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Landslide Susceptibility Assessment in Nepal’s Chure Region: A Geospatial Analysis 尼泊尔 Chure 地区山体滑坡易发性评估:地理空间分析
IF 3.9 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-12-18 DOI: 10.3390/land12122186
Purna Bahadur Thapa, S. Lamichhane, Khagendra Prasad Joshi, Aayoush Raj Regmi, Divya Bhattarai, Hari Adhikari
The Chure Hills, already vulnerable due to their fragile nature, face increased landslide risk, prompting the need for reliable susceptibility assessment. This study uses Poisson regression modeling to assess landslide susceptibility in two highly susceptible districts of the Chure region. Variance inflation factor (VIF) tests were conducted to ensure robustness, indicating no multicollinearity among the variables. Subsequently, Poisson regression analysis identified eight significant variables, among which geology, lineament density, elevation, relief, slope, rainfall, solar radiance, and land cover types emerged as important factors associated with landslide count. The analysis revealed that higher lineament density and slope were associated with lower landslide counts, indicating potential stabilizing geological and topographical influences. The categorical variable, namely geology, revealed that middle Siwalik, upper Siwalik, and quaternary geological formations were associated with lower landslide counts than lower Siwalik. Land cover types, including areas under forest, shrubland, grassland, agricultural land, water bodies, and bare ground, had a substantial significant positive association with landslide count. The generated susceptibility map that exhibited a substantial portion (23.32% in Dang and 5.22% in Surkhet) of the study area fell within the very-high-susceptibility categories, indicating pronounced landslide susceptibility in the Dang and Surkhet districts of the Chure hills. This study offers valuable insights into landslide vulnerability in the Chure region, serving as a foundation for informed decision-making, disaster risk reduction strategies, and sustainable land-use and developmental policy planning.
Chure 丘陵地区因其脆弱的自然环境本已不堪一击,现在又面临着更大的山体滑坡风险,因此需要进行可靠的易感性评估。本研究采用泊松回归模型评估 Chure 地区两个高易受影响地区的滑坡易感性。为确保稳健性,进行了方差膨胀因子(VIF)测试,结果表明变量之间不存在多重共线性。随后,泊松回归分析确定了八个重要变量,其中地质、线状密度、海拔、地形、坡度、降雨量、太阳辐射和土地覆被类型成为与滑坡数量相关的重要因素。分析结果表明,较高的线状密度和坡度与较低的滑坡次数有关,这表明地质和地形具有潜在的稳定作用。地质这一分类变量显示,与下西瓦利克地质相比,中西瓦利克、上西瓦利克和第四纪地质构造与较低的滑坡次数有关。土地覆被类型(包括森林、灌木林、草地、农田、水体和裸地)与滑坡次数呈显著正相关。生成的易滑坡性地图显示,研究区域的很大一部分(宕昌占 23.32%,苏尔凯特占 5.22%)属于极高易滑坡性类别,表明丘陵宕昌和苏尔凯特地区明显易发生滑坡。这项研究为了解 Chure 地区山体滑坡的易发性提供了宝贵的信息,为知情决策、减少灾害风险战略以及可持续土地利用和发展政策规划奠定了基础。
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引用次数: 0
Deciphering the Relationship between Regional Production Factors, Governance, and the Economic Performance of Metropolitan Areas in China 解读区域生产要素、治理与中国大都市区经济绩效之间的关系
IF 3.9 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-12-18 DOI: 10.3390/land12122185
Jia Yan, Zhigang Li, Yi Chen, Juan Zhang, Sifeng Nian
The metropolitan area serves as a vital catalyst for advancing the new urbanization strategy and remains a focal point of current academic research in China. This paper endeavors to explore the developmental mechanisms of China’s metropolitan areas, centering on the circulation of regional production factors within these urban conglomerations. Additionally, it introduces the hypothesis of various spatial governance models for these metropolitan areas. Drawing upon theoretical research, the paper substantiates the hypothesis regarding the development mechanisms and spatial governance model of metropolitan areas through several case studies. Finally, we present the principal research findings concerning the development mechanisms and spatial governance models of China’s metropolitan areas, along with issues in need of further examination.
都市圈是推进新型城镇化战略的重要催化剂,也是当前中国学术研究的焦点。本文以城市群内部的区域生产要素循环为中心,探讨中国大都市区的发展机制。此外,本文还提出了针对这些都市圈的各种空间治理模式的假设。在理论研究的基础上,本文通过若干案例研究,论证了关于都市圈发展机制和空间治理模式的假设。最后,我们提出了有关中国都市圈发展机制和空间治理模式的主要研究成果,以及需要进一步研究的问题。
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引用次数: 0
A Spatio-Temporal Analysis of the Ecological Compensation for Cultivated Land in Northeast China 中国东北地区耕地生态补偿的时空分析
IF 3.9 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-12-17 DOI: 10.3390/land12122179
Lu Wang, Bonoua Faye, Quanfeng Li, Yunkai Li
Ecological compensation for cultivated land is a prominent means to coordinate the protection and utilization of cultivated land ecosystems. This study assessed the ecological compensation for cultivated land, considering both the ecological footprint and value of ecosystem services. We used the ecological footprint model to calculate the ecological footprint and ecological carrying capacity of cultivated land, combined with the value of its ecosystem services, with a focus on estimating its ecological compensation standard, and we analyzed the temporal and spatial distribution characteristics of Northeast China. We found that the ecological footprint and ecological carrying capacity of cultivated land showed a fluctuating growth trend in Northeast China from 2000 to 2020, increasing by 288.83 × 105 ha and 131.37 × 105 ha, respectively. The spatial distribution of cultivated land’s ecological footprint and ecological carrying capacity showed growth from the southwest to the northeast. The value of its ecosystem services presented an overall trend of growth over the past 20 years, increasing by CNY 13.64 billion, or an increase of 12.47%. In terms of spatial distribution, the trends of the ecological compensation for cultivated land showed obvious differences. This study mainly focused on black soil cultivated land, and its results are helpful for governments in different countries solving similar problems in terms of the ecological compensation for cultivated land. This study will provide a valuable reference to measure the compensation standard scientifically and to provide policy recommendations for sustainable cultivated land’s protection and utilization.
耕地生态补偿是协调耕地生态系统保护与利用的重要手段。本研究从生态足迹和生态系统服务价值两个方面对耕地生态补偿进行了评估。我们利用生态足迹模型计算了耕地的生态足迹和生态承载力,结合其生态系统服务价值,重点估算了其生态补偿标准,并分析了中国东北地区的时空分布特征。我们发现,2000-2020 年东北地区耕地生态足迹和生态承载力呈波动增长趋势,分别增加了 288.83×105 公顷和 131.37×105 公顷。耕地生态足迹和生态承载力的空间分布呈现由西南向东北增长的趋势。近 20 年来,耕地生态系统服务价值总体呈增长趋势,增加了 136.4 亿元人民币,增幅为 12.47%。从空间分布来看,耕地生态补偿的变化趋势存在明显差异。本研究主要以黑土耕地为研究对象,研究结果有助于各国政府解决类似的耕地生态补偿问题。本研究将为科学衡量补偿标准提供有价值的参考,并为耕地的可持续保护和利用提供政策建议。
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引用次数: 0
Mapping Firescapes for Wild and Prescribed Fire Management: A Landscape Classification Approach 为野火和规定火源管理绘制火景图:景观分类方法
IF 3.9 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-12-17 DOI: 10.3390/land12122180
Nicholas P. Gould, Lars Y. Pomara, Sandhya Nepal, Scott L. Goodrick, Danny C. Lee
Risks associated with severe wildfire are growing in forest landscapes due to interactions among climate change, fuel accumulation from fire suppression, an expanding wildland–urban interface, and additional factors. People, infrastructure, ecosystem services, and forest health all face varying degrees of risk. The spatial distributions of the many social and ecological factors that influence wildfire, its impacts, and management responses are an important landscape-level context for managing risks and fostering resilient lands and communities. Decision-support tools that integrate these varied distributions can provide a holistic and readily interpreted characterization of landscapes, helping fire management decision making be appropriate, efficient, and effective. Firescapes—landscape types defined in relation to fire, its drivers, and its effects as a socioecological system—fill this role, providing a way to organize and interpret spatial variation along multiple relevant dimensions. We describe a quantitative approach for classifying and mapping firescapes for decision support, using the southeastern United States as a case study. We worked with regional partners to compile relevant large-scale datasets and identify 73 variables for analysis. We used factor analysis to reduce the data to eight factors with intuitive interpretations relevant to fire dynamics, fire history, forest characteristics, climate, conservation and ecosystem service values, social and ecological landscape properties, and social vulnerabilities. We then used cluster analysis on the factors to generate quantitative landscape classes, which we interpreted as nine distinctive firescape classes. The firescapes provide a broad-scale socioecological information context for wildfire risk management and planning. The analytical approach can accommodate different data types at a variety of scales, incorporate new monitoring data as they are available, and can be used under data-driven scenarios to assess possible consequences of future change. The resulting firescape maps can provide decision support to forest managers, planners, and other stakeholders, informing appropriate strategies to manage fire and associated risks, build community and forest resilience to fire, and improve conservation outcomes.
由于气候变化、火灾扑救造成的燃料积累、荒地-城市交接地带的不断扩大以及其他因素之间的相互作用,森林景观中与严重野火相关的风险正在不断增加。人类、基础设施、生态系统服务和森林健康都面临着不同程度的风险。影响野火、其影响及管理对策的众多社会和生态因素的空间分布是管理风险和培育具有抗灾能力的土地和社区的重要景观背景。整合这些不同分布的决策支持工具可以提供一个整体的、易于解读的地貌特征,帮助火灾管理决策变得适当、高效和有效。火灾景观--根据火灾、火灾驱动因素及其作为社会生态系统的影响而定义的景观类型--可以发挥这一作用,提供一种沿着多个相关维度组织和解释空间变化的方法。我们以美国东南部为例,介绍了一种用于决策支持的火灾景观分类和绘图定量方法。我们与地区合作伙伴合作汇编了相关的大规模数据集,并确定了 73 个分析变量。我们使用因子分析将数据简化为八个因子,这些因子与火灾动态、火灾历史、森林特征、气候、保护和生态系统服务价值、社会和生态景观属性以及社会脆弱性相关,并具有直观的解释。然后,我们对这些因子进行聚类分析,得出定量景观类别,并将其解释为九种独特的火景类别。火灾景观为野火风险管理和规划提供了广泛的社会生态信息背景。这种分析方法可以适应各种尺度的不同数据类型,在获得新的监测数据时将其纳入其中,并可在数据驱动的情景下用于评估未来变化可能造成的后果。由此绘制的火景图可为森林管理者、规划者和其他利益相关者提供决策支持,为管理火灾及相关风险、建设社区和森林的抗火能力以及改善保护成果的适当战略提供信息。
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引用次数: 1
Suitability of Valleys of Cantabria Area for a UGGp Proposal 坎塔布里亚地区山谷是否适合 UGGp 建议
IF 3.9 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-12-17 DOI: 10.3390/land12122177
Jaime Bonachea Pico, A. González-Díez, Javier Hernández-Blanco, J. Remondo, Victoria Rivas
UNESCO-designated geoparks, intended for conservation, seek to drive economic development via geological heritage education and tourism. Since 2018, within the framework of the European project Atlantic Geoparks (Interreg Atlantic area program), the Valleys of Cantabria project has been promoted to declare a UNESCO Global Geopark (UGGp) in the Cantabria region (northern Spain). The Valles de Cantabria proposal, aligning with UNESCO objectives, evaluates the region’s geopark potential, emphasizing sustainable development and societal education. Covering 600 km2 in eastern Cantabria, the territory involves 19 municipalities and has a population of 60,600. The geological context, ranging from the Triassic to the Quaternary periods, reflects the complex evolution of this territory, which has been influenced by tectonic forces, geomorphological processes, and sea-level changes. Detailed reviews and fieldwork performed by experts, including university researchers, have identified 66 sites of geological interest (SGI). The geosites, which have different geological–geomorphological significances, have been assessed according to their scientific value (including educational importance), potential of use (mainly geotouristic use), and vulnerability or risk of degradation. The geological heritage is directly related to the high biodiversity of the area. The challenges of this territory, such as depopulation and the low income of the inhabitants, can be improved with the declaration of a geopark, which would help to create new job opportunities related to geotourism and sustainable development. UNESCO recognition could catalyse scientific research, address socioeconomic challenges, and foster rural revitalization, strengthening the symbiotic relationship between geoconservation and local economic growth. Collaboration with other Atlantic geoparks has enabled the exchange of experiences that will hopefully deepen in the future. Consequently, the aim of this work is to explore the potential of this territory in terms of high-quality geological features and biological and cultural heritage, as well as to evaluate the socioeconomic context that makes the territory potentially suitable for promoting a UGGp.
教科文组织指定的地质公园以保护为目的,旨在通过地质遗产教育和旅游推动经济发展。自2018年以来,在欧洲大西洋地质公园项目(Interreg大西洋地区计划)框架内,坎塔布里亚山谷项目一直在推动坎塔布里亚地区(西班牙北部)申报联合国教科文组织全球地质公园(UGGp)。坎塔布里亚山谷提案与联合国教科文组织的目标一致,对该地区的地质公园潜力进行评估,强调可持续发展和社会教育。该地区位于坎塔布里亚东部,面积 600 平方公里,涉及 19 个市镇,人口 60,600 人。从三叠纪到第四纪的地质背景反映了该地区受构造作用、地貌过程和海平面变化影响的复杂演变过程。通过专家(包括大学研究人员)的详细审查和实地考察,确定了 66 处地质遗迹(SGI)。这些地质遗迹具有不同的地质地貌意义,已根据其科学价值(包括教育意义)、利用潜力(主要是地质旅游利用)以及脆弱性或退化风险进行了评估。地质遗产与该地区高度的生物多样性直接相关。该地区面临的挑战,如人口减少和居民收入低,可以通过申报地质公园得到改 善,这将有助于创造与地质旅游和可持续发展有关的新的就业机会。教科文组织的认可可以促进科学研究,应对社会经济挑战,促进农村振兴,加强地 质保护与地方经济增长之间的共生关系。与大西洋其他地质公园的合作促进了经验交流,希望今后能进一步深化。因此,这项工作的目的是探索该地区在优质地质地貌、生物和文化遗产方面的潜力,以及评估使该地区可能适合促进 UGGp 的社会经济背景。
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引用次数: 0
Consistency Analysis of Multi-Source Remote Sensing Land Cover Products in Arid Regions—A Case Study of Xinjiang 干旱地区多源遥感土地覆被产品一致性分析--新疆案例研究
IF 3.9 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-12-17 DOI: 10.3390/land12122178
Shen Liu, Zhonglin Xu, Yuchuan Guo, Tingting Yu, Fujin Xu, Yao Wang
Arid regions are considered to be among the most ecologically fragile and highly sensitive to environmental change globally, and land use and land cover conditions in the region directly influence large-scale ecosystem processes. Currently, thanks to diverse remote sensing platforms, geographers have developed an array of land cover products. However, there are differences between these products due to variations in spatio-temporal resolutions. In this context, assessing the accuracy and consistency of different land cover products is crucial for rationalizing the selection of land cover products to study global or regional environmental changes. In this study, Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region (XUAR) is taken as the study area, and the consistency and performance (type area deviation, spatial consistency, accuracy assessment, and other indexes) of the five land cover products (GlobeLand30, FROM_GLC30, CLCD, GLC_FCS30, and ESRI) were compared and analyzed. The results of the study show that (1) the GlobeLand30 product has the highest overall accuracy in the study area, with an overall accuracy of 84.06%, followed by ESA with 75.57%, while CLCD has the lowest overall accuracy of 70.05%. (2) The consistency between GlobeLand30 and CLCD (area correlation coefficient of 0.99) was higher than that among the other products. (3) Among the five products, the highest consistency was found for water bodies and permanent snow and ice, followed by bare land. In contrast, the consistency of these five products for grassland and forest was relatively low. (4) The full-consistency area accounts for 49.01% of the total study area. They were mainly distributed in areas with relatively homogeneous land cover types, such as the north and south of the Tianshan Mountains, which are dominated by bare land and cropland. In contrast, areas of inconsistency make up only 0.03% and are mostly found in heterogeneous areas, like the transitional zones with mixed land cover types in the Altai Mountains and Tianshan Mountains, or in areas with complex terrain. In terms of meeting practical user needs, GlobeLand30 offers the best comprehensive performance. GLC_FCS30 is more suitable for studies related to forests, while FROM_GLC30 and ESRI demonstrate greater advantages in identifying permanent ice and snow, whereas the performance of CLCD is generally average.
干旱地区被认为是全球生态最脆弱、对环境变化最敏感的地区之一,该地区的土地利用和土地覆被状况直接影响着大规模的生态系统过程。目前,借助各种遥感平台,地理学家已经开发出一系列土地覆被产品。然而,由于时空分辨率的不同,这些产品之间存在差异。因此,评估不同土地覆被产品的准确性和一致性对于合理选择土地覆被产品以研究全球或区域环境变化至关重要。本研究以新疆维吾尔自治区为研究区域,对比分析了五种土地覆被产品(GlobeLand30、FROM_GLC30、CLCD、GLC_FCS30 和 ESRI)的一致性和性能(类型区偏差、空间一致性、精度评估等指标)。研究结果表明:(1)在研究区域内,GlobeLand30 产品的总体精度最高,为 84.06%,其次是 ESA,为 75.57%,而 CLCD 的总体精度最低,为 70.05%。(2) GlobeLand30 与 CLCD 的一致性(面积相关系数为 0.99)高于其他产品。(3) 在五种产品中,水体和永久冰雪的一致性最高,其次是裸地。相比之下,草地和森林的一致性相对较低。(4) 完全一致区域占总研究区域的 49.01%。它们主要分布在土地覆被类型相对单一的地区,如以裸地和耕地为主的天山南北。相比之下,不一致区域仅占 0.03%,且主要分布在异质性区域,如阿尔泰山和天山地区土地覆被类型混合的过渡带,或地形复杂的区域。在满足用户实际需求方面,GlobeLand30 的综合性能最好。GLC_FCS30 更适合与森林相关的研究,而 FROM_GLC30 和 ESRI 在识别永久性冰雪方面表现出更大的优势,而 CLCD 的性能一般。
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引用次数: 0
Associations between Land-Use Patterns and Cardiovascular Disease Mortality in the Beijing—Tianjin–Hebei Megacity Region 京津冀特大城市地区土地利用模式与心血管疾病死亡率之间的关系
IF 3.9 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-12-16 DOI: 10.3390/land12122176
Changcheng Kan, Qiwei Ma, Anqi Liu, Zhaoyu Yuan
Megacity regions where human activities are intensive are key areas for CVD prevention and control in China. Optimizing land-use patterns has been widely recognized as an important public health intervention. Ecological space, agricultural space, and construction space are three basic management objects in China’s new land-use management system. Given that most existing studies focused on a single type of land use, this study treats them as a whole and not only explores the impact of each type, but also systematically investigates the effects of the interactions between any two types of land use and the whole land-use pattern. Specifically, this study first constructs a hierarchical index system, then uses spatial error models (SEM) to explore the global associations between each index and age-standardized CVD mortality rates (ASMRs) and uses the multiple geographical weighted regression model (MGWR) to explore the spatial heterogeneity of factor effects. The possible association between land-use patterns and CVD mortality is then explored, and recommendations for policy formulation are provided. The analysis results show that the overall pattern of moderately decentralized and organically combined land use can control CVD mortality to a certain extent, but the specific influence mechanisms show significant differences according to different land-use types, relationships, and location conditions. First, in terms of single-type land-use distribution, the concentration of ecological space has positive health benefits, while a too high concentration of agricultural space has negative effects. Second, the combination of different types of land use has a significant association with CVD, in which the mixed layout of ecological and agricultural space helps to suppress CVD, while ecological and construction space need to be appropriately regularized and should not be too interspersed. Third, the same index may have different effects in different regions, suggesting that policy makers need to tailor their policies to local conditions.
人类活动密集的大城市地区是中国预防和控制心血管疾病的重点地区。优化土地利用模式已被广泛认为是一项重要的公共卫生干预措施。生态空间、农业空间和建设空间是我国新型土地利用管理制度的三个基本管理对象。鉴于现有研究大多集中于单一类型的土地利用,本研究将它们作为一个整体,不仅探讨了每种类型的影响,还系统地研究了任意两种类型的土地利用之间的相互作用以及整个土地利用模式的影响。具体来说,本研究首先构建了一个分层指标体系,然后利用空间误差模型(SEM)探讨了各指标与年龄标准化心血管疾病死亡率(ASMR)之间的整体关联,并利用多重地理加权回归模型(MGWR)探讨了因子效应的空间异质性。然后探讨了土地利用模式与心血管疾病死亡率之间可能存在的关联,并为政策制定提供了建议。分析结果表明,适度分散、有机结合的土地利用总体格局能在一定程度上控制心血管疾病死亡率,但具体影响机制因土地利用类型、关系和区位条件的不同而存在显著差异。首先,从单一类型的土地利用分布来看,生态空间集中具有正向健康效益,而农业空间过于集中则具有负向效应。第二,不同类型土地利用的组合与心血管疾病有显著关联,其中生态空间和农业空间的混合布局有助于抑制心血管疾病,而生态空间和建设空间需要适当规整,不宜过于穿插。第三,同样的指标在不同地区可能会产生不同的效果,这表明决策者需要因地制宜地制定政策。
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引用次数: 0
“The Urban Poor and Vulnerable Are Hit Hardest by the Heat”: A Heat Equity Lens to Understand Community Perceptions of Climate Change, Urban Heat Islands, and Green Infrastructure "城市贫民和弱势群体受高温影响最严重":从热公平的角度理解社区对气候变化、城市热岛和绿色基础设施的看法
IF 3.9 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-12-16 DOI: 10.3390/land12122174
Mahbubur Meenar, Md. Shahinoor Rahman, Jason Russack, Sarah Bauer, K. Kapri
As the global temperature and rapid urbanization continue to rise, urban heat islands (UHIs) also continue to increase across the world. Following the heat equity concept, UHIs disproportionately impact disadvantaged or overburdened communities. Green infrastructure (GI) has been at the forefront of UHI mitigation efforts, including nature-based solutions like parks, pervious open spaces, wooded areas, green roofs, rain gardens, and shade trees. In this paper, we use a heat equity lens to analyze community perceptions of the intersection of climate change, UHI, and GI in Camden, New Jersey—a post-industrial city with a history of environmental injustices. Based on a mixed-methods analysis of survey responses (n = 107), 11 years of relevant X (formerly Twitter) posts (n = 367), and geospatial data, we present community perceptions of and connections between climate change, UHI, and GI and discuss major themes that emerged from the data: perceived heat inequity in Camden triggers negative emotions; a public knowledge gap exists regarding climate change-UHI-GI connections; and perceived inequitable distribution of GI and certain GI planning and maintenance practices may negatively impact UHI mitigation strategies. We argue these themes are useful to urban planners and relevant professionals while planning for heat equity and mitigating UHI effects in disadvantaged urban communities like Camden.
随着全球气温的不断升高和城市化进程的加快,城市热岛(UHIs)也在全球范围内持续增加。按照热量公平的概念,UHI 对弱势或负担过重的社区影响尤为严重。绿色基础设施(GI)一直处于缓解 UHI 的前沿,包括公园、透水空地、林区、绿色屋顶、雨水花园和遮荫树等基于自然的解决方案。在本文中,我们从热公平的角度出发,分析了新泽西州卡姆登市--一座有着环境不公正历史的后工业化城市--社区对气候变化、超高温和高能效基础设施的相互影响的看法。基于对调查回复(n = 107)、11 年来的相关 X(前 Twitter)帖子(n = 367)和地理空间数据的混合方法分析,我们介绍了社区对气候变化、UHI 和 GI 之间关系的看法,并讨论了从数据中得出的主要主题:卡姆登的高温不公平感会引发负面情绪;在气候变化-UHI-GI 关系方面存在公众知识缺口;GI 的不公平分布以及某些 GI 规划和维护实践可能会对 UHI 缓解战略产生负面影响。我们认为,这些主题对城市规划者和相关专业人士在卡姆登等弱势城市社区规划热公平和减缓超高温影响时很有帮助。
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引用次数: 0
Bridges over the River Turia: Genesis of the Urban History of Valencia 图利亚河上的桥梁:巴伦西亚城市历史的起源
IF 3.9 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-12-16 DOI: 10.3390/land12122175
María-Montiel Durá-Aras, E. Gielen, J. Palencia-Jimenez, Josep Lluís Miralles-García
The foundation of the city of Valencia was created by the Romans on an island formed by the River Turia, strategically located between Carthago Nova (Cartagena) and Tarraco (Tarragona), and is directly connected to the sea. This raises the question of how the elements of access to the city came about and how the river and its bridges might have affected its evolution. This article delves into the study of the origins of the city, with a time frame that extends into the 11th century, the time at which an event took place that confirms one of the major changes in the city’s urban morphology: when it stopped being an island. The intrinsic relationship that exists between bridges and main communication routes as fundamental elements to the access of an island is the driving force behind this article, which is based on research, until now undone, on the existence and construction of the first bridges in the city of Valencia and their influence on the city’s subsequent development. This paper will start by studying the founding and location of this city and will then analyze the communication routes existing at the time. It will also study the communication routes that were created later and how all of them were forced to cross a fluvial accident, the River Turia. For this purpose, the number of bridges built until the city ceased to be an island have been identified, and analyses of their typology, location and who was responsible for them has been carried out to study how they may have affected the normal flow and evolution of the riverbed and their possible influence on the city’s development.
古罗马人在图里亚河形成的岛屿上建立了巴伦西亚城,该岛位于卡塔赫纳(Carthago Nova)和塔拉科(Tarraco)之间,与大海直接相连,地理位置十分优越。这就提出了一个问题:通往城市的要素是如何形成的,河流及其桥梁又是如何影响其演变的。这篇文章深入研究了这座城市的起源,时间范围延伸至 11 世纪,当时发生的一件事证实了这座城市形态的重大变化之一:它不再是一座孤岛。桥梁和主要交通路线是岛屿通行的基本要素,两者之间存在的内在联系是本文的动力所在,本文的基础是对巴伦西亚市第一批桥梁的存在和建造及其对城市后续发展的影响的研究。本文将首先研究这座城市的建立和地理位置,然后分析当时存在的交通路线。本文还将研究后来开辟的交通路线,以及所有这些交通路线是如何被迫跨越图利亚河这一河道事故的。为此,我们确定了在这座城市不再是一座岛屿之前建造的桥梁数量,并分析了这些桥梁的类型、位置和建造者,以研究它们如何影响了河床的正常流动和演变,以及它们对城市发展可能产生的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Wildfire Risk Assessment for Strategic Forest Management in the Southern United States: A Bayesian Network Modeling Approach 美国南部森林战略管理的野火风险评估:贝叶斯网络建模方法
IF 3.9 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-12-16 DOI: 10.3390/land12122172
Sandhya Nepal, Lars Y. Pomara, Nicholas P. Gould, Danny C. Lee
Wildfire occurrences have increased and are projected to continue increasing globally. Strategic, evidence-based planning with diverse stakeholders, making use of diverse ecological and social data, is crucial for confronting and mitigating the associated risks. Prescribed fire, when planned and executed carefully, is a key management tool in this effort. Assessing where prescribed fire can be a particularly effective forest management tool can help prioritize efforts, reduce wildfire risk, and support fire-resilient lands and communities. We collaborated with expert stakeholders to develop a Bayesian network model that integrated a large variety of biophysical, socioecological, and socioeconomic spatial information for the Southeastern United States to quantify where risk is high and where prescribed fire would be efficient in mitigating risk. The model first estimated wildfire risk based on landscape-scale interactions among the likelihoods of fire occurrence and severity and the people and resources potentially exposed—accounting for socioeconomic vulnerabilities as well as key ecosystem services. The model then quantified the potential for risk reduction through prescribed fire, given the existing fuel load, climate, and other landscape conditions. The resulting expected risk estimates show high risk concentrated in the coastal plain and interior highland subregions of the Southern US, but there was considerable variation among risks to different ecosystem services and populations, including potential exposure to smoke emissions. The capacity to reduce risk through fuel reductions was spatially correlated with risk; where these diverged, the difference was largely explained by fuel load. We suggest that both risk and the capacity for risk reduction are important in identifying priorities for management interventions. The model serves as a decision support tool for stakeholders to coordinate large-landscape adaptive management initiatives in the Southern US. The model is flexible with regard to both empirical and expert-driven parameterizations and can be updated as new knowledge and data emerge. The resulting spatial information can help connect active management options to forest management goals and make management more efficient through targeted investments in priority landscapes.
野火发生率已经上升,预计全球范围内还将继续上升。利用各种生态和社会数据,与不同的利益相关者一起制定以证据为基础的战略性规划,对于应对和减轻相关风险至关重要。在这一过程中,审慎规划和执行的规定火种是一种关键的管理工具。评估哪些地方的规定火种可以成为特别有效的森林管理工具,有助于确定工作的优先次序、降低野火风险并支持具有抗火能力的土地和社区。我们与专家利益相关者合作开发了一个贝叶斯网络模型,该模型整合了美国东南部大量的生物物理、社会生态和社会经济空间信息,以量化哪些地方的风险高,哪些地方的明火可以有效地降低风险。该模型首先根据火灾发生的可能性和严重程度与可能暴露在火灾中的人员和资源之间的景观尺度交互作用估算野火风险,同时考虑到社会经济脆弱性以及关键的生态系统服务。然后,该模型根据现有的燃料负荷、气候和其他地貌条件,量化了通过明火降低风险的潜力。由此得出的预期风险估计值显示,高风险集中在美国南部的沿海平原和内陆高原次区域,但不同生态系统服务和人口面临的风险差异很大,包括潜在的烟雾排放风险。通过减少燃料来降低风险的能力与风险在空间上是相关的;在两者存在差异的地方,差异在很大程度上是由燃料负荷造成的。我们认为,风险和降低风险的能力对于确定管理干预措施的优先次序都很重要。该模型可作为利益相关者的决策支持工具,用于协调美国南部的大景观适应性管理措施。该模型在经验和专家驱动的参数设置方面都很灵活,并可随着新知识和新数据的出现而更新。由此产生的空间信息有助于将积极的管理方案与森林管理目标联系起来,并通过对重点景观进行有针对性的投资,提高管理效率。
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引用次数: 1
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Land
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