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Spatial analysis of indicators of socio-economic and innovative development of the Rostov region 罗斯托夫地区社会经济和创新发展指标的空间分析
Pub Date : 2023-07-06 DOI: 10.18184/2079-4665.2023.14.2.277-293
G. Dovlatova, V. Karashchenko
Purpose: is to identify regional points of economic growth and innovative development of the Rostov region on the basis of a spatial analysis of socio-economic indicators.Methods: classical research methods were used in the work, such as synthesis and analysis, dynamic method, system-structural method, comparative analysis, scoring method. The study also used specific applied methods: spatial analysis, geoinformation monitoring, rating assessment of innovation activity. The essence of the author's approach is that in order to identify the points of growth of regional development, two conditions must be fulfilled simultaneously: 1) conducting a spatial analysis of groups of indicators with an emphasis on innovative indicators, 2) applying an integrated approach to the consideration of economic, social and demographic (migration) indicators reflecting the specifics of the regional economy.Results: the points of growth of the region's economy and innovative development of regional organizations are identified. The features of achieving uniformity of the economies of single-industry towns (former mining towns) are revealed. Blocks of potential resources for the functioning of regional growth points are grouped based on the analysis of innovative indicators.Conclusions and Relevance: spatial analysis makes it possible to identify regional growth points with a core on innovative indicators. The transition of the Rostov region to the strongest group of innovators can be carried out through the identified growth points for the following types of activities: agriculture, transportation and storage, construction. As a result of the activation of growth points, there will be a positive transformation of the structure of the regional economy. The evaluation of strategic programs for the development of territories revealed the need for their timely adjustment for the purpose of socio-economic development of the region.
目的:在对社会经济指标进行空间分析的基础上,确定罗斯托夫地区经济增长和创新发展的区域点。方法:采用综合分析法、动态法、系统结构法、比较分析法、计分法等经典研究方法。具体应用方法有:空间分析、地理信息监测、创新活动评价等。作者方法的实质是,为了确定区域发展的增长点,必须同时满足两个条件:1)对指标组进行空间分析,重点是创新指标;2)采用综合方法考虑反映区域经济特点的经济、社会和人口(移民)指标。结果:确定了区域经济增长点和区域组织创新发展点。揭示了单工业城镇(原矿业城镇)经济实现统一性的特点。在创新指标分析的基础上,对区域增长点功能的潜在资源区块进行了分组。结论和相关性:空间分析使以创新指标为核心的区域增长点识别成为可能。罗斯托夫地区向最强大的创新群体的转变可以通过以下类型活动的确定增长点来实现:农业,运输和仓储,建筑。随着经济增长点的激活,区域经济结构将发生积极的转变。对领土发展战略计划的评估表明,需要及时调整这些计划,以促进该地区的社会经济发展。
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引用次数: 0
Methodological approach to assessing the level of adaptability of organizational management structures of companies 评估公司组织管理结构适应性水平的方法学方法
Pub Date : 2023-07-06 DOI: 10.18184/2079-4665.2023.14.2.242-261
I. Vladimirova, E. V. Polevaya
Purpose: to present and justify a methodical approach to assessing the level of adaptability of organizational management structures to the conditions of a dynamically changing external environment.Methods: a wide range of general scientific methods is used – system analysis, synthesis, graphical interpretation of data. During the study, the method of expert assessments was used to assess the level of adaptability. In order to classify the types of management structures depending on their adaptability, a cluster analysis was carried out.Results: the article presents an approach to the definition of the concepts of "adaptation" and "adaptability" in relation to management structures. In order to develop a methodical approach to assessing the level of adaptability of organizational structures, the types of their adaptation were systematized, the main characteristics of the structures were identified and the scale was developed to assess the level of their adaptability. The use of the expert method made it possible to assess the level of adaptability of the main types of organizational structures to the conditions of a changing business space and rank them depending on this level. As a result of the cluster analysis, all the studied types of management structures were classified depending on their adaptability.Conclusions and Relevance: the developed methodical approach to assessing the level of adaptability of management structures made it possible to determine the adaptive properties of both hierarchical and organic management structures, assess their level of adaptability and identify the most adaptive among them. It has been established that the basis for the successful development of companies in the conditions of turbulent business space is the use of organic structures or changing individual parameters of hierarchical structures in order to increase their adaptability. Adaptation can be carried out using any structure, both traditional hierarchical and organic, by forming new management structures or increasing the adaptability of existing ones. Further research in this area should be devoted to the development of an effective mechanism for adapting management structures to the conditions of a changing business space.
目的:提出并证明一种有条理的方法来评估组织管理结构对动态变化的外部环境条件的适应程度。方法:广泛使用一般科学方法——系统分析、综合、数据图解解释。在研究过程中,采用专家评价的方法对适应性水平进行评价。为了根据管理结构的适应性对其类型进行分类,进行了聚类分析。结果:本文提出了一种与管理结构相关的“适应性”和“适应性”概念的定义方法。为了有系统地评估组织结构的适应性水平,本文对组织结构的适应性类型进行了系统化,确定了组织结构的主要特征,并制定了组织结构适应性水平评估量表。专家方法的使用使得评估主要类型的组织结构对不断变化的业务空间条件的适应性水平成为可能,并根据这一水平对它们进行排名。通过聚类分析,根据管理结构的适应性对所研究的管理结构类型进行了分类。结论和相关性:开发的评估管理结构适应性水平的系统方法使确定分层和有机管理结构的适应性特性,评估其适应性水平并确定其中最适应性的管理结构成为可能。已经确定,公司在动荡的商业空间条件下成功发展的基础是使用有机结构或改变分层结构的单个参数,以增加其适应性。通过形成新的管理结构或增强现有管理结构的适应性,可以利用任何结构进行适应,包括传统的等级结构和有机结构。这方面的进一步研究应致力于发展一种有效的机制,使管理结构适应不断变化的商业空间的条件。
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引用次数: 0
Trends and drivers of the development of local consumer services markets 当地消费服务市场的发展趋势和驱动因素
Pub Date : 2023-07-06 DOI: 10.18184/2079-4665.2023.14.2.316-334
A. Eliseeva, E. Dvoryadkina
Purpose: is to develop a methodological approach to determining trends and drivers of the development of local consumer services markets.Methods: this study is based on a systematic methodological approach that allows identifying local consumer services markets as components of the regional consumer market in general, and the regional services market in particular. The research is also based on the application of general scientific methods of analysis, synthesis, comparison, as well as on the application of methods of economic and statistical analysis of dynamics and groupings, analytical data processing, analogies, scientific generalizations. Considering that the object of the study is the markets of household services localized within municipalities, spatial analysis methods were used in the study.Results: the methodology of analysis of the local market of household services has been developed, including the following stages: 1) determination of the object of research; 2) analysis and evaluation of indicators of the development of local markets of household services (volumes of household services to the population of municipalities; the scale of the presence of municipalities in the economy of the region in terms of the volume of paid services to the population; the provision of the population of municipalities with objects and points of consumer services; the structure of the markets of household services by type of services; availability of human resources for the sphere of consumer services of municipalities); 3) interpretation of the results. The methodology was tested on the example of municipalities of the Sverdlovsk region – leaders in terms of paid services to the population.Conclusions and Relevance: trends in the development of local consumer services markets have been identified. The most important of them are the preservation of stability and heterogeneity of the specific structure of local consumer services markets, a moderate pace of commissioning of consumer services facilities, insignificant dynamics of indices of the physical volume of household services to the population, the collapse of consumer services markets due to the impact of the COVID–19 pandemic. The problems of the development of local consumer services markets are revealed, and these are imperfection of the legal regulation of consumer services, lack of qualified personnel, insufficient financial resources to increase the level of provision of the population with consumer services, low level of development of mobile forms of provision of household services, etc. The drivers of the development of local consumer services markets have been identified.
研究方法:本研究以系统的方法论为基础,将地方消费服务市场确定为地区消费市场,特别是地区服务市场的组成部分。研究还基于分析、综合、比较等一般科学方法的应用,以及动态和分组、分析数据处理、类比、科学概括等经济和统计分析方法的应用。考虑到研究对象是各市本地的家庭服务市场,研究中使用了空间分析方法。结果:制定了本地家庭服务市场分析方法,包括以下几个阶段:1) 确定研究对象;2) 分析和评估当地家庭服务市场的发展指标(各市居民的家庭服务量;按居民有偿服务量计算的各市在地区经济中的存在规模;各市为居民提供的消费服务对象和服务点;按服务类型划分的家庭服务市场结构;各市消费服务领域的人力资源供应情况);3) 解释研究结果。该方法以斯维尔德洛夫斯克地区的城市为例进行了测试,这些城市在为居民提供有偿服务方面处于领先地位。其中最重要的趋势是保持地方消费服务市场具体结构的稳定性和异质性、消费服务设施投入使用的速度适中、居民家庭服务实物量指数的动态变化不大、消费服务市场因 COVID-19 大流行病的影响而崩溃。当地消费服务市场的发展问题也暴露出来,包括消费服务的法律监管不完善、缺乏合格人才、提高居民消费服务水平的财政资源不足、提供家庭服务的流动形式发展水平低等。当地消费服务市场发展的驱动因素已经确定。
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引用次数: 0
Social disorientation of budget support for investment projects 社会对投资项目预算支持的迷失
Pub Date : 2023-07-06 DOI: 10.18184/2079-4665.2023.14.2.170-186
V. Maximov
Purpose: of the study is to identify factors that hinder budget support for investment projects aimed at combating poverty due to the deprivation of economically accessible social infrastructure (deprivation poverty).Methods: the work used traditional methods of scientific analysis, as well as an interdisciplinary approach characteristic of the study of social well-being problems in the context of the availability of social benefits created by social infrastructure facilities. The research is based on the application of social goal-setting documents, methodological documents regulating investment activities and budget support, Rosstat data, EIS «Procurement», EMISS, GIS «Electronic Budget».Results: the identification of factors of social well-being was carried out and the justification of the level of deprivation poverty in relation to the available social infrastructure was carried out. The necessity of independent regulation of the market of the poor suffering from such deprivations is confirmed. Based on the analysis of methodological tools for assessing the feasibility of budgetary support for investment projects in social infrastructure, methodological problems have been identified and the inapplicability of the existing approach for the market under study have been proved. Proposals are formulated to change approaches to calculating the budgetary efficiency of investment projects aimed at the infrastructural development of social industries.Conclusions and Relevance: a growing number of the deprived poor are suffering from a lack of supply of economically accessible social infrastructure and services. The study shows that the involvement of private investment in the creation of such facilities, taking into account the need for non-market pricing, will require changes in the methodological approach of the state to budget support for investment projects. It is necessary to abandon the percentage and return principles and replace them with compensatory ones for servicing vulnerable categories. The social development of the country should be based on the social well-being of all segments of the population, without extreme gaps among them. For sustainable development, flexible methodological tools are needed, based on the dependence of the amount of budget support on the number of social effects generated by the project.
这项研究的目的是查明由于缺乏经济上可获得的社会基础设施(贫困剥夺)而妨碍预算支助旨在消除贫困的投资项目的因素。方法:这项工作使用了传统的科学分析方法,以及在社会基础设施创造的社会效益可用性的背景下研究社会福利问题的跨学科方法。该研究基于社会目标设定文件、规范投资活动和预算支持的方法学文件、俄罗斯统计局数据、EIS“采购”、EMISS、GIS“电子预算”的应用。结果:对社会福利的因素进行了识别,并对与现有社会基础设施有关的剥夺贫困水平进行了论证。对遭受这种剥夺的穷人的市场进行独立监管的必要性得到证实。根据对评估预算支助社会基础设施投资项目可行性的方法工具的分析,已经确定了方法上的问题,并证明了现有方法对所研究的市场的不适用性。提出了改变计算旨在社会工业基础设施发展的投资项目预算效率的方法的建议。结论和相关性:越来越多的贫困人口缺乏经济上可获得的社会基础设施和服务。研究表明,在考虑到非市场定价的需要的情况下,让私人投资参与建立这类设施,将要求国家改变预算支持投资项目的方法。有必要放弃百分比和回报原则,代之以为弱势群体提供服务的补偿性原则。我国的社会发展应以各阶层人口的社会福利为基础,各阶层人口之间不应有极端的差距。为了可持续发展,需要灵活的方法工具,其依据是预算支助的数额取决于项目产生的社会影响的数量。
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引用次数: 0
Factors of geographical concentration in the tourism industry: evidence from Northeast Caucasus Daniil A. Sitkevich 1, Andrei S. Korotkov 旅游产业的地理集聚因素:来自东北高加索地区的证据
Pub Date : 2023-07-06 DOI: 10.18184/2079-4665.2023.14.2.262-276
D. Sitkevich, A. S. Korotkov
Purpose: is to study the factors influencing the geographical concentration of hospitality industry enterprises in the republics of the Northeast Caucasus (Ingushetia, Chechnya and Dagestan) – regions that have been the object of an active tourism cluster policy for many years, and which have seen a significant increase in the number of vacationers over the past three years.Methods: the study is based on a hybrid methodology. It uses cartographic data on the prevalence of resolution and collective dining facilities in the Northeastern Caucasus, as well as the results of 29 semi-structured in-depth interviews with representatives of the hospitality industry in Dagestan.Results: the tourist boom that occurred after 2020 in the North Caucasus is not taking place in the special economic zones that have been created. Tourist enterprises are concentrated in those municipalities where the state has not pursued a cluster policy. In addition to the abundance of basic tourist resources (sea, mountains, natural and cultural attractions), the formation of the hospitality industry in these locations has been associated with their transport accessibility, agglomeration effect, the desire of entrepreneurs to take tourists to their native villages, differences in business culture between residents of different municipalities, and the established preferences of tourists themselves. The study also showed that, despite the suitable natural conditions for the creation of ski and beach resorts, the efforts of federal authorities to create tourist clusters were insufficient. The relatively successful cases in the region are associated either with the historically established tourist center, or with the additional efforts of regional authorities.Conclusions and Relevance: insufficient infrastructure policy in the regions hinders the development of tourism not only within special economic zones, but also outside them. Reorientation from the creation of new large resorts to support existing businesses could give a much greater impact on the development of the tourism sector and the modernization of the North Caucasus economy.
目的:研究影响东北高加索各共和国(印古什、车臣和达吉斯坦)接待行业企业地理集中的因素,这些地区多年来一直是积极的旅游集群政策的目标,过去三年来,这些地区的度假者人数大幅增加。方法:本研究采用混合方法学。它使用了关于东北高加索地区决议和集体用餐设施普遍程度的地图数据,以及对达吉斯坦酒店业代表进行的29次半结构化深入访谈的结果。结果:北高加索地区在2020年之后出现的旅游热潮并没有出现在已创建的经济特区。旅游企业集中在国家没有实行集群政策的城市。除了丰富的基本旅游资源(海洋、山脉、自然和文化景点)外,这些地区酒店业的形成与交通可达性、集聚效应、企业家带游客回家乡的愿望、不同城市居民之间的商业文化差异以及游客自身的既定偏好有关。该研究还表明,尽管自然条件适合创建滑雪和海滩度假村,但联邦当局在创建旅游集群方面的努力还不够。该地区相对成功的案例要么与历史悠久的旅游中心有关,要么与地区当局的额外努力有关。结论和相关性:区域基础设施政策不足不仅阻碍了经济特区内旅游业的发展,也阻碍了经济特区外旅游业的发展。从创建新的大型度假村转向支持现有业务,可以对旅游业的发展和北高加索经济的现代化产生更大的影响。
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引用次数: 0
The economic limit on sporting success: how can football industry develop? 体育成功的经济限制:足球产业如何发展?
Pub Date : 2023-07-06 DOI: 10.18184/2079-4665.2023.14.2.224-241
V. Platonov, D. A. Kuziaev
Purpose: of the article is to develop recommendations for the development of football enterprises based on the study of the economic causes of the phenomenon of "overeinvestment" in the football industry.Methods: regression based on the Cobb-Douglas production function with data from the Russian Tax Service database as well as data of the Russian premier league (RPL) for 2018–2022. Results: football industry suffers extreme diseconomies of scale in persuade for sporting success unlike the most other industries. Success in RPL statistically significantly determined not only by labor costs but as well as by capital costs. At the same time, the elasticity of the league outcome to labor costs is somewhat lower than that of capital costs. By getting higher league standing by boosting costs a team enters on plateau of vanishing sporting gains. The predicted dependence of the performance in RPL based on costs pattern is very close to the actual data, including the economic limit of the maximum league outcome. Alongside the labor costs, other tangible and intangible factors are significant, especially for clubs with sustainable competitive advantage and better ability to sustain diseconomies of scale.Conclusions and Relevance: the root cause of overinvestment in football industry is the extreme diseconomies of scale, with other factors being consequences. The development of the industry is possible by combination of sporting and business performance by producing entertainment and information products. Sustainable advantage requires the development of intellectual capital, which improves returns and resilience to rising costs. It requires innovation to develop resources and capabilities of the football enterprise e.g. network capital and organizational know-how.
本文的目的是在研究足球产业“过度投资”现象产生的经济原因的基础上,为足球企业的发展提出建议。方法:基于Cobb-Douglas生产函数,使用俄罗斯税务局数据库数据以及2018-2022年俄罗斯超级联赛(RPL)数据进行回归。结果:与大多数其他行业不同,足球行业在说服体育成功方面存在极端的规模不经济。从统计上看,RPL的成功不仅取决于劳动力成本,还取决于资本成本。同时,联盟结果对劳动力成本的弹性略低于资本成本的弹性。通过提高成本来获得更高的联赛排名,球队进入了竞技收益消失的平台期。基于成本模式的RPL绩效预测依赖关系与实际数据非常接近,包括最大联赛结果的经济限制。除了劳动力成本外,其他有形和无形的因素也很重要,特别是对于具有持续竞争优势和较好维持规模不经济能力的扶轮社。结论和相关性:足球产业过度投资的根本原因是规模的极度不经济,其他因素是后果。通过生产娱乐和信息产品,将体育和商业表演相结合,可以实现产业的发展。可持续的优势需要智力资本的发展,从而提高回报和应对成本上升的能力。发展足球企业的网络资本、组织技术等资源和能力需要创新。
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引用次数: 0
The Socio-spatial stratagems of human capital development in the Southern Federal Districts of Russia 俄罗斯南部联邦区人力资本发展的社会空间战略
Pub Date : 2023-07-06 DOI: 10.18184/2079-4665.2023.14.2.294-315
G. Mabiala, D. V. Linskiy, E. А. Maslich, I. V. Bairakova, E. V. Romaniuk
Purpose: is to substantiate promising strategies for sustainable development of human capital in the current conditions of the demographic crisis on the basis of scientific generalization of key social and spatial aspects of the formation, use and accumulation of human capital.Methods: the application of expert-rating methods based on the Lorentz curve and the Gini index to determine the reasons for the disparities in personal income is done in addition to the use of conventional and specific approaches.Results: the research examines the existing situation of human capital and defines strategic means of promoting its growth. The findings of the analysis of trends in human development parameters, which are one of the factors ensuring macroeconomic growth and competitiveness in the South Federal Districts of Russia and should be based on various socio-spatial development strategies, are presented. A self-sufficient socio-spatial-economic system and human capital, which provide competitive advantages, are the foundations of sustainable economic development. The key factors influencing the state of human capital and the trends of its integral indicators show low rates of socio-spatial development.Conclusions and Relevance: the research findings revealed certain negative tendencies in human capital indicators, which point to the necessity for rethinking and additional inventive adjustments to the system of social and spatial management. The work-out of mechanisms for the regulation of imbalances in its development, reversing trends in the narrowing of the labour market, developing socio-spatial programs for institutional support and regulation of labour migration, and spatial human development are among the strategies for human capital that are proposed as the top priorities
目的:在科学概括人力资本形成、利用和积累的关键社会和空间方面的基础上,在人口危机的当前条件下,充实有希望的人力资本可持续发展战略。方法:在常规方法和具体方法的基础上,运用基于洛伦兹曲线和基尼指数的专家评价法来确定个人收入差距的原因。结果:研究考察了人力资本的现状,确定了促进人力资本增长的战略手段。本文介绍了人类发展参数趋势分析的结果,这些参数是确保俄罗斯南部联邦区宏观经济增长和竞争力的因素之一,应以各种社会空间发展战略为基础。自给自足的社会空间经济系统和提供竞争优势的人力资本是经济可持续发展的基础。影响人力资本状况及其综合指标趋势的关键因素表明,社会空间发展速度较低。结论和相关性:研究结果揭示了人力资本指标的某些消极趋势,这表明有必要对社会和空间管理系统进行重新思考和额外的创造性调整。制定调节其发展不平衡的机制,扭转劳动力市场缩小的趋势,制定制度支持和调节劳动力迁移的社会空间计划,以及空间人类发展是人力资本战略的重中之重
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引用次数: 0
Transformations of the sectoral structure of the region as a response to the dynamics of international trade during the pandemic 为应对大流行病期间国际贸易的动态变化,改变本区域的部门结构
Pub Date : 2023-07-06 DOI: 10.18184/2079-4665.2023.14.2.187-206
S. Vasin, L. Gamidullaeva
Purpose: is to identify patterns in the regional industrial structure dynamics in response to the changing nature and volume of the region's export-import operations due to the sudden impact of the COVID-19 pandemic.Methods: general scientific methods were used: the method of monitoring changes in the socio-economic system during the COVID-19 pandemic; the description method, including a system for collecting and presenting data; the analysis method for identifying and studying stages of the process of socio-economic system transformation in the context of their changes under the influence of epidemiological factors. In addition, special methods of grouping, collecting and economic-statistical analysis of data, Gatev coefficient method for calculating structural shifts, and others are used.Results: firstly, it was determined that the most stable sectoral structure during the pandemic was presented by subjects with a high bilateral economic openness (a high level of both export and import quotas). In most of the subjects of the group, the sectoral structure changed slightly both in the first and in the second year of the pandemic. Secondly, subjects with a higher level of imports were characterized by greater stability of the sectoral structure during the pandemic: despite the higher level of dynamics of the sectoral structure, the differences over the years are not high. Thirdly, it was found that the subjects with a low level of import quotas, regardless of the level of export quotas, were the least stable sectoral structure during the pandemic: the sectoral structure of the subjects was significantly transformed.Conclusions and Relevance: to increase the resilience of the regional economy to unpredictable shocks, it is necessary to expand exportimport contacts with a long-term increase in international trade, strengthen and stabilize existing trade relations with foreign organizations along the lines of regional strengths, and it is also necessary to strengthen the position of regional production in domestic consumption.
目的:确定区域产业结构动态模式,以应对因2019冠状病毒病大流行的突然影响而发生的区域进出口业务性质和数量变化。方法:采用一般科学方法:监测2019冠状病毒病大流行期间社会经济系统变化的方法;描述方法,包括用于收集和呈现数据的系统;在流行病学因素的影响下,识别和研究社会经济体制转型过程各阶段的分析方法。此外,还采用了特殊的数据分组、收集和经济统计分析方法、计算结构转移的盖特系数法等。结果:首先,确定大流行期间最稳定的部门结构是双边经济开放度高(出口和进口配额都很高)的国家。在该组的大多数主题中,在大流行的第一年和第二年,部门结构都略有变化。第二,进口水平较高的国家在大流行期间部门结构更加稳定:尽管部门结构的动态程度较高,但多年来的差异并不大。第三,研究发现,进口配额水平低的国家,无论出口配额水平如何,都是大流行期间最不稳定的部门结构:这些国家的部门结构发生了重大变化。结论及相关性:要提高区域经济对不可预测冲击的抵御能力,就必须扩大与国际贸易长期增长的出口联系,沿着区域优势的路线加强和稳定与国外组织的现有贸易关系,还必须加强区域生产在国内消费中的地位。
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引用次数: 0
The socioeconomic consequences of population ageing: aspects of modern challenges in the Russian Federation 人口老龄化的社会经济后果:俄罗斯联邦现代挑战的各个方面
Pub Date : 2023-04-09 DOI: 10.18184/2079-4665.2023.14.1.126-145
G. Mabiala, I. Sukhareva, D. V. Linskiy, E. V. Trusevich, E. E. Shamilevа
Purpose: the article summarizes the key characteristics of the population ageing phenomenon and identifies the channels through which it has an impact on the demographic crisis parameters as well as the socioeconomic growth of the country.Methods: the study is based on tracking the consequences associated with the phenomenon of population ageing. Simultaneously, computational and graphical methods, comparative and retrospective analysis of the sex and age pyramids, expert and empirical assessment of the trends in the structure of the population older than 60-65 years, as well as its economic burden per 1,000 able-bodied people, were used.Results: the main parameters of the socioeconomic impacts of population ageing are determined. Age limits and essential features of this phenomenon are revealed. The forecast trend of socioeconomic parameters of population ageing is supported by the SWOT analysis matrix, and a conceptual model for the implementation of systematic adjustment measures for the ongoing demographic crisis is proposed.Conclusions and Relevance: the article demonstrates that population ageing is not a fundamental socioeconomic problem that endangers the well-being of the population over working age. However, it has many negative consequences for the socioeconomic growth of the country that are still being researched; the real threats come not from population ageing as such, but from the existing disproportion in the workload of the population over 60-65 years old per 1,000 able-bodied population. Despite the relative parameters of the ageing trend in Russia, in the future, the life expectancy of the population will be 73.58-75.03 years.
目的:本文总结了人口老龄化现象的主要特征,并确定了它对人口危机参数和国家社会经济增长产生影响的渠道。方法:研究的基础是跟踪与人口老龄化现象相关的后果。同时,使用了计算和图形方法、性别和年龄金字塔的比较和回顾性分析、60-65岁以上人口结构趋势的专家和经验评估以及每1 000名健全人口的经济负担。结果:确定了人口老龄化社会经济影响的主要参数。揭示了这一现象的年龄限制和本质特征。通过SWOT分析矩阵支持人口老龄化社会经济参数的预测趋势,提出了针对持续的人口危机实施系统性调整措施的概念模型。结论和相关性:本文表明,人口老龄化不是一个危及工作年龄以上人口福祉的基本社会经济问题。然而,它对国家社会经济增长的许多负面影响仍在研究中;真正的威胁不是来自人口老龄化本身,而是来自每1000名健全人口中60-65岁以上人口的工作量比例失调。尽管俄罗斯老龄化趋势的相对参数,但未来人口的预期寿命将在73.58-75.03岁之间。
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引用次数: 0
Social and humanitarian aspects of the innovation policy of European countries (Case of the UK and Finland) 欧洲国家创新政策的社会和人道主义方面(以英国和芬兰为例)
Pub Date : 2023-04-09 DOI: 10.18184/2079-4665.2023.14.1.94-105
© Кириченко, irina V. Kirichenko, Natalia V. Shelyubskaya
Purpose: to study the approaches and priorities for innovation policy oriented to solve developed countries' social and humanitarian problems (case of the UK and Finland).Methods: due to the descriptive method the array of documents forming the innovation policy of the UK and Finland was determined and analysis singled out its social and humanitarian aspects. The historical method helped to trace the evolution of innovation policy. By the comparative method the goals and content of the innovation policy of the two countries were compared.Results: the UK and Finland face the same type of social and humanitarian challenges characterizing European countries. The authors hypothesized the similarity of the principles of responses to these challenges in the innovation policy of the two innovation-active countries, despite the differences in the fundamentals of the market economy functioning: minimal state intervention in the free market (the UK) and the economic processes regulation in the North Europe welfare state (Finland). An analysis of government documents relating to innovation policy, analytical reviews and statistical materials confirmed this assumption.Conclusions and Relevance: innovation policy as an institution has been examined for a long time but its social and humanitarian aspects are not yet sufficiently specified and presented in fragments. The study of the principles of socially oriented innovation policy in the UK and Finland expands the understanding of innovation policy's transformation that accelerates the transition of innovation activity from «technological determinism» to «social constructivism». A wide range of stakeholders are involved in that innovation policy's formation and implementation: the academic sector, business structures, and end users. The results of the study can be used to develop recommendations for improving Russia's innovation policy.
目的:研究面向解决发达国家社会和人道主义问题的创新政策的方法和优先事项(以英国和芬兰为例)。方法:由于描述性的方法,确定了形成英国和芬兰创新政策的文件阵列,并分析了其社会和人道主义方面。历史方法有助于追溯创新政策的演变。采用比较法对两国创新政策的目标和内容进行了比较。结果:英国和芬兰面临着与欧洲国家相同的社会和人道主义挑战。作者假设这两个创新活跃的国家的创新政策应对这些挑战的原则是相似的,尽管在市场经济运作的基本原理上存在差异:对自由市场的最小国家干预(英国)和北欧福利国家(芬兰)的经济过程监管。对有关创新政策的政府文件、分析审查和统计材料的分析证实了这一假设。结论和相关性:创新政策作为一种制度已经研究了很长时间,但其社会和人道主义方面尚未得到充分的具体说明,并以碎片形式提出。对英国和芬兰社会导向创新政策原则的研究扩展了对创新政策转型的理解,这种转型加速了创新活动从“技术决定论”向“社会建构主义”的转变。创新政策的形成和实施涉及广泛的利益相关者:学术部门、商业结构和最终用户。研究结果可用于制定改进俄罗斯创新政策的建议。
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引用次数: 0
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MIR (Modernization. Innovation. Research)
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