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An Assessment of the Potential of EU-Azerbaijan Energy Cooperation and its Impact on EU Gas Dependence on Russia 欧盟-阿塞拜疆能源合作潜力评估及其对欧盟天然气依赖俄罗斯的影响
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.47706/kkifpr.2023.1.91-108
G. Ibadoghlu, Ibad Bayramov
According to the Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) on a strategic partnership in the field of energy between the European Commission and Azerbaijan, the latter will double its current supply of natural gas to Europe until 2027. That being said, does Azerbaijan have the capacity to produce and transport this increased volume – and what role will cooperation with Azerbaijan play in reducing EU gas dependence on Russia? In this paper, the authors explore the country’s energy production and transport capacity, assess its potential, and define future challenges.
根据欧盟委员会与阿塞拜疆之间关于能源领域战略伙伴关系的谅解备忘录(MoU),后者将在2027年之前将其目前对欧洲的天然气供应量增加一倍。话虽如此,阿塞拜疆有能力生产和运输增加的数量吗?与阿塞拜疆的合作将在减少欧盟对俄罗斯的天然气依赖方面发挥什么作用?在本文中,作者探讨了该国的能源生产和运输能力,评估了其潜力,并确定了未来的挑战。
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引用次数: 0
The Role of Language Technologies in Promoting the Participation of Linguistic Minorities in Social, Political and Economic Life 语言技术在促进少数语言群体参与社会、政治和经济生活中的作用
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.47706/kkifpr.2021.2.73-87
P. Láncos
While the recognition of language rights is slow to progress, with the incremental development of language technologies, an increasing number of solutions makes the enforcement of fundamental rights of members of linguistic feasible. Although these developments are to be welcomed, such technologies are inherently ’biased’ in the sense that these are developed primarily for ’larger’ or more powerful minorities. This situation opens new cleavages besides already existing divisions between majorities and minorities, producing different categories of ‘privileged’ and disenfranchised minorities. The present paper provides an overview of the development of language technologies that may be harnessed for the enforcement of rights. Mapping the different linguistic minorities affected by these developments, the paper seeks to elucidate how new technologies reshuffle power and interest representation opportunities between language groups. Finally, the paper takes a brief look at the challenges of assimilation of minority languages and cultural appropriation.
虽然语言权利的承认进展缓慢,但随着语言技术的逐步发展,越来越多的解决方案使语言成员的基本权利得以实现。虽然这些发展是受欢迎的,但这些技术本质上是“有偏见的”,因为这些技术主要是为“较大”或更强大的少数群体开发的。这种情况在多数人和少数人之间已经存在的分歧之外,又引发了新的分裂,产生了不同类别的“特权”和被剥夺公民权的少数人。本文概述了可用于权利执行的语言技术的发展。通过绘制受这些发展影响的不同语言少数群体的地图,本文试图阐明新技术如何重新洗牌语言群体之间的权力和利益代表机会。最后,本文简要介绍了少数民族语言同化和文化挪用所面临的挑战。
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引用次数: 0
European Political Community: A New Strategic Framework on the Horizon? 欧洲政治共同体:即将出现的新战略框架?
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.47706/kkifpr.2023.1.57-65
F. Németh
Although an ambitious initiative, the European Political Community (EPC) has left experts wondering as to what it will entail in practice. Its greatest advantage (and disadvantage) is that it can still become anything countries happen to agree on: an inter-governmental, non- institutionalized platform, where leaders can discuss strategic questions of the continent without visible commitments, written statements, or pressure to deliver results. When it comes to the enlargement of the Western Balkans and the Associated Trio, the EPC is unlikely to speed up the process or deliver tangible steps forward. Its added value for the (potential) candidate countries remains that they are also included in the debates concerning European questions of strategic importance.
尽管欧洲政治共同体(EPC)是一项雄心勃勃的倡议,但专家们对它在实践中会带来什么感到疑惑。它最大的优点(和缺点)是,它仍然可以成为各国碰巧达成一致的任何东西:一个政府间的、非制度化的平台,领导人可以在没有明显承诺、书面声明或交付结果的压力下讨论非洲大陆的战略问题。在西巴尔干和联合三国扩大的问题上,欧洲总承包委员会不太可能加快这一进程,也不太可能拿出切实可行的步骤。它对(潜在)候选国的附加价值仍然是,它们也被纳入有关具有战略重要性的欧洲问题的辩论。
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引用次数: 0
Albanian Nation-Building and Austria–Hungary. The Development of a Southeast European People into a Modern Nation 阿尔巴尼亚建国与奥匈帝国。东南欧民族向现代民族的发展
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.47706/kkifpr.2022.1.6-30
Krisztián Csaplár-Degovics
Diplomatic, political, economic, cultural, and scientific relations between Hungary and Albania date back to before 1918. At the time, Hungary was considered to possess and control half of a great power: the Austro-Hungarian Monarchy. The Austro-Hungarian Joint Ministry of Foreign Affairs (Ballhausplatz) played a crucial role in the strengthening of the Albanian national movement at the turn of the century and in preparing the members of that movement for the tasks to be performed as leaders of an independent nation-state. Based on archival sources yet to be published and relying on previous literature, the present study takes a historiographical approach in demonstrating how the so-called Albanian question gained increasing importance and became a priority of foreign policy for the Ballhausplatz while the interests of the Albanian national movement intertwined with the aspirations of the Austro-Hungarian Monarchy as a great power. The paper also shows what roles the experts of the Austrian and the Hungarian part of the Monarchy and certain members of the Albanian national movement played in this joint venture. The paper concludes that the Austrians played a key role in building the Albanian statehood, while Hungarian scholar Lajos Thallóczy, representing Hungarian political and historical thought, made an unparalleled contribution to the modern Albanian nation-building process.
匈牙利和阿尔巴尼亚之间的外交、政治、经济、文化和科学关系可以追溯到1918年以前。当时,匈牙利被认为拥有并控制了一个大国的一半:奥匈帝国。奥匈联合外交部(Ballhausplatz)在世纪之交加强阿尔巴尼亚民族运动和使该运动的成员为作为一个独立民族国家的领导人所要履行的任务作好准备方面发挥了关键作用。本研究以尚未出版的档案资料为基础,并以以前的文献为依据,采用史学方法,说明所谓的阿尔巴尼亚问题如何变得越来越重要,并成为Ballhausplatz外交政策的优先事项,而阿尔巴尼亚民族运动的利益与奥匈帝国作为大国的愿望交织在一起。该文件还说明了奥地利和匈牙利王室的专家以及阿尔巴尼亚民族运动的某些成员在这一合资企业中所起的作用。本文的结论是,奥地利人在阿尔巴尼亚建国的过程中发挥了关键作用,而匈牙利学者Lajos Thallóczy则代表了匈牙利的政治和历史思想,对阿尔巴尼亚的现代建国进程做出了无与伦比的贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Waves Larger than Bilateral Relations. The Albanian Greek Maritime Border Dispute 比双边关系更大的波澜。阿尔巴尼亚-希腊海上边界争端
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.47706/kkifpr.2022.1.125-142
F. Németh
The maritime border dispute is one of contentious issues between Albania and Greece as the delimitation of the continental shelf at the Ionian Sea has been of strategic priority for both countries. Bilateral relations hit rock bottom after the Constitutional Court of Albania nullified the initial agreement (2010), and it took more than a decade to (publicly) relaunch the process of having the maritime borders demarcated. A new agreement–even as a verdict by the International Court of Justice–would bear the parties with mutual benefits: Albania would avoid a possible veto over its EU accession from Greece, while Greece, amid growing tensions with Türkiye over the Aegean, would delimitate (and possibly extend) its maritime borders with Albania. The rivalry between Athens and Ankara over the East Mediterranean, the economic potentials (fossil fuels) of the sea as well as the race for influence in the Western Balkans supplement this border dispute with additional foreign policy perspectives that go beyond Albanian–Greek bilateral relations.
海上边界争端是阿尔巴尼亚和希腊之间有争议的问题之一,因为爱奥尼亚海大陆架的划界一直是两国的战略重点。在阿尔巴尼亚宪法法院宣布最初的协议(2010年)无效后,双边关系跌至谷底,并花了十多年时间(公开)重新启动海上边界划定进程。一项新的协议——即使是国际法院的裁决——将使双方互惠互利:阿尔巴尼亚将避免可能否决希腊加入欧盟,而希腊在爱琴海问题上与土耳其关系日益紧张,将划定(并可能延长)与阿尔巴尼亚的海上边界。雅典和安卡拉之间在东地中海的竞争、海上的经济潜力(化石燃料)以及在西巴尔干地区的影响力竞争,为这一边界争端增添了额外的外交政策视角,超出了阿尔巴尼亚和希腊的双边关系。
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引用次数: 0
An Emptying State? Demographic and International Migration Trends in Albania 一个空虚的国家?阿尔巴尼亚的人口和国际移徙趋势
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.47706/kkifpr.2022.1.71-88
J. Ármás
The study examines demographic and migration trends in Albania within the framework of the concept of demographic transition. By outlining the historical-political-economic characteristics of the post-World War II period, the paper explains the factors that led to the population explosion in Albania and the rapid decline of the country’s population after the fall of socialism. As a specific feature of Central, East and Southeast Europe, Albania’s depopulation situation is exacerbated by the high rate of emigration from the country, particularly among the young, educated generations. As it currently stands, Albania has no incentives to encourage people to bear children or to stay in the country, but it also has no “migration hinterland” like Western European countries. The Albanian population, currently 2.8 million, is projected to fall to 2.1 million by 2060 as a result of all these developments.
这项研究在人口过渡概念的框架内审查了阿尔巴尼亚的人口和移徙趋势。通过概述第二次世界大战后时期的历史-政治-经济特征,本文解释了导致阿尔巴尼亚人口爆炸和社会主义垮台后该国人口迅速下降的因素。作为中欧、东欧和东南欧的一个特点,阿尔巴尼亚人口减少的情况因该国特别是受过教育的年轻一代的高移民率而加剧。就目前而言,阿尔巴尼亚没有鼓励人们生育或留在该国的激励措施,但它也没有西欧国家那样的“移民腹地”。阿尔巴尼亚人口目前为280万,由于所有这些发展,预计到2060年将降至210万。
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引用次数: 0
Indonesian Foreign Policy and the COVID-19 Pandemic 印尼外交政策与COVID-19大流行
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.47706/kkifpr.2021.3.44-59
Donie Kadewandana
This paper examines Indonesia’s foreign policy regarding the handling of the global COVID-19 pandemic. As the third most populous country in Asia after China and India, Indonesia has taken strategic steps to handle COVID-19, looking after its citizens both within the country and abroad. The study shows that Indonesia’s foreign policy is carried out through the Alliance for Multilateralism. First, Indonesian citizens abroad are protected by the Indonesian government with the help of large-scale repatriation, especially in countries that have been severely affected by the COVID-19 pandemic. Second, the Indonesian government encourages the strengthening of governance within the global health framework by supporting the policies of the World Health Organization (WHO). In addition, Indonesia cooperates with various countries, both regionally and multilaterally, in dealing with the COVID-19 pandemic. The factors that influence Indonesia’s foreign policy regarding the handling of the COVID-19 pandemic include Indonesia’s national interests and the international political situation. These have characterized foreign policy implementation under President Joko Widodo during the COVID-19 pandemic.
本文考察了印度尼西亚在应对全球COVID-19大流行方面的外交政策。作为仅次于中国和印度的亚洲第三大人口大国,印度尼西亚采取了应对新冠肺炎的战略措施,照顾国内和国外的公民。研究表明,印尼的外交政策是通过多边主义联盟来实施的。一是印尼政府大力保护海外印尼公民,特别是在疫情严重的国家开展大规模遣返工作。第二,印度尼西亚政府鼓励通过支持世界卫生组织(世卫组织)的政策,加强全球卫生框架内的治理。此外,印度尼西亚还与各国开展区域和多边合作,共同应对COVID-19大流行。影响印尼应对新冠肺炎疫情外交政策的因素包括印尼的国家利益和国际政治形势。这些都是佐科·维多多总统在2019冠状病毒病大流行期间实施外交政策的特点。
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引用次数: 1
European Integration and the Western Balkans – What Now? 欧洲一体化与西巴尔干——现在怎么办?
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.47706/kkifpr.2023.1.9-20
Ivca Bocevski
Is there a real perspective for the full integration of the Western Balkans Six in the European Union, or is the accession process already dead? “Something is rotten in the state of the European integration of the Western Balkans” is not just a poetic way to describe the state of affairs regarding full accession, but a reality. The European Union, and previously the European Economic Community, was quite efficient in previous cycles of European enlargement. Virtually all the accession processes were completed within the mandate of a single European Commission once the negotiation processes had been started with the respective countries. Furthermore, in the pre-accession period the European Union invested heavily in the removal of the “non-acquis political criteria,” which were usually linked to the democratic insufficiencies of the candidate countries. The only notable exceptions to the ‘rule of a single European Commission’ are the Turkish enlargement and the Western Balkans Six (WB6) accession process. Given the fact that most of the WB6 countries already have the necessary legal framework in place for cooperation with the EU and that the single market is by far the largest trading partner of the region, the only logical conclusion is that there is no political will for further enlargement of the European Union, and so the accession process has ground to a halt.
西巴尔干六国完全融入欧盟是否存在真正的前景,或者加入欧盟的进程已经死亡?“西巴尔干地区的欧洲一体化进程中有些东西已经腐烂了”,这不仅是对完全加入欧盟的事态的诗意描述,而且是一个现实。欧盟,以及之前的欧洲经济共同体,在之前的欧洲扩张周期中效率相当高。一旦与各国开始谈判进程,几乎所有的加入进程都是在一个欧洲委员会的授权范围内完成的。此外,在加入前阶段,欧洲联盟在取消“非获得性政治标准”方面投入了大量资金,这些标准通常与候选国的民主不足有关。“单一欧盟委员会的规则”唯一值得注意的例外是土耳其的扩大和西巴尔干六国(WB6)的加入进程。考虑到大多数WB6国家已经具备了与欧盟合作的必要法律框架,而且单一市场是该地区迄今为止最大的贸易伙伴,唯一合乎逻辑的结论是,没有进一步扩大欧盟的政治意愿,因此加入欧盟的进程已经停滞不前。
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引用次数: 0
The Franco-German Proposal to Normalise Relations between Serbia and Kosovo. A Historic Opportunity to Unblock the EU Accession Perspective for the Entire Western Balkans 法德关于塞尔维亚和科索沃关系正常化的建议。为整个西巴尔干地区打开加入欧盟大门的历史性机遇
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.47706/kkifpr.2023.1.173-183
H. Kreft
Serbia’s non-recognition of Kosovo is at the core of many problems in the region. Not only does it prevent progress towards EU accession, which both countries explicitly seek, it also hinders important regional economic cooperation and repeatedly destabilises the entire region. The Franco-German proposal is yet another attempt to normalize relations between the two countries. The proposal envisages a normalisation of relations between Serbia and Kosovo along the lines of the historic Basic Treaty signed in 1972 between the Federal Republic of Germany (FRG) and the German Democratic Republic (GDR). This more active Western Balkans policy on the part of Berlin is also an expression of the “Zeitenwende” announced by Chancellor Scholz. Despite the support of all 27 EU members and the US, the normalisation process is proceeding very slowly, which shows the limited ability of the EU and the US to pressure the two counterparts.
塞尔维亚不承认科索沃是该地区许多问题的核心。它不仅阻碍了两国明确寻求的加入欧盟的进程,还阻碍了重要的区域经济合作,并一再破坏整个地区的稳定。法德提议是两国关系正常化的又一尝试。该提议设想按照1972年德意志联邦共和国(FRG)和德意志民主共和国(GDR)签署的具有历史意义的《基本条约》,实现塞尔维亚和科索沃关系正常化。柏林方面这种更积极的西巴尔干政策也是朔尔茨总理宣布的“Zeitenwende”的一种表现。尽管得到了所有27个欧盟成员国和美国的支持,但两国关系正常化的进程进展非常缓慢,这表明欧盟和美国向两国施压的能力有限。
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引用次数: 0
Perspectives for North Macedonia’s EU Integration after the French EU Framework Solution in 2022 2022年法国欧盟框架解决方案后北马其顿融入欧盟的展望
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.47706/kkifpr.2023.1.146-159
Naoum Kaytchev
This paper discusses the influence of Bulgarian–North Macedonian bilateral relations on the perspectives of North Macedonia’s EU integration after the adoption of the EU-North Macedonia negotiation framework in July 2022, advanced by the French EU Presidency. The main focus is on two of the most salient and sensitive elements of these relations – the incorporation of the Bulgarian community in North Macedonia’s constitution and the role of the Joint Historical Commission in adjusting and synchronising the historical perspectives of the two societies. Progress in both issues would be extremely beneficial for North Macedonia’s prospects. Any retreat from or erosion of the French EU framework solution would mean a return to the stalled situation before 2022, which would be hardly beneficial either for North Macedonia or for the wider Southeast European region.
本文讨论了在法国担任欧盟轮值主席国期间推动的欧盟-北马其顿谈判框架于 2022 年 7 月获得通过后,保加利亚-北马其顿双边关系对北马其顿融入欧盟前景的影响。主要重点是这些关系中最突出、最敏感的两个因素--将保加利亚族群纳入北马其顿宪法以及联合历史委员会在调整和协调两个社会历史观方面的作用。在这两个问题上取得进展对北马其顿的前景极为有利。对法国欧盟框架解决方案的任何退缩或削弱都将意味着回到 2022 年前的停滞状态,这无论对北马其顿还是对更广泛的东南欧地区都是毫无益处的。
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引用次数: 0
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Foreign Policy Review
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