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Determination and Development of Definitions and Concepts of Hybrid Threats and Hybrid Wars: Comparison of Solutions at the Level of the European Union, NATO and Croatia 混合威胁和混合战争的定义和概念的确定和发展:欧盟、北约和克罗地亚层面解决方案的比较
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-09-01 DOI: 10.2478/pce-2022-0016
Robert Mikac
Abstract Political, professional and academic circles, as well as the general public, are increasingly using different terms like hybrid threats and hybrid wars in everyday circumstances, describing different phenomena and processes. This trend became more prominent in Europe after the events in Ukraine in 2014, and it has especially been more emphasized since the attack of the Russian regime on Ukraine in 2022. For this reason, the central organisations of the European security architecture – the European Union and NATO, as well as their member states – pay more and more attention to research, conceptualisation and explanation of what different forms of hybrid dangers represent, what their scope is and how to effectively oppose them. This is a necessity because only by adequately addressing the problem and defining key definitions and concepts, the development of appropriate and effective response measures can be achieved. This paper aims to comparatively research and present the development of this area at the level of the European Union and the NATO Alliance, and specifically for Croatia, analyse the use of the relevant terms with a special focus on two terms: hybrid threats and hybrid wars. The first term, because it is the most general and most common hybrid term used, the second because it is the term with the strongest meaning and consequences. The research will represent an addition to the existing body of knowledge and will provide guidelines for the continued development of this field at the policy and academic levels. Also, the research will be significant for other countries and researchers in order to perceive the current status of the situation in the European Union, the NATO Alliance and Croatia as a member state of both organisations, and to be able to compare the challenges and solutions in their countries.
政治、专业、学术以及普通大众在日常生活中越来越多地使用混合威胁、混合战争等不同的术语来描述不同的现象和过程。2014年乌克兰事件后,这种趋势在欧洲变得更加突出,尤其是在俄罗斯政权2022年袭击乌克兰之后,这种趋势得到了更加强调。因此,欧洲安全架构的核心组织——欧盟和北约及其成员国——越来越重视研究、概念化和解释不同形式的混合危险代表什么,它们的范围是什么,以及如何有效地对抗它们。这是必要的,因为只有充分处理这一问题并确定关键的定义和概念,才能制定适当和有效的反应措施。本文旨在比较研究和展示这一领域在欧盟和北约联盟层面的发展,特别是克罗地亚,分析相关术语的使用,特别关注两个术语:混合威胁和混合战争。第一个术语,因为它是最普遍和最常用的混合术语,第二个是因为它是具有最强意义和后果的术语。这项研究将是对现有知识体系的补充,并将为在政策和学术两级继续发展这一领域提供指导方针。此外,该研究将是重要的其他国家和研究人员,以了解欧盟,北约联盟和克罗地亚作为两个组织的成员国的情况的现状,并能够比较在他们的国家的挑战和解决方案。
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引用次数: 2
Impacts of Renewable Energy on CO2 Emission: Evidence from the Visegrad Group Countries 可再生能源对二氧化碳排放的影响:来自维谢格拉德集团国家的证据
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.2478/pce-2022-0013
Erginbay Uğurlu
Abstract EU policies aim to develop renewable energy share in both production and consumption of total energy and increase the efforts to mitigate climate change. As relatively new EU members, the Visegrad countries aimed to adopt these targets. Therefore, climate change mitigation and CO2 emissions reduction are important issues in Visegrad countries. In this paper, we examine the renewable energy consumption and CO2 emissions relationship in the Visegrad countries. We use the Fully Modified Ordinary Least Square (FMOLS) model to estimate the long-run relationship between the variables using annual data from the period of 2000–2018. The variables used are CO2 emissions, GDP per capita, renewable energy consumption and urban population. The results show that there is cointegration among the variables. The estimated FMOLS model shows that GDP and population increase CO2 consumption, and renewable energy consumption decreases CO2 emissions. Results show that renewable energy consumption has a decreasing effect on CO2 emissions.
欧盟的政策旨在发展可再生能源在总能源生产和消费中的份额,并加大努力减缓气候变化。作为相对较新的欧盟成员国,维谢格拉德国家旨在采纳这些目标。因此,减缓气候变化和减少二氧化碳排放是维谢格拉德国家的重要问题。本文研究了维谢格拉德国家可再生能源消费与二氧化碳排放的关系。我们使用完全修正的普通最小二乘(FMOLS)模型来估计变量之间的长期关系,使用2000-2018年的年度数据。使用的变量是二氧化碳排放量、人均国内生产总值、可再生能源消费和城市人口。结果表明,各变量之间存在协整关系。估计的FMOLS模型表明,GDP和人口增加了CO2的消耗,而可再生能源的消耗减少了CO2的排放。结果表明,可再生能源消费对CO2排放的影响呈下降趋势。
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引用次数: 4
When Ideology Matters More – Science and Vaccine Scepticism in Light of Political Ideologies and Partisanship during the Third COVID-19 Wave in Hungary1 当意识形态更重要时——匈牙利第三波COVID-19期间政治意识形态和党派关系下的科学和疫苗怀疑主义
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.2478/pce-2022-0011
E. Farkas, Balázs Böcskei, Andrea Szabó
Abstract As for the mitigation of the negative consequences of the coronavirus pandemic and the related crisis, governments should inter alia facilitate the willingness to vaccinate. However, related discussions became politicised, especially in countries with an extremely high level of partisan polarisation in opinions and media discourses, like in Hungary, which is the selected case of our study. As previous research about the United States shows, general trust in science is also influenced by the ideological alignment of individuals – people with conservative identification are more likely to question scientific results and recommendations, considering global warming, or the characteristics of the pandemic and the effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccines. In our study we examine two main questions: first, whether the ideological orientation and partisan alignment of Hungarian citizens influence their general trust in science, and second, whether the same factors influence their opinion on scientists’ ability to develop effective vaccines against the coronavirus. Furthermore, we also investigate whether media consumption habits might influence these interrelations. According to the results of the representative online survey, the more conservative someone in Hungary identifies, the more likely they will be sceptical in terms of both questions. However, support of government or opposition parties does not determine whether they believe in the ability of scientists to develop effective vaccines, and it is influenced by their media consumption habits. We showed that (1) opposition supporters are much more different along their preferred media source than government supporters, (2) television watchers are of the same opinion independent of their party preference and (3) social media consumers are generally more likely to reject scientific results. The phenomenon that supporters of the conservative government and of the alliance of opposition parties are different in terms of their media consumption is a surprising finding in the polarised Hungarian context. We provide two main explanations for this. First, it is most probably the consequence of the government’s intensive campaign that encouraged vaccination. Second, the government used the issue of vaccination as a source of legitimacy regarding the effectiveness of their crisis management.
摘要关于缓解冠状病毒大流行和相关危机的负面后果,政府应特别促进接种疫苗的意愿。然而,相关的讨论变得政治化了,尤其是在意见和媒体话语中党派两极分化程度极高的国家,比如匈牙利,这是我们研究的选定案例。正如之前对美国的研究所表明的那样,人们对科学的普遍信任也受到个人意识形态一致性的影响——考虑到全球变暖、大流行的特征和新冠肺炎疫苗的有效性,具有保守身份的人更有可能质疑科学结果和建议。在我们的研究中,我们考察了两个主要问题:第一,匈牙利公民的意识形态取向和党派结盟是否影响他们对科学的普遍信任,第二,同样的因素是否影响他们对于科学家开发有效冠状病毒疫苗的能力的看法。此外,我们还调查了媒体消费习惯是否会影响这些相互关系。根据这项具有代表性的在线调查的结果,匈牙利人越是保守,他们就越有可能对这两个问题持怀疑态度。然而,政府或反对党的支持并不能决定他们是否相信科学家开发有效疫苗的能力,这受到他们媒体消费习惯的影响。我们发现,(1)反对派支持者在他们喜欢的媒体来源上与政府支持者的差异要大得多,(2)电视观众的意见与他们的政党偏好无关,(3)社交媒体消费者通常更容易拒绝科学结果。在两极分化的匈牙利背景下,保守党政府和反对党联盟的支持者在媒体消费方面存在差异,这是一个令人惊讶的现象。我们对此提供两个主要解释。首先,这很可能是政府鼓励接种疫苗的密集运动的结果。其次,政府利用疫苗接种问题作为其危机管理有效性的合法性来源。
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引用次数: 1
Patterns of the Parliamentary Debates: How Deliberative are Turkish Democratic Opening Debates? 议会辩论的模式:土耳其民主开放辩论的协商程度如何?
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.2478/pce-2022-0008
Ç. Akgül, Musa Akgül
Abstract This study attempts to measure the deliberation quality of the Democratic Opening Debates in the Turkish Parliament through the Discourse Quality Index (DQI). The majority of studies have been conducted on the deliberation quality of relatively homogenised and developed Western societies and on less conflictual or contentious topics. In these countries, democratic culture has been institutionalised. On the contrary, Turkey is a developing country and has been going through an ethnic conflict involving violence for many decades. Thus, this case study aims to make an original contribution to empirical deliberation studies. Researchers have examined the 88-page stenographic records of the Democratic Opening Debates and put forward a DQI score. According to the findings, the controversial debates fulfill only 40% of high-level deliberative discourse ethics. This result demonstrates that the ideal deliberation process does not exist in Turkey even though a convenient atmosphere is created for deliberations by means of official procedures. Ethnic division in the society has a profoundly negative impact on the quality of deliberations.
摘要本研究试图通过话语质量指数(DQI)来衡量土耳其议会民主开放辩论的审议质量。大多数研究都是针对相对同质化和发达的西方社会的审议质量,以及较少冲突或争议的话题进行的。在这些国家,民主文化已经制度化。相反,土耳其是一个发展中国家,几十年来一直在经历涉及暴力的种族冲突。因此,本案例研究旨在为实证审议研究做出原创性贡献。研究人员检查了民主党开幕辩论的88页速记记录,并提出了DQI分数。根据研究结果,有争议的辩论只达到了高级别审议话语伦理的40%。这一结果表明,尽管通过官方程序为审议创造了便利的氛围,但土耳其并不存在理想的审议程序。社会中的种族划分对审议的质量产生了深刻的负面影响。
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引用次数: 0
(Im)Perfect Descriptive Representation: Slovenia in the Spotlight (Im)完美的描述性表现:聚光灯下的斯洛文尼亚
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.2478/pce-2022-0012
L. Johannsen, Alenka Krašovec, Gregor Čehovin
Abstract The failure to ensure descriptive representation is one of the challenges facing democracy. In the literature, it is suggested that, among others, imperfect descriptive representation is connected to insufficient legitimacy as well as low trust in political institutions. This paper analyses the link between descriptive representation and both people’s satisfaction with the way democracy is working in practice and trust in political institutions in Slovenia which, despite 30 years of democratic rule, are characterised by persistent low trust and satisfaction levels. Considering longitudinal public opinion data and a database on the composition of the Slovenian parliament (eight terms) in terms of gender, age groups and education, we find that also in Slovenia especially women, the young, the elderly and those with a basic education are underrepresented, with this being reflected in trust in the parliament and people’s perception of the way in which democracy is working. Still, the fact such underrepresentation has continued for some time (regardless of certain changes) means these findings are only part of the explanation.
摘要未能确保描述性代表性是民主面临的挑战之一。在文献中,有人认为,除其他外,不完美的描述性表述与合法性不足以及对政治制度的信任度低有关。本文分析了描述性表征与人们对民主实践方式的满意度和对斯洛文尼亚政治机构的信任之间的联系,尽管斯洛文尼亚实行了30年的民主统治,但其特点是信任和满意度持续较低。考虑到纵向民意数据和斯洛文尼亚议会(八届)在性别、年龄组和教育方面的组成数据库,我们发现,在斯洛文尼亚,尤其是妇女、年轻人、老年人和受过基础教育的人的代表性不足,这反映在对议会的信任以及人们对民主运作方式的看法上。尽管如此,这种代表性不足的情况已经持续了一段时间(无论某些变化如何),这意味着这些发现只是解释的一部分。
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引用次数: 0
Local and Regional Politics at the EU level: who is actually represented in the Committee of the Regions? 欧盟层面的地方和地区政治:谁在地区委员会中有实际代表?
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.2478/pce-2022-0009
P. Bącal
Abstract One of the main reasons for the establishment of the Committee of the Regions was to provide the subnational level with the representation within the institutional system of the European Union. As the body advising the EU institutions, the Committee can influence the decision-making process. Since it consists of members of the local and regional authorities, one may ask if it does offer the opportunity for the peculiar territorial self-government units to be represented at the EU level. And in the broader terms – what does the relation between the general and particular interests look like in that regard? The article tries to determine if the Committee of the Regions is a suitable place for the individual territorial self-government unit to promote its interests. The findings of the paper are based on the author’s own empirical research conducted among the Polish members of the Committee. The results entitle the author to state that the territorial self-government units are represented in the Committee of the Regions and they have some benefits from being represented within this body.
摘要设立区域委员会的主要原因之一是在欧洲联盟体制内为国家以下一级提供代表权。作为向欧盟机构提供咨询的机构,委员会可以影响决策过程。由于它由地方和地区当局的成员组成,人们可能会问,它是否为特殊的领土自治单位在欧盟一级的代表提供了机会。从更广泛的角度来看,在这方面,一般利益和特定利益之间的关系是什么?该条试图确定地区委员会是否适合各个领土自治单位促进其利益。该论文的结论基于作者本人在委员会波兰成员中进行的实证研究。这一结果使提交人有权指出,领土自治单位在地区委员会中有代表,他们在该机构中有代表也有一些好处。
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引用次数: 0
Hungarian Nationalism and Hungarian Pan-Turanism until the Beginning of the Second World War 第二次世界大战前的匈牙利民族主义与泛突厥主义
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.2478/pce-2022-0010
Attila Gokhun Dayioglu
Abstract After the Napoleonic Wars in the 19th century, the development and spread of nationalism in Europe began to accelerate. The development of the national consciousness of the peoples living under the domination of the empires in Europe damaged the legitimacy of the empires in Europe and started to threaten the existence of the empires in Europe. These nationalist movements especially affected the Habsburg Empire, the Ottoman Empire and the Russian Tsardom, and these regions became areas of nationalist conflict.1 The word ‘Turan’, which is used to describe the Central Asian lands where Turkish tribes live, gained its ideological meaning in the 19th and 20th centuries. ‘Turanism’, which started to gain its ideological meaning in the second half of the 19th century in Hungary, which can be defined as an Asian country in the middle of Europe, has become an ideology identified with Hungarians, Hungarian nationalism and the Hungarian awakening. ‘Hungarian Turanism’, which has undergone many changes in its ideological depiction, was born and strengthened from the search for national identity among economic and social problems in Hungary, which is considered an ‘insecure’ society in Europe due to the threats of Slavic and Germanic elements. Hungarian nationalism and Hungarian identity, which were shaped in an ethnocultural context, evolved from a liberal/political basis to an ethnocultural and pan-nationalist practice. Especially at the beginning of the 20th century, the ‘Hungarian Turanism’ ideology, which started to strengthen with the Hungarian elites and intellectuals focusing on Hungarian national interests, culture and expansionist policies against external threats, led to the emergence of a new nationalism movement, Pan-Turanism. Hungarian nationalism and ‘Hungarian Turanism’ ideology, which started to develop and transform on different grounds, especially after the Hungarian Revolution of 1848, became stronger in the interwar period after the First World War and became an important part of the fascist Hungarian parties supported by Nazi Germany during the Second World War.
摘要19世纪拿破仑战争后,民族主义在欧洲的发展和传播开始加速。生活在欧洲帝国统治下的民族意识的发展损害了欧洲帝国的合法性,并开始威胁到欧洲帝国的存在。这些民族主义运动尤其影响了哈布斯堡帝国、奥斯曼帝国和俄罗斯沙皇统治,这些地区成为了民族主义冲突的地区。1“图兰”一词用于描述土耳其部落居住的中亚土地,在19世纪和20世纪获得了其意识形态意义。”“突厥主义”于19世纪下半叶在匈牙利开始获得其意识形态意义,匈牙利可以被定义为欧洲中部的亚洲国家,已成为与匈牙利人、匈牙利民族主义和匈牙利觉醒相一致的意识形态“匈牙利突厥主义”在其意识形态描述上发生了许多变化,它是在匈牙利经济和社会问题中寻找民族身份的过程中诞生和加强的。由于斯拉夫和日耳曼元素的威胁,匈牙利在欧洲被认为是一个“不安全”的社会。匈牙利民族主义和匈牙利身份认同是在民族文化背景下形成的,从自由主义/政治基础演变为民族文化和泛民族主义实践。特别是在20世纪初,随着匈牙利精英和知识分子对匈牙利国家利益、文化和对外威胁的扩张政策的关注,“匈牙利突厥主义”意识形态开始加强,导致了一场新的民族主义运动——泛突厥主义的出现。匈牙利民族主义和“匈牙利土尔主义”意识形态在不同的基础上开始发展和转变,特别是在1848年匈牙利革命之后,在第一次世界大战后的两次世界大战期间变得更加强大,并在第二次世界大战中成为纳粹德国支持的法西斯匈牙利政党的重要组成部分。
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引用次数: 0
Virgil Gheorghiu on Communism, Capitalism and National Socialism 维吉尔·乔治论共产主义、资本主义和国家社会主义
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-04-13 DOI: 10.3726/b19357
Lino Bianco
Virgil Gheorghiu, an important but controversial figure in Romanian exile literature,remains one of his country’s best-known writers today. Based on his works and theirreception, but also on the existing secondary literature, this study examines hisreflection on three important ideologies, namely communism, national socialism andcapitalism, in order to highlight the specificities of Virgil Gheorghiu’s thought and tosee what aspects of topicality and contemporary relevance can be found in it.
维吉尔·盖奥尔基乌是罗马尼亚流亡文学中一位重要但有争议的人物,至今仍是罗马尼亚最著名的作家之一。本研究以他的作品及其接受为基础,同时也以现有的二次文献为基础,考察他对共产主义、国家社会主义和资本主义三种重要意识形态的反思,以突显维吉尔·戈尔丘思想的特殊性,并从中发现其主题性和当代相关性的哪些方面。
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引用次数: 0
From Deliberation to Pure Mobilisation? The Case of National Consultations in Hungary 从深思熟虑到纯粹动员?匈牙利全国协商案例
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-04-01 DOI: 10.2478/pce-2022-0004
Kálmán Pócza, D. Oross
Abstract National or supranational consultations on general policy questions are unusual phenomena. Nevertheless, they seem to play an important role in the political life of the community either because they might be considered as rudimentary forms of deliberative practices or because they are important strategic tools in the hands of political actors. Given this salience of consultations from both normativedeliberative and descriptive-strategic perspectives, it is surprising that academic analyses of national consultations are scarce. This paper tries to fill this gap in the literature by focusing on one of the most wellknown examples of nation-wide consultations, the series of national consultations in Hungary. It aims to present why national consultations gradually lost their deliberative character and how they have been transformed into a strategic instrument for mobilising supporters.
关于一般政策问题的国家或超国家协商是不寻常的现象。然而,它们似乎在社区的政治生活中发挥着重要作用,要么是因为它们可能被视为审议实践的基本形式,要么是由于它们是政治行为者手中的重要战略工具。鉴于从规范性审议和描述性战略角度进行协商的重要性,令人惊讶的是,对国家协商的学术分析很少。本文试图填补文献中的这一空白,重点关注全国范围内最著名的协商实例之一,匈牙利的一系列全国协商。它旨在说明为什么国家协商逐渐失去了审议性质,以及它们是如何转变为动员支持者的战略工具的。
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引用次数: 1
Could a Referendum Change the Local Party System? Discussion of the Referendum’s Consequences in the Context of Cleavages 公投能改变地方政党制度吗?论分裂背景下的公投后果
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-04-01 DOI: 10.2478/pce-2022-0005
Barbora Šenkýřová, Stanislav Balík
Abstract The local policy is sometimes degraded by this opinion: in the small village, there is no policy, self-government is based on the personal character without the political context, it is mainly oriented on the technical side of the government. However, different researches confirm that despite this claim local policy contains political (and ideological) fights. These researches focus on different topics and different attitudes in cleavages or conflict study. However, only a few research types mentioned the importance of local civic activism in connection with the local policy trends. It is interesting because civic activism, values and attitudes are the main points in the cleavage topic. In this research, we will discuss the term cleavage (concept by DeeganKrause) in the context of four Czech municipalities which have experience with civic activism – the referendum. In our research, we will focus on four municipalities, on which we will present the application of the DeeganKrause model. Based on the application, we will discuss if civic activism in the form of a referendum could lead to changes in the local party system.
摘要地方政策有时会因这种观点而退化:在小村庄里,没有政策,自治是基于个人性格而没有政治背景的,它主要面向政府的技术方面。然而,不同的研究证实,尽管有这种说法,地方政策仍包含政治(和意识形态)斗争。这些研究集中在分歧或冲突研究的不同主题和不同态度上。然而,只有少数研究类型提到了地方公民行动主义与地方政策趋势的重要性。这很有趣,因为公民激进主义、价值观和态度是分裂话题的要点。在这项研究中,我们将在四个捷克城市的背景下讨论分裂一词(DeeganKrause的概念),这些城市有公民行动主义的经验——公民投票。在我们的研究中,我们将重点关注四个市镇,介绍DeeganKrause模型的应用。根据申请,我们将讨论公投形式的公民行动主义是否会导致地方政党制度的改变。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Politics in Central Europe
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