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Waste-heat utilization potential in a hydrogen-based energy system - An exploratory focus on Italy 氢基能源系统的废热利用潜力-意大利的探索性重点
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-05-18 DOI: 10.5278/IJSEPM.6292
Francesco Mezzera, F. Fattori, A. Dénarié, M. Motta
The target of the full decarbonisation by 2050 requires high penetration of renewables, with the development of overgeneration situations in the energy system. Hydrogen and electro-fuels could play a key role in hard-to-abate sectors and in grid balancing. By means of the developed NEMeSI model we study the Italian future energy mix, including several Power-to-X (P2X) options to accommodate high RES introduction. The model is set to solve a linear optimization problem, by optimizing the use of resources through the minimization of the supply costs. The use of excess power from renewables is evaluated in solutions such as hydrogen production and electro-fuels synthesis, coupled to Power-to-Heat and storage systems. The model studies the Italian case in a decarbonised scenario and provides an estimation of potential waste heat recovery from the P2X processes, differentiating from low to high temperature waste heat. Waste heat can be used for district heating purposes or for power generation via organic Rankine cycle. Both high and low temperature heat recovery show a potential in the order of tens of TWh, with a preference for power generation use.
到2050年实现全面脱碳的目标需要可再生能源的高渗透率,同时能源系统中发电过剩的情况也在发展。氢和电燃料可以在难以减少的部门和电网平衡中发挥关键作用。通过开发的NEMeSI模型,我们研究了意大利未来的能源结构,包括几种Power-to-X (P2X)选项,以适应高RES的引入。该模型被设置为解决一个线性优化问题,通过最小化供应成本来优化资源的使用。利用可再生能源产生的多余电力,在氢气生产和电燃料合成等解决方案中进行评估,并与电-热和存储系统相结合。该模型研究了意大利在脱碳情景下的案例,并提供了对P2X过程中潜在废热回收的估计,区分了低温废热和高温废热。余热可用于区域供热或通过有机朗肯循环发电。高温和低温热回收都显示出几十太瓦时的潜力,并优先用于发电。
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引用次数: 3
Energy System Optimization including Carbon-Negative Technologies for a High-Density Mixed-Use Development 包括负碳技术在内的高密度混合用途开发的能源系统优化
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-05-18 DOI: 10.5278/IJSEPM.5843
W. Bowley, R. Evins
IIn this paper, we use the ‘energy hub’ optimization model to perform a multi-objective analysis on a high-density mixed-use development (termed the ‘mothership’) under different scenarios and compare these results to appropriate base cases. These scenarios explore how the optimal energy system changes under different assumptions, including a high carbon tax, net metering, net-zero emissions and negative emissions, as well as two different electrical grid carbon intensities. We also include ‘carbon negative’ technologies involving biochar production, to explore the role that such processes can play in reducing the net emissions of energy systems. The annualized cost and total emissions of the mothership with a simple energy system are 4 and 8.7 times lower respectively than a base case using single detached homes housing the same population, due to the more efficient form and hence lower energy demand. Of the scenarios examined, it is notable that the case with the lowest annualized cost was one with a net-zero carbon emissions restriction. This gave an annualized cost of CAD 2.98M, which 36% lower than the base case annualized cost of CAD 4.66M. This relied upon the carbon negative production and sale of biochar. All scenarios examined had lower annualized costs than the base cases with many of the cases having negative operating costs (generating profit) due to the sale of renewable energy or carbon credits. This illustrates that the integration of renewable energy technologies is not only beneficial for reducing emissions but can also provide an income stream. These results give hope that suitably optimized urban developments may be able to implement low cost solutions that have zero net emissions.
在本文中,我们使用“能源枢纽”优化模型对不同场景下的高密度混合用途开发项目(称为“母舰”)进行了多目标分析,并将这些结果与适当的基本情况进行了比较。这些场景探讨了最佳能源系统在不同假设下的变化,包括高碳税、净计量、净零排放和负排放,以及两种不同的电网碳强度。我们还包括涉及生物炭生产的“负碳”技术,以探索这些过程在减少能源系统净排放方面可以发挥的作用。具有简单能源系统的母船的年成本和总排放量分别是使用容纳相同人口的独立式住宅的基本情况的4倍和8.7倍,这是因为其形式更高效,因此能源需求更低。在所研究的情景中,值得注意的是,年化成本最低的案例是净零碳排放限制的案例。这使得年化成本为298万加元,比4.66万加元的基本情况年化成本低36%。这取决于生物炭的负碳生产和销售。所检查的所有情景的年化成本都低于基本情景,其中许多情景由于出售可再生能源或碳信用而产生负运营成本(产生利润)。这表明,整合可再生能源技术不仅有利于减少排放,还可以提供收入来源。这些结果给人们带来了希望,即适当优化的城市发展可能能够实施零净排放的低成本解决方案。
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引用次数: 2
A validated method to assess the network length and the heat distribution costs of potential district heating systems in Italy 评估意大利潜在区域供暖系统网络长度和热分配成本的有效方法
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-05-18 DOI: 10.5278/IJSEPM.6322
A. Dénarié, Samuel Macchi, F. Fattori, Giulia Spirito, M. Motta, U. Persson
The evaluation of the district heating network investment costs requires knowledge of its topology. However, when assessing district heating potential, the topology is not known a priori and a simulation is required. One method for the generation of simulated networks involves the use of Minimum Spanning Tree, from the graph theory. In this work a method that simulate the network through MST is presented. The census sections borders and local road networks are used as inputs for the identification of the MST. The method has been validated by running experimental simulations in areas where the district heating is already present, allowing the comparison of the respective lengths. The validation showed a variable but systematic overestimation. The study of the error has brought to defining correlations correcting the length of the MST. The MST has been then used together with real networks lengths to elaborate a novel equation describing the effective width in correlation with the number of building ratio instead of plot ratio. The new expression confirms the exponential tendency of the effective width and gives higher results for Italian cities then for Scandinavian ones, showing an important impact of city structure in the curve. The city of Milano is finally used as a case study to show the effects of using the updated effective width curve.
区域供热网络投资成本的评估需要了解其拓扑结构。然而,在评估区域供暖潜力时,拓扑结构不是先验的,需要进行模拟。生成模拟网络的一种方法涉及使用图论中的最小生成树。本文提出了一种通过MST对网络进行仿真的方法。人口普查区边界和当地道路网被用作确定MST的输入。该方法已通过在已经存在区域供暖的地区进行实验模拟进行了验证,从而可以比较各自的长度。验证显示了一个可变但系统性的高估。对误差的研究为定义校正MST长度的相关性带来了帮助。然后,将MST与实际网络长度一起使用,以阐述一个新的方程,该方程描述了与建筑比例而非容积率的数量相关的有效宽度。新的表达式证实了有效宽度的指数趋势,意大利城市的结果高于斯堪的纳维亚城市,显示了城市结构对曲线的重要影响。最后以米兰市为例,展示了使用更新后的有效宽度曲线的效果。
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引用次数: 6
Techno-economic evaluation of electricity price-driven heat production of a river water heat pump in a German district heating system 德国区域供暖系统河水热泵发电电价驱动的技术经济评价
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-05-18 DOI: 10.5278/IJSEPM.6291
Ulrich Trabert, M. Jesper, Weena Bergstraesser, Isabelle Best, Oleg Kusyy, J. Orozaliev, K. Vajen
Large scale heat pumps (HP) are an important technology that will link district heating (DH) systems to the electricity sector in future smart energy systems. This paper examines the feasibility of the integration of a river water HP at a combined heat and power plant in Germany. It is part of a more extensive study about the transformation of a DH system in an urban district towards a 4th generation DH system. The focus is on operational characteristics and economic efficiency of electricity price-driven heat production. A novel method for estimating the coefficient of performance (COP) of two-stage ammonia HPs based on the difference between sink and source temperature is presented. The HP achieves a seasonal COP in the range of 3.4 to 3.7. The 15-year simulation with the software energyPRO shows that electricity-price driven operation is especially relevant for lower heat loads during the non-heating season. The correlation between volatility of electricity market price change and flexible operation is analysed. Finally, the levelized cost of heat for four designs with heat outputs of the HP from 4.7 MWth to 6.1 MWth and increasing storage sizes are compared. The results indicate that electricity costs are reduced in more flexible systems, but cost parity to the minimum dimensioning is not yet reached with the underlying economic framework conditions. However, the parameters that benefit the economic efficiency of more flexible systems are discussed.
在未来的智能能源系统中,大型热泵(HP)是将区域供暖(DH)系统与电力部门连接起来的一项重要技术。本文考察了在德国热电联产厂整合河水HP的可行性。这是关于将城市地区的DH系统转变为第四代DH系统的更广泛研究的一部分。重点关注电价驱动的供热生产的运营特点和经济效益。提出了一种基于热源和水槽温度差估计两级氨热泵性能系数的新方法。HP的季节性COP在3.4到3.7之间。使用energyPRO软件进行的15年模拟表明,电价驱动的运行与非供暖季节较低的热负荷特别相关。分析了电力市场价格波动与灵活运行之间的相关性。最后,比较了HP的热输出从4.7MWth到6.1MWth以及增加存储尺寸的四种设计的平准化热成本。结果表明,在更灵活的系统中,电力成本降低了,但在基本的经济框架条件下,尚未达到与最小规模的成本平价。然而,讨论了有利于更灵活系统经济效率的参数。
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引用次数: 3
Energy hub optimization framework based on open-source software & data - review of frameworks and a concept for districts & industrial parks 基于开源软件和数据的能源枢纽优化框架——对框架的回顾和针对区域和工业园区的概念
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-05-18 DOI: 10.5278/IJSEPM.6243
Markus Groissböck
Multi-model energy systems are gaining importance in a world where different types of energy, such as electricity, natural gas, hydrogen, and hot water, are used to create more complex but also more economic energy systems to support deep decarbonization.  While the research community is using open source for a long-time collaborative work on open-source tools is not yet the norm within the research community.  To increase the open and sharing efforts between research organizations governments are driving publicly funded projects to share their outcomes.  The proposed open-source framework is based on the principle of maximizing the reuse of existing data, software snippets and packages, and add individual code only as necessary.  A screening of more than hundred software packages identified six suitable open-source frameworks to be partly incorporated into the new open-source framework.  The best parts of each of these frameworks are combined in a way that utilizes limited human resources in an optimal way.  To further improve the so created energy system framework additional features such as a scenery model to incorporate shadowing and elevation effects on conventional and renewable power generation technologies are included.  Going forward, this approach allows to expand research into urban air assessment in which traffic and energy emissions can be assessed jointly.
在电力、天然气、氢气和热水等不同类型的能源被用于创建更复杂但也更经济的能源系统以支持深度脱碳的世界中,多模型能源系统正变得越来越重要。虽然研究社区正在使用开源进行长期的协作,但开源工具的工作尚未成为研究社区的规范。为了加强研究机构之间的开放和共享努力,政府正在推动公共资助的项目共享其成果。提议的开源框架基于最大限度地重用现有数据、软件片段和包的原则,并仅在必要时添加单独的代码。筛选了一百多个软件包,确定了六个合适的开源框架,将其部分纳入新的开源框架。这些框架的最佳部分以一种以最佳方式利用有限人力资源的方式组合在一起。为了进一步改善所创建的能源系统框架,还包括风景模型等附加功能,以结合传统和可再生发电技术的阴影和高程效果。展望未来,这种方法可以扩大对城市空气评估的研究,其中可以联合评估交通和能源排放。
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引用次数: 2
Multi-objective Analysis of Sustainable Generation Expansion Planning based on Renewable Energy Potential: A case study of Bali Province of Indonesia 基于可再生能源潜力的可持续发电扩展规划的多目标分析——以印度尼西亚巴厘岛省为例
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-05-18 DOI: 10.5278/IJSEPM.6474
Rahmat Adiprasetya Al Hasibi
This article analyzes the role of renewable energy in producing sustainable generation expansion planning. The generation expansion planning is carried out using an optimization model which has two objective functions, namely the objective function of planning costs and the objective function of emissions. Multi-objective analysis was performed using the epsilon constraint method to produce the Pareto set. Solution points are selected from the Pareto set generated using the fuzzy decision making method. The process of determining the best solution points is based on three scenarios. Furthermore, calculations were carried out to obtain 7 indicators of sustainability covering economic, social, and environmental aspects. The sustainability index is calculated based on several predetermined policy options. The model is implemented using data obtained from the electricity system in Bali Province, Indonesia. From the analysis, the planning scenario by implementing renewable energy sources in the generation of electrical energy, namely scenario 3, results in an increase in the sustainability index with the highest value during the planning period. However, scenario 3 produces two sustainability indices from the economic aspect, namely the unit cost of generation and shared electricity cost to GDP, which is the lowest when compared to other scenarios.
本文分析了可再生能源在制定可持续发电扩张规划中的作用。发电扩建规划使用具有两个目标函数的优化模型进行,即规划成本的目标函数和排放的目标函数。使用ε约束方法进行多目标分析以产生Pareto集。从使用模糊决策方法生成的Pareto集合中选择解点。确定最佳解决方案点的过程基于三个场景。此外,还进行了计算,以获得涵盖经济、社会和环境方面的7项可持续性指标。可持续性指数是根据几个预先确定的政策选项计算的。该模型是使用从印度尼西亚巴厘省电力系统获得的数据实现的。从分析来看,在发电中使用可再生能源的规划情景,即情景3,导致可持续性指数在规划期内以最高值增加。然而,从经济角度来看,情景3产生了两个可持续性指数,即单位发电成本和分摊电力成本占GDP的比例,与其他情景相比,这是最低的。
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引用次数: 9
Energy Consumption Efficiency Behaviours and Attitudes among the Community 社区能源消费效率行为和态度
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-05-18 DOI: 10.5278/IJSEPM.6153
O. K. Bishoge, G. Kombe, B. N. Mvile
The world is currently experiencing a high demand for energy that leads to an increase in energy consumption. The increased energy consumption rate leads to a rise in greenhouse gas emissions which provide climate change concerns in our earth. To tackle increased environmental challenges, there is a need for adopting energy behaviours among society globally. This review provides an overview of the approaches, theories, and models which explain in detail how human behaviours can influence energy use and hence increase energy saving. It furthermore evaluates the factors that influence human behaviours and attitudes toward energy consumption. In this section, the discussion is based on motivation factors; costs and benefits; moral and normative concerns; environmental norms, knowledge and concerns; technology adoption concerns; contextual and habitual factors; and awareness. To achieve this, a comprehensive literature review followed by Seven-Step Model was conducted involving relevant studies related to the study topic.
目前,世界正经历着对能源的高需求,这导致了能源消耗的增加。能源消耗率的增加导致温室气体排放的增加,这给我们的地球带来了气候变化问题。为了应对日益严峻的环境挑战,有必要在全球社会中采用能源行为。这篇综述概述了方法、理论和模型,这些方法、理论和模型详细解释了人类行为如何影响能源使用,从而增加了能源节约。它进一步评估了影响人类对能源消费的行为和态度的因素。在本节中,讨论是基于激励因素;成本与收益;道德和规范问题;环境规范、知识和关注事项;技术采用问题;语境和习惯因素;和意识。为了实现这一点,我们进行了全面的文献综述,然后进行了七步模型,涉及与研究主题相关的相关研究。
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引用次数: 1
Energy system benefits of combined electricity and thermal storage integrated with district heating 结合区域供热的电储联产能源系统效益
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-05-18 DOI: 10.5278/IJSEPM.6273
R. Lund
In the development towards a smart and renewable energy systems with increasing supply of electricity from fluctuating sources there is an increasing need for system flexibility. In this context the role and need for grid-level electricity storage is debated. Ideally, there would not be a need for storage, but the alternative system flexibility solutions may not cover all the flexibility needs, which will leave a potential for storage of electricity. In this study a compressed heat energy storage (CHEST) is assessed. It combines electricity and thermal storage in one system and can simultaneously benefit electricity and district heating systems. In a technical energy system analysis with the energy system of Germany as a case, a CHEST system is analyzed in different configurations with and without district heating integration. The results indicate that electrochemical storage is more effective than CHEST if district heating integration is not assumed. However, if district heating integration is assumed, CHEST can be more effective in reducing primary energy supply. This applies for district heating based on electrified heat sources, whereas in district heating supplied by combined heat and power plants and fuel boilers, CHEST do not show more effective.
在向智能和可再生能源系统发展的过程中,随着电力供应的增加,对系统灵活性的需求也越来越大。在这种背景下,电网级电力存储的作用和需求被争论。理想情况下,不需要存储,但替代系统灵活性解决方案可能无法满足所有灵活性需求,这将留下电力存储的潜力。在这项研究中,压缩热能储存(CHEST)进行了评估。它将电力和热储存结合在一个系统中,可以同时使电力和区域供热系统受益。在以德国能源系统为例的能源系统技术分析中,分析了有和没有区域供热一体化的CHEST系统的不同配置。结果表明,在不考虑区域供热一体化的情况下,电化学储能比CHEST更有效。然而,如果假设区域供热一体化,CHEST可以更有效地减少一次能源供应。这适用于基于电热源的区域供热,而在热电联产和燃料锅炉提供的区域供热中,CHEST没有显示出更有效的效果。
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引用次数: 2
The Impact of Local Climate Policy on District Heating Development in a Nordic city – a Dynamic Approach 当地气候政策对北欧城市区域供热发展的影响——动态方法
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-05-18 DOI: 10.5278/IJSEPM.6324
Karl Vilén, S. Selvakkumaran, E. Ahlgren
On a national level, Sweden has announced plans to have no net emissions of greenhouse gases in 2045. Furthermore, Gothenburg, a city in southwestern Sweden, has plans to phase out the use of fossil fuels in its heat and electricity production by 2030. Given that the development of a district heating (DH) system under dynamic and different climate policies and climate goals is a nontrivial problem, this study investigates two different policies of phasing out fossil fuels, either by introducing a fossil fuel ban, or by increasing the carbon tax to phase out the fossil fuel use in 2030 or 2045. The effects of the different phase out strategies on the future development of the existing DH system in Gothenburg has been investigated. The study is based on a system-wide approach covering both the supply and demand side developments. A TIMES system cost optimization model representing the DH system of Gothenburg was developed and applied for calculations. The results show that the total amount of heat supplied by the DH system is unaffected by the phase out policies. The amount of natural gas used to supply the DH system is however dependent on what kind of phase out policy is implemented. A yearly linearly increasing carbon tax policy introduced in 2021 phases out fossil fuel use earlier than the target year, while a ban phases out the fossil fuel only from the actual target year.
在国家层面上,瑞典宣布计划在2045年实现温室气体零净排放。此外,瑞典西南部城市哥德堡计划在2030年前逐步淘汰化石燃料在热电生产中的使用。鉴于在动态和不同的气候政策和气候目标下发展区域供暖系统是一个不平凡的问题,本研究调查了两种不同的逐步淘汰化石燃料的政策,一种是引入化石燃料禁令,另一种是提高碳税,在2030年或2045年淘汰化石燃料。研究了不同的淘汰策略对哥德堡现有DH系统未来发展的影响。这项研究基于一种涵盖供需双方发展的全系统方法。建立了一个代表哥德堡DH系统的TIMES系统成本优化模型,并将其应用于计算。结果表明,DH系统的供热总量不受淘汰政策的影响。然而,用于供应DH系统的天然气数量取决于实施何种淘汰政策。2021年推出的每年线性增加的碳税政策比目标年更早地逐步淘汰化石燃料的使用,而禁令只从实际目标年开始淘汰化石燃料。
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引用次数: 4
An Algorithm-based Approach to Map the Players’ Network for Photovoltaic Energy Businesses 一种基于算法的光伏能源企业参与者网络映射方法
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-02-10 DOI: 10.5278/IJSEPM.5889
J. L. Schaefer, J. Siluk
Due to economic, social, and environmental factors that influence businesses related to renewable energy sources, such as photovoltaic energy (PV), several players are acting on these business models, forming a complex network of interrelations. In this sense, this paper aims to identify the players involved in PV businesses, mapping the main relations between the players, and discussing these interactions in the context of PV businesses. A systematic review (SR) based on the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and a Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) statement was used to identify who the players were and to group them into clusters. The Apriori algorithm was used to build a players’ network and a clusters’ network, enabling a detailed discussion of these relationships. 35 players were identified, being grouped into 7 clusters, which can be related to the PV’s businesses. 20 players achieved relevance through Apriori rules, appearing in the players' network. With the players' network related to the PV businesses, business models can be defined or improved, exploring the conditioning, and limiting factors to improve business processes.
由于影响可再生能源(如光伏)相关业务的经济、社会和环境因素,一些参与者正在对这些商业模式采取行动,形成复杂的相互关系网络。从这个意义上说,本文旨在确定参与光伏业务的参与者,绘制参与者之间的主要关系,并在光伏业务的背景下讨论这些互动。基于系统评价首选报告项目和荟萃分析(PRISMA)声明的系统评价(SR)用于确定参与者,并将他们分组。Apriori算法用于构建玩家网络和集群网络,从而能够详细讨论这些关系。确定了35个参与者,分为7个集群,这些集群可能与光伏的业务有关。20名玩家通过Apriori规则获得相关性,出现在玩家的网络中。通过与光伏业务相关的参与者网络,可以定义或改进业务模型,探索条件和限制因素,以改进业务流程。
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引用次数: 5
期刊
International Journal of Sustainable Energy Planning and Management
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