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Energy Transition and Sustainability 能源转型与可持续性
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-10-15 DOI: 10.5278/IJSEPM.6850
Júlia Seixasa, Poul Alberg Østergaardb, Rasmus Magni Johannsenb, N. Duić
This issue presents some of the latest findings within energy planning research and form a special issue from the 2021 5th Annual Conference of the Portuguese Association of Energy Economics as well as for the 2020 Sustainable Development of Energy, Waste and Environmental Systems conference series. The work presented probes into the effects of the European emissions’ trading system on innovation, and the development of the Chinese wind power industry. Notable is also an analysis of people at Portuguese universities revealing lesser knowledge of renewable energy technologies but a more positive attitude towards this among women – and vice versa among men. EnergyPLAN-based energy systems analyses with cases from Iran and Serbia are presented, and different indicators for energy systems analyses are deliberated in a Mexican context. Marine energy developments in Columbia, the United Kingdom, Canada and Denmark are discussed with a focus on siting and barriers.  Also, barriers against solar energy exploitation in Indonesia are explored as are barriers against energy savings in Nigeria.
本期介绍了能源规划研究中的一些最新发现,并形成了2021年葡萄牙能源经济协会第五届年会以及2020年能源、废物和环境系统可持续发展系列会议的特刊。本研究探讨了欧洲碳排放权交易制度对创新和中国风电产业发展的影响。值得注意的是,一项对葡萄牙大学学生的分析显示,女性对可再生能源技术的了解程度较低,但对可再生能源技术的态度更为积极——男性反之亦然。以伊朗和塞尔维亚为例,介绍了基于energyplan的能源系统分析,并在墨西哥的背景下审议了能源系统分析的不同指标。讨论了哥伦比亚、联合王国、加拿大和丹麦的海洋能源发展,重点是选址和障碍。此外,还探讨了印度尼西亚开发太阳能的障碍以及尼日利亚节约能源的障碍。
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引用次数: 3
National Energy and Climate Planning experiences from EU and Western Balkans: Shortcuts for Republic of Serbia? 欧盟和西巴尔干国家能源和气候规划经验:塞尔维亚共和国的捷径?
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-10-15 DOI: 10.5278/IJSEPM.6300
I. Bijelic, N. Rajakovic
Just in the immediate neighborhood of European Union (EU), Republic of Serbia as one of Western Balkan (WB) countries is lagging behind in the energy transition regardless technological advances and policy instruments available. EU created a momentum for the energy transition acceleration with the European Green Deal, which is forwarded to the WB through the Energy Community secretariat as Green agenda and in general, the response in the form of National Energy and Climate Plans (NECPs) is expected in the short to midterm.  Republic of Serbia’s Low Carbon Development Strategy with Action plan (LEDS) and current Energy Strategy will be analyzed, commented and improvements suggested for the acceleration of the energy transition, based on the newest findings from the simulation-based optimization techniques using the sectors coupling approach. Furthermore, integrated assessment modeling (IAM) techniques, exploring the climate and energy cross impacts with the more details will be included. The purpose of the research is to provide the decision makers in Serbia with the best available insights regarding sustainable energy systems planning tools, possible shortcuts for delayed planning activities and Serbians with better chance to benefit from adoption of these strategies in faster transition.
就在欧盟(EU)的近邻,塞尔维亚共和国作为西巴尔干(WB)国家之一,无论技术进步和政策工具如何,它在能源转型方面都落后于欧盟。欧盟通过《欧洲绿色协议》(European Green Deal)为加速能源转型创造了势头,该协议通过能源共同体秘书处作为绿色议程提交给世界银行,总体而言,预计将在中短期内以国家能源和气候计划(NECPs)的形式作出回应。基于使用部门耦合方法的基于模拟的优化技术的最新发现,将分析、评论塞尔维亚共和国的低碳发展战略与行动计划(led)和当前的能源战略,并提出加快能源转型的改进建议。此外,将包括综合评估模型(IAM)技术,探索气候和能源交叉影响的更多细节。这项研究的目的是为塞尔维亚的决策者提供关于可持续能源系统规划工具的最佳见解,为延迟的规划活动提供可能的捷径,并使塞尔维亚人有更好的机会在更快的过渡中采用这些战略。
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引用次数: 0
A development of indicators for the sustainability assessment of the Mexican power system planning 为墨西哥电力系统规划的可持续性评估制定指标
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-10-15 DOI: 10.5278/IJSEPM.6572
Ulises Hernandez-Hurtado, C. Martin-Del-Campo
Countries with emerging economies face a significant challenge when developing strategies to move towards a low emission energy system and keep their economies growing. The power System plays a crucial role in these strategies and by the correct measurement of its sustainability is possible to identify which alternative improves sustainability the most. This article proposes indicators for the evaluation and assessment of the sustainability of Mexican Power System planning scenarios put forward by two government administrations with a study horizon to 2030. The scenarios are characterized by the program of additions and retirements of generating capacity along the period of 2019 to 2030, and eventually, optimal dispatch was obtained to accomplish the hourly demand. Sustainability indicators were developed and calculated to evaluate the energy security, energy equity and environmental sustainability dimensions. Subsequently the indicators were fed to the Position Vector of Minimum Regret Analysis as multicriteria decision analysis. By analysing the results, it is highlighted that the expansion of power grid capacity, as well as the hourly availability of hydro plants improve the sustainability of the Mexican Power System. The comparison between both scenarios’ performance, based on the Energy Trilemma, indicates that the current government’s planning is slightly more sustainable.
新兴经济体国家在制定向低排放能源体系迈进的战略和保持经济增长方面面临着重大挑战。电力系统在这些战略中起着至关重要的作用,通过正确衡量其可持续性,可以确定哪种替代方案最能提高可持续性。本文提出了两个政府部门提出的墨西哥电力系统规划情景可持续性评价和评估指标,研究范围为2030年。以2019年至2030年的新增和退役发电能力规划为特征,最终获得满足小时需求的最优调度。制定并计算了可持续性指标,以评估能源安全、能源公平和环境可持续性维度。然后将这些指标输入到最小后悔分析的位置向量中作为多准则决策分析。通过分析结果,强调了电网容量的扩大以及水力发电厂的小时可用性提高了墨西哥电力系统的可持续性。根据能源三难困境对两种情况的表现进行比较,表明当前政府的规划略微更具可持续性。
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引用次数: 4
The role of small-scale and community-based projects in future development of the marine energy sector 小型和社区项目在海洋能源部门未来发展中的作用
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-10-15 DOI: 10.5278/IJSEPM.6657
Nikolaos Proimakis, Hooper Tara, Poul Alberg Østergaard
Despite high expectations for the sector, most marine energy technologies remain in the research and development, or at best demonstration, phase. The industry is in a period of stagnation, and requires new approaches to overcome the challenges that inhibit widespread deployment. Small-scale initiatives have proven to be a successful means of developing other renewable technologies but their role in supporting marine energy is not well researched. This paper provides a review of the barriers and opportunities presented by different policy landscapes, financial support mechanisms, markets, key actors, and wider regulatory and governance issues. Semi-structured interviews with marine energy stakeholders from the UK, Canada and Denmark were used to explore the role of small-scale marine energy projects, and were supplemented by interviews with the general public in England. This showed that while marine energy is appropriately scalable for local projects, financing remains a major hurdle. Discretionary local authority finance, as well as other novel options such as crowdfunding, tends to be relatively modest, supporting the argument for small-scale projects. A market for smaller devices exists, particularly for remote communities currently dependent on expensive energy from oil-fired generators. There remains a significant role for small-scale projects in testing the technology, contributing to reductions in cost and environmental risk. Current processes for environmental impact assessment can present a significant hurdle for small projects, but proportionate, adaptive assessments are evolving. Finally, community ownership and public participation have the potential to increase advocacy for the industry, with multi-actor partnerships presenting a positive way forward.
尽管对该行业寄予厚望,但大多数海洋能源技术仍处于研发阶段,或者充其量只是示范阶段。该行业正处于停滞期,需要新的方法来克服阻碍广泛部署的挑战。小规模举措已被证明是开发其他可再生技术的成功手段,但它们在支持海洋能源方面的作用尚未得到充分研究。本文回顾了不同的政策格局、金融支持机制、市场、关键参与者以及更广泛的监管和治理问题所带来的障碍和机遇。对来自英国、加拿大和丹麦的海洋能源利益攸关方进行了半结构化访谈,以探讨小型海洋能源项目的作用,并辅以对英国公众的访谈。这表明,尽管海洋能源在当地项目中具有适当的可扩展性,但融资仍然是一个主要障碍。自由支配的地方当局融资,以及众筹等其他新颖的选择,往往相对温和,支持小规模项目的论点。小型设备存在市场,尤其是对于目前依赖燃油发电机昂贵能源的偏远社区。小型项目在测试这项技术方面仍然发挥着重要作用,有助于降低成本和环境风险。目前的环境影响评估程序可能会给小型项目带来重大障碍,但相称的适应性评估正在发展。最后,社区所有权和公众参与有可能增加对该行业的宣传,多方合作伙伴关系是一条积极的前进道路。
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引用次数: 5
Evaluation of China’s policy for wind power development from the new structural economics perspective 新结构经济学视角下的中国风电发展政策评价
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-10-15 DOI: 10.5278/IJSEPM.6563
Paweł Brusiło
The Chinese energy transition, as a shift from fossil fuels to renewable energy sources, involves the dynamic growth of wind power’s importance in a national energy mix. The development of the wind power industry in this country is intertwined with the implemented policies that translated to the significant increase in energy generation from this power source and the growth of trade volumes of wind power products. This research aims to review and analyse the China's policy that impacted wind power development in 2000-2019. The author aims to evaluate the efficiency of implemented policies and strategies from the perspective of the new structural economics assumptions and the revealed comparative advantage of the Chinese wind energy products. In addition to the review of scientific literature and policy documents, as well as analysis of the relevant trade and energy indicators, the method applied in this research is a calculation of the Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA) index. The results provide pieces of evidence that despite the substantial development of the Chinese wind power industry on a national scale, this country still has not revealed a comparative advantage globally. However, the results also suggest that the Chinese wind power industry is on the right track to achieve export specialisation soon. Furthermore, the China's policy for wind power development matches the new structural economics assumptions. The presented insight into studied industry blazes the trail for other countries, which consider following the Chinese development path by shaping the growth of leading-edge industries and the energy transition process throughout various state interventions.
中国能源转型,从化石燃料向可再生能源的转变,涉及到风电在国家能源结构中的重要性的动态增长。该国风电行业的发展与实施的政策交织在一起,这些政策转化为该能源发电量的大幅增加和风电产品贸易量的增长。本研究旨在回顾和分析2000-2019年影响风电发展的中国政策。作者旨在从新的结构经济学假设和中国风能产品所揭示的比较优势的角度来评估所实施的政策和战略的效率。除了对科学文献和政策文件的审查,以及对相关贸易和能源指标的分析外,本研究中应用的方法是计算揭示的比较优势(RCA)指数。研究结果表明,尽管中国风电产业在全国范围内取得了长足发展,但在全球范围内仍没有显示出比较优势。然而,研究结果也表明,中国风电行业正走在很快实现出口专业化的正确轨道上。此外,中国的风电发展政策符合新的结构经济学假设。对所研究行业的见解为其他国家开辟了道路,这些国家考虑遵循中国的发展道路,在各种国家干预中塑造前沿行业的增长和能源转型过程。
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引用次数: 2
Women vs Men: Who performs better on Energy Literacy? 女性和男性:谁在能源知识方面表现更好?
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-10-15 DOI: 10.5278/IJSEPM.6516
A. Martins, M. Madaleno, M. F. Dias
Energy literacy is seen as one of the most powerful tools, available to ordinary people, to contribute to a more sustainable world. Since women tend to be considered the main caregivers, due to their maternal instinct, being generally more attentive, more altruistic, and more concerned with the future of their children, are women more involved in the transition to a more sustainable future? To answer this question, we seek to assess the literacy levels of Portuguese university members and explore the differences between men and women. Using the Heteroskedastic Ordered Probit, we found that women tend to have lower levels of knowledge about energy, but a more positive and sustainable attitude and behavior.
能源知识被视为最强大的工具之一,普通人可以获得,为一个更可持续的世界做出贡献。由于女性的母性本能,她们往往被认为是主要的照顾者,通常更细心,更无私,更关心孩子的未来,那么女性是否更多地参与到向更可持续的未来的过渡中呢?为了回答这个问题,我们试图评估葡萄牙大学成员的文化水平,并探讨男女之间的差异。利用异方差有序概率,我们发现女性对能量的认识水平往往较低,但她们的态度和行为更积极、更可持续。
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引用次数: 2
Optimal Design of District Heating Networks with Distributed Thermal Energy Storages – Method and Case Study 分布式蓄热区域供热网络的优化设计——方法与案例研究
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-05-18 DOI: 10.5278/IJSEPM.6248
J. Röder, Benedikt Meyer, Uwe Krien, Joris Zimmermann, T. Stührmann, E. Zondervan
District heating systems have a great potential for supporting the energy transition towards a renewa-ble energy system, and could also be an option in less dense populated urban districts and rural communities with a medium heat density. In these cases, distributed thermal energy storages at each building could improve the overall system performance by enabling a leaner sizing of the piping sys-tems due to peak-shaving and reducing the heat losses of the distribution grid. But how can distribut-ed storages already be considered within the design of the district heating network itself? And what are the quantitative benefits with respect to the district heating piping system? This paper answers these questions and presents an open-source optimisation approach for designing the piping network of a district heating system. This includes the optimisation of the network topology, the dimensioning of the pipes, and the consideration of distributed storage options. A linear mixed-integer program-ming model with a high spatial resolution including heat storages at each customer has been imple-mented. Within the QUARREE100 project, the approach is demonstrated on a real world case of an existing district with 129 houses in the provincial town Heide in Northern Germany. In the scenario with 1 m³ heat storages, the thermal losses of the district heating network can be reduced by 10.2 % and the total costs by 13.1 %.
区域供暖系统在支持能源向可再生能源系统过渡方面具有巨大潜力,在人口密度较低的城市地区和中等热密度的农村社区也是一种选择。在这些情况下,由于调峰和减少配电网的热损失,每个建筑物的分布式热能存储可以通过简化管道系统的尺寸来提高整个系统的性能。但是,在区域供暖网络本身的设计中,如何考虑分布式存储?区域供暖管道系统的数量效益是什么?本文回答了这些问题,并提出了一种用于设计区域供暖系统管网的开源优化方法。这包括优化网络拓扑、确定管道尺寸以及考虑分布式存储选项。实现了一个具有高空间分辨率的线性混合整数规划ming模型,该模型包括每个客户的储热器。在QUARREE100项目中,该方法在德国北部省镇海德的一个现有地区的真实案例中进行了演示,该地区有129栋房屋。在1 m³储热的情况下,区域供热网络的热损失可以减少10.2%,总成本可以减少13.1%。
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引用次数: 15
Is local always best? Social acceptance of small hydropower projects in Norway 本地的总是最好的吗?挪威小水电项目的社会接受度
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-05-18 DOI: 10.5278/IJSEPM.6444
B. J. Rygg, M. Ryghaug, Gunnar Yttri
Small-scale development of renewable energy has been identified as one possible solution to meet future energy needs and is well aligned with the general European trend towards further development of community energy projects. Increased local energy production will move energy plants closer to habitation, placing aspects related to social acceptance at the center stage [1, 2]. Until recently, small hydro power [3] projects in Norway have been owned by local farmers and others with property rights to rivers. As the profitability of these projects has decreased, international investors have taken interest in SHP projects as part of their long-term investment strategy. In this paper, we study what influences social acceptance of SHP projects in Norway based on interviews and qualitative data from different SHP projects in Norway. We find that community energy projects often are attributed positive qualities when ownership is local. Thus, we argue that there is a need to consider more thoroughly how to organize ownership of small-scale renewables in the future, if it is to uphold its position as a popular and viable solution to meet future energy needs [3].
可再生能源的小规模发展已被确定为满足未来能源需要的一种可能的解决办法,并且与欧洲进一步发展社区能源项目的总体趋势十分一致。当地能源生产的增加将使能源工厂离居住地更近,将与社会接受度相关的方面置于中心位置[1,2]。直到最近,挪威的小型水力发电项目一直由当地农民和其他拥有河流产权的人所有。由于这些项目的盈利能力下降,国际投资者对SHP项目产生了兴趣,并将其作为长期投资战略的一部分。本文通过访谈和挪威不同小水电项目的定性数据,研究影响挪威小水电项目社会接受度的因素。我们发现,当所有权属于当地时,社区能源项目往往被归因于积极的品质。因此,我们认为,如果要维护其作为满足未来能源需求的流行和可行解决方案的地位,就有必要更彻底地考虑未来如何组织小规模可再生能源的所有权。
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引用次数: 7
Disruption, disaster and transition: Analysis of electricity usage in Japan from 2005 to 2016 中断、灾难和转型:2005年至2016年日本电力使用分析
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-05-18 DOI: 10.5278/IJSEPM.6327
Kelly D’alessandro, Andrew J. Chapman, P. Dargusch
This research analyzes the changes to electricity generation and demand in Japan following both the Global Financial Crisis and Disaster of March 2011. Monthly electricity demand and generation data for all regions of Japan from April 2005 to March 2016 were reviewed to identify differences in disruption-response between different types of electricity users. We apply inferential statistics to identify underlying trends, which we find are dominated by differences in user scale response. Higher capacity users reduced demand in response to the Global Financial Crisis, whereas smaller domestic scale users reduced electricity demand after the Disaster. Analysis reveals that regions within the 50Hz grid that were directly impacted by the Fukushima event and resulting load restrictions showed a statistically significant sustained reduction in monthly electricity demand post-disaster. However, Kansai and Shikoku, regions that are both outside the area directly impacted by the Fukushima event, also showed the same sorts of sustained significant reductions. By considering two disruptions to the same sociotechnical system we can draw conclusions that add to the discourse of electricity use behaviors, which informs both disaster response planning and policy for the broader issues of electricity demand reduction for climate stabilisation. In particular, the results highlight the importance of tailoring engagement and intervention actions to the preferences and needs of different types of electricity users.
本研究分析了2011年3月全球金融危机和灾难后日本发电和需求的变化。审查了2005年4月至2016年3月日本所有地区的月度电力需求和发电数据,以确定不同类型电力用户在中断响应方面的差异。我们应用推断统计学来识别潜在的趋势,我们发现这些趋势主要由用户规模反应的差异决定。高容量用户减少了对全球金融危机的需求,而国内规模较小的用户在灾难后减少了电力需求。分析显示,50Hz电网内直接受到福岛事件和由此产生的负荷限制影响的地区显示,灾后每月电力需求在统计上显著持续减少。然而,关西和四国这两个直接受福岛事件影响的地区也表现出了同样的持续大幅减少。通过考虑对同一社会技术系统的两次破坏,我们可以得出结论,为电力使用行为的讨论增添内容,从而为减少电力需求以稳定气候等更广泛问题的救灾规划和政策提供信息。特别是,研究结果强调了根据不同类型电力用户的偏好和需求调整参与和干预行动的重要性。
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引用次数: 1
Methodology to design district heating systems with respect to local energy potentials, CO2-emission restrictions, and federal subsidies using oemof 根据当地能源潜力、二氧化碳排放限制和使用oemof的联邦补贴设计区域供暖系统的方法
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-05-18 DOI: 10.5278/IJSEPM.6323
M. Kersten, M. Bachmann, Tongchao Guo, M. Kriegel
To combine a variety of different heat generating technologies, static design methods will not be sufficient to design future heat supply systems. New energy system design approaches are being developed with consideration of fluctuating renewable energy sources, different subsidy measures, as well as CO2-emission reduction targets. The motive of this study is to develop a new methodology to design and optimise an energy system considering these constraints. The methodology is developed based on the Open Energy Modelling Framework (oemof) and applied on a sub-urban region in northern Germany. Local specifics of energy source potentials are taken into account. It adapts the boundary conditions of a German federal funding program for innovative heat supply networks “Heating Network Systems 4.0.” Federal funding restrictions of combined heat and power systems and self-consumption are also considered. An economic optimisation was conducted considering a variety of energy sources. Cost optimal energy system design was computed regarding investments costs, energy prices and annual CO2-emission restrictions. The integration of combined heat and power (CHP), photovoltaic (PV) and heat pump (HP) systems in combination with storage size optimisation can reduce CO2-emission of heat production by approx. 69% compared to the current state of heat production.
将各种不同的发热技术相结合,静态设计方法将不足以设计未来的供热系统。正在制定新的能源系统设计方法,考虑到波动的可再生能源、不同的补贴措施以及二氧化碳减排目标。本研究的目的是开发一种新的方法来设计和优化考虑这些约束的能源系统。该方法基于开放能源建模框架(oemof)开发,并应用于德国北部的一个亚城市地区。考虑了能源潜力的局部细节。它适应了德国联邦资助创新供热网络“热网系统4.0”计划的边界条件。还考虑了热电联产系统和自耗的联邦资助限制。对各种能源进行了经济优化。根据投资成本、能源价格和年度二氧化碳排放限制计算成本最优能源系统设计。热电联产(CHP)、光伏发电(PV)和热泵(HP)系统的集成,再加上存储规模的优化,与当前的热生产状态相比,可以将热生产的二氧化碳排放量减少约69%。
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引用次数: 5
期刊
International Journal of Sustainable Energy Planning and Management
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