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The EU’s Green Deal: Bismarck’s ‘What is Possible’ Versus Thunberg’s ’What is Imperative' 欧盟的绿色协议:俾斯麦的“什么是可能的”vs滕伯格的“什么是必要的”
Pub Date : 2020-03-11 DOI: 10.36687/inetwp117
Servaas Storm
The European UnionOs Green Deal, a U1 trillion, 10-year investment plan to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 55% in 2030 (relative to 1990 levels), has been hailed as the first comprehensive plan to achieve climate neutrality at a continental scale. The Deal also constitutes the UnionOs new signature mission, providing it with a new raison dOetre and a shared vision of green growth and prosperity for all. Because the stakes are high, a dispassionate, realistic look at the Green Deal is necessary to assess to what extent it reflects Owhat is politically attainableO and to what degree it does Owhat is requiredO in the face of continuous global warming. This paper considers the ambition, scale, substance and strategy of the Deal. It finds that the Green Deal falls short of Owhat is imperativeO but also of Owhat is politically possibleO. By choosing to make the Green Deal dependent on global finance, the European Commission itself closes down all policy space for systemic change as well as for ambitious green macroeconomics and green industrial policies, which would enable achieving climate neutrality in a socially and economically inclusive manner. Hence, Otto von Bismarck would have been as unpersuaded by the Green Deal proposal as Greta Thunberg, who dismisses it as mere Oempty wordsO.
欧盟的《绿色协议》是一项耗资1万亿欧元、为期10年的投资计划,旨在到2030年将温室气体排放量(相对于1990年的水平)减少55%。该计划被誉为首个在欧洲大陆范围内实现气候中和的综合计划。该协议还构成了欧盟新的标志性使命,为其提供了新的存在理由,并为所有人的绿色增长和繁荣提供了共同愿景。因为事关重大,所以有必要冷静而现实地看待《绿色协议》,以评估它在多大程度上反映了什么,在政治上可以实现什么,在多大程度上做了什么,以及在面对持续的全球变暖时需要做什么。本文对并购的雄心、规模、实质和策略进行了分析。报告发现,绿色协议既没有达到当务之急,也没有达到政治上的可行性。通过选择使绿色协议依赖于全球金融,欧盟委员会自己关闭了所有系统性变革的政策空间,以及雄心勃勃的绿色宏观经济和绿色产业政策,这些政策将以社会和经济包容性的方式实现气候中和。因此,奥托·冯·俾斯麦(Otto von Bismarck)可能会像格蕾塔·滕伯格(Greta Thunberg)一样,对绿色协议的提议不以为然,后者将其视为空话。
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引用次数: 15
Investigating the Role of the Financial Intermediaries on Sustainable Development in Egypt: An Empirical Evidence 调查金融中介机构在埃及可持续发展中的作用:一个经验证据
Pub Date : 2020-03-05 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3636281
Essam Atta Arsanious
This paper focusing on investigating the role of the financial intermediaries on the social development directly and indirectly through the economic development, which is a vital axe of the three main axes of the sustainable development, in Egypt during 12 years from 2006 to 2017. The researcher used multiple linear regression analysis by OLS method. The model tested the impact of the independent variables, on the dependent variables, which are the national income per capita, as a proxy of the poverty level, and the real GDP per capita, as a proxy of the economic development.

The research shows that the factors affect poverty significantly in Egypt are real GDP per capita, gross capital formation, banks deposits to GDP. Moreover, real GDP per capita is affected by Commercial bank branches (per 100,000 adults), Market capitalization of listed domestic companies (% of GDP), Monetary, Central Bank, Assets, Domestic Currency (% GDP), Domestic credit to private sector (% of GDP), and Banks Assets to GDP. These results illustrate that the financial intermediaries have both direct effect, and indirect effect on poverty through influencing the real GDP per capita.
本文重点研究了2006年至2017年12年间埃及金融中介机构通过经济发展对社会发展的直接和间接作用,经济发展是可持续发展三大主轴中的重要一环。研究者采用OLS方法进行多元线性回归分析。该模型检验了自变量对因变量的影响,因变量是人均国民收入,代表贫困水平,实际人均GDP,代表经济发展。研究表明,影响埃及贫困显著的因素是实际人均GDP、资本形成总额、银行存款占GDP的比例。此外,实际人均GDP受到商业银行分支机构(每10万成年人)、国内上市公司市值(占GDP的百分比)、货币、中央银行、资产、国内货币(占GDP的百分比)、国内对私营部门的信贷(占GDP的百分比)和银行资产占GDP的比例的影响。这些结果表明,金融中介机构通过影响实际人均GDP对贫困既有直接影响,也有间接影响。
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引用次数: 0
Sustainable Supply Chain Finance: A Mini-Review 可持续供应链金融:一个小回顾
Pub Date : 2020-02-15 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3538654
A. Alkaabi, Haitham Nobanee
Sustainability is turning out to be an important element of every lifestyle. It is having a dominant aspect on the purchasing power of the customers therefore the corporates are ensuring that the negative traits towards the environment are well mitigated and controlled. The research undertaken has reviewed various journals and has led to this conclusion that the progressive attitude of a corporate is strongly linked with the sustainable aspect of the corporate.
可持续性正成为每一种生活方式的重要元素。它对客户的购买力有一个主导的方面,因此企业正在确保对环境的负面特征得到很好的缓解和控制。所进行的研究已经审查了各种期刊,并得出了这样的结论,即企业的进步态度与企业的可持续方面密切相关。
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引用次数: 0
Mapping the evolving complexity of large hydropower project finance in low and lower-middle income countries 绘制低收入和中低收入国家大型水电项目融资不断演变的复杂性
Pub Date : 2020-02-14 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3538159
Sanna Markkanen, Judith Plummer Braeckman, Pon Souvannaseng
The structure and key actors in large hydropower project financing has changed considerably over the past 50 years, particularly in low and lower-middle income countries (LICs and L-MICs). Exclusively public projects, typically financed by the host country government with support from multilateral development banks (MDBs), have become less common, while public-private-partnerships (PPPs) and new forms of bilateral finance arrangements have become more prevalent. However, fully privately financed projects with no public or MDB finance remain unusual in large hydropower projects. This paper traces the evolution and complexity of hydropower financing in LICs and L-MICs from the early 1970s to the present day, showing how the types and roles of various actors have changed over time and how new types of financing packages have surfaced to meet the growing need for large energy infrastructure projects. Examples from various LICs and L-MICS are used to describe the features of three of the most commonly used models of hydropower project financing: fully public finance, PPPs, and new bilateral finance. Comparative assessment of the key characteristics of different financing models and their strengths and limitations is provided to enable LICs and L-MICs to make informed choices over the allocation of their scarce financing resources in their struggle to balance urgent development needs with long-term sustainability objectives and economic impacts.
过去50年来,大型水电项目融资的结构和主要参与者发生了很大变化,特别是在低收入和中低收入国家(lic和L-MICs)。通常由东道国政府在多边开发银行(mdb)的支持下提供资金的纯公共项目已变得不那么常见,而公私合作伙伴关系(ppp)和新形式的双边融资安排已变得更加普遍。然而,在大型水电项目中,完全由私人融资而没有公共或多边开发银行融资的项目仍然很少见。本文追溯了从20世纪70年代初至今,低收入国家和中低收入国家水电融资的演变和复杂性,展示了各种参与者的类型和角色是如何随着时间的推移而变化的,以及新型融资方案是如何出现的,以满足对大型能源基础设施项目日益增长的需求。本文使用了来自各个低收入国家和中低收入国家的例子,描述了三种最常用的水电项目融资模式的特点:完全公共融资、ppp和新型双边融资。对不同融资模式的主要特点及其优势和局限性进行比较评估,使低收入国家和中低收入国家在努力平衡紧急发展需求与长期可持续性目标和经济影响的过程中,能够对其稀缺的融资资源的分配做出明智的选择。
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引用次数: 16
The WTO Reform through the Prism of the Fisheries Subsidies Agreement-to-Be 从即将达成的渔业补贴协定看WTO改革
Pub Date : 2020-02-14 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3538832
L. Guglya
Actively ongoing discussions shaping the WTO reform are aimed at solving urgent and systemic issues impeding both the functioning and the progress of the Organization and ensuring the relevance of the multilateral trading system in future. While a number of procedural and substantive suggestions were already accumulated, no big institutional decision has provided a reality check to the talks so far. A Doha Development Round issue, the dilemma of fisheries subsidization is a long-timer on the WTO agenda. Following certain reinforcement in Hong Kong (2005), yet stagnating thereafter, the subject made a return in Buenos Aires (2017). This time - largely due to the SDG 14.6, calling for the prohibition and/or elimination of certain forms of fisheries subsidies before 2020. Even though this deadline was extended [at least] till MC12, the fisheries subsidies agreement remains an only multilateral outcome expected for prospective delivery. The treaty-to-be could be viewed as a litmus paper for the WTO reform in several important respects, since the negotiators would have to find at least situation-specific solutions to the issues topping the agenda of the latter in order to reach a deal. As with other WTO subsidies disciplines, elaboration and implementation of the rules would heavily depend on transparency, which, so far, is crippled in the area, with notifications of trade-related effects of the fisheries subsidies being sporadic and, allegedly, incomplete. In the light of the ongoing discussions related to re-definition of development, it might be expected that a specific SDT approach would be espoused relying, to one extent or the other, on the fishing capacity or other indicators (national history of fishing subsidization; current volumes of subsidies granted; characteristics of the existent fishing fleet, etc.) or ability to implement particular disciplines, rather than on the development status as is. Particular ways towards implementing the SDT decided on should also be carefully considered. While discussions on the institutional aspects are not yet advanced, potential enforceability of the agreement via the WTO dispute settlement or, in alternative, ensuring its performance through other means, for instance, via a combination of transparency and deliberative mechanisms at the WTO, is to be established in the face of the recent AB demise. Finally, if reached, the agreement would explicitly open the door for the affirmative introduction of non-trade (in the present case – mostly environmental) concerns into the WTO Rule book, by shaping those as obligations, rather than exceptions.
正在进行的有关世贸组织改革的积极讨论,旨在解决阻碍世贸组织运作和进展的紧迫和系统性问题,并确保多边贸易体制在未来的相关性。虽然已经积累了一些程序性和实质性建议,但迄今为止还没有任何重大的制度性决定为会谈提供现实检查。作为多哈发展回合的一个问题,渔业补贴的困境在世贸组织的议程上是一个长期存在的问题。2005年,该主题在香港得到一定加强,但此后停滞不前,2017年,该主题在布宜诺斯艾利斯回归。这一次,主要是因为可持续发展目标14.6要求在2020年之前禁止和/或消除某些形式的渔业补贴。尽管这一最后期限(至少)被延长到2012年,渔业补贴协议仍然是唯一一个有望实现的多边成果。这份即将签署的条约可以被视为世贸组织改革在几个重要方面的试金石,因为谈判代表必须至少针对后者议程上的首要问题找到具体情况的解决方案,才能达成协议。与世贸组织其他补贴纪律一样,这些规则的制定和执行将在很大程度上取决于透明度,到目前为止,这方面的透明度很差,关于渔业补贴与贸易有关的影响的通知是零星的,据称是不完整的。鉴于正在进行的有关重新定义发展的讨论,可以预期将会支持一种具体的SDT办法,在某种程度上依赖于捕捞能力或其他指标(国家渔业补贴历史;目前发放的补贴数额;现有渔船队的特点等)或执行特定学科的能力,而不是对发展现状保持原样。还应仔细考虑执行已决定的SDT的具体方式。虽然关于制度方面的讨论尚未取得进展,但面对最近多边贸易协定的消亡,通过世贸组织争端解决机制或通过其他手段(例如,通过世贸组织的透明度和审议机制)确保协议的执行,将确立该协议的潜在可执行性。最后,如果达成协议,该协议将明确为将非贸易问题(在目前的情况下主要是环境问题)引入世贸组织规则手册打开大门,将这些问题塑造为义务,而不是例外。
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引用次数: 0
Concrete Measures for a Framework on Investment Facilitation for Development: Report 投资便利化促进发展框架的具体措施:报告
Pub Date : 2020-01-31 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3529530
K. Sauvant, Matthew Stephenson
Based on a number of background papers and discussions durning an Expert Workshop, this report identifies 12 concrete measures that could be included in the Framework on Investment Facilitation for Development being negotiated in the WTO.
根据专家研讨会期间的一些背景文件和讨论,本报告确定了12项可纳入世贸组织正在谈判的《投资便利化促进发展框架》的具体措施。
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引用次数: 2
An Alternative Policy Approach to Growth and Stabilisation in Small Open Economies 小型开放经济体增长与稳定的另一种政策途径
Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3568563
Delisle Worrell
This chapter recommends an alternative to the standard approach to economic stabilisation and growth policy for small open economies. The standard view, reflected in the analyses of the IMF, other international institutions, most think tanks and the media, is that a combination of credible inflation targetting regimes, flexible exchange rates, and fiscal sustainability are the core elements of a policy regime that is appropriate for all countries, regardless of size. Instead, for small open economies we propose the use of fiscal management to maintain and improve the international competitiveness of the economy, to maximise the inflow of private foreign capital motivated by attractive rates of return, and to stabilise inflation expectations by anchoring the exchange rate to an international reserve currency. This chapter explains the alternative policy framework, and compares it with the standard approach.
本章为小型开放经济体的经济稳定和增长政策提供了一种替代标准方法的建议。国际货币基金组织、其他国际机构、大多数智库和媒体的分析反映出的标准观点是,可靠的通胀目制制、灵活的汇率和财政可持续性是适用于所有国家(无论规模大小)的政策机制的核心要素。相反,对于小型开放经济体,我们建议使用财政管理来维持和提高经济的国际竞争力,在有吸引力的回报率的推动下最大限度地吸引外国私人资本流入,并通过将汇率锚定在一种国际储备货币上来稳定通胀预期。本章解释了替代政策框架,并将其与标准方法进行了比较。
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引用次数: 0
An Integrated Approach for Building Sustainable Islamic Social Finance Ecosystems 构建可持续的伊斯兰社会金融生态系统的综合方法
Pub Date : 2019-12-09 DOI: 10.1108/IJIF-10-2018-0118
Ahmed Tahiri Jouti
Bringing more impact seems to be a real issue for social initiatives and organizations requiring the adoption of new approaches. The paper aims to define an integrated approach for building, maintaining and upgrading Islamic social finance and sustainable ecosystems.,The paper presents a conceptual framework based on case studies and literature review describing the methodology and the necessary steps to build sustainable ecosystems.,The paper shows the impact of building social finance ecosystems on tackling social issues. It emphasizes the idea that solving social issues is everybody’s business – from governments to businesses – and that those initiatives require sufficient Sharīʿah-compliant funding to achieve sustainability goals.,The paper does not focus on the Islamic world experiences in building ecosystems serving social causes.,The paper gives an overview on how collaboration between the different social oriented organisations can enhance the social impact of the different initiatives. The aim is to ensure adequate financing to all the ecosystem components during the whole lifecycle.,The suggested approach of building sustainable ecosystems can serve as a way to assess the existing social initiatives and practices to find relevant combinations targeting more impact.,In the social sphere, the idea of building ecosystems has been explored in different ways but never in a way that gathers all the components including finance providers, coordinators and the different types of initiatives. The paper adapts the ecosystem concept to the Islamic finance specificities.
对于需要采用新方法的社会倡议和组织来说,带来更大的影响似乎是一个真正的问题。本文旨在定义一种建立、维护和升级伊斯兰社会金融和可持续生态系统的综合方法。本文提出了一个基于案例研究和文献综述的概念框架,描述了构建可持续生态系统的方法和必要步骤。本文展示了构建社会金融生态系统对解决社会问题的影响。它强调,解决社会问题是每个人的事情——从政府到企业——而这些举措需要足够的符合《沙尔尼法》的资金来实现可持续发展目标。本文并不关注伊斯兰世界在建立服务于社会事业的生态系统方面的经验。本文概述了不同社会组织之间的合作如何增强不同倡议的社会影响。其目的是确保在整个生命周期内为所有生态系统组成部分提供充足的资金。建议的构建可持续生态系统的方法可以作为评估现有社会倡议和实践的一种方式,以找到针对更大影响的相关组合。在社会领域,建立生态系统的想法已经以不同的方式进行了探索,但从未以一种方式聚集所有组成部分,包括金融提供者,协调员和不同类型的倡议。本文将生态系统的概念与伊斯兰金融的特殊性相结合。
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引用次数: 56
Sharing the Global Benefits of Finite Natural Resource Exploitation: A Dynamic Coalitional Stability Perspective 有限自然资源开发的全球利益共享:动态联盟稳定性视角
Pub Date : 2019-12-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3515290
Stéphane Gonzalez, F. Rostom
The article explores the implications of natural resource scarcity in terms of global cooperation and trade. We investigate whether there exist stable international long-term agreements that take into account the disparities between countries in terms of geological endowments and productive capacity, while caring about future generations. For that purpose, we build an original cooperative game framework, where countries can form coalitions in order to optimize their discounted consumption stream in the long-run, within the limits of their stock of natural resources. We use the concept of the recursive core that satisfies both coalitional stability and time consistency. We show that this set is nonempty, stating that an international long-term agreement along the optimal path will be self-enforcing. The presented model can be viewed as a tool to refresh the common look at the North-South opposition and sets the conceptual framework for the exploration of a fair sharing of the fruits of global economic growth.
本文探讨了自然资源稀缺对全球合作和贸易的影响。我们调查是否存在稳定的国际长期协议,考虑到国家之间在地质禀赋和生产能力方面的差异,同时关心子孙后代。为此,我们构建了一个原创的合作博弈框架,在这个框架中,各国可以结成联盟,在其自然资源存量的限制下,在长期内优化其折扣消费流。我们使用了同时满足联合稳定性和时间一致性的递归核的概念。我们证明这个集合是非空的,说明沿着最优路径的国际长期协议将是自我执行的。所提出的模型可以被视为一种工具,以刷新对南北对立的共同看法,并为探索公平分享全球经济增长成果设定了概念框架。
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引用次数: 0
Modelo para la medición de la productividad de la industria automotriz en Colombia (Model for Measuring the Productivity of the Automotive Industry in Colombia) 哥伦比亚汽车业生产力衡量模型(哥伦比亚汽车业生产力衡量模型)
Pub Date : 2019-11-19 DOI: 10.18601/16577175.n25.03
Lugo Manuel Barbosa Guerrero, Jorge Alexander Cortés Cortés
El modelo para la medición de la productividad es de gran ayuda para el sector automotriz y para cualquier sector industrial en general; además, permite afrontar los cambios del mercado, al tener en cuenta el control sobre las diferentes variables que impactan la productividad. Este modelo es una herramienta estratégica con la cual se puede mejorar la competitividad y con la que se facilita la medición de la productividad en el sector automotriz en Colombia. Esta herramienta puede optimizar la productividad a partir de la medición de tiempos y el balanceo de líneas de producción, identificando las tasas de producción, en las que se pudo definir la relación entre dos variables, y así tener las estimaciones de los niveles operativos y otros componentes.
该生产率衡量模型对汽车行业乃至所有工业部门都有很大帮助;此外,该模型还考虑到了对影响生产率的不同变量的控制,有助于应对市场变化。该模型是一种战略工具,可用于提高哥伦比亚汽车行业的竞争力,并促进对生产率的衡量。该工具可以通过测量时间、平衡生产线、确定生产率来优化生产率,其中可以定义两个变量之间的关系,从而对运营水平和其他组成部分进行估算。
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引用次数: 0
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