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Machine-learning evaluation of driving performance in schizophrenia: A pilot study with short-duration driving simulator tasks 精神分裂症患者驾驶表现的机器学习评估:一项使用短时间驾驶模拟器任务的试点研究
IF 3.8 Q2 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.trip.2026.101860
Koichi Fujiwara , Shuji Tsunoda , Seiko Miyata , Akiko Yamaguchi , Shogo Kitagawa , Yuki Konishi , Reiji Yoshimura , Isao Taguchi , Yutaka Sawa , Kunihiro Iwamoto , Norio Ozaki
Since some types of psychiatric disorders and medications may affect car driving performance and driving fitness, patients are required to obtain medical certificates regarding their fitness to drive when they obtain or renew their driver’s licenses. It is, however, difficult for physicians to evaluate patients’ driving fitness. We propose a method for evaluating the driving fitness of patients with psychiatric disorders based on driving data collected with a driving simulator (DS). We developed a machine learning (ML) model that discriminates whether a subject’s driving is normal or performance-compromised, which was trained with normal and performance-compromised driving data collected from 25 healthy participants with and without consumption of alcohol. In this study, driving under alcohol administration is defined as blood alcohol concentration (BAC) 0.5 mg/ml. We tested the trained model using healthy participants’ driving data that were not used for training, and a sensitivity of 100%, a specificity of 97%, and an AUC of 0.98 were achieved. In addition, we applied the trained model to driving data collected from 43 patients with schizophrenia as a polit study. The performance of the model was verified from the viewpoint of the patient’s clinical information. The model correctly discriminated the driving data of patients with factors affecting driving, such as severe psychiatric symptoms, high medication dosage, and lack of driving experience. The proposed method contributes to assisting patients with schizophrenia disorders, as well as their attending physicians in making decisions about patients’ driving fitness.
由于某些类型的精神障碍和药物可能会影响汽车驾驶性能和驾驶健康,因此患者在获得或更新驾驶执照时需要获得有关其驾驶健康的医疗证明。然而,医生很难评估病人的驾驶能力。本文提出了一种基于驾驶模拟器(DS)采集驾驶数据的精神障碍患者驾驶适应性评估方法。我们开发了一个机器学习(ML)模型,可以区分受试者的驾驶是正常的还是性能受损的,该模型使用从25名有和没有饮酒的健康参与者收集的正常和性能受损的驾驶数据进行训练。在本研究中,血液酒精浓度(BAC)≥0.5 mg/ml定义为酒后驾驶。我们使用未用于训练的健康参与者的驾驶数据对训练后的模型进行了测试,灵敏度为100%,特异性为97%,AUC为0.98。此外,我们将训练好的模型应用于43名精神分裂症患者的驾驶数据作为一项政治研究。从患者临床信息的角度对模型的性能进行了验证。该模型对精神症状严重、用药剂量大、缺乏驾驶经验等影响驾驶的因素患者的驾驶数据进行了正确的判别。所提出的方法有助于帮助精神分裂症患者,以及他们的主治医生对患者的驾驶健康做出决定。
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引用次数: 0
Determinants of parents’ preferences for child restraint systems (CRS) in low-and-middle income urban settings 中低收入城市环境中父母对儿童约束系统(CRS)偏好的决定因素
IF 3.8 Q2 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.trip.2026.101847
Samar Al-Hajj , Ricardo Nehme , Firas Hatoum , Mariana Khajadourian , Housein Zeaiter , Anthony Gharib , Jana Zeineddine , Ali Chalak

Background

Road traffic injuries constitute a major threat to children’s health and well-being. Adopting child restraint systems (CRS) represents a substantial injury prevention measure to curtail the burden of child road injuries and deaths. Using a choice experiment (CE) approach, this study aims to investigate parents’ perceptions and attitudes toward child safety through the usage of CRS and examine factors influencing their decisions to purchase and install a CRS.

Methods

Two focus group discussions were conducted among parents of children (12 years and below) to identify choices of attributes that influence parents’ use of a child’s car seat. The selected attributes were then adopted to build CE scenarios that were administered to parents online. Collected data were compiled, aggregated, and analyzed using the mixed logit (MXL) model for discrete choice analysis.

Results

A total of 120 parents participated in the study. 74.8 % were females with a mean age of 36.1 years. The CE experiment showed that parents in Lebanon are more likely to buy and use car seats that are convenient (ease of washing) and comfortable for their children (cushioning and adjustability of headrest), tending to prioritize these features over safety attributes (harnesses, ‘stroller-friendliness’).

Conclusion

Parents in Lebanon are generally interested in using a child restraint system. Concerted educational awareness initiatives are recommended to impact adults’ perceptions of CRSs, overcome barriers to CRS installation to increase the use of CRS, and ultimately reduce child road injuries and fatalities.
背景:道路交通伤害是对儿童健康和福祉的重大威胁。采用儿童约束系统是减少儿童道路伤害和死亡负担的一项实质性伤害预防措施。本研究采用选择实验(CE)的方法,探讨家长对儿童安全的认知和态度,并探讨影响家长购买和安装儿童安全系统的因素。方法在儿童(12岁及以下)的父母中进行了两次焦点小组讨论,以确定影响父母使用儿童汽车安全座椅的属性的选择。然后采用选定的属性来构建在线管理给家长的CE场景。收集的数据进行编译、汇总,并使用混合logit (MXL)模型进行离散选择分析。结果共有120名家长参与本研究。74.8%为女性,平均年龄36.1岁。CE的实验表明,黎巴嫩的父母更有可能购买和使用方便(易于洗涤)和舒适(缓冲和头枕的可调性)的汽车座椅,倾向于优先考虑这些功能,而不是安全属性(安全带,“婴儿车友好”)。结论黎巴嫩家长普遍对使用儿童约束系统感兴趣。建议采取协调一致的教育意识举措,以影响成年人对CRS的认识,克服安装CRS的障碍,增加CRS的使用,最终减少儿童道路伤害和死亡。
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引用次数: 0
How does short training on the use of in-car touchscreen influence driving performance? insights from a driving simulator study 关于使用车载触摸屏的短期培训如何影响驾驶表现?来自驾驶模拟器研究的见解
IF 3.8 Q2 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.trip.2026.101845
Abrar Hazoor, Giuseppe Marinelli, Özlem Simsekoglu
The automotive industry has significantly evolved with the integration of advanced technologies in car infotainment systems, leading to more interactive driving experiences. However, the usage of in-car touchscreen (ICT) interfaces poses challenges such as increased driver distraction. This study investigates the impact of instructor-led pre-drive short (PDS) training on the usage of ICT. The drivers’ performance and behaviour were assessed when using unfamiliar ICT interfaces in a driving simulation. Sixty participants divided into two groups (i.e., trained and untrained) were included and asked to perform multiple secondary tasks on the ICT while driving along a motorway section. We also measured drivers’ longitudinal and lateral behaviour in distracted and undistracted conditions. Contrary to the hypothesis that PDS training sessions would enhance driving performance through improved ICT interface proficiency, the study results show that while such training did increase task completion rates, it was not sufficient to improve overall driving performance. No statistically significant improvements were observed in longitudinal or lateral driving performance compared to untrained drivers. Nevertheless, the study found that driver performance, particularly in lateral vehicle control, improved with increased familiarity and experience. These results suggest that more extensive or alternative training methods may be necessary to address the complexities of ICT interfaces in vehicles. Future research should focus on exploring diverse training approaches and their long-term effects across different in-vehicle infotainment systems.
随着汽车信息娱乐系统中先进技术的集成,汽车行业发生了重大变化,带来了更多的互动驾驶体验。然而,车载触摸屏(ICT)界面的使用带来了挑战,如增加驾驶员的注意力分散。本研究探讨了教师主导的预驾驶短(PDS)培训对ICT使用的影响。在驾驶模拟中使用不熟悉的ICT接口时,对驾驶员的表现和行为进行了评估。60名参与者被分为两组(即受过培训和未受过培训),并被要求在沿高速公路行驶时执行多项关于信息和通信技术的次要任务。我们还测量了司机在分心和不分心情况下的纵向和横向行为。与PDS培训课程通过提高ICT接口熟练程度来提高驾驶绩效的假设相反,研究结果表明,尽管此类培训确实提高了任务完成率,但不足以提高整体驾驶绩效。与未经训练的驾驶员相比,在纵向或横向驾驶性能方面没有统计学上显著的改善。然而,研究发现,驾驶员的表现,特别是在横向车辆控制方面,随着熟悉和经验的增加而提高。这些结果表明,可能需要更广泛或替代的培训方法来解决车辆中ICT接口的复杂性。未来的研究应侧重于探索不同的训练方法及其在不同车载信息娱乐系统中的长期效果。
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引用次数: 0
Travel training program among adults with disabilities: A systematic review 成人残疾旅行培训项目:系统回顾
IF 3.8 Q2 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.trip.2025.101825
Claudel R. Mwaka , Krista L. Best , Nathan Chang , Martine Gagnon , François Routhier
Public transport is one of the most affordable forms of passive transport, supporting the life habits such as activities of daily living and social roles. Despite the potential benefits of public transit, adults with disabilities have restricted access to this mode of transportation due to factors such as limited knowledge of the transit system, travel skills and self-efficacy, for which travel training can be implemented. This systematic review examined the influence of travel training programs on knowledge, self-efficacy, travel skills and public transportation use among adults with disabilities and described their respective components. The search was carried out in Transport Database, MEDLINE, PsycINFO, Embase and Web of science from January 1990 to December 2023 (update performed 09/2024). Covidence software was used for article selection and data extraction, performed independently by two reviewers. The Template for Intervention Description and Replication (Tidier) and Mixed Methods Appraisal Tool (MMAT) were respectively used to extract intervention details and to assess methodological quality. We used the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis (PRISMA) guidelines to report results. Of 5,104 citations retrieved, 12 were included in this review. Regardless the component used (combined didactic and practical, single hands-on approach, and assistive technologies with/without simulation), all included studies reported improvements in outcomes (e.g., knowledge, travel skills, self-efficacy, frequency of the public transport use) after travel training interventions. Although findings suggest travel training is promising, only one study demonstrated causal effect in randomized controlled trial. Therefore, findings should be interpreted with caution.
公共交通是最经济实惠的被动交通方式之一,支持日常生活活动和社会角色等生活习惯。尽管公共交通有潜在的好处,但由于对交通系统、旅行技能和自我效能等方面的知识有限,残疾成年人使用这种交通方式的机会有限,因此可以实施旅行培训。本研究考察了旅行培训项目对成年残疾人知识、自我效能感、旅行技能和公共交通使用的影响,并描述了它们各自的组成部分。检索时间为1990年1月至2023年12月(更新时间为2024年9月),检索数据库为Transport Database、MEDLINE、PsycINFO、Embase和Web of science。采用covid软件进行文章选择和数据提取,由两名审稿人独立完成。分别使用干预描述和复制模板(Tidier)和混合方法评估工具(MMAT)提取干预细节并评估方法质量。我们使用系统评价和荟萃分析(PRISMA)指南的首选报告项目来报告结果。在检索到的5104篇引文中,有12篇被纳入本综述。无论使用何种组成部分(教学与实践相结合,单次实践方法,以及有/没有模拟的辅助技术),所有纳入的研究都报告了在旅行培训干预后结果(例如,知识,旅行技能,自我效能感,公共交通使用频率)的改善。虽然研究结果表明旅行训练是有希望的,但只有一项研究在随机对照试验中证明了因果关系。因此,研究结果应谨慎解读。
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引用次数: 0
Artificial intelligence and its impact on the current and future transport workforce: policies and research to bridge the gaps and foster cooperation versus competition between countries 人工智能及其对当前和未来交通劳动力的影响:缩小差距和促进国家间合作与竞争的政策和研究
IF 3.8 Q2 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.trip.2025.101802
Cristina Pronello
Artificial Intelligence (AI) is widely recognised as the revolution of this era; however, its adoption is uneven across industries and countries, with a wide gap between Europe and non-EU countries.
The paper analyses the state of AI adoption, focusing on transport workforce, and aims at proposing common actions, research, and policies to create cooperation rather than competition.
To this end, a literature review was conducted, followed by two field surveys on the needs and actions of stakeholders and students to manage the transition to increasing digitalisation and automation accelerated by AI. The field surveys involved focus groups, interviews and archaeological ethnography and were based on a worldwide selection of stakeholders from different transport sectors, and a sample of undergraduate, master’s, and PhD students. Textual analysis was used for data analysis.
Over 900 stakeholders from 45 countries, including all levels of workforce, and nearly 600 students were involved. Needs, issues and concrete actions emerged, proposing specific measures to reduce the risks generated by AI. The main recommendations refer to: a) labour market regulation that requires broader inclusion of social dialogue; b) integration of the educational approach at different school and work levels, to prepare people to think independently and be creative in order to prevent shocks in adapting to AI evolution, fostering collaboration instead of competition. Field experiments are proposed to test policies, making the transition to AI use effective. The EU-US comparison in light of the proposed policies highlights the barriers created by different economic contexts, values and market regulations.
人工智能(AI)被广泛认为是这个时代的革命;然而,不同行业和国家对它的采用是不平衡的,欧洲和非欧盟国家之间的差距很大。本文分析了人工智能应用的现状,重点关注交通劳动力,旨在提出共同的行动、研究和政策,以创造合作而不是竞争。为此,我们进行了文献综述,随后进行了两次实地调查,调查利益相关者和学生的需求和行动,以管理人工智能加速向日益数字化和自动化的过渡。实地调查涉及焦点小组、访谈和考古人种学,并以来自世界各地不同运输部门的利益相关者为基础,并以本科生、硕士和博士生为样本。数据分析采用文本分析。来自45个国家的900多名利益相关者,包括各级劳动力,以及近600名学生参与其中。需求、问题和具体行动出现了,提出了减少人工智能带来的风险的具体措施。主要建议包括:a)劳动力市场监管需要更广泛地纳入社会对话;b)整合不同学校和工作层面的教育方法,使人们做好独立思考和创造性的准备,以防止在适应人工智能进化时受到冲击,促进合作而不是竞争。提出了实地试验来测试政策,使向人工智能使用的过渡有效。根据拟议的政策对欧盟和美国进行比较,突显出不同的经济背景、价值观和市场监管造成的障碍。
{"title":"Artificial intelligence and its impact on the current and future transport workforce: policies and research to bridge the gaps and foster cooperation versus competition between countries","authors":"Cristina Pronello","doi":"10.1016/j.trip.2025.101802","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.trip.2025.101802","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Artificial Intelligence (AI) is widely recognised as the revolution of this era; however, its adoption is uneven across industries and countries, with a wide gap between Europe and non-EU countries.</div><div>The paper analyses the state of AI adoption, focusing on transport workforce, and aims at proposing common actions, research, and policies to create cooperation rather than competition.</div><div>To this end, a literature review was conducted, followed by two field surveys on the needs and actions of stakeholders and students to manage the transition to increasing digitalisation and automation accelerated by AI. The field surveys involved focus groups, interviews and archaeological ethnography and were based on a worldwide selection of stakeholders from different transport sectors, and a sample of undergraduate, master’s, and PhD students. Textual analysis was used for data analysis.</div><div>Over 900 stakeholders from 45 countries, including all levels of workforce, and nearly 600 students were involved. Needs, issues and concrete actions emerged, proposing specific measures to reduce the risks generated by AI. The main recommendations refer to: a) labour market regulation that requires broader inclusion of social dialogue; b) integration of the educational approach at different school and work levels, to prepare people to think independently and be creative in order to prevent shocks in adapting to AI evolution, fostering collaboration instead of competition. Field experiments are proposed to test policies, making the transition to AI use effective. The EU-US comparison in light of the proposed policies highlights the barriers created by different economic contexts, values and market regulations.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":36621,"journal":{"name":"Transportation Research Interdisciplinary Perspectives","volume":"36 ","pages":"Article 101802"},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145897912","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Opportunistic commercial formation flights in continental airspace for greener aviation 在大陆空域进行商业编队飞行,以实现更环保的航空
IF 3.8 Q2 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.trip.2025.101818
Oriol Bracons Escarré , Christian Eduardo Verdonk Gallego , Miquel Angel Piera Eroles
At a time of growing demand in commercial aviation, it is important to establish a trade-off between environmental impact, efficiency, and capacity. This is assessed through the study of Air Streams under a multi-criteria approach that pave the way for the deployment of commercial Formation Flights in continental airspace. This study describes a methodology to design Air Streams that could foster an efficient opportunistic Formation Flights pairing among aircraft. An evaluation of the main traffic flows that make up European airspace is conducted, followed by the design of two Air Streams. An study of potential use and savings is carried out, to evaluate Air Streams and Formation Flights synergy. The results of the heuristics applied show that Air Stream could manage around 10% of the aircraft flying in the airstream nearby area implementing Formation Flights. Significant savings could be achieved by the combination of Air Streams and Formation Flights concepts. The study estimates over 1600 tonnes of Fuel and over 5000 tonnes of CO2 savings annually, only with the use case scenario evaluated.
在商业航空需求不断增长的时代,在环境影响、效率和容量之间建立平衡是很重要的。这是通过多标准方法下的气流研究来评估的,为在大陆空域部署商业编队飞行铺平了道路。本研究描述了一种设计气流的方法,该方法可以促进飞机之间有效的机会编队飞行配对。对构成欧洲空域的主要交通流进行了评估,然后设计了两种气流。进行了一项潜在用途和节省的研究,以评估气流和编队飞行的协同作用。应用启发式算法的结果表明,采用编队飞行的气流可以管理10%左右的在气流附近区域飞行的飞机。通过结合气流和编队飞行的概念,可以显著节省成本。该研究估计,仅在评估了用例场景后,每年可节省1600多吨燃料和5000多吨二氧化碳。
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引用次数: 0
Impacts of the East-West national highway (PNH-01) on settlement patterns and livelihood of Residents: A case study of the Chumey Gewog, Bhutan 东西国道(PNH-01)对居民聚落模式和生计的影响——以不丹Chumey Gewog为例
IF 3.8 Q2 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.trip.2025.101798
Pema Thinley , Christine Steinmetz-Weiss
This is the first study to address impacts on settlement patterns and livelihoods of Chumey Gewog1 and its people since Bhutan’s Primary National Highway (PNH-01) expansions. Through a series of in-depth interviews, site analysis and land use mapping, the study found that impacts of the PNH-01 varies across Chumey Gewog’s villages depending on geographical location and pre-existing conditions. Findings suggest villagers adopted non-farming economic activities to generate quick monetary returns versus undertaking traditional labour-intensive farming practices historically associated with Chumey resulting in linear settlement patterns and exhibiting signs of unplanned settlement sprawl. The research highlights the importance of implementing location-specific/tailored interventions to maximize benefits of the PNH-01. The study highlights opportunities of the PNH-01 for Bhutanese people and provides future research recommendations for local and national government interventions that can assist in mitigating challenges faced by agricultural communities. Designing a longitudinal research project of the PNH-01 and its settlements could inform government transport and regional planners a means to facilitate equitable development across the Gewog to improve market access and establish transportation networks to support farming communities in remote villages.
这是自不丹主要国家公路(PNH-01)扩建以来,首个针对Chumey Gewog1及其人民的定居模式和生计影响的研究。通过一系列深入访谈、现场分析和土地利用测绘,研究发现PNH-01对Chumey Gewog村庄的影响因地理位置和原有条件而异。研究结果表明,村民采用非农业经济活动来产生快速的货币回报,而不是从事传统的劳动密集型农业实践,这在历史上与Chumey相关,导致线性定居模式,并表现出无计划的定居扩张迹象。该研究强调了实施针对特定地点/量身定制的干预措施以最大化PNH-01益处的重要性。该研究强调了PNH-01为不丹人民带来的机遇,并为地方和国家政府的干预措施提供了未来的研究建议,这些干预措施可以帮助减轻农业社区面临的挑战。设计一个PNH-01及其定居点的纵向研究项目可以为政府交通和区域规划者提供一个促进整个Gewog公平发展的方法,以改善市场准入和建立交通网络,以支持偏远村庄的农业社区。
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引用次数: 0
Analyzing temporal mobility pattern shifts: Dynamic origin–destination estimation from aggregated mobile phone location data 分析时间移动模式的转变:从聚合的移动电话位置数据动态的始发目的地估计
IF 3.8 Q2 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.trip.2025.101806
Alvin Noviansyah, Nobuhiro Uno, Ryoji Matsunaka, Tomoki Nishigaki
Understanding the dynamic shifts in population distribution is crucial for comprehending spatiotemporal mobility patterns and phenomena at the urban scale. This is particularly relevant when examining shifts in the origin–destination trip patterns, as changes in the dynamics may signify the impact and directionality of mobility flows across areas. This study focuses on data-driven research utilizing population dynamics data, more widely known as aggregated mobile phone location data, to estimate the origin–destination trip matrices in a more dynamic and contextual form. Departing from traditional static approaches to estimate origin destination, this research develops an enhanced gravity model framework to estimate time-varying trip matrices, enabling a more contextual and relevant understanding of mobility flows across different areas. The study then analyzes shifts in trip patterns from the estimated dynamic origin destination patterns, focusing on the impact of COVID-19 pandemic-related policies on urban travel flows in Kyoto city, Japan. By expanding the utilization and understanding of the dataset and method, this research contributes to the development of more contextual uses of trip pattern analysis in the fields of urban and transportation studies.
了解人口分布的动态变化对于理解城市尺度的时空流动模式和现象至关重要。这在检查出发地-目的地旅行模式的变化时尤其重要,因为动态变化可能意味着跨地区流动的影响和方向性。本研究侧重于数据驱动研究,利用人口动态数据,更广泛地称为汇总移动电话位置数据,以更动态和上下文形式估计出发地-目的地旅行矩阵。与传统的静态方法不同,本研究开发了一个增强的重力模型框架来估计时变的行程矩阵,从而使人们能够更准确地了解不同地区的流动性流动。然后,该研究分析了估计的动态始发目的地模式的旅行模式变化,重点关注与COVID-19大流行相关的政策对日本京都城市旅行流的影响。通过扩大对数据集和方法的利用和理解,本研究有助于在城市和交通研究领域发展更多的出行模式分析的上下文应用。
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引用次数: 0
Civil society-led shared mobility for transport equity? An empirical analysis from Berlin 以民间社会为主导的共享交通公平?来自柏林的实证分析
IF 3.8 Q2 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.trip.2025.101822
Michael Bissel, Anke Kläver
This study explores the potential of community-led shared mobility to achieve equitable transport, using a socially innovative cargo bike-sharing system in Berlin as a case study. The empirical approach combines booking records, survey responses, and spatial data. This approach enables an analysis of transport equity in terms of spatial distribution, as well as user structure and behavior. The results suggest that community-led initiatives may complement commercial shared mobility operators and be associated with more equitable transport system outcomes. In particular, the results show no differences in cargo bike host locations based on social status index groups. Additionally, the gender distribution aligns with that of the general population. Cargo bikes were found to be used for diverse purposes which differed by social status area and gender. The findings suggest that promoting socially innovative, community-led projects may represent a promising governance approach associated with enhanced transport equity.
本研究以柏林的一个具有社会创新性的货运自行车共享系统为例,探讨了社区主导的共享交通实现公平运输的潜力。实证方法结合了预订记录、调查反馈和空间数据。这种方法能够从空间分布以及用户结构和行为方面分析运输公平性。结果表明,社区主导的举措可以补充商业共享交通运营商,并与更公平的交通系统结果相关联。特别是,结果显示,基于社会地位指数组的货运自行车主机位置没有差异。此外,性别分布与一般人口的分布一致。根据社会地位、地区和性别的不同,货运自行车的用途也各不相同。研究结果表明,促进社会创新、社区主导的项目可能是一种与增强交通公平相关的有希望的治理方法。
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引用次数: 0
Analyzing the influence of fuel price shock on urban public transit and interurban automobile travel demand: Evidence from a country with fixed fuel price regulation 燃油价格冲击对城市公共交通和城际汽车出行需求的影响分析——来自固定燃油价格管制国家的证据
IF 3.8 Q2 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.trip.2025.101829
Masoud ArfaeiYazdiPour , Faraz Zargari , Amir Samimi , Sina Sahebi
This study examines the short-term effects of a sudden fuel price increase on urban public transit and interurban private car travel demand in Iran, where fuel prices are regulated. Using log–log regression models, we estimate elasticities to quantify the relationship between fuel price and travel demand, controlling for weekends, holidays, seasonal variations, and special events. In the urban section, Automated Fare Collection (AFC) data from the subway and Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) systems in Tehran is utilized. For the first time in this context, the Trip-Chaining Method (TCM) is applied to AFC transactions to derive daily origin–destination matrices, enabling calculation of mode-specific demand and Passenger-Kilometers Traveled (PKT). The estimated cross-price elasticities are 0.10 for the subway and 0.079 for the BRT, while aggregate public transit demand measured in PKT shows an elasticity of 0.098. For the interurban analysis, traffic loop detector data are used, with daily Vehicle-Kilometers Traveled (VKT) as the dependent variable. The direct elasticity of VKT with respect to fuel price is −0.19, indicating that a 1 % increase in fuel price reduces interurban travel demand by 0.19 %. These elasticities closely align with international evidence from variable-price contexts, remaining below unity. Additionally, a Difference-in-Differences (DID) analysis confirms the impact of the fuel price shock: transit ridership increased by about 6–9 %, while interurban VKT decreased by around 14 % shortly after the reform. Overall, the findings offer new evidence from a heavily subsidized fuel market and contribute to understanding how travelers adjust to major fuel price reforms.
本研究考察了燃油价格突然上涨对伊朗城市公共交通和城市间私家车出行需求的短期影响。使用对数-对数回归模型,我们估计弹性来量化燃料价格和旅行需求之间的关系,控制周末,假期,季节变化和特殊事件。在城市部分,利用了德黑兰地铁和快速公交系统的自动收费(AFC)数据。在这种情况下,首次将行程链方法(TCM)应用于AFC交易,以获得每日出发地-目的地矩阵,从而能够计算特定模式的需求和乘客-公里数(PKT)。地铁的估计交叉价格弹性为0.10,BRT的估计交叉价格弹性为0.079,而PKT测量的公共交通总需求弹性为0.098。对于城际分析,使用交通环路探测器数据,以每日车辆行驶公里(VKT)为因变量。VKT相对于燃料价格的直接弹性为- 0.19,表明燃料价格每上涨1%,城市间旅行需求就会减少0.19%。这些弹性与来自可变价格背景的国际证据密切一致,仍低于统一水平。此外,一项差异中的差异(DID)分析证实了燃油价格冲击的影响:在改革后不久,公共交通客流量增加了约6 - 9%,而城际交通客流量下降了约14%。总的来说,研究结果提供了大量补贴燃料市场的新证据,有助于了解旅行者如何适应重大的燃料价格改革。
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Transportation Research Interdisciplinary Perspectives
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