首页 > 最新文献

Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies最新文献

英文 中文
Application of Bootstrap Simulation and Asymmetric Causal Approach to Fiscal Deficit-Inflation Nexus 自举模拟和非对称因果方法在财政赤字-通胀关系中的应用
Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2020-05-01 DOI: 10.1177/0974910120919021
Clement Olalekan Olaniyi
This paper investigates the symmetric and asymmetric relationship between fiscal deficits and inflation in Nigeria within the context of bootstrap simulations with leverage adjustments using the quarterly frequency data from 1981Q1 to 2016Q4. The findings reveal that there is neither symmetric nor asymmetric causality between fiscal deficits and inflation in Nigeria. This implies that the fiscal deficits in Nigeria are not inflationary; and also, that persistent double-digit inflation rates are not the causal agents spurring perennial increase in fiscal deficits in Nigeria. This study, therefore, concludes that fiscal deficits could be used to stimulate output level in Nigeria without fueling inflationary spiral in the economy. JEL Classification: C32, E17
本文利用1981年第一季度至2016年第四季度的季度频率数据,在杠杆调整的bootstrap模拟背景下,研究了尼日利亚财政赤字与通货膨胀之间的对称和非对称关系。研究结果表明,尼日利亚财政赤字与通货膨胀之间既不存在对称因果关系,也不存在非对称因果关系。这意味着尼日利亚的财政赤字不会导致通胀;此外,持续的两位数通胀率并不是导致尼日利亚财政赤字持续增长的原因。因此,本研究得出结论,财政赤字可以用来刺激尼日利亚的产出水平,而不会加剧经济中的通货膨胀螺旋。JEL分类:C32, E17
{"title":"Application of Bootstrap Simulation and Asymmetric Causal Approach to Fiscal Deficit-Inflation Nexus","authors":"Clement Olalekan Olaniyi","doi":"10.1177/0974910120919021","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/0974910120919021","url":null,"abstract":"This paper investigates the symmetric and asymmetric relationship between fiscal deficits and inflation in Nigeria within the context of bootstrap simulations with leverage adjustments using the quarterly frequency data from 1981Q1 to 2016Q4. The findings reveal that there is neither symmetric nor asymmetric causality between fiscal deficits and inflation in Nigeria. This implies that the fiscal deficits in Nigeria are not inflationary; and also, that persistent double-digit inflation rates are not the causal agents spurring perennial increase in fiscal deficits in Nigeria. This study, therefore, concludes that fiscal deficits could be used to stimulate output level in Nigeria without fueling inflationary spiral in the economy. JEL Classification: C32, E17","PeriodicalId":37512,"journal":{"name":"Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-05-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1177/0974910120919021","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48232432","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 7
Optimal Capital Structure and Speed of Adjustment under Hyperinflation and Dollarization 恶性通货膨胀与美元化下的最优资本结构与调整速度
Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2020-05-01 DOI: 10.1177/0974910120919023
Strike Mbulawa, N. Okurut, Mogale Ntsosa, N. Sinha
Economic challenges in Zimbabwe have resulted in firms being pushed out of their optimal leverage. Firms are faced with the need to move back to the optimal level of financing to improve their value. They tend to adjust quickly to the optimal level whenever failing to do so is costlier. This study employs a dynamic capital structure model to examine the determinants of optimal leverage and the speed of adjustment under a hyperinflation and dollarization period (2000–2016). The study shows that firms have an optimal leverage and there are costs of adjusting to this level of capital. Findings are consistent with theoretical predictions of the static trade-off theory (STT) and agency theory. The adjustment factors for all the models were found to be at least 0.475 and are higher under hyperinflation than under dollarization. Both firm and macroeconomic factors explain the optimal capital structure while the former also explains the speed of adjustment. Policies focusing on improving access to and reducing costs for finance will assist firms to maximize value as they adjust to the desired financing mix. The policies adopted may vary in response to the economic environment.
津巴布韦的经济挑战导致企业失去了最佳杠杆。企业面临着回到最佳融资水平以提高其价值的需要。它们往往会迅速调整到最佳水平,而不这样做的代价更高。本研究采用动态资本结构模型来检验恶性通货膨胀和美元化时期(2000-2016)下最优杠杆率和调整速度的决定因素。这项研究表明,企业拥有最佳杠杆,调整到这个资本水平是有成本的。研究结果与静态权衡理论(STT)和代理理论的理论预测一致。所有模型的调整系数至少为0.475,在恶性通货膨胀下高于美元化下。企业和宏观经济因素都解释了最优资本结构,而前者也解释了调整的速度。侧重于改善融资渠道和降低融资成本的政策将有助于企业在适应所需融资组合时实现价值最大化。所采取的政策可能因经济环境而异。
{"title":"Optimal Capital Structure and Speed of Adjustment under Hyperinflation and Dollarization","authors":"Strike Mbulawa, N. Okurut, Mogale Ntsosa, N. Sinha","doi":"10.1177/0974910120919023","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/0974910120919023","url":null,"abstract":"Economic challenges in Zimbabwe have resulted in firms being pushed out of their optimal leverage. Firms are faced with the need to move back to the optimal level of financing to improve their value. They tend to adjust quickly to the optimal level whenever failing to do so is costlier. This study employs a dynamic capital structure model to examine the determinants of optimal leverage and the speed of adjustment under a hyperinflation and dollarization period (2000–2016). The study shows that firms have an optimal leverage and there are costs of adjusting to this level of capital. Findings are consistent with theoretical predictions of the static trade-off theory (STT) and agency theory. The adjustment factors for all the models were found to be at least 0.475 and are higher under hyperinflation than under dollarization. Both firm and macroeconomic factors explain the optimal capital structure while the former also explains the speed of adjustment. Policies focusing on improving access to and reducing costs for finance will assist firms to maximize value as they adjust to the desired financing mix. The policies adopted may vary in response to the economic environment.","PeriodicalId":37512,"journal":{"name":"Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-05-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1177/0974910120919023","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46323616","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
Does Foreign Direct Investment Enhance Economic Growth? Evidence from 30 Leading Global Economies 外国直接投资能促进经济增长吗?来自全球30个主要经济体的证据
Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2020-05-01 DOI: 10.1177/0974910120919042
A. Okwu, I. Oseni, R. Obiakor
Investment expenditure is a major component of aggregate macroeconomic variables in any economy, irrespective of the development status. This article employed relevant econometric methodology on panel data environment to analyze the effects of foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows on economic growth of 30 leading global economies during the period between 1998 and 2017. Other variables considered in the analysis were domestic credit to private sector (DCPS), gross fixed capital formation (GFCF), inflation–consumer prices index (INFPC), trade openness (TOPNESS), and youth unemployment (UEMPYT). The results showed mixed growth effects of the variables in general. Specifically, FDI exerted positive and significant effect on economic growth of the countries during the period. Therefore, this article concluded that FDI inflows enhanced economic growth and emphasized the need to foster more FDI-attracting policies as well as adequate GFCF to complement FDIs for sustainable economic growth potentials. JEL Classification: C23, C33, C51, F21, F43, O47.
投资支出是任何经济体总体宏观经济变量的主要组成部分,不论其发展状况如何。本文采用面板数据环境下的相关计量经济学方法,分析了1998 - 2017年外商直接投资(FDI)流入对全球30个主要经济体经济增长的影响。分析中考虑的其他变量包括国内对私营部门的信贷(DCPS)、固定资本形成总额(GFCF)、通货膨胀-消费者价格指数(INFPC)、贸易开放度(TOPNESS)和青年失业率(UEMPYT)。结果表明,总体上各变量的增长效果是混合的。具体而言,FDI对这一时期各国的经济增长产生了积极而显著的影响。因此,本文得出结论,FDI流入促进了经济增长,并强调需要制定更多吸引FDI的政策,以及充足的GFCF来补充FDI,以实现可持续的经济增长潜力。JEL分类:C23, C33, C51, F21, F43, O47。
{"title":"Does Foreign Direct Investment Enhance Economic Growth? Evidence from 30 Leading Global Economies","authors":"A. Okwu, I. Oseni, R. Obiakor","doi":"10.1177/0974910120919042","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/0974910120919042","url":null,"abstract":"Investment expenditure is a major component of aggregate macroeconomic variables in any economy, irrespective of the development status. This article employed relevant econometric methodology on panel data environment to analyze the effects of foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows on economic growth of 30 leading global economies during the period between 1998 and 2017. Other variables considered in the analysis were domestic credit to private sector (DCPS), gross fixed capital formation (GFCF), inflation–consumer prices index (INFPC), trade openness (TOPNESS), and youth unemployment (UEMPYT). The results showed mixed growth effects of the variables in general. Specifically, FDI exerted positive and significant effect on economic growth of the countries during the period. Therefore, this article concluded that FDI inflows enhanced economic growth and emphasized the need to foster more FDI-attracting policies as well as adequate GFCF to complement FDIs for sustainable economic growth potentials. JEL Classification: C23, C33, C51, F21, F43, O47.","PeriodicalId":37512,"journal":{"name":"Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-05-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1177/0974910120919042","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43932272","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 20
Effect of Economic Growth on Unemployment and Validity of Okun’s Law in Mauritius 毛里求斯经济增长对失业的影响及奥肯定律的有效性
Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2020-01-23 DOI: 10.1177/0974910119886934
Usha Devi Chuttoo
This study examines the relationship between unemployment and economic growth in Mauritius. The methodology adopted for this study is the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bounds cointegration test, ARDL error-correction model (ARDL-ECM) using the ordinary least square (OLS) approach and Okun’s law-gap version. ARDL-ECM estimates the long-run and short-run relationship between economic growth and unemployment. The validity of Okun’s law is tested in the Mauritian context and Okun’s coefficient is thereby estimated. The results obtained from the tests show that both in the long run and short run, there is a negative cointegration between economic growth and unemployment, but it is not statistically significant. Whereas, the result of Okun’s law-gap version shows that Okun’s law is indeed valid in the small economy of Mauritius. From the Okun’s coefficient obtained, it is concluded that 4 percent change in gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate changes unemployment rate by 1 percent in the opposite direction in Mauritius.
本研究考察了毛里求斯失业与经济增长之间的关系。本研究采用的方法是自回归分布滞后(ARDL)界协整检验,ARDL误差校正模型(ARDL- ecm)采用普通最小二乘(OLS)方法和Okun 's law-gap版本。ARDL-ECM估计了经济增长与失业之间的长期和短期关系。在毛里求斯的背景下测试了奥肯定律的有效性,并由此估计了奥肯系数。检验结果表明,无论在长期还是短期,经济增长与失业之间都存在负协整关系,但不具有统计学意义。然而,奥肯定律缺口版本的结果表明,奥肯定律在毛里求斯这个小型经济体中确实是有效的。根据得到的奥肯系数,得出的结论是,在毛里求斯,国内生产总值(GDP)增长率的4%变化会使失业率向相反方向变化1%。
{"title":"Effect of Economic Growth on Unemployment and Validity of Okun’s Law in Mauritius","authors":"Usha Devi Chuttoo","doi":"10.1177/0974910119886934","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/0974910119886934","url":null,"abstract":"This study examines the relationship between unemployment and economic growth in Mauritius. The methodology adopted for this study is the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bounds cointegration test, ARDL error-correction model (ARDL-ECM) using the ordinary least square (OLS) approach and Okun’s law-gap version. ARDL-ECM estimates the long-run and short-run relationship between economic growth and unemployment. The validity of Okun’s law is tested in the Mauritian context and Okun’s coefficient is thereby estimated. The results obtained from the tests show that both in the long run and short run, there is a negative cointegration between economic growth and unemployment, but it is not statistically significant. Whereas, the result of Okun’s law-gap version shows that Okun’s law is indeed valid in the small economy of Mauritius. From the Okun’s coefficient obtained, it is concluded that 4 percent change in gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate changes unemployment rate by 1 percent in the opposite direction in Mauritius.","PeriodicalId":37512,"journal":{"name":"Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-01-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1177/0974910119886934","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"44458178","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 6
Strategic Alliance and Its Influence on the Performance of Small- and Medium-scale Enterprises in Enugu State, Nigeria 战略联盟及其对尼日利亚埃努古州中小企业绩效的影响
Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2020-01-13 DOI: 10.1177/0974910119896634
V. Nwokocha, I. Madu
Small- and medium-scale enterprises (SMEs) are the engine of economic growth and equitable development in emerging economies such as Nigeria. Their role in emerging market development can be seen in the areas of capital saving, utilization of local resources, and job creation among others. Enugu State is one of the emerging industrial hubs in Nigeria with SME base of 1,366. The activities of these enterprises have significantly increased the revenue base of the government, making the area an emerging market economy. This study assessed the influence of strategic alliance on the performance of SMEs in Enugu State. A quantitative approach comprising of field observations, reference to relevant literature, and questionnaire survey of 137 SMEs was adopted for the study. Data were analyzed using multiple linear regression. The results revealed that strategic alliance cumulatively led to 0.55 unit increase in sales growth, 0.58 unit increase in growth in market share, and 0.56 unit increase in product success. The result also revealed that that strategic alliance led to 0.76 unit increase in growth in profit, 0.62 unit increase in the number of employees, and 0.73 unit increase in labor productivity at 0.05 level of confidence. The article suggests that institutionalization of strategic alliance would encourage cooperation and interfirm linkages among SMEs and create a niche market for them.
中小企业是尼日利亚等新兴经济体经济增长和公平发展的引擎。它们在新兴市场发展中的作用可以从节省资本、利用当地资源和创造就业等领域看出。埃努古州是尼日利亚新兴的工业中心之一,拥有1366家中小企业。这些企业的活动大大增加了政府的收入基础,使该地区成为新兴市场经济体。本研究评估了战略联盟对埃努古州中小企业绩效的影响。研究采用了定量方法,包括实地观察、参考相关文献和对137家中小企业的问卷调查。数据采用多元线性回归分析。结果显示,战略联盟累计导致销售额增长0.55个单位,市场份额增长0.58个单位,产品成功率增长0.56个单位。结果还显示,在0.05的置信水平下,战略联盟导致利润增长0.76个单位,员工数量增长0.62个单位,劳动生产率增长0.73个单位。文章认为,战略联盟的制度化将鼓励中小企业之间的合作和企业间的联系,并为它们创造一个利基市场。
{"title":"Strategic Alliance and Its Influence on the Performance of Small- and Medium-scale Enterprises in Enugu State, Nigeria","authors":"V. Nwokocha, I. Madu","doi":"10.1177/0974910119896634","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/0974910119896634","url":null,"abstract":"Small- and medium-scale enterprises (SMEs) are the engine of economic growth and equitable development in emerging economies such as Nigeria. Their role in emerging market development can be seen in the areas of capital saving, utilization of local resources, and job creation among others. Enugu State is one of the emerging industrial hubs in Nigeria with SME base of 1,366. The activities of these enterprises have significantly increased the revenue base of the government, making the area an emerging market economy. This study assessed the influence of strategic alliance on the performance of SMEs in Enugu State. A quantitative approach comprising of field observations, reference to relevant literature, and questionnaire survey of 137 SMEs was adopted for the study. Data were analyzed using multiple linear regression. The results revealed that strategic alliance cumulatively led to 0.55 unit increase in sales growth, 0.58 unit increase in growth in market share, and 0.56 unit increase in product success. The result also revealed that that strategic alliance led to 0.76 unit increase in growth in profit, 0.62 unit increase in the number of employees, and 0.73 unit increase in labor productivity at 0.05 level of confidence. The article suggests that institutionalization of strategic alliance would encourage cooperation and interfirm linkages among SMEs and create a niche market for them.","PeriodicalId":37512,"journal":{"name":"Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-01-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1177/0974910119896634","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41635898","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 6
The Thucydides Trap as an Alternative Explanation for the US–China Trade War 修昔底德陷阱:中美贸易战的另一种解释
Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.1177/0974910119896644
I. Moosa
The current trade war between the USA and China is perceived to be motivated by the US desire to curtail the bilateral trade deficit, on the assumption that reducing the deficit boosts economic growth. This flawed proposition indicates gross misunderstanding of the national income identity and the basic principles of macroeconomics. The imposition of tariffs will not reduce the trade deficit as the assumptions and conditions required for a smooth working of the process are unrealistic and counterfactual. The notion of an economic Thucydides trap is put forward to explain why the trade war is motivated by US apprehension about China’s rising economic power.
目前美国和中国之间的贸易战被认为是由美国希望减少双边贸易逆差的愿望所激发的,假设减少逆差可以促进经济增长。这个有缺陷的命题表明了对国民收入同一性和宏观经济学基本原理的严重误解。征收关税不会减少贸易逆差,因为这一进程顺利进行所需的假设和条件是不现实和反事实的。提出经济修昔底德陷阱的概念是为了解释为什么贸易战是由美国对中国经济实力上升的担忧引发的。
{"title":"The Thucydides Trap as an Alternative Explanation for the US–China Trade War","authors":"I. Moosa","doi":"10.1177/0974910119896644","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/0974910119896644","url":null,"abstract":"The current trade war between the USA and China is perceived to be motivated by the US desire to curtail the bilateral trade deficit, on the assumption that reducing the deficit boosts economic growth. This flawed proposition indicates gross misunderstanding of the national income identity and the basic principles of macroeconomics. The imposition of tariffs will not reduce the trade deficit as the assumptions and conditions required for a smooth working of the process are unrealistic and counterfactual. The notion of an economic Thucydides trap is put forward to explain why the trade war is motivated by US apprehension about China’s rising economic power.","PeriodicalId":37512,"journal":{"name":"Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1177/0974910119896644","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41739646","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 10
Brazil in the Context of the Commercial War Between USA and China 中美商战背景下的巴西
Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.1177/2393957519896645
Maria de Fátima Silva do Carmo Previdelli, Luiz Eduardo Simoes de Souza, Rodolfo Francisco Soares Nunes
Since the start of the commercial war between the USA and China in 2018, Brazil has changed many of its previous alliances in order to become the interest representative of the USA in Latin America. After the coup d’état of 2016, Brazil has taken progressive actions in order to distance itself from the previous partners at BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) to get closer to the USA. The arrival of the new Brazilian president in 2019, a declared representative of US interests in the Latin American continent, has increased the pace of such measures. This article aims to explain the main actions taken by the USA and China in that context and how Brazil has adapted to take sides in that scenario, moving away from the BRICS group (now RICS since the B stands for Brazil) and toward the US foreign and economic policies.
自2018年中美商战开始以来,巴西改变了许多以前的联盟,以成为美国在拉丁美洲的利益代表。在2016年的政变之后,巴西采取了进步的行动,与金砖国家(巴西、俄罗斯、印度、中国和南非)的前合作伙伴保持距离,与美国走得更近。巴西新总统于2019年上任,他被宣布为美国在拉美大陆利益的代表,加快了此类措施的步伐。本文旨在解释美国和中国在这一背景下采取的主要行动,以及巴西如何适应在这种情况下站队,从金砖国家集团(现在是RICS,因为B代表巴西)转向美国的外交和经济政策。
{"title":"Brazil in the Context of the Commercial War Between USA and China","authors":"Maria de Fátima Silva do Carmo Previdelli, Luiz Eduardo Simoes de Souza, Rodolfo Francisco Soares Nunes","doi":"10.1177/2393957519896645","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/2393957519896645","url":null,"abstract":"Since the start of the commercial war between the USA and China in 2018, Brazil has changed many of its previous alliances in order to become the interest representative of the USA in Latin America. After the coup d’état of 2016, Brazil has taken progressive actions in order to distance itself from the previous partners at BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) to get closer to the USA. The arrival of the new Brazilian president in 2019, a declared representative of US interests in the Latin American continent, has increased the pace of such measures. This article aims to explain the main actions taken by the USA and China in that context and how Brazil has adapted to take sides in that scenario, moving away from the BRICS group (now RICS since the B stands for Brazil) and toward the US foreign and economic policies.","PeriodicalId":37512,"journal":{"name":"Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1177/2393957519896645","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41848306","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Looking Before Leaping: Can We Afford an Unlimited Trade War Between the World’s Two Largest Economies 三思而后行:我们能承受世界上最大的两个经济体之间的无限制贸易战吗
Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.1177/0974910119896646
Xihui Sun
The Trump administration launched the world’s biggest trade war with China, which is suggestive of its distinctive governing philosophy. Consequently, the trade war with China is not only part of the US policies on China, but also part of the Indo-Pacific strategy of the administration, with aims of both money and containment. In response, China has adopted both hardline and moderate approaches, resolutely fighting back the pressure from the USA and exhibiting restraint in retaliation. However, China and the USA have their own advantages, and the end of the trade war depends on the resolution, willpower, and judgment of the situation. Presently, China is the only country that has the ability and resolution to stand up to the USA to stay the course in the trade war; China’s perseverance and retaliation to the US’ extreme pressure in the trade war temporarily eased the pressure on other countries from the USA. The trade war is damaging to the world and will cause more harm if it goes unchecked. The USA dominates the direction of Sino-US relations, but China’s response also shapes Sino-US relations to a certain extent.
特朗普政府发动了世界上最大的对华贸易战,这表明了其独特的执政哲学。因此,对华贸易战不仅是美国对华政策的一部分,也是政府印太战略的一部分。作为回应,中国采取了强硬和温和的态度,坚决回击美国的压力,并表现出克制的报复态度。然而,中美有各自的优势,贸易战的结束取决于决心、意志力和对局势的判断。目前,中国是唯一有能力和决心对抗美国,在贸易战中坚持到底的国家;中国对美国在贸易战中施加的极端压力的坚持和报复暂时缓解了美国对其他国家的压力。贸易战对世界造成了损害,如果不加以制止,将造成更大的伤害。美国主导着中美关系的走向,但中国的回应也在一定程度上塑造了中美关系。
{"title":"Looking Before Leaping: Can We Afford an Unlimited Trade War Between the World’s Two Largest Economies","authors":"Xihui Sun","doi":"10.1177/0974910119896646","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/0974910119896646","url":null,"abstract":"The Trump administration launched the world’s biggest trade war with China, which is suggestive of its distinctive governing philosophy. Consequently, the trade war with China is not only part of the US policies on China, but also part of the Indo-Pacific strategy of the administration, with aims of both money and containment. In response, China has adopted both hardline and moderate approaches, resolutely fighting back the pressure from the USA and exhibiting restraint in retaliation. However, China and the USA have their own advantages, and the end of the trade war depends on the resolution, willpower, and judgment of the situation. Presently, China is the only country that has the ability and resolution to stand up to the USA to stay the course in the trade war; China’s perseverance and retaliation to the US’ extreme pressure in the trade war temporarily eased the pressure on other countries from the USA. The trade war is damaging to the world and will cause more harm if it goes unchecked. The USA dominates the direction of Sino-US relations, but China’s response also shapes Sino-US relations to a certain extent.","PeriodicalId":37512,"journal":{"name":"Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1177/0974910119896646","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47960144","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
How Resilient Is ASEAN-5 to Trade Shocks? A Comparison of Regional and Global Shocks 东盟五国如何抵御贸易冲击?区域和全球冲击的比较
Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.1177/0974910120906239
M. Raghavan, E. Devadason
This article studies the resilience of the ASEAN region to external shocks amid the unfolding effects of the USA–China trade war. It investigates and compares the effects of regional (ASEAN) and global (USA, China) shocks on ASEAN-5 using a Structural VAR (SVAR) framework. To identify the propagation of economic shocks and spillovers on ASEAN-5, the changing trade links between the economies considered are used to account for time variations spanning the period 1978Q1–2018Q2. Three major results follow from the analyses on trade links and output multiplier effects. First, the response of ASEAN-5 to shocks from the USA and China were more pronounced than regional shocks for the period after the Asian financial crisis. Second, the increasing cumulative impact of China’s shock on ASEAN was congruous to the growing trade links and trade intensities between ASEAN and China. Third, the USA and China were dominant growth drivers for the weaker trade-linked ASEAN partners. Taken together, the results suggest that global shocks matter for the region, and the economic resilience of the region to global shocks depends on indirect effects apart from the direct trade links.
本文研究了在美中贸易战的影响下,东盟地区对外部冲击的抵御能力。利用结构VAR(SVAR)框架,研究并比较了区域(东盟)和全球(美国、中国)冲击对ASEAN-5的影响。为了确定经济冲击和溢出对东盟5国的传播,所考虑的经济体之间不断变化的贸易联系被用来解释1978Q1至2018Q2期间的时间变化。对贸易联系和产出乘数效应的分析得出了三个主要结果。首先,在亚洲金融危机后的一段时间里,东盟五国对美国和中国冲击的反应比地区冲击更为明显。第二,中国冲击对东盟的累积影响越来越大,这与东盟与中国之间日益增长的贸易联系和贸易强度是一致的。第三,美国和中国是贸易联系较弱的东盟伙伴的主要增长动力。总之,研究结果表明,全球冲击对该地区很重要,该地区对全球冲击的经济韧性取决于除直接贸易联系之外的间接影响。
{"title":"How Resilient Is ASEAN-5 to Trade Shocks? A Comparison of Regional and Global Shocks","authors":"M. Raghavan, E. Devadason","doi":"10.1177/0974910120906239","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/0974910120906239","url":null,"abstract":"This article studies the resilience of the ASEAN region to external shocks amid the unfolding effects of the USA–China trade war. It investigates and compares the effects of regional (ASEAN) and global (USA, China) shocks on ASEAN-5 using a Structural VAR (SVAR) framework. To identify the propagation of economic shocks and spillovers on ASEAN-5, the changing trade links between the economies considered are used to account for time variations spanning the period 1978Q1–2018Q2. Three major results follow from the analyses on trade links and output multiplier effects. First, the response of ASEAN-5 to shocks from the USA and China were more pronounced than regional shocks for the period after the Asian financial crisis. Second, the increasing cumulative impact of China’s shock on ASEAN was congruous to the growing trade links and trade intensities between ASEAN and China. Third, the USA and China were dominant growth drivers for the weaker trade-linked ASEAN partners. Taken together, the results suggest that global shocks matter for the region, and the economic resilience of the region to global shocks depends on indirect effects apart from the direct trade links.","PeriodicalId":37512,"journal":{"name":"Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1177/0974910120906239","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46616497","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 4
Private Equity and Venture Capital in China in the Aftermath of the Sino-American Trade Disputes 中美贸易争端后中国的私募股权和风险投资
Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.1177/0974910119896643
M. A. Madi
In the last decade, private equity and venture capital funds have shifted to the Asia-Pacific region. This article aims to contribute to the understanding of the trends in fundraising and capital allocation in the context of the US–China trade disputes and, therefore, to fill the gap in the literature on private equity and venture capital industry.
在过去十年中,私募股权和风险投资基金已转向亚太地区。本文旨在帮助理解中美贸易争端背景下的融资和资本配置趋势,从而填补私募股权和风险投资行业文献的空白。
{"title":"Private Equity and Venture Capital in China in the Aftermath of the Sino-American Trade Disputes","authors":"M. A. Madi","doi":"10.1177/0974910119896643","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/0974910119896643","url":null,"abstract":"In the last decade, private equity and venture capital funds have shifted to the Asia-Pacific region. This article aims to contribute to the understanding of the trends in fundraising and capital allocation in the context of the US–China trade disputes and, therefore, to fill the gap in the literature on private equity and venture capital industry.","PeriodicalId":37512,"journal":{"name":"Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1177/0974910119896643","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"44701497","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
期刊
Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies
全部 Acc. Chem. Res. ACS Applied Bio Materials ACS Appl. Electron. Mater. ACS Appl. Energy Mater. ACS Appl. Mater. Interfaces ACS Appl. Nano Mater. ACS Appl. Polym. Mater. ACS BIOMATER-SCI ENG ACS Catal. ACS Cent. Sci. ACS Chem. Biol. ACS Chemical Health & Safety ACS Chem. Neurosci. ACS Comb. Sci. ACS Earth Space Chem. ACS Energy Lett. ACS Infect. Dis. ACS Macro Lett. ACS Mater. Lett. ACS Med. Chem. Lett. ACS Nano ACS Omega ACS Photonics ACS Sens. ACS Sustainable Chem. Eng. ACS Synth. Biol. Anal. Chem. BIOCHEMISTRY-US Bioconjugate Chem. BIOMACROMOLECULES Chem. Res. Toxicol. Chem. Rev. Chem. Mater. CRYST GROWTH DES ENERG FUEL Environ. Sci. Technol. Environ. Sci. Technol. Lett. Eur. J. Inorg. Chem. IND ENG CHEM RES Inorg. Chem. J. Agric. Food. Chem. J. Chem. Eng. Data J. Chem. Educ. J. Chem. Inf. Model. J. Chem. Theory Comput. J. Med. Chem. J. Nat. Prod. J PROTEOME RES J. Am. Chem. Soc. LANGMUIR MACROMOLECULES Mol. Pharmaceutics Nano Lett. Org. Lett. ORG PROCESS RES DEV ORGANOMETALLICS J. Org. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. A J. Phys. Chem. B J. Phys. Chem. C J. Phys. Chem. Lett. Analyst Anal. Methods Biomater. Sci. Catal. Sci. Technol. Chem. Commun. Chem. Soc. Rev. CHEM EDUC RES PRACT CRYSTENGCOMM Dalton Trans. Energy Environ. Sci. ENVIRON SCI-NANO ENVIRON SCI-PROC IMP ENVIRON SCI-WAT RES Faraday Discuss. Food Funct. Green Chem. Inorg. Chem. Front. Integr. Biol. J. Anal. At. Spectrom. J. Mater. Chem. A J. Mater. Chem. B J. Mater. Chem. C Lab Chip Mater. Chem. Front. Mater. Horiz. MEDCHEMCOMM Metallomics Mol. Biosyst. Mol. Syst. Des. Eng. Nanoscale Nanoscale Horiz. Nat. Prod. Rep. New J. Chem. Org. Biomol. Chem. Org. Chem. Front. PHOTOCH PHOTOBIO SCI PCCP Polym. Chem.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1