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Manufactured housing communities and climate change: Understanding key vulnerabilities and recommendations for emergency managers. 人造房屋社区与气候变化:了解关键脆弱性并为应急管理人员提出建议。
Q3 Medicine Pub Date : 2024-04-03 DOI: 10.5055/jem.0845
Kelly Hamshaw, Daniel Baker
Manufactured housing communities (MHCs), commonly referred to as mobile home parks, provide an estimated 2.7 million American households with largely unsubsidized, affordable housing. Climate change threatens those who call these communities home by exacerbating known structural and social vulnerabilities associated with this housing type-including but not limited to increased risks to flooding, extreme temperatures, high winds, and wildfires. Climate change requires emergency managers to understand the diverse, integrated, and complex vulnerabilities of MHCs that affect their exposure to climate change risk. This article presents findings from an integrative literature review focused on the climate-related vulnerabilities of these communities described at three levels of scale: household, housing structure, and park community. It then draws on 15 years of engagement and action research with MHC residents and stakeholders in Vermont, including several federally declared flooding disasters, to distill key recommendations for emergency managers for assisting MHCs to prepare for and respond to emergencies. As climate change accelerates, emergency managers can increase efficacy by learning about the MHCs in their jurisdictions by leveraging the best available data to characterize risks, integrating MHCs into planning and mitigation activities, and engaging in conversations with stakeholders, including MHC residents and their trusted partners.
活动房屋社区(MHC)通常被称为活动房屋园区,为约 270 万美国家庭提供了基本无补贴的经济适用房。气候变化加剧了与这种住房类型相关的已知结构和社会脆弱性--包括但不限于洪水、极端气温、大风和野火等风险的增加,从而威胁着以这些社区为家的人们。气候变化要求应急管理人员了解影响多层住宅暴露于气候变化风险的各种综合、复杂的脆弱性。本文介绍了综合文献综述的研究结果,重点关注这些社区与气候相关的脆弱性,并从家庭、住房结构和公园社区三个层面进行了描述。然后,文章借鉴了与佛蒙特州的多住户社区居民和利益相关者长达 15 年的接触和行动研究,包括联邦宣布的几次洪水灾害,提炼出了应急管理人员协助多住户社区准备和应对紧急情况的主要建议。随着气候变化的加速,应急管理人员可以通过了解其管辖范围内的多住户社区,利用现有的最佳数据来描述风险特征,将多住户社区纳入规划和减灾活动中,并与包括多住户社区居民及其可信赖的合作伙伴在内的利益相关者进行对话,从而提高效率。
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引用次数: 0
Identifying and assessing corporate employment variables that influence community resilience: A novel model. 确定和评估影响社区复原力的企业就业变量:一个新颖的模型。
Q3 Medicine Pub Date : 2024-04-03 DOI: 10.5055/jem.0808
E. Wood, Jon C Lam, Monica Sanders
Quantifying the concept of disaster resilience on a local level is becoming more critical as vulnerable communities face more frequent and intense disasters due to climate change. In the United States (US), corporations are often evaluated using social justice or environmental sustainability matrices for financial investment consideration. However, there are few tools available to measure a corporation's contribution to disaster resilience on a local level. This study includes a focused literature review of employment variables that contribute to community resilience and a national survey that asked US emergency managers to rank the variables they believe have the greatest influence on individual resilience. A novel corporate community resilience model that ranks corporate contributions to disaster resilience in the communities where they operate was developed and then tested against data from five employment sectors from the same area. This model can be used by stakeholders to better understand how corporations can most efficiently contribute to county- and subcounty-level disaster resilience. The metrics used in this study are universal and translative, and thus, the development of this resilience model has global disaster resilience implications.
由于气候变化导致脆弱社区面临更加频繁和强烈的灾害,在地方层面量化抗灾能力的概念变得越来越重要。在美国,人们通常使用社会公正或环境可持续性矩阵对企业进行评估,以作为金融投资的考虑因素。然而,很少有工具可用于衡量企业在地方层面对抗灾能力的贡献。本研究对有助于提高社区抗灾能力的就业变量进行了重点文献综述,并开展了一项全国性调查,要求美国应急管理人员对他们认为对个人抗灾能力影响最大的变量进行排序。研究开发了一个新颖的企业社区抗灾能力模型,该模型可对企业在其运营所在社区的抗灾能力进行排名,然后根据同一地区五个就业部门的数据进行测试。利益相关者可利用该模型更好地了解企业如何才能最有效地促进县级和县级以下的抗灾能力。本研究中使用的衡量标准具有普遍性和可转换性,因此,该抗灾模型的开发具有全球抗灾意义。
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引用次数: 0
Leveraging technology in emergency management: An opportunity to improve compounding and cascading hazards linked to climate change. 在应急管理中利用技术:改善与气候变化相关的复合危害和连带危害的机会。
Q3 Medicine Pub Date : 2024-04-03 DOI: 10.5055/jem.0854
Attila Hertelendy
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate (IPCC) Sixth Assessment report concluded that we will see an increase in frequency of extreme environmental events around the world including, hurricanes, droughts, and wildfires.1 The report further describes cascading hazards when one hazard triggers another in a series such as extreme heat triggering a collapse of the power grid. The IPCC also discusses compounding hazards as multiple disasters occur at the same time for example a hurricane occurring at the same time as COVID-19 and a mass casualty event prompting a Urban Search & Rescue (USAR) response such as the Surfside and the Florida condo collapse.2 Studies suggest that there are gaps relating to Hazard Mitigation Plans (HMP) in addressing cascading events.3,4
政府间气候变化专门委员会(IPCC)第六次评估报告认为,我们将看到全球极端环境事件的频率增加,包括飓风、干旱和野火。1 报告进一步描述了级联危害,即一种危害引发一系列另一种危害,如极端高温引发电网崩溃。IPCC 还讨论了多重灾害同时发生时的复合危害,例如,飓风与 COVID-19 同时发生,大规模伤亡事件引发城市搜索与救援 (USAR) 响应,如 Surfside 和佛罗里达公寓倒塌事件。
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引用次数: 0
Special Issue on Climate Change and Sustainability in Emergency Management 气候变化与应急管理的可持续性》特刊
Q3 Medicine Pub Date : 2024-04-03 DOI: 10.5055/jem.0857
Journal of Emergency Management
Volume 22, Number 7
第 22 卷第 7 号
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引用次数: 0
A Hegelian approach to resilient communities. 黑格尔式的复原社区方法。
Q3 Medicine Pub Date : 2024-04-03 DOI: 10.5055/jem.0811
Richard A Buck
This theoretical study draws on the insights of Georg Wilhelm Friedrich Hegel to suggest certain aspects of communities and other groups that would tend to make them more resilient in the face of climate change. While Hegel addresses resilient dimensions at the societal level, this study interprets Hegel's work to derive aspects of groups within society that would tend to make them resilient.
这项理论研究借鉴了格奥尔格-威廉-弗里德里希-黑格尔的见解,提出社区和其他群体的某些方面往往会使其在气候变化面前更具复原力。黑格尔探讨了社会层面的抗灾能力,而本研究则对黑格尔的著作进行了诠释,以得出社会中各群体的某些方面往往会使其具有抗灾能力。
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引用次数: 0
COVID-19 and climate change concerns: Matters arising. COVID-19 和气候变化问题:提出的事项。
Q3 Medicine Pub Date : 2024-04-03 DOI: 10.5055/jem.0802
Anthony Amoah, Peter Asare-Nuamah, A. Limantol, A. M. Alhassan
Until the outbreak of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, developing countries, especially countries in the African continent, battled with the impact of climate change on the food value-chain systems and general livelihood. In this study, we discuss climate change concerns post-COVID-19 and argue that the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic has exacerbated the vulnerabilities of most developing and emerging economies. This has heightened political tensions and unrest among such developing nations. We suggest enhancement and intensification of efficient and effective locally engineered adaptation strategies in the post-COVID-19 era for countries that have been susceptible to the impact of climate change and other recent shocks.
在 2019 年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)大流行爆发之前,发展中国家,尤其是非洲大陆国家,一直在与气候变化对食品价值链系统和总体生计的影响作斗争。在本研究中,我们讨论了 COVID-19 后的气候变化问题,并认为 COVID-19 大流行的爆发加剧了大多数发展中国家和新兴经济体的脆弱性。这加剧了这些发展中国家的政治紧张和动荡。我们建议,在后 COVID-19 时代,易受气候变化和近期其他冲击影响的国家应加强和强化高效、有效的地方适应战略。
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引用次数: 0
Emergency management and sustainability: Understanding the link between disaster and citizen participation for sustainability efforts and climate change. 应急管理与可持续性:了解灾害与公民参与可持续发展努力和气候变化之间的联系。
Q3 Medicine Pub Date : 2024-04-03 DOI: 10.5055/jem.0824
Brian Don Williams
The goal of this study is to examine how disaster experience influences local government views on citizen participation in addressing issues of sustainability, such as climate change. This study considers concepts such as wicked problems, the social order, the environment, economic development, and citizen participation where sustainability can be considered a solution to help manage and solve the challenges of disaster, like climate change. The data are taken from a 2015 International City/County Management Association national survey that examines the link between disaster and sustainability. The results show that more than half of the respondents do not view public participation as having much of an impact on sustainability; however, we can expect public participation to increasingly impact sustainability efforts as communities experience more disaster. This suggests that emergency management needs to understand public pressures regarding wicked problems, such as climate change, to collectively address the global influence of environmental, economic, and social issues that have local effects on their communities.
本研究旨在探讨灾害经历如何影响地方政府对公民参与解决气候变化等可持续发展问题的看法。本研究考虑了邪恶问题、社会秩序、环境、经济发展和公民参与等概念,其中可持续发展可被视为一种解决方案,有助于管理和解决气候变化等灾害带来的挑战。这些数据来自 2015 年国际城市/县管理协会的一项全国调查,该调查研究了灾害与可持续性之间的联系。结果显示,超过半数的受访者认为公众参与对可持续发展的影响不大;然而,我们可以预见,随着社区经历更多的灾难,公众参与对可持续发展的影响会越来越大。这表明,应急管理部门需要了解公众对气候变化等恶性问题的压力,以共同应对环境、经济和社会问题对全球的影响,这些问题会对当地社区产生影响。
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引用次数: 0
Rapid assessment of public interest in drought and its likely drivers in South Africa. 快速评估南非公众对干旱及其可能驱动因素的兴趣。
Q3 Medicine Pub Date : 2024-04-03 DOI: 10.5055/jem.0834
Robyn J Bayne, Des Pyle, Masterson Chipumuro, Roman Tandlich
The monthly search volumes for drought were extracted from Google® for South Africa using the Keywordsevery-where.com plugin from January 2004 until June 2022. To identify the potential qualitative drivers for such public interest the following data extracted by the plugin were investigated and analysed: the drought-related keywords, the long-tail keywords similar to drought, and the "people also searched for category" from the South African users. The Google Trends monthly score was extracted for South Africa and the Eastern Cape Province, and specific local municipalities/towns/cities in the province. The aim was to assess the relative significance of the drought interest in comparison to public interest in other search terms. The results of the Kruskal-Wallis analyses of variance by ranks showed that there was a statistically significant difference between individual values of the monthly search volumes for drought in South Africa, as a function of time of data extraction (5 percent level of significance; p-value ≤ 4.7 × 10-14). The monthly search volumes increased with time, which is based on the results of the Mann-Kendall test at a 5 percent level of significance (p-value ≤ 0.0092). Analyses of the Google Trends scores indicate that the relative interest in drought in South Africa and the Eastern Cape Province increased with time between January 2004 and June 2022 (the Mann-Kendall test at a 5 percent level of significance; p-value = 0.0011). The population's searches for drought were relatively low when compared to other search terms on Google. Drought adaptation of the South African community could be considered a driver of the Google searches for drought, but it is a marginal topic compared to other topics in Google searches. It might be necessary to increase this significance by investigating the "Google-search patterns for droughts" in the areas of Tshikaro, Mafusini, Cofimvaba, and Nxotsheni in the Eastern Cape Province of South Africa.
从 2004 年 1 月到 2022 年 6 月,我们使用 Keywordsevery-where.com 插件从 Google® 中提取了南非的干旱月搜索量。为了确定这种公众兴趣的潜在定性驱动因素,对插件提取的以下数据进行了调查和分析:与干旱相关的关键词、与干旱相似的长尾关键词以及南非用户的 "也搜索过的人 "类别。提取了南非和东开普省以及该省特定市/镇/城市的谷歌趋势月度得分。目的是评估与其他搜索词的公众兴趣相比,干旱兴趣的相对重要性。Kruskal-Wallis 等级方差分析结果表明,南非干旱月搜索量的个体值与数据提取时间的函数之间存在显著的统计学差异(显著性水平为 5%;P 值 ≤ 4.7 × 10-14)。月搜索量随着时间的推移而增加,这是基于 5% 显著性水平的 Mann-Kendall 检验结果(p 值≤ 0.0092)。对谷歌趋势得分的分析表明,在 2004 年 1 月至 2022 年 6 月期间,南非和东开普省对干旱的相对兴趣随着时间的推移而增加(5% 显著性水平的 Mann-Kendall 检验;p 值 = 0.0011)。与谷歌上的其他搜索词相比,人们对干旱的搜索相对较少。南非社区对干旱的适应可以说是谷歌搜索干旱的一个驱动因素,但与谷歌搜索的其他主题相比,这只是一个边缘主题。也许有必要通过调查南非东开普省 Tshikaro、Mafusini、Cofimvaba 和 Nxotsheni 地区的 "谷歌搜索干旱模式 "来提高其重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Designing user-centered decision support systems for climate disasters: What information do communities and rescue responders need during floods? 为气候灾害设计以用户为中心的决策支持系统:洪水期间,社区和救援人员需要哪些信息?
Q3 Medicine Pub Date : 2024-04-03 DOI: 10.5055/jem.0741
Julia Hillin, Bahareh Alizadeh, Diya Li, Courtney M. Thompson, Michelle A. Meyer, Zhe Zhang, Amir H. Behzadan
Flooding events are the most common natural hazard globally, resulting in vast destruction and loss of life. An effective flood emergency response is necessary to lessen the negative impacts of flood disasters. However, disaster management and response efforts face a complex scenario. Simultaneously, regular citizens attempt to navigate the various sources of information being distributed and determine their best course of action. One thing is evident across all disaster scenarios: having accurate information and clear communication between citizens and rescue personnel is critical. This research aims to identify the diverse needs of two groups, rescue operators and citizens, during flood disaster events by investigating the sources and types of information they rely on and information that would improve their responses in the future. This information can improve the design and implementation of existing and future spatial decision support systems (SDSSs) during flooding events. This research identifies information characteristics crucial for rescue operators and everyday citizens' response and possible evacuation to flooding events by qualitatively coding survey responses from rescue responders and the public. The results show that including local input in SDSS development is crucial for improving higher-resolution flood risk quantification models. Doing so democratizes data collection and analysis, creates transparency and trust between people and governments, and leads to transformative solutions for the broader scientific community.
洪水是全球最常见的自然灾害,造成了巨大的破坏和人员伤亡。为了减轻洪水灾害的负面影响,有必要采取有效的洪水应急措施。然而,灾害管理和应对工作面临着复杂的局面。与此同时,普通市民也在试图浏览各种信息来源,并确定自己的最佳行动方案。有一点在所有灾难场景中都是显而易见的:准确的信息以及市民与救援人员之间清晰的沟通至关重要。本研究旨在通过调查救援人员和市民所依赖的信息来源和类型,以及能够改善他们未来应对措施的信息,来确定他们在洪水灾害事件中的不同需求。这些信息可以改进洪灾事件中现有和未来空间决策支持系统(SDSS)的设计和实施。本研究通过对救援人员和公众的调查回答进行定性编码,确定了对救援人员和普通市民应对洪灾事件和可能的疏散至关重要的信息特征。研究结果表明,在 SDSS 开发过程中纳入地方意见对于改进更高分辨率的洪水风险量化模型至关重要。这样做可以使数据收集和分析民主化,在人们和政府之间建立透明度和信任,并为更广泛的科学界带来变革性的解决方案。
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引用次数: 0
Climate change and health: The case of mapping droughts and migration pattern in Iran (2011-2016). 气候变化与健康:绘制伊朗干旱和移民模式图(2011-2016 年)。
Q3 Medicine Pub Date : 2024-04-03 DOI: 10.5055/jem.0814
S. Sohrabizadeh, Iman Farahi-Ashtiani, Amirhosein Bahramzadeh, Zahra Eskandari, Aioub Moradi, A. Hanafi-Bojd
INTRODUCTIONMigration and mobility of population have been reported as a common reaction to drought. There is historical evidence to suggest the health effects of droughts and human migration linkage in Iran. This study aimed to map the drought and migration patterns in Iran in 2011 and 2016 and explore their possible health impacts.METHODSThis sequential explanatory mixed-method study was done in two stages of spatial analysis and qualitative study. Data mapping was conducted through the equal interval classification and using drought, migration, and agriculture occupation data based on provincial divisions in Iran in 2011 and 2016. This qualitative study was conducted using the content analysis approach.RESULTSThe in-migration rate was higher in 2011 rather than 2016. Migration to cities was much higher than migration to villages in both years. The frequency of male migrants was higher than females in all provinces in 2011 and 2016. Physical and mental diseases as well as economic, sociocultural, education, and environment effects on health were extracted from the qualitative data.CONCLUSIONA holistic picture of droughts and migration issues in Iran and their health consequences were achieved by the present research. Further research is needed to explore the determinants of health impacts of climate change in vulnerable groups. Public health problems can be prevented by adaptive and preventive policy-making and planning. This can improve the coping capacity of the population facing droughts and enforced migration.
导言据报道,人口迁移和流动是对干旱的常见反应。有历史证据表明,干旱对健康的影响与伊朗的人口迁移有关。本研究旨在绘制 2011 年和 2016 年伊朗的干旱和人口迁移模式图,并探讨其可能对健康产生的影响。方法本研究采用顺序解释混合方法,分空间分析和定性研究两个阶段进行。数据制图是通过等间隔分类法,利用 2011 年和 2016 年伊朗各省的干旱、移民和农业职业数据进行的。这项定性研究采用了内容分析法。结果2011 年的迁入率高于 2016 年。在这两年中,向城市移民的人数远远高于向乡村移民的人数。在 2011 年和 2016 年,所有省份的男性移民频率均高于女性。从定性数据中提取了身体和精神疾病以及经济、社会文化、教育和环境对健康的影响。需要进一步开展研究,探讨气候变化对弱势群体健康影响的决定因素。公共卫生问题可以通过适应性和预防性决策和规划加以预防。这可以提高面临干旱和被迫迁徙的人口的应对能力。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Emergency Management
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