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An inclusive taxonomy of behavioral biases 行为偏见的包容性分类
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2017-07-07 DOI: 10.17979/EJGE.2017.6.1.4322
David Peón, M. Antelo, Anxo Calvo-Silvosa
This paper overviews the theoretical and empirical research on behavioral biases and their influence in the literature. To provide a systematic exposition, we present a unified framework that takes the reader through an original taxonomy, based on the reviews of relevant authors in the field. In particular, we establish three broad categories that may be distinguished: heuristics and biases; choices, values and frames; and social factors. We then describe the main biases within each category, and revise the main theoretical and empirical developments, linking each bias with other biases and anomalies that are related to them, according to the literature.
本文综述了行为偏差及其影响的理论和实证研究。为了提供一个系统的阐述,我们提出了一个统一的框架,带领读者通过一个原始的分类,基于相关作者在该领域的评论。特别是,我们建立了三个可以区分的大类:启发式和偏见;选择、价值和框架;还有社会因素。然后,根据文献,我们描述了每个类别中的主要偏差,并修改了主要的理论和实证发展,将每个偏差与其他偏差和与之相关的异常联系起来。
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引用次数: 8
Switching costs in the European postal service. Are there any solutions 欧洲邮政服务的转换成本。有什么解决办法吗?
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2017-01-05 DOI: 10.17979/EJGE.2016.5.2.4319
Carlos Pateiro-Rodríguez, Javier Prado-Dominguez, J. García-Iglesias, J. M. Barreiro-Viñán
This article examines the costs of switching that may exist in the European postal sector, where it is carried out an ambitious process of opening to competition since 1997. Inadequate regulation of the access to some elements of postal infrastructure or services within the scope of the universal postal service exists. This article proposes adaptations to ensure transparent and non-discriminatory access conditions to elements of postal infrastructure in line with the sectorial directives aimed at strengthening competition in the long term in the postal market. The proposed adaptations focus on services such as postcode systems, address databases, post office boxes, delivery boxes, re-direction and return to sender services. All of them can help reduce the switching cost and thus strengthen competition.
这篇文章探讨了欧洲邮政部门可能存在的转换成本,自1997年以来,欧洲邮政部门正在进行一个雄心勃勃的开放竞争过程。在普遍邮政服务范围内,对获得邮政基础设施或服务的某些要素的监管不足。本条建议进行调整,以确保邮政基础设施要素的透明和非歧视性准入条件符合旨在加强邮政市场长期竞争的部门指令。拟议的调整侧重于邮政编码系统、地址数据库、邮政信箱、投递箱、重定向和退回发件人服务等服务。所有这些都有助于降低转换成本,从而加强竞争。
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引用次数: 0
Hidden costs of cuts: Austerity, civil service management and the motivation of public officials in Central and Eastern Europe after the crisis 削减的隐性成本:危机后中欧和东欧的紧缩、公务员管理和公职人员的动机
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2017-01-05 DOI: 10.17979/EJGE.2016.5.2.4320
Jan-Hinrik Meyer-Sahling, B. Janta, Iveta Reinholde, C. Stolk
The implementation of austerity measures presents a dilemma for governments. While austerity measures such as cutbacks aim to reduce costs and enhance public sector efficiency, the same measures might undermine the motivation of employees and, consequently, the prospects of effectively implementing austerity programmes. Based on a survey of ministerial officials in Poland and Latvia, this article finds that the scale of cutbacks explains a larger decline of staff motivation in Latvia than in Poland. The article further shows that motivation was more likely to decrease after the crisis if austerity measures involved cutbacks such as staff reductions, recruitment freezes, and a reduction of training opportunities.
紧缩措施的实施使各国政府陷入两难境地。虽然诸如削减等紧缩措施旨在降低成本和提高公共部门的效率,但同样的措施可能会损害雇员的积极性,从而损害有效执行紧缩方案的前景。基于对波兰和拉脱维亚的部长级官员的调查,本文发现,削减的规模解释了拉脱维亚比波兰更大的员工积极性下降。这篇文章进一步表明,如果紧缩措施涉及裁员、冻结招聘和减少培训机会等削减,那么危机后员工积极性更有可能下降。
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引用次数: 3
Productivity in Europe during the Great Recession: Any evidence for creative destruction? 大衰退期间欧洲的生产力:有创造性破坏的证据吗?
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2017-01-05 DOI: 10.17979/EJGE.2016.5.2.4318
Gonzalo Paz Pardo
This article analyses the effects of the financial crisis and the Great Recession on productivity in Europe by studying the process of labour force reallocation between companies. Using micro-data on company balance sheets, a fixed-effects panel estimation of the predictors of the post-crisis evolution of the number of employees for a given company is used. Identification is achieved through the use of pre-crisis values of covariates. The results are in line with the theoretical predictions derived from Schumpeterian (“creative destruction”) endogenous growth models. Pre-crisis productivity is a predictor of a higher number of employees, which means creative destruction is taking place to some extent. Companies in financially dependent sectors perform worse in the context of the financial crisis. Indebtedness has an uneven effect: positive for large companies and negative for smaller ones.
本文通过对企业间劳动力再配置过程的研究,分析了金融危机和大衰退对欧洲生产率的影响。本文利用公司资产负债表上的微观数据,对某一特定公司雇员数量在危机后演变的预测因子进行了固定效应面板估计。识别是通过使用协变量的危机前值实现的。结果与熊彼特内生增长模型(“创造性破坏”)的理论预测一致。危机前的生产率预示着雇员数量的增加,这意味着在某种程度上,创造性破坏正在发生。在金融危机的背景下,财务依赖行业的公司表现更差。负债的影响并不均衡:对大公司有利,对小公司不利。
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引用次数: 4
The perspectives of family policy in Russia amid increasing cohabitation 同居增加中俄罗斯家庭政策的视角
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2016-07-01 DOI: 10.17979/EJGE.2016.5.1.4315
E. Mitrofanova, Alyona Artamonova
Russia has long been characterized by early and universal marriage. After the Soviet Union collapse, the average age of marriage has been rising, and cohabitations have become common. Many scholars explain the causes of this trend through the perspective of the Second Demographic Transition. The aim of this research was to define the nature of cohabitations in Russia, reveal the factors of entrance to non-marital unions in order to discuss how and why non-marital union is implicated in recent dialogues about family policy. In order to achieve the aim, such methods as Event History Analysis and Sequence Analysis were used.
俄罗斯长期以来一直以早婚和通婚为特征。苏联解体后,平均结婚年龄一直在上升,同居变得很普遍。许多学者通过第二次人口转型的视角来解释这一趋势的原因。本研究的目的是定义俄罗斯同居的性质,揭示进入非婚姻结合的因素,以讨论非婚姻结合如何以及为什么涉及最近关于家庭政策的对话。为了达到这一目的,采用了事件历史分析和序列分析等方法。
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引用次数: 2
The Occupy and Indignados movement and the importance of political context: differences between occasionals and regulars in Spain and the UK 占领和愤怒运动与政治背景的重要性:西班牙和英国临时工与常客之间的差异
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2016-07-01 DOI: 10.17979/EJGE.2016.5.1.4314
Cristina Gómez-Román, Jose-Manuel Sabucedo
In this work we look into the individuals’ reasons that led Occupy protesters to participate in this movement. We interviewed Occupy participants in the UK and Spain. We wanted to find out if the reasons that lead them to participate are the same in both countries. The context of the country where the demonstration was held was taken into account, as well as the differences there may be in the reasons for participation if we consider whether they are occasional or regular participants in collective protest actions. Using a two-by-two design defined by country of demonstration and the history of mobilisation (occasional vs. regular), our results show important differences in both factors. The study contributes to the literature, highlighting the importance of analysing the context where the demonstration takes place and which motives must be underlined in order to attract participants to protests.
在这项工作中,我们研究了导致占领抗议者参与这场运动的个人原因。我们采访了英国和西班牙的占领运动参与者。我们想知道导致他们参与的原因在两国是否相同。我们考虑了举行示威的国家的背景,以及如果我们考虑他们是偶尔参加还是经常参加集体抗议行动,参与原因可能存在的差异。使用由示范国家和动员历史(偶尔与定期)定义的二乘二设计,我们的结果显示这两个因素的重要差异。该研究对文献有所贡献,强调了分析示威活动发生的背景以及必须强调哪些动机以吸引参与者参加抗议的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Urban population and economic growth: South Asia perspective 城市人口与经济增长:南亚视角
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2016-07-01 DOI: 10.17979/EJGE.2016.5.1.4316
Sandip Sarker, Arifuzzaman Khan, M. Mannan
Previously economic growth was generally discussed in terms of foreign direct investment (FDI), educational growth, savings, investments, inflation as well as trade openness of a nation. Very recently it has been identified that population is one of the major determinants of economic growth of a nation. In the recent years, the study of urbanization has gained a matter of concern in developing countries as it has been recognized as part of a larger process of economic development which is affecting developing countries. South Asian countries are one of the emerging economics and growing at a faster rate over the past few years. At the same time, population of South Asia is growing at a significant rate. Therefore the study has attempted to identify the causal relationship between urban population and economic growth in South Asia using a panel data analysis. The study makes use of the Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) and Phillips-Perron (PP), Pesaran as well as Fisher methods for panel unit root test. The panel Pedroni cointegration test suggests that there is long run relationship between the variables. The further panel Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) suggests that there is long run causality running from urban population growth to economic growth in South Asia. The study concludes that the growth of urban population can have significant impact on economic growth in South Asia in the long run.
以前,经济增长通常是根据外国直接投资(FDI)、教育增长、储蓄、投资、通货膨胀以及一个国家的贸易开放程度来讨论的。最近,人们认识到人口是一个国家经济增长的主要决定因素之一。近年来,对城市化的研究已成为发展中国家关注的一个问题,因为它已被认为是影响发展中国家的更大的经济发展进程的一部分。南亚国家是新兴经济体之一,在过去几年中增长速度较快。与此同时,南亚的人口正以惊人的速度增长。因此,本研究试图通过面板数据分析来确定南亚城市人口与经济增长之间的因果关系。本研究采用增强Dickey-Fuller (ADF)法、philips - perron (PP)法、Pesaran法和Fisher法进行面板单位根检验。面板Pedroni协整检验表明变量之间存在长期关系。进一步的面板向量误差修正模型(VECM)表明,南亚城市人口增长与经济增长之间存在长期因果关系。该研究的结论是,从长远来看,城市人口的增长可能对南亚的经济增长产生重大影响。
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引用次数: 14
Sustainability of Italian Budgetary Policies: A Time Series Analysis (1862-2013) 意大利预算政策的可持续性:时间序列分析(1862-2013)
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2016-03-17 DOI: 10.17979/EJGE.2017.6.2.4326
G. Brady, Cosimo Magazzino
In this paper, we analyze the sustainability of Italian public finances using a unique database covering the period 1862-2013. This paper focuses on empirical tests for the sustainability and solvency of fiscal policies. A necessary but not sufficient condition implies that the growth rate of public debt should in the limit be smaller than the asymptotic rate of interest. In addition, the debt-to-GDP ratio must eventually stabilize at a steady-state level. The results of unit root and stationarity tests show that the variables are non-stationary at levels, but stationary in first-differences form, or I(1) . However, some breaks in the series emerge, given internal and external crises (wars, oil shocks, regime changes, institutional reforms). Therefore, the empirical analysis is conducted for the entire period, as well as two sub‐periods (1862‐1913 and 1947‐2013). Moreover, anecdotal evidence and visual inspection of the series confirm our results. Furthermore, we conduct tests on cointegration, which evidence that a long-run relationship between public expenditure and revenues is found only for the first sub-period (1862-1913). In essence, the paper’s results reveal that Italy have sustainability problems in the Republican age.
在本文中,我们使用涵盖1862-2013年期间的独特数据库来分析意大利公共财政的可持续性。本文主要对财政政策的可持续性和偿付能力进行实证检验。一个必要但非充分条件意味着公共债务的增长率在极限下应小于渐近利率。此外,债务与gdp之比最终必须稳定在一个稳定的水平。单位根检验和平稳性检验的结果表明,变量在水平上是非平稳的,但在一阶差分形式下是平稳的,即I(1)。然而,由于内部和外部危机(战争、石油危机、政权更迭、制度改革),这个系列中出现了一些中断。因此,本文对整个时期以及两个子时期(1862 - 1913年和1947 - 2013年)进行了实证分析。此外,轶事证据和目视检查系列证实了我们的结果。此外,我们进行了协整检验,证明公共支出和收入之间的长期关系仅在第一个子时期(1862-1913)被发现。从本质上讲,本文的结果揭示了意大利在共和时代存在可持续性问题。
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引用次数: 11
Does debt predict growth? An empirical analysis of the relationship between total debt and economic output 债务能预测经济增长吗?债务总额与经济产出关系的实证分析
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2015-12-30 DOI: 10.17979/EJGE.2015.4.2.4308
Willem Vanlaer, W. Marneffe, Lode Vereeck, Johan Vanovertveldt
Although the recent global financial crisis has stimulated a vast amount of research on the impact of public debt on economic growth and also increasingly on the role of private credit, the total levels of indebtedness of an economy have largely been ignored. This paper studies the impact of the total level of and increases in debt-to-GDP on economic growth for 26 developed countries in the short, medium and longer term. We analyse whether we can predict the future level of growth, simply by looking at the total level of debt, or increases in that debt level. We find that there is a negative correlation between high levels of debt and short term economic growth, but that this effect tapers in the medium and long term. Similarly, we find that rapid debt accumulation is negatively related to economic growth over the short term, the impact is less pronounced over the medium term and is non-existent over the long term.
尽管最近的全球金融危机刺激了大量关于公共债务对经济增长影响的研究,也越来越多地关注私人信贷的作用,但一个经济体的总负债水平在很大程度上被忽视了。本文研究了26个发达国家短期、中期和长期债务与gdp之比的总水平和增幅对经济增长的影响。我们分析我们是否可以预测未来的增长水平,仅仅通过观察总债务水平,或债务水平的增长。我们发现,高债务水平与短期经济增长之间存在负相关关系,但这种影响在中长期内逐渐减弱。同样,我们发现快速的债务积累在短期内与经济增长呈负相关,这种影响在中期不太明显,在长期内不存在。
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引用次数: 3
Bed capacity and surgical waiting lists: a simulation analysis 病床容量和手术等候名单:模拟分析
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2015-12-30 DOI: 10.17979/EJGE.2015.4.2.4310
M. Antelo, Francisco Reyes Santías, A. Calvo
Waiting time for elective surgery is a key problem in the current medical world. This paper aims to reproduce, by a Monte Carlo simulation model, the relationship between hospital capacity, inpatient activity, and surgery waiting list size in teaching hospitals. Inpatient activity is simulated by fitting a Normal distribution to real inpatient activity data, and the effect of the number of beds on inpatient activity is modelled with a linear regression model. Analysis is performed with data of the University Multi-Hospital Complex of Santiago de Compostela (Santiago de Compostela, Spain), by considering two scenarios regarding the elastiticity of demand with bed increase. If demand does not grow with an increase on bed capacity, small changes lead to drastic reductions in the waiting lists. However, if demand grows as bed capacity does, adding additional capacity merely makes waiting lists worse.
择期手术的等待时间是当前医学界的一个关键问题。本文旨在通过蒙特卡罗模拟模型再现教学医院的医院容量、住院病人活动和手术等候名单大小之间的关系。采用正态分布拟合实际住院患者活动数据来模拟住院患者活动,并采用线性回归模型对病床数量对住院患者活动的影响进行建模。分析采用圣地亚哥德孔波斯特拉大学多医院综合体(西班牙圣地亚哥德孔波斯特拉)的数据,通过考虑床位增加时需求弹性的两种情况。如果需求没有随着病床容量的增加而增长,那么小小的改变就会导致等候名单上的急剧减少。然而,如果需求随着床位容量的增长而增长,增加额外的容量只会使等待名单变得更糟。
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引用次数: 2
期刊
European Journal of Government and Economics
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