家调查的结果以及拉脱维亚官方统计门户网站的数据。研究方法包括文献分析法、专家调查法、相关法、多元线性回归法和预测法。研究的目的是确定和总结拉脱维亚制造公司的绩效评估做法。通过研究,对制造业企业经营绩效评价实践进行了分析,确定并评价了财务分析中使用的财务比率在制造业企业经营绩效评价中的重要意义,以及制造业企业财务分析指标与制造业企业关键经营指标之间是否存在统计学上显著的相关性。
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引用次数: 0
After Action Review as a tool for implementation of the knowledge management program 作为实施知识管理计划的工具的事后审查
Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.5937/ekonomika2204029v
Vesna Vukanović-Dumanović, Goran Avlijaš, S. Jokić
The lack of practical tools enabling the effective management of knowledge flows usually leads to business failures. It is common for organizations to face challenges, but it is also quite reasonable to expect that they will encounter the same problems unless the time is invested in problem analysis and lessons learned are developed. This paper investigates the capabilities of the After-Action Review, a tool designed to systematically manage the knowledge gained from experience as an extremely valuable source. We believe that the knowledge derived from experience becomes a compass that helps organizations understand everything that has happened, anticipate the challenges ahead and prepare their response. Literature review confirmed that After Action Review tool provides support to organizations in their efforts to transform their strategy and make it knowledge oriented. A primary research conducted as part of this paper confirmed that capturing, documenting, and sharing of lessons learned plays a significant role in identifying learning potentials and using experience, while maintaining the focus towards the future.
缺乏能够有效管理知识流的实用工具通常会导致业务失败。组织面临挑战是很常见的,但是期望他们遇到同样的问题也是相当合理的,除非在问题分析上投入时间,并吸取经验教训。本文调查了事后审查的能力,这是一种工具,旨在系统地管理从经验中获得的知识,作为极有价值的资源。我们相信,从经验中获得的知识会成为一个指南针,帮助组织了解发生的一切,预测未来的挑战,并准备好应对措施。文献综述证实了After Action review工具为组织提供了支持,帮助他们转变战略,使之以知识为导向。作为本文的一部分进行的一项初步研究证实,获取、记录和分享经验教训在确定学习潜力和利用经验方面发挥着重要作用,同时保持对未来的关注。
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引用次数: 1
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Ekonomika Vilniaus Universitetas
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