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Achieving Real-World Saturated Hydraulic Conductivity: Practical and Theoretical Findings from Using an Exponential One-Phase Decay Model 实现真实世界的饱和导水率:使用指数单相衰减模型的实践和理论发现
IF 3.2 Q2 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2023-12-09 DOI: 10.3390/hydrology10120235
Amadou Keïta, M. Zorom, M. Faye, Djim Doumbe Damba, Yacouba Konaté, László G. Hayde, Bruno Lidon
Obtaining accurate values of saturated hydraulic conductivity (Ksat) is very important for managing all natural or artificial processes involving water flow into soils. Double-ring infiltration (DRI) is one of the easiest-to-work-with techniques commonly used for Ksat determination. Unfortunately, when improperly used, it leads to important variations and inaccurate results. This study was designed to investigate the necessary conditions to reach the true-value or real-world saturated hydraulic conductivity (Ksat-real-world) in the field. For this purpose, the effects of two factors—namely, the measured infiltration data type (cumulative, instant rate, and average rate) and the related non-linear regression equation type—were analyzed. Measurements with DRI were performed with samples from 106 locations in three West African countries, namely, Burkina Faso, Mali, and Cote d’Ivoire. The soils were composed of loam, sandy loam, and sandy clay loam. The results show that when infiltration rates are used rather than cumulative infiltration non-linear regression curves, the variability between the measured Ksat and the real-world saturated hydraulic conductivity (Ksat-real-world) could reach from 2.2% to 58.8%. This variability was caused by the approximate amplification—according to the procedure used—of time-increment measurement errors. Extending the test duration to more than 4 h, especially when clay soils were involved, and using the exponential one-phase decay non-linear regression of the cumulative infiltration data based on a clear measurement protocol provided the Ksat values that were closest to Ksat-real-world.
获得准确的饱和水力传导系数(Ksat)值对于管理所有涉及水流进入土壤的自然或人工过程非常重要。双环渗透(DRI)是测定 Ksat 的常用技术中最容易操作的一种。遗憾的是,如果使用不当,会导致重要的变化和不准确的结果。本研究旨在调查在现场达到真实值或真实世界饱和导水率(Ksat-real-world)的必要条件。为此,分析了两个因素的影响,即测量的渗透数据类型(累积、瞬时速率和平均速率)以及相关的非线性回归方程类型。使用 DRI 对布基纳法索、马里和科特迪瓦三个西非国家 106 个地点的样本进行了测量。这些土壤由壤土、砂质壤土和砂质粘壤土组成。结果表明,如果使用入渗率而不是累积入渗非线性回归曲线,测得的 Ksat 与实际饱和导水性(Ksat-real-world)之间的差异可达 2.2%至 58.8%。造成这种差异的原因是,根据所使用的程序,时间增加测量误差被近似放大。将测试时间延长至 4 小时以上,尤其是在涉及粘土的情况下,并根据明确的测量规程对累积渗透数据进行指数单相衰减非线性回归,可获得最接近实际 Ksat 值的 Ksat 值。
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引用次数: 0
Spatial and Temporal Variations of the Hydrochemical Parameters in the Gravelly Aquifer of the Lower Course of Vjosa River, Albania 阿尔巴尼亚维约萨河下游砾石含水层水化学参数的空间和时间变化
IF 3.2 Q2 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2023-12-07 DOI: 10.3390/hydrology10120234
Elsa Dindi, Ardian Shehu
Vjosa is the main river of South Albania. Currently, the confined Quaternary gravelly aquifer in its lower course supplies drinking water for roughly 300,000 local residents. In the past years, extracted groundwater quantity has increased, whereas the groundwater quality has been affected by seawater intrusion. This paper aims to assess the groundwater quality and to discuss the dominant hydrochemical processes in the aquifer. To fulfil this goal, the study discusses the groundwater quality’s spatial and temporal variations on the basis of the hydrochemical parameters and ratios for 2010–2021 period, during which data are collected from three monitoring wells, located 6, 14 and 17 km, from the sea. While for 1961–2009 period, hydro-chemical water types and TDS maps are prepared using roughly 100 chemical analyses. The hydro-chemical parameters are discussed related to the factors controlling the groundwater’s chemical constituents and the groundwater extraction. Heavy metals and nitrates’ contents indicate that the aquifer is not affected by anthropogenic pollution. The main conclusion is that the groundwater quality is affected by seawater intrusion due to overexploitation. The study reveals its gaps, mentions its possible usefulness, and underlines the discrepancy between the policy makers and the hydrogeologists approaches concerning groundwater extraction.
Vjosa是阿尔巴尼亚南部的主要河流。目前,其下游的第四纪砾石含水层为大约30万当地居民提供饮用水。近年来,地下水开采量不断增加,但地下水水质受到海水入侵的影响。本文旨在评价地下水水质,探讨含水层中主要的水化学过程。为了实现这一目标,本研究基于2010-2021年期间的水化学参数和比率,讨论了地下水质量的时空变化,在此期间,从距离海洋6、14和17公里的3口监测井收集数据。而在1961-2009年期间,水化学水类型和TDS地图使用了大约100种化学分析。讨论了地下水化学成分控制因素和地下水开采的水化学参数。重金属和硝酸盐含量表明该含水层不受人为污染的影响。主要结论是,由于过度开采,地下水水质受到海水入侵的影响。这项研究揭示了它的差距,提到了它可能的有用性,并强调了决策者和水文地质学家在地下水开采方面的方法之间的差异。
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引用次数: 0
An Extended Flood Characteristic Simulation Considering Natural Dependency Structures 考虑自然依赖结构的扩展洪水特征模拟
IF 3.2 Q2 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2023-12-06 DOI: 10.3390/hydrology10120233
Marco Albert Öttl, Felix Simon, Jens Bender, Christoph Mudersbach, Jürgen Stamm
The design of a river-basin-specific flood hydrograph generator based on gauge records enables the generation of synthetic flood hydrographs for the dimensioning of hydraulic structures. Based on selected flow time series, flood waves can be described using four parameters based on flood characteristic simulations, as described by Leichtfuss and Lohr (1999). After successfully adapting suitable distribution functions, dependencies in the load structure are quantified in the next step using copula functions. This newly developed approach builds on the procedure proposed by Bender and Jensen (2012), which assumes hydrological independence. Using copula functions results in increased accuracy in the extended flood characteristic simulation. Moreover, considerable enhancements are achieved through the utilization of genetic algorithms, wherein the descending branch of the flood hydrograph is adjusted by employing an additional variable factor. Subsequently, any number of synthetic flood hydrographs can be generated by combining these parameters. In keeping with the principle of Monte Carlo simulation, a sufficiently high number of synthetic events results in extreme conditions with a low probability of occurrence being reliably represented. Hence, this endeavor has the potential to enhance result reproducibility and prediction quality. As a result, this expanded approach can be employed to provide dependable assessments regarding inflows aimed at optimizing reservoir capacity, for instance.
设计了一种基于测量记录的流域专用洪水线发生器,可以生成用于水工建筑物尺寸的合成洪水线。根据选定的流量时间序列,可以使用基于洪水特征模拟的四个参数来描述洪水波,如Leichtfuss和Lohr(1999)所述。在成功地适应合适的分布函数后,在下一步使用copula函数量化负载结构中的依赖关系。这种新开发的方法建立在Bender和Jensen(2012)提出的程序的基础上,该程序假设水文独立性。使用联结函数可以提高扩展洪水特征模拟的精度。此外,通过利用遗传算法实现了相当大的增强,其中通过使用额外的可变因子来调整洪水线的下降分支。随后,将这些参数组合起来,就可以生成任意数量的合成洪水线。根据蒙特卡罗模拟的原理,足够多的合成事件会导致极端条件,并且可靠地表示发生概率很低。因此,这种努力有可能提高结果的可重复性和预测质量。因此,这种扩展的方法可以用于提供可靠的评估,例如,旨在优化油藏容量的流入。
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引用次数: 0
The Seasonal Variability and Environmental Factors Influencing the Transpiration of Western Juniper (Juniperus occidentalis) Saplings 影响西部杜松树苗蒸腾作用的季节变化和环境因素
IF 3.2 Q2 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2023-12-06 DOI: 10.3390/hydrology10120232
Carlos G. Ochoa, Mohamed A. B. Abdallah
There is scarce information regarding the interactions between young tree water uptake and the environment in water-limited ecosystems. This study was conducted in a semiarid rangeland ecosystem in central Oregon, Pacific Northwest Region, USA. We measured the tree transpiration of western juniper (Juniperus occidentalis) saplings using the stem heat balance (SHB) method. We analyzed the correlation between transpiration and environmental factors affecting the saplings’ water use from May to October for 2017, 2018, 2019, 2021, and 2022. The study results showed that total annual precipitation for all but one year was below the long-term (2005 to 2022) mean precipitation value of 307 mm for the study site. Significantly higher transpiration rates were observed in the wet vs. dry years. The highest monthly averaged transpiration rates (2.95 L d−1) were obtained in August during the above-average precipitation year (2017). Peak transpiration rates for the below-average precipitation years were generally reached in June or July, ranging from 0.91 to 1.65 L d−1. The seasonal response of transpiration to different environmental factors varied. For all years, vapor pressure deficit (VPD), solar radiation (SR), and air temperature (AT) showed a positive correlation with transpiration, whereas precipitation (Pr) and relative humidity (RH) indicated a negative correlation with transpiration. Soil moisture (SM) and soil temperature (ST) positively correlated with transpiration for most years. A strong association between VPD and transpiration was observed during the wettest (2017; 327 mm) and driest (2021; 198 mm) years. Results from this study add to the limited literature on sapling transpiration and can contribute to the improved management of cool-climate rangeland ecosystems through an enhanced understanding of water use by young-stage trees and its potential impacts on the water balance of restored juniper landscapes.
在水资源有限的生态系统中,关于幼树水分吸收与环境之间相互作用的信息很少。本研究在美国太平洋西北地区俄勒冈中部半干旱的牧地生态系统中进行。采用茎热平衡(SHB)法测定了西部杜松(Juniperus occidentalis)幼树的蒸腾量。分析了2017年、2018年、2019年、2021年和2022年5 - 10月林分蒸腾与影响林分水分利用的环境因子的相关性。研究结果表明,除1年外,该站年总降水量均低于长期(2005 ~ 2022年)平均降水量307 mm。在干湿年份,蒸腾速率明显高于干湿年份。在高于平均降水年份(2017年),8月份的月平均蒸腾速率最高,为2.95 L d−1。低于平均降水年的蒸腾速率峰值一般出现在6月或7月,在0.91 ~ 1.65 L d−1之间。蒸腾对不同环境因子的季节响应存在差异。水汽压差(VPD)、太阳辐射(SR)和气温(AT)与蒸腾呈显著正相关,降水量(Pr)和相对湿度(RH)与蒸腾呈显著负相关。土壤湿度(SM)和土壤温度(ST)与蒸腾蒸腾呈显著正相关。在最潮湿的季节(2017年;327毫米)和最干燥(2021;198毫米)年。本研究的结果补充了关于幼树蒸腾作用的有限文献,并有助于通过加深对幼树水分利用及其对恢复后杜松景观水分平衡的潜在影响的了解,改善冷气候草原生态系统的管理。
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引用次数: 0
Differentiation of Multi-Parametric Groups of Groundwater Bodies through Discriminant Analysis and Machine Learning 通过判别分析和机器学习区分多参数地下水体群
IF 3.2 Q2 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2023-12-04 DOI: 10.3390/hydrology10120230
Ismail Mohsine, I. Kacimi, Vincent Valles, Marc Leblanc, Badr El Mahrad, F. Dassonville, N. Kassou, T. Bouramtane, Shiny Abraham, Abdessamad Touiouine, Meryem Jabrane, M. Touzani, A. Barry, S. Yameogo, L. Barbiero
In order to facilitate the monitoring of groundwater quality in France, the groundwater bodies (GWB) in the Provence-Alpes-Côte d’Azur region have been grouped into 11 homogeneous clusters on the basis of their physico-chemical and bacteriological characteristics. This study aims to test the legitimacy of this grouping by predicting whether water samples belong to a given sampling point, GWB or group of GWBs. To this end, 8673 observations and 18 parameters were extracted from the Size-Eaux database, and this dataset was processed using discriminant analysis and various machine learning algorithms. The results indicate an accuracy of 67% using linear discriminant analysis and 69 to 83% using ML algorithms, while quadratic discriminant analysis underperforms in comparison, yielding a less accurate prediction of 59%. The importance of each parameter in the prediction was assessed using an approach combining recursive feature elimination (RFE) techniques and random forest feature importance (RFFI). Major ions show high spatial range and play the main role in discrimination, while trace elements and bacteriological parameters of high local and/or temporal variability only play a minor role. The disparity of the results according to the characteristics of the GWB groups (geography, altitude, lithology, etc.) is discussed. Validating the grouping of GWBs will enable monitoring and surveillance strategies to be redirected on the basis of fewer, homogeneous hydrogeological units, in order to optimize sustainable management of the resource by the health agencies.
为了便于监测法国的地下水质量,根据其物理化学和细菌特性,将Provence-Alpes-Côte d 'Azur地区的地下水体(GWB)分为11个均匀的簇。本研究旨在通过预测水样是否属于给定的采样点、GWB或GWB组来测试这种分组的合法性。为此,从Size-Eaux数据库中提取8673个观测值和18个参数,并使用判别分析和各种机器学习算法对该数据集进行处理。结果表明,使用线性判别分析的准确率为67%,使用ML算法的准确率为69 - 83%,而二次判别分析相比之下表现不佳,预测准确率为59%。采用递归特征消除(RFE)技术和随机森林特征重要性(RFFI)相结合的方法评估预测中每个参数的重要性。主要离子具有较高的空间范围,在识别中起主要作用,而微量元素和细菌参数具有较高的局部和/或时间变异性,仅起次要作用。讨论了不同GWB群特征(地理、海拔、岩性等)对结果的差异。确认全球水文地质单位的分组将使监测和监测战略能够在较少的同质水文地质单位的基础上重新定向,以便卫生机构对资源进行最佳的可持续管理。
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引用次数: 1
Integrated Multi-Model Approach for Assessing Groundwater Vulnerability in Rajasthan’s Semi-Arid Zone: Incorporating DRASTIC and SINTACS Variants 评估拉贾斯坦邦半干旱地区地下水脆弱性的综合多模型方法:纳入 DRASTIC 和 SINTACS 变体
IF 3.2 Q2 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2023-12-04 DOI: 10.3390/hydrology10120231
Nadha Gowrish Narisetty, Gaurav Tripathi, S. Kanga, S. Singh, Gowhar Meraj, Pankaj Kumar, B. Đurin, Hrvoje Matijević
Groundwater pollution in Rajasthan, India, poses significant challenges due to the region’s heavy reliance on this resource for drinking and irrigation. Given the increasing water scarcity and overexploitation, this study assesses the susceptibility of groundwater pollution in this semi-arid area. We applied and compared vulnerability mapping methods, DRASTIC and SINTACS, and their modified versions. These methodologies considered various geological and environmental factors such as depth-to-water table, recharge, aquifer conductivity, soil, and topography. The modified versions also integrated land use and temperature data for enhanced sensitivity. Validation was achieved by comparing contaminant data from the Central Ground Water Board (CGWB), India, focusing on primary contaminants such as fluoride, nitrate, chloride, and total dissolved solids (TDS). The results strongly align with the modified methodologies and observed groundwater ion values. Specifically, more than half of the 300 sample points analyzed indicated TDS values exceeding the permissible 300 ppm limit, with over 80 points surpassing 500 ppm. The vulnerability was classified into the following five categories: very low; low; medium; high; and very high. Notably, 30.53% of the area displayed “very high” vulnerability under the modified DRASTIC model. Districts like Jalore, Pali, Sirohi, and Jodhpur emerged as highly vulnerable zones, while areas within Udaipur, Kota, and Jaipur, among others, showed very high vulnerability. This research highlights the importance of conducting groundwater vulnerability assessments, especially for regions grappling with water scarcity like Rajasthan. The findings from this research are pivotal in guiding sustainable ground water resource management, as well as advocating continual monitoring and effective groundwater conservation strategies in the region.
印度拉贾斯坦邦的地下水污染构成了重大挑战,因为该地区严重依赖地下水作为饮用和灌溉资源。鉴于水资源日益短缺和过度开发,本研究评估了该半干旱区地下水污染的易感性。我们应用并比较了漏洞映射方法DRASTIC和SINTACS及其修改版本。这些方法考虑了各种地质和环境因素,如深度到地下水位、补给、含水层电导率、土壤和地形。修改后的版本还整合了土地利用和温度数据,以提高灵敏度。通过比较印度中央地下水委员会(CGWB)的污染物数据,重点关注主要污染物,如氟化物、硝酸盐、氯化物和总溶解固体(TDS),实现了验证。结果与修正后的方法和观测到的地下水离子值高度一致。具体来说,在分析的300个采样点中,超过一半的TDS值超过了300 ppm的允许限值,超过500 ppm的采样点超过了80个。该漏洞分为以下五类:非常低;低;媒介;高;而且非常高。值得注意的是,30.53%的地区在改进的DRASTIC模型下表现为“非常高”脆弱性。贾洛雷、巴利、西罗希和焦特布尔等地区成为高度脆弱地区,而乌代普尔、哥打和斋浦尔等地区则表现出非常高的脆弱性。这项研究强调了开展地下水脆弱性评估的重要性,特别是对于像拉贾斯坦邦这样面临水资源短缺问题的地区。本研究结果对于指导可持续地下水资源管理,倡导该地区持续监测和有效的地下水保护策略具有关键意义。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluating Non-Stationarity in Precipitation Intensity-Duration-Frequency Curves for the Dallas–Fort Worth Metroplex, Texas, USA 评估美国得克萨斯州达拉斯-沃斯堡都会区降水强度-持续时间-频率曲线的非平稳性
IF 3.2 Q2 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2023-12-02 DOI: 10.3390/hydrology10120229
Binita Ghimire, G. Kharel, Esayas Gebremichael, Linyin Cheng
Extreme precipitation has become more frequent and intense with time and space. Infrastructure design tools such as Intensity-Duration-Frequency (IDF) curves still rely on historical precipitation and stationary assumptions, risking current and future urban infrastructure. This study developed IDF curves by incorporating non-stationarity trends in precipitation annual maximum series (AMS) for Dallas–Fort Worth, the fourth-largest metropolitan region in the United States. A Pro-NEVA tool was used to develop non-stationary IDF curves, taking historical precipitation AMS for seven stations that showed a non-stationary trend with time as a covariate. Four statistical indices—the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC), Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC), Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), and Nash–Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE)—were used as the model goodness of fit evaluation. The lower AIC, BIC, and RMSE values and higher NSE values for non-stationary models indicated a better performance compared to the stationary models. Compared to the traditional stationary assumption, the non-stationary IDF curves showed an increase (up to 75%) in the 24 h precipitation intensity for the 100-year return period. Using the climate change adaptive non-stationary IDF tool for the DFW metroplex and similar urban regions could enable decision makers to make climate-informed choices about infrastructure investments, emergency preparedness measures, and long-term urban development and water resource management planning.
随着时间和空间的变化,极端降水变得越来越频繁和强烈。基础设施设计工具,如强度-持续时间-频率(IDF)曲线,仍然依赖于历史降水和平稳假设,给当前和未来的城市基础设施带来风险。本研究结合美国第四大都市区达拉斯-沃斯堡降水年最大序列(AMS)的非平稳性趋势,建立了IDF曲线。采用Pro-NEVA工具,以7个站点的历史降水AMS随时间的非平稳趋势为协变量,得到非平稳IDF曲线。采用赤池信息准则(AIC)、贝叶斯信息准则(BIC)、均方根误差(RMSE)和纳什-萨克利夫效率(NSE) 4个统计指标作为模型的拟合优度评价。与平稳模型相比,非平稳模型的AIC、BIC和RMSE值较低,NSE值较高,表明其性能较好。与传统的平稳假设相比,非平稳IDF曲线在100 a回归期的24 h降水强度增加了75%。在DFW大都市和类似城市地区使用气候变化适应性非平稳IDF工具,可以使决策者在基础设施投资、应急准备措施、长期城市发展和水资源管理规划方面做出气候知情的选择。
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引用次数: 0
Assessing Groundwater Quality and Diagnosing Nitrate Pollution in the Sidi Allal Region: A GIS-Based Approach Utilizing the Groundwater Pollution Index 评估 Sidi Allal 地区的地下水质量并诊断硝酸盐污染:利用地下水污染指数的地理信息系统方法
IF 3.2 Q2 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.3390/hydrology10120227
H. Al-Aizari, A. Ghfar, Ali R. Al-Aizari, Abdul-Jaleel M. Al-Aizari, M. S. Moshab, Mika Sillanpää
Groundwater is a critical resource for various human activities, yet it faces contamination risks from agricultural, industrial, and domestic sources. This study aimed to evaluate groundwater in Morocco’s Sidi Allal region using the groundwater pollution index (GPI) and diagnose nitrate pollution. The study included 45 groundwater wells from the study area, and physicochemical parameters such as pH, electrical conductivity, cations, and anions were examined in the laboratory. The geographic information system (GIS) was used to determine the spatial distribution of groundwater quality parameters. The groundwater pollution index and nitrate pollution index (NPI) were determined. The inverse distance weighting method (IDW) was used to create a spatial distribution map. The results indicated that the calculated GPI values ranged from 0.856 to 7.416, with an average of 2.06. About 40% of groundwater samples were highly polluted and unsuitable for drinking. The NPI values ranged between −0.74 and 10.5, with an average of 5.1. About 64% of the total groundwater samples were considered highly polluted according to the NPI classification, suggesting that the groundwater was unsuitable for drinking purposes. The spatial distribution map revealed the availability of appropriate groundwater in the central area of the study area and inappropriate groundwater near the Esbou River and Nassour Canal. The findings of this study revealed high concentrations of nitrates in groundwater samples in the central part of the study area, indicating that this increase in nitrates may be due to intensive use of nitrogen fertilizers in agricultural activities and sewage waste.
地下水是各种人类活动的重要资源,但它面临着来自农业、工业和家庭的污染风险。本研究旨在利用地下水污染指数(GPI)对摩洛哥Sidi Allal地区的地下水进行评价,并对硝酸盐污染进行诊断。研究选取了研究区45口地下水井,在实验室检测了地下水的理化参数,如pH值、电导率、阳离子、阴离子等。利用地理信息系统(GIS)确定地下水水质参数的空间分布。测定了地下水污染指数和硝酸盐污染指数。采用逆距离加权法(IDW)绘制空间分布图。结果表明:计算得到的GPI值范围为0.856 ~ 7.416,平均值为2.06;约40%的地下水样本受到严重污染,不适合饮用。NPI值在- 0.74 ~ 10.5之间,平均值为5.1。根据NPI分类,约64%的地下水样品被认为是高污染的,这表明地下水不适合饮用。空间分布图显示,研究区中心地区适宜地下水的可得性和Esbou河和Nassour运河附近的不适宜地下水。本研究结果显示,研究区中部地下水样品中硝酸盐浓度较高,表明硝酸盐浓度的增加可能是由于农业活动和污水中大量使用氮肥造成的。
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引用次数: 0
Analysis of Changes in Water Flow after Passing through the Planned Dam Reservoir Using a Mixture Distribution in the Face of Climate Change: A Case Study of the Nysa Kłodzka River, Poland 面对气候变化,利用混合分布分析通过规划大坝水库后的水流变化:波兰尼萨河案例研究
IF 3.2 Q2 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.3390/hydrology10120226
Łukasz Gruss, M. Wiatkowski, M. Połomski, Łukasz Szewczyk, P. Tomczyk
Climate change and extreme weather events have the potential to increase the occurrences of flooding and hydrological droughts. Dam reservoir operation can mitigate or aggravate this impact. This study aims to evaluate the influence of the planned Kamieniec Ząbkowicki dam reservoir on the flow patterns of the Nysa Kłodzka river in the context of changing hydrological conditions and climate change. In the study, a 40-year observational series of hydrological data was used to simulate changes in water flow through the river valley in a numerical model. This simulation was conducted both for the natural river valley and for the same river valley but with the added reservoir dam. Flow simulations revealed that dam operation increased downstream flow values, reducing variability in extreme high-flow events. Addition, the mixture log-normal distribution shows that the operation of the dam resulted in a reduction in the variability of both low flows and extreme high-flow events. Furthermore, the model illustrates that moderate-flow conditions remain relatively stable and similar before and after dam construction. The Mann–Kendall trend test, Sen slope trend test and Innovative Trend Analysis indicated that the dam had a significant impact on flow trends, reducing the negative trend. This hydrotechnical structure stabilizes and regulates flows, especially in response to climate-induced changes. These findings highlight the effectiveness of the dam in mitigating flood risk and supporting water resource management. It is essential to consider the role of the dam in adapting to changing hydrological conditions influenced by climate change. For practical application, efficient flow regulation by reservoir administration is crucial.
气候变化和极端天气事件有可能增加洪水和水文干旱的发生。大坝水库的运行可以减轻或加剧这种影响。本研究旨在评估在水文条件和气候变化的背景下,规划中的Kamieniec Ząbkowicki大坝水库对Nysa Kłodzka河流量模式的影响。在研究中,利用40年的一系列水文观测资料,在数值模型中模拟了河谷水流的变化。本文对天然河谷和同一河谷加设水库坝进行了模拟。流动模拟表明,大坝运行增加了下游流量值,减少了极端高流量事件的变异性。此外,混合对数正态分布表明,大坝的运行导致低流量和极端高流量事件的变异性减小。此外,该模型还表明,在大坝建设前后,中流条件保持相对稳定和相似。Mann-Kendall趋势试验、Sen斜率趋势试验和创新趋势分析表明,大坝对水流趋势有显著影响,减少了负向趋势。这种水工结构可以稳定和调节流量,特别是在应对气候变化时。这些发现突出了大坝在减轻洪水风险和支持水资源管理方面的有效性。考虑大坝在适应气候变化影响的水文条件变化中的作用是至关重要的。在实际应用中,水库管理对水流的有效调节至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Coastal Inundation Hazard Assessment in Australian Tropical Cyclone Prone Regions 澳大利亚热带气旋多发地区沿海淹没危害评估
IF 3.2 Q2 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.3390/hydrology10120228
Jane Nguyen, Yuriy Kuleshov
One of the hazards associated with tropical cyclones (TCs) is a storm surge, which leads to coastal inundation and often results in loss of life and damage to infrastructure. In this study, we used GIS-based bathtub models and tide-gauge-derived water levels to assess coastal inundation scenarios for the landfall region of TC Debbie. The three scenarios modelled what could have happened if the TC’s maximum storm surge had coincided with the maximum storm tide for that day, month, or TC season, where the water levels were determined through analysis of tide gauge data, using a new method called the variable enhanced Bathtub Model. Additionally, this study analysed the impact of excluding the correction of water levels with the Australian Height Datum. Our study found that between the least and most severe scenarios, with the input water-level difference for the model along the coastline being 0.43 m, the observed inundation depth of the analysed populated region increased from 0.25 m to 1 m. Ultimately, it was found that in the worst-case scenario, the study region could have experienced coastal inundation 0.63 m higher than it did, inundating 72.53 km2 of the coast. The results of this study support the consensus that coastal inundation is highly dependent on the characteristics of the terrain, and that coastal inundation modelling, such as that completed in this study, needs to be performed to better inform decision makers and communities of the potential impacts of TC-induced storm surges.
与热带气旋(tc)相关的危害之一是风暴潮,它会导致沿海地区淹没,并经常造成生命损失和基础设施破坏。在这项研究中,我们使用基于gis的浴缸模型和潮汐计得出的水位来评估TC黛比登陆地区的沿海淹没情景。这三种情景模拟了如果热带风暴的最大风暴潮与该天、该月或热带风暴季节的最大风暴潮同时发生可能发生的情况。在热带风暴季节,水位是通过分析潮汐计数据来确定的,使用了一种称为变量增强浴缸模型的新方法。此外,本研究还分析了排除澳大利亚高度基准面对水位校正的影响。我们的研究发现,在最小和最严重的情景之间,当模型沿海岸线的输入水位差为0.43 m时,所分析的人口居住区的观测淹没深度从0.25 m增加到1 m。最终,研究发现,在最坏的情况下,研究区域可能会经历比实际高0.63 m的海岸淹没,淹没72.53 km2的海岸。本研究的结果支持了海岸淹没高度依赖于地形特征的共识,并且需要进行海岸淹没建模,例如本研究中完成的建模,以便更好地告知决策者和社区tc引起的风暴潮的潜在影响。
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