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A Computational Model of Crowds for Collective Intelligence 集体智慧的群体计算模型
Pub Date : 2014-02-18 DOI: 10.31235/osf.io/y33dm
John Prpic, Piper J. Jackson, Thai-Phu Nguyen
Can Crowds serve as useful allies in policy design? How do non-expert Crowds perform relative to experts in the assessment of policy measures? Does the geographic location of non-expert Crowds, wit ...
在政策设计中,群众能否成为有用的盟友?相对于专家,非专家群体在评估政策措施方面表现如何?非专家人群的地理位置,比如……
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引用次数: 7
From Streaming Vendor to Production House: Netflix SWOT Analysis 从流媒体供应商到制作公司:Netflix的SWOT分析
Pub Date : 2014-01-10 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.2377151
Prathamesh Muzumdar, Prathamesh Muzumdar
The research tries to understand the ongoing process in products offered by online streaming company Netflix. Using extensive secondary research and text mining as a primary approach to collect information to the current portfolio of Netflix, multiple corporate strategies are designed. SWOT analysis is used as an extensive tool to take step by step approach in understanding the opportunities that exists in the general environment. At the same time SWOT also helps to understand the strengths that Netflix can exploit through value chain analysis and how the internal core competencies produce a fit in Netflix’s operational activities. Overall the study is strongly qualitative in nature and explores multiple avenues that an entertainment vendor company can implement to penetrate and gain greater market share.
这项研究试图了解在线流媒体公司Netflix提供的产品正在进行的过程。使用广泛的二次研究和文本挖掘作为主要的方法来收集信息,以Netflix的当前投资组合,多种企业战略的设计。SWOT分析是一种广泛的工具,用于逐步了解一般环境中存在的机会。与此同时,SWOT也有助于了解Netflix可以通过价值链分析利用的优势,以及内部核心竞争力如何在Netflix的运营活动中产生契合。总的来说,这项研究本质上是定性的,并探索了娱乐供应商公司可以实施的多种途径,以渗透和获得更大的市场份额。
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引用次数: 2
Lean Startup: Opportunity Discovery or Opportunity Creation? 精益创业:机会发现还是机会创造?
Pub Date : 2013-11-20 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2534139
Paul W. Boland, Brett Riggio, Steven E. Phelan
This paper situates lean startup within the debate on whether opportunities are discovered or created. Drawing on complexity theory, lean startup is described as a technique that enables an entrepreneur to search for peaks on a fitness landscape. While much of the lean startup literature characterizes this as a discovery process, we demonstrate that a dancing fitness landscape also resembles opportunity creation. We then explore the implications of this finding for theory and practice.
本文将精益创业置于机会是被发现还是被创造的争论之中。根据复杂性理论,精益创业被描述为一种使企业家能够在健康景观中寻找高峰的技术。虽然许多精益创业文献将其描述为一个发现过程,但我们证明,跳舞健身的场景也类似于创造机会。然后,我们将探讨这一发现对理论和实践的影响。
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引用次数: 4
Turning the Page on Business Formats for Digital Platforms: Does Apple's Agency Model Soften Competition? 数字平台商业模式的新篇章:苹果的代理模式是否软化了竞争?
Pub Date : 2013-08-29 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2317715
Øystein Foros, Hans Jarle Kind, G. Shaffer
The agency model used by Apple and other platform providers such as Google allows upstream firms (content providers like book publishers and developers of apps) to choose the retail prices of their products (RPM) subject to a fixed revenue-sharing rule. We show that (i) this leads to higher prices if the competitive pressure is higher downstream than upstream; (ii) upstream firms earn positive surplus even when platform providers have all the bargaining power; and (iii) with asymmetric business formats (where only some platform providers use the agency model), a retail most-favored-nation clause leads to retail prices that resemble the outcome under industry-wide RPM.
苹果和谷歌等其他平台提供商使用的代理模式允许上游公司(图书出版商和应用程序开发商等内容提供商)根据固定的收入分成规则选择其产品的零售价格(RPM)。我们表明(i)如果下游的竞争压力高于上游,这将导致更高的价格;(ii)即使平台供应商拥有所有的议价能力,上游公司也会获得正盈余;(iii)在不对称的商业模式下(只有一些平台提供商使用代理模式),零售最惠国条款导致零售价格与行业范围RPM下的结果相似。
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引用次数: 42
Failure Risk and Quality Cost Management in Single versus Multiple Sourcing Decision 单采购与多采购决策中的失效风险与质量成本管理
Pub Date : 2013-03-18 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1630570
Andrew Yim
The advantage of multiple sourcing to protect against supplier failures arising from undependable products due to latent defects is examined using a model with non-linear external failure costs. Prior research has focused only on supplier failures arising from unreliable supply, such as late/insufficient/no delivery. I derive a closed-form characterization of the optimal production quota allocation for the LUX (Latent defect-Undependable product-eXternal failure) setting. The allocation determines the optimal supply base, with intuitive properties that hold under a mild requirement. The requirement includes the special case of equal procurement costs charged by suppliers but also allows unequal costs without any particular order. The key result of the paper is a necessary and sufficient condition determining whether single or multiple sourcing is optimal. Another condition is obtained to determine the exact size of the optimal supply base, provided the mild requirement holds. With minor modifications, the results also hold when a buyer-initiated procurement contract can be used to elicit private information on the suppliers’ unit variable production costs.
利用一个具有非线性外部失效成本的模型,研究了多重采购的优势,以防止由于潜在缺陷导致的产品不可靠而导致的供应商失效。先前的研究只关注供应商因供应不可靠而导致的失败,如延迟/不足/没有交货。我导出了LUX(潜在缺陷-不可靠产品-外部故障)设置下最优生产配额分配的封闭形式特征。分配决定了最优的供应基础,具有在温和需求下保持的直观属性。这一要求包括供应商收取相等采购费用的特殊情况,但也允许在没有任何特别订单的情况下收取不相等的费用。本文的关键结果是确定单源还是多源是最优的充分必要条件。在满足温和要求的情况下,获得了确定最优供应基地的确切规模的另一个条件。稍加修改,当买方发起的采购合同可以用来引出供应商单位可变生产成本的私人信息时,结果也成立。
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引用次数: 19
Incentives on the Starting Grid in Formula One Racing 一级方程式赛车发车区的激励机制
Pub Date : 2013-03-12 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.2232260
Larry McCarthy, K. Rotthoff
Starting a race in first place, pole position, is the goal of every race driver. This is even more pronounced in Formula One (F1) racing as the road courses they race are more difficult to pass on, providing an additional advantage to starting on the pole. However, their unique standing starts also create a bottleneck at the first turn, which often leads to contact between cars. Because F1 cars are not designed to make contact, this contact can greatly impact a driver’s position on the track. We find that there are certain positions on the starting grid that are more likely to make contact with other drivers than other positions. Specifically the starting position with the highest odds to make contact at the first turn is position 10. This creates the incentive for drivers to avoid this position, which means if they are unable to qualify higher than this position, the incentive exists for drivers to intentionally adjust their behavior to avoid these high-risk (of making contact) positions.
以第一名、杆位开始比赛,是每个赛车手的目标。这在F1比赛中更加明显,因为他们所参加的公路赛道更难以超越,这为从杆位开始提供了额外的优势。然而,他们独特的站立启动也在第一个转弯时造成瓶颈,这经常导致汽车之间的接触。因为F1赛车的设计并不是为了接触,这种接触会极大地影响车手在赛道上的位置。我们发现发车线上的某些位置比其他位置更容易与其他车手接触。具体来说,在第一个回合中接触的几率最高的起始位置是位置10。这就产生了驾驶员避开这个位置的动机,也就是说,如果他们无法获得高于这个位置的资格,驾驶员就有动机故意调整自己的行为,以避开这些高风险(接触)的位置。
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引用次数: 0
The Dark Side of Collaborative Buyer-Supplier Relationships: A Social Capital Perspective 合作采购-供应商关系的阴暗面:社会资本视角
Pub Date : 2013-02-18 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2220486
Verónica H. Villena, E. Revilla, Thomas Y. Choi
The literature on supply chain management (SCM) has consistently promoted the “bright side” of collaborative buyer-supplier relationships (BSRs). Based on the social capital argument, SCM scholars have investigated how a buyer can gain access to and leverage resources through its collaborative BSRs. Our study extends this research stream by considering the “dark side” of social capital in BSRs. It evaluates how social capital in its cognitive, relational, and structural forms contributes to or impedes value creation within BSRs. Both primary survey measures and secondary objective measures have been used in data analysis. The results show the presence of both the bright side, confirming the existing literature, and the dark side, extending the literature. There is an inverted curvilinear relationship between social capital and performance: Either too little or too much social capital can hurt performance. This study confirms that building social capital in a collaborative BSR positively affects buyer performance, but that if taken to an extreme it can reduce the buyer’s ability to be objective and make effective decisions as well as increase the supplier’s opportunistic behavior. Our study also examines how a buyer can delay the emergence of the dark side. It opens up new research avenues in the collaborative BSR context and suggests directions for future research and practice.
关于供应链管理(SCM)的文献一直在提倡合作的买方-供应商关系(BSRs)的“光明面”。基于社会资本的观点,供应链管理学者研究了买方如何通过其合作的bsr获得和利用资源。我们的研究通过考虑bsr中社会资本的“阴暗面”来扩展这一研究流。它评估了认知、关系和结构形式的社会资本如何促进或阻碍bsr内部的价值创造。在数据分析中使用了主要的调查措施和次要的客观措施。结果表明,既存在光明的一面,证实了已有的文献,也存在黑暗的一面,扩展了文献。社会资本与绩效之间呈倒曲线关系:社会资本过少或过多都会损害绩效。本研究证实,在合作型企业关系中建立社会资本对买方绩效有积极影响,但如果过于极端,则会降低买方客观和有效决策的能力,并增加供应商的机会主义行为。我们的研究还探讨了买家如何延缓黑暗面的出现。它为协作型BSR的研究开辟了新的途径,并为未来的研究和实践指明了方向。
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引用次数: 13
Hierarchical Screening for Capacity Allocation in Supply Chains: The Role of Distributors 供应链产能分配的分层筛选:分销商的作用
Pub Date : 2013-01-30 DOI: 10.1111/POMS.12063
Ying‐ju Chen, Mingcherng Deng, Ke-Wei Huang
We consider a two-stage principal-agent screening environment in a decentralized supply chain with retailers, distributors, and a supplier. The retailers possess private information regarding their local market profitabilities. The distributors can partially observe the retailers' profitabilities and are heterogeneous with regard to the precision of that information. The supplier determines the level of production, but knows neither the local market profitabilities nor the precision of the distributors' information. In the first stage, the supplier allocates finished products to distributors. In the second stage, given the allocated quantity by the supplier, the distributors contract with local retailers with a capacity constraint.We find that due to the distributors' superior information, the quantity distortion on the retailers' side is mitigated, and the upstream information asymmetry (between the supplier and the distributors) subsequently affects the quantity allocation among the downstream retailers. The supplier may not benefit from contracting with the distributors. In addition, no distributor is excluded based on the heterogeneity of the information precision, even though some distributors do not have better information than the supplier. In the numerical examples, we further analyze how the local market heterogeneity and inventory costs affect the capacity allocation, the retailers' payoffs, and the supply chain profits. We document some counter-intuitive quantity allocation rules that arise from the distributors' information advantage.
我们考虑一个由零售商、分销商和供应商组成的分散供应链中的两阶段委托代理筛选环境。零售商拥有有关其当地市场盈利能力的私人信息。分销商可以部分地观察到零售商的盈利能力,并且在该信息的准确性方面存在异质性。供应商决定生产水平,但既不知道当地市场的盈利能力,也不知道经销商信息的准确性。在第一阶段,供应商将成品分配给分销商。在第二阶段,给定供应商分配的数量,分销商在产能约束下与当地零售商签订合同。研究发现,由于分销商的信息优势,零售商的数量扭曲得到了缓解,上游(供应商和分销商之间)的信息不对称影响了下游零售商之间的数量分配。供应商可能无法从与分销商签订合同中获益。此外,即使一些分销商并不比供应商拥有更好的信息,也不会因为信息精度的异质性而排除分销商。在数值算例中,我们进一步分析了本地市场异质性和库存成本对产能分配、零售商收益和供应链利润的影响。我们记录了一些由于分销商的信息优势而产生的反直觉的数量分配规则。
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引用次数: 19
The Change in Banks' Product Mix, Diversification and Performance: An Application of Multivariate GARCH to Canadian Data 银行产品组合、多元化与绩效的变化:多元GARCH在加拿大数据中的应用
Pub Date : 2012-12-06 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2380711
Christian Calmès, Raymond Théoret
Data suggest a change in banks’ performance attributable to a greater involvement in non-traditional activities. Indeed, market-oriented banking increases banks’ accounting returns at the cost of a higher volatility in financial results. The motivation of this paper is to study how bank product mix impacts diversification and performance. Thanks to our data and methodology we are able to shed new light on the apparently contradictory results found in the literature regarding the benefits to diversify in market-based banking. Some keys conditional volatilities reveal these benefits may in fact vary both over the business cycles and through time. Using a new framework based on a multivariate GARCH procedure and a modified Hausman test, our main findings suggest that most components of non-interest income actually provide non-negligible diversification benefits with respect to traditional banks’ business lines. In normal times, diversification even works for the components most related to market-oriented banking, i.e., trading income and capital markets fees. Not so surprisingly however, during crisis episodes these diversification benefits seem to vanish for most of the components, except for insurance and securitization, which act as buffers. Consistent with the literature, we also find that, despite the evolution of the banking business model, fees related to banks’ traditional activities – deposit, credit card and loan fees – remain the most stable and profitable sources of income.
数据显示,银行业绩的变化可归因于更多地参与非传统活动。事实上,以市场为导向的银行业提高了银行的会计回报,代价是财务业绩的波动性加大。本文的动机是研究银行产品组合对多元化和绩效的影响。由于我们的数据和方法,我们能够对文献中关于市场银行多元化的好处的明显矛盾的结果进行新的阐释。一些关键的条件波动表明,这些好处实际上可能随着商业周期和时间的推移而变化。使用基于多元GARCH程序和改进的Hausman检验的新框架,我们的主要发现表明,相对于传统银行的业务线,非利息收入的大多数组成部分实际上提供了不可忽略的多样化收益。在正常情况下,多元化甚至对与市场导向的银行业务最相关的部分(即交易收入和资本市场费用)也有效。然而,在危机期间,除了起到缓冲作用的保险和证券化之外,这些多样化的好处似乎对大多数组成部分都消失了,这并不奇怪。与文献一致,我们还发现,尽管银行业务模式发生了变化,但与银行传统业务相关的费用——存款、信用卡和贷款费用——仍然是最稳定、最有利可图的收入来源。
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引用次数: 8
Commerce and Modern Challenges in Agricultural Management 商业与现代农业管理的挑战
Pub Date : 2012-11-30 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2184639
A. Usman
The linkage existing between commerce and agricultural management is a worthy relationship which is perceived by the researcher as mutually bound. Management activities in agricultural entities have expanded in the present day world of enhanced commerce with e-commerce leading the trend. This paper examines the undoubted close relationship between agricultural management at one end and commerce at another end – believing that agriculture could not have developed to the present extent without commercial opportunities beyond country borders. It reviews the arguments about the origin of agricultural management as both a subject from business management and applied economics. Review of past works led to the conclusion that there are basically four major challenges threatening the success of agricultural entities especially in Africa; which appear in the area of marketing, information technology, financing and risk management, and farm practices. To remedy the underlying challenges, the paper sees the organization of farmers into active unions and units as the best practice.
商业和农业管理之间存在的联系是一种有价值的关系,研究者认为这种关系是相互联系的。在以电子商务为主导的当今世界,农业实体的管理活动已经扩大。本文考察了农业经营与商业之间无可置疑的密切关系,认为如果没有国界以外的商业机会,农业不可能发展到今天的程度。它回顾了关于农业管理作为企业管理和应用经济学两门学科起源的争论。回顾过去的工作得出的结论是,基本上有四个主要挑战威胁着农业实体的成功,特别是在非洲;它们出现在市场营销、信息技术、融资和风险管理以及农场实践等领域。为了解决潜在的挑战,本文认为将农民组织成积极的工会和单位是最佳实践。
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引用次数: 0
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Operations Strategy eJournal
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