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Predicting the adjacency matrix to construct lane topology of signalised intersections with aerial imagery and deep learning 利用航拍图像和深度学习预测邻接矩阵构建信号交叉口车道拓扑
IF 3.8 Q2 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2025-12-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.trip.2025.101779
Hugo Nilsson, Rachid Oucheikh
Access to detailed network data is often constrained by access-controlled datasets or by extensive manual labour. Using aerial imagery and a simplified OpenStreetMap road-level graph, a novel approach is proposed to extract lane-level road topology graphs at signalized intersections based on detection of common road objects, classification of lane attributes, and a simultaneous lane-to-lane connectivity classifier. The approach bridges the gap in methodologies focused on image segmentation or direct graph extraction. Based on individual intersection arms, we achieve an F1 score of 0.88 in predicting the number of approach lanes, 0.87 number of turn movements, and 0.63 in predicting the number of lane types using seven lane type classes. Although key topology aspects are predicted successfully, performance is comparable or inferior to a simpler rule-based model. The results demonstrate the viability of the approach, but confirming practical usefulness will require training and evaluation on a larger and more varied dataset across cities and intersection types.
访问详细的网络数据通常受到访问控制数据集或大量手工劳动的限制。利用航空图像和简化的OpenStreetMap道路水平图,提出了一种基于常见道路目标检测、车道属性分类和同步车道间连通性分类器的信号交叉口车道水平道路拓扑图提取方法。该方法弥补了专注于图像分割或直接图提取的方法的差距。基于单个交叉口臂,我们在预测接近车道数量方面获得了0.88分,在预测转弯运动数量方面获得了0.87分,在预测车道类型数量方面获得了0.63分。虽然可以成功地预测关键拓扑方面,但性能与更简单的基于规则的模型相当或更差。结果证明了该方法的可行性,但要确认实际用途,还需要在更大、更多样化的数据集上进行培训和评估,这些数据集涉及城市和十字路口类型。
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引用次数: 0
Trends affecting women’s contributions in transportation science. A brief bibliometric analysis 影响妇女在交通科学方面贡献的趋势。一个简短的文献计量分析
IF 3.8 Q2 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2025-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.trip.2025.101714
Stéphanie Souche-Le Corvec
When Haghani and Bliemer (2023) considered the oldest groups of co-cited articles in the transport research literature, not a single woman featured among the 12 authors that were identified! Based on this observation, this article analyses women’s contribution to transport science over the last fifty years. The aim is to identify women’s contribution over time, to ascertain whether this contribution has been limited to specific areas of research and to what extent women have contributed to emerging research topics. Ultimately, we would like to determine whether transport publication trend is gender specific. We will complete the data-based coming from Haghani and Bliemer (2023). Firstly, the results show a strong and persistent male domination over the last 50 years, for all the many bibliometric indicators (number of publications, articles with the highest coverage of the cluster, the most frequently cited references, etc.), although this situation has become less marked recently. Secondly, the results show that women who succeed in transportation tend to specialize in specific disciplines such as psychology, medicine, mathematics or engineering. Finally, the results indicate that, in academic publications, the field of transport does not appear to be at the forefront in terms of gender balance.
当Haghani和Bliemer(2023)考虑交通研究文献中最古老的共被引文章组时,在确定的12位作者中没有一位女性!基于这一观察,本文分析了过去50年来女性对交通科学的贡献。其目的是确定妇女长期以来的贡献,确定这种贡献是否仅限于特定的研究领域,以及妇女对新出现的研究课题作出了多大程度的贡献。最后,我们想确定交通出版物趋势是否具有性别特异性。我们将完成基于Haghani和Bliemer(2023)的数据。首先,结果显示,在过去50年中,在所有许多文献计量指标(出版物数量、集群中覆盖率最高的文章、最常被引用的参考文献等)中,男性一直占据强势地位,尽管这种情况最近变得不那么明显。其次,研究结果表明,在交通领域取得成功的女性往往专攻心理学、医学、数学或工程学等特定学科。最后,结果表明,在学术出版物中,运输领域在性别平衡方面似乎并不处于前列。
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引用次数: 0
Bypassing the lack of available travel disaggregated data: A geo-spatial framework to simulate mode choice 绕过缺乏可用的旅行分类数据:一个模拟模式选择的地理空间框架
IF 3.8 Q2 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2025-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.trip.2025.101735
Anabele Lindner , Cira Souza Pitombo , Samuel de França Marques
Disaggregated data for travel demand are essential resources toward appropriate urban planning, especially regarding public transportation. However, especially in developing countries, access to such information is limited. The current paper addresses this issue by introducing an approach, comprising semivariogram deconvolution, Sequential Gaussian Simulation (SGS), and validation, using regular spatial scales. As input to the procedure, we propose to use information with high availability, such as census microdata. The hallmark of the devised method lies in inferring travel spatial variability of more disaggregated unit areas using synthetic data. The method proposes to calculate synthetic data using the socioeconomic census microdata and a calibrated regression model with travel demand data associated with Traffic Analysis Zones (TAZs) in São Paulo city. The resulting maps and statistical metrics corroborate the original data values associated with TAZs. This paper presents relevant contributions as the method enables: bypassing the lack of available travel disaggregated data; creating different scenarios to reproduce travel spatial behavior; and assessing the associated uncertainty.
出行需求的分类数据是进行适当城市规划的必要资源,特别是在公共交通方面。但是,特别是在发展中国家,获得这种信息的机会是有限的。本文通过引入一种方法来解决这个问题,该方法包括半变差反卷积、顺序高斯模拟(SGS)和使用规则空间尺度的验证。作为程序的输入,我们建议使用高可用性的信息,例如人口普查微数据。所设计方法的特点在于利用合成数据推断更多分解单元区域的旅行空间变异性。该方法提出使用社会经济普查微数据和与圣保罗市交通分析区(taz)相关的出行需求数据的校准回归模型计算合成数据。结果图和统计度量证实了与taz相关的原始数据值。本文提出了相关的贡献,因为该方法可以:绕过可用的旅行分类数据的缺乏;创造不同场景再现出行空间行为;并评估相关的不确定性。
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引用次数: 0
Inflating system expectations prior to SAE level 3 automated vehicle use: effects on monitoring behavior, resumption of control, and attitudes toward driving automation 在SAE 3级自动驾驶汽车使用之前,对系统期望的膨胀:对监控行为、恢复控制以及对驾驶自动化的态度的影响
IF 3.8 Q2 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2025-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.trip.2025.101725
Dustin J. Souders , Shubham Agrawal , Irina Benedyk , Yuntao Guo , Yujie Li , Srinivas Peeta

Introduction

Increasing levels of vehicle automation bring new risks to drivers, particularly those who are using a new automated driving system (ADS). The overreliance on partially automated advanced driver assistance systems (SAE L2 ADAS) has led to crashes, a concern that might escalate with conditional ADS (SAE L3), which require timely driver intervention. This study examines the impact of how L3 ADS’ capabilities and limitations are communicated to users on their subjective attitudes toward ADS and their driving behavior and performance, particularly concerning safety.

Method

In a driving simulator study, participants received introductory videos about the role of drivers at different automation levels, the capabilities and limitations of L3 ADS, and its human–machine interface (HMI). Videos concluded with either “Highlighted Benefits” of higher automation levels, reflecting current marketing trends of ADAS and ADS, or an “Explicit Reminder” of driver responsibilities in L3 ADS usage. Participants then completed three driving simulator runs (repeated measures) during or after which visual monitoring behavior, take-over performance, and subjective attitudes (trust and acceptance) toward the ADS were gathered.

Results

Participants resumed control when receiving uncertainty alert from the ADS across both introductory information conditions, with minor differences in take-over performance and monitoring behavior. No significant differences were observed in road monitoring behavior, take-over performance, and subjective attitudes between conditions, except for subjective familiarity ratings, which decreased over runs for the Explicit Reminder group compared to the Highlighted Benefits group. Both conditions showed take-over performance improvements, particularly after practice.

Conclusions

Successful crash avoidance in both groups indicates that graded warnings and practice can effectively improve take-over performance. This similarity in outcomes suggests that introductory information about ADS may not significantly affect monitoring behavior and performance of ADS users. These results highlight the potential for such systems to mitigate ADS complacency and promote safer resumption of vehicle control during automation failures.
车辆自动化水平的提高给驾驶员带来了新的风险,特别是那些使用新型自动驾驶系统(ADS)的驾驶员。过度依赖部分自动化的高级驾驶辅助系统(SAE L2 ADAS)已经导致了交通事故,而有条件的自动驾驶辅助系统(SAE L3)可能会加剧这种担忧,因为这需要驾驶员及时干预。本研究考察了L3级自动驾驶系统的功能和局限性如何传达给用户,影响他们对自动驾驶系统的主观态度,以及他们的驾驶行为和表现,特别是在安全方面。方法在驾驶模拟器研究中,参与者观看了关于驾驶员在不同自动化水平下的作用、L3 ADS的功能和局限性及其人机界面(HMI)的介绍视频。视频的结尾处要么是更高自动化水平的“突出优点”,反映了当前ADAS和ADS的营销趋势,要么是“明确提醒”驾驶员在使用L3 ADS时的责任。然后,参与者完成了三次驾驶模拟器运行(重复测量),在此期间或之后,收集了视觉监控行为、接管表现和对ADS的主观态度(信任和接受)。结果在两种介绍信息条件下,受试者在收到ADS的不确定性警报后均恢复了控制,接管表现和监测行为差异较小。在不同条件下,道路监测行为、接管表现和主观态度没有显著差异,除了主观熟悉度评分,显性提醒组的主观熟悉度评分与突出效益组相比在跑步过程中有所下降。两种情况下,接管的表现都有所改善,尤其是在练习之后。结论两组患者避撞成功,表明分级预警和演练能有效提高接管绩效。结果的这种相似性表明,关于ADS的介绍性信息可能不会显著影响ADS用户的监控行为和性能。这些结果强调了此类系统在缓解ADS自满情绪和促进自动控制故障时更安全恢复车辆控制方面的潜力。
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引用次数: 0
Be Open or Competitive? Exploring the differences in the adoption of (open) data sharing in European railway public transport 开放还是竞争?探讨欧洲铁路公共交通采用(开放)数据共享的差异
IF 3.8 Q2 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2025-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.trip.2025.101698
Shahrom Sohi , Sri Harikrishnan , Amin Anjomshoaa , Axel Polleres
Open data shape the interactions between governments, businesses, and the public. In the European railway sector, the push towards liberalisation, environmental sustainability, and a Single European Railway Area (SERA) has intensified demands for open, interoperable public transport data. Yet, railway organisations face a dual challenge: fulfilling their public service role in contributing to the transport and mobility open data ecosystem while safeguarding organisation’s sensitive and competitive information. This paper investigates how national railway organisations across the European Union and the European Free Trade Association (EFTA) participate in open data initiatives, focusing on three channels: Railway Open Data Portals (ROPs), Governmental Open Data Portals (GOPs), and National Access Points (NAPs). Through a structured data collection and manual labelling approach, this study catalogues 1097 open datasets across national railway operators and infrastructure managers, categorising them by portal type, country, thematic focus, and quality based on the 5-Star Open Data Model. The results reveal a fragmented Open Data landscape of the European railway, characterised by disparities in dataset volume, thematic focus, and openness standards. Operational data lead publications such as timetables, schedules and routes, but significant gaps persist in areas such as customer experience, specific infrastructure and organisation data. Railway operators prefer ROPs and GOPs over EU mandatory mobility portals NAPs for publishing open data, raising interest about consistency and compliance with European legislative frameworks. Beyond openness, the uneven availability of railway open data across the Union raises questions of digital equity. As unequal access to transport information risks reinforcing informational disparities among EU and EFTA residents, resulting a call for action for harmonised open data policies and stronger quality controls at the European level.
开放数据塑造了政府、企业和公众之间的互动。在欧洲铁路部门,对自由化、环境可持续性和单一欧洲铁路区(SERA)的推动,加大了对开放、可互操作的公共交通数据的需求。然而,铁路组织面临着双重挑战:履行其公共服务角色,为运输和移动开放数据生态系统做出贡献,同时保护组织的敏感和竞争信息。本文研究了欧盟和欧洲自由贸易联盟(EFTA)的国家铁路组织如何参与开放数据倡议,重点关注三个渠道:铁路开放数据门户(rop)、政府开放数据门户(GOPs)和国家接入点(nap)。通过结构化数据收集和手动标记方法,本研究对全国铁路运营商和基础设施管理人员的1097个开放数据集进行了编目,并基于五星开放数据模型按门户类型、国家、主题重点和质量进行了分类。结果显示,欧洲铁路的开放数据景观是碎片化的,其特征是数据集数量、主题重点和开放标准的差异。运营数据是时间表、时间表和路线等出版物的主要内容,但在客户体验、特定基础设施和组织数据等领域仍存在显著差距。在发布开放数据方面,铁路运营商更喜欢rop和GOPs,而不是欧盟强制性的移动门户nap,这提高了人们对欧洲立法框架一致性和合规性的兴趣。除了开放之外,整个欧盟铁路开放数据的不均衡可用性引发了数字公平的问题。由于对交通信息的不平等获取有可能加剧欧盟和欧洲自由贸易联盟居民之间的信息差异,因此呼吁采取行动,在欧洲层面统一开放数据政策和加强质量控制。
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引用次数: 0
Exploring the impact of autonomous vehicles on youth mobility through focus groups and simulations 通过焦点小组和模拟,探索自动驾驶汽车对年轻人出行的影响
IF 3.8 Q2 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2025-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.trip.2025.101723
Andromachi Mourtzouchou , Ada Garus , Rubén Cordera , Ioan Cristinel Raileanu , Biagio Ciuffo
The imminent introduction of autonomous vehicles (AVs) represents a significant revolution in transportation, offering unique opportunities to enhance the sustainability and efficiency of urban transport systems. This study uniquely combines qualitative focus groups with European school students and quantitative activity-based simulation models to compare teenagers’ reactions to AVs. Focus groups gathered insights into their current mobility habits and perceptions of AVs. The simulation model then evaluated the potential impacts of AVs, specifically robotaxis and autonomous shuttles, on teenagers’ travel behaviour in Santander, Spain. The results reveal a strong interest in AVs among teenagers, particularly for the independence and flexibility they offer. However, practical considerations such as cost, availability, and parental preferences continue to influence their mobility choices. The simulation results indicate a significant shift towards robotaxis, reducing walking and public transport usage. Gender-specific preferences were also noted, with girls being more likely to use robotaxis. The findings underscore the need for policies that balance AV usage with active modes and public transport, address safety concerns, and ensure equitable access to AVs. The study highlights the benefits and challenges of integrating AVs into teenagers’ lives, offering insights for policymakers and technologists. Further research is needed to validate these findings through real-world trials and to explore the long-term impacts of AVs on teenagers’ mobility, physical activity, and social interactions.
即将推出的自动驾驶汽车(AVs)代表着交通运输领域的一场重大革命,为提高城市交通系统的可持续性和效率提供了独特的机会。本研究独特地结合了定性焦点小组与欧洲学校学生和定量的基于活动的模拟模型来比较青少年对自动驾驶汽车的反应。焦点小组收集了他们目前的出行习惯和对自动驾驶汽车的看法。然后,模拟模型评估了自动驾驶汽车,特别是机器人出租车和自动穿梭巴士,对西班牙桑坦德青少年出行行为的潜在影响。调查结果显示,青少年对自动驾驶汽车有着浓厚的兴趣,尤其是因为它们提供的独立性和灵活性。然而,诸如成本、可用性和父母偏好等实际考虑因素继续影响着他们的出行选择。模拟结果表明,人们向机器人出租车转变,减少了步行和公共交通的使用。性别偏好也被注意到,女孩更有可能使用机器人出租车。研究结果强调,需要制定政策,平衡自动驾驶汽车与主动模式和公共交通的使用,解决安全问题,并确保自动驾驶汽车的公平使用。该研究强调了将自动驾驶汽车融入青少年生活的好处和挑战,为政策制定者和技术专家提供了见解。进一步的研究需要通过现实世界的试验来验证这些发现,并探索自动驾驶汽车对青少年流动性、身体活动和社会互动的长期影响。
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引用次数: 0
Investigating comfort-oriented optimization of eco-driving cruising strategy: A driving simulator study 基于驾驶模拟器的生态驾驶巡航策略舒适性优化研究
IF 3.8 Q2 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2025-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.trip.2025.101733
Haoxiang Xue, Federico Maria Ballo, Giorgio Previati, Gianpiero Mastinu, Massimiliano Gobbi
Eco-driving cruising strategies can effectively reduce energy demand and contribute to extend the range of full electric vehicles. However, the adoption of these strategies, involving alternating cycles of acceleration and deceleration as a replacement for constant-speed cruising, may potentially compromise the longitudinal comfort of the vehicle. In this paper, a method for a comfort-oriented optimization of eco-driving cruising strategies is proposed and validated by using a dynamic driving simulator. Dynamic driving simulators are rarely used for longitudinal comfort assessment. Therefore, a series of preliminary tests are conducted to compare the longitudinal comfort perceived on a driving simulator and on an actual vehicle. It turns out that, with appropriate cueing settings, the perceived longitudinal comfort remains consistent across both scenarios. Moreover, levels of jerk related to the perception of vehicle comfort at different velocities are identified to serve as reference in the eco-driving strategy design. On the basis of these results, an eco-driving cruising strategy is optimized within a two-step multi-objective framework based on GA by considering both energy consumption and longitudinal comfort. Subsequently, the Pareto points corresponding to the thresholds, representing the occupants’ comfort preferences, are evaluated at the driving simulator. These tests show that the comfort ranking of the solution is consistent between the optimization process and the subjective perceptions and confirm the reference jerk levels determined in the preliminary tests and the effectiveness of the optimization procedure, indicating dynamic driving simulators can be effectively employed to assess the longitudinal comfort of vehicles and to evaluate eco-driving cruising strategies.
生态驾驶巡航策略可以有效地降低能源需求,有助于提高全电动汽车的续航里程。然而,采用这些策略,包括加速和减速交替循环,以取代等速巡航,可能会损害车辆的纵向舒适性。本文提出了一种以舒适性为导向的生态驾驶巡航策略优化方法,并通过动态驾驶模拟器进行了验证。动态驾驶模拟器很少用于纵向舒适性评估。因此,进行了一系列的初步试验,以比较在驾驶模拟器和实际车辆上感知的纵向舒适性。事实证明,在适当的提示设置下,感知到的纵向舒适度在两种情况下都保持一致。此外,还识别了不同车速下与车辆舒适性感知相关的震动水平,为生态驾驶策略设计提供参考。在此基础上,基于遗传算法对生态驾驶巡航策略进行了两步多目标优化,同时考虑了能耗和纵向舒适性。随后,在驾驶模拟器上对代表乘员舒适度偏好的阈值对应的帕累托点进行评估。试验结果表明,优化过程的舒适性排名与主观感知一致,验证了初步试验确定的参考颠簸水平和优化过程的有效性,表明动态驾驶模拟器可以有效地用于车辆纵向舒适性评价和生态驾驶巡航策略评价。
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引用次数: 0
Feasibility of integrating multiple climate impact estimation models to enhance confidence in environmentally-friendly aircraft trajectory optimization 综合多种气候影响估算模型提高环境友好型飞机轨迹优化可信度的可行性
IF 3.8 Q2 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2025-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.trip.2025.101692
Abolfazl Simorgh, Manuel Soler
Contrail cirrus is a major contributor to aviation-induced climate impact, with its formation and radiative effects highly sensitive to atmospheric conditions. This underscores the potential of contrail-informed flight planning to mitigate the corresponding climate effects. However, uncertainties in forecasting persistent contrail-forming areas and their radiative impact pose challenges to the effectiveness of this mitigation measure. In this study, we present a robust approach to enhance the reliability of climate-optimized flight planning by simultaneously accounting for two key sources of uncertainty: (1) weather forecast uncertainty, characterized using an ensemble prediction system, and (2) discrepancies between two state-of-the-art climate impact estimation models suitable for flight planning: algorithmic Climate Change Functions (aCCFs) and the gridded Contrail Cirrus Prediction (CoCiP) model. The objective is to generate flight plans that provide consistent climate benefits across both models, even under meteorological uncertainty. The proposed flight planning problem is formulated considering structured airspace and designed for parallel execution, ensuring its practicality, high computational efficiency, and scalability, accommodating multiple climate impact estimation models and weather data sources without compromising performance. Case studies demonstrate the practical viability of the approach for flight dispatchers, increasing confidence in climate-optimized trajectories even in the presence of significant model disagreements.
尾迹卷是航空引起的气候影响的主要贡献者,其形成和辐射效应对大气条件高度敏感。这凸显了航迹信息飞行计划在减轻相应气候影响方面的潜力。然而,预测持续尾迹形成区域及其辐射影响的不确定性对这一缓解措施的有效性构成了挑战。在这项研究中,我们提出了一种强大的方法,通过同时考虑两个关键的不确定性来源来提高气候优化飞行计划的可靠性:(1)天气预报的不确定性,以集合预测系统为特征;(2)适合飞行计划的两种最先进的气候影响估计模型之间的差异:算法气候变化函数(aCCFs)和网格尾迹云预测(CoCiP)模型。目标是制定飞行计划,即使在气象不确定的情况下,也能在两种模式中提供一致的气候效益。所提出的飞行规划问题考虑了结构化空域,并设计为并行执行,确保了其实用性、高计算效率和可扩展性,在不影响性能的情况下适应多种气候影响估计模型和天气数据源。案例研究证明了该方法对飞行调度员的实际可行性,即使在存在重大模型分歧的情况下,也增加了对气候优化轨迹的信心。
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引用次数: 0
Analysis of injuries and deaths from road traffic accidents in Morocco: Driver behaviors assessment and prevention perspectives 摩洛哥道路交通事故伤亡分析:驾驶员行为评估和预防观点
IF 3.8 Q2 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2025-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.trip.2025.101708
Farida Haddou Rahou, Youssef Aboussaleh
Road traffic accidents constitute a real public health problem given the high mortality and morbidity they cause. The study aimed the evaluation of the relationship between driver behavior and road accident in Morocco.
In a retrospective study covering a period of 2017–2023, data were collected about all vehicles that were registered by the road traffic police after being involved in a road traffic accident from January 1, 2017 to December 31, 2023. Multivariate analyses were conducted using logistic regressions, constructed to identify the factors contributing to the occurrence (yes/no) of an accident. The odds ratios (OR) are presented with their 95% confidence intervals.
The findings show that in the majority of cases, young people aged 20 to 29 are the most represented among the victims, with a clear predominance of men. Users of motorized two-wheeled vehicles are more involved compared to other road users. Most of the victims are mainly non-official workers. The injury assessment shows that victims aged 20 to 29 suffer the most from multiple minor injuries, followed by the 30–39 years driver category. 41.59 % without injury, 6.87 % serious injuries, 48.39 % minor injuries, and 0.49 % of accidents are fatal.
Road accidents cause productive losses through work stoppage and physical health injuries and deaths. Young drivers are the group of drivers most likely to crash. Preventing road accidents requires awareness campaigns for behavior change. These findings provide a solid empirical foundation to inform future research on behavioral risk factors and can serve as a basis for developing targeted public policies to effectively guide strategies for preventing and improving road safety in Morocco.
道路交通事故造成的高死亡率和发病率构成了一个真正的公共卫生问题。本研究旨在评估摩洛哥驾驶员行为与道路交通事故之间的关系。在一项涵盖2017 - 2023年期间的回顾性研究中,收集了2017年1月1日至2023年12月31日期间发生道路交通事故后由道路交通警察登记的所有车辆的数据。使用逻辑回归进行多变量分析,以确定导致事故发生的因素(是/否)。比值比(OR)以其95%置信区间表示。调查结果显示,在大多数案件中,20至29岁的年轻人是受害者中最具代表性的,其中男性明显占主导地位。与其他道路使用者相比,机动两轮车辆的使用者更容易参与其中。大多数受害者主要是非官方工作人员。伤害评估显示,20 - 29岁的受害者多发轻伤最多,其次是30-39岁 岁的司机类别。41.59 %无伤、6.87 %重伤、48.39 %轻伤、0.49 %事故致人死亡。道路交通事故通过停工和身体健康伤害和死亡造成生产损失。年轻司机是最容易发生车祸的司机群体。预防道路交通事故需要提高人们对行为改变的认识。这些发现为今后对行为风险因素的研究提供了坚实的经验基础,并可作为制定有针对性的公共政策的基础,有效指导摩洛哥预防和改善道路安全的战略。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluating road crash risk for a mega-event: an application to 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympic games 大型赛事道路碰撞风险评估:2026年米兰-科尔蒂纳冬奥会应用
IF 3.8 Q2 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2025-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.trip.2025.101709
Stefano Raccagni, Roberto Ventura, Benedetto Barabino
Mega-events are large-scale international occasions that pressure transportation infrastructure significantly, leading to increased traffic demand and higher crash risk. Therefore, special attention is required in the planning phase to ensure safe road management. Despite some research on their pre- and post-event safety impacts, no studies have proactively assessed crash risk during the planning phase by integrating frequency, severity, and exposure factors. To address this gap, this study proposes a refined framework that combines predictive models and risk assessment techniques to evaluate crash risk in mega-event-affected road networks. Its applicability is demonstrated through the Milano-Cortina 2026 Winter Olympics case study, analysing 3 k + crashes on the interested road. Results highlight key risk factors, including traffic volume, access points, and operating speed. Moreover, the recommended risk mitigation treatments are simulated, and their effects are quantified. Finally, reference curves and tables are provided to support decision makers. By enabling proactive safety interventions, this framework provides a decision-support tool for event planners, policymakers and traffic engineers to prioritise safety interventions efficiently and apply risk mitigation strategies, ensuring safer transport management before mega-events.
大型活动是对交通基础设施造成巨大压力的大型国际场合,导致交通需求增加,事故风险增加。因此,在规划阶段需要特别注意,以确保安全的道路管理。尽管有一些关于事故前后安全影响的研究,但没有研究在计划阶段通过整合频率、严重程度和暴露因素来主动评估事故风险。为了解决这一差距,本研究提出了一个结合预测模型和风险评估技术的完善框架,以评估受重大事件影响的道路网络中的碰撞风险。通过米兰-科尔蒂纳2026年冬季奥运会的案例研究,分析了在感兴趣的道路上发生的3000多起撞车事故,证明了它的适用性。结果突出了关键的风险因素,包括交通量、接入点和运营速度。此外,还对推荐的风险缓解措施进行了模拟,并对其效果进行了量化。最后,给出了参考曲线和表格,为决策者提供参考。通过实现主动安全干预,该框架为活动策划者、政策制定者和交通工程师提供了决策支持工具,以有效地优先考虑安全干预措施并应用风险缓解战略,确保在大型活动之前进行更安全的交通管理。
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引用次数: 0
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Transportation Research Interdisciplinary Perspectives
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