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Modeling approaches for assessing device-based measures of energy expenditure in school-based studies of body weight status. 在以学校为基础的体重状况研究中评估基于设备的能量消耗测量的建模方法。
IF 1.3 Q3 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2024-01-01 Epub Date: 2024-06-25 DOI: 10.3389/fams.2024.1399426
Gilson D Honvoh, Roger S Zoh, Anand Gupta, Mark E Benden, Carmen D Tekwe

Background: Obesity has become an important threat to children's health, with physical and psychological impacts that extend into adulthood. Limited physical activity and sedentary behavior are associated with increased obesity risk. Because children spend approximately 6 h each day in school, researchers increasingly study how obesity is influenced by school-day physical activity and energy expenditure (EE) patterns among school-aged children by using wearable devices that collect data at frequent intervals and generate complex, high-dimensional data. Although clinicians typically define obesity in children as having an age-and sex-adjusted body mass index (BMI) value in the high percentiles, the relationships between school-based physical activity interventions and BMI are analyzed using traditional linear regression models, which are designed to assess the effects of interventions among children with average BMI, limiting insight regarding the effects of interventions among children categorized as overweight or obese.

Methods: We investigate the association between wearable device-based EE measures and age-and sex-adjusted BMI values in data from a cluster-randomized, school-based study. We express and analyze EE levels as both a scalar-valued variable and as a continuous, high-dimensional, functional predictor variable. We investigate the relationship between school-day EE (SDEE) and BMI using four models: a linear mixed-effects model (LMEM), a quantile mixed-effects model (QMEM), a functional mixed-effects model (FMEM), and a functional quantile mixed-effects model (FQMEM). The LMEM and QMEM include SDEE as a summary measure, whereas the FMEM and FQMEM allow for the modeling of SDEE as a high-dimensional covariate. The FMEM and FQMEM allow the influence of the time of day at which physical activity is performed to be assessed, which is not possible using the LMEM or the QMEM. The FMEM assesses how frequently collected SDEE data influences mean BMI, whereas the FQMEM assesses the effects on quantile levels of BMI.

Results: The LMEM and QMEM detected a statistically significant effect of overall mean SDEE on log (BMI) (the natural logarithm of BMI) after adjusting for intervention, age, race, and sex. The FMEM and FQMEM provided evidence for statistically significant associations between SDEE and log (BMI) for only a short time interval. Being a boy or being assigned a stand-biased desk is associated with a lower log (BMI) than being a girl or being assigned a traditional desk. Across our models, age was not a statistically significant covariate, and white students had significantly lower log (BMI) than non-white students in quantile models, but this significant effect was observed for only the 10th and 50th quantile levels of BMI. The functional regression models allow for additional interpretations of the influence of EE patterns on age-and sex-adjusted BMI, whereas the quanti

背景:肥胖已成为儿童健康的重要威胁,其生理和心理影响一直延续到成年期。有限的体力活动和久坐行为与肥胖风险增加有关。由于儿童每天在学校的时间约为6小时,研究人员越来越多地使用可穿戴设备来研究学龄期儿童的在校体育活动和能量消耗(EE)模式如何影响肥胖,这些设备可以频繁收集数据并生成复杂的高维数据。虽然临床医生通常将儿童肥胖定义为年龄和性别调整的体重指数(BMI)值处于高百分位数,但使用传统的线性回归模型分析了基于学校的体育活动干预与BMI之间的关系,这些模型旨在评估干预对平均BMI儿童的影响,限制了对超重或肥胖儿童干预效果的了解。方法:我们调查了基于可穿戴设备的情感表达测量与年龄和性别调整的BMI值之间的关系,这些数据来自一项基于学校的集群随机研究。我们将情感表达水平作为一个标量值变量和一个连续的、高维的、功能性的预测变量来表达和分析。我们使用线性混合效应模型(LMEM)、分位数混合效应模型(QMEM)、功能混合效应模型(FMEM)和功能分位数混合效应模型(FQMEM)四个模型来研究在校日情感表达(SDEE)与BMI之间的关系。LMEM和QMEM包括SDEE作为汇总度量,而FMEM和FQMEM允许将SDEE建模为高维协变量。FMEM和FQMEM允许评估一天中进行体育活动的时间的影响,这是使用LMEM或QMEM无法做到的。FMEM评估收集的SDEE数据对平均BMI的影响频率,而FQMEM评估对BMI分位数水平的影响。结果:经干预、年龄、种族和性别调整后,LMEM和QMEM检测到总体平均SDEE对log (BMI) (BMI的自然对数)有统计学显著影响。FMEM和FQMEM仅在短时间间隔内提供了SDEE与log (BMI)之间具有统计学显著相关性的证据。作为一个男孩或被分配到一张立式办公桌的BMI指数比作为一个女孩或被分配到一张传统办公桌的BMI指数要低。在我们的模型中,年龄不是统计上显著的协变量,在分位数模型中,白人学生的log (BMI)显著低于非白人学生,但这种显著影响仅在BMI的第10和第50分位数水平上观察到。功能回归模型允许对情感表达模式对年龄和性别调整后的BMI的影响进行额外解释,而分位数回归模型则允许在整个BMI分布中评估情感表达模式的影响。结论:当需要评估设备监测的SDEE模式如何影响所有体型的儿童时,推荐使用FQMEM,因为该模型是稳健的,能够评估整个BMI分布的干预效果。然而,样本量必须足够大,才能充分确定整个BMI分布(包括尾部)的协变量效应。
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引用次数: 0
Analysis of community connectivity in spatial transcriptomics data. 空间转录组学数据中的社区连通性分析。
IF 1.3 Q3 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2024-01-01 Epub Date: 2024-07-11 DOI: 10.3389/fams.2024.1403901
Juan Xie, Kyeong Joo Jung, Carter Allen, Yuzhou Chang, Subhadeep Paul, Zihai Li, Qin Ma, Dongjun Chung

Introduction: The advent of high throughput spatial transcriptomics (HST) has allowed for unprecedented characterization of spatially distinct cell communities within a tissue sample. While a wide range of computational tools exist for detecting cell communities in HST data, none allow for the characterization of community connectivity, i.e., the relative similarity of cells within and between found communities-an analysis task that can elucidate cellular dynamics in important settings such as the tumor microenvironment.

Methods: To address this gap, we introduce the analysis of community connectivity (ACC), which facilitates understanding of the relative similarity of cells within and between communities. We develop a Bayesian multi-layer network model called BANYAN for the integration of spatial and gene expression information to achieve ACC.

Results: We demonstrate BANYAN's ability to recover community connectivity structure via a simulation study based on real sagittal mouse brain HST data. Next, we use BANYAN to implement ACC across a wide range of real data scenarios, including 10× Visium data of melanoma brain metastases and invasive ductal carcinoma, and NanoString CosMx data of human-small-cell lung cancer, each of which reveals distinct cliques of interacting cell sub-populations. An R package banyan is available at https://github.com/dongjunchung/banyan.

导语:高通量空间转录组学(HST)的出现使得对组织样本中空间不同的细胞群落进行前所未有的表征成为可能。虽然存在广泛的计算工具来检测HST数据中的细胞群落,但没有一个允许描述群落连通性,即所发现的群落内部和之间细胞的相对相似性,这是一项分析任务,可以阐明重要设置(如肿瘤微环境)中的细胞动力学。方法:为了解决这一差距,我们引入了社区连通性(ACC)的分析,这有助于理解社区内部和社区之间细胞的相对相似性。我们开发了一个名为BANYAN的贝叶斯多层网络模型,用于整合空间和基因表达信息来实现ACC。结果:我们通过基于真实矢状鼠脑HST数据的模拟研究证明了BANYAN恢复社区连接结构的能力。接下来,我们使用BANYAN在广泛的真实数据场景中实现ACC,包括黑色素瘤脑转移和浸润性导管癌的10x Visium数据,以及人类小细胞肺癌的NanoString CosMx数据,每个数据都揭示了相互作用细胞亚群的不同派系。R包榕树可在https://github.com/dongjunchung/banyan上获得。
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引用次数: 0
A cell-level dynamical model for malaria parasite infection with antimalarial drug treatment 疟原虫感染与抗疟药物治疗的细胞级动力学模型
IF 1.4 Q3 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2023-12-19 DOI: 10.3389/fams.2023.1282544
Jemal Muhammed Ahmed, Getachew Teshome Tilahun, Shambel Tadesse Degefa
Malaria is an infectious disease caused by intracellular parasites of the genus Plasmodium. It is a major health problem around the world. In this study, a cell-level mathematical model of malaria parasites with antimalarial drug treatments is formulated and analyzed. The model consists of seven compartments for cell populations. We analyzed the qualitative behavior of the model using various techniques. The stability analysis of the parasite-free equilibrium is obtained, whereas it is locally and globally stable if the basic reproduction number R0<1. The parasite persistence equilibrium point exists, and it is locally asymptotically stable if R0>1. The sensitivity analysis of the basic reproduction number is computed, and the results show that the infection rate of the erythrocyte by merozoites, the average number of merozoites per ruptured infected erythrocyte cells, the natural death rate of merozoites, and the requirement rate of the uninfected erythrocyte are the most influential parameters within-host dynamics of malaria infection. Different numerical simulations are performed to supplement our analytical findings. The effect of primary tissue schizontocides, blood schizontocides, and gametocytocides on infected hepatocytes, infected erythrocytes, and gametocytes have been investigated, respectively. Finally, some counterplots are presented in order to investigate the impact of parameters on the basic reproduction number. The in-host basic reproduction number decreases as the antimalarial treatment administration increases. Therefore, increasing antimalarial treatment administration is the best way to mitigate the in-host malaria infection.
疟疾是由疟原虫属细胞内寄生虫引起的一种传染病。它是全世界的一个主要健康问题。本研究建立并分析了疟原虫与抗疟药物治疗的细胞级数学模型。该模型由七个细胞群组成。我们利用各种技术分析了模型的定性行为。得到了无寄生虫平衡的稳定性分析,如果基本繁殖数为 R01,则该平衡是局部和全局稳定的。计算了基本繁殖数的敏感性分析,结果表明,红细胞的裂头蚴感染率、每个破裂感染红细胞的平均裂头蚴数量、裂头蚴的自然死亡率和未感染红细胞的需求率是疟疾感染宿主动力学中影响最大的参数。我们进行了不同的数值模拟来补充分析结果。分别研究了原生组织裂殖剂、血液裂殖剂和配子体裂殖剂对感染肝细胞、感染红细胞和配子体细胞的影响。最后,为了研究参数对基本繁殖数的影响,给出了一些反图。随着抗疟药物用量的增加,宿主体内的基本繁殖数量也在减少。因此,增加抗疟治疗用量是减轻宿主内疟疾感染的最佳方法。
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引用次数: 0
Mathematical model of physicochemical regulation of precipitation of bone hydroxyapatite 骨羟基磷灰石沉淀的物理化学调控数学模型
IF 1.4 Q3 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2023-12-19 DOI: 10.3389/fams.2023.1294540
H. Poorhemati, Svetlana V. Komarova
Formation of hydroxyapatite in bone, dentin, and enamel occurs at restricted molecular sites of specific extracellular matrix proteins and is controlled by multiple mineralization inhibitors. However, the role of physicochemical factors, such as the availability of required ions and the saturation status of the aqueous environment in biological mineralization, is not fully understood. The goal of this study was to use mathematical modeling to describe the complex physicochemical environment permissive to the precipitation of biological hydroxyapatite.We simulated the processes occurring in the bone interstitial fluid (ISF) defined as an aqueous environment containing seven chemical components (calcium, phosphate, carbonate, sodium, potassium, magnesium, and chloride) that form 30 chemical species. We simulated reversible equilibrium reactions among these chemical species, and calculated supersaturation for hydroxyapatite and its precipitation rate using kinetic theory.The simulated ISF was of correct ionic strength and predicted the equilibrium component concentrations that were consistent with the experimental findings. Supersaturation of physiological ISF was ~15, which is consistent with prior findings that mineralization inhibitors are required to prevent spontaneous mineral precipitation. Only total calcium, total phosphate and to a lesser degree total carbonate affected ion availability, solution supersaturation and hydroxyapatite precipitation rate. Both calcium and phosphate levels directly affected hydroxyapatite precipitation, and phosphate was affected by pH, which additionally influenced hydroxyapatite precipitation. Integrating mathematical models capturing the physiochemical and biological factors regulating bone mineralization will allow in silico studies of complex clinical scenarios associated with alterations in ISF ion composition, such as rickets, hypophosphatemia, and chronic kidney disease.
骨骼、牙本质和珐琅质中羟基磷灰石的形成发生在特定细胞外基质蛋白的受限分子位点,并受多种矿化抑制剂的控制。然而,人们对理化因素(如所需离子的可用性和水环境的饱和状态)在生物矿化中的作用还不完全了解。我们模拟了骨间质(ISF)中发生的过程,骨间质被定义为含有七种化学成分(钙、磷酸盐、碳酸盐、钠、钾、镁和氯化物)并形成 30 种化学物质的水环境。我们模拟了这些化学物种之间的可逆平衡反应,并利用动力学理论计算了羟基磷灰石的过饱和度及其沉淀率。模拟的 ISF 离子强度正确,预测的平衡成分浓度与实验结果一致。生理 ISF 的过饱和度约为 15,这与之前的研究结果一致,即需要矿化抑制剂来防止矿物自发沉淀。只有总钙、总磷以及较小程度的总碳酸盐会影响离子可用性、溶液过饱和度和羟基磷灰石沉淀率。钙和磷酸盐的含量直接影响羟基磷灰石的沉淀,磷酸盐受 pH 值的影响,而 pH 值又影响羟基磷灰石的沉淀。通过数学模型捕捉调节骨矿化的物理化学和生物学因素,可以对佝偻病、低磷血症和慢性肾病等与 ISF 离子组成改变有关的复杂临床情况进行硅学研究。
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引用次数: 0
Some finite difference methods for solving linear fractional KdV equation 求解线性分数 KdV 方程的若干有限差分法
IF 1.4 Q3 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2023-12-18 DOI: 10.3389/fams.2023.1261270
A. Appadu, A. Kelil
The time-fractional Korteweg de Vries equation can be viewed as a generalization of the classical KdV equation. The KdV equations can be applied in modeling tsunami propagation, coastal wave dynamics, and oceanic wave interactions. In this study, we construct two standard finite difference methods using finite difference methods with conformable and Caputo approximations to solve a time-fractional Korteweg-de Vries (KdV) equation. These two methods are named as FDMCA and FDMCO. FDMCA utilizes Caputo's derivative and a finite-forward difference approach for discretization, while FDMCO employs conformable discretization. To study the stability, we use the Von Neumann Stability Analysis for some fractional parameter values. We perform error analysis using L1 & L∞ norms and relative errors, and we present results through graphical representations and tables. Our obtained results demonstrate strong agreement between numerical and exact solutions when the fractional operator is close to 1.0 for both methods. Generally, this study enhances our comprehension of the capabilities and constraints of FDMCO and FDMCA when used to solve such types of partial differential equations laying some ground for further research.
时间分数 Korteweg de Vries 方程可视为经典 KdV 方程的一般化。KdV 方程可用于模拟海啸传播、海岸波动力学和海洋波相互作用。在本研究中,我们利用有限差分法的保形近似和 Caputo 近似,构建了两种标准有限差分法来求解时分数 Korteweg-de Vries(KdV)方程。这两种方法被命名为 FDMCA 和 FDMCO。FDMCA 利用卡普托导数和有限前向差分法进行离散化,而 FDMCO 则采用保角离散化。为了研究稳定性,我们对一些分数参数值进行了冯-诺依曼稳定性分析。我们使用 L1 & L∞ 准则和相对误差进行误差分析,并通过图形和表格展示结果。我们获得的结果表明,当分数算子接近 1.0 时,两种方法的数值解与精确解之间具有很强的一致性。总体而言,本研究加深了我们对 FDMCO 和 FDMCA 在用于求解此类偏微分方程时的能力和约束条件的理解,为进一步研究奠定了基础。
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引用次数: 0
Real block-circulant matrices and DCT-DST algorithm for transformer neural network 用于变压器神经网络的实块循环矩阵和 DCT-DST 算法
IF 1.4 Q3 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2023-12-12 DOI: 10.3389/fams.2023.1260187
Euis Asriani, I. Muchtadi-Alamsyah, Ayu Purwarianti
In the encoding and decoding process of transformer neural networks, a weight matrix-vector multiplication occurs in each multihead attention and feed forward sublayer. Assigning the appropriate weight matrix and algorithm can improve transformer performance, especially for machine translation tasks. In this study, we investigate the use of the real block-circulant matrices and an alternative to the commonly used fast Fourier transform (FFT) algorithm, namely, the discrete cosine transform–discrete sine transform (DCT-DST) algorithm, to be implemented in a transformer. We explore three transformer models that combine the use of real block-circulant matrices with different algorithms. We start from generating two orthogonal matrices, U and Q. The matrix U is spanned by the combination of the reals and imaginary parts of eigenvectors of the real block-circulant matrix, whereas Q is defined such that the matrix multiplication QU can be represented in the shape of a DCT-DST matrix. The final step is defining the Schur form of the real block-circulant matrix. We find that the matrix-vector multiplication using the DCT-DST algorithm can be defined by assigning the Kronecker product between the DCT-DST matrix and an orthogonal matrix in the same order as the dimension of the circulant matrix that spanned the real block circulant. According to the experiment's findings, the dense-real block circulant DCT-DST model with largest matrix dimension was able to reduce the number of model parameters up to 41%. The same model of 128 matrix dimension gained 26.47 of BLEU score, higher compared to the other two models on the same matrix dimensions.
在变压器神经网络的编码和解码过程中,每个多头注意子层和前馈子层都会发生权重矩阵-向量乘法。分配适当的权重矩阵和算法可以提高变换器的性能,尤其是在机器翻译任务中。在本研究中,我们研究了在转换器中使用实块循环矩阵和常用快速傅立叶变换(FFT)算法的替代算法,即离散余弦变换-离散正弦变换(DCT-DST)算法。我们探索了三种变压器模型,将实块环形矩阵的使用与不同的算法相结合。我们首先生成两个正交矩阵 U 和 Q。矩阵 U 的跨度是实块环矩阵特征向量的实部和虚部的组合,而 Q 的定义是矩阵乘法 QU 可以用 DCT-DST 矩阵的形状表示。最后一步是定义实块环矩阵的舒尔形式。我们发现,使用 DCT-DST 算法的矩阵向量乘法可以通过分配 DCT-DST 矩阵与正交矩阵之间的 Kronecker 乘积来定义,其顺序与跨实块环形矩阵的环形矩阵维数相同。实验结果表明,矩阵维度最大的密集实块环行 DCT-DST 模型能够减少高达 41% 的模型参数数量。矩阵维数为 128 的同一模型获得了 26.47 的 BLEU 分,高于矩阵维数相同的其他两个模型。
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引用次数: 0
Model order reduction for optimality systems through empirical gramians 通过经验格兰方法减少优化系统的模型阶次
IF 1.4 Q3 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2023-12-11 DOI: 10.3389/fams.2023.1144142
Luca Mechelli, Jan Rohleff, Stefan Volkwein
In the present article, optimal control problems for linear parabolic partial differential equations (PDEs) with time-dependent coefficient functions are considered. One of the common approach in literature is to derive the first-order sufficient optimality system and to apply a finite element (FE) discretization. This leads to a specific linear but high-dimensional time variant (LTV) dynamical system. To reduce the size of the LTV system, we apply a tailored reduced order modeling technique based on empirical gramians and derived directly from the first-order optimality system. For testing purpose, we focus on two specific examples: a multiobjective optimization and a closed-loop optimal control problem. Our proposed methodology results to be better performing than a standard proper orthogonal decomposition (POD) approach for the above mentioned examples.
本文考虑的是具有随时间变化的系数函数的线性抛物线偏微分方程(PDE)的最优控制问题。文献中常见的方法之一是推导一阶充分最优化系统并应用有限元(FE)离散化。这就产生了一个特定的线性但高维的时间变量(LTV)动力系统。为了减小 LTV 系统的规模,我们采用了一种基于经验格兰的定制减阶建模技术,并直接从一阶最优化系统中推导出来。为了测试目的,我们重点讨论了两个具体例子:多目标优化和闭环最优控制问题。在上述例子中,我们提出的方法比标准的适当正交分解(POD)方法性能更好。
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引用次数: 1
Phase characteristics of vocal tract filter can distinguish speakers 声道滤波器的相位特征可区分扬声器
IF 1.4 Q3 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2023-12-08 DOI: 10.3389/fams.2023.1274846
Masahiro Okada, Hiroshi Ito
Speaker recognition has been performed by considering individual variations in the power spectrograms of speech, which reflect the resonance phenomena in the speaker's vocal tract filter. In recent years, phase-based features have been used for speaker recognition. However, the phase-based features are not in a raw form of the phase but are crafted by humans, suggesting that the role of the raw phase is less interpretable. This study used phase spectrograms, which are calculated by subtracting the phase in the time-frequency domain of the electroglottograph signal from that of speech. The phase spectrograms represent the non-modified phase characteristics of the vocal tract filter.The phase spectrograms were obtained from five Japanese participants. Phase spectrograms corresponding to vowels, called phase spectra, were then extracted and circular-averaged for each vowel. The speakers were determined based on the degree of similarity of the averaged spectra.The accuracy of discriminating speakers using the averaged phase spectra was observed to be high although speakers were discriminated using only phase information without power. In particular, the averaged phase spectra showed different shapes for different speakers, resulting in the similarity between the different speaker spectrum pairs being lower. Therefore, the speakers were distinguished by using phase spectra.This predominance of phase spectra suggested that the phase characteristics of the vocal tract filter reflect the individuality of speakers.
通过考虑语音功率谱的个体变化来进行说话人识别,功率谱反映了说话人声道滤波器中的共振现象。近年来,基于相位的特征被用于说话人识别。然而,基于阶段的特征并不是阶段的原始形式,而是由人类精心制作的,这表明原始阶段的作用是不可解释的。本研究使用相位谱图,通过从语音信号中减去电声门信号的时频域相位来计算。相位谱图表示声道滤波器未修改的相位特征。相位谱图来自5名日本参与者。然后提取元音对应的相谱图,称为相谱,并对每个元音进行循环平均。根据平均光谱的相似程度来确定扬声器。结果表明,仅使用相位信息而不使用功率信息对说话人进行识别时,使用平均相位谱识别说话人的准确率较高。特别是,不同扬声器的平均相位谱呈现不同的形状,导致不同扬声器频谱对之间的相似性较低。因此,利用相谱对说话人进行了识别。这种相位谱的优势表明,声道滤波器的相位特征反映了说话人的个性。
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引用次数: 0
Transmission of COVID-19 in the presence of single-dose and double-dose vaccines with hesitancy: mathematical modeling and optimal control analysis 在单剂和双剂疫苗存在犹豫期的情况下传播 COVID-19:数学建模和优化控制分析
IF 1.4 Q3 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2023-12-07 DOI: 10.3389/fams.2023.1292443
Isaac Mwangi Wangari, Samson Olaniyi, R. Lebelo, K. Okosun
The unexpected emergence of novel coronavirus identified as SAR-CoV-2 virus (severe acute respiratory syndrome corona virus 2) disrupted the world order to an extent that the human activities that are core to survival came almost to a halt. The COVID-19 pandemic created an insurmountable global health crisis that led to a united front among all nations to research on effective pharmaceutical measures that could stop COVID-19 proliferation. Consequently, different types of vaccines were discovered (single-dose and double-dose vaccines). However, the speed at which these vaccines were developed and approved to be administered created other challenges (vaccine skepticism and hesitancy).This paper therefore tracks the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 using a non-linear deterministic system that accounts for the unwillingness of both susceptible and partially vaccinated individuals to receive either single-dose or double-dose vaccines (vaccine hesitancy). Further the model is extended to incorporate three time-dependent non-pharmaceutical and pharmaceutical intervention controls, namely preventive control, control associated with screening-management of both truly asymptomatic and symptomatic infectious individuals and control associated with vaccination of susceptible individuals with a single dose vaccine. The Pontryagin's Maximum Principle is applied to establish the optimality conditions associated with the optimal controls.If COVID-19 vaccines administered are imperfect and transient then there exist a parameter space where backward bifurcation occurs. Time profile projections depict that in a setting where vaccine hesitancy is present, administering single dose vaccines leads to a significant reduction of COVID-19 prevalence than when double dose vaccines are administered. Comparison of the impact of vaccine hesitancy against either single dose or double dose on COVID-19 prevalence reveals that vaccine hesitancy against single dose is more detrimental than vaccine hesitancy against a double dose vaccine. Optimal analysis results reveal that non-pharmaceutical time-dependent control significantly flattens the COVID-19 epidemic curve when compared with pharmaceutical controls. Cost-effectiveness assessment suggest that non-pharmaceutical control is the most cost-effective COVID-19 mitigation strategy that should be implemented in a setting where resources are limited.Policy makers and medical practitioners should assess the level of COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy inorder to decide on the type of vaccine (single-dose or double-dose) to administer to the population.
新型冠状病毒sars - cov -2(严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒2)的突然出现,扰乱了世界秩序,人类赖以生存的核心活动几乎陷入停顿。新冠肺炎大流行造成了无法克服的全球健康危机,各国团结起来,研究有效的药物措施,以阻止新冠病毒的扩散。因此,发现了不同类型的疫苗(单剂和双剂疫苗)。然而,这些疫苗开发和批准使用的速度带来了其他挑战(疫苗怀疑和犹豫)。因此,本文使用非线性确定性系统跟踪COVID-19的传播动态,该系统考虑了易感和部分接种疫苗的个体不愿意接受单剂量或双剂量疫苗(疫苗犹豫)。此外,该模型被扩展为包含三种时间相关的非药物和药物干预控制,即预防控制,与真正无症状和有症状的感染个体的筛查管理相关的控制,以及与使用单剂量疫苗接种易感个体相关的控制。应用庞特里亚金极大值原理建立了与最优控制相关的最优性条件。如果接种的COVID-19疫苗不完善且短暂,则存在一个参数空间,发生后向分叉。时间概况预测显示,在存在疫苗犹豫的情况下,与接种双剂疫苗相比,接种单剂疫苗可显著降低COVID-19的流行率。比较单剂量和双剂量疫苗犹豫对COVID-19流行率的影响发现,单剂量疫苗犹豫比双剂量疫苗犹豫更有害。最优分析结果显示,与药物控制相比,非药物时间依赖性控制使COVID-19流行曲线明显平坦。成本效益评估表明,非药物控制是最具成本效益的COVID-19缓解战略,应在资源有限的情况下实施。政策制定者和医务人员应评估COVID-19疫苗犹豫程度,以决定向人群接种哪种疫苗(单剂或双剂)。
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引用次数: 0
Geometry of deviation measures for triangular distributions 三角形分布的偏差测量几何
IF 1.4 Q3 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2023-12-07 DOI: 10.3389/fams.2023.1274787
Yuhe Wang, Eugene Pinsky
Triangular distributions are widely used in many applications with limited sample data, business simulations, and project management. As with other distributions, a standard way to measure deviations is to compute the standard deviation. However, the standard deviation is sensitive to outliers. In this paper, we consider and compare other deviation metrics, namely the mean absolute deviation from the mean, the median, and the quantile-based deviation. We show the simple geometric interpretations for these deviation measures and how to construct them using a compass and a straightedge. The explicit formula of mean absolute deviation from the median for triangular distribution is derived in this paper for the first time. It has a simple geometric interpretation. It is the least volatile and is always better than the standard or mean absolute deviation from the mean. Although greater than the quantile deviation, it is easier to compute with limited sample data. We present a new procedure to estimate the parameters of this distribution in terms of this deviation. This procedure is computationally simple and may be superior to other methods when dealing with limited sample data, as is often the case with triangle distributions.
三角形分布广泛用于具有有限样本数据、业务模拟和项目管理的许多应用程序中。与其他分布一样,衡量偏差的标准方法是计算标准差。然而,标准偏差对异常值很敏感。在本文中,我们考虑并比较了其他偏差指标,即均值绝对偏差、中位数偏差和基于分位数的偏差。我们展示了这些偏差测量的简单几何解释,以及如何使用指南针和直尺构造它们。本文首次导出了三角分布的均值绝对偏离中位数的显式公式。它有一个简单的几何解释。它是最不稳定的,并且总是优于标准或平均值的绝对偏差。虽然大于分位数偏差,但在有限的样本数据下更容易计算。我们提出了一种新的方法来根据这种偏差估计这种分布的参数。这个过程计算简单,在处理有限的样本数据时可能优于其他方法,如三角形分布的情况。
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Frontiers in Applied Mathematics and Statistics
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